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Golden Executive
Member since Oct-13-09
Hi, I'm Alfredo Vargas, 55 years old. I graduated as a CPA in 1984 at Universidad La Salle in Mexico City https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unive...

In 2010 I was a very active member of the cg.com team in the game Chessgames Challenge: The World vs N Pogonina, 2010 .The legend of the <Spacebar Masters> started there (see description below).

In 2011 User: chessmoron invited me to participate in CG.com Masters - Machines Invitational (2011) tournament as Golden Executive / Houdini

Since July 2015 I am the Game Prediction Contest Manager, and this forum is currently the place to participate in. Thanks to User: YouRang

In January 2016, User: Annie K. and I shared the Caissar's Award for the 2015 Most Constructive Member. The Caissars chessforum (kibitz #1914)

-English is not my native tongue, I apologize in advance for misunderstandings, spelling and grammar mistakes in my posts.-

*************** THE GAME PREDICTION CONTEST ***************

Last Tournament: Tata Steel Masters 2018

== Medal Winners

• StdRnk: ♔=<wordfunph>, ♕=<cromat>, ♕=<lost in space>

• 123Rnk: ♔=<WannaBe>, ♕=<cromat>, ♖=<lost in space>

• BetRnk: ♔=<offramp>, ♕=<Penguincw>, ♖=<WannaBe>

------------

Next Tournament: Candidates 2018

------------

Predict the # of moves at OhioChessFan chessforum organized by <chessmoron> and/or predict the final standings of tournaments at lostemperor chessforum

<Brief History of the Game Prediction Contest>:

This contest was created and originally hosted by <cu8sfan>, but he discontinued hosting the contests due to time constraints at work. <YouRang> took it over, created the 1-2-3 Ranker, the Betting Ranker and developed the CONMAN software (short for Contest Manager) and hosted the contest for almost 10 years, but some personal changes have led him to stop running it.

<Since the rules and details of the contest were sharply defined by <YouRang>, I decided not to make any changes:>

<Objective>:

Have fun predicting the outcome of each game in each round, and seeing how well your predictions compare to those entered by other contestants. You win by having the best overall prediction performance.

As with the Olympics, the top 3 placeholders will be honored with 'medals' (gold, silver and bronze), and the gold medal winners will be inducted into the HALL OF FAME (see below).

There will be a few different ways to determine a winner, as discussed under "Scoring Methods", below.

<Rules>:

1. Enter your game predictions for a round BEFORE any games for that round begin. It is okay to enter predictions long in advance (e.g. you could predict all rounds at the start if you want).

2. Make sure that when you enter game predictions for a round, that you include ALL games in that round, within a single post. If you miss one game, all of your predictions for that round will be ignored.

3. You may change your predictions for a round by re-submitting ALL of your predictions for that round (you must re-submit predictions for all games in the round, even if you changed a prediction for only one game).

4. Keep in mind that I'm using software to process all of the prediction posts. If you enter a post that 'looks' like game predictions, it will be counted as game predictions. If your prediction post contains typos, they become subject to my interpretation of your intent. But if the intent strikes me as being ambiguous, then I must reject your predictions for that game, and thus for that whole round -- so please be careful.

5. A post containing predictions should have one line for each game prediction. The line should be of the form:

    [whiteplayer] - [blackplayer] [outcome]

Here are some examples:
    Anand - Topalov 1/2
    Leko - Kramnik 1-0
    Adams - Polgar 0-1

DON'T forget the hyphen between the player's names. (The software can usually figure out what you mean if you deviate a *little* from this form...)

6. Please do not enter predictions that mimic the robots (e.g. pick all draws in every round like DRAWER). I don't award medals to people who make such predictions since it would be unfair to the robots who don't earn medals. (BTW, it is okay to mimic the MONKEY robot.)

<Scoring Methods>

There are 3 different scoring methods, which means that there are actually 3 contests in one. Consequently, we could have as many as 3 different winners (or perhaps one triple-crown winner!)

1. Standard Ranker (created by <cu8sfan>)

The winner is simply the person who finishes with the most correct predictions.

2. 1-2-3 Ranker (created by <YouRang>)

This contest makes it is more rewarding to correctly predict the outcome of a decisive game than a drawn game. You earn 1 point for correctly predicting a draw, but 2 points for correctly predicting a white win, and 3 points for correctly predicting a black win. The winner is the person ending up with the most points.

3. Betting Ranker (created by <YouRang>)

This contest gives greater rewards to those who have a knack for predicting upsets (i.e. games that most other people thought would have a different outcome). Each game prediction is treated as a $1 wager. All of the money wagered on that game is divided up equally to those who correctly predicted its outcome. If you're the only one who got it right, you've hit the jackpot! The winner is the person ending up with the most $$$.

<Notes on Scoring Methods>

For the "Standard Ranker" and "1-2-3 Ranker" reports, you will notice that there are four "robot" contestants who serve as comparison benchmarks. These are as follows:

1. WHITER = Always predicts white to win.
2. BLACKER = Always predicts black to win.
3. DRAWER = Predicts every game to be drawn.
4. MONKEY = Simulates a monkey that just picks white, black or draw at random, with equal chances for each outcome.

<Miscellaneous comments>:

• I am not always online when the games for a round begin. It would be helpful to me if someone who IS online when the games begin to post a message in this forum simply stating that the games have begun. This lets me know the cut-off point for accepting new predictions for that round.

• TIP: It's easy to get busy and neglect to enter your predictions on time. If so, you'll miss a round, which greatly diminishes your chances of winning. Avoid this by entering a few rounds of predictions in advance. You can always revise them later if you like.

<<♗> GAME PREDICTION HALL OF FAME <♗>>

♔14 ♕4 ♖6 <lostemperor> Nor17:StdRnk(3t) / Nor16:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(2) / Lon15:BetRnk(1) / Gas15:123Rnk(2t) / Dor14:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t) / Nor14:BetRnk(1) / Nor13:StdRnk(3t)+123Rnk(3t) / Wij13:BetRnk(3) / Dor10:StdRnk(3t) / Lin10:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t) / Wij10:123Rnk(1t) / Mte09:123Rnk(2t) / Bie08:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1) / Lin07:123Rnk(2t)+StdRnk(3t) / Dor06:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(1)

♔13 ♕8 ♖10 <Legend> Sin17:BetRnk(2) / Bil16:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(3t) / Nor16:StdRnk(3t) / Sin15:StdRnk(2)+123Rnk(3t) / Wij15:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(3) / Tal13:StdRnk(3t) / Wij13:StdRnk(2t) / Bil12:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t) / Dor12:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t) / Wij12:StdRnk(3t) / Tal11:123Rnk(2t)+BetRnk(3) / Dor11:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1) / Wij11:StdRnk(1t) / Dor09:StdRnk(3t) / Dor08:StdRnk(2t) / Lin08:StdRnk(1) / WCC07:StdRnk(3t) / Dor07:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(2) / Wij07:123Rnk(1t)+StdRnk(2t) / Dor06:BetRnk(3)

♔12 ♕9 ♖14 <chessmoron> Lon17:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(3t) / Sin17:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t) / Sin16:StdRnk(2t)+123Rnk(2t) / Bil16:BetRnk(2)+StdRnk(3t)+123Rnk(3t) / Wij16:StdRnk(3t) / Lon15:123Rnk(3t) / Gas15:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1) / Nor14:123Rnk(1t)+StdRnk(2) / Wij14:StdRnk(1t) / Dor13:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t) / WCC13:StdRnk(3t) / Bil12:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t) / Bie12:StdRnk(3)+123Rnk(3) / Bil11:StdRnk(2)+123Rnk(3) / Baz11:StdRnk(3t) / Dor10:StdRnk(1t) / Wij10:StdRnk(2)+123Rnk(3t) / Tal09:StdRnk(3t)+123Rnk(3t) / Wij09:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t) / Lin08:BetRnk(3) / Wij08:StdRnk(2t)

♔11 ♕3 ♖7 <WinKing> Nor17:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(3) / Wij17:StdRnk(2) / Bil16:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(3t) / Gas16:StdRnk(1)+BetRnk(2)+123Rnk(3) / Nor16:StdRnk(3t) / WCC16:StdRnk(3t) / Lon15:StdRnk(2t)+123Rnk(3t) / Bil15:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(1) / Sin15:StdRnk(3t) / Gas15:StdRnk(1t) / Dor12:StdRnk(1t) / Tal11:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1)

♔10 ♕11 ♖7 <SwitchingQuylthulg> Lon17:BetRnk(2) / Nor17:StdRnk(3t) / Bil16:StdRnk(3t) / Gas16:123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(1)+StdRnk(2) / Nor16:BetRnk(1) / Wij16:BetRnk(1) / Gas15:BetRnk(1) / Wij15:StdRnk(2t)+BetRnk(2) / Dor14:BetRnk(2) / WCC13:BetRnk(2) / Bil12:BetRnk(1)+123Rnk(2t) / Wij12:BetRnk(3) / Tal11:123Rnk(2t)+StdRnk(3) / Dor11:BetRnk(1)+123Rnk(2t) / Baz11:StdRnk(3t) / Wij11:StdRnk(1t)+BetRnk(2) / Pea10:StdRnk(1t) / Dor10:BetRnk(3) / Mte09:BetRnk(2) / Bie08:BetRnk(3) / Bie07:BetRnk(1)

♔9 ♕6 ♖9 <wordfunph> Wij18:StdRnk(1) / Lon17:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t) / Sin17:BetRnk(3) / Nor17:123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(1)+StdRnk(2) / Gas17:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(3) / Lon16:BetRnk(3) / Bil16:StdRnk(3t)+123Rnk(3t) / Gas16:BetRnk(3) / Bil14:123Rnk(3t) / WCC14:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(2) / Tal13:StdRnk(2)+123Rnk(2t) / Nor13:BetRnk(2)+StdRnk(3t) / Wij12:StdRnk(3t) / Tal11:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t)

♔8 ♕10 ♖6 <Golden Executive> Sin17:StdRnk(3)+123Rnk(3t) / Dor17:StdRnk(2)+123Rnk(2)+BetRnk(3) / Gas17:StdRnk(2t) / Lon16:StdRnk(1t) / WCC16:StdRnk(2)+123Rnk(2) / Wij16:123Rnk(3t) / Bil15:123Rnk(2t)+BetRnk(2)+StdRnk(3t) / Sin15:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1) / Bil14:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(2) / Dor14:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(3) / WCC13:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2) / Tal11:123Rnk(2t)

♔8 ♕6 ♖16 <OhioChessFan> Gas17:StdRnk(2t)+123Rnk(2t) / Gas16:123Rnk(1t) / WCC16:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(3) / Wij16:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(3t) / Wij15:StdRnk(2t) / Bil14:StdRnk(1t)+BetRnk(3) / Dor14:StdRnk(3t) / Wij14:StdRnk(3t) / Tal13:123Rnk(2t)+StdRnk(3t) / Nor13:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1) / Bil11:StdRnk(3t) / Baz11:StdRnk(3t) / Wij11:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(3) / Wij10:123Rnk(3t) / Tal09:StdRnk(3t)+123Rnk(3t) / Mte09:123Rnk(2t)+StdRnk(3) / Lin09:BetRnk(3) / Dor08:123Rnk(3t) / Wij08:BetRnk(2) / Bie07:123Rnk(3)

♔8 ♕5 ♖2 <su3eichfeld> Dor13:BetRnk(2) / Wij13:BetRnk(2) / Bie12:BetRnk(3) / Dor11:StdRnk(3) / Lin10:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(2) / Tal09:123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(1) / Pea09:123Rnk(1t)+StdRnk(2t)+BetRnk(2) / Dor09:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(1)

♔8 ♕5 ♖ <NakoSonorense> Wij14:123Rnk(1t) / Dor13:123Rnk(2t) / Wij10:BetRnk(1) / Lin09:BetRnk(1) / Wij09:BetRnk(3) / Bie08:BetRnk(1) / Dor08:BetRnk(1) / Mte08:BetRnk(1)+123Rnk(2t) / Lin08:123Rnk(1)+StdRnk(2t)+BetRnk(2) / Wij08:BetRnk(1) / Bie07:123Rnk(2)

♔8 ♕ ♖2 <SloVice> WCC13:BetRnk(3) / Wij13:123Rnk(1)+StdRnk(2t) / Wij12:BetRnk(1) / Bil11:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(1) / Pea10:BetRnk(1) / Dor10:123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(1)+StdRnk(3t)

♔7 ♕3 ♖ <virginmind> Wij15:123Rnk(2) / Wij13:123Rnk(3) / Bil12:StdRnk(1t) / Baz11:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(2) / Wij11:123Rnk(2) / Mte09:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(1) / Mte07:BetRnk(1)

♔7 ♕ ♖2 <blade2012> WCC14:123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(1)+StdRnk(2) / Wij14:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t) / WCC13:StdRnk(3t)+123Rnk(3t) / Bie12:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(1)

♔7 <alfamikewhiskey> Sin17:123Rnk(1t) / Dor17:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(1) / Bil16:BetRnk(1) / WCC16:BetRnk(1) / Sin15:BetRnk(1)

♔6 ♕2 ♖7 <WannaBe> Wij18:123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(3) / Lon17:BetRnk(1) / Sin17:123Rnk(3t) / Wij17:BetRnk(1)+123Rnk(3) / Lon16:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(2) / Gas15:123Rnk(2t) / WCC14:BetRnk(3) / Wij14:BetRnk(3) / WCC13:StdRnk(3t)+123Rnk(3t) / Wij13:BetRnk(1)

♔5 ♕7 ♖7 <cromat> Wij18:StdRnk(2t)+123Rnk(2) / Lon17:123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(3) / Sin16:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(2t)+BetRnk(3) / Dor12:123Rnk(2t) / Dor10:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t) / Lin10:StdRnk(3t)+123Rnk(3t) / Dor09:123Rnk(1t)+StdRnk(3t) / Dor08:StdRnk(2t) / Dor07:StdRnk(3t)+123Rnk(3t) / Dor06:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t)

♔5 ♕ <messachess> Lin09:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(2) / Wij09:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1) / Wij08:123Rnk(1)

♔4 ♕3 ♖2 <zarg> Dor10:StdRnk(3t) / Wij10:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1t) / Tal09:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t) / Pea09:StdRnk(2t)+BetRnk(3) / Lin09:StdRnk(2)+123Rnk(2t)

♔4 ♕ ♖7 <Karposian> Nor16:StdRnk(3t) / WCC16:StdRnk(3t) / Wij16:StdRnk(3t) / Lon15:123Rnk(3t) / Bil15:StdRnk(3t) / Gas15:StdRnk(3t) / Bil14:StdRnk(1t)+BetRnk(1) / Nor14:StdRnk(1) / WCC14:StdRnk(3t) / Wij13:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(2)

♔4 ♕ ♖4 <Where is my mind> Pea09:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(1) / Dor09:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(3t)+BetRnk(3) / Mte09:123Rnk(2t) / Lin09:StdRnk(3t) / Bie08:StdRnk(3t)

♔4 ♕ ♖2 <kolobok> Dor08:123Rnk(3t) / Bie07:StdRnk(1) / Dor07:123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(1)+StdRnk(3t) / Lin07:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(2t)

♔3 ♕6 ♖ <juan31> Gas17:BetRnk(1)+123Rnk(2t) / Sin16:123Rnk(2t)+BetRnk(2) / Wij16:StdRnk(2)+123Rnk(2) / Gas15:123Rnk(2t) / Bil14:123Rnk(1t) / Dor14:StdRnk(3t) / Nor14:123Rnk(1t)

♔3 ♕4 ♖7 <Penguincw> Wij18:BetRnk(2) / Dor17:BetRnk(2)+StdRnk(3)+123Rnk(3t) / Gas17:BetRnk(2) / Wij17:BetRnk(2) / Gas16:StdRnk(3) / Bil15:StdRnk(3t) / Gas15:StdRnk(3t) / Wij15:BetRnk(1) / Nor14:123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(3) / Wij14:BetRnk(1) / Wij12:StdRnk(3t)

♔3 ♕4 ♖5 <YouRang> Wij16:BetRnk(3) / Nor14:123Rnk(1t)+StdRnk(3) / WCC14:BetRnk(2)+123Rnk(3t) / Bie12:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t) / Dor12:BetRnk(3) / Bil11:123Rnk(2) / Pea10:123Rnk(2t) / Bie07:BetRnk(3) / Dor06:123Rnk(2t)

♔3 ♕3 ♖2 <nfazli> Tal13:BetRnk(3) / Dor12:123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(2) / Tal11:BetRnk(1) / Bil11:BetRnk(2)+StdRnk(3t) / Wij09:BetRnk(1)+123Rnk(2t)

♔3 ♕2 <offramp> Wij18:BetRnk(1) / Wij17:123Rnk(2) / Lon16:StdRnk(1t)+BetRnk(1)+123Rnk(2)

♔3 ♕ ♖2 <lost in space> Wij18:StdRnk(2t)+123Rnk(3) / Wij16:123Rnk(1)+StdRnk(3t) / Lon15:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1)

♔3 ♕ ♖2 <PinnedPiece> Dor14:BetRnk(1) / Nor14:123Rnk(1t) / Dor12:BetRnk(1)+123Rnk(2t)+StdRnk(3) / Dor11:BetRnk(3)

♔2 ♕8 ♖5 <whiteshark> Nor17:BetRnk(2) / Sin16:BetRnk(1) / WCC16:BetRnk(2)+123Rnk(3t) / Wij16:BetRnk(2)+123Rnk(3t) / Lon15:BetRnk(2) / Wij15:123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(3) / Tal13:BetRnk(2) / Nor13:BetRnk(3) / Bil12:BetRnk(2) / Pea10:BetRnk(2) / Dor10:123Rnk(2t) / Dor08:123Rnk(3t)

♔2 ♕6 ♖8 <Robin01> Sin17:BetRnk(1) / Nor17:123Rnk(2)+StdRnk(3t)+BetRnk(3) / Sin15:BetRnk(2)+123Rnk(3t) / Dor13:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t) / Wij12:123Rnk(2)+StdRnk(3t) / Baz11:123Rnk(3)+BetRnk(3) / Pea10:123Rnk(2t) / Wij10:123Rnk(3t) / Dor08:StdRnk(2t)+123Rnk(3t)

♔2 ♕5 ♖5 <FSR> Lon17:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(3t) / Sin17:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(3t) / Bil16:StdRnk(3t) / Nor16:StdRnk(2)+123Rnk(2t) / Lon15:123Rnk(2)+BetRnk(3) / Bil15:StdRnk(2)+123Rnk(2t)+BetRnk(3)

♔2 ♕5 ♖2 <yalie> Dor11:StdRnk(2)+123Rnk(2t) / Wij08:123Rnk(3)+BetRnk(3) / WCC07:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t) / Bie07:StdRnk(2t) / Lin07:123Rnk(1)+StdRnk(2)

♔2 ♕4 ♖6 <siamesedream> Wij17:123Rnk(1)+StdRnk(3)+BetRnk(3) / Lon16:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(3) / Sin15:123Rnk(2)+StdRnk(3t) / Gas15:BetRnk(2) / Nor13:123Rnk(3t) / Bil12:123Rnk(2t) / Wij12:StdRnk(2)+123Rnk(3)

♔2 ♕4 ♖3 <percyblakeney> Wij09:StdRnk(3) / Bie08:123Rnk(2t)+StdRnk(3t) / Mte08:StdRnk(1) / Wij08:StdRnk(2t) / WCC07:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t) / Mte07:StdRnk(2t)+123Rnk(3)

♔2 ♕3 ♖2 <DCP23> Lin10:BetRnk(3) / Mte09:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t)+BetRnk(3) / Lin09:123Rnk(2t) / Lin07:BetRnk(1) / Wij07:BetRnk(2)

♔2 ♕3 <karpkasp> Nor14:BetRnk(2) / Wij14:BetRnk(2) / Dor13:BetRnk(1) / WCC13:BetRnk(1) / Wij12:BetRnk(2)

♔2 ♕3 <nimh> WCC13:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1) / Bie08:BetRnk(2) / Dor08:StdRnk(2t)+123Rnk(2)

♔2 ♕2 ♖6 <Keyser Soze> Wij17:StdRnk(1) / Sin16:123Rnk(1)+StdRnk(2t) / Bil16:123Rnk(3t) / Nor16:123Rnk(2t)+StdRnk(3t)+BetRnk(3) / Dor14:StdRnk(3t)+123Rnk(3) / Wij14:StdRnk(3t)

♔2 ♕2 ♖3 <Ragh> Tal11:BetRnk(2) / Wij11:BetRnk(1) / Dor10:StdRnk(3t) / Tal09:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(3t) / Pea09:123Rnk(3) / Bie07:StdRnk(2t)

♔2 ♕2 ♖ <iron maiden> Lin08:StdRnk(2t) / Wij08:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(2) / WCC07:StdRnk(3t) / Wij07:StdRnk(1)

♔2 ♕2 <lmreith> Bie08:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t) / Bie07:123Rnk(1)+StdRnk(2t)

♔2 ♕ ♖6 <Blunderdome> Bil14:123Rnk(3t) / WCC14:StdRnk(3t) / Dor13:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(3) / Bie12:BetRnk(2) / Wij12:StdRnk(3t) / Pea10:StdRnk(3t) / Wij10:StdRnk(3t)

♔2 ♕ <Ziggurat> Dor08:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(2)

♔2 ♖ <Barok Espinosa> Bil12:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(3)

♔2 ♖ <Winter> Pea10:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(3)

♔2 ♖ <wtwz> Tal13:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1) / Nor13:123Rnk(3t)

♔2 <hitman84> Mte07:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1)

♔2 <ooda> Wij12:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1)

♔ ♕2 ♖ <amadeus> Pea10:123Rnk(2t)+StdRnk(3t) / Wij07:123Rnk(1t)+StdRnk(2t)

♔ ♕2 ♖ <mikejaqua> Mte08:123Rnk(1)+StdRnk(2)+BetRnk(3) / WCC07:BetRnk(2)

♔ ♕ ♖2 <suenteus po 147> Wij10:BetRnk(2) / Dor08:BetRnk(3) / WCC07:123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(3)

♔ ♕ ♖ <chancho> Gas15:123Rnk(2t)+BetRnk(3) / Wij14:123Rnk(1t)

♔ ♖2 <poorpatzer> Tal13:StdRnk(3t) / Nor13:BetRnk(1) / Wij11:BetRnk(3)

♔ ♖ <ahmadov> WCC07:BetRnk(1) / Wij07:123Rnk(3t)

♔ ♖ <imag> Lin10:BetRnk(1)+123Rnk(3t)

♔ ♖ <sakii> Lin08:BetRnk(1)+123Rnk(3t)

♔ ♖ <twinlark> Wij07:BetRnk(1)+123Rnk(3t)

<chesssantosh> Baz11:BetRnk(1)

<Civhai> Wij11:123Rnk(1)

<LIFE Master AJ> Tal13:BetRnk(1)

************* Multiple Crowns **************

* Triple Crowns: <alfamikewhiskey> (Dor17), <blade2012> (Bie12), <lostemperor> (Dor06), <SloVice> (Bil11), <su3eichfeld> (Dor09), <virginmind> (Mte09), <Where is my mind> (Pea09), <WinKing> (Bil15)

* Double Crowns: <Legend> (Bil16+Bil12+Dor11+Dor07), <lostemperor> (Nor16+Dor14+Lin10+Bie08), <chessmoron> (Sin17+Gas15+Bil12), <Golden Executive> (Sin15+Bil14+Dor14), <wordfunph> (Lon17+Nor17+Gas17), <blade2012> (WCC14+Wij14), <messachess> (Lin09+Wij09), <OhioChessFan> (WCC16+Nor13), <su3eichfeld> (Lin10+Tal09), <WinKing> (Bil16+Tal11), <zarg> (Wij10+Tal09), <Barok Espinosa> (Bil12), <Blunderdome> (Dor13), <hitman84> (Mte07), <Karposian> (Bil14), <kolobok> (Dor07), <lost in space> (Lon15), <nimh> (WCC13), <offramp> (Lon16), <ooda> (Wij12), <SloVice> (Dor10), <SwitchingQuylthulg> (Gas16), <virginmind> (Baz11), <WannaBe> (Lon16), <Winter> (Pea10), <wtwz> (Tal13), <YouRang> (Bie12), <Ziggurat> (Dor08)

************ Crowns by Contest *************

* StdRnk Crowns: 8♔ <Legend> <chessmoron>; 7♔ <WinKing>; 5♔ <wordfunph> <Golden Executive> <lostemperor> <OhioChessFan>; 3♔ <virginmind> <Karposian> <cromat>

* 123Rnk Crowns: 6♔ <lostemperor>; 5♔ <Legend>; 4♔ <su3eichfeld> <chessmoron>; 3♔ <WinKing> <messachess> <Golden Executive> <OhioChessFan> <blade2012> <SloVice> <wordfunph>

* BetRnk Crowns: 7♔ <SwitchingQuylthulg>; 6♔ <NakoSonorense>; 4♔ <SloVice> <alfamikewhiskey>; 3♔ <lostemperor> <WannaBe>

************* Crowns by Year ***************

* 2006 (1 tournament): 3♔ <lostemperor>

* 2007 (6 tournaments): 4♔ <kolobok>; 3♔ <Legend>; 2♔ <yalie> <hitman84>

* 2008 (5 tournaments): 5♔ <NakoSonorense>; 2♔ <lostemperor> <Ziggurat>

* 2009 (6 tournaments): 6♔ <su3eichfeld>; 4♔ <Where is my mind> <messachess>; 3♔ <virginmind>; 2♔ <zarg>

* 2010 (4 tournaments): 3♔ <SloVice> <lostemperor>; 2♔ <zarg> <Winter> <su3eichfeld>

* 2011 (5 tournaments): 3♔ <SloVice> <Legend>; 2♔ <SwitchingQuylthulg> <WinKing> <virginmind>

* 2012 (4 tournaments): 3♔ <Legend> <blade2012>; 2♔ <ooda> <Barok Espinosa> <YouRang> <chessmoron>

* 2013 (5 tournaments): 2♔ <wtwz> <OhioChessFan> <Blunderdome> <karpkasp> <nimh>

* 2014 (5 tournaments): 4♔ <Golden Executive> <blade2012>; 3♔ <lostemperor> <Karposian>; 2♔ <Penguincw> <PinnedPiece> <chessmoron> <juan31>

* 2015 (5 tournaments): 4♔ <WinKing>; 2♔ <Golden Executive> <chessmoron> <lost in space>

* 2016 (7 tournaments): 4♔ <OhioChessFan> <SwitchingQuylthulg>; 3♔ <WinKing>; 2♔ <Legend> <WannaBe> <alfamikewhiskey> <lostemperor> <offramp>

* 2017 (6 tournaments): 6♔ <wordfunph>; 4♔ <alfamikewhiskey>; 3♔ <chessmoron>; 2♔ <WannaBe> <FSR>

* 2018 (1 tournament): 1♔ <offramp> <WannaBe> <wordfunph>

********** Crowns by Tournament ************

* Baz (1 year): 2♔ <virginmind>

* Bie (3 years): 3♔ <blade2012>; 2♔ <YouRang> <lmreith> <lostemperor>

* Bil (5 years): 5♔ <WinKing>; 4♔ <Legend>; 3♔ <SloVice>; 2♔ <Karposian> <Barok Espinosa> <Golden Executive> <chessmoron>

* Dor (10 years): 5♔ <lostemperor> <Legend>; 3♔ <su3eichfeld> <alfamikewhiskey> <cromat>; 2♔ <Golden Executive> <PinnedPiece> <SloVice> <kolobok> <Blunderdome> <Ziggurat> <chessmoron>

* Gas (3 years): 3♔ <SwitchingQuylthulg>; 2♔ <WinKing> <chessmoron> <wordfunph>

* Lin (4 years): 2♔ <su3eichfeld> <NakoSonorense> <lostemperor> <messachess>

* Lon (3 years): 3♔ <WannaBe>; 2♔ <wordfunph> <lost in space> <offramp>

* Mte (3 years): 4♔ <virginmind>; 2♔ <hitman84>

* Nor (4 years): 3♔ <lostemperor>; 2♔ <wordfunph> <OhioChessFan>

* Pea (2 years): 3♔ <Where is my mind>; 2♔ <Winter>

* Sin (3 years): 2♔ <chessmoron> <Golden Executive> <alfamikewhiskey>

* Tal (3 years): 2♔ <zarg> <WinKing> <su3eichfeld> <wtwz>

* WCC (4 years): 2♔ <nimh> <OhioChessFan> <blade2012>

* Wij (12 years): 3♔ <NakoSonorense> <messachess> <WannaBe> <Legend>; 2♔ <blade2012> <iron maiden> <OhioChessFan> <ooda> <SloVice> <SwitchingQuylthulg> <zarg> <chessmoron> <Penguincw>

== Notes:

I keep track of all medals won, but in order to appear in the hall of fame, one must win a gold (♔) medal.

Medals: ♔ = Gold; ♕ = Silver; ♖ = Bronze

Tournaments: Baz=Bazna Kings; Bie=Biel; Bil=Bilbao; Dor=Dortmund; Gas=Gashimov Memorial; Lin=Linares; Lon=London; Mte=Mtel; Nor=Norway; Pea=Pearl Spring; Sin=Sinquefield; Tal=Tal Memorial; WCC=World Chess Championship/Candidates; Wij=Wijk aan Zee/Tata Steel

Contests: StdRnk=Standard Ranker; 123Rnk=1-2-3 Ranker; BetRnk=Betting Ranker

t = tie

<<> = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = <>>

*<SpaceBar Master>

1)As a dismissive term: arybkanator, afritzionado, ahoudiniado etc, one who blindly follows top computer lines; therefore, not worthy (indignus) to play against one of the best female chess players in the world, with current rating over 2500 and IQ of her husband 150.

2)As a badge of pride: the specific, mostly positive emotion that is product of independent self-reflection; some social psychologists identify it as a proof of a very high level of play of the World Team.**<In its strict signification, denotes an advanced chess player guiding and interpreting computer analysis in a skillfully masterful manner.>

*Posted by <cro777> at Dec-25-2010 The World vs N Pogonina, 2010 (kibitz #24210)

**Added by <cro777> at Feb-16-2011 Golden Executive chessforum (kibitz #4)

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 828 chessbucks
[what is this?]

   Golden Executive has kibitzed 4815 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jan-29-18 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
Golden Executive: Thanks a lot <lostemperor> for the contest and congratulations to all the winners, particularly to <Penguincw> on his copyrighted 'Reversed Predictions', amazing! See you guys next time, looking forward to the Candidates Tournament!!
 
   Jan-29-18 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
Golden Executive: Many thanks <chessmoron> and <OCF> for another amazing contest. Congratulations to all the medal winners and particularly to <alfamikewhiskey> on his triple crown, way to go!! This time I certainly did much better after such a disaster in the London ...
 
   Jan-29-18 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
Golden Executive: <YouRang: Thanks <Golden Executive> -- well done as always. Congrats to the medal winners. Very impressive 123 Ranker runaway win for the wabbit who connected on 8 black wins. I wonder if that's a record?> Well, 8 wins with black are not the record but happened ...
 
   Jan-26-18 juan31 chessforum (replies)
 
Golden Executive: Yep, si Anand quiere aspirar al 1er. lugar, mañana es cuando. Va con blancas contra la GM china que no ha ganado un solo partido y ha perdido 6! mientras que en choque de líderes el campeón va con negras contra Mamedyarov. Deberá ser un partidazo. Habrá que ver si sale ...
 
   Jan-02-18 WinKing chessforum (replies)
 
...
 
   Jan-02-18 Penguincw chessforum (replies)
 
Golden Executive: Better late than never. Happy New Year to you too <Penguincw>!
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

The Game Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 257 OF 257 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: <For the record>

Below are the medals I have on file for people who have not yet won gold. (If the Hall of Fame is heaven, this is purgatory):

♕2 ♖2
call14 ~ Sin15:BetRnk(3) / WCC14:123Rnk(3t) / Tal11:123Rnk(2t) / Lin08:123Rnk(2)

Tabanus ~ Dor10:123Rnk(2t)+BetRnk(2) / Lin10:StdRnk(3t)+123Rnk(3t)

♕2 ♖
cu8sfan ~ Wij09:BetRnk(2) / Lin08:123Rnk(3t) / Bie07:BetRnk(2)

kellmano ~ Mte07:StdRnk(2t)+123Rnk(2)+BetRnk(3)

♕2
VargPOD ~ Baz11:StdRnk(2)+123Rnk(2)

♕ ♖2
Billy Vaughan ~ Tal09:BetRnk(3) / Mte08:123Rnk(2t)+StdRnk(3t)

Broon Bottle ~ WCC07:StdRnk(3t) / Dor07:StdRnk(2)+123Rnk(3t)

♕ ♖
Elixir of Life ~ Mte07:BetRnk(2) / Lin07:BetRnk(3)

Fiona Macleod ~ Lon15:StdRnk(2t)+123Rnk(3t)

jsy ~ Nor13:StdRnk(2)+123Rnk(3t)

just a kid ~ Dor09:BetRnk(2)+123Rnk(3t)


capafan ~ Tal13:123Rnk(2t)

falso contacto ~ Dor11:BetRnk(2)

Jafar219 ~ Dor06:BetRnk(2)

jessicafischerqueen ~ Lin07:BetRnk(2)

pbercker ~ Nor13:123Rnk(2)

rogge ~ Pea09:StdRnk(2t)

Thorski ~ Tal09:BetRnk(2)

Xaurus ~ Mte08:BetRnk(2)

♖4
nikooshu ~ Wij10:StdRnk(3t)+BetRnk(3) / Mte08:StdRnk(3t) / Lin09:StdRnk(3t)

♖2
AylerKupp ~ WCC16:StdRnk(3t)+123Rnk(3t)

micartouse ~ Wij07:123Rnk(3t)+BetRnk(3)

square dance ~ WCC07:StdRnk(3t) / Lin07:StdRnk(3t)


Aurora ~ Dor08:123Rnk(3t)

BishopofBlunder ~ Bil11:BetRnk(3)

juniper anole ~ Dor17:123Rnk(3t)

Montreal1666 ~ Dor06:StdRnk(3t)

paavoh ~ Nor17:StdRnk(3t)

TechN9ne ~ Dor06:StdRnk(3t)

Vincent1987 ~ Dor07:BetRnk(3)

Jan-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Thank you <Golden Executive>!! <cromat> came so close in 2 categories.
Jan-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks <GE>
Jan-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Yay! A silver medal.

Thanks to <Golden Executive> for doing a fantastic job of hosting. Congrats to the gold medalists (no multi-crown I see) and other medalists, and can't wait for the Candidates tournament.

Tata for now.

Jan-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks <Golden Executive> for running this show. Congratulations to the winners! Will be seeing each other in the Candidates tournament in March.
Jan-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thanks <Golden Executive> for a stellar show as always!

Congratulations to all of those fortunate enough to medal in this contest. Special grats to <wordfunph>, <WannaBe> & <offramp> for bringing home the gold! Hope to see you all at the Candidates Tournament in March.

Always fun to play here! :)

Jan-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Keyser Soze: Thanks <GE> , awesome! And congratz to the winners. Well done.
Jan-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Thanks to <Golden Executive> for managing the contest, and congratulations to the winners and medalists!
Jan-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Count Wedgemore: Thank you, <Golden Executive> for the great fun. Hope to improve my results next time. Congrats to the winners.
Jan-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: <GE> Thanks , Gracias for the contest, congrats to all
Jan-29-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: Many many thanks to <Golden Executive>. That was really a lot of fun for me but I appreciate it was a lot of hard work for you.

This was much better than the recent London tournament, which was too homogeneous in its results.

Well done to all the winners!

My win was mainly down to one lucky jackpot. I am very pleased with it, though!

Jan-29-18  paavoh: Thank you <Golden Executive> for organizing the contest, and congratulations to all medalists!

This time, close but not quite enough. Beat the MONKEY though :-)

Great fun as always! See you next time!

Jan-29-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lost in space: Many thanks to <GE> for managing the contest, as always everything was perfectly fine.

A lot of fun for me. And congrates to the winners!

Jan-29-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: congrats to all winners!

<Golden Executive>, thank you!

Jan-29-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  YouRang: Thanks <Golden Executive> -- well done as always.

Congrats to the medal winners. Very impressive 123 Ranker runaway win for the wabbit who connected on 8 black wins. I wonder if that's a record?

Jan-29-18  cromat: Congrats to the medal winners and all participants. Thanks <Golden Executive> for running the contest and the very nice words
Jan-29-18  alfamikewhiskey: Thank you <GE>, and congratulations to those that medalled.

<Next Tournament: Candidates 2018> it says. Good.

Jan-29-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Hi folks, thanks to everyone for your kind words.
Jan-29-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: <<Dec-11-17
WannaBe: Very interesting for Standard Ranker...

4 - WHITER
6 - BLACKER
35 - DRAWER

Black won more games. Has this ever happened before? How difficult is it to go back to the records?>

Golden Executive chessforum (kibitz #6067)

Yes, it happened in the GPC for Tal Memorial 2013:

==Tal Memorial
Jun-23-13

Score,UserID,Rounds,Pct
28,DRAWER,9,62.2%
11,BLACKER,9,24.4%
6,WHITER,9,13.3%

YouRang chessforum (kibitz #14465)

Jan-29-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: <YouRang: Thanks <Golden Executive> -- well done as always. Congrats to the medal winners. Very impressive 123 Ranker runaway win for the wabbit who connected on 8 black wins. I wonder if that's a record?>

Well, 8 wins with black are not the record but happened only twice before (Tata Steel 2011 & 2015).

==Tata Steel 2011
Jan-30-11

Score,UserID,Rounds,White,Draw,Black

♔ 71,Civhai,13,12/31,29/43,6/17

<♕ 69,virginmind>,13,10/30,25/36,<8/25>

------

<54,BLACKER>,13,0/0,0/0,<18/91>

YouRang chessforum (kibitz #10255)

<And>

==Tata Steel 2015
Jan-25-15

Score,UserID,Rounds,White,Draw,Black

<♔ 79,whiteshark>,13,19/40,17/28,<8/23>

<♕ 76,virginmind>,13,12/22,25/45,<9/24>

------

<54,BLACKER>,13,0/0,0/0,<18/91>

------

<45,Penguincw>,13,7/32,1/2,<10/57>

------

YouRang chessforum (kibitz #16943)

Jan-30-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  YouRang: <Golden Executive> You are quite the data miner. :-)

So <Penguincw> is the (human) record holder with 10 correct black win predictions!

But there are other ways of measuring success.

There's <correct black predictions> / <total black predictions>:

WannaBe.2018 = 8/20 = .400
virginMind.2015 = 9/24 = .375
Civhai.2011 = 6/17 = .352
whiteshark.2015 = 8/23 = .347
virginMind.2011 = 8/25 = .320
Penguincw.2015 = 10/57 = .175

Then there's <correct black predictions> / <actual black wins>:

WannaBe.2018 = 8/11 = .727
Penguincw.2015 = 10/18 = .556
virginmind.2015 = 9/18 = .500
VirginMind.2011 = 8/18 = .444
whiteshark.2015 = 8/18 = .444
Civhai.2011 = 6/18 = .333

So, <WannaBe>'s performance is rather standoutish.

Feb-01-18  Dr Winston OBoogie: What position did Keysiepoos come? I don't see him on that list! Was he <that> bad? Y'all know he's never played chess in his life, right? #JustSaying :)
Feb-09-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Pairings for the Candidates 2018:

https://www.fide.com/component/cont...

Feb-10-18  BrickFan: Hey everyone. Im new here. Owner of https://ninjabrick.com/
Feb-10-18  Everyone: Hey <BrickFan>. Welcome to the club!
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