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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Apr-26-15
Tata Steel Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

Chessgames.com tournament page:
Carlsen-Anand World Championship (2014)

Official site:

Tournament live games:

Live games with Rybka analysis (Not active for Tata): http://www.chessok.com/?page_id=139

Alternate live games:
http://www.chessdom.com/tata-steel-...

***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

Last Year's Tournament Results: Tata Steel 2014

<Karposian> Tat14:BonusRnk(1) + StdMv/Bonus(1)

<juan31> Tat14:StdMvRnk(1t) + StdMv/Bonus(2) + 1stRanker(2t)

<SwitchingQuylthulg> Tat14:StdMvRnk(1t) + 1stRanker(2t)

<Golden Executive> Tat14:StdMvRnk(3) + 1stRanker(1)

<WinKing> Tat14:StdMvRnk(2) + StdMv/Bonus(3) + 1stRanker(3t)

<Penguincw> Tat14:BonusRnk(2)

<chessmoron> Tat14:BonusRnk(3)

<NakoSonorense> Tat14:1stRanker(3t)

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

>> Click here to see ohiochessfan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 29917 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Apr-26-15 OhioChessFan chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: ** Final Recap ** A strange ending to the contest, as <chessmoron> has forsaken his duties for a tryout with the Miami Heat. He apparently didn't hear Lebron is now in Cleveland. If he can just convince them he's Yao Ming, he might be on TV next year. <WinKing> ...
 
   Apr-25-15 YouRang chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mamedyarov - Adams 1/2 Caruana - Anand 1/2 Carlsen - Mamedov 1/2 Vachier-Lagrave - So 1/2 Giri - Kramnik 0-1
 
   Apr-25-15 PinnedPiece chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: <there is a conceit in the younger generation of managers that things are different in the IT/TECH/online training world that requires new grads over older graybeards.> There is also the viewpoint that the new grads are cheaper, and are less knowledgable so they take ...
 
   Apr-25-15 Robert James Fischer (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <Howard> yeah, I almost posted my Olympic highlights but decided against it. It really is time for this conversation to move somewhere more appropriate. I wonder what this page would be like if we had a 30 year old Fischer moderating it for content.
 
   Apr-25-15 W So vs Carlsen, 2015 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: And MC releases the tension. Oh well.
 
   Apr-24-15 jessicafischerqueen chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: User: Alice User: cooper User: wild User: PAR User: TEE
 
   Apr-24-15 Carlsen vs Kramnik, 2015 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Uhoh. I think Black's in trouble now.
 
   Apr-23-15 Ding Liren vs S Shankland, 2015 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: 63...Qxe5 64. dxe5 Ke7 65. f4 and the Black King is completely shut out of the position. He can't push the d Pawn or the White King will easily walk over and take it long before the Black King can get there via the a file. [DIAGRAM] So from that position, the d Pawn can't move
 
   Apr-23-15 Kenneth Rogoff (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <zanzy: While search for images with a google search of <vladimir lenin chess 64> I came across these three pictures under a Susan Polgar blogspot entry.> My caption contest entries: 1. http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-V8VT2S4rt... "You <will> be able to keep your ...
 
   Apr-22-15 chessgames.com chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <How do you people get your mind off from chess? Advice would be appreciated. Thanks.> The people here are probably in the same boat.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 479 OF 479 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 8 Recap **

We are almost through this tournament already. In the Moves Ranker, <WinKing> holds a small lead. 3 people are within 7 points, the magic number. In Bonus Ranker, <GE> has a small lead over <WinKing> In Moves+Bonus Ranker, <WinKing> and <chessmoron> are way ahead of the field. In the #1 Ranker, <lostemperor> leads a really tight contest. <OhioChessFan> is nowhere in sight in any Ranker. Tomorrow is the last round. It starts one hour earlier than all the previous founds, 5 AM chessgames.com time. Don't be late.

<chessmoron> lives on the other side of the world and they don't know how to tell time there. It will be like 3 AM next Tuesday or 2 PM last Thursday or something when the games finish, so we might have to wait a bit for the final standings. Be patient.

Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Won first place in <1st Ranker> last tournament, took 8 rounds and 40 games to achieve a score of <one> this tournament. :| (well, it could be worse)

<WinKing> looks like he has a good chance to win a quadruple crown...

With nothing to lose, here are my predictions:

Round 9:

Mamedyarov - Adams 1/2-1/2 20
Caruana - Anand 1/2-1/2 30
Carlsen - Mamedov 1/2-1/2 40
Vachier-Lagrave - So 1/2-1/2 30
Giri - Kramnik 0-1 35

Apr-25-15  chessmoron: <OhioChessFan> I'm back to the states now however I am taking my talents to South Beach tonight. Just kidding. Taking a bit of vacation in Miami so I hope <WinKing> can post final round results for tomorrow.
Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: <chessmoron: Taking a bit of vacation in Miami so I hope <WinKing> can post final round results for tomorrow.>

No problem <chessmoron>. I will post the final results. Might be sometime in the afternoon as I have a few errands to run tomorrow. As far as the medals go I will list them but they will be 'pending' your final ok.

Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: Round 9

Mamedyarov - Adams 1/2 40
Caruana - Anand 1/2 39
Carlsen - Mamedov 1-0 40
Vachier-Lagrave - So 1/2 43
Giri - Kramnik 0-1 43

Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Karposian: Round 9:

Mamedyarov - Adams 1/2 37
Caruana - Anand 1/2 41
Carlsen - Mamedov 1-0 34
Vachier-Lagrave - So 1/2 41
Giri - Kramnik 1/2 46

Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Mamedyarov - Adams 1/2 36
Caruana - Anand 1/2 47
Carlsen - Mamedov 1/2 40
Vachier-Lagrave - So 1/2 32
Giri - Kramnik 0-1 30
Apr-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Round 9:

Mamedyarov - Adams 1/2 40
Caruana - Anand 1/2 40
Carlsen - Mamedov 1-0 33
Vachier-Lagrave - So Wesley 1/2 40
Giri - Kramnik 1/2 33

Apr-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 9:

Mamedyarov - Adams 1/2 38
Caruana - Anand 1/2 43
Carlsen - Mamedov 1-0 40
Vachier-Lagrave - So 1/2 42
Giri - Kramnik 1/2 34

Apr-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Round 9 - Sun Apr 26

Mamedyarov - Adams 1/2 40
Caruana - Anand 1/2 42
Carlsen - Mamedov 1-0 40
Vachier-Lagrave - So 1/2 43
Giri - Kramnik 1/2 41

Apr-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Games have started.
Apr-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: ♔ Gashimov Memorial 2015: <Round 9> Result ♔

<Mamedyarov-Adams, 1/2-1/2 in 27 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['PinnedPiece', '1/2-1/2', '26']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '20']] 3rd Under, 5 points: []

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

===

<Caruana-Anand, 1/2-1/2 in 36 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['PinnedPiece', '1/2-1/2', '26']] 3rd Under, 5 points: []

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

===

<Carlsen - Mamedov, 1-0 in 35 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['chessmoron', '1-0, '34'], ['Kaprosian', '1-0', '34']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['Golden Executive', '1-0', '33']] 3rd Under, 5 points: []

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Robin01', '1-0', '37']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['juan31', '1-0', '40'], ['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1-0', '40'] ['WinKing', '1-0', '40']]

===

<Vachier-Lagrave - So, 1/2-1/2 in 55 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '44']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '43'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '43']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Giri - Kramnik, 1/2-1/2 in 80 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Kaprosian', '1/2-1/2', '46']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '41'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Apr-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: <GE> & <Penguincw> please look over the results to see if all looks ok -thanks!
Apr-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: The scoring sheet looks good. :)

P.S. <Your> scoring sheet looks good, but <mine> does not, as I forgot 2 users, so it may take some time for me to review the standings, but not much.

Apr-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Excelent job again <WinKing>.
Apr-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thanks guys! Take your time <Penguincw>. I'm triple checking everything myself.
Apr-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Round 9 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<None>

Highest score in the Bonus Ranker: 13 points: <WinKing>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 9>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

♔51, chessmoron, 1, 4, 2
♔51, Karposian, 1, 4, 2
♔51, lostemperor, 2, 5, 1
♘48, WinKing, 0, 4, 2
♗41, juan31, 0, 3, 2
♗41, PinnedPiece, 2, 5, 0
~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*
24, wordfunph, 1, 3, 0
17, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 1
17, Penguincw, 0, 1, 1
14, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 2, 0
10, Golden Executive, 1, 1, 0
3, bubuli55, 1, 0, 0
0, Robin01, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 9>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

♔71, Golden Executive, 4, 3, 5, 6
♔71, WinKing, 5, 3, 0, 10
♘57, chessmoron, 1, 4, 6, 3
♗54, SwitchingQuylthulg, 4, 2, 2, 6
~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*
45, Penguincw, 3, 0, 6, 2
45, juan31, 3, 4, 2, 4
40, OhioChessFan, 3, 5, 3, 2
40, PinnedPiece, 0, 1, 4, 3
39, lostemperor, 3, 3, 0, 5
32, Robin01, 1, 4, 1, 3
14, Karposian, 0, 4, 0, 1
13, bubuli55, 0, 1, 1, 1
10, wordfunph, 3, 1, 1, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 9>

Score, UserID

♔119, WinKing
♘108, chessmoron
♗90, lostemperor
~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*
86, juan31
81, Golden Executive
81, PinnedPiece
68, SwitchingQuylthulg
65, Karposian
62, Penguincw
57, OhioChessFan
34, wordfunph
32, Robin01
16, bubuli55

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 9>

Score,UserID

♔8, lostemperor
♘7, chessmoron
♘7, Karposian
♘7, PinnedPiece
♗6, WinKing
~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*
5, juan31
4, wordfunph
2, Golden Executive
2, OhioChessFan
2, Penguincw
2, SwitchingQuylthulg
1, bubili55
0, Robin01

Apr-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Looking good once again <WinKing>. :)

< WinKing: Thanks guys! Take your time <Penguincw>. I'm triple checking everything myself. >

Hehe, my problem is that I lack patience. I don't like to be kept waiting nor do I like to keep people waiting (could be some ADHD or anxiety problem, as these posts may suggest: OhioChessFan chessforum (kibitz #11578) and OhioChessFan chessforum (kibitz #11579)). You can tell because I don't hesitate to post something without double checking. I'll try to change my attitude for the future. Sorry for any problems...

Apr-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: ♙<WINNER'S CORNER>

♔♔♘♗ <WinKing> Gash2:BonusRnk(1t) + Gash2:StdMv/Bonus(1) + Gash2:StdMvRnk(2) + Gash2:1stRanker(3)

♔♔♗ <lostemperor> Gash2:StdMvRnk(1t) + Gash2:1stRanker(1) + Gash2:StdMv/Bonus(3)

♔♘♘♘ <chessmoron> Gash2:StdMvRnk(1t) + Gash2:BonusRnk(2) + Gash2:StdMv/Bonus(2) + Gash2:1stRanker(2t)

♔♘ <Karposian> Gash2:StdMvRnk(1t) + Gash2:1stRanker(2t)

<Golden Executive> Gash2:BonusRnk(1t)

♘♗ <PinnedPiece> Gash2:1stRanker(2t) + Gash2:StdMvRnk(3t)

<juan31> Gash2:StdMvRnk(3t)

<SwitchingQuylthulg> Gash2:BonusRnk(3)

Apr-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: If any corrections need to be made the ball is in <chessmoron>'s court now. ;) These medals still have to be given <chessmoron>'s blessing before they become official.
Apr-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Thanks to <chessmoron> and <OCF> for hosting, and also to <GE> and <WK> for helping.

Assuming everything is official:

Great performance by <WinKing> as he not only helped with 2 of the rounds, but he was rewarded with, 2 gold medals (and 2 runner-up medals) for his 2nd double crown (go ahead and say that twice). Also picking up a double crown is <lostemperor>, his 1st, as he now moves into 3rd place overall. Also congrats to <GE> for his gold to pass me on the overall list for 9th (grr). I also shouldn't forget <Karposian> who won a gold medal to <approach> me on the overall list. <chessmoron> also picks up 3 silver as he now has 36 non-gold medals compared to <WinKing>'s 34. Also congrats to everyone else who I failed to mention.

I'm going to assume the next tournament is Norway + Dortmund, but until then...

(I think I've had enough <cg> time for now)

Apr-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Karposian: Thanks, <OCF> and <chessmoron> for another great contest.

Thanks also to <WinKing>, <Penguincw> and <GE> for posting/checking scores etc. You guys are doing a great job, as always.

Congrats to all the medal winners.

<Penguincw: I also shouldn't forget <Karposian> who won a gold medal to <approach> me on the overall list.>

Thanks, <Penguincw>. Next time it won't be <approach>, but <surpass> :)

Apr-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: A lot of fun as usual.Thanks to the crew <OhioChessFan>,<chessmoron>,<WinKing> & <Penguincw> and congratulations to all the medal winners!

See you guys and gals the next time!

Apr-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Thanks to <chessmoron>, <OhioChessFan> and their helpers, and congratulations to the winners!
Apr-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Final Recap **

A strange ending to the contest, as <chessmoron> has forsaken his duties for a tryout with the Miami Heat. He apparently didn't hear Lebron is now in Cleveland. If he can just convince them he's Yao Ming, he might be on TV next year. <WinKing> stepped to the plate and amazingly enough ended up winning 2 gold medals, which was sheer coincidence. There was a 3 way tie amongst <chessmoron> <Karposian> and <lostemperor> for the gold medal in Moves Ranker, to be decided by an online game of Rock Scissors Paper. <lostemperor> won the quietest 2 golds in history, so quiet <OhioChessFan> is still not quite sure he did. <GE> brought good things to life with a gold in the Bonus ranker.

Thanks to everyone for playing and to <chessmoron> giving us 8 good rounds before abandoning ship. Thanks to <WinKing> who took advantage of the official scorer's table to pencil whip himself some gold medals. Thanks to <Penguincw> for double checking his way to admitting he didn't know what he was doing, which made many of the contestants in this event feel better.

Not sure what <chessmoron> has in mind for the next event, although it's 100% certain he is laying on the beach this very instant worrying about it.

Thanks for playing!

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