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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen May-30-16
Gashimov 2016 Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

>> Click here to see ohiochessfan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 32365 times to chessgames   [more...]
   May-29-16 Jeremy Lim (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: There's a local college announcer, who says about 50 times a game, "He's dribbling between the circles." Great, that really tells me a lot. Brown doesn't waste the words to say stuff like that.
 
   May-29-16 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Safarli - Giri 0-1 Caruana - Radjabov 1-0 Mamedyarov - Mamedov 1/2 Karjakin - Hou Yifan 1-0 Harikrishna - Eljanov 1-0
 
   May-29-16 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Safarli - Giri 0-1 31 Caruana - Radjabov 1-0 44 Mamedyarov - Mamedov 1/2 41 Karjakin - Hou Yifan 1-0 38 Harikrishna - Eljanov 1-0 30
 
   May-29-16 Kibitzer's Café (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Got to add some more music here. Always time for some great guitar work. Albert Collins-Travelin' South https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lxM...
 
   May-29-16 Louis Stumpers (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: ** Elevator Answer ** Here's how fivethirtyeight expresses it: M-M(1-1/M)^N I'll type out the reasoning if requested.
 
   May-28-16 Kenneth Rogoff (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <HMM: <ohio elvis> wants to blame Carter for the ills of the 70s. I'm not so sure how much a president has control over the economy. > Words fail me. Anyway, here's just a quick sampling of previous comments you've made: <We had a budget surplus, for the first ...
 
   May-27-16 Big Pawn chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: FWIW, I err on the side of not deleting. Why not let the record stand? As for <Opt> I am fine. This doesn't rise to 1/10th the heat level of Rogoff and I am not bothered at all.
 
   May-26-16 Beer (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Congratulations Wascally Wabbit. We were tied not that long ago and now I'm 3000 behind.
 
   May-26-16 Alan Shaw (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <BP: Are these facts petty?> Yes.
 
   May-26-16 D Duhm vs A Duhm, 1900 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Again, as enticing as it was, the pun was a mistake. CG.C, you've again crossed the line between having fun with a name and making fun of a name.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 543 OF 543 ·  Later Kibitzing>
May-29-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Round 4:

Giri - Harikrishna 1/2 41
Eljanov - Karjakin 0-1 35
Hou - Mamedyarov 1-0 30
Mamedov - Caruana 1/2 41
Radjabov - Safarli 1/2 30

May-29-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: Round 4:

Giri - Harikrishna 1-0 46
Eljanov - Karjakin 1/2 33
Hou - Mamedyarov 1/2 32
Mamedov - Caruana 0-1 46
Radjabov - Safarli 1-0 46

May-29-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  chessmoron: Giri - Harikrishna 1/2 40
Eljanov - Karjakin 1/2 38
Hou - Mamedyarov 1/2 37
Mamedov - Caruana 1/2 35
Radjabov - Safarli 1-0 38
May-29-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 4:

Giri - Harikrishna 1/2 42
Eljanov - Karjakin 1/2 42
Hou - Mamedyarov 1/2 38
Mamedov - Caruana 1/2 36
Radjabov - Safarli 1/2 30

May-29-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Round 4

Giri - Harikrishna 1/2 40
Eljanov - Karjakin 1/2 40
Hou - Mamedyarov 1/2 38
Mamedov - Caruana 1/2 38
Radjabov - Safarli 1/2 35

May-29-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 4 games have started.
May-29-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: < Round 5>

Safarli - Giri 0-1 44
Caruana - Radjabov 1/2 42
Mamedyarov - Mamedov 1-0 46
Karjakin - Hou 1-0 45
Harikrishna - Eljanov 1/2 41

May-29-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  chessmoron: ♔ Gashimov 2016: <Round 3> Result ♔

<Eljanov-Karjakin, 1/2-1/2 in 41 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Giri-Harikrishna, 1-0 in 27 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['juan31', '1-0', '42']]
2nd Over, 2 points: [['wordfunph', '1-0', '46']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Hou-Mamedyarov, 1/2-1/2 in 56 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '42']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '41']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '38'], ['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Mamedov-Caruana, 0-1 in 51 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['wordfunph', '0-1', '46']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['uan31', '0-1', '44']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['OhioChessFan', '0-1', '38']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Radjabov-Safarli, 1/2-1/2 in 33 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '30'], ['SwitchingQuyltulg', '1/2-1/2', '30'], ['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '35']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

May-29-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  chessmoron: Round 4 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<OhioChessFan>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 13 points: <WinKing>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 4>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

31, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 3, 1
24, wordfunph, 0, 2, 1
23, OhioChessFan, 1, 0, 2
17, chessmoron, 0, 1, 1
17, Golden Executive, 1, 2, 0
13, WinKing, 2, 1, 0
10, juan31, 1, 1, 0
10, lostemperor, 1, 1, 0
10, Penguincw, 1, 1, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 4>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

29, juan31, 2, 2, 1, 3
25, WinKing, 2, 3, 1, 2
23, OhioChessFan, 1, 0, 2, 2
20, Penguincw, 2, 1, 2, 1
19, chessmoron, 2, 0, 1, 2
15, lostemperor, 2, 1, 1, 1
12, SwitchingQuylthulg, 1, 3, 1, 0
10, Golden Executive, 0, 2, 0, 1
5, capafan, 0, 0, 1, 0
2, wordfunph, 0, 1, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 4>

Score, UserID

46, OhioChessFan
43, SwitchingQuylthulg
38, WinKing
39, juan31
36, chessmoron
30, Penguincw
27, Golden Executive
26, wordfunph
25, lostemperor
5, capafan

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 4>

Score,UserID

3, Golden Executive
3, OhioChessFan
3, SwitchingQuylthulg
3, WinKing
3, wordfunph
2, chessmoron
2, juan31
2, Penguincw
2, lostemperor
0, capafan

May-29-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: <chessmoron> your numbers are correct but...<SwitchingQuylthulg> should have 4 in the 'Moves Ranker' category & <juan31> should be moved ahead of <WinKing> in the Moves+Bonus Ranker category since he has more points. Just a few things I thought should be pointed out.
May-29-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <Switch> had a 7 point under and should have a total of 4 #1's.
May-29-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 4 (Not 3) Results **

The crowd is still abuzz over <OCF> having a perfect in consecutive rounds. The fans were a bit disappointed that the contestants totaled 99 points and couldn't quite break the 100 point barrier. <Switch> continued to lead in Moves Ranker and #1 Ranker despite <chessmoron's> best efforts to pencil whip him out of his deserved spot. <juan31> had a strong move to the lead in Bonus Ranker. <OCF> has a small lead in Moves+Bonus Ranker.

The contestants are continuing to whisper about <capafan> and hope he can score a #1 before the tournament is over. Time is running out for the last person with a zero in any category. All the Rankers are wide open in one of the most closely contested tournaments we've had. 5 rounds to go in our exhilirating contest.

May-29-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 5:

Safarli - Giri 1/2-1/2 31
Caruana - Radjabov 1/2-1/2 33
Mamedyarov - Mamedov 1/2-1/2 30
Karjakin - Hou Yifan 1/2-1/2 35
Harikrishna - Eljanov 1/2-1/2 35

May-29-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Safarli - Giri 0-1 31
Caruana - Radjabov 1-0 44
Mamedyarov - Mamedov 1/2 41
Karjakin - Hou Yifan 1-0 38
Harikrishna - Eljanov 1-0 30
May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: Round 5:

Safarli - Giri 1/2 35
Caruana - Radjabov 1/2 45
Mamedyarov - Mamedov 1/2 33
Karjakin - Hou Yifan 1-0 46
Harikrishna - Eljanov 1/2 33

May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Round 5:

Safarli - Giri 0-1 33
Caruana - Radjabov 1-0 40
Mamedyarov - Mamedov 1/2 30
Karjakin - Hou Yifan 1-0 40
Harikrishna - Eljanov 1/2 30

May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  chessmoron: Safarli - Giri 1/2 37
Caruana - Radjabov 1/2 40
Mamedyarov - Mamedov 1/2 36
Karjakin - Hou Yifan 1-0 37
Harikrishna - Eljanov 1-0 40
May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Safarli - Giri 1/2 38
Caruana - Radjabov 1-0 44
Mamedyarov - Mamedov 1/2 45
Karjakin - Hou 1-0 46
Harikrishna - Eljanov 1/2 42
May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 5:

Safarli - Giri 1/2 39
Caruana - Radjabov 1/2 41
Mamedyarov - Mamedov 1/2 33
Karjakin - Hou 1/2 36
Harikrishna - Eljanov 1/2 42

May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Round 5

Safarli - Giri 1/2 41
Caruana - Radjabov 1/2 43
Mamedyarov - Mamedov 1/2 36
Karjakin - Hou 1-0 48
Harikrishna - Eljanov 1/2 35

May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 5 games have started.
May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: I see you 'hit for the cycle' <GE> in the Moves Ranker'. A 3,7, & 10 pointer(20pts.) - nice picken'! ;)
May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: <WinKing: I see you 'hit for the cycle' <GE> in the Moves Ranker'. A 3,7, & 10 pointer(20pts.) - nice picken'! ;)>

Thanks <WK>!. It has been a while since the last time I had a pretty good round here; I don't even remember.

May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  chessmoron: ♔ Gashimov 2016: <Round 5> Result ♔

<Caruana-Radjabov, 1-0 in 36 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['Golden Executive', '1-0', '40']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1-0', '44'], ['lostemperor', '1-0', '44']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Harikrishna-Eljanov, 1-0 in 41 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '40']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1-0', '30']]
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Karjakin-Hou, 1-0 in 53 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['WinKing', '1-0', '48']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['wordfunph', '1-0', '46'], ['lostemperor', '1-0', '46']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['juan31', '1-0', '45']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Mamedyarov-Mamedov, 1/2-1/2 in 30 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '30'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '33'], ['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '36'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

===

<Safarli-Giri, 0-1 in 43 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Golden Executive', '0-1', '33']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['OhioChessFan', '0-1', '31']]
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['juan31', '0-1', '44']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  chessmoron: Round 5 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<Golden Executive> and <Penguincw>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 14 points: <OhioChessFan>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 5>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

37, Golden Executive, 2, 3, 1
31, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 3, 1
24, chessmoron, 0, 2, 1
24, wordfunph, 0, 2, 1
23, OhioChessFan, 1, 0, 2
20, Penguincw, 1, 1, 1
20, WinKing, 2, 2, 0
10, juan31, 1, 1, 0
10, lostemperor, 1, 1, 0
0, capafan, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 5>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

37, OhioChessFan, 1, 1, 2, 4
36, juan31, 2, 3, 2, 3
26, WinKing, 3, 3, 1, 2
23, lostemperor, 2, 2, 1, 2
20, chessmoron, 3, 0, 1, 2
20, Penguincw, 2, 1, 2, 1
14, SwitchingQuylthulg, 1, 4, 1, 0
10, Golden Executive, 0, 2, 0, 1
10, wordfunph, 0, 2, 0, 1
5, capafan, 0, 0, 1, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 5>

Score, UserID

60, OhioChessFan
47, Golden Executive
46, juan31
46, WinKing
45, SwitchingQuylthulg
44, chessmoron
40, Penguincw
34, wordfunph
33, lostemperor
5, capafan

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 5>

Score,UserID

6, Golden Executive
4, SwitchingQuylthulg
4, WinKing
3, chessmoron
3, OhioChessFan
3, Penguincw
3, wordfunph
2, juan31
2, lostemperor
0, capafan

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