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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Apr-23-18
Grenke 2018 Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

http://mrwgifs.com/wp-content/uploa... Bold strategy

>> Click here to see ohiochessfan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 37380 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Apr-23-18 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: ** Round 5 Recap ** Things are back to normal as <chessmoron> messed up the scoring and <WinKing> corrected him. In other normal news, <Switch> leads 3 Rankers. <GE> continues to lead Bonus Ranker. <Penguincw> has made a stunning run up the Bonus
 
   Apr-23-18 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: So far behind...maybe I should start picking all Black wins. Nah, I'd rather lose.
 
   Apr-23-18 Big Pawn chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: 13, all of them very strong. I don't care what it means.
 
   Apr-23-18 Kenneth S Rogoff (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <aw: Incidentally, when I was rooting around in your early posts looking for your advocacy of Laffer, I found this: <NAFTA was part of the success story of the 90's. I'm still amazed Clinton signed off on it. In any event, I doubt you can find a single economist who ...
 
   Apr-22-18 jessicafischerqueen chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan:   User: holy User: sacred User: pure User: justice User: Saint User: Godly User: Pius User: purity User: glory User: divine User: INNOCENT User: just User: Moral User: Immaculate User: god User: YAHWEH
 
   Apr-22-18 V Durarbayli vs J Van Overdam, 2011
 
OhioChessFan: <Penguin: In these endgames, the superior side does best to not exchange rooks. The inferior side would benefit from doing so.> Well, yeah, White exchanging Rooks leaving him with K+N isn't a recipe for success.
 
   Apr-22-18 chancho chessforum
 
...
 
   Apr-21-18 Fusilli chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Sometimes in blue link magic, the first line is a subject, topic, etc, and all the subsequent lines are related to that topic. So, main topic = "Pool". What do you find at a swimming pool? The other links I posted.
 
   Apr-21-18 Team White vs Team Black, 2017 (replies)
   Apr-21-18 Jeremy Lim (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: < Technically, I think there could be a quadruple play, similar to the "fourth out." Bases loaded, runners go, bunt popped up, caught, throw to second for two, throw to first for three. The runner on third crosses home and doesn't return because of three outs. The team in ...
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 668 OF 668 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Apr-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 4 Recap **

<OhioChessFan> is so thrilled to see <chessmoron> back he is initiating a petition to induct Bruno Mars into the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame, as well as honorary membership in the Moves Prediction Contest Hall of Fame. Our hapless contestants continue to watch <Switch> make a mockery of our "competition" as he is still leading 3 Rankers. <Golden Executive> is at least trying, as he continues to lead Bonus Ranker. And <lostemperor> charged ahead to take a share of the lead in #1 Ranker. Asked to comment, <le> said, "The Switch turn off, I intend to."

In other news, <OhioChessFan> intended to make a massively sarcastic comment about whether one decisive game would be enough to get <offramp> to call off his fatwa against the competitors. But fearing retribution per <offramp> taking his gyrocopter to 5000 feet and tossing down water balloons, <OCF> declined. Nor will <OCF> make a massively sarcastic comment about <offramp> still having a 0 on the scoreboard. And <OCF> is in such a good mood due to not having to score again, he won't comment on <sea otter> still having a 0 in Bonus Ranker.

The other contestants were likewise glad to see <cm> back after <OCF's> feeble efforts at scoring. <bubuli> commented, "The more they dig into <OhioChessFan>, the more they see horror." <Switch>, <Penguin> and <WinKing> were hoarse, thankfully, from yelling so many corrrections at <OCF> Even non-contestants such as <thegoodanarchist> were disgusted enough to comment on the matter!

<OCF> was embarrassed at the outpouring of sympathy and vowed to pay Bill Gates to write a program to score the contest if he was ever needed to score again. <WinKing> <Penguin> and <Switch> immediately rasped, "NO! WE'LL DO IT NEXT TIME!" Meanwhile, all the contestants banded together to collect enough money to have Bruno Mars give a private performance at <chessmoron's> house so this travesty will never be repeated.

We are rushing to the finish line, almost halfway there. <Switch> is still running circles around the field, although <GE> has led a heroic effort to stop <Switch> in at least one Ranker, and <le> has mounted a charge to try to stop him in another. Can either of those brave challengers succeed? Or will <Switch> embarrass all the contestants by winning consecutive Quadruple Crowns? Will <Penguincw> ever show his face again if someone else is the first to win 2 Quadruple Crowns in a row? Will <OCF> invent an excuse, any excuse, to avoid ever having to score again? Stay tuned for the answers to these and many other exciting questions. 5 rounds to go in our thrilling contest.

Apr-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Count Wedgemore: Round 5:

Ding - Radjabov 1/2 42
Mamedyarov - Giri 1/2 42
Navara - Topalov 1/2 41
Mamedov - Karjakin 1/2 41
Carlsen - Wojtaszek 1-0 45

Apr-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: ROUND 5

Ding - Radjabov 1-0 45
Mamedyarov - Giri 1/2 42
Navara - Topalov 1/2 40
Mamedov - Karjakin 1/2 43
Carlsen - Wojtaszek 1-0 44

Apr-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 5:

Ding - Radjabov 1/2 40
Mamedyarov - Giri 1/2 42
Navara - Topalov 1/2 41
Mamedov - Karjakin 1/2 41
Carlsen - Wojtaszek 1/2 41

Apr-22-18  chessmoron: Ding - Radjabov 1-0 41
Mamedyarov - Giri 1/2 45
Navara - Topalov 1/2 41
Mamedov - Karjakin 1/2 40
Carlsen - Wojtaszek 1-0 38
Apr-22-18  sea otter: Ding - Radjabov 1/2 43
Mamedyarov - Giri 1/2 35
Navara - Topalov 0-1 35
Mamedov - Karjakin 0-1 40
Carlsen - Wojtaszek 1/2 51
Apr-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Topalov leading the pack @ Shamkir after 20 games have been played. Who'd a thunk it? All those that predicted that raise your hands.
Apr-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 5:

Ding - Radjabov 1/2-1/2 36
Mamedyarov - Giri 1/2-1/2 33
Navara - Topalov 1/2-1/2 42
Mamedov - Karjakin 1/2-1/2 40
Carlsen - Wojtaszek 1-0 41

Apr-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Round 5:

Ding - Radjabov 1/2 40
Mamedyarov - Giri 1/2 40
Navara - Topalov 1/2 40
Mamedov - Karjakin 1/2 40
Carlsen - Wojtaszek 1/2 40

Apr-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Ding - Radjabov 1-0 38
Mamedyarov - Giri 1/2 42
Navara - Topalov 1/2 40
Mamedov - Karjakin 1/2 42
Carlsen - Wojtaszek 1-0 35
Apr-23-18  bubuli55: Round 5:

Ding - Radjabov 1-0 55
Mamedyarov - Giri 1/2 45
Navara - Topalov 1/2 25
Mamedov - Karjakin 1/2 45
Carlsen - Wojtaszek 1-0 55

Apr-23-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp:
Round 5:

Ding - Radjabov 1/2 105
Mamedyarov - Giri 1-0 48
Navara - Topalov 1-0 39
Mamedov - Karjakin 1/2 38
Carlsen - Wojtaszek 1-0 61

Apr-23-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 5:

Ding - Radjabov 1/2 43
Mamedyarov - Giri 1/2 43
Navara - Topalov 1/2 43
Mamedov - Karjakin 1/2 4
Carlsen - Wojtaszek 1-0 48

Apr-23-18  alfamikewhiskey: Round 5:

Ding - Radjabov 1-0 34
Mamedyarov - Giri 1/2 38
Navara - Topalov 1/2 43
Mamedov - Karjakin 1/2 40
Carlsen - Wojtaszek 1/2 34

Apr-23-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: Round 5:

Ding - Radjabov 1/2 35
Mamedyarov - Giri 1/2 35
Navara - Topalov 1/2 35
Mamedov - Karjakin 1/2 35
Carlsen - Wojtaszek 1-0 46

Apr-23-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Games have started.
Apr-23-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: All Rd.5 picks are in my forum.
Apr-23-18  chessmoron: ♔ Gashimov 2018: <Round 5> Result ♔

<Carlsen-Wojtaszek, 1-0 in 31 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1-0', '35']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '38']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Penguincw', '1-0', '41']]

===

<Ding-Radjabov, 1/2-1/2 in 40 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Count Wedgemore', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '43'], ['sea otter', '1/2-1/2', '43']]

===

<Mamedov-Karjakin, 1/2-1/2 in 35 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['offramp', '1/2-1/2', '35'], ['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '35'], ['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '4']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

===

<Mamedyarov-Giri, 1/2-1/2 in 40 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '35'], ['sea otter', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '42'], ['Count Wedgemore', '1/2-1/2', '42'], ['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '42'], ['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '43']]

===

<Navara-Topalov, 0-1 in 53 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['sea otter', '0-1', '35']]
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Apr-23-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: This is all wrong below:

<<Mamedov-Karjakin, 1/2-1/2 in 35 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['offramp', '1/2-1/2', '35'], ['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '35'], ['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '4']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '41']]>

Only <wordfunph> had an Exact 10. You might want to recheck this one.

<offramp> had Mamedov - Karjakin 1/2 38 <alfamikewhiskey> had Mamedov - Karjakin 1/2 40

Apr-23-18  chessmoron: Round 5 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<Golden Executive> 2X, <SwitchingQuylthulg>, and <wordfunph>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 10 points: <wordfunph>

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 5>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

44, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 2, 3
30, Golden Executive, 1, 1, 2
28, sea otter, 0, 4, 0
24, lostemperor, 1, 3, 0
21, Count Wedgemore, 0, 3, 0
20, chessmoron, 0, 0, 2
17, OhioChessFan, 1, 2, 0
17, Penguincw, 0, 1, 1
14, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 2, 0
13, wordfunph, 1, 0, 1
10, juan31, 0, 0, 1
7, bubuli55, 0, 1, 0
0, offramp, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 5>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

45, Golden Executive, 3, 4, 2, 4
44, Penguincw, 5, 3, 3, 3
39, SwitchingQuylthulg, 2, 2, 3, 3
31, Count Wedgemore, 3, 3, 2, 2
30, juan31, 2, 3, 2, 2
27, lostemperor, 2, 1, 1, 3
22, wordfunph, 1, 0, 3, 1
20, OhioChessFan, 1, 1, 1, 2
19, chessmoron, 2, 3, 1, 1
15, alfamikewhiskey, 1, 1, 0, 2
9, bubuli55, 1, 1, 0, 1
9, offramp, 3, 3, 0, 0
6, sea otter, 1, 0, 1, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 5>

Score, UserID

83, SwitchingQuylthulg
75, Golden Executive
61, Penguincw
52, Count Wedgemore
51, lostemperor
40, juan31
39, chessmoron
37, OhioChessFan
35, wordfunph
34, sea otter
29, alfamikewhiskey
16, bubuli55
9, offramp

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 5>

Score,UserID

5, SwitchingQuylthulg
4, Golden Executive
4, lostemperor
4, sea otter
3, Count Wedgemore
3, OhioChessFan
2, alfamikewhiskey
2, chessmoron
2, Penguincw
2, wordfunph
1, bubuli55
1, juan31
0, offramp

Apr-23-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 5 Recap **

Things are back to normal as <chessmoron> messed up the scoring and <WinKing> corrected him. In other normal news, <Switch> leads 3 Rankers. <GE> continues to lead Bonus Ranker. <Penguincw> has made a stunning run up the Bonus Ranker scoreboard, as he is doing everything in his power to stop a possible consecutive Quadruple Crown.

In other news, <Winky> asked who predicted Topalov to win this tournament. <Penguincw> responded, "Well, I did, sort of, by using my patented reverse prediction order. But what people don't know is that really is reverse psychology when I'm pretending to play reverse psychology." He started to share a few thousand more well chosen words before <offramp> dropped a water balloon on him.

In other news, <amw> has invented some new kind of infectious disease he hopes to spread among all the contestants so that he can win. <OCF> is very proud of <amw> for such outside the box thinking and wishes him well in his efforts. And <juan31> apparently has admitted to being a pyromaniac although <OCF> admits his Spanish is a bit rusty. <GE> has a new strategy where he picks game winners based on their size. He won't be picking the little runt Ding to win again after learning a hard lesson.

What will happen next? A plague? A huge fire? Little runt tournament participants attacked by disgruntled contestants in our contest? The tension is palpable and all of the contestants have worried looks as they try their best to focus on the task at hand. <OCF> pleaded with the tournament directors for an off day to gather his thoughts. That didn't do a thing. But then <chessmoron> glared at them, and they said, "Certainly, sir, great idea, sir, a rest day is surely in order, sir." All our contestants are greatly thankful and will come back Wednesday rested and refreshed.

As someone said, I'm sure someone said, probably, "Nothing in life is sure by death and <Switch>." Stay tuned to see what tragedy awaits as we hurtle on to the finish line. 4 rounds to go in our thrilling contest.

Apr-23-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: That's one of your better one <OCF>. :)
Apr-23-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Tomorrow, Tues. April 24th, is an off day. Play resumes on Wed. April 25th.
Apr-23-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Count Wedgemore: I didn't get the one with <juan31> until I read his chessforum. LOL, too funny for words.

BTW, good too see you back, <WinKing>.

Apr-23-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: <Count Wedgemore: BTW, good too see you back, <WinKing>.>

Thanks <Count Wedgemore> it is good to be back. :)

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