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twinlark
Member since Nov-17-05
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My wrap of our Chessgames Challenge: The World vs A Nickel, 2006 against ICCF Grandmaster Arno Nickel is at User: World Team Tribute.

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<The lyf so short, the craft so long to lerne.>

― Geoffrey Chaucer, The Parliament of Birds

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"What we’re seeing are the puppets’... shadows jumping all over the screen. ...sometimes the puppets move in a seemingly incoherent fashion. But the puppet master is always in control, moving them, giving them voice, in a rational fashion vis-a-vis his plot for the play. The wise old Prussian, Clausewitz, wrote that war is conducted for a reason ie it has certain aims and objectives. The conduct of war may appear chaotic but war, any war, is conducted for a rational end.

So to come back to the shadow play, what’s the best way to stop a bad — and potentially deadly one for all of us — shadow play? Why, talk to the puppet master of course and tell him in no uncertain terms that he’s in the play too." - Basil @ http://thesaker.is/rex-tillerson-me...

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>> Click here to see twinlark's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   twinlark has kibitzed 18020 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Aug-20-17 twinlark chessforum (replies)
 
twinlark: <WannaBe> True, but who cares about, or believes there is such an MO? You'd be labelled a conspiracy nut. If there is a pattern that seems suggested by these happenstances, who would investigate it further and why would they? Maybe it's all just a coincidence. Yeah, ...
 
   Aug-13-17 Kenneth S Rogoff (replies)
 
twinlark: <saffuna> Taibbi's book about the GFC and what lead to it is second to none. The Divide: American Injustice in the Age of the Wealth Gap: https://www.amazon.com/Divide-Ameri...
 
   Jul-24-17 Vugar Gashimov (replies)
 
twinlark: Let's raise our glasses to commemorate the 31st anniversary of the birth of the late great Grandmaster Vugar Gashimov: To Gashimov and to his legacy: his great games. He was also a really nice guy.
 
   Apr-26-17 jessicafischerqueen chessforum (replies)
 
twinlark: Wombats 'R Us
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 351 OF 351 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Aug-04-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <Colonel Mortimer: If Washington goes down, they'll make sure the planet goes down with them.>

It's quite a troubling notion, because there are objective indications that the US economy has been falling down over the past two decades. Let's start with the basics- productivity.

Top producers of iron/ pig iron/ steel (by far the most common industrial metal): China, Australia, Brazil, Japan, India, Russia, Ukraine (before Maidan), S. Korea, Germany. USA not in the top nine. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron#...

Top producers of magnesium: China, USA? the same article states that <The United States has traditionally been the major world supplier of this metal, supplying 45% of world production even as recently as 1995. Today, the US market share is at 7%, with a single domestic producer left, US Magnesium, a Renco Group company in Utah born from now-defunct Magcorp>

and

<China is the dominant supplier of magnesium, with approximately 80% of the world market share.>

Top producers aluminum:

<In 2005, the People's Republic of China was the top producer of aluminium with almost a one-fifth world share, followed by Russia, Canada, and the US, reports the British Geological Survey.>

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alumi...

I mentioned the above because they are the top three structural metals of world civilization.

Top producers of cement:

China, India, USA, Japan, S. Korea, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_...

Top producers of sulfuric acid (the most common industrial chemical):

<World production in 2004 was about 180 million tonnes, with the following geographic distribution: Asia 35%, North America (including Mexico) 24%, Africa 11%, Western Europe 10%, Eastern Europe and Russia 10%, Australia and Oceania 7%, South America 7%> https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sulfu..., https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:...

Meaning it's China again on top, followed by a bunch of other countries including the USA.

Since there is a possibility that the world will eventually come back to the gold standard, let's take a look at gold.

<As of 2014, the world's largest gold producer by far was China with 450 tonnes and it was expected to reach 490 in 2015. The second-largest producer, Australia, mined 274 tonnes in the same year, followed by Russia with 247 tonnes>

US isn't in the top three. China and Russia, which are also hoarding gold, are.

This just goes on and on and on. China is number one in all of the above, and in many more. (Thus my belief that China will eventually become the world's number one economy, something which many people share.) USA is falling in production. If USA is falling in production of basic stuff that makes up world civilization, it probably follows that the value of the dollar is being artificially strengthened. By its status as the petrodollar? What if it ceases to be THE PETRODOLLAR and goes back to being a mere national currency?

Aug-04-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <twinlark> I had to do the voice-over in this video myself, as there is no one else hereabouts that is fluent in all three languages. So that's actually my voice you're hearing.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uw5...

Aug-04-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Colonel Mortimer: <visayanbraindoctor: <If USA is falling in production of basic stuff that makes up world civilization, it probably follows that the value of the dollar is being artificially strengthened. By its status as the petrodollar? What if it ceases to be THE PETRODOLLAR and goes back to being a mere national currency?>

Correct, your question points to the entire bedrock of US foreign policy.

Through that lens, everything the US has done in foreign policy makes sense, however unethical it may seem.

The US isn't a traditional empire, but empire it is.

Aug-04-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  diceman: <Colonel Mortimer: If Washington goes down, they'll make sure the planet goes down with them.>

Don't worry, that will take care of itself.

<visayanbraindoctor:

This just goes on and on and on. China is number one in all of the above, and in many more. (Thus my belief that China will eventually become the world's number one economy, something which many people share.) USA is falling in production.>

The good news is the "profits"
(are you allowed to use that term when it's not the USA?) will go towards, food, housing, schools, and "the children." None of that "military industrial complex" stuff.

Aug-05-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <Colonel Mortimer>

<When that happens, the petro-dollar printing machine will become defunct, and Walmart will no longer be able to sell crap cheaply.>

Nor will any other store or industry. Again it will be the poorer sections of the nation that will be hurt the most. The rich, well they're the rich and can afford to spend twice as much of their pocket money on trivia such as food, houses and cars.

Aug-05-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <diceman>

<Don't worry, that will take care of itself.>

Unfortunately also true. The continued rise in consumption across the developing world, especially in China, means an enormous rise in energy consumption per person. Once China has even half the energy consumption of the average American, and its aiming to increase its middle class to about three quarters of its population from less than a fifth now by 2030, the planet will well and truly start to fry, both from thermal and industrial pollution.

China's pursuit of alternative energy options - and they are pursuing solar energy like there is no tomorrow before they all choke to death - will only slow this process down.

Aug-05-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <visayanbraindoctor>

<fluent in all three languages.>

Extraordinary. You must be burning the candle at both ends to do this and your main job. How many more tri-language lessons like this are in the pipeline?

btw that nasty event in the south seems to be nearing a conclusion favourable for the government. It's difficult to read the western MSM complaining about human rights abuses in relation to this action.

Aug-05-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <twinlark: You must be burning the candle at both ends to do this and your main job.> Yes I am.

<How many more tri-language lessons like this are in the pipeline?> Now that you mention it, I don't think there is any.

Aug-05-17  SugarDom: The USA won't go nuclear over its currency and the economy. C'mon.

And the Chinese are not stupid enough to sacrifice 2 Trillion dollars in foreign reserves, 1 trillion usd in American loans and another 2 trillion usd in sovereign wealth fund.

Aug-05-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <SugarDom: The USA won't go nuclear over its currency and the economy. C'mon.>

Hope you're right.

Aug-05-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  perfidious: <twinlark....The continued rise in consumption across the developing world, especially in China, means an enormous rise in energy consumption per person. Once China has even half the energy consumption of the average American, and its aiming to increase its middle class to about three quarters of its population from less than a fifth now by 2030, the planet will well and truly start to fry, both from thermal and industrial pollution....>

Had not America finally come to its senses--to a degree--by the sixties, who knows where matters would be now?

As matters stand, anyone else ever fly to southern California? Nasty business.

<....China's pursuit of alternative energy options - and they are pursuing solar energy like there is no tomorrow before they all choke to death - will only slow this process down.>

Have never visited, but one wonders when, or whether, sanity will reign amidst the frantic pace to develop at the potential cost to our descendants.

Aug-06-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <perfidious>

<...one wonders when, or whether, sanity will reign amidst the frantic pace to develop at the potential cost to our descendants.>

Yes. The "developing" world wants to "develop" to the same standard of living as the so-called "developed world"...and who can blame them? They certainly will not tolerate the developed world lecturing them about ecological responsibility, as this utmost level of self serving hypocrisy is like the argument for humanitarian intervention, totally bogus, and designed to keep the Third World in chains.

The developed world owes the development of its wonderful civilisation to the historical wholesale pillaging of what is now the developing world. How can the developing world catch up without changing the preceding exploitative economic paradigm? And how are they to do that without attracting Western corporate ire and its attendant colour revolutions?

Aug-06-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: Signs of hope from China. Their goal in lifting three quarters of the population into the middle class within the next decade or so has major ramifications for the environment, but not only are they going gang busters on producing solar energy panels both for domestic consumption and export they have started building "forest cities".

http://secondnexus.com/ecology-and-...

Aug-06-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <twinlark: The "developing" world wants to "develop" to the same standard of living as the so-called "developed world"...and who can blame them? They certainly will not tolerate the developed world lecturing them about ecological responsibility, as this utmost level of self serving hypocrisy is like the argument for humanitarian intervention, totally bogus, and designed to keep the Third World in chains.>

Apt point!

Aug-06-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <twinlark> Beautiful sci-fi like scenario!

In the end though, I think China is hoping its nuclear energy program will be the one to wean it away from coal. It seems that the Chinese are building nuclear power plants at an unprecedented rate.

Aug-06-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: I had to delete the original video above because I found significant errors on review. Here's the new corrected one.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QGe...

Not so easy or simple making these things.

Aug-13-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <Marshal Khalifa Haftar, the commander of the Libyan National Army, had arrived in Moscow for the talks with the Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov>

https://sputniknews.com/politics/20...

Libya's largest factions have gravitated toward either the Tripoli government (Government of National Accord backed by the General National Congress) or the Tobruk government (House of Representatives backed by the Libyan National Army).

The Tripoli government is associated with Islamists. The Tobruk government is secular and actively fights Islamists including ISIS and the Shura councils.

Who does US and Russia support?

US supports the Tripoli government in spite of alleged links to Wahabbis and Salafis. Russia supports the secular Tobruk government.

I keep on wondering whether the level of conflict between these two will reach Syrian war proportions.

Fortunately for the Tobruk government, Egypt next door also supports it. The Egyptian leadership seems to think that the Tripoli government is influenced by their arch nemesis, the Muslim Brotherhood.

If Haftar has been visiting Moscow, then it's significant news. Perhaps Russia will aid the Tobruk government outright with weapons and ammo? If the Russians do, the Egyptian will probably follow suit.

Aug-13-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <India And Pakistan Blame Each Other For Tensions In Kashmir Region>

https://southfront.org/india-and-pa...

It sounds pretty depressing, but in spite of the severe geopolitical tension in Syria and North Korea, it is still my belief that the first post WW2 nuclear bomb exploded in anger will be in the Indian subcontinent.

Yes there is a lot of warmongering propaganda in MSM against the Syrian government and North Korea, but I doubt if the US leadership will be willing to go nuke over these countries (unless someone as insane as Hillary gets into power and implements her plan to shoot down Russian planes). On the other hand it's quite possible that there are people in both the Indian and Pakistani leadership that see the other as existential threats. It is just a step away from thinking to eliminate that existential threat by striking first. And both do have nuclear strike capabilities.

Aug-18-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <With Kim's Missiles Powered by Ukrainian Engines US-Russia Relations Could Take an Interesting Turn

Though US could always just blame Russia as it's tradition>

http://russia-insider.com/en/politi...

This interesting article alleges that

<the IISS report says,

The engine tested by North Korea does not physically resemble any LPE manufactured by the US, France, China, Japan, India or Iran. Nor do any of these countries produce an engine that uses storable propellants and generates the thrust delivered by the Hwasong-12 and -14 LPE. This leaves the former Soviet Union as the most likely source.

Now, there could have been clandestine transfers of the engines from either Russia or Ukraine with the knowledge of the local authorities – or more likely, there might have been clandestine smuggling by the mafia from factories that are loosely guarded. The mafia is active in both Russia and Ukraine.>

While alleging that source for N Korea's rocket engines is the Ukraine or Russia itself, I find it impossible to believe that these could have been transported to N. Korea at the other side of the Eurasian continent via Russia without the knowledge and approval of the FSB, and Putin himself. The FSB must know that the transfer of such engines in N. Korea would be a geopolitical game changer.

What really happened here?

Aug-18-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <What really happened here?>

Interesting question. The black market in missile technology obviously exists but for such tech to get to North Korea takes some doing, possibly as you suspect with the support of state actors. The only one that counts here is probably Russia.

Who else gains by the DPRK's acquisition of missile technology that is as purportedly advanced as that now displayed in that country?

On the one hand, it makes it essential for the US to consider the costs of an attack on the North. The whole region gains by US reluctance to attack the DPRK, as it is likely to have acquired the technology as a defensive measure and is unlikely to attack any country, as it would be instantly obliterated. Strange as the regime is, it's not suicidal. This supports the notion that Russia may have midwifed the transfer from Ukraine.

On the other hand, the missiles may have arrived by more circuitous routes that don't include Russia including various sea lanes, in which case it may have been anyone wishing to make a dollar.

Yet there are safer buyers to deal with than the DPRK. Not that the DPRK wouldn't be grateful and pay up in full, but anyone caught smuggling this sort of technology to the DPRK, which is a long way from Ukraine either overland or by sea, would find themselves in a world of pain.

Why sell to the DPRK when there are any number of buyers closer to home that would gleefully snap up bargain basement technology of that standard?

I'd have to agree that the transfer of this missile technology was with state support, and that is tricky to decide as neither Russia nor China are overly fond of the DPRK. Neither the Soviets nor the Chinese were shy about expressing their racism toward Koreans so any alliance with these countries are for strategic reasons rather than economic or political or cultural.

Hard to say what is going on here. I'm wondering whether the IISS's assessment that <...North Korea’s Hwasong-14 missile...signifies an incredible leap in technology that is simply inconceivable for human ingenuity> is actually correct. The DPRK knows that it needs impressive military materiel, personnel and technology to keep the US at bay and not be again turned into a smoking ruin with all the survivors driven underground...seems the memory of that is engraved on every North Korean's mind through first or second hand experience.

Aug-19-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <visayanbraindocotor>

Seems that Russia is squarely blaming Kiev for the supply of missile technology to North Korea, and happily blaming Russia.

Clearly there was a state actor either doing this thing, or heavily enabling it.

Aug-19-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: A fascinating article in global research documents how passports and identification papers of the responsible terrorists was found at almost all the major terror events since and including 9/11:

http://www.globalresearch.ca/manche...

Aug-19-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Great, not they know what we know, the MO will be changed, and we will have to start all over until the next pattern's found.

Loose lips, sink ships. Lesson learned? Guess not.

Aug-20-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <WannaBe>

True, but who cares about, or believes there is such an MO? You'd be labelled a conspiracy nut. If there is a pattern that seems suggested by these happenstances, who would investigate it further and why would they?

Maybe it's all just a coincidence.

Yeah, right...let's move on, there's nothing to see here.

Aug-20-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <twinlark> That isn't the first article I have read that describes the terrorists' IDs being found in the vicinity of the crime scene.

IMO this phenomenon should be investigated properly, but as you say, anyone that would attempt such a thing would be instantly labeled as a conspiracy nutcase.

This does not mean that they were false flags. It's also still possible that the culprits were simply all recent immigrants that were taking the Koran literally, and really believed they would go to paradise for their deed.

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