So, I didn't find you Lasker's quote, but here is the article from the 9 Feb 1910 <NY Tribune> following game 9, entitled <One more draw: Lasker likely to lose his title at chess>:

From a website I learned that there are several Formulas that are currently in use, and not knowing <any> of those I decided to follow the Chessmetrics "simple" method of adding 85 rating points if you improve 10% over a 50% score.

This means that if you score 6/10 = 60% against a field averaging 2400, your TPR will be 2485.

if you score a +6=3 in the Edmonton tournament, then this simple formula indicates that 7.5/9 equals 83%, which is 33% over 50%, resulting in a TPR of 33 * 8.5 = 283 points added to the average of the field (excluding yourself). This would mean that vs a 2400 field the TPR would be <2683>.

Is this sofar making sense?

Of course in Edmonton the field without Short was I think 2345, so a Short +6=3 certainly would not have been his expected result, as you indicated.

According to my calculus a 8.5/9 would have turned out a TPR of 2723 (versus 2345 opposition).

With regard to the specific calculation of Short's TPR – the results produced by that calculator when the TPR is calculated against the average rating of his opponents (2366) are 2583 for +5 (i.e., 7 "points"; the chessbase report gives 2584, the TWIC report 2586), 2646 for +6, and 2727 for +7. And since Short's current official rating is 2705 I rounded his "expected" score up rather than down. Btw, note that the differences become steeper the further you move from an equal score, as <Chuckles> mentioned on the Short page (for +8 you get 2858).

Not kidding here - it has been irritating me for quite some time - but unless you put in the work, it will stay that way.

I do not get yet that the curve steepens as the difference grows, because Chessmetrics calculations have brought it back to a linear increase/difference.

But this was as helpful as you could get, and thanks for that.

Actually because of your explanatory input i now have a reasonable estimation of the real nature of those "estimates."

The second Wimbledon semi is on now, and gee do we see Fed back, facing one of the young hungry wolves, potentially, in the Sunday final.

Enjoy your time, I'll be looking into this more, and have a great weekend,

Regards,

*Off Topic*

Announcement/Invitation

< Between the sea and the island lies the shore >

there is no faithful hound, nor honest son, both grown weary with the weight of waiting

there is no shepherd's hut with smokey walls, my old toy bow still safe in a chest in the corner

there is no mighty loom, sporting cloth so fine, awaiting the picker's knife, night after night, under the moonlight

there is no gaggle of pretty suitors, their bellies now soft, their Father's wallets getting shorter, beneath their fashionable cloaks

< Between the Island and the Sea lies The Shore >

there is no faithful hound, nor honest son, both growing weary with the weight of waiting

there is no Shepherd's Hut with smokey walls, my old toy bow still safe in a chest, in the corner

there is no mighty loom, sporting cloth so fine, awaiting the picker's knife, night after night, under the moonlight

there is no swag of pretty suitors, their bellies grown soft, their Father's wallets getting shorter, beneath their downtown cloaks

< dirtywork?...dirtywork??. This is Dirty Work. >

for "The Divine Miss Caitlin Smith"

women talk best and if there were none of them we would not be here but there is never any excuse for bad manners no excuse for wanton disregard no excuse for the friends you think you have 25 people in the room and half of them you know by name you call this a career just as well you have a day job I saw Kevin Field get off the Ferry last night before I made the the optimists mistake of coming to see you again so women talk best but men shake hands I have already shaken 30 hands already today I will shake 30 more before the year is gone probably won't be any where near enough to clean off the s$%t of last night but anyway I will never rid myself of that man's bad breath was it only garlic and do you think we are playing without Knights

for PKLoose

I don't know if you are back yet, but when you are, pleeeze get rid of that first one... As I said, I was a little het up, it is far too nasty, even for me, and I am afraid someone might see it!

"Hamadryads", is in many ways a tribute to Hubert Selby Jnr. I was 19 and living in Gent, Belgium. I struck up a friendship with a Gentleman by the name of Chris Thomas. He was Welsh and had also once been a bike rider. We worked together at the same Fabriek over the border in Zeeland, and spent our nights together in the little bars that he knew so well. When morning came, the Barman would just close the drapes. It's important to show respect to those of us who have to head off to work each morning.

Chris turned me on to Soul Music. He understood how important it was, both culturally and politically. He loved the Atlantic/Stax sound best and I scoured every record shop around, carried vinyl home in bundles, sat down, turned the lights off, and cranked it up. That music changed me utterly.

For The Divine Miss Caitlin Smith

With thanks to my dear Parents, Maisie Alexandra, and Peter Bryden McKinnell

there is no faithful hound, nor honest son, both growing weary with the weight of waiting

there is no Shepherd's Hut with smokey walls, my old toy bow still safe in a chest, in the corner

there is no mighty loom, sporting cloth so fine, awaiting the picker's knife, night after night, under the moonlight

there is no swag of pretty suitors, their bellies grown soft, their Father's wallets getting shorter, beneath their downtown cloaks

but there is an oar and I have buried it deep in the swamps of Pokeno, only the clay cuddles it now

Hamadryads

for PKLoose

We Lie We Walk With Orpheus
(for Robertson Davies)

That's why they pay you the big money. Well ok they don't give you any money but they should.

I watched this whole game and my "method" of watching is to spar against my Shredder from various positions in the game as they arise. Your comments are key- your ideas with the aid of your trusty engine assistant. written in the King's English. Very useful to a club player like me to have intelligible top level analysis.

Also I appreciate your penmanship. I imagine you first draft the comments with an Eagle Quill and ink, and then your valet transcribes them to type?