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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Oct-02-19
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

Next event sinquefield-cup August 16

https://grandchesstour.org/2019-gra...

Format to post your predictions

1. Carlsen
1. Caruana
3. Ding
4. So
5. Nepomniachtchi
5. Giri
5. Vachier-Lagrave
8. Aronian
9. Anand
10. Mamedyarov
10. Karjakin
10. Nakamura

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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♙♙♙

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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7346 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Aug-28-19 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Congratulations to <Diademas>♔♕ and <Messiah>♔ for winning Sinquefield Cup Final Standings Prediction Contest 2019! The latter succesful with random predictions! Second and third prizes for regular prizewinners <alfamikewhiskey>♕♖ ...
 
   Aug-27-19 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Round 10 Aronian - Ding Liren 1/2 40 Carlsen - So 1-0 45 Nepomniachtchi - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 45 Nakamura - Giri 1/2 40 Karjakin - Anand 1/2 45 Mamedyarov - Caruana 1/2 35 Round 11 Ding Liren - Mamedyarov 1/2 40 Caruana - Karjakin 1/2 40 Anand - Nakamura 1/2 ...
 
   Aug-26-19 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Round 9 Ding Liren - Caruana 1/2 Anand - Mamedyarov 1/2 Giri - Karjakin 1/2 Vachier-Lagrave - Nakamura 1/2 So - Nepomniachtchi 1-0 Aronian - Carlsen 1/2 Round 10 Aronian - Ding Liren 1/2 Carlsen - So 1-0 Nepomniachtchi - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 Nakamura - Giri ...
 
   Aug-16-19 Sinquefield Cup (2019) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Join the prediction contests forums. Predict the final outcome of Sinquefield tournament at my forum!
 
   Jul-08-19 GCT Croatia (2019) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the Grand Chess Tour Croatia Final standings Prediction Contest 2019 at my forum <Keyser Soze>♔♕♕ <OhioChessFan>♔♕♖ <alfamikewhiskey>♔ <paavoh>♖ <WinKing>♖ Join in for another ...
 
   Jun-17-19 Norway Chess (2019) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of Norway chess final standings prediction contest at my forum: <alfamikewhiskey>♔♕♕ <Keyser Soze>♔♕♖, <Penguincw>♔, <chessmoron>♖♖, <lostemperor>♖ Next tournament Grand Chess Tour ...
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 265 OF 265 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Aug-27-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SINQUEFIELD CUP ROUND 9

<Ding and Nepomniatchi showing their class again!<

Ding - Caruana 1-0
Anand - Mamedyarov 1/2-1/2
Giri - Karjakin 1/2-1/2
Vachier-Lagrave - Nakamura 1/2-1/2
So - Nepomniachtchi 0-1
Aronian - Carlsen 1/2-1/2

<standings:
1. Ding 5.5
1. Nepomniatchi
3. Anand 5
3. Karjakin
5. Carlsen 4.5
5. Caruana
5. Mamedyarov
8. So 4
8. Vachier
8. Giri
8. Nakamura
12. Aronian 3.5>
>
>

Aug-27-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SINQUEFIELD CUP THE PREDICTIONS ♔♕♖
ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 72

Score,UserID

38,alfamikewhiskey
38,Diademas
31,Messiah
~~~~
28,Aurora
25,wordfunph
24,Keyser Soze
24,OhioChessFan
22,chessmoron
21,Golden Executive
21,lostemperor
21,paavoh
21,Penguincw
21,rogge
21,whiteshark
20,WinKing
18,Count Wedgemore
15,cromat

Aug-27-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 572

SQUARE RANKER

Score,UserID

436,Diademas
425,alfamikewhiskey
348,Messiah
~~~~
325,Golden Executive
323,Aurora
321,Keyser Soze
306,Count Wedgemore
306,WinKing
305,whiteshark
293,wordfunph
291,Penguincw
289,paavoh
261,lostemperor
260,OhioChessFan
257,chessmoron
233,rogge
203,cromat

Aug-27-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 9
Earnings,UserID

$103.70,Penguincw
$68.46,Messiah
$24.74,Diademas
~~~~
$15.00,Count Wedgemore
$10.61,alfamikewhiskey
$7.50,Golden Executive
$-4.12,whiteshark
$-10.90,Aurora
$-14.74,WinKing
$-14.79,Keyser Soze
$-20.91,OhioChessFan
$-21.07,lostemperor
$-23.75,chessmoron
$-24.49,paavoh
$-30.68,wordfunph
$-30.75,rogge
$-33.80,cromat

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$17.00,Anand-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$17.00,Anand-equal-Karjakin, whiteshark

$17.00,Carlsen-equal-Caruana, Golden Executive

$17.00,Carlsen-equal-Mamedyarov, Messiah

$17.00,Giri-equal-So, Count Wedgemore

$17.00,Nepomniatchi-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$17.00,Nepomniatchi-above-Caruana, Penguincw

Aug-28-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SINQUEFIELD CUP FINAL

<Ding and Carlsen win Sinquefield 2019! Tie breaker to follow..

<Round 10

Aronian - Ding Liren 1/2
Carlsen - So 1-0
Nepomniachtchi - Vachier-Lagrave 0-1
Nakamura - Giri 1/2
Karjakin - Anand 1/2
Mamedyarov - Caruana 1/2

Round 11

Ding Liren - Mamedyarov 1/2
Caruana - Karjakin 1/2
Anand - Nakamura 1/2
Giri - Nepomniachtchi 1-0
Vachier-Lagrave - Carlsen 0-1
So - Aronian 1/2

<standings:
1. Ding 6.5
1. Carlsen
3. Anand 6
3. Karjakin
5. Nepomniatchi 5.5
5. Caruana
5. Mamedyarov
5. Giri
9. Vachier 5
9. Nakamura
11. So 4.5
11. Aronian>
>
>
>
>

Aug-28-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔♕♖SINQUEFIELD CUP THE PREDICTIONS
ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 72

Score,UserID

♔51,Diademas
♕45,alfamikewhiskey
♖37,chessmoron
~~~~
33,Messiah
32,lostemperor
31,Aurora
31,Golden Executive
31,OhioChessFan
30,paavoh
30,WinKing
30,wordfunph
29,Count Wedgemore
29,Keyser Soze
26,whiteshark
25,cromat
20,rogge
16,Penguincw

Aug-28-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER FINAL

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 572

Score,UserID

501,Diademas
462,alfamikewhiskey
407,Messiah
~~~~
379,chessmoron
374,wordfunph
373,paavoh
371,Keyser Soze
371,lostemperor
366,Count Wedgemore
355,Golden Executive
347,WinKing
339,Aurora
327,OhioChessFan
313,whiteshark
287,cromat
274,rogge
193,Penguincw

Aug-28-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER FINAL

Earnings,UserID

♔$57.46,Messiah
♕$50.36,Diademas
♖$36.63,alfamikewhiskey
~~~~
$31.27,Penguincw
$0.23,lostemperor
$-4.13,whiteshark
$-7.98,chessmoron
$-8.22,Keyser Soze
$-8.88,paavoh
$-10.77,OhioChessFan
$-12.37,Golden Executive
$-16.97,Aurora
$-17.83,Count Wedgemore
$-19.23,WinKing
$-19.73,wordfunph
$-24.34,cromat
$-25.53,rogge

Aug-28-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

JACKPOT!!
$17.00,Anand-equal-Karjakin, whiteshark

JACKPOT!!
$17.00,Caruana-equal-Giri, Messiah

JACKPOT!!
$17.00,Caruana-equal-Nepomniatchi, alfamikewhiskey

Semi-Jackpot!
$8.50,Anand-above-Aronian, Diademas + Messiah

Semi-Jackpot!
$8.50,Anand-above-Caruana, Messiah + Penguincw

Semi-Jackpot!
$8.50,Anand-above-Vachier, Diademas + Penguincw

Semi-Jackpot!
$8.50,Karjakin-above-Caruana, Messiah + Penguincw

Semi-Jackpot!
$8.50,Mamedyarov-above-Aronian, Messiah + Penguincw

Semi-Jackpot!
$8.50,Mamedyarov-above-Vachier, lostemperor + Penguincw

Semi-Jackpot!
$8.50,Nakamura-above-Aronian, Messiah + Penguincw

Missed chances:
$0.00,Aronian-equal-So, (0 winners)
$0.00,Carlsen-equal-Ding, (0 winners)
$0.00,Caruana-equal-Mamedyarov, (0 winners)
$0.00,Giri-equal-Mamedyarov, (0 winners)
$0.00,Nakamura-equal-Vachier, (0 winners)

Aug-28-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Congratulations to <Diademas>♔♕ and <Messiah>♔ for winning Sinquefield Cup Final Standings Prediction Contest 2019! The latter succesful with random predictions!

Second and third prizes for regular prizewinners <alfamikewhiskey>♕♖ and <chessmoron>♖!

Aug-28-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Many thanks <lostemperor> for running another great show and congratulations to all of the medal winners, particularly to <Messiah> on his entrance to the Hall of Fame.

See you all next time!

Aug-28-19  Keyser Soze: Thanks <lostemperor> . Great job.

Congrats for the winners.

Aug-28-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: By the way, <lostemperor> I appear twice in your Hall of Fame.
Aug-28-19  paavoh: Thank you again <lostemperor> for holding the contest, congratulations for the medalists - you ran away with it. See you all next time!
Aug-28-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: I am very curious, has anyone ever finished (dead) last in 2 categories, but got a medal in the 3rd?

Doesn't matter which category, really. I noticed that, because of <Penguincw>'s "Performance"...

Aug-28-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks Yoda.
Aug-28-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Excellent work <Messiah>! I looked it up, and I actually tried random predictions in the past. (like actual random-generated predictions) And I got a silver and bronze.

lostemperor chessforum (kibitz #6298)

Congrats to all the medallists. Thanks a lot <lostemperor>, and hope to see you at Tata 2020.

Aug-28-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: <WannaBe: ... Doesn't matter which category, really. I noticed that, because of <Penguincw>'s "Performance"... >

Yeah. Ouch when you don't get a medal, especially if you get a double clown and 4th place. And I was in first place and a non-double clown just 2 rounds ago!

But to answer your question, yes. I once finished with a double clown, and gold. Wasn't close in any ranker.

lostemperor chessforum (kibitz #5939)

What's more - at chessmoron's contest, I finished dead last in 2 rankers, and gold in 1 ranker. (the other one I got bronze) Now for that contest, it's almost impossible to finish last in 3 contests yet still medal.

And in <Golden Executive>'s contest (hosted by <YouRang> at the time), I placed last in Standard and 123 Ranker, but gold in Betting Ranker. (well, someone ruined it by playing just 1 round)

YouRang chessforum (kibitz #16942)

Someone else almost did it too but I ruined it by leaving after 1 round. (for whatever reason)

YouRang chessforum (kibitz #14465)

Aug-28-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thanks <lostemperor> for providing us with this great game. Sinquefield started out a little slow but picked up steam in the final four rounds.

Congratulations to all of the medal winners! Welcome to <lostemperor>'s Hall of Fame <Messiah> picking up Gold in the Pair Betting Ranker. I checked my records & I believe this is your first medal that you have ever won. What a way to start! Special grats to <Diademas> on picking up his second Gold in this contest (& hitting for a Double Crown). Well done!

Always fun to play here <lostemperor>. Hope to see you all again soon. :)

Aug-29-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  Count Wedgemore: Thanks, <lostemperor>. And big congratulations to <Diademas>. Wow, that was impressive. That's what I call crushing the opposition! Is that performance a new record, I wonder? 51 out of 72 possible points in the Absolute Ranker and 501/572 in the Square Ranker. Fantastic. Also my compliments to <Messiah> for winning the PB Ranker.
Aug-29-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: Big kudos to <Diademas> !

And the runner ups.

Aug-29-19  alfamikewhiskey: Thank you, all. Great fun!
Aug-29-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  Diademas: Thank you <lostemperor> for hosting and congratulations to the winners.
Especially this <Diademas> guy. He seems like he knows what he's doing.
Aug-29-19  cromat: Thanks to <lostemperor> for managing the contest, and congratulations to the winners and all participants!
Aug-30-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: <lostemperor> greattttt thanks!

congrats to all!

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