< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 131 OF 172 ·
|Aug-13-12|| ||Marmot PFL: < Besides, why not wait until the day after elections?>|
You could, and it might be wise. Here is a case where you can't wait-
Let's say you are a farmer, concerned about the effects of climate change on your crops. Based on 20 years of weather records and current market prices, you expect to make $8 million growing wheat, and $3 million growing rice in a normal year. In a wet year you might make $7 million on rice, but lose $2 million on wheat, while in a drought (2012 for example) you could make $2 million on wheat and lose $3 million on rice. The challenge for the farmer is to decide on his optimal strategy against the weather's "best strategy" to force him into bankruptcy.
|Aug-13-12|| ||talisman: Frank Sinatra, retiring on his last night...calls up the 1st baseman of the S.F. Giants, and says, "I hear this is your last night... well it's my last night too...(invited him to come to the show after the game etc...) And I'd like to dedicate the show to you because I've always have been a fan."... EASY one...who is the 1st baseman?|
|Aug-13-12|| ||Jim Bartle: Ah, you're watching the same game I am. Think the Jints can come back from 11-0 down? |
It's great to hear Jon Miller back with the Giants.
|Aug-13-12|| ||Jim Bartle: Correction: Can the Jints come back from 14-0 down?|
|Aug-15-12|| ||HeMateMe: Chairman of the Boards--must be Cal Ripken Jr.?|
|Aug-17-12|| ||talisman: <Jim> you're right!...btw what i think the giants need to do now is instead of blanco in OF put Scutaro there and Theriot and Crawford handle the middle.|
<HeMateMe> well i told ya it was easy. :)
|Aug-17-12|| ||Jim Bartle: Talisman, now the Giants have to deal with the 50-game suspension of Melky Cabrera for PEDs. Such an embarrassment, the first time a Giants player has been suspected of taking drugs.|
It's been several days: Sinatra congratulated Willie McCovey on his career.
|Aug-17-12|| ||Marmot PFL: A recent presidential poll shows Pres. Obama leading Mitt Romney by 20+% in Romney's home state (Massachusetts). Who was the last candidate to be elected without winning his home state? (electoral vote only, or it would be too easy).|
|Aug-17-12|| ||Jim Bartle: Wilson in 1916.|
|Aug-17-12|| ||keypusher: <Jim Bartle: Wilson in 1916.>|
What was Wilson's home state? Virginia or New Jersey?
|Aug-17-12|| ||Jim Bartle: According to the final authority (Wikipedia) he was from New Jersey. Right there in the little chart.|
I was going to suggest Bush I, and claim he's really from Massachusetts, but then I realized his New England home is in Maine.
|Aug-17-12|| ||keypusher: <Jim Bartle: According to the final authority (Wikipedia) he was from New Jersey. Right there in the little chart.>|
Makes sense, I guess, since no Democrat was going to lose Virginia in 1916. Looked Wilson up in Wikipedia. He got out of the South earlier than I remembered. It was surprising to me somehow to see that he was born before the Civil War.
|Aug-17-12|| ||micartouse: <Marmot PFL: How should you invest for the largest expected gain irrespective of the election results?>|
I agree with PinnedPiece - if you are literally looking for largest expected gain, invest it all in oil and you optimize. It is an expected $12,000 but there is some risk due to variance.
But I gather you are trying to stabilize your results by hedging your bets? If so, then you can invest $18,000 in oil and $12,000 in solar. Regardless of who wins, you expect to make $10,200. This is less money than above, but there is less variance risk.
So our optimal solution should be somewhere between the two based on our risk tolerance.
|Aug-18-12|| ||PinnedPiece: Any American baseball players here who have also tried their hand at cricket? If so, you know the answer to this puzzler, I would guess.|
It's not so much a puzzler as my own experience:
What is THE HARDEST thing for a baseball player to adjust to when playing cricket--besides trying to hit a bouncing ball when at bat?
Side story: A British friend of mine tells me of working in the oilfields of Iraq (back in the days before Gulf war-1) where Americans and Brits were working in decent numbers, side by side. Eventually, the Americans challenged the Brits to a playoff championship: One game of cricket, followed by one game of baseball. Playing each sport by ALL the rules, with umpires etc.
Well, they played the game of cricket. The Brits won, handily.
Then they played baseball. These young American refinery and oilfield workers were no couch potatoes. But guess who won the baseball game?
Baseball playing skills are really a subset of the skills needed to play cricket--who would have thought. Everything you do in baseball, save for the strategy of running bases, is covered by skills learned in cricket.
The same IS NOT TRUE in the reverse.
Where do Americans foul up the worst, when playing cricket?
(I admit this could be open to debate.)
|Aug-18-12|| ||optimal play: <PinnedPiece> My guess is running between the wickets. Either they run automatically whenever they hit the ball without waiting to see if itís cleared the fieldsman or they run off towards where first base would be instead of straight ahead?|
|Aug-18-12|| ||PinnedPiece: I guess not very many here have played both sports. In fact, its possible that not many here know much about both sports.|
Brits living in the U.S. should, though. Indians living in the U.S. should, as well as Americans living in the Asia-Pacific rim area. Or in England.
There have not been, as far as I know, but one or two professional-level cross-overs from one sport to the other, either direction. I do know that one of the Twenty-20 Cricket teams hired an American as a fielding coach...but otherwise zilch...
|Aug-18-12|| ||al wazir: Without using Google, etc., guess what year the first mention of baseball in print occurred. (Extra credit if you actually have read this earliest occurrence yourself.)|
|Aug-19-12|| ||al wazir: What, no takers yet? Everybody scared of answering wrong? Come on, the word I used was "guess." You can't make a fool of yourself by being wrong if its just a *guess*.|
Hint: It wasn't in a newspaper. It was in a *novel*.
|Aug-19-12|| ||Jim Bartle: Oh, I looked it up. Never would have guessed.|
|Aug-19-12|| ||uscfratingmybyear: Jim Bartle, Melky is not suspected-he was busted with double sample dirties for testosterone and this isn't the first-Barry Bonds won't make the Hall due to his PED swollen stats and the Giants have a pitcher serving a 100 game suspension right now. If it wasn't for Buster Posey I'd give them up.|
|Aug-19-12|| ||Jim Bartle: That was supposed to be a little joke, such as if a Giants pitcher were caught throwing spitters and I said no Giant had ever been suspected of throwing a wet one before.|
|Aug-19-12|| ||al wazir: <Jim Bartle: Never would have guessed.> You're telling me. The first time I saw it, reading the book in question, I went back to page 1 and started all over again.|
But you all know about Abner Doubleday and Cooperstown. What was the year? Let's have some guesses.
|Aug-19-12|| ||talisman: <al wazir> well it's going to be before the Civil War...|
|Aug-20-12|| ||Phony Benoni: Probably Thomas More's <Utopia>. It wouldn't be Utopia without baseball.|
|Aug-20-12|| ||al wazir: A number! I need a number!|
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