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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Jun-18-18
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

Next event NORWAY CHESS May 27 now open for your predicitons http://norwaychess.no/en

Format to post your predictions

1. Carlsen
1. Mamedyarov
3. So
4. Aronian
4. Vachier-Lagrave
4. Nakamura
7.Caruana
8.Anand
9.Ding Liren
9. Karjakin

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7075 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jun-11-18 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Dito here to the contest crew and prize winners!
 
   Jun-11-18 Altibox Norway (2018) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the Norway Chess Prediction Contest at my forum <alfamikewhiskey>♔, <Penguincw>♕, <Count Wedgemore>♕, <WinKing>♕ <chessmoron>♖. See you in August for the Sinquefield Cup!
 
   Jun-11-18 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Thanks all! The next super top tournament will be Sinquefield played somewhere in August https://saintlouischessclub.org/ .
 
   Jun-11-18 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Woo I made some bad gambles :( Thanks <Golden Executive> and congratulations to all winners!
 
   Apr-29-18 Gashimov Memorial (2018) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the Gashimov Memorial Final Standings Prediction Contest at my forum: <chancho>♔♕, <WinKing>♔♕ <whiteshark>♔, <alfamikewhiskey>♕, <wordfunph>♖, <Keyser Soze>♖ ...
 
   Apr-11-18 GRENKE Chess Classic (2018) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the GrEnke Chess Classic Final Standings Prediction Contest at my forum: <chessmoron>♔♖, <lostemperor>♔♕, FSR♕♕, <paavoh>♖, <WannaBe>♖ Join the next prediction event GASHIMOV MEMORIAL April 18: ...
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 246 OF 246 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jun-06-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <NORWAY ROUND 7 UPDATE

<Mamedyarov - So 1/2
Vachier-Lagrave - Anand 0-1
Caruana - Nakamura 1/2
Karjakin - Aronian 1/2

<standings:
1. So
1. Carlsen
1. Anand
1. Aronian
5. Nakamura
5. Karjakin
5. Caruana
5. Mamedyarov
9. Vachier-Lagrave>
>
>

♔♕♖NORWAY CHESS
THE PREDICTIONS
ABSOLUTE RANKER 7

Score,UserID

26,offramp
20,WinKing
18,Count Wedgemore
~~~~
16,alfamikewhiskey
16,Keyser Soze
16,Penguincw
15,moronovich
14,chessmoron
14,wordfunph
13,sea otter
13,SwitchingQuylthulg
12,Aurora
12,JimNorCal
12,lostemperor
11,paavoh
11,Robin01
10,OhioChessFan
8,Diademas
8,Golden Executive
8,WannaBe
8,whiteshark

Jun-06-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 7

Score,UserID

205,offramp
168,Penguincw
164,Count Wedgemore
~~~~
163,WinKing
160,Keyser Soze
155,alfamikewhiskey
127,paavoh
126,chessmoron
124,SwitchingQuylthulg
121,moronovich
120,Aurora
120,wordfunph
118,Robin01
116,sea otter
112,lostemperor
107,JimNorCal
106,OhioChessFan
97,Diademas
94,Golden Executive
78,whiteshark
69,WannaBe

PAIR BETTING RANKER 7

Earnings,UserID

$46.72,alfamikewhiskey
$33.83,offramp
$23.68,Penguincw
~~~~
$16.66,Keyser Soze
$8.98,WinKing
$5.98,Count Wedgemore
$2.86,chessmoron
$1.65,Robin01
$-0.67,moronovich
$-2.99,WannaBe
$-6.54,Aurora
$-8.09,paavoh
$-8.78,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-8.85,OhioChessFan
$-9.74,Golden Executive
$-12.79,lostemperor
$-14.12,wordfunph
$-15.55,Diademas
$-16.33,JimNorCal
$-16.33,whiteshark
$-19.57,sea otter

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$21.00,Caruana-equal-Nakamura, alfamikewhiskey

$10.50,Anand-above-Mamedyarov, alfamikewhiskey + chessmoron

$10.50,Carlsen-equal-SO, moronovich + WannaBe

$10.50,Caruana-equal-Mamedyarov, Keyser Soze + Penguincw

$10.50,Nakamura-above-Vachier-Lagrave, alfamikewhiskey + Robin01

Jun-06-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Aronian and Mamedyarov have one game less to play in Norway with <offramp> taking the lead in the absolute- and square ranker while <alfamikewhiskey> still comfortably on top in the pair bettings.
Jun-07-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Im having some trouble with my PC and am working on it.
Jun-07-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Yes I got my computer up and running again and here are the final results

<NORWAY CHESS

<Caruana did it again!

<Round 8
Nakamura - Karjakin 1-0
Anand - Caruana 0-1
So - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2
Carlsen - Mamedyarov 1/2

Round 9
Vachier-Lagrave - Carlsen 1/2
Caruana - So 1-0
Karjakin - Anand 0-1
Aronian - Nakamura 1/2

<standings:
1. Caruana 5
2. Carlsen 4.5
2. Nakamura 4.5
2. Anand 4.5
5. So 4
5. Aronian 4
7. Mamedyarov 3.5
8. Vachier-Lagrave 3
8. karjakin 3>
>
>
>

Jun-07-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔♕♖NORWAY CHESS
THE PREDICTIONS♖♕♔

ABSOLUTE RANKER FINAL
Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 40

Score,UserID

♔25,alfamikewhiskey
♕21,Penguincw
♖20,chessmoron
*20,Count Wedgemore
~~~~
18,SwitchingQuylthulg
17,Golden Executive
17,moronovich
17,WinKing
16,sea otter
15,offramp
15,wordfunph
14,whiteshark
13,Keyser Soze
13,OhioChessFan
12,Aurora
12,paavoh
11,Diademas
11,Robin01
9,WannaBe
7,lostemperor
6,JimNorCal

*Due to the one Gold rule (where only more sets of medals is awarded only if the winner is another unique contestant) the higher non-gold medal is here awarded from another ranker

Jun-07-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER FINAL
Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 240

Score,UserID

212,alfamikewhiskey
♕180,Count Wedgemore
175,Penguincw
~~~~
160,SwitchingQuylthulg
158,chessmoron
156,WinKing
154,Golden Executive
151,wordfunph
142,sea otter
141,offramp
136,Keyser Soze
136,moronovich
134,whiteshark
128,Aurora
123,OhioChessFan
119,Diademas
118,paavoh
116,Robin01
99,WannaBe
93,lostemperor
69,JimNorCal

Jun-07-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER

Earnings,UserID

$64.69,alfamikewhiskey
♕$20.86,WinKing
$19.25,chessmoron
~~~~
$12.28,Count Wedgemore
$10.20,Robin01
$8.21,Penguincw
$2.81,offramp
$2.33,wordfunph
$0.29,Golden Executive
$-5.08,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-6.15,Keyser Soze
$-7.24,OhioChessFan
$-7.95,moronovich
$-9.60,Aurora
$-11.61,paavoh
$-12.37,sea otter
$-12.89,whiteshark
$-14.02,WannaBe
$-17.51,Diademas
$-17.90,lostemperor
$-18.61,JimNorCal

Jun-07-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

Semi-Jackpot!
$10.50,Anand-above-Mamedyarov, alfamikewhiskey + chessmoron

semi-Jackpot!
$10.50,Anand-above-So, chessmoron + wordfunph

Semi-Jackpot!
$10.50,Karjakin-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, alfamikewhiskey + WinKing

Semi-Jackpot!
$10.50,Nakamura-above-Mamedyarov, alfamikewhiskey + Robin01

Semi-jackpot!
$10.50,Nakamura-above-Vachier-Lagrave, alfamikewhiskey + Robin01

Missed chances
$0.00,Anand-equal-Carlsen, (0 winners)
$0.00,Carlsen-equal-Nakamura, (0 winners)

Jun-07-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Thanks for running the contest <lostemperor>.

Congratulations to <alphamikewhiskey> for the Triple Crown. Nicely Done.

Jun-07-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Congratulations to <alfamikewhiskey>♔ who wins all rankers of the strongest tournament of the year!

Other podium places!: <Penguincw>♕, <Count Wedgemore>♕, <WinKing><chessmoron>

Jun-07-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: Congratulations to all the winners and thanks to <lostemperor> for once again being an excellent host !
Jun-07-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thanks for hosting this contest <lostemperor>. A little shaky with the Ding incident but it worked out.

Congratulations to all of the medalists! Super grats to <alfamikewhiskey> on winning gold! Even though you only add one gold to your trophy case you still get credit for hitting a Triple Crown way to go <amw>! <Penguincw> I think I have your medal & you have mine. I never win at the Pair Betting Ranker that's your specialty.

Always fun to play here <lostemperor>!

Jun-07-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks Yoda.
Jun-07-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Keyser Soze: Thanks <lostemperor>!
Jun-08-18  paavoh: Thanks <lostemperor> for hosting the competition again!

Congratulations to all medalists, especially to <alfamikewhiskey> for an excellent performance!

See you next time!

Jun-08-18  alfamikewhiskey: Thanks a lot, all :) Good fun. See you later!
Jun-08-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Count Wedgemore: A big thank you to <lostemperor/yoda>. This contest is always interesting and surprisingly difficult. Not easy to get it right. I'm fairly content with a silver medal.

And a big congratulations to <alfamikewhiskey> for his excellent performance. Smart guy this <amw>, but he is Norwegian after all :)

Gratulerer med tre gull, veldig bra <amw>!

Jun-08-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Thanks for hosting <lostemperor>, and congratulations to the winners and medalists, especially <alfamikewhiskey>!
Jun-08-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: "Attack of the Clones" wasn't that great. :)

---

Thanks to <lostemperor> for hosting. I see my random prediction method netted me a silver. I'm curious to see what it'll give me in the future.

Congrats to <alfamikewhiskey> for winning the triple crown.

See you next time, which I hope is Dortmund.

Jun-09-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: Thanks for hosting this contest again,
<lostemperor>.

This was a toughie so well done to the winners.

Jun-09-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Thanks <lostemperor> and congratulations to all the winners.

Way to go <alfamikewhiskey> with that triple-crown!

See you next time guys.

Jun-11-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks all! The next super top tournament will be Sinquefield played somewhere in August https://saintlouischessclub.org/.
Jun-15-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: thanks <lostemperor>, cheers to all winners!
Jun-18-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Diademas: A big thank you too <lostemperor> for hosting. And gratulations to all the winners.
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