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K Rogoff 
Photograph courtesy of Wikimedia Commons.  
Kenneth Rogoff
Number of games in database: 113
Years covered: 1968 to 2012
Last FIDE rating: 2505
Overall record: +32 -27 =53 (52.2%)*
   * Overall winning percentage = (wins+draws/2) / total games
      Based on games in the database; may be incomplete.
      1 exhibition game, odds game, etc. is excluded from this statistic.

MOST PLAYED OPENINGS
With the White pieces:
 English (9) 
    A15 A13 A18 A16 A19
 Sicilian (7) 
    B21 B30 B38 B85 B83
 Ruy Lopez (6) 
    C88 C68 C97 C65 C95
 English, 1 c4 e5 (5) 
    A29 A20 A22
 King's Indian (5) 
    E62 E74 E63 E60
 English, 1 c4 c5 (4) 
    A30 A34 A36
With the Black pieces:
 Sicilian (10) 
    B93 B52 B30 B50 B81
 Caro-Kann (8) 
    B17 B10 B12
 English, 1 c4 c5 (8) 
    A34 A30 A33
 Sicilian Najdorf (4) 
    B93
Repertoire Explorer

NOTABLE GAMES: [what is this?]
   K Rogoff vs R Blumenfeld, 1976 1-0
   Huebner vs K Rogoff, 1976 1/2-1/2
   K Rogoff vs Timman, 1971 1-0
   Huebner vs K Rogoff, 1972 1/2-1/2
   K Rogoff vs Bisguier, 1974 1/2-1/2

GAME COLLECTIONS: [what is this?]
   US Championship 1974 by Phony Benoni

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FIDE player card for Kenneth Rogoff


KENNETH ROGOFF
(born Mar-22-1953) United States of America

[what is this?]
Kenneth Saul Rogoff learned chess from his father at age 6, but took up the game in earnest when he got a chess set for his 13th birthday. He was soon recognised as a chess prodigy. By age 14, he was a USCF master and New York State Open Champion, and shortly thereafter became a senior master, the highest US national title. At sixteen Rogoff dropped out of high school to concentrate on chess, and spent the next several years living primarily in Europe and playing in tournaments there. However, at eighteen he made the decision to go to college and pursue a career in economics rather than to become a professional player, although he continued to play and improve for several years afterward.

Rogoff was awarded the IM title in 1974, and the GM title in 1978. He was 3rd in the World Junior Championship of 1971 and finished 2nd in the US Championship of 1975, which doubled as a Zonal competition, a half point behind Walter Shawn Browne; this result qualified him for the 1976 Interzonal at Biel where he finished 13-15th. In other tournaments he was 1st= at Norristown 1973 and 1st= at Orense in 1976.

Early in his economics career, Rogoff served as chief economist at the International Monetary Fund and also at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. He is currently the Thomas D. Cabot Professor of Public Policy and Professor of Economics at Harvard University.

Rogoff's biography in his own words: http://www.economics.harvard.edu/fa...; Rogoff's game against Magnus Carlsen in August 2012 in New York: http://chessbase.com/newsdetail.asp...; Article by Rogoff in Chessbase titled <Rogoff on innovation, unemployment, inequality and dislocation> with particular reference to professional chess: http://chessbase.com/newsdetail.asp...

Wikipedia article: Kenneth Rogoff


 page 1 of 5; games 1-25 of 113  PGN Download
Game  ResultMoves Year Event/LocaleOpening
1. Larsen vs K Rogoff ½-½35 1968 Canadian OpenA02 Bird's Opening
2. K Rogoff vs S Spencer 1-020 1969 US Jnr ChpB15 Caro-Kann
3. K Rogoff vs A H Williams ½-½106 1969 World Junior Championship, B FinalA56 Benoni Defense
4. E M Green vs K Rogoff ½-½37 1969 World Junior ChB12 Caro-Kann Defense
5. J Durao vs K Rogoff 0-130 1970 MalagaB93 Sicilian, Najdorf, 6.f4
6. H Pfleger vs K Rogoff  1-059 1970 WchT U26 17thA58 Benko Gambit
7. K Rogoff vs Z Vranesic  0-148 1970 Ontario opB83 Sicilian
8. Karpov vs K Rogoff 1-026 1971 06, Mayaguez tt-studA22 English
9. K Rogoff vs L Day ½-½21 1971 World Student OlympiadA15 English
10. Ulf Andersson vs K Rogoff 1-036 1971 OlotB93 Sicilian, Najdorf, 6.f4
11. Ljubojevic vs K Rogoff 1-029 1971 MalagaB50 Sicilian
12. E Paoli vs K Rogoff 1-026 1971 Liberation tournB06 Robatsch
13. V Tukmakov vs K Rogoff  1-042 1971 Liberation tournD93 Grunfeld, with Bf4 & e3
14. K Rogoff vs Timman 1-048 1971 Malaga 11/138B08 Pirc, Classical
15. J Durao vs K Rogoff  0-165 1971 MalagaB93 Sicilian, Najdorf, 6.f4
16. K Rogoff vs V Tukmakov 1-041 1972 WchT U26 19th fin-AB21 Sicilian, 2.f4 and 2.d4
17. K Rogoff vs Adorjan 1-030 1972 Graz Stu ttB30 Sicilian
18. Huebner vs K Rogoff ½-½12 1972 WchT U26 19th fin-AA15 English
19. L Day vs K Rogoff  ½-½23 1973 CAN-opA07 King's Indian Attack
20. E Paoli vs K Rogoff 0-139 1973 NorristownB06 Robatsch
21. Pilnik vs K Rogoff  0-156 1973 NorristownB81 Sicilian, Scheveningen, Keres Attack
22. K Rogoff vs Suttles 0-147 1973 Ottawa op-CANB06 Robatsch
23. K Rogoff vs Bisguier  ½-½77 1974 US ChampionshipE08 Catalan, Closed
24. K Rogoff vs Zuckerman  1-044 1974 US ChampionshipA15 English
25. N Weinstein vs K Rogoff  ½-½11 1974 US ChampionshipC42 Petrov Defense
 page 1 of 5; games 1-25 of 113  PGN Download
  REFINE SEARCH:   White wins (1-0) | Black wins (0-1) | Draws (1/2-1/2) | Rogoff wins | Rogoff loses  
 

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 3126 OF 4470 ·  Later Kibitzing>
May-05-12  quantum.conscious: <PinnedPiece: <q.c.> Thanks!

.... the website of my cousin, a researcher in the phenomena of mind and hormones, and much beyond.

I make no claims for his research results.

...>

in this context :

<"Most people still don't get the idea that spirituality is not religious dogma. Spirituality is expanding awareness">

i imagine your cousin would agree with
this quote.

May-05-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  al wazir: Baseball? Bat? That quiz proves nothing. No single question could. And the right term for people who answer $10 isn't "intuitive," it's "innumerate." (For those who say "10 cents" the right term is "careless.")
May-05-12  quantum.conscious: < al wazir: Baseball? Bat? That quiz proves nothing. ... And the right term for people who answer $10 isn't "intuitive," ... >

i think so , too

May-05-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  johnlspouge: < <frogbert> wrote: [snip] thinking is divided between two systems, "system 1" and "system 2" [snip] >

"The Mind of the Mnemonist" by the psychiatrist A.R. Luria [ http://www.amazon.com/The-Mind-Mnem... ] describes a patient S. with the inability to forget. Luria gave S. lists to memorize, e.g., and S. would unhesitatingly recite them 20 years later. S. also was unable to abstract, so the concept of "nothing" was a mystery to him.

The book describes a problem about mushroom collecting, similar to the bat and ball, and solvable by simultaneous equations, but which S. solved concretely by visualizing piles of mushrooms. Given my adolescent predilection for rapid calculation, the book taught me that visualization was even more rapid for this type of problem.

In the terminology of <frogbert>'s post, with the problem of the bat and ball, I momentarily went for "system 1" type reasoning, but mistrusted it. Instead of going to "system 2", however, I went to "system 1.5", learned from S.: I visualized $5, then $100, and then the remaining $5, to get the correct answer.

Humans use many different algorithms, depending on their abilities. We are all truly amazing, each in our own way. Here is one of the more interesting examples I know.

Given any date, I can calculate the day of the week by casting out 7s implicitly from the number of days between the date and Jan 1, 1900. (Once, a computer programmer asked me what my "base date" was!) I have known two piano-bar pianists, each with a brilliant musical ear, and each with a superlative memory. One of them (who had significant mathematical abilities as well) learned the calculation from me, but the other was able to perform the calculation before I met him. When I asked the second how he did it, he said that he remembered a day of the week about every two weeks throughout his life, so he just took the nearest date that he knew and counted from it.

When I asked whether he could calculate for dates outside his lifetime, he said "no"!

May-05-12  Jim Bartle: One of my favorite puzzles is this seemingly simple one:

Three playing cards are placed face down in front of you, one red and two black suited. You're asked to guess which one is the red one.

You're told that one of the other cards is not the red one, and you can change your pick or stick with your original choice.

Should you change or not?

The answer is yes, defintely.

May-05-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  FSR: <OhioChessFan: ... When did the 10 dollars become 10 cents? What an ironic mistake to make in the midst of insulting other people's intelligence.>

Kahneman in his book (p. 44) used $1.10 as the cost of the bat and ball, so his numbers are a hundredth those of Gervais and Norenzayan, who used $110. As for mistakes, I don't bother pointing out your laughable attempts at spelling. I can start if you like.

<I'm sorry I don't measure up to your staggering intellectual heights. I mean, you can post links with the best of them.>

As opposed to you, who just makes stuff up or bases it on his looking-in-the-mirror conversations with God.

<Would you be up for a challenge as to our respective intelligence levels?>

Sure. What did you have in mind? I have been a member of Mensa; I qualified very easily. But I admit that your knowledge of the Bible dwarfs mine. I like to read lots of books, but you seem to think that only the one is necessary.

May-05-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  johnlspouge: < <Jim Bartle> wrote : One of my favorite puzzles is this seemingly simple one [snip] >

Sigh. Mistrust a problem when it seems too simple :)

[ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_... ]

May-05-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  heuristic: <explaining the success of both religion and the GOP>

in his book, Kahneman is dealing with how decisions with risk are evaluated.

frogbert provides a concise summary. in addition, system 2 processing is influenced by system 1. duality is a tightly-coupled relationship!

It is my impression that Dr Kahneman would be disappointed to see his research used to denigrate groups of people. from my reading, political/religious affiliation is outside the domain of his thesis. i will reread to confirm.

May-05-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <heur: It is my impression that Dr Kahneman would be disappointed to see his research used to denigrate groups of people. from my reading, political/religious affiliation is outside the domain of his thesis. i will reread to confirm.>

Okay, I was trending in a bad direction so I will just quiet down.

May-05-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  kb2ct:

The bat and ball math/word problem is commonly used to sell courses on how to improve SAT scores and prove instincts are often wrong.

:0)

May-05-12  frogbert: <That quiz proves nothing. No single question could. And the right term for people who answer $10 isn't "intuitive," it's "innumerate.">

al wazir, i think you're jumping to conclusions here, baffled by how much can be gleaned from the answers to very simple questions. :o)

in fact, <shane frederick> invented a "test" consisting of this baseball & bat question + 2 more questions equally simple, which all 3 taken together can be answered in about 1 minute. he shows that the information that can be drawn from this "cognitive reflection test (crt)" is as good as that from much more time-consuming and "costly" tests in some areas. also, there's a significant correlation to for instance sat tests.

you might be surprised, al wazir!

<This paper introduces a three-item "Cognitive Reflection Test" (CRT) as a simple measure of one type of cognitive ability—the ability or disposition to reflect on a question and resist reporting the first response that comes to mind.>

see http://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?... for the article, published in Journal of Economic Perspectives in 2005. kahneman lists this article in his notes to 'thinking, fast and slow'.

ps! the article also details the responses from several respondent groups.

May-05-12  frogbert: <from my reading, political/religious affiliation is outside the domain of his thesis.>

true, it was a newer study to claimed to establish that correlation. and kahneman hasn't written any thesis where this specific question/test is mentioned either. however, he referred to the results of shane frederick in his recent book (frederick and kahnemann have also co-authored articles). as you'll see, frederick doesn't mention the topic of religion/beliefs in his article either.

May-05-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  al wazir: <frogbert: <shane frederick> invented a "test" consisting of this baseball & bat question + 2 more questions equally simple, which all 3 taken together can be answered in about 1 minute. he shows that the information that can be drawn from this "cognitive reflection test (crt)" is as good as that from much more time-consuming and "costly" tests in some areas.> How good are they? (But I'll grant that three questions make a better test than one question.)

<also, there's a significant correlation to for instance sat tests.> And hundreds are better still. But what do SATs really measure?

<For decades many critics have accused designers of the verbal SAT of cultural bias toward the white and wealthy. A famous example of this bias in the SAT I was the oarsman–regatta analogy question. The object of the question was to find the pair of terms that have the relationship most similar to the relationship between "runner" and "marathon". The correct answer was "oarsman" and "regatta". The choice of the correct answer presupposed students' familiarity with crew, a sport popular with the wealthy, and so upon their knowledge of its structure and terminology. Fifty-three percent (53%) of white students correctly answered the question, while only 22% of black students also scored correctly. [...] Recent research has linked high family incomes to higher mean scores. Test score data from California has shown that test-takers with family incomes of less than $20,000 a year had a mean score of 1310 while test-takers with family incomes of over $200,000 had a mean score of 1715, a difference of 405 points.> (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SAT#Cr...)

I wonder how SAT scores correlate with career success as measured, e.g., by peak and total income when the data are controlled for the usual racial, cultural, etc., biases, or by some other objective standard. Is there any research on that?

May-05-12  cormier: nite nite ...
May-06-12  frogbert: <How good are they?>

al wazir, read the article and judge for yourself. :o)

May-06-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  al wazir: <frogbert: read the article and judge for yourself.> I got as far as the CRT and quit. This is nonsense. Just as IQ tests measure how well people do on IQ tests, the CRT measures how well people do on simple math puzzles. I can answer those questions -- correctly! -- in seconds, because I have seen hundreds of problems like them. In fact, I have seen these very same problems previously in other guises, and I recognize them the same way I would recognize the national anthem if I heard it performed on solo guitar or a pipe organ.

*Anyone* can learn how to solve problems like these, just as anyone can learn a language (if you can read this you must have learned at least one sometime in your life) or how to drive or cook. Anyone. All that's needed is taking it a little bit at a time ("little steps for little people," as one of my professors in grad school used to say), and practice. Proper instruction helps but is not indispensable.

Now it is undeniably true that some people are lousy at solving math problems, just as some people are lousy cooks or lousy drivers. But this says nothing about their personalities or the way their brains are built. It is a commentary on the deficiencies of their education.

May-06-12  quantum.conscious: <al wazir: I can answer those questions -- correctly! -- in seconds, because I have seen hundreds of problems like them. In fact, I have seen these very same problems previously in other guises, and I recognize them the same way I would recognize the national anthem if I heard it performed on solo guitar or a pipe organ. *Anyone* can learn how to solve problems like these, just as anyone can learn a language (if you can read this you must have learned at least one sometime in your life) or how to drive or cook. Anyone. >

exactly. i have taught such problems to kids as young as 12 years and 10 years old and made them proficient in solving such problems.

now, those 12 year olds have not got something which make them examine the issue of existence of 'god' or 'universal intelligence', 'universal consciousness' intelligently or 'intuitively' .

may be this a necessary but not sufficient skill ? that is , if someone can not solve such simple problems , then can it be concluded s/he is incapable of examining deeper issues of existence?

not really. these days many people like to understand both spirituality and science which is good. however, it is not necessary to know science/maths to examine the questions/issues of existence/'sirituality' . also, learning science and maths properly (from properly i mean solving the kind of questions asked in olympiad etc.) helps develop reasoning but converse is not neccesarily true. if someone is not good in maths, physics etc , one may still have great logical intelligence and reasoning.

also, someone may have very good logical intelligence but poor intuitive intelligence.

for example, i find <al wazir> having high logical intelligence but i am sceptical about his intuitive intelligence (intuitive intelligence in general not in some specific area). <al-wazir> knows that science can not prove (or at least has not proved yet) that there is no 'god' or there is no 'universal consciousness'. yet, he holds that belief. so where does that belief of his come from? is it intuition? certainly not. it is dogma, imo.

May-06-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <it is dogma, imo.>

"Dogma is the established belief or doctrine held by a religion, or a particular group or organization. It is authoritative and not to be disputed, doubted, or diverged from, by the practitioners or believers.": http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dogma

Believing in something which cannot be proved to exist is faith.

Not believing in something which cannot be proved to exist is not dogma, it's a choice, a logical choice.

Science does not require its practitioners to <believe> anything, only to <practise> evidence-based scientific methodology that could falsify a hypothesis or theory.

Science allows its practitioners to believe anything they like, which they can and do.

While the evidence of absence is not necessarily the absence of evidence, there is no burden of proof on anyone to logically argue that something for which there is no evidence doesn't exist.

May-06-12  frogbert: al wazir, the point is that nearly everyone *is* already capable of solving these "puzzles"; they aren't really puzzles at all - they are <very easy> math problems with the added twist that they have an "intuitive" and *incorrect* answer.

the assumption of the researchers is that nearly everyone would indeed be able to answer correctly *if* they would engage their system 2. hence, the real test is, who do engage their system 2?

of course, reasonably clever people will be able to become "experts" on this type of questions with only a little training, possibly allowing them to answer correctly in an instant, maybe even without using system 2. however, i find that rather irrelevant both for the theoretical impact and the practical implication of crt-like tests: the specific crt questions are only examples - numerous others can be created using the same basic "trap", i.e. hiding an intuitive and incorrect answer in there. i assume that the number of people that would a) be aware of and b) bother to prepare for crt-type tests is negligible compared to those who wouldn't.

hence, i still think you're a bit quick to categorically reject this research.

May-06-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <twinlark: Believing in something which cannot be proved to exist is faith.>

Hebrews 11:1 Now faith is being sure of what we hope for and certain of what we do not see.

May-06-12  Colonel Mortimer: <FSR> <I like to read lots of books, but you seem to think that only the one is necessary.>

As evidenced above.

May-06-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  johnlspouge: < <frogbert> wrote: [snip] of course, reasonably clever people will be able to become "experts" on this type of questions with only a little training, possibly allowing them to answer correctly in an instant, maybe even without using system 2. [snip] >

You got my point, which was not well expressed, that problems are usually susceptible to many, often radically different, solutions.

< however, i find that rather irrelevant both for the theoretical impact >

I agree.

< and the practical implication of crt-like tests: the specific crt questions are only examples - numerous others can be created using the same basic "trap", i.e. hiding an intuitive and incorrect answer in there. >

The point in the economic context is incredibly important, because I have seen examples where you can phrase the same economic payoff in two different ways, and people (using system 1) prefer one over the other, sometimes with a very strong emotional response.

< hence, i still think you're a bit quick to categorically reject this research. >

I agree. It's interesting to see how the other half lives and to turn on system 1 occasionally, <al> ;>)

May-06-12  quantum.conscious: <tl :Not believing in something which cannot be proved to exist is not dogma, it's a choice, a logical choice. >

a logical choice?

ok. may be.

however, let's put the semantics aside (whether it is dogma or not) and examine this : <fsr> and <al wazir> are atheists. that is their belief. nothing wrong with that choice. however, what is that choice based on? you suggest that this choice could be logical. what is that logic?

<colonel mortimer> says he is agnostic and i can understand the logic of that choice.

but atheism? what is the logic/source of this belief/choice?

i would like to understand that.

thanks.

May-06-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  patzer2: <johnlspouge> <Jim Bartle wrote : One of my favorite puzzles is this seemingly simple one [snip] > <Sigh. Mistrust a problem when it seems too simple :)>

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_...>

Thanks for the discussion of the monty hall problem. I was surprised to find that when the problem was discussed by Marilyn vos Savant (who rose to fame due to her listing in the Guinness Book of World Records under "Highest IQ")in parade magazine that as many as 1,000 individuals with PhDs wrote in to say they disagreed that the odds of winning increased from 1 in 3 to 2 in 3 by switching (i.e. after the host revealed one of the wrong choices). Intuitively, most people initially think the choice of winning is still 1 in 2, after a losing choice is revealed. However, this is another case where math beats out intuition.

While the wikipedia article does a good job of revealing the math and some explanations as to why switching improves the odds of winning, some might still want to see it put to the test.

A short video with Alan Davies and Oxford Mathematics Professor Marcus Du Sautoy does just that by testing out the Monty Hall problem at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o_dj... with an easily understood experiement.

In the experiment, involving each contestant playing 20 of the monty hall games, the math professor uses exclusively the switching strategy while Davies always sticks to his original choice. The math professor decisively wins and in the process convinces Davies (and I suspect almost everyone watching this video) that switching is the mathematically correct winning strategy.

May-06-12  quantum.conscious: nice video on monty hall problem, <patzar2> . thanks.
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