User Profile: lostemperor

lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Nov-20-09

Ñext prediction event: <CORUS 2010>
Predict Corus 2010 Final Standings:
For example:
1. Anand
2. Carlsen
3. Kramnik
4. Leko
5. Ivanchuk
6. Nakamura
6. Shirov
8. Karjakin
9. Dominguez
10. Short
11. Tiviakov
12. Caruana
12. van Wely
14. Smeets
>For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total.
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
There is also a Square Ranker, which squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner is not one and the same person as in the absolute ranker.
There are virtual-contestants <ELO>, the rating order and <CHESSBOOKIE>, the Chess Bookie game odds order here.
The three best predictions will hit the platform.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers. Don't miss his YouRang chessforum game results prediction contest during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
From a medalist there.
Good luck!
***
<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe
~~~~
suenteus po 147
~~~~
percyblakeney
chessmoron
Ezzy
YouRang
yalie
cromat
positionalgenius
amadeus
~~~~
Aurora
SwitchingQuylthulg
lostemperor
rogge
Ragh
ahmadov
Appaz
CHESSBOOKIE
nimh
Montreal1666
Troewa
~~~~
Where is my mind
DCP23
firebyrd
kellmano
Stonehenge
cu8sfan
larrewl
babakova
djmercury
mikejaqua
Joshka,
SnoopDogg
Like a GM
Gold
Silver
Bronze
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Best predictors 2008
<ahmadov> <percyblakeney>
Best predictors 2007
<WannBe>, <yalie>
Best predictors 2006
<dimradil>, <percyblakeney>, <Tassadar>
Best predictors 2005
<WannaBe>, <TIMER>
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
<Best/correct prediction on surprise players>
Best/Correct prediction on 1st surprise player
Best/Correct prediction on 2nd surprise player
Best/Correct prediction on 3rd surprise player
*
*
Awards,<userID>,1stsurpriseplayer,standing,,tour- nament,year,(prediction)
<YouRang>:SHIROV – ADAMS(F07)3 3(3.5-2.5),SHIROV1,MT9,(2)
yalie: SASIKIRAN2-3,(M7)(3)/ARONIAN6-7(M8)(4)
chessmoron: PELLETIER(B7)3-6,(7)/ARONIAN6-7(M8)(4)
CHESSBOOKIE: CARLSEN2 L8 (2)
2-4 C9/ MOVSESIAN 2-4 C9 (6)
WannaBe:ALEXEEV2-4(D7)(5)
iron maiden CARLSEN2 L8 (2)
suenteus po 147: CARLSEN,(C7),13-14,(13)
DCP23 CARLSEN2 L8 (2)
TheGladiatres: Carlsen(C8)1-2 (2-3)
percyblakeney CARLSEN2 L8 (2)
ahmadov GASHIMOV 1-3 GP8 (8)
TIMER: GELFAND2-3(WC7) (2-3)
Jafar219: CARLSEN(C7),13-14,(14)
Elixir of Life: CARLSEN(L7),2-3,(4)
bumpmobile CARLSEN2 L8 (2)
DrawingisLife CARLSEN2 L8 (2)
rogge CARLSEN2 L8 (2)
Aurora: DOMINGUEZ1-2 B8(2)
SwitchingQuylthulg: DOMINGUEZ1-2 B8(2)
OhioChessFan: MOVSESIAN 2-4 C9 (6)
ELO: MOVSESIAN 2-4 C9 (5)
positionalgenius:GRISCHUK1-2(1)L9
C Corus
L Linares
M Mtel
F Fide Candidates
D Dortmund
B Biel
7=year

This forum, through to comments and replies, has finally succeeded in solving the question, of how many ply deep a top chess player, think.

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   Current net-worth: 484 chessbucks
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   lostemperor has kibitzed 3943 times to chessgames [more...]

   Nov-19-09 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: Ooh, I made a mistake. On biggest surprise player <IVANCHUK> corbulo has an average prediction of 3 also and not 2.5 as I put it. So that means a five way tie for the best prediciton on Ivanchuk! If there was a tie-braker <NakoSonorense> would have the highest best ...

   Nov-16-09 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Thanks <chessmoron> and congratulations for winning the Tal Memorial Prediction Contest on Final Standings at my forum!!

   Nov-15-09 M-Tel Masters (2009)

lostemperor: Winners MTel Final Standings Prediction Contest at my forum: Where is my mind YouRang

   Nov-15-09 Tal Memorial (2009)

lostemperor: Results of the Tal Memorial Prediction Contest on Final Standings in my forum: chessmoron Ezzy

   Nov-14-09 YouRang chessforum

lostemperor: Ivanchuk - Kramnik 1/2 Anand - Aronian 1-0 Svidler - Gelfand 1/2 Ponomariov - Morozevich 0-1 Leko - Carlsen 1/2

   Nov-07-09 Gelfand vs Carlsen, 2009

lostemperor: Well I don't know about those 30 moves but Boris know what to do! :)

   Nov-06-09 Kramnik vs Anand, 2009

lostemperor: My guess is Kramnik will be pushing hard with white against the World Champion but can he win?

   Nov-05-09 Carlsen vs Kramnik, 2009

lostemperor: This will be a peaceful draw in 32 moves. Either this or it will be a mindblowing fight :)

   Oct-27-09 Sergei Tiviakov

lostemperor: Congrats for Tiviakov for winning the 13th Hoogeveen Unive tournament. It is okay to smile Sergei :)

   Oct-27-09 Tiviakov vs A Giri, 2009

lostemperor: Congrats to Sergei Tiviakov for winning the Unive tournament. An excellent performance from Giri also. According to Giri, Tiviakov did not play the bishop game well. 22. Kg2 was forced and he, black, should have played 23 .. Ba5 with at least equality or a better game. Tiviakov ...

indicates a reply to the comment.

TAL MEMORIAL EPILOGUE

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 85 OF 85 · Later Kibitzing >
Nov-14-09		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $32.00,Carlsen-equal-Ivanchuk, corbulo $16.00,Aronian-below-Ivanchuk, chessmoron + NakoSonorense $10.67,Anand-below-Ivanchuk, chessmoron + jessicafischerqueen + NakoSonorense $10.67,Morozevich-below-Ponomariov, positionalgenius + suenteus po 147 + SwitchingQuylthulg $8.00,Leko-below-Ponomariov, chessmoron + firebyrd + suenteus po 147 + yalie $8.00,Ponomariov-above-Svidler, firebyrd + suenteus po 147 + yalie + YouRang

Nov-14-09		lostemperor: I believe all possible Pair of Players have been predicted correctly!!

Nov-14-09		YouRang: Thanks for running the contest <lostemperor>! :-) I did pretty good, but not quite enough to get into the medals. Congrats to the winners, especially <chessmoron>, <Ezzy> and <suenteus po 147>. My picks were: 1. Carlsen 2. Anand 3. Aronian 4. Kramnik 5. Ivanchuk 6. Morozevich 7. Gelfand 8. Leko 9. Ponomariov 10. Svidler Not bad -- I had the right general idea, except that I underestimated Kramnik and Ivanchuk. :-\

Nov-14-09		lostemperor: Thank you <YouRang> Your Pair Betting brain child was enjoyable!

Nov-14-09		OhioChessFan: Chucky was the wild card for sure. On page 82 alone, there are 3 entries with him dead last, and 2 more with him 9th.

Nov-14-09		lostemperor: <OhioChessfan> Ivanchuk was indeed most surprising, but also Morozevich and Leko! Deviations per player: Deviation,Player 124,Ivanchuk 96,Morozevich 88,Leko 78,Kramnik 67,Ponomariov 65,Gelfand 60,Aronian 58,Anand 51,Svidler 47,Carlsen

Nov-14-09		lostemperor: Compare here where the the winners put the players in their Predictions: <chessmoron> 1.Carlsen 2.Kramnik 3.Ivanchuk 4.Anand 5.Aronian 6.Morozevich 7.Gelfand 8.Svidler 9.Ponomariov 10.Leko <Ezzy> 1. Kramnik 2. Anand 3. Aronian 4. Carlsen 5. Ivanchuk 6. Gelfand 7. Leko 8. Svidler 9. Morozevich 10. Ponomariov <suenteus po 147> 1. Kramnik 1. Anand 3. Carlsen 3. Gelfand 5. Aronian 5. Ivanchuk 5. Ponomariov 8. Svidler 8. Morozevich 10. Leko

Nov-14-09		lostemperor: Next PREDICTION CONTEST is <CORUS 2010> open as of today through the holidays! <:) PARTICIPANTS: 1. Anand 2. Carlsen 3. Kramnik 4. Leko 5. Ivanchuk 6. Nakamura 7. Shirov 8. Karjakin 9. Dominguez 10. Short 11. Tiviakov 12. Caruana 13. van Wely 14. Smeets

Nov-14-09		Where is my mind: Thanks for the contest <lostemperor>. Congratulations to <chessmoron>.

Nov-14-09		chancho: Great job <lostemperor>.

Nov-15-09		moronovich: Yes, great job.Thanks.Hope you enjoyed it as well <lostemperor> !

Nov-15-09		NakoSonorense: <... 27.40,corbulo ~~~~~~~~~~~~ 20.85,NakoSonorense ...> Are you kidding me?! Why can't I ever win in this contest? =( Thanks for running it, <lostemperor>. Next time...

Nov-15-09		YouRang: I think Corus 2010 will be a tough one to call. Here are my picks, for now... 1. Carlsen 2. Anand 2. Kramnik 4. Ivanchuk 5. Shirov 5. Leko 7. Nakamura 7. Karjakin 9. Short 9. Dominguez 11.Caruana 11.Tiviakov 13.Smeets 14.Van Wely

Nov-16-09		lostemperor: Van Wely last?? (;>

Nov-16-09		lostemperor: I planned to skip the annual standings from this year. It has served me and <cu8sfan> well and is a good a system as others but maybe it is better to have one result system (medals) instead of two or more. It is not final yet:) I did plan to keep the surprise players rankings.

Nov-16-09		chessmoron: Ha Ha! I was pleasantly surprised by this win. Thank you <lostemperor> for running this contest.

Nov-16-09		YouRang: <lostemperor: Van Wely last?? (;> Yes! You may recall that I took a little flack for picking Svidler to finish last in the Tal Memorial. He would have too, except that Leko and Morozevich both pulled off dramatic last-round losses to win the race to the bottom. :-\

Nov-17-09		lostemperor: <YouRang> After a quick look at the 2010 Corus list, I think there is an obvious choice of who is going to finish last. It is not Van Wely (nor any of the bottom three seeds). I will get back on this! :)

Nov-17-09		lostemperor: Actually it is a short story ;)

Nov-17-09		DCP23: <YouRang: You may recall that I took a little flack for picking Svidler to finish last in the Tal Memorial. He would have too, except that Leko and Morozevich both pulled off dramatic last-round losses to win the race to the bottom. :-\> Ahem. Was that 'flack' from me? Sounds like something I might have said ;) Anyway, there are positively no excepts, no ifs, no buts, no could-haves, no would-haves, and no should-haves about it, period. Svidler has never, EVER, finished last ANYWHERE, he did NOT finish last this time, and he NEVER will in the future.

Nov-18-09		lostemperor: Here the TAL MEMORIAL surprise players -AWARDS: Major upset: <IVANCHUK> standing 2-3 (2.5)!, Average predictions 6.34, Rated #9 Award,User,prediction: corbulo 1-5 (2.5) NakoSonorense 2 chessmoron 3 jessicafischerqueen 3 sloVice 2-4 (3)

Nov-18-09		lostemperor: -AWARD on second (negative) surprise <MOROZEVICH> standing 9-10 (9.5), Average predictions 6.55, Rated #6-8 Award,User,prediction: TheGladiatres 9-10 SwitchingQuylthulg 10 Ezzy 9 Ragh 9 rogge 9 zarg 9

Nov-18-09		lostemperor: -AWARD on third (negative) surprise player <LEKO> standing 9-10 (9.5), Average predictions 6.81, Rated #6-8 Award,User,prediction: chessmoron 10 suenteus po 147 10 NakoSonorense 9

Nov-18-09		lostemperor: These wrap things up for Moscow's Tal Memorial. See you in the Netherlands!

Nov-19-09		lostemperor: Ooh, I made a mistake. On biggest surprise player <IVANCHUK> corbulo has an average prediction of 3 also and not 2.5 as I put it. So that means a five way tie for the best prediciton on Ivanchuk! If there was a tie-braker <NakoSonorense> would have the highest best prediction on this positive upset. A first prestigeous prize still for him!:) But all five are equally close.. -AWARD for best prediction on Major Upset <IVANCHUK> standing 2-3, Average predictions 6.34, Rated #9 Award,UserID,prediction NakoSonorense 2 chessmoron 3 jessicafischerqueen 3 SloVice 2-4 corbulo 1-5

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