chessgames.com
Members · Prefs · Collections · Openings · Endgames · Sacrifices · History · Search Kibitzing · Kibitzer's Café · Chessforums · Tournament Index · Players · Kibitzing

 
Chessgames.com User Profile Chessforum

lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Aug-13-17

♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' GAME FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

Next tournament projected: <NORWAY CHESS>

Format to post your predictions

1. Carlsen
1. So
3. Caruana
4. Kramnik
5.Vachier-Lagrave
5. Anand
5. Nakamura
8.Karjakin
9.Aronian
9.Giri

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 6715 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Aug-12-17 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Missed this one guys. Congrats to the winners!
 
   Aug-12-17 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Ooh I missed this tournament <Golden Executive>. Congratulations to all winners!
 
   Aug-12-17 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: I missed this year's top tournament but thanks all for making your predictions so this prediction game could go on! I will make the update of the Hall of Fame as soon as I have more time
 
   Aug-12-17 Sinquefield Cup (2017) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the Sinquefield Final Standings Predictions (as submitted at my forum): <alfamikewhiskey>♔♕ <Penguincw>♔ <WannaBe>♕ <Keyser Soze>♖ <whiteshark>♖ <wordfunph>♖ <Aurora>♖
 
   Jun-17-17 Altibox Norway (2017) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Congratulations to the winners of the Final Standings Predictions at my forum of Norway top tournament: <wordfunph>♔♔♕, <scout118>♔♔, <FSR>♔ <JimNorCal>♕ <WannaBe>♖, <offramp>♖.
 
   Jan-27-17 Wei Yi (replies)
 
lostemperor: Happy Chinese New Year! The signs are superb with Wei Yi on second place in Tata Steel Chess, Wesley So on 1, Xiong at first place in Tata B group and Ju Wenjun in first place in Gibraltar Tradewise master (4/4)!
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 226 OF 226 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Aug-10-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$18.00,Anand-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$18.00,Anand-above-Caruana, Penguincw

$18.00,Anand-equal-Aronian, wordfunph

$18.00,Nakamura-equal-Nepomniatchi, SwitchingQuylthulg

$18.00,Svidler-above-Nakamura, Penguincw

$18.00,Svidler-above-So, Penguincw

$18.00,Vachier-above-Caruana, Penguincw

Aug-10-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Wow the world upside down? This tournament is so crazy, that <Penguincw> with "opposite" predictions is first in the Pair betting Ranker with 5 potential Jackpots(albeit last in the Standard ranker)!! :D

Two other different leaders <whiteshark> (Standard) and <alfamikewhiskey> with two rounds to go!

Aug-10-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: I'm actually in <CONTENTION> for Standard and Square ranker??

Shocked, Shocking!!

Aug-10-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I'm ahead of anyone in any ranker?? Shocked, shocking!!

I came here and fully expected to be in line for a Triple Clown. I picked Carlsen pretty low, which is the only thing I did right.

Aug-10-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: <OhioChessFan> I scrolled back and re-examined your predictions. You'd be in great shape if you just reversed the order of the players.
Aug-10-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < Wow the world upside down? This tournament is so crazy, that <Penguincw> with "opposite" predictions is first in the Pair betting Ranker with 5 potential Jackpots(albeit last in the Standard ranker)!! :D >

Well you know, Sinquefield and Tata Steel tend to be the most unpredictable ones. Although the tournament is not over yet, if I did pull off my "proper" predictions, would that mean I would be first in Standard, but last in Betting (that's rarity in <GE>'s contest for sure)?

And well, considering I'm 4th last in Square Ranker, maybe I should have pulled off my proper predictions. Although I don't think that's how the contest works...

Aug-10-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Who called it <Penguincw>? ;)

lostemperor chessforum (kibitz #5730)

Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Right <WinKing>!
Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SINQUEFIELD SUPER TOURNAMENT <THE FINAL

<Congratulations to Vachier-Lagrave for winning Sinquefield tournament! Carlsen and good old Anand shared second!

<Standings:
1. Vachier 6
2. Carlsen 5.5
2. Anand 5.5
4. Karjakin 5
4. Aronian 5
6. Svidler 4.5
7. Caruana 4
8. Nakamura 3.5
9. Nepomniatchi 3
9. So 3>
>
>
>

Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: THE PREDICTIONS FINAL
ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

♔24,alfamikewhiskey
♕22,WannaBe
♖21,Keyser Soze
♖21,whiteshark
~~~~
20,Golden Executive
19,Schwartz
19,SwitchingQuylthulg
18,FSR
17,cromat
17,paavoh
17,Robin01
17,scout118
17,wordfunph
15,Aurora
15,Penguincw
14,WinKing
13,chessmoron
13,OhioChessFan
11,offramp

Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER FINAL

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

242,alfamikewhiskey♔
199,WannaBe♕
♖198,wordfunph
~~~~
196,Keyser Soze
189,FSR
188,Golden Executive
179,whiteshark
175,SwitchingQuylthulg
166,cromat
166,Schwartz
162,paavoh
161,scout118
160,chessmoron
155,Robin01
145,Penguincw
144,WinKing
136,Aurora
132,OhioChessFan
101,offramp

Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER FINAL

Earnings,UserID

♔$123.72,Penguincw
♕$28.19,alfamikewhiskey
♖$22.06,Aurora
~~~~~
$7.01,wordfunph
$-0.66,Schwartz
$-4.09,FSR
$-4.12,WannaBe
$-4.64,whiteshark
$-4.86,Keyser Soze
$-8.13,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-11.53,chessmoron
$-13.28,cromat
$-14.43,OhioChessFan
$-15.91,scout118
$-16.46,Golden Executive
$-17.17,WinKing
$-18.36,Robin01
$-21.34,paavoh
$-26.00,offramp

Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

JACKPOT!!
$19.00,Anand-above-Caruana, Penguincw

JACKPOT!!
$19.00,Anand-equal-Carlsen, Aurora

JACKPOT!!
$19.00,Svidler-above-Caruana, Penguincw

JACKPOT!!
$19.00,Svidler-above-Nakamura, Penguincw

JACKPOT!!
$19.00,Svidler-above-So, Penguincw

JACKPOT!!
$19.00,Vachier-above-Caruana, Penguincw

Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Missed chances (only 3)

$0.00,Anand-above-Aronian, (0 winners)
$0.00,Anand-above-So, (0 winners)
$0.00,Nepomniatchi-equal-So, (0 winners)

Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Congratulations to <alfamikewhiskey> and <Penguincw> for winning the Gold in these contests!

<Penguincw> scoring five Jackpots with socalled reverse predictions. Something maybe more should try (including me) <;)

No triple Clown for top predictor <WannaBe> but once again at the podium scoring (double) Silver!

Bronze for <Keyser Soze>, <whiteshark>, <wordfunph> and <Aurora>!

Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I missed this year's top tournament but thanks all for making your predictions so this prediction game could go on! I will make the update of the Hall of Fame as soon as I have more time
Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Thank you <lostemperor> for hosting another unpredictable prediction contest!
Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Keyser Soze: Hey thanks a bunch for the effort <lostemperor>!

Gotta a nice bronze :)

Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: I am obviously very sad at finishing so lasty last last., but I'm also amazed by PenguinCW's mad world payout!
Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: Many thanks to LostEmperor and congrats to all the winners.

lostemperor that was a lot of fun!

Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Hey! It actually worked. Well, no one likes to give out their secrets, but I just did. But it worked. I'll definitely try this again. Sinquefield and Tata, just way too unpredictable. It won't always work, but I can't stop anyone else from trying this as well.

And yes <WinKing>, you were the first to call it. :) I do have to wonder how I would fare if I made "real" predictions. Oh well.

"Only" 5 jackpots won, but a whopping $123.72. Went better than I thought.

I believe this is my 6th gold medal, which would put me at like 3rd. The HOF is not updated, hard to tell.

Thanks for hosting. Congrats to <alfamikewhiskey> for the Double Crown. <WannaBe>, the king of this contest, picks up a silver. Congrats to the other winners, and hope to see you next time, which I imagine will be LCC in late November. See you then!

Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thanks for a great contest <lostemperor>! I am sorry you missed the start to get your predictions in.

Congratulations to all of the medalists! This was a hard one to call. Special grats to <Penguincw> on his unusual...no 'revolutionary' way of making it to the top of the podium picking up a gold. I liked it! ;) Top honors goes to <alfamikewhiskey> who is playing well in all of the prediction games! Two more golds(Double Crown) are added to his accomplishments. More importantly, IMO, is that he is now a member of the 'Hat Trick' club(at least one gold medal in all 3 of the prediction contests). You are now the 18th member of this very elite club - well done!

Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  alfamikewhiskey: Thank you, <lostemperor>, for the contest and congratulations to the medallists (medalists?).

Lucky with the predictions this time, I'm beaming about being a <member of the 'Hat Trick' club> :) Thanks for that piece of information, <WinKing>.

Aug-13-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Thanks <lostemperor> for your efforts running the contest.

Congratulations to all the medal winners and welcome <alfamikewhiskey> to the <Hat Trick club>. Well done!!

See you guys next time.

Aug-14-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks Yoda. Just for kicks, I reversed my picks and discovered I'd have won gold in the Absolute Ranker. And I'd have shared all the jackpots <Penguin> hit. Maybe I'll make my picks next time, flip a coin to see if I'll use them or reverse them. Can't do any worse than my recent performances.
Jump to page #    (enter # from 1 to 226)
search thread:   
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 226 OF 226 ·  Later Kibitzing>

A free online guide presented by Chessgames.com
NOTE: You need to pick a username and password to post a reply. Getting your account takes less than a minute, totally anonymous, and 100% free--plus, it entitles you to features otherwise unavailable. Pick your username now and join the chessgames community!
If you already have an account, you should login now.
Please observe our posting guidelines:
  1. No obscene, racist, sexist, or profane language.
  2. No spamming, advertising, or duplicating posts.
  3. No personal attacks against other members.
  4. Nothing in violation of United States law.
  5. No posting personal information of members.
Blow the Whistle See something that violates our rules? Blow the whistle and inform an administrator.


NOTE: Keep all discussion on the topic of this page. This forum is for this specific user and nothing else. If you want to discuss chess in general, or this site, you might try the Kibitzer's Café.
Messages posted by Chessgames members do not necessarily represent the views of Chessgames.com, its employees, or sponsors.

You are not logged in to chessgames.com.
If you need an account, register now;
it's quick, anonymous, and free!
If you already have an account, click here to sign-in.

View another user profile:
  


home | about | login | logout | F.A.Q. | your profile | preferences | Premium Membership | Kibitzer's Café | Biographer's Bistro | new kibitzing | chessforums | Tournament Index | Player Directory | Notable Games | World Chess Championships | Opening Explorer | Guess the Move | Game Collections | ChessBookie Game | Chessgames Challenge | Store | privacy notice | advertising | contact us
Copyright 2001-2017, Chessgames Services LLC