< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 11 OF 131 ·
|Jan-15-10|| ||superuser171: that Kasparov' ready to wrestle was immediately set to my desktop background!|
|Jan-15-10|| ||Sbetsho: It would be in my desktop too had it not that watermark|
|Jan-15-10|| ||rogge: <awfulhangover: I'm not a Naka "fan". I'm norwegian and a hardcore Magnus fan.>|
<awful> I know you're Norwegian
<awfulhangover: Nakamura may win Corus A, and I meant it. Although being a norwegian I hope he wins>
but the <Hardcore Magnus fan> part wasn't that obvious.
|Jan-15-10|| ||sapfy: <but the <Hardcore Magnus fan> part wasn't that obvious.>|
awfulhangover is basically a guy who always bets against his favourite team. That way he always 'wins'.
|Jan-15-10|| ||awfulhangover: I am a fan of Magnus, but I think it would be good for chess if a young american with an attacking style could win such a big tourney. However, I want Magnus to be WC and no #1, not Naka :-)|
|Jan-15-10|| ||Rolfo: awful is always a little pessimistic before last round games and Magnus has the lead, else he is ok :)|
|Jan-15-10|| ||rogge: <but I think it would be good for chess if a young american with an attacking style could win such a big tourney.>|
Yes, I agree, but I'd prefer Naka to win Linares (no Carlsen) ;)
|Jan-15-10|| ||percyblakeney: Some sequences that can't continue much longer: Carlsen has +11 -0 =17 since he last lost a game more than 6 months ago. Leko is +0 -6 =19 after beating Cheparinov in Jermuk and has to win a game soon. Kramnik hasn't been top three in Wijk since 2001 (shared third with Ivanchuk), and as he has been playing lately it would be a surprise if his Corus curse survives another year.|
|Jan-15-10|| ||achieve: What if there was never a curse to begin with?
Quite the opposite reasoning might well apply here, and Kramnik may be "odds on" if he gets off to a nice start, like anyone else would embrace.
|Jan-15-10|| ||achieve: PS - I meant that a formulation like <sequences that can't continue much longer> is an irrelevant way of reasoning, and an equally useless way of predicting future outcomes.|
Normal and current equations determining the final outcome of games will automatically either confirm or change the trend.
|Jan-15-10|| ||percyblakeney: <What if there was never a curse to begin with?>|
He does have much better results in all other top events, nine Dortmund titles and undefeated top two in his last four Linares. Sooner or later he ought to have a good Wijk.
<an irrelevant way of reasoning, and an equally useless way of predicting future outcomes>
|Jan-15-10|| ||SetNoEscapeOn: In 2007, Kramnik finished only half a point behind the winners (Topalov, Radjabov, and Aronian).|
|Jan-15-10|| ||YouRang: <rogge: Carlsen is facing the three Dutch players in his first three games. Black against Anand, and white against Kramnik.>|
Yes, I noticed that. It wouldn't be terribly surprising if he explodes out of the starting gate with a 3-0 start.
If nothing else, it would put pressure on everyone else to beat the Dutch players on their turns.
|Jan-15-10|| ||bharatiy: In predicting outcome I will follow a scientic way, rely on Fischl and say that it will be surprising to see any one else other than Anand, kramnik and Carlsen winning this one. I would put carlsen little ahead of other two because of Anand Topalov match and Kramnik's historical tournament approach ( though lately he seems to have changed it) http://members.aon.at/sfischl/wijk1...|
|Jan-15-10|| ||keypusher: <achieve: PS - I meant that a formulation like <sequences that can't continue much longer> is an irrelevant way of reasoning, and an equally useless way of predicting future outcomes.>|
Ouch! I think Percy just means (not that he needs an interpreter) that given Leko's strength, he is sure to win a game sooner or later, and given the strength of everyone Carlsen is playing, he is sure to lose a game sooner or later.
If I had flipped a fair coin tails five times in a row, and I said <given all these tails, I am sure to flip heads pretty soon>, you could criticize my logic. Nonetheless, you would be foolish to bet I would flip tails five more times in a row.
|Jan-15-10|| ||acirce: <Ouch! I think Percy just means (not that he needs an interpreter) that given Leko's strength, he is sure to win a game sooner or later, and given the strength of everyone Carlsen is playing, he is sure to lose a game sooner or later.>|
Maybe, but he has used exactly the flawed reasoning you describe several times in the past. Probably <achieve> had that in mind.
|Jan-15-10|| ||VishyFan: Howell-Negi should be exciting in the 'B' group......|
|Jan-15-10|| ||redwhitechess: <Ezzy>nice comments. I hope the draw result is least than 60% and not more. meanwhile my eyes also at Group B and C, these young players usually more keen to play entertaining game for the sake of live audience. how is the live broadcast scenario here?|
|Jan-15-10|| ||messachess: So, just to cut to the chase: how do you all think Carlsen would do right now in a 12 game match with, respectively, Anand, Kramnik, Aronian, Topalov?|
|Jan-15-10|| ||benjinathan: <how is the live broadcast scenario here?>|
Become a premium memeber faST!
|Jan-15-10|| ||researchj: Expect Carlsen to have a good start: Tiviakov, Smeets, Van Wely. And also a good conclusion: Dominguez, Leko, Caruana.|
|Jan-15-10|| ||percyblakeney: <In 2007, Kramnik finished only half a point behind the winners (Topalov, Radjabov, and Aronian)>|
Yes, but for a player like Kramnik such a result shouldn't have to be his by far best in Wijk for many years. For some reason he tends to play much worse here than in Dortmund and Linares though.
Aronian and Radjabov will be missed this year. They shared first in 2007, then Radjabov has been 0.5 from first two years in a row while Aronian shared first again in 2008 and came 0.5 from making it three in a row last year.
|Jan-15-10|| ||BitladenversionII: i am back to make more destruction to iraq hahaha hahaha|
|Jan-15-10|| ||ex0duz: How come Topalov isn't playing at Corus? Anand is, so what, he didn't get invited or didn't accept the invitation?|
Surprised to see Short playing in group A. I thought that he was done with super GM lvl chess? He made some comment like they couldn't pay him enough last time to take on SUper GM's.. It seem's like his career is back on the rise these days? Lastly, what's been happening with Adams? Short has overtaken him as Englands top rated player now? Is Adams getting sick of chess or just getting too old or something? He can't just simply be out of form, it's been ages since i've seen him at a Super GM tournament, and even longer since i've seen him do well.
Also, everyone will surely be watching Nakamura and seeing how he does in what seems to be his first BIG(yeah, london wasn't that big) Super GM tourney.
|Jan-15-10|| ||waustad: I didn't see the pairings on the official site, though I've seen them mentioned a few places. Is there a convenient link?|
< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 11 OF 131 ·