< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 4446 OF 4911 ·
|Apr-16-12|| ||HeMateMe: when she found out he wasn't going to have a career, she dumped him and the guy killed himself. A hard ending, good movie.|
|Apr-16-12|| ||technical draw: <Paraconti> Thanks for that link. Here's another one of miss sad eyes Gail Russell:|
|Apr-16-12|| ||cormier: <In 2050,> according to Goldman Sachs, <<<<<<<<the United States will be the only Western power to make it into the top five. China will be number one, followed - at a significant distance -- by the United States, India, Brazil, and Russia.
Key aspects of this reordering are poised to occur sooner rather than later. China's wealth is expected to surpass that of the United States by the second half of the next decade. The World Bank foresees the dollar, euro, and China's renminbi as co-equals in a "multi-currency" monetary system by 2025. Goldman Sachs predicts that the collective GDP of the top four developing countries -- Brazil, China, India, and Russia - will match that of today's leading industrialized nations by 2032. The United States will no doubt find its way out of the ongoing slump. But it will bounce back into a global economy in the midst of a dramatic change in the pecking order.>|
If China is poised to sit atop the global economy, why not expect a Chinese century? The appeal of China's brand of state capitalism - its competence and performance - is offset by its lack of democratic legitimacy. China's success also depends on assets that many other countries lack - a communitarian ethic with deep roots in Confucian culture, a meritocratic leadership and bureaucracy, a vast labor pool, and a top-notch industrial and transportation infrastructure. Moreover, although Beijing will surely seek to extend its sway in its own neighborhood, China's ethnocentrism suggests that its hegemonic aspirations may well be only regional, not global, in scope.>
Like China, India has an expansive labor pool at its disposal. And its embrace of democracy gives India an international appeal that China lacks. But India's democratic institutions are also a liability. Lethargic bureaucracies, social stratification, biting inequality, and striking linguistic and ethnic diversity make the Indian government weak and ineffective; New Delhi enjoys none of Beijing's purposeful efficiency. Indeed, India's private sector has thrived in spite of, not because of, its democratic institutions. The lack of good governance will ensure that India's rise is slow and bumpy.>
India also resides in a dangerous neighborhood that will hem in its geopolitical ascent. Rivalry and territorial disputes with China, overt hostility from Pakistan, and proximity to Afghanistan and Iran will constrain New Delhi's statecraft and prevent India from straying too far from home.>
Brazil is in important respects best set to emerge as a global trendsetter. It is a stable democracy, blessed with ample, land, labor, and natural resources. At least for now, Brasilia has found a developmental path that combines economic openness with redistribution programs aimed at alleviating inequality. And Brazil faces no geopolitical rivals and resides in a region that has been remarkably free of inter-state war.>
But Brazil is not headed for the top ranks; its economy is expected to be five times smaller than that of China in 2050. And Brazil's benign location in South America cuts both ways. Its relative isolation will enable Brasilia to remain aloof from the fray set to ensue in Eurasia and the western Pacific as China, India, Russia, and Indonesia ascend. But its distance will also limit its influence in this geopolitical heartland. Brazil is destined for regional hegemony, not global ambition.>
Each of the world's main emerging powers is following its unique developmental path and pursuing its own interests, at least for now making the BRICS grouping little more than a talk-shop. Its summits regularly produce calls for a more equitable and representative global order. But BRICS members have yet to articulate, either individually or collectively, what that order might look like. And if and when these nations do fashion their own visions of a new global architecture, they would likely prove disparate and incompatible, denying "the rising rest" a consensus capable of coordinating their statecraft.>
At least during this decade and the next, the United States will have more say than the BRICS in managing the coming redistribution in global power. But instead of fighting against the inevitable tide of change and seeking to extend the era of U.S. hegemony, Washington would be much wiser to help guide no one's world toward new forms of collective governance and cooperation. Widening the circle and peacefully arriving at the next world by design is far preferable to a competitive anarchy arrived at by default as multiple centers of power and the differing conceptions of order they represent vie for primacy.>
|Apr-16-12|| ||HeMateMe: I thought it was Liz Taylor.|
|Apr-16-12|| ||Wayne Proudlove: Speaking of good cinema,
what about the allstar Latin casting lineup of animal voices for "Beverly Hills Chihuahua"?
George Lopez, Andy Garcia, Cheech Marin, Paul Rodriquez, Edward James Olmos, Luis Guzman?
|Apr-16-12|| ||Wayne Proudlove: The Byrds, "Don't Doubt Yourself, Babe":
|Apr-16-12|| ||HeMateMe: Granny takedown, in Oklahoma City:
|Apr-16-12|| ||goldenbear: "They're not the best at what they do, they're the only ones that do what they do." - Bill Graham, referring to the Grateful Dead|
In my opinion, the Dead were the "most American" of all forms of music, including jazz, bluegrass, et. al. To me, they were unique in this way.
|Apr-16-12|| ||Deus Ex Alekhina: I see the long awaited Three Stooges movie has been released. The original film shorts were released in the 1930's and must be analyzed against the backdrop of the depression, the re-armament of Germany, rise of totalitarian states, etc. Moe represented Big Business, Larry represented the struggling US govt, and Curly represented the oppressed proletariat. When Curly cried out "Moe, Larry, the cheese!", it was a plaintive cry for higher living wages. And the numerous pie fights were a symbol of rampant war hysteria. No wonder that women don't get the Stooges!|
|Apr-16-12|| ||Wayne Proudlove: I just assumed they were gettin' some 'cause they were in the movies.|
|Apr-16-12|| ||Albertan: Nigel Short storms into sole lead in Bangkok:
|Apr-16-12|| ||waustad: Thanx Albertan. I knew there was a tournament there but hadn't followed it so far. The link has some good pics.|
|Apr-16-12|| ||waustad: <td>It's funny but the person I know from IMDB is another Russell: |
She's the daughter of some old friends.
|Apr-16-12|| ||Wayne Proudlove: Too many of my facebook friends are putting up inspirational stuff on their page, I'm inspirationed out!|
|Apr-16-12|| ||HeMateMe: Has Yifan played Nigel yet, in this Open? I presume they have to meet at some point, as they are both unbeaten, and the tournament is 9 rounds. After 6 rounds Yifan has given up two draws; Short has given up one draw. They are 1-2 on the leader board.|
|Apr-17-12|| ||WriterNora: Dear chess fans,
I am Nora, a Dutch writer and I want to ask you for your help. I am writing a book and in need of an exciting chess game. Ideally the game would be extremely close with as little moves as possible. No draw's, because my lead character needs to win ;-) I hope your expertise can help me and I am looking forward to any tips!
|Apr-17-12|| ||OhioChessFan: <Nora> I think there's a problem in your request. A short game of chess necessarily suggests a rout. I think you're going to have to accept that whatever game you use, it won't be "close". There will of necessity be a colossal blunder by one side. Blunders do happen at the highest levels, and I suspect someone can come up with a game under 20 moves played by players at World Champion contender level. |
There is a well known short story on such a premise. The story was called "Last Round", written by Kester Svendsen and used this game as its basis:
Charousek vs J Wollner, 1893
|Apr-17-12|| ||OhioChessFan: <Nora> here's a 22 move decisive game played by 2 outstanding players. It's a fairly poor effort by White, but not ridiculously so.|
Euwe vs Reti, 1920
|Apr-17-12|| ||Wayne Proudlove: Watched "Lock Up" with Stallone as decent man Frank Leone in a hellish prison with Donald Sutherland as the vengeful warden.|
|Apr-17-12|| ||WriterNora: <OhioChessFan> Thanks and yeah, I figured as much. I was thinking about it some more and I need to work my way around the middle piece anyway, so could you also advise me an amazing close call game, no matter the length of the game?
Thanks. Very much appreciated!!|
|Apr-17-12|| ||HeMateMe: Yifan v. Short at the open in Bangkok, today.|
|Apr-17-12|| ||wordfunph: <HMM> Short-Hou 1-0|
|Apr-17-12|| ||goldenbear: "People who talk about three-dimensional chess obviously know nothing about the present form." Why is that? Anyone want to enlighten me as to the context of today's quote? I'm missing the point.|
|Apr-17-12|| ||Jim Bartle: My guess is that Ballard is saying the chess (two dimensions) is far more complex than the people talking about three-dimensional chess can comprehend.|
|Apr-17-12|| ||kellmano: A most enjoyable way to spend 20 minutes. How many top 100 players can you name?|
I got 46
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