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Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-27-14
Sinquefield Cup Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing. tournament page:
Carlsen-Anand World Championship (2014)

Official site:

Tournament live games:

Live games with Rybka analysis (Not active for Tata):

Alternate live games:

***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

Last Tournament Results: Tata Steel 2014

<Karposian> Tat14:BonusRnk(1) + StdMv/Bonus(1)

<juan31> Tat14:StdMvRnk(1t) + StdMv/Bonus(2) + 1stRanker(2t)

<SwitchingQuylthulg> Tat14:StdMvRnk(1t) + 1stRanker(2t)

<Golden Executive> Tat14:StdMvRnk(3) + 1stRanker(1)

<WinKing> Tat14:StdMvRnk(2) + StdMv/Bonus(3) + 1stRanker(3t)

<Penguincw> Tat14:BonusRnk(2)

<chessmoron> Tat14:BonusRnk(3)

<NakoSonorense> Tat14:1stRanker(3t)


[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

>> Click here to see ohiochessfan's game collections. Full Member

   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 28699 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-27-14 jessicafischerqueen chessforum
OhioChessFan: User: Blue User: Link User: TheBeatles User: Song User: strawberry User: Fields User: 4444 User: eve User: rrr
   Nov-27-14 Kenneth Rogoff (replies)
OhioChessFan: User: happy User: Blue User: link User: tank User: sss User: Gib User: Ing User: chancho
   Nov-27-14 Kibitzer's Café (replies)
OhioChessFan: <spysfi> I'll take a shot. Odds of being the next champ: 1. Caruana 50% 2. Field 29% 3. Nakamura 11% 4. Giri 10%
   Nov-27-14 Biographer Bistro (replies)
OhioChessFan: Game Collection: Portisch - Spassky Candidates Quarterfinal 1980 <Now they would meet again in Mexico, who had lobbied within FIDE> I think "which" would be a tiny bit better than "who". <announced that pesos had been donated and that the winner would get 180,000, the ...
   Nov-26-14 S Halkias vs Kramnik, 2014 (replies)
OhioChessFan: I'm kind of with <Pulo> to the degree I think taking the draw was premature, although I don't think this is close to winning. But a Pawn up, no tactical shots available for Black, he'd have had to work hard to lose this, why not play on a little?
   Nov-26-14 G Gasparov
OhioChessFan: I heard Gaspy has trouble breathing during those cold Russian winters.
   Nov-26-14 The World vs Naiditsch, 2014 (replies)
   Nov-25-14 BLarsen1967 chessforum
OhioChessFan: You've gone a year without posting. I probably am not alone in thinking I often read your posts, especially about the women player, but never comment on them. Anyway, you've got an audience of at least one.
   Nov-25-14 Louis F Stumpers (replies)
OhioChessFan: Lovely, <Schwarz> and I am sure I'm not the only person who likes the non-math questions asked on this page(I think "road" is a bit of an unfair red herring, although it would be kind of hard to ask the question any other way). The math questions might as well be like ...
   Nov-23-14 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
OhioChessFan: Thanks <Penguin> and of course you realize I deleted a post each of us made in the middle of the final results once they were fixed. Glad you're around to double check the work.
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 458 OF 458 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Premium Chessgames Member
  bubuli55: Maybe I should have placed a bet for game 12 as well.
Nov-21-14  Penguincw: < <Penguincw> has finally scored in Bonus Ranker and hopefully his whining would die down. >

Sorry, I've been dealing with a lot of problems in my personal life recently. And yes, there's been a <lot> of complaining involved.

Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <Penguin> nothing is ever to be taken seriously in this forum.

<bubulli> yep, I am regretting that. I think there was only one pick for a 12th game.

Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: <keypusher: Woo hoo, tied for first with the Nostradamus of, <Golden Executive>! Er, what's the five point deduction rule?>

Donīt worry about that, you will not be affected. Itīs a prophecy!

Premium Chessgames Member
  bubuli55: < Elvis > only one thought this is going the full distance? Let it be. He deserves it :)
Premium Chessgames Member
  keypusher: Since I predicted a draw in 11 and that that match would end in 11, I am sure to be wrong at least in part. It was stupid for me to predict a win for Carlsen in 10, since according to my own match score prediction it was would not be (and was not) a must win for Anand.
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: As we await the final results, a few shoutouts. Thanks, of course, to <chessmoron> who runs the contest in between his gig as a Yao Ming impersonator. Thanks to everyone for playing, especially our first timers. Thanks, sort of, to <JFQ> for browbeating....errrrrr.....kindly suggesting we use the Menkey Picker. The Menkey didn't finish last, which doesn't surprise me. I'm hoping we'll be here for Wijk Aan Zee in January.
Nov-23-14  chessmoron: K WCC 2014: Results K

<Game 10> <Anand-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 32 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '31']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '35']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '38'], ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '38']]


<Game 11> <Carlsen-Anand, 1-0 in 45 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Mendrys', '1-0', '42']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1-0', '38']]
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['call14', '1-0', '58']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['The Menkey', '1-0', '83']]


K <Golden Executive> WCC14: StdMv/Bonus(1t)

K <keypusher> WCC14: StdMv/Bonus(1t)

K <SwitchingQuylthulg> WCC14: StdMv/Bonus(1t)

N <bubuli55> WCC14: StdMv/Bonus(2t)

N <call14> WCC14: StdMv/Bonus(2t)

N <chessmoron> WCC14: StdMv/Bonus(2t)

B <Mendrys> WCC14: StdMv/Bonus(3)

Nov-23-14  chessmoron: That's all <folks>. Thanks again for joining. Hopefully I can see you all back for another WCC match next year.

The regular prediction contest will suit up for Tata Steel in January. Be sure to look out for that.

Thanks again.

Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: **Final Recap**

A fine WCC victory by Carlsen. An interesting new process by <chessmoron> New people. The Menkey. A 3 way tie for the Gold Medal. Congratulations to <GE> <keyring> and <Switchamacallit> in the inaugural Moves Prediction Contest where all entries had to be received before the start of play. Congrats also to the other medal winners, <WoolyBully> <CallMeMaybe> <chessmaroon> and <Mendrys> I sort of wanted to mock <chancho> for losing to <TheMenkey> but <TheMenkey> in fact did pick a game 12 and therefore lost 5 points. Oh, it's my forum, I'll do what I want:

User: haha

User: chancho

User: lost

User: too

User: themonkey

Thanks for playing everyone.

Nov-23-14  chessmoron: <Let's gloat on The Menkey, first ever player with a negative>

FINAL Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions goes to:


<Nostradamus predictor (s)> on only results:

<OhioChessFan> with 8/11 correct

Moves+Bonus Ranker - <FINAL>

Score, UserID, Deduction

K 19, Golden Executive
K 19, keypusher
K 19, SwitchingQuylthulg
N 15, bubuli55
N 15, call14
N 15, chessmoron
B 14, Mendrys
12, jessicafischerqueen
12, OhioChessFan
12, Penguincw
10, PinnedPiece
9, siamesedream
8, juan31
6, john barleycorn
5, Karposian
4, jared10001
2, chancho
1, wordfunph, -5
-2, The Menkey, -5

<How the calculations goes>:

Moves Ranker - <FINAL>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

17, keypusher, 0, 1, 1
14, bubuli55, 0, 2, 0
10, chessmoron, 0, 0, 1
10, Penguincw, 1, 1, 0
7, Golden Executive, 0, 1, 0
7, jessicafischerqueen, 0, 1, 0
7, juan31, 0, 1, 0
7, Mendrys, 0, 1, 0
7, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 1, 0
3, OhioChessFan, 1, 0, 0

Bonus Ranker - <FINAL>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

15, call14, 2, 1, 1, 1
12, Golden Executive, 1, 0, 1, 1
12, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 0, 0, 2
10, PinnedPiece, 0, 0, 2, 0
9, OhioChessFan, 1, 1, 0, 1
9, siamesedream, 1, 1, 0, 1
7, Mendrys, 1, 0, 0, 1
6, john barleycorn, 0, 0, 0, 1
6, wordfunph, 0, 0, 0, 1
5, chessmoron, 1, 2, 0, 0
5, jessicafischerqueen, 0, 0, 1, 0
5, Karposian, 0, 0, 1, 0
4, jared10001, 0, 2, 0, 0
3, The Menkey, 1, 1, 0, 0
2, chancho, 0, 1, 0, 0
2, keypusher, 2, 0, 0, 0
2, Penguincw, 0, 1, 0, 0
1, bubuli55, 1, 0, 0, 0
1, juan31, 1, 0, 0, 0

Premium Chessgames Member
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Okay <chancho> snuck by <TheMenkey>
Premium Chessgames Member

User: you

User: can

User: not

User: win

User: the

User: mmm

User: all

User: mmm

User: yyy

User: friend

User: haha

Nov-23-14  Penguincw: Thanks to <chessmoron> and <OCF> for hosting, and congrats to all the medalists.

By the way, <chessmoron> if you're planning to update the medalists, please see this post first: OhioChessFan chessforum. Thanks.

< The regular prediction contest will suit up for Tata Steel in January. >

I was looking forward to LCC, but I'll stop whining...

P.S. If anyone actually cares, I have updated (or about to) the gold medal leaders for this contest. See User: Gold Medal Leaders for details.

Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks <Penguin> and of course you realize I deleted a post each of us made in the middle of the final results once they were fixed. Glad you're around to double check the work.
Nov-23-14  chessmoron: <Penguincw> I have updated the medalists. You will see that after when Tata Steel 2015 winners will be announced.

However the winner's here in WCC14 will not be in the regular <WINNER'S CORNER>. It will have it's separate <WINNER'S CORNER> for the WCC Match.

Premium Chessgames Member
  keypusher: Thanks everyone, and thanks especially <OCF> and <chessmoron>. I've never done one of these, but I enjoyed it.

Probably like a lot of people, I predicted the overall match correctly (+3-1=7) but I was right for the wrong reasons. Anand was both more aggressive and more blunder-prone than I expected. I wasn't overly impressed with Carlsen's play, Game 2 and some nice defensive efforts aside.

Hoping for Carlsen-Caruana in 2016, and all honor to Vishy for a valiant effort!

Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: Chessmoron y OhioChessFan;
as always thanks for all your attentions, congratulations to the winners. Gracias
Premium Chessgames Member
  bubuli55: Thanks to everyone esp < chessmoron > and < OhioChessFan > :)
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Thanks to <chessmoron> and <OhioChessFan>, and congratulations to all medalists! My prediction of ten draws and no other games was way off, but fortunately it didn't cost me :)
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: <chessmoron> <OhioChessFan>, thank you.

congrats to all winners!

till next contest.

Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Thanks to the crew and congratulations to the winners. A lot of fun as usual!

See you gals and guys the next time.

Premium Chessgames Member
  chancho: <Parliament>

User: aqua
User: boogie

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