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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Jan-23-18
Tata Steel 2018 Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

Chessgames.com tournament page:
Biel (2017)

Official site: http://bielchessfestival.ch/Homepag...

Live games:
http://www.nrk.no/sport/sjakk/

Alternative live games: http://worldchess.com/broadcasts/eu...

***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

http://mrwgifs.com/wp-content/uploa... Bold strategy

>> Click here to see ohiochessfan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 36676 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jan-23-18 Fusilli chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: I think when you watch live games, or review games with an engine, it's very easy to forget that your flesh and blood opponents don't see everything like the engine does. I suspect engines have caused people to be reluctant to make speculative sacrifices or enter complex games,
 
   Jan-23-18 Rudolph P Soriano vs A Ermeni, 2016
 
OhioChessFan: "c3 to Myself"
 
   Jan-23-18 Kenneth S Rogoff (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <BP: So, please tell me, when you define racism, if it has a moral component to it. That means, is racism a bad thing, a good thing or is it neither?> <Mort: Your question has already been answered some pages ago. [Crickets] are normally invoked when there is no ...
 
   Jan-23-18 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Jones-Hou 1/2 Anand-Carlsen 1/2 So-Svidler 1-0 Mamedyarov-Kramnik 1/2 Matlakov-Giri 1/2 Karjakin-Wei 1/2 Caruana-Adhiban 1-0
 
   Jan-23-18 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Jones-Hou 1/2 21 Anand-Carlsen 1/2 46 So-Svidler 1-0 40 Mamedyarov-Kramnik 1/2 26 Matlakov-Giri 1/2 30 Karjakin-Wei 1/2 38 Caruana-Adhiban 1-0 41
 
   Jan-22-18 chessgames.com chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I'll go ask Alice at any time as from now.
 
   Jan-21-18 Jeremy Lim (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <So, 24-20, NE game did not go over 36> Still a little trouble counting?
 
   Jan-21-18 Louis Stumpers (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Here's a real stumper: I wonder who complained about the posts on this page. :P
 
   Jan-21-18 optimal play chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Nobel winner admits to poor scientific methodology and retracts peer reviewed paper about RNA replication: <The errors were “definitely embarrassing,” Szostak told us: In retrospect, we were totally blinded by our belief [in our findings] …we were not as careful or rigorous ...
 
   Jan-21-18 Yifan Hou vs Caruana, 2018 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: All right, that's the final. <Gypsy>, shake what your mama gave you!
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 637 OF 637 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-21-18  alfamikewhiskey: Round 8:

Hou - Caruana 1/2 33
Adhiban - Karjakin 1/2 23
Wei Yi - Matlakov 1/2 23
Giri - Mamedyarov 1/2 21
Kramnik - So 1/2 35
Svidler - Anand 1/2 21
Carlsen - Jones 1/2 37

Jan-21-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: I have placed all of our picks in my forum for your viewing pleasure.
Jan-21-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: All games have started.
Jan-21-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: With the rest day, I encourage everyone to have a look at the cg.c voting for Best Games of 2017:

bgitw chessforum

Jan-21-18  chessmoron: ♔ Tata 2018: <Round 8> Result ♔

<Adhiban-Karjakin, 1/2-1/2 in 43 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['offramp', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Carlsen-Jones, 1-0 in 42 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '42']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['juan31', '1-0', '41']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Kapmigs', '1-0', '40'], ['Count Wedgemore', '1-0', '40']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['WinKing', '1-0', '43'], ['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1-0', '43']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['lostemperor', '1-0', '44']]

===

<Giri-Mamedyarov, 1-0 in 32 moves.>--No one got it!

===

<Hou-Caruana, 0-1 in 58 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['lostemperor', '0-1', '46']
] 2nd Under, 6 points: [['Kapmigs', '0-1', '39'], ['SwitchingQuylthulg', '0-1', '39']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['OhioChessFan', '0-1', '34']] Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Kramnik-So, 1/2-1/2 in 28 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '20']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '30'], ['Count Wedegmore', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '32']]

===

<Svidler-Anand, 1/2-1/2 in 27 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '21']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '18']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '28'], ['offramp', '1/2-1/2', '28']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '30'], ['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

===

<Wei-Matlakov, 1/2-1/2 in 26 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '23']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '30'], ['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '30'], ['offramp', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

Jan-21-18  chessmoron: Round 8 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<chessmoron>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 14 points: <SwitchingQuylthulg>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 8>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

65, alfamikewhiskey, 2, 7, 1
65, lostemperor, 2, 7, 1
34, Golden Executive, 0, 2, 2
31, chessmoron, 0, 3, 1
31, juan31, 1, 4, 0
31, offramp, 1, 4, 0
30, wordfunph, 1, 1, 2
27, Count Wedgemore, 2, 3, 0
27, Kapmigs, 1, 2, 1
27, Penguincw, 2, 3, 0
24, OhioChessFan, 1, 3, 0
21, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 3, 0
21, WinKing, 0, 3, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 8>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

52, Golden Executive, 5, 7, 3, 3
48, WinKing, 2, 3, 2, 5
47, Count Wedgemore, 3, 6, 4, 2
47, Penguincw, 1, 4, 4, 3
42, juan31, 2, 2, 0, 6
42, OhioChessFan, 2, 1, 4, 3
40, Kapmigs, 2, 2, 2, 4
40, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 2, 0, 6
37, chessmoron, 1, 3, 0, 5
37, offramp, 4, 11, 1, 1
34, alfamikewhiskey, 1, 3, 3, 2
29, wordfunph, 8, 3, 3, 0
13, lostemperor, 4, 2, 1, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 8>

Score, UserID

99, alfamikewhiskey
86, Golden Executive
78, lostemperor
74, Count Wedgemore
74, Penguincw
73, juan31
69, WinKing
68, chessmoron
68, offramp
67, Kapmigs
66, OhioChessFan
61, SwitchingQuylthulg
59, wordfunph

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 8>

Score,UserID

10, alfamikewhiskey
10, lostemperor
5, Count Wedgemore
5, juan31
5, offramp
5, Penguincw
4, chessmoron
4, Kapmigs
4, Golden Executive
4, OhioChessFan
4, wordfunph
3, SwitchingQuylthulg
3, WinKing

Jan-21-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 8 Recap **

It's been a dizzying week on the leaderboard, as our contestants are engaged in a fierce battle for the Gold Medals at stake here. This round, <amw> roared back to the lead in 3 Rankers. <GE> continues to lead Bonus Ranker. <lostemperor> is tied for the lead in 2 Rankers. <Switch> began his inevitable charge up the Moves+Bonus Ranker leaderboard and already passed one person. <chessmoron> and <OhioChessFan> are desperately trying to figure out how to disqualify some of his entries to avoid losing to someone who skipped the first half of the contest.

As hard as this contest has been to predict, it's rather remarkable that the lowest total score is a credible 59 points. 2 of the 4 Rankers remain rather close, the Bonus Ranker and the Moves+Bonus Ranker. The Moves Ranker and #1 Ranker have become a 2 horse race between <amw> and <lost>.

It is rumored that Gawain Jones lost a game he should have won when he left the playing arena to check on our predictions. When he saw that 11 of the 13 experts here had predicted him to lose, he lost heart and ended up quickly going from winning to losing. Yifan Hou's handlers have warned her not to peek at our predictions as they realize that our experts have totally lost confidence in her ability to compete.

There's just 5 rounds left in this madhouse tournament. Everyone needs a day off to reconsider their strategies. Some people will surely focus their energy on trying to score a lot of points in the Bonus Ranker and concede the Moves and #1 Rankers to <amw> and <lost>. <Switch> still fully intends to win a Quadruple Crown and has taken to smirking at <chessmoron> and <OCF> as he knows he'll pass them by soon. Enjoy the rest day, contestants, and then come back ready to rumble.

Jan-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp:
ROUND 9

Jones-Hou 1/2 68
Anand-Carlsen 1/2 36
So-Svidler 1-0 40
Mamedyarov-Kramnik 0-1 55
Matlakov-Giri 0-1 38
Karjakin-Wei 1/2 27
Caruana-Adhiban 1-0 42

Jan-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: Round 9:

Jones-Hou 1/2 35
Anand-Carlsen 1/2 35
So-Svidler 1/2 35
Mamedyarov-Kramnik 1/2 35
Matlakov-Giri 1/2 35
Karjakin-Wei 1/2 35
Caruana-Adhiban 1/2 45

Jan-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: A little off day entertainment. Fiona the Hippo at the Cincinnati Zoo will turn 1 year old on Wednesday. She's quite the rock star. A children's book is on the way, she's a huge viral sensation, and her merchandise has sold about a half million dollars. A few links to see what the fuss is all about:

http://cincinnatizoo.org/blog/2017/...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fiona...

Jan-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Kapmigs: Round 9:
Jones-Hou 1-0 30
Anand-Carlsen 0-1 45
So-Svidler 1/2 55
Mamedyarov-Kramnik 1/2 56
Matlakov-Giri 1/2 54
Karjakin-Wei 0-1 35
Caruana-Adhiban 1-0 50
Jan-22-18  alfamikewhiskey: Round 9:

Jones-Hou 1/2 34
Anand-Carlsen 34
So-Svidler 1/2 22
Mamedyarov-Kramnik 1/2 28
Matlakov-Giri 1/2 24
Karjakin-Wei 1/2 20
Caruana-Adhiban 1/2 22

Jan-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: ROUND 9
Jones -Hou 1/2 41
Anand-Carlsen 1-0 46
So-Svidler 1/2 39
Mamedyarov-Kramnik 1/2 38
Matlakov-Giri 1/2 38
Karjakin-Wei 1-0 44
Caruana- Adhiban 1/2 39
Jan-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Hey <alfamikewhiskey>...

<Jones-Hou 1/2 34

<Anand-Carlsen 34>

So-Svidler 1/2 22
Mamedyarov-Kramnik 1/2 28
Matlakov-Giri 1/2 24
Karjakin-Wei 1/2 20
Caruana-Adhiban 1/2 22>

...Anand-Carlsen needs a result!

Jan-22-18  alfamikewhiskey: Indeed it does! Thank you, <WinKing>.
Jan-22-18  alfamikewhiskey: Round 9 (corrected):

Jones-Hou 1/2 34
Anand-Carlsen 1/2 34
So-Svidler 1/2 22
Mamedyarov-Kramnik 1/2 28
Matlakov-Giri 1/2 24
Karjakin-Wei 1/2 20
Caruana-Adhiban 1/2 22

Jan-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Ok, points are precious! ;)
Jan-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: ...oh & by the way your welcome <amw>. :)
Jan-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Count Wedgemore: Round 9:

Jones - Hou 1/2 32
Anand - Carlsen 1/2 32
So - Svidler 1/2 31
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1-0 40
Matlakov - Giri 1/2 31
Karjakin - Wei 1/2 30
Caruana - Adhiban 1-0 40

Jan-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 9:

Jones - Hou Yifan 1/2-1/2 30
Anand - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 30
So - Svidler 1/2-1/2 30
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1-0 40
Matlakov - Giri 1/2-1/2 30
Karjakin - Wei Yi 1/2-1/2 30
Caruana - Adhiban 1/2-1/2 35

Jan-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 9:

Jones - Hou 1-0 35
Anand - Carlsen 1/2 41
So - Svidler 1/2 40
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1/2 40
Matlakov - Giri 1/2 19
Karjakin - Wei 1/2 31
Caruana - Adhiban 1-0 43

Jan-23-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Round 9:

Jones-Hou 1/2 35
Anand-Carlsen 1/2 35
So-Svidler 1-0 33
Mamedyarov-Kramnik 1/2 36
Matlakov-Giri 0-1 25
Karjakin-Wei 1/2 35
Caruana-Adhiban 1-0 35

Jan-23-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Jones-Hou 1/2 21
Anand-Carlsen 1/2 46
So-Svidler 1-0 40
Mamedyarov-Kramnik 1/2 26
Matlakov-Giri 1/2 30
Karjakin-Wei 1/2 38
Caruana-Adhiban 1-0 41
Jan-23-18  chessmoron: Jones-Hou 1-0 41
Anand-Carlsen 1/2 39
So-Svidler 1/2 40
Mamedyarov-Kramnik 1/2 42
Matlakov-Giri 1/2 39
Karjakin-Wei 1-0 38
Caruana-Adhiban 1/2 43
Jan-23-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 9:

Jones - Hou 1-0 41
Anand - Carlsen 1/2 41
So - Svidler 1/2 41
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1/2 4
Matlakov - Giri 1/2 41
Karjakin - Wei 1-0 41
Caruana - Adhiban 1-0 41

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