User Profile: YouRang

YouRang
Member since Feb-23-05

<< ♆ > Game Prediction Contest < ♆ >>
This forum is currently the place to participate in game prediction contests.
<Next tournament>
Dortmund 2013 - July 25 - August 4 - 10 player single round robin.
Players: Kramnik, Caruana, Leko, Hao, Adams, Andreikin, Naiditsch, Fridman, Meier, Khenkin
<Last tournament>
Norway Chess Tournament (2013)
Official site: http://norwaychess.com/en/
== MEDAL WINNERS
• StdRnk: =<OhioChessFan>, =<jsy>, =<wordfunph>, =<lostemperor>
• 123Rnk: =<OhioChessFan>, =<pbercker>, =<jsy>, =<lostemperor>, =<siamesedream>, =<wtwz>
• BetRnk: =<poorpatzer>, =<wordfunph>, =<whiteshark>
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
This contest was created and originally hosted by <cu8sfan>, but he has discontinued hosting the contests due to time constraints at work. Note that this is NOT the final standings prediction contest, which is hosted by User: lostemperor.
<OBJECTIVE>:
Have fun predicting the outcome of each game in each round, and seeing how well your predictions compare to those entered by other contestants. You win by having the best overall prediction performance.
As with the Olympics, the top 3 placeholders will be honored with 'medals' (gold, silver and bronze), and the gold medal winners will be inducted into the HALL OF FAME (see below). Truly, an unbelievable honor. (Even I don't believe it.)
There will be a few different ways to determine a winner, as discussed under "SCORING METHODS", below.
<RULES>:
1. Enter your game predictions for a round BEFORE any games for that round begin (duh). It is okay to enter predictions long in advance (e.g. you could predict all rounds at the start if you want).
2. Make sure that when you enter game predictions for a round, that you include ALL games in that round, within a single post. If you miss one game, all of your predictions for that round will be ignored.
3. You may change your predictions for a round by re-submitting ALL of your predictions for that round (you must re-submit predictions for all games in the round, even if you changed a prediction for only one game).
4. Keep in mind that I'm using software to process all of the prediction posts. If you enter a post that 'looks' like game predictions, it will be counted as game predictions. If your prediction post contains typos, they become subject to my interpretation of your intent. But if the intent strikes me as being ambiguous, then I must reject your predictions for that game, and thus for that whole round -- so please be careful.
5. A post containing predictions should have one line for each game prediction. The line should be of the form:
[whiteplayer] - [blackplayer] [outcome]
Here are some examples:
Anand - Topalov 1/2
Leko - Kramnik 1-0
Adams - Polgar 0-1
DON'T forget the hyphen between the player's names.
(The software can usually figure out what you mean if you deviate a *little* from this form...)
<SCORING METHODS>
There are 3 different scoring methods, which means that there are actually 3 contests in one. Consequently, we could have as many as 3 different winners (or perhaps one triple-crown winner!)
1. Standard Ranker
This is the traditional contest that <cu8sfan> developed. The winner is simply the person who finishes with the most correct predictions.
2. 1-2-3 Ranker
This contest makes it is more rewarding to correctly predict the outcome of a decisive game than a drawn game. You earn 1 point for correctly predicting a draw, but 2 points for correctly predicting a white win, and 3 points for correctly predicting a black win. The winner is the person ending up with the most points.
3. Betting Ranker
This contest gives greater rewards to those who have a knack for predicting upsets (i.e. games that most other people thought would have a different outcome). Each game prediction is treated as a $1 wager. All of the money wagered on that game is divided up equally to those who correctly predicted its outcome. If you're the only one who got it right, you've hit the jackpot! The winner is the person ending up with the most $$$.
<Notes on Scoring Methods>
For the "Standard Ranker" and "1-2-3 Ranker" reports, you will notice that there are four "pseudo-contestants", which serve as benchmarks for comparison of prediction performance. These are as follows:
1. WHITER = Always predicts white to win.
2. BLACKER = Always predicts black to win.
3. DRAWER = Predicts every game to be drawn.
4. MONKEY = Simulates a monkey that just picks white, black or draw at random, with equal chances for each outcome.
<Miscellaneous comments>:
• My ability to process predictions and post results may be spotty at times. I'll do them as soon as I can -- but I have a number of other things are higher priority. :-)
• I am not always online when the games for a round begin. It would be helpful to me if someone who IS online when the games begin to post a message in this forum simply stating that the games have begun. This lets me know the cut-off point for accepting new predictions for that round.
• TIP: It's easy to get busy and neglect to enter your predictions on time. If so, you'll miss a round, which greatly diminishes your chances of winning. Avoid this by entering a few rounds of predictions in advance. You can always revise them later if you like. :-)
★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
<<> GAME PREDICTION HALL OF FAME <>>
10 6 5 <Legend> Wij13:StdRnk(2t) / Bil12:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t) / Dor12:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t) / Wij12:StdRnk(3t) / Tal11:123Rnk(2t)+BetRnk(3) / Dor11:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1) / Wij11:StdRnk(1t) / Dor09:StdRnk(3t) / Dor08:StdRnk(2t) / Lin08:StdRnk(1) / WCC07:StdRnk(3t) / Dor07:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(2) / Wij07:123Rnk(1t)+StdRnk(2t) / Dor06:BetRnk(3)
8 4 2 <su3eichfeld> Wij13:BetRnk(2) / Bie12:BetRnk(3) / Dor11:StdRnk(3) / Lin10:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(2) / Tal09:123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(1) / Pea09:123Rnk(1t)+StdRnk(2t)+BetRnk(2) / Dor09:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(1)
8 2 5 <lostemperor> Nor13:StdRnk(3t)+123Rnk(3t) / Wij13:BetRnk(3) / Dor10:StdRnk(3t) / Lin10:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t) / Wij10:123Rnk(1t) / Mte09:123Rnk(2t) / Bie08:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1) / Lin07:123Rnk(2t)+StdRnk(3t) / Dor06:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(1)
8 2 <SloVice> WCC13:BetRnk(3) / Wij13:123Rnk(1)+StdRnk(2t) / Wij12:BetRnk(1) / Bil11:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(1) / Pea10:BetRnk(1) / Dor10:123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(1)+StdRnk(3t)
7 4 <NakoSonorense> Wij10:BetRnk(1) / Lin09:BetRnk(1) / Wij09:BetRnk(3) / Bie08:BetRnk(1) / Dor08:BetRnk(1) / Mte08:BetRnk(1)+123Rnk(2t) / Lin08:123Rnk(1)+StdRnk(2t)+BetRnk(2) / Wij08:BetRnk(1) / Bie07:123Rnk(2)
7 2 <virginmind> Wij13:123Rnk(3) / Bil12:StdRnk(1t) / Baz11:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(2) / Wij11:123Rnk(2) / Mte09:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(1) / Mte07:BetRnk(1)
5 6 5 <SwitchingQuylthulg> WCC13:BetRnk(2) / Bil12:BetRnk(1)+123Rnk(2t) / Wij12:BetRnk(3) / Tal11:123Rnk(2t)+StdRnk(3) / Dor11:BetRnk(1)+123Rnk(2t) / Baz11:StdRnk(3t) / Wij11:StdRnk(1t)+BetRnk(2) / Pea10:StdRnk(1t) / Dor10:BetRnk(3) / Mte09:BetRnk(2) / Bie08:BetRnk(3) / Bie07:BetRnk(1)
5 <messachess> Lin09:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(2) / Wij09:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1) / Wij08:123Rnk(1)
4 4 9 <chessmoron> WCC13:StdRnk(3t) / Bil12:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t) / Bie12:StdRnk(3)+123Rnk(3) / Bil11:StdRnk(2)+123Rnk(3) / Baz11:StdRnk(3t) / Dor10:StdRnk(1t) / Wij10:StdRnk(2)+123Rnk(3t) / Tal09:StdRnk(3t)+123Rnk(3t) / Wij09:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t) / Lin08:BetRnk(3) / Wij08:StdRnk(2t)
4 3 2 <zarg> Dor10:StdRnk(3t) / Wij10:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1t) / Tal09:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t) / Pea09:StdRnk(2t)+BetRnk(3) / Lin09:StdRnk(2)+123Rnk(2t)
4 4 <Where is my mind> Pea09:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(1) / Dor09:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(3t)+BetRnk(3) / Mte09:123Rnk(2t) / Lin09:StdRnk(3t) / Bie08:StdRnk(3t)
4 2 <kolobok> Dor08:123Rnk(3t) / Bie07:StdRnk(1) / Dor07:123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(1)+StdRnk(3t) / Lin07:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(2t)
3 4 5 <cromat> Dor12:123Rnk(2t) / Dor10:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t) / Lin10:StdRnk(3t)+123Rnk(3t) / Dor09:123Rnk(1t)+StdRnk(3t) / Dor08:StdRnk(2t) / Dor07:StdRnk(3t)+123Rnk(3t) / Dor06:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t)
3 3 <nfazli> Dor12:123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(2) / Tal11:BetRnk(1) / Bil11:BetRnk(2)+StdRnk(3t) / Wij09:BetRnk(1)+123Rnk(2t)
3 2 10 <OhioChessFan> Nor13:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1) / Bil11:StdRnk(3t) / Baz11:StdRnk(3t) / Wij11:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(3) / Wij10:123Rnk(3t) / Tal09:StdRnk(3t)+123Rnk(3t) / Mte09:123Rnk(2t)+StdRnk(3) / Lin09:BetRnk(3) / Dor08:123Rnk(3t) / Wij08:BetRnk(2) / Bie07:123Rnk(3)
3 2 <blade2012> WCC13:StdRnk(3t)+123Rnk(3t) / Bie12:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(1)
3 <WinKing> Dor12:StdRnk(1t) / Tal11:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1)
2 5 2 <yalie> Dor11:StdRnk(2)+123Rnk(2t) / Wij08:123Rnk(3)+BetRnk(3) / WCC07:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t) / Bie07:StdRnk(2t) / Lin07:123Rnk(1)+StdRnk(2)
2 4 3 <percyblakeney> Wij09:StdRnk(3) / Bie08:123Rnk(2t)+StdRnk(3t) / Mte08:StdRnk(1) / Wij08:StdRnk(2t) / WCC07:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t) / Mte07:StdRnk(2t)+123Rnk(3)
2 3 2 <DCP23> Lin10:BetRnk(3) / Mte09:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t)+BetRnk(3) / Lin09:123Rnk(2t) / Lin07:BetRnk(1) / Wij07:BetRnk(2)
2 3 2 <YouRang> Bie12:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t) / Dor12:BetRnk(3) / Bil11:123Rnk(2) / Pea10:123Rnk(2t) / Bie07:BetRnk(3) / Dor06:123Rnk(2t)
2 3 <nimh> WCC13:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1) / Bie08:BetRnk(2) / Dor08:StdRnk(2t)+123Rnk(2)
2 2 3 <Ragh> Tal11:BetRnk(2) / Wij11:BetRnk(1) / Dor10:StdRnk(3t) / Tal09:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(3t) / Pea09:123Rnk(3) / Bie07:StdRnk(2t)
2 2 <iron maiden> Lin08:StdRnk(2t) / Wij08:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(2) / WCC07:StdRnk(3t) / Wij07:StdRnk(1)
2 2 <lmreith> Bie08:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t) / Bie07:123Rnk(1)+StdRnk(2t)
2 <Ziggurat> Dor08:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(2)
2 <Barok Espinosa> Bil12:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1t)+BetRnk(3)
2 <Winter> Pea10:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(3)
2 <hitman84> Mte07:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1)
2 <ooda> Wij12:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(1)
2 2 <wordfunph> Nor13:BetRnk(2)+StdRnk(3t) / Wij12:StdRnk(3t) / Tal11:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2t)
2 <amadeus> Pea10:123Rnk(2t)+StdRnk(3t) / Wij07:123Rnk(1t)+StdRnk(2t)
2 <mikejaqua> Mte08:123Rnk(1)+StdRnk(2)+BetRnk(3) / WCC07:BetRnk(2)
2 <Golden Executive> WCC13:StdRnk(1t)+123Rnk(2) / Tal11:123Rnk(2t)
2 <PinnedPiece> Dor12:BetRnk(1)+123Rnk(2t)+StdRnk(3) / Dor11:BetRnk(3)
2 <suenteus po 147> Wij10:BetRnk(2) / Dor08:BetRnk(3) / WCC07:123Rnk(1)+BetRnk(3)
<karpkasp> WCC13:BetRnk(1) / Wij12:BetRnk(2)
<Karposian> Wij13:StdRnk(1)+123Rnk(2)
2 <WannaBe> WCC13:StdRnk(3t)+123Rnk(3t) / Wij13:BetRnk(1)
<ahmadov> WCC07:BetRnk(1) / Wij07:123Rnk(3t)
<imag> Lin10:BetRnk(1)+123Rnk(3t)
<poorpatzer> Nor13:BetRnk(1) / Wij11:BetRnk(3)
<sakii> Lin08:BetRnk(1)+123Rnk(3t)
<twinlark> Wij07:BetRnk(1)+123Rnk(3t)
<chesssantosh> Baz11:BetRnk(1)
<Civhai> Wij11:123Rnk(1)
************* Multiple Crowns **************
* Triple Crowns: <blade2012> (Bie12), <lostemperor> (Dor06), <SloVice> (Bil11), <su3eichfeld> (Dor09), <virginmind> (Mte09), <Where is my mind> (Pea09)
* Double Crowns: <Legend> (Bil12+Dor11+Dor07), <lostemperor> (Lin10+Bie08), <messachess> (Lin09+Wij09), <su3eichfeld> (Lin10+Tal09), <zarg> (Wij10+Tal09), <Barok Espinosa> (Bil12), <chessmoron> (Bil12), <hitman84> (Mte07), <kolobok> (Dor07), <nimh> (WCC13), <OhioChessFan> (Nor13), <ooda> (Wij12), <SloVice> (Dor10), <virginmind> (Baz11), <WinKing> (Tal11), <Winter> (Pea10), <YouRang> (Bie12), <Ziggurat> (Dor08)
************ Crowns by Contest *************
* StdRnk Crowns: 6 <Legend>; 3 <chessmoron> <lostemperor> <virginmind>
* 123Rnk Crowns: 4 <Legend> <lostemperor> <su3eichfeld>; 3 <SloVice> <messachess>; 2 <zarg> <virginmind>
* BetRnk Crowns: 6 <NakoSonorense>; 4 <SloVice>; 3 <SwitchingQuylthulg>; 2 <virginmind> <nfazli> <su3eichfeld>
************* Crowns by Year ***************
* 2006 (1 tournament): 3 <lostemperor>
* 2007 (6 tournaments): 4 <kolobok>; 3 <Legend>; 2 <yalie> <hitman84>
* 2008 (5 tournaments): 5 <NakoSonorense>; 2 <lostemperor> <Ziggurat>
* 2009 (6 tournaments): 6 <su3eichfeld>; 4 <Where is my mind> <messachess>; 3 <virginmind>; 2 <zarg>
* 2010 (4 tournaments): 3 <SloVice> <lostemperor>; 2 <zarg> <Winter> <su3eichfeld>
* 2011 (5 tournaments): 3 <SloVice> <Legend>; 2 <SwitchingQuylthulg> <WinKing> <virginmind>
* 2012 (4 tournaments): 3 <Legend> <blade2012>; 2 <ooda> <Barok Espinosa> <YouRang> <chessmoron>
* 2013 (3 tournaments): 2 <nimh> <OhioChessFan>
********** Crowns by Tournament ************
* Baz (1 year): 2 <virginmind>
* Bie (3 years): 3 <blade2012>; 2 <YouRang> <lmreith> <lostemperor>
* Bil (2 years): 3 <SloVice>; 2 <Legend> <Barok Espinosa> <chessmoron>
* Dor (7 years): 5 <Legend>; 3 <su3eichfeld> <cromat> <lostemperor>; 2 <SloVice> <Ziggurat> <kolobok>
* Lin (4 years): 2 <su3eichfeld> <NakoSonorense> <lostemperor> <messachess>
* Mte (3 years): 4 <virginmind>; 2 <hitman84>
* Nor (1 year): 2 <OhioChessFan>
* Pea (2 years): 3 <Where is my mind>; 2 <Winter>
* Tal (2 years): 2 <zarg> <WinKing> <su3eichfeld>
* WCC (2 years): 2 <nimh>
* Wij (7 years): 3 <messachess>; 2 <Legend> <NakoSonorense> <SloVice> <ooda> <zarg> <iron maiden>
== Notes:
I keep track of all medals won, but in order to appear in the hall of fame, one must win a gold () medal.
Medals: = Gold; = Silver; = Bronze
Tournaments: Baz=Bazna Kings; Bie=Biel; Bil=Bilbao; Dor=Dortmund; Lin=Linares; Mte=Mtel; Nor=Norway; Pea=Pearl Spring; Tal=Tal Memorial; WCC=World Chess Championship; Wij=Wijk Aan Zee
Contests: StdRnk=Standard Ranker; 123Rnk=1-2-3 Ranker; BetRnk=Betting Ranker
t = tie
<<> = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = <>>
Love chess.
Wish I were better at it.
USA
About my peculiar moniker, "YouRang":
There used to be a show on American TV called "The Addams Family". One of the characters was a creepy 6'9" zombie-like butler named "Lurch" (pictured in my avatar, with a rare smile). In the show, someone would summon Lurch with the bell-pull (a hangman rope), which would make a loud GONG sound, and Lurch would promptly appear and say (in a deep voice), <"You rang?"> (sample: http://www.addamsfamily.com/addams/...). Kind of a dumb show really, yet it has long had cult-like following. Recently many original episodes became available on DVD (http://www.amazon.com/Addams-Family...).
Anyway, I picked "YouRang" for my user name because I was out of my mind at the time, but I'm better now.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Glorious accomplishments:
- 2005 Co-winner of <"Best Avatar" Caissar>! (thank you! thank you!)
- 2006 Biel prediction contest (1st place [tie] in final standings prediction)
- 2006 User name "YouRang" named among top 100 TV catch-phrases (http://www.tvland.com/originals/cat...)
- 2007 Defeated GM Arno Nickel (with the help of 2000+ other members & their computers) in the classic: Chessgames Challenge: The World vs A Nickel, 2006
- 2007 Took 1st place (tie) in <lostemperor>'s Final Standing prediction contest for the Linares tournament
- 2008 Defeated GM Gert Jan Timmerman (with the help of 3000+ other members & their computers) in the classic: The World vs G Timmerman, 2007
- 2009 Achieved a draw with the black pieces in my rematch with GM Arno Nickel (with help of 2000+ other members and their computers) in the classic: Chessgames Challenge: A Nickel vs The World, 2008
- 2010 On May 6, User: thegoodanarchist spotted a license plate that said "URANGG", presumably in honor of my moniker.
- 2010 Finished in top 25 with 2,200 chessbucks in Summer leg of chessbookie. (Just 2 bets: predicted Ponomariov was winner of Dortmund, and Caruana as winner of Biel).
- 2010 Won a silver medal in 123 Ranker for the Pearl Spring tournament. (It would have been gold except <Winter> stole it with a fantastic perfect final round. Grrr...)
- 2011 Won gold in <lostemperor>'s Wijk aan Zee 2011 Final Standings prediction contest by finishing in first place for all 3 contests -- absolute ranker, least-squares ranker, and pair betting ranker! Yee-haw!
- 2011 Won silver medal in 123 Ranker for Bilbao tournament.
- 2011 I was honored in a chessvibes.com cartoon: http://www.chessvibes.com/cartoons/...! [Thanks to <Blunderdome> for finding this]
- 2011 Won gold in <lostemperor>'s Tal Memorial 2011 Final Standings prediction contest.
- 2012 A pun I suggested for for the game Akobian vs The World, 2011 ended up winning the <Best Pun> Caissar award! In that game, the World team used a queen sac to force a draw with a flourish. The pun: "Drawma Queen".
- 2012 Won silver and bronze in <lostemperor>'s Wijk Aan Zee 2012 Final Standings prediction contests.
- 2012 Won a bronze in Betting Ranker for the Dortmund 2012 tournament. A complete surprise.
- 2012 At LOOONG last, I managed to make it into my own <Game Prediction Hall of Fame> by winning two golds in Biel 2012 -- both first place ties in Standard Ranker and 123 Ranker :-)
- 2012 Won gold in <lostemperor>'s Bilbao 2012 Final Standings prediction contest.

- 2012 Defeated GM Varuzhan Akobian (with the help of *only* 1500+ other members & their computers) in the classic: Chessgames Challenge: The World vs Akobian, 2012

>> Click here to see YouRang's game collections.

   YouRang has kibitzed 14183 times to chessgames [more...]

   May-18-13 YouRang chessforum

YouRang: <poorpatzer><It feels weird to have missed 2 rounds and only predicted 14 correct results, but when you take a chance it can pay off!> You only had 14 right, but 8 of them were high payoff ($2 or more) games, including a jackpot and two 1/3 jackpots. <The Betting ...

   May-18-13 lostemperor chessforum

YouRang: Congrats to the medal winners, especially <Golden Executive> and <twinlark>. Thanks <lostemperor> for running the contest.

   May-15-13 K Seegert vs M Matthiesen, 2009

YouRang: Hey, surprise, surprise! One of my puns is being exposed to the world! It's probably safe in small doses. As anyone can tell, I adhere to <the worse the better> philosophy of punmanship. Thanks for all the nice comments. ;-)

   May-13-13 Chigorin vs Davydow, 1874

YouRang: You gotta like 23.Be6+!

   May-08-13 Norway Chess Tournament (2013)

YouRang: REMINDER The Game Prediction contest for this tournament is open now that the pairings have been posted. If interested, just enter your game predictions in

   May-05-13 chessgames.com chessforum

YouRang: Could we have a page for the new Norway Chess tournament? Starts Tuesday & round 1 on Wednesday. Includes: Carlsen, Aronian, Radjabov, Karjakin, Anand, Topalov, Nakamura, Svidler, Hao, Hammer

   May-01-13 V Tukmakov vs Schussler, 1983

YouRang: <Once><in crispy situations look for moves that smite, in fluffy situations look for moves that build and in either case don't forget to spell-check.> Very creative use of the Waffle and Word Processor metaphor! ;-)

   Apr-19-13 playground player chessforum

YouRang: <playground player><Last I heard, the equivalent of an infantry brigade had the surviving Chechen bomber surrounded. If so, it seems to be taking them all morning to pry him out. And the whole city of Boston is in "lockdown" for reasons which I for one don't understand. To ...

   Apr-18-13 C Thomson vs A Magalotti, 1988

YouRang: I found that <27.g7> seemed to pop out as a viable tactic -- mostly by virtue of the fact that all other viable tactics failed to pop out. It's a forcing move, and after <28...Kxg7> the king is forced to a square where white's Q & B can hit. It's just a question of which

   Apr-17-13 P Hoffmann vs R Aschenbrenner, 2009

YouRang: Seeing the discovered attack on Pe6, I found the key moves pretty quickly: <18.Nxg6 fxg6 19.Qxe6+> Here black has the choice of blocking check one of 3 ways: with the queen, the bishop, or the knight. I ruled out the knight right away due to Bxg6# -- so I was surprised to see ...

indicates a reply to the comment.

The Game Prediction Contest

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 367 OF 548 · Later Kibitzing>
Jul-27-10		lostemperor: If it is too much trouble never mind that <YouRang>. You already do a heck of a job running this contest!!! Allow me to do some 1-2-3 Ranker statistics for our <MONKEY> random android predictor, shared winner (behind <SloVice>) of that Ranker. Total score 25 out of possible 47 points (53%) Correct prediction of white wins: 5 out of 11 tournament white wins (45.5%). Correct predictions of draws: 6 out of 16 tournament draws (37.5%). Correct predictions of black wins: 3 out of 3 tournament black wins (100%) Scoring over one third on all accounts. Not bad! :)

Jul-28-10		lostemperor: Now imagine what a flesh and blood award winning predicting Octopus would do hehe. I found this on my today's paper cover and google it on the net for those interested http://www.opposingviews.com/i/ahma...

Jul-28-10		cromat: can anyone tell me why my performance in preds are much better for dortmund as other tournaments? why is diferent this one? or is it only a coincidence? a coincidence is that i live no more than 100km far from dortmund but that´s irrelevant for predictions my guesswork is something technically. any idea?

Jul-28-10		YouRang: <cromat> No idea why that would be (and frankly I hadn't noticed that before). But yes, you've won 11 medals so far (3 gold, 3 silver, 5 bronze) and all but 2 bronze came from Dortmund tournaments! The one exception was Linares 2010 where you scooped up those other 2 bronze medals. Maybe that's my problem -- They don't play any major chess tournaments anywhere near where I live. :-\ BTW, I don't want to sound like I'm bragging, but I perform best in Dortmund myself. For my career, I have one silver medal and one bronze medal. I got the silver in Dortmund. That was in 2006.

Jul-28-10		YouRang: <lostemperor> Thanks for the link. Interesting quotes from Ahmadinejad. The always thought he was an idiot, and this fairly well secures that title. At least the US isn't the only country known for electing idiots. But to be fair to Iran, I acknowledge that there is some controversy about whether he was actually elected.

Jul-29-10		lostemperor: <YouRang> Wise words!

Sep-06-10		wolfmaster: Well, you haven't had any kibitzes on your forum in a while, so...

Sep-07-10		YouRang: <wolfmaster> Thanks, lol! :-)

Sep-14-10		thegoodanarchist: <YouRang> Does the World team understand 8 Qc2 any better than 8 Bf4? I wonder...

Sep-17-10		hms123: <YouRang> Thanks for the nominations. There really are a lot of good choices.

Sep-17-10		YouRang: <Ilyumzhinov proposes chess center at Ground Zero> http://www.chessbase.com/newsdetail... Idiotic, IMO.

Sep-21-10		thegoodanarchist: <YouRang: <whatthefat> <thegoodanarchist>, I've mostly been going over the <10...Bd7 11.Ne5 Nh5 12.Bd2> line.> OK, I will keep you listed as is on my forum

Sep-22-10		Waitaka: <YouRang> I am not sure if that is what happened to you, but some updates from Microsoft indeed restart the computer even if you configure it to do so. Once I opened a support ticket on Microsoft because of such behavior, and their response was that is by design (!), as some updates are so critical that they set them to restart the system to finish installation regardless of what user configured. They said that in case of server environments you can avoid this just by leaving no one logged on the server. You can verify the restart reason of your windows system by verifying the system event log on Control Panel > Administrative Tools > Event Viewer > Windows Logs > System. Look for an event from source “EventLog” and Event ID 6008 for a hardware failure. Look for an event from source “WindowsUpdateClient” and Event ID 19 for a patch installation, and Event ID 21 for a restart required message. HTH.

Sep-22-10		YouRang: <Waitaka> Thanks much for the info. I checked the log and I see that shutdown.exe was executed at around 9:49PM, but as to why, it only says "No title for this reason could be found". Lame, huh? :-)

Sep-22-10		Waitaka: <YouRang> Very lame... :) I am considering change all my personal plataform from Windows to Apple. Already got the iPhone, next will be the iPad, and after that, a MacBook Air. It is an expansive goal, even more here in Brazil (A 2.13 Ghz MacBook Air on the Apple US store is US$ 1,799. The same machine on the Apple Brazil store is US$ 3,484.)

Sep-22-10		YouRang: <Waitaka> I wish I had that option, but this is my office computer. I see that it was event 1074 from USER32, but I don't see much useful information from googling this. Oh well. Thanks again for helping.

Sep-22-10		Waitaka: <YouRang> If you want me to go deeper on that, it will be a pleasure. What was the text message of event 1074? It should be something like this: The process %1 has initiated the %5 of computer %2 on behalf of user %7 for the following reason: %3 Reason Code: %4 Shutdown Type: %5 Comment: %6 http://www.microsoft.com/technet/su...

Sep-22-10		YouRang: <Waitaka> Well, please don't go to any trouble. But if you're interested, it was just: < The process %1 has initiated the %5 of computer %2 on behalf of user %7 for the following reason: %3 Reason Code: %4 Shutdown Type: %5 Comment: %6 > %1 = C:\Windows\SysWOW64\shutdown.exe (JERRY-PC) %2 = JERRY-PC %3 = No title for this reason could be found %4 = 0x800000ff %5 = restart %6 = [blank] %7 = JERRY-PC\JERRY It doesn't strike me as very helpful. Maybe the cleaning people came in late and rebooted my machine? :-\

Sep-22-10		Waitaka: <YouRang> I see. Really not helpful. But it was a software initiated shutdown (shutdown.exe), not an unplugged cable or anything like that. It is more like an update requesting a reboot, or an administrative process started remotly from IT staff. But I can't tell what. Wish I could help more.

Sep-23-10		YouRang: <Waitaka> No prob, and thanks again. Last night I tried again and it finished. Go figure. :-)

Sep-26-10		LIFE Master AJ: ChessBookie Standings # 19, huh? Not bad, not bad at all. (Now I know what you do with all your spare time.)

Sep-26-10		LIFE Master AJ: BTW, good job on all your analysis in the "The World" vs. GM N. Pogonina game. You are doing a great job.

Sep-26-10		LIFE Master AJ: I am also old enough to remember "Lurch" on TV. (Adams Family?) Are you a big fan of old TV?

Sep-26-10		YouRang: <LIFE Master AJ><ChessBookie Standings # 19, huh? Not bad, not bad at all. (Now I know what you do with all your spare time.)> Actually, I won all of that on two bets -- I correctly predicted that Ponomariov would win Dortmund and I picked Caruana to be a winner of Biel. Both were $200 chessbuck bets. So, it just more a matter of hitting a couple home runs rather than a bunch of singles. <good job on all your analysis in the "The World" vs. GM N. Pogonina game. You are doing a great job.> Thanks. I've participated in past GM vs World efforts as well. It can be fun, but one can also get burned out if too heavily involved. It's important to keep it fun IMO. :-) <I am also old enough to remember "Lurch" on TV. (Adams Family?) Are you a big fan of old TV?> Not really. In fact I wasn't even a fan of old Addams Family show -- I just liked the butler. I would say my favorite TV sitcom at the moment is The Office. Probably my favorite show overall is Nova (the PBS science show).

Sep-27-10		LIFE Master AJ: Cool. ("Lurch" is kool 2.)

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