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twinlark
Member since Nov-17-05
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My wrap of our Chessgames Challenge: The World vs A Nickel, 2006 against ICCF Grandmaster Arno Nickel is at User: World Team Tribute.

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<The lyf so short, the craft so long to lerne.>

― Geoffrey Chaucer, The Parliament of Birds

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"What we’re seeing are the puppets’... shadows jumping all over the screen. ...sometimes the puppets move in a seemingly incoherent fashion. But the puppet master is always in control, moving them, giving them voice, in a rational fashion vis-a-vis his plot for the play. The wise old Prussian, Clausewitz, wrote that war is conducted for a reason ie it has certain aims and objectives. The conduct of war may appear chaotic but war, any war, is conducted for a rational end.

So to come back to the shadow play, what’s the best way to stop a bad — and potentially deadly one for all of us — shadow play? Why, talk to the puppet master of course and tell him in no uncertain terms that he’s in the play too." - Basil @ http://thesaker.is/rex-tillerson-me...

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>> Click here to see twinlark's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   twinlark has kibitzed 17977 times to chessgames   [more...]
   May-13-17 Kenneth S Rogoff (replies)
 
twinlark: <Colonel Mortimer> <Otherwise it's simple hypocrisy, just like the 'war on terror'.> Or the resurrected "War on Drugs". Keep them prisoners rollin' rawhide!.
 
   May-11-17 twinlark chessforum (replies)
 
twinlark: <visayanbraindoctor> I mentioned earlier about the notion of the North Korean crisis being used as an excuse to station ABM batteries in South Korea. The economic equivalent of this is US Bill H.R. 1644 Korean Interdiction and Modernization of Sanctions Act which will: ...
 
   Apr-26-17 jessicafischerqueen chessforum (replies)
 
twinlark: Wombats 'R Us
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 346 OF 346 ·  Later Kibitzing>
May-02-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <diceman> No offense intended, but I can barely understand the thread of your arguments. It would help if you stick to what was actually said and argue from there.

I don't mind discussing with you at all, (I have enjoyed some of our past discussions) but first I have to actually comprehend what you're getting at.

May-02-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Big Pawn: <diceman's> posts were lucid and insightful. I have no trouble at all following the thread of his arguments and comments.

I believe the term for those that claim they can't understand what <diceman> is saying is called "motivated incomprehension".

<tl: Here's a hint. If you are going to criticise my arguments and comments, please stick <to what I actually say>, and don't interpret what I say to suit yourself.>

Yeah. What he's doing is filing your all-to-predictable responses in their all-to-predictable liberal filing cabinets.

I think the problem here is that the libs don't like what <dice> is saying, so they pretend to be unable to understand what he's saying.

Libs don't like it when it is pointed out that their responses are purposefully vague, in order to leave wriggle room and avoid taking a committed stand. That is what <dice> is pointing out and I have no problem understanding him.

<twin> and <vis> are using the old "motivated incomprehension" bit to avoid dealing with exactly what <diceman> is saying.

Well done, <dice>. When they have to hide behind phony ignorance, you know you are over your target.

May-02-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <Big Pawn: <diceman's> posts were lucid and insightful.>

If I may say so, I honestly don't find <diceman's> recent posts lucid, and so I posted a message to let him know in the hope that he would discuss things more cogently. I have no intention of insulting him, or you for that matter. I am not trying to argue with him here, just suggesting something that is hopefully constructive to further discussions.

As <twinlark> suggests, taking out strawmen arguments would be a good start. Your allegation that I am <using the old "motivated incomprehension"> and so am guilty of <phony ignorance> is another strawman.

May-02-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  saffuna: In discussing whether Trump is prepared to deal with North Korea, read this quote:

<“I hope things work out well. I hope there’s going to be peace, but you know, they’ve been talking with this gentleman for a long time. You read Clinton’s book, he said, ‘Oh we made such a great peace deal,’ and it was a joke.

“You look at different things over the years with President Obama. Everybody’s been outplayed, they’ve all been outplayed by this gentleman and we’ll see what happens.”>

"...talking with this gentleman for a long time."

"Clinton's book..."

"...over the years with President Obama."

At the time of this interview (April 17) Trump clearly did not realize that Kim Jong Il died in 2011 and his son Kim Jong Un became presidents.

May-02-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  diceman: <twinlark: <diceman>

I had hoped we had reached a better stage of discourse than what is evident from your recent posts.

<If you notice your “analysis” leaves out the “claimed” reason “for” the “changed” policy. You seem to pretend “magic” or “dishonesty” unfolded.>

You mean the gas attack? There was no investigation, only accusations, judgments and sentencing. We covered this before. There is no evidence whatsoever the Syrian government was responsible for this, so the tomahawk attack was completely unjustified.>

You can claim the gas attack wasnt real,
but it is the claimed reason for the response.

<It is a matter of record that this is the first direct attack by the US on Syrian forces.>

It is a matter of record that it's not
the "War in Iraq." Which is what Trump's campaign promises were about.

<Here's a hint. If you are going to criticise my arguments and comments, please stick <to what I actually say>, and don't interpret what I say to suit yourself.>

I "interpret" because you dont define.
I still dont know if you consider us at war with Syria? Had I known you were sensitive to my interpretations I would have just asked.
My “interpretations” are based on my “read” of your statements.

May-02-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Big Pawn: <Your allegation that I am <using the old "motivated incomprehension"> and so am guilty of <phony ignorance> is another strawman.>

It's not a straw man. A straw man is a caricature of your real argument, such that it can be easily defeated. So if you said, "Trump is a bad president" and I said, "Oh, so you think that no Republican can ever be a good president?" that would be a straw man. If I went on to *show* that "no Republican can ever be a good president" is a false statement, then I would have defeated the straw man, not your actual argument.

The "straw man" term is being misused here.

On another note, if <diceman's> posts weren't lucid and clear, then I wouldn't be able to understand them either, but I do understand them and they are clear.

I don't know where that puts you and <twin> on this. I don't know why you claim you can't follow the thread of his posts. I can.

What's the problem?

May-02-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  diceman: <visayanbraindoctor: <diceman> No offense intended, but I can barely understand the thread of your arguments. It would help if you stick to what was actually said and argue from there.>

Realize VBD that I am in the same boat.
Most of what is being said here doesnt
make much sense to me.

Let me give you my read of your position, in my lingo.

1)Trump was elected as a non-war President.
2)Trump was duped into war by the MIC.
3)A great victory for MIC and a breaking of
his campaign promises.

While there are many details, and that wasn't your exact terminology. It is what I see as the jist
of what's been said.

Here is my view:

1)Trump's war promises were to not create more Iraqs.

2)Trump sent a message after a gas attack:
“This isnt the Obama administration, there is a
“red-line” now.”

3)Because we are “not” at war with Syria.
your #1 above is still true, and #2, #3 never were.

May-02-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <diceman>

<<You mean the gas attack? There was no investigation, only accusations, judgments and sentencing. We covered this before. There is no evidence whatsoever the Syrian government was responsible for this, so the tomahawk attack was completely unjustified.>

You can claim the gas attack wasnt real,
but it is the claimed reason for the response.>

Another classic straw man argument, ie: claiming I said something that I didn't and then refuting what you claimed I said.

Please read again what I said. You even copied and pasted it into the your reply. Where did I claim there was no gas attack or that it wasn't real?

Please pay attention.

<<It is a matter of record that this is the first direct attack by the US on Syrian forces.>

It is a matter of record that it's not the "War in Iraq." Which is what Trump's campaign promises were about.>

Syria is not Iraq or part of Iraq. Again please pay attention. Again, please pay attention.

<I "interpret" because you dont define.>

Define what for god's sake?

<I still dont know if you consider us at war with Syria?>

"us" meaning the "USA"? There has been no declaration of war by Congress or by any President, only a statememt of intent that "assad must go", combined with material support for the terrorists.

Furthermore there has been no approval of military intervention by Congress, or the UN or the Security Council. Nor has there been an invitation by the government of Syria for the US to become involved in Syria. This makes the US intervention and presence of US military personnel in Syria wholly illegal.

<Had I known you were sensitive to my interpretations I would have just asked. My “interpretations” are based on my “read” of your statements.>

Actually they are not. They are simply not responding to what I write but to what you think I'm saying. The above and previous examples of straw men arguments you've used are examples.

May-02-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <Big Pawn>

<Delete them>. Done.

May-02-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  diceman: <twinlark: <diceman>

Please read again what I said. You even copied and pasted it into the your reply. Where did I claim there was no gas attack or that it wasn't real?>

My "real" ment Syrian.

...but OK, I will take the hit for that one.

This is what happens when we are walking on eggshells.

If you notice:

<Where did I claim there was no gas attack or that it wasn't real?>

I didn't use "no" I said "real."

May-02-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  diceman: <diceman:
Let me give you my read of your position, in my lingo.

1)Trump was elected as a non-war President.
2)Trump was duped into war by the MIC.
3)A great victory for MIC and a breaking of
his campaign promises.>

Let me say VBD when I say “your”
I don't mean to suggest a post has been made by you.

Simply that it is my read of what's been said,
and you appear to agree with it.

If my read is wrong, or if you think something else is going on, please clarify.

Thanks.

May-03-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  perfidious: <twinlark>, a note of thanks for that.
May-03-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <diceman>

Thanks for the clarification.

<I didn't use "no" I said "real.">

There was a real gas incident - on that we both agree - and maybe even an attack. Whether it was Syrian or not is arguable.

The point is there was no investigation into what exactly happened let alone who was responsible and how it happened before blame was assigned on a purported attack and punishment meted out.

The timing of the tomahawk attack so soon after the gas event was IMO suspicious, but that's a possible discussion for later.

<Let me say VBD when I say “your” I don't mean to suggest a post has been made by you.

Simply that it is my read of what's been said, and you appear to agree with it.>

It might be simpler if you replied to <visayanbraindoctor> and myself separately and individually, so that these kinds of conflations don't lead to further misunderstandings.

While <visayanbraindoctor> and myself agree on a great deal, we are by no means of one mind on all issues. Moreover, we are often speaking about different issues at any one time.

Our (yours and mine) views differ to the extent that confusion about our mode of communication won't help clarify the issues in our discussions to our mutual satisfaction.

May-05-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark:

One of Reagan's advsiors Paul Craig Roberts often sounds a bit chicken little-ish but it's indisputable that he is very well informed.

His take on the Korean crisis is that like the beat up over Iran which was used as an excuse to start installing ABM facilities near the Russian border it is a pretext to instal ABMs (aka the THAAD system) near the Chinese border. http://www.paulcraigroberts.org/201... and http://katehon.com/article/what-n-k...

ABMs are designed to take down ICBMs before they get to their targets and as such he sees their installation so close to the borders of Russia and China as part of a strategy to allow (and possibly even prepare for) pre-emptive nuclear strikes against these countries as the ABM batteries will presumably knock ICBMs out of the sky before they get to the USA.

Roberts (and apparently the Russian and Chinese high commands) sees this as part of the US neocon plan to ensure US domination even if it involves destroying most of Eurasia.

I'd be interested in views on how such a scenario would unfold. Let's assume that the plan is to eventually strike and destroy all Russian and Chinese offensive and defensive capabilities - with nuclear weapons.

What would be the costs and benefits of such an action to the US and the rest of the world.

Personally, I'm not sure the world could survive a pre-emptive nuclear attack on Russia and China even if they did not retaliate at all. A few H-bombs scattered around the super-continent would not confine fall out to that area of the world, but would spread quickly across the northern hemisphere and eventually the southern hemisphere. With catastrophic results.

A single cobalt bomb in the mix would end it all. However these weapons of armageddon are supposed to be banned.

May-05-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: While Robert's assertion that the Korean crisis is a US project to install anti ballistic bases near the Chinese border might be true to a large degree, there seems to be a separate issue involved. Issues in North Korea aren't simmering down. Now there seems to be an overt spat between North Korea and China.

I believe that China does not want North Korea to keep on with its nuke program because.

1. It gives US justification to push for more ABMs in the Korean Peninsula.

2. Diplomatic relations between China and North Korea aren't as good as they used to be in the past, and China doesn't trust North Korean, that it may actually use nukes against China in a moment of madness.

After the Russian intervention partly stabilized the conflict Syria, the next hotspot seems to be the Korean Peninsula.

At present I regard the chances of a nuclear bomb being used higher in the Korean Peninsula and the Indian subcontinent than in the middle east.

May-06-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: Yes, the tensions between China and the PDRK have been uneasy for some years. The latter is far more independently minded than China is comfortable with, notwithstanding its economic dependence upon China, and China's occasional votes in the US against North Korea have irritated the leaders of that country.

I don't believe North Korea would ever attack China as this would be a rapid suicide for the regime, and they must know that. A slightly slower suicide would be attacking the US or South Korea.

I still believe the installation of ABMs into the ROK is a threat of an order of magnitude greater than any posed directly by the PDRK.

Both North Korea and China (as well as Russia which shares a border with the North) require the latter to exist, the former in its own right and the latter as a buffer state with the West.

May-09-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <twinlark> I haven't been looking closely at international news recently as I have been busy writing, editing, and producing an audio-video of an Ilonggo Visayan grammar book. (Aside from my usual daily rounds among my patients, and my OPD clinic.)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x__...

The girl on the video that is lecturing is my niece. We're planning to do 12 chapters of this Hiligaynon syllabus, plus another 12 chapters of a Karay-a (a Western Visayan language) syllabus.

May-11-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <visayanbraindoctor>

I watched the first few minutes and then ran the preview cursor through the video's play bar to ascertain the visual content. My only meaningful comment about the video is the sound quality of the first part that I listened to has a bit of static or hiss it could do without. Does this video constitutes the first chapter?

It has to have been a lot of preparation and work and I hope you and your niece succeed in establishing and popularising the ebooks you're working on. How will you be marketing them to ensure they reach the widest practical audience?

May-11-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <visayanbraindoctor>

I mentioned earlier about the notion of the North Korean crisis being used as an excuse to station ABM batteries in South Korea.

The economic equivalent of this is US Bill H.R. 1644 Korean Interdiction and Modernization of Sanctions Act which will:

<...if it becomes a law [...] will allow the US military to inspect, search and seize any vessel or aircraft suspected in violation of the anti North Korea sanctions per their own discretion. It also gives the US military the authority to inspect the sea ports in Russia, Syria, Iran and China>

http://thesaker.is/the-us-bill-h-r-...

I can't imagine what will happen if this Bill passes into law as is and the US attempts to enforce it.

May-11-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <<...if it becomes a law [...] will allow the US military to inspect, search and seize any vessel or aircraft suspected in violation of the anti North Korea sanctions per their own discretion. It also gives the US military the authority to inspect the sea ports in Russia, Syria, Iran and China>>

The fact that ordinary Americans don't even realize the dangerous implications of this bill is downright scary.

May-11-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <twinlark: <visayanbraindoctor>

My only meaningful comment about the video is the sound quality of the first part that I listened to has a bit of static or hiss it could do without>

We can't get the the static out, even after I bought a new microphone. I'm going to have to ask my computer technician to check out the computer.

<Does this video constitutes the first chapter?>

Yes. So far we've edited and uploaded five chapters.

Link to the channel:

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCC...

Seven more chapters to go.

<How will you be marketing them to ensure they reach the widest practical audience?>

My niece followed the instructions for the you tube procedure to monetize the videos, but you tube says we will have to get 10,000 views first, and then subject it to a review. So she is now also trying to promote it in facebook, hoping more people will watch it.

We're also trying to explore the possibility of placing it in patreon.

<It has to have been a lot of preparation and work>

Yes, it took me two months to write the draft. As we place it on audio-video, we keep on editing it. We stay up until midnight each night.

In any case, even if we fail to glean any financial compensation for it at present, we're hoping it would serve its main purpose of trying to preserve our people's identity as an ethnic group (since we're a people holding a minority status that Tagalistas are bent on wiping out). So it may have it's uses in the future.

May-11-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <twinlark: I hope you and your niece succeed in establishing and popularising the ebooks you're working on.>

I don't know how to turn it into an ebook. Guess I'll have to ask around.

May-15-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <So far we've edited and uploaded five chapters.>

Turns out it's not so simple. The way we produce the videos is that first I write and edit the text. My niece comments. Then my niece videos herself broadcasting, while incorporating the text that I wrote with Video Editor. My turn to comment. Essentially I do all the writing while she does all the filming. We uploaded 7 chapters/ videos this way. Then she suddenly complained she is afraid of smiling because the caries on her front tooth made her look ugly and prevented her from smiling properly. She insisted on deleting three chapters, which I did. Now she wants to delete ALL the uploaded chapters except chapter two, meaning she would have to start all over again. (Not me though since I have already written the text.) We finally went to my dentist this morning and she had fillings placed on seven of her teeth. Three more unsalvageable teeth got pulled out.

Then my diabetic brother arrived and I had to admit him to the hospital for possible dialysis. I just got his BUN results, but it turned out it was just above normal. No need for emergency dialysis. What a relief.

We plan to resume producing videos tomorrow.

May-18-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <We plan to resume producing videos tomorrow.>

We finally edited, produced, and uploaded all planned 12 chapters of the Ilonggo Visayan grammar book. (I have future plans of adding another 12 chapters though.) Link to the channel:

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCC...

<twinlark> You might find the video on chapter 2 interesting. At its end, it has some tidbits on Philippine history that Manila-based educational national curriculum and mass media has placed in the Orwellian dustbin of deleted things that are disturbing to the powers that be in my country.

The video on chapter 1 brings attention to a threat to the continued existence of the world's ethnic minorities.

May-18-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <Revolting amateur footage emerged on Wednesday showing rebel militants conducting a summary execution in the town of Jasim in Daraa.

Shortly after the unarmed man was shot dead on camera in front of a large crowd, members of the renown White Helmets moved in to get rid of the body.>

https://www.almasdarnews.com/articl...

And Western media propagandizes these kinds of groups as noble rebels fighting the good fight against the oppressive dictator. I believe that the White Helmets were due to receive some kind of award. MSM keeps on citing their reports. In truth the White Helmets act as a propaganda group for terrorists.

Just goes to show how screwy the corporate media has become.

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