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Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen May-22-18
Grenke 2018 Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing. tournament page:

Official site: http://

Live games:

Alternative live games:

***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum


[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner. Bold strategy

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Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 672 OF 672 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Premium Chessgames Member
  Chessgames Bookie: Games have started.
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < WinKing: Games have started. >

Thanks. :)

< Chessgames Bookie: Games have started. >

Thanks. ;)

< OhioChessFan: Thanks so much Penguin. >

You're welcome. :)

And regarding <whiteshark>'s predictions. Since <chessmoron> <would> count his results, I will too.

Thanks for letting me know of that. If you didn't, I probably wouldn't have counted them, as would be the case in <Golden Executive>'s contest. But at the same time, in this contest with every set of predictions you have nothing to lose, whereas in <GE>'s contest you could lose progress in Betting Ranker.

Hopefully it doesn't affect the standings too much but we'll see. ;)

Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I will not be back until long after the results are posted, so as we wait, I wish to thank <chessmoron> as always for running the show. <Penguincw> for stepping up and keeping me from making a fool of myself again. <WinKing> for a lot of work behind the scenes, as a starter, collector of picks on his forum page, warning of the early start today, etc etc etc. <Switch> for being a starter and letting <juan> know about a bad pick and helping correct my scoring mistakes.

Thanks to everyone for playing. I am hoping <cm> does Norway.

Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: ♔ Gashimov 2018: <FINAL Round> Result ♔

< Carlsen - Ding Liren, 1/2-1/2 in 27 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [[‘Penguincw’, ‘1/2-1/2', ‘19’]]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [[‘offramp’, ‘1/2-1/2', ‘30’]]

3rd Over, 1 point: [[‘Golden Executive’, ‘1/2-1/2', ‘40’]]


< Karjakin - Topalov, 1-0 in 49 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [[‘wordfunph’, '1-0', ‘44’]]

2nd Under, 6 points: [[‘sea otter’, '1-0', ‘43’]]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point: []


< Mamedov - Mamedyarov, 1/2-1/2 in 27 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [[‘Penguincw’, ‘1/2-1/2', ‘19’]]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [[‘lostemperor’, ‘1/2-1/2', ‘28’], [‘SwitchingQuylthulg’, ‘1/2-1/2', ‘28’]]

3rd Over, 1 point: [[‘offramp’, ‘1/2-1/2', ‘31’]]


< Navara - Radjabov, 1/2-1/2 in 23 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [[‘Penguincw’, ‘1/2-1/2', ‘19’]]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [[‘offramp’, ‘1/2-1/2', ‘25’]]

3rd Over, 1 point: [[‘bubuli55’, ‘1/2-1/2', ‘33’]]


< Wojtaszek - Giri, 1/2-1/2 in 32 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [[‘offramp’, ‘1/2-1/2', ‘26’]]
2nd Under, 6 points: [[‘Penguincw’, ‘1/2-1/2', ‘19’]]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [[‘bubuli55’, ‘1/2-1/2', ‘33’]]

3rd Over, 1 point: [[‘chessmoron’, ‘1/2-1/2', '39’]]

Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: FINAL Round Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:


Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 6 points: <Penguincw> and <sea otter>

Moves Ranker - Through <FINAL Round>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

♔ 64, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 2, 5
♘ 48, Penguincw, 0, 4, 2
♗ 41, chessmoron, 0, 3, 2
40, Golden Executive, 1, 1, 3
38, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 4, 1
37, OhioChessFan, 2, 3, 1
31, Count Wedgemore, 0, 3, 1
28, sea otter, 0, 4, 0
27, wordfunph, 1, 2, 1
24, bubuli55, 0, 2, 1
24, lostemperor, 1, 3, 0
17, offramp, 0, 1, 1
10, juan31, 0, 0, 1
3, Schwartz, 1, 0, 0


Bonus Ranker - Through <FINAL Round>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

♔ 60, Golden Executive, 5, 5, 3, 5
♘ 59, Penguincw, 7, 4, 4, 4
♗ 54, SwitchingQuylthulg, 3, 3, 3, 5
50, juan31, 4, 4, 4, 3
48, Count Wedgemore, 7, 4, 3, 3
44, lostemperor, 2, 4, 2, 4
44, OhioChessFan, 2, 2, 4, 3
44, wordfunph, 1, 5, 3, 3
42, offramp, 4, 5, 2, 3
32, chessmoron, 4, 3, 2, 2
26, bubuli55, 4, 2, 0, 3
26, sea otter, 2, 1, 2, 2
17, alfamikewhiskey, 3, 1, 0, 2
1, Schwartz, 1, 0, 0, 0


Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <FINAL Round>

Score, UserID

♔ 118, SwitchingQuylthulg
♘ 107, Penguincw
♗ 99, Golden Executive
81, OhioChessFan
79, Count Wedgemore
73, chessmoron
71, wordfunph
68, lostemperor
60, juan31
59, offramp
55, alfamikewhiskey
54, sea otter
50, bubuli55
4, Schwartz


Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <FINAL Round>


♔ 7, SwitchingQuylthulg
♘ 6, OhioChessFan
♘ 6, Penguincw
♗ 5, alfamikewhiskey
♗ 5, chessmoron
♗ 5, Golden Executive
4, Count Wedgemore
4, lostemperor
4, sea otter
4, wordfunph
3, bubuli55
2, offramp
1, juan31
1, Schwartz

Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: ♙ <WINNER'S CORNER>

♔♔♔♗ <SwitchingQuylthulg> Gas18:StdMvRnk(1) + BonusRnk(3) + StdMv/Bonus (1) + 1stRanker (1)

♔♗♗ <Golden Executive> Gas18:BonusRnk (1) + StdMv/Bonus (3) + 1stRanker (3t)

♘♘♘♘ <Penguincw> Gas18:StdMvRnk(2) + BonusRnk (2) + StdMv/Bonus (2) + 1stRanker (2t)

<OhioChessFan> Gas18:1stRanker (2t)

♗♗ <chessmoron> Gas18:StdMvRnk(3) + 1stRanker (3t)

<alfamikewhiskey> Gas18:1stRanker (3t)

Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Not bad <Penguincw> you only forgot to add 1pt. to <Golden Executive>'s score. He had 100 pts.. You just added the 'Moves + Bonus Ranker' wrong.
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Ah thanks for that <WinKing>. To double check my work, I did make the correction on my unofficial version, but not on this one.

But anyhow, congrats to <SwitchingQuylthulg> for the triple crown this time, and <Golden Executive> for stopping a 2nd consecutive quadruple crown. Congrats to all the other medalists.

Thanks to <chessmoron> and <OhioChessFan> for hosting and scorekeeping for at least 1 round. Thanks to <Switch> for helping to scorekeep as well, and same goes for <WinKing> during this difficult time in your life.

I'm happy with 4 silvers, and hope to see you all at Norway.

Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Thanks a lot to the crew: <chessmoron>, <OhioChessFan>, <Penguincw> and <WinKing>. Great Job.

Congratulations to all the winners and particularly to <SwitchingQuylthulg> on his Triple Crown.

What a final round <Penguin>!!! Well done my friend.

See you guys next time!

Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Thanks to the hosts and scorekeepers, and congratulations to the winners and medalists! Yes, that was a brilliant final round from <Penguincw>.

Unfortunately I ran out of oomph in the last rounds this time :(

Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thanks to <chessmoron> & <OhioChessFan> for running & hosting this great contest! Some top shelf commentary there <OCF>. You had me smiling. :)

Congratulations to all of the medal winners! Another 'triple crown' by <SwitchingQuylthulg>...phenomenal! The Aztecs & Incas never had as much gold as this guy does. ;) Kudos to <Golden Executive> who had to work hard to get that final 4th Gold. Nicely done <GE>!

Special thanks to <Penguincw> who stepped up & filled in for <chessmoron> in the final two rounds. Great job on the scoring! You also had a monster final round bagging 4 silvers. Not to be taken lightly! Hope to see you all for the Norway tournament coming up in about a month.

Premium Chessgames Member
  Count Wedgemore: Thanks guys, for another great prediction contest. I'm looking forward to compete again during Norway Chess, and do better there (I hope). See you then, my friends!
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Final Recap **

<Switch> carried through his strong performance to the very end, and came up just short of a second consecutive Quadruple Crown. <GE> heroically held on to claim the Bonus Ranker crown, to the complete relief of <Penguincw>. <Penguin> had a huge final round and ended up with a Quadruple Silver. Our crack research staff is investigating whether that's ever been done before.

In other news, <chessmoron> was so taken by the beauty of Lima, Ohio, he may stay there. Nobody has figured out what Round "9:z" means in <offramp's> last round predictions, but wise people are leaving that one alone. <whiteshark> took advantage of a sleep-deprived <OCF> and picked only one game just to mess with him. Even worse, <OCF> didn't notice that <ws> hadn't been participating. Just to be spiteful, <OCF> is considering awarding <whiteshark> a Quadruple Clown. Apparently, <WinKing> didn't notice he wasn't participating, which didn't stop him from thanking everyone for the enjoyable contest.

Thanks to everyone for playing and hope to see you at Norway.

Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: Gracias for the contest <OhioChessFan, chessmoron, WinKing, Penguincw>
Apr-28-18  bubuli55: That was a lot of fun. Thank you again to the organizers. < chessmoron > , < OhioChessFun > and < Penguincw >.

Congratz to the winners!

Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Ah, I knew I might've been missing someone in the standings. But I spared them the quadruple zero. ;)

I actually had a brief dream last night about this contest. All I remembered is that all 5 games this round were predicted exactly correct by 1 user each (and by 5 different users).

Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: Thank you, OCF! Great fun as always. Thanks for your hard work and superb humour.
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: <OhioChessFan, chessmoron, WinKing, Penguincw> thanks!

grats to all winners!

Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks for another fun contest, congratulations to the winners!
Premium Chessgames Member

User: bernard

User: wright

User: the

User: fun

User: kay

User: beat

Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Memo to self:

<The match was now poised at 2½ points each>

Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Memo to self:

<He had realistic hopes of a GM norm until Round 11, and he showed he could also defend - see L Christiansen vs M Rivas Pastor, 1982>

Premium Chessgames Member
  lost in space: Can not agree more about what you posted in my forum <OHF>.
Premium Chessgames Member
  chancho: Rockers Revenge - Walkin' On Sunshine
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: <<>Norway Chess 2018<>>

Less than 7 days to go!

Countdown to Norway Chess 2018:

♘Altibox♘Norway Chess 2018♗Altibox♗

This tournament will run from May 28th thru Jun. 7th 2018. (9 Rounds)

Participants include: Anand, Aronian, Carlsen, Caruana, Ding Liren, Karjakin, Mamedyarov, Nakamura, So & Vachier-Lagrave

Average rating: 2790 (as of 5/3/18) - Category XXII


<<>Norway Chess 2018<>>

Schedule -

Round 1 is Monday May 28th & it starts @ 16:30hrs(4:30pm) Stavanger, Norway time(10:30am chessgames time). All rounds begin @ 16:30 hrs.

< 3 Prediction Contests: (Win virtual medals - Gold, Silver & Bronze) >

User: lostemperor (FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS) - Predict the order the players will finish. Run & hosted by <lostemperor>. (3 categories to medal in)

User: Golden Executive - (The Game Prediction Contest) - Predict the result 1-0, 1/2, or 0-1. Run & hosted by <Golden Executive>. (3 categories to medal in) This year will be the 11th Anniversary for this contest! (from 2007 to 2018 - 11 years running)

User: OhioChessFan (Moves Prediction Contest) - Predict the result 1-0, 1/2, or 0-1 & the number of moves. (4 categories to medal in). This contest is run by <chessmoron> & hosted by <OhioChessFan>.


Also, don't forget about <chessgames> ChessBookie game for this event. He can't wait to take some or all of your chessbucks. ;)

ChessBookie Game

Don't miss out on the fun for this Super Event!!!


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