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K Rogoff 
Photograph courtesy of Wikimedia Commons.  
Kenneth Rogoff
Number of games in database: 132
Years covered: 1968 to 2012
Last FIDE rating: 2505
Overall record: +38 -29 =64 (53.4%)*
   * Overall winning percentage = (wins+draws/2) / total games
      Based on games in the database; may be incomplete.
      1 exhibition game, odds game, etc. is excluded from this statistic.

MOST PLAYED OPENINGS
With the White pieces:
 English (10) 
    A15 A13 A18 A16 A19
 Sicilian (8) 
    B21 B23 B38 B30 B85
 Ruy Lopez (7) 
    C68 C95 C65 C88 C97
 English, 1 c4 e5 (5) 
    A20 A29 A22
 King's Indian (5) 
    E62 E74 E63 E60
 English, 1 c4 c5 (5) 
    A30 A34 A36
With the Black pieces:
 Sicilian (12) 
    B93 B30 B60 B52 B85
 Caro-Kann (11) 
    B17 B10 B12 B13
 English, 1 c4 c5 (9) 
    A30 A34 A33
 Sicilian Najdorf (5) 
    B93
Repertoire Explorer

NOTABLE GAMES: [what is this?]
   K Rogoff vs R Blumenfeld, 1976 1-0
   Huebner vs K Rogoff, 1972 1/2-1/2
   K Rogoff vs Smejkal, 1976 1-0
   Huebner vs K Rogoff, 1976 1/2-1/2
   K Rogoff vs Timman, 1971 1-0
   K Rogoff vs Bisguier, 1974 1/2-1/2
   A Lombard vs K Rogoff, 1976 0-1
   Petrosian vs K Rogoff, 1976 1/2-1/2
   Sosonko vs K Rogoff, 1976 1/2-1/2
   Tal vs K Rogoff, 1976 1/2-1/2

NOTABLE TOURNAMENTS: [what is this?]
   US Championship (1974)
   Lone Pine (1976)
   Lone Pine (1978)
   Biel Interzonal (1976)

GAME COLLECTIONS: [what is this?]
   Ken Rogoff Chess Highlights by GumboGambit
   US Championship 1974 by Phony Benoni

Search Sacrifice Explorer for Kenneth Rogoff
Search Google for Kenneth Rogoff
FIDE player card for Kenneth Rogoff


KENNETH ROGOFF
(born Mar-22-1953) United States of America

[what is this?]
Kenneth Saul Rogoff learned chess from his father at age 6, but took up the game in earnest when he got a chess set for his 13th birthday. He was soon recognised as a chess prodigy. By age 14, he was a USCF master and New York State Open Champion, and shortly thereafter became a senior master, the highest US national title. At sixteen Rogoff dropped out of high school to concentrate on chess, and spent the next several years living primarily in Europe and playing in tournaments there. However, at eighteen he made the decision to go to college and pursue a career in economics rather than to become a professional player, although he continued to play and improve for several years afterward.

Rogoff was awarded the IM title in 1974, and the GM title in 1978. He came third in the World Junior Championship of 1971 and finished second in the US Championship of 1975, which doubled as a Zonal competition, one-half point behind Walter Shawn Browne; this result qualified him for the 1976 Interzonal at Biel, where he finished 13-15th. In other tournaments he finished equal first at Norristown 1973 and Orense 1976.

Early in his economics career, Rogoff served as chief economist at the International Monetary Fund and also at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. He is currently the Thomas D. Cabot Professor of Public Policy and Professor of Economics at Harvard University.

Rogoff's biography in his own words: http://www.economics.harvard.edu/fa...; Rogoff's game against Magnus Carlsen in August 2012 in New York: http://chessbase.com/newsdetail.asp...; Article by Rogoff in Chessbase titled <Rogoff on innovation, unemployment, inequality and dislocation> with particular reference to professional chess: http://chessbase.com/newsdetail.asp...

Wikipedia article: Kenneth Rogoff


 page 1 of 6; games 1-25 of 132  PGN Download
Game  ResultMoves Year Event/LocaleOpening
1. Larsen vs K Rogoff ½-½35 1968 Canadian OpenA02 Bird's Opening
2. K Rogoff vs S Spencer 1-020 1969 US Jnr ChpB15 Caro-Kann
3. K Rogoff vs A H Williams ½-½106 1969 World Junior Championship, B FinalA56 Benoni Defense
4. E M Green vs K Rogoff ½-½37 1969 World Junior ChB12 Caro-Kann Defense
5. J Durao vs K Rogoff 0-130 1970 MalagaB93 Sicilian, Najdorf, 6.f4
6. H Pfleger vs K Rogoff  1-059 1970 WchT U26 17thA58 Benko Gambit
7. K Rogoff vs Z Vranesic  0-148 1970 Ontario opB83 Sicilian
8. Karpov vs K Rogoff 1-026 1971 06, Mayaguez tt-studA22 English
9. Ljubojevic vs K Rogoff 1-029 1971 MalagaB50 Sicilian
10. K Rogoff vs L Day ½-½21 1971 World Student OlympiadA15 English
11. K Rogoff vs Timman 1-048 1971 Malaga 11/138B08 Pirc, Classical
12. Ulf Andersson vs K Rogoff 1-036 1971 OlotB93 Sicilian, Najdorf, 6.f4
13. E Paoli vs K Rogoff 1-026 1971 Liberation tournB06 Robatsch
14. V Tukmakov vs K Rogoff  1-042 1971 Liberation tournD93 Grunfeld, with Bf4 & e3
15. J Durao vs K Rogoff  0-165 1971 MalagaB93 Sicilian, Najdorf, 6.f4
16. K Rogoff vs V Tukmakov 1-041 1972 WchT U26 19th fin-AB21 Sicilian, 2.f4 and 2.d4
17. K Rogoff vs Adorjan 1-030 1972 Graz Stu ttB30 Sicilian
18. Huebner vs K Rogoff ½-½12 1972 WchT U26 19th fin-AA15 English
19. L Day vs K Rogoff  ½-½23 1973 CAN-opA07 King's Indian Attack
20. K Rogoff vs Suttles 0-147 1973 Ottawa op-CANB06 Robatsch
21. E Paoli vs K Rogoff 0-139 1973 NorristownB06 Robatsch
22. Pilnik vs K Rogoff  0-156 1973 NorristownB81 Sicilian, Scheveningen, Keres Attack
23. N Weinstein vs K Rogoff  ½-½11 1974 US ChampionshipC42 Petrov Defense
24. K Rogoff vs Reshevsky 0-128 1974 US ChampionshipC68 Ruy Lopez, Exchange
25. K Rogoff vs K Commons  1-042 1974 US ChampionshipD47 Queen's Gambit Declined Semi-Slav
 page 1 of 6; games 1-25 of 132  PGN Download
  REFINE SEARCH:   White wins (1-0) | Black wins (0-1) | Draws (1/2-1/2) | Rogoff wins | Rogoff loses  
 

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 5989 OF 5989 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  PinnedPiece: <Jim Bartle: Why do people always say 16 years or 18 years? Because there was one extremely warm year, either 1997 or 1998. Otherwise temperatures continue to rise.>

You have really fixated on this "one year 1998" business. Really, it is not that big a player in this debate. Take a look at this (non-energy-funded) Canadian economist Ross McKitrick speaking earlier this year, who discusses recent warming trends, the weather models that the IPCC relies on, and actual readings--ESPECIALLY FROM THE TROPICAL TOPOSPHERE.

As an explanation of what is going on in the "pause" or hiatus, this does a pretty good job.

It is rather long, but if you completely process the information in this video (first 20 minutes--up to the time he begins discussing economic and productivity effects of the models), you will not be attempting to put much counter-debunking weight on the 1998 El Nino year anymore, I don't think.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IiX8...

Conclusion: "If the pause reaches 20 years, the climate model sensitivities to CO2 are too large." (In other words, CO2 isn't the culprit the models predicted--400ppm and higher have questionable effect other than provide more food for plants.)

.

Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Jim Bartle: <You have really fixated on this "one year 1998" business.>

Because it is true. It's a trick used by deniers again and again.

Look at this from my noaa link:

<Including 2013, 9 of the 10 warmest years in the 134-year period of record have occurred in the 21st century. Only one year during the 20th century—1998—was warmer than 2013.>

Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  PinnedPiece: <JB: warmest years> Warmer how? Warmer from satellite data measurements on surface temps? Warmer from thermometer readings on the surface? Warmer sea temperatures? at what depth? Warmer atmospheric temps? At what level? Atmospheric temps are absolutely critical to the models and to the theory in general.

The actual upper atmosphere temperature measurements required to support the warmest years you mentioned, and the theory, and the predictive models, are falling far short of the temps needed. ("Greenhouse effect" is not supported by data.)

Did you listen to McKitrick? I recommend it for balance, which I know you like to champion.

.

Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  al wazir: <twinlark>: Be honest now: If you had to choose between living in a country under the control of the "Neo-Nazis" in Kiev or of Igor Bezler, which would you choose? http://www.theguardian.com/world/20...
Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Jim Bartle: Global land surface temperature. But ocean temperatures are also up.
Jul-29-14  Petrosianic: <Global land surface temperature. But ocean temperatures are also up.>

Maybe so, but I'm still waiting for some kind of consensus that we can do something about it, and that it's not just an unavoidable side-effect of not living in caves. Since they haven't really begun to address that question much less answer it, I'm not holding my breath. It doesn't matter if it's happening or not if we can't avoid it.

Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Jim Bartle: This discussion was simply about the temperatures, as I think the "18 years/flatlining" claim is highly deceptive.
Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <al wazir>

Sorry but the Guardian is not my news bible.

To be honest, I'm glad I'm not near neither area. Donbass is having the crap bombed out of it by the Kiev regime with ballistic missiles, unless CNN is making it up, while there are some severe purges in the West of elements of the previous regime and anyone opposing the regime, including the torture and murder of Communist leader Vyacheslav Mikhailovich Kovshun last week.

Both are extremely dangerous places for a person of my political persuasion. Western Ukraine because of political purges, eastern Ukraine because of rockets, bombing from the air, and a tank, artillery and general military offensive which doesn't seem to care whether it is wiping out citizens and infrastructure.

Or to care about preventing investigators from accessing the site of the downed passenger liner, contrary to the regime's agreement.

Jul-29-14  Petrosianic: I agree it's misleading. I'm just not sure it matters one way or the other. The point of the whole argument is about whether we should vote more money and power to the government to fight it. And if that would do no good, then the answer is no, we shouldn't. In that peculiar case, the denier's conclusion might be correct, even if the premise was false.
Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <al wazir>

<Would you buy *human* reasons instead?>

Are there any other?

<I've been reading Herodotus's _Histories_, an elaborately detailed (and highly mythologized) account of the wars between the Persians and the Greek city states. The thing that strikes me is that the Persians were not the Greeks' worst enemies: other Greeks were. Warfare was not just intermittent, it was incessant. Every little community, about the size of a modern U.S. township, was involved in armed combat with neighboring communities. And this kind of tribal warfare has been almost a constant of history. Europe was like that in the Middle Ages and Renaissance,>

Indeed. Also, the level of interpersonal violence in the world is at historical lows, despite impressions people might have. I can again thank <keypusher> for pointing out this fact to me a few years ago.

<Africa is like that now.>

Not the same thing. Much of Africa's woes are due to the colonial legacy not to the historical reasons cited for ancient Greece.

<Intraspecies aggression and various sorts of tribal rivalry are innate characteristics of _Homo sapiens_. Two things have changed since Paleolithic times: the tribes have gotten bigger (now they're called nations and some of them embrace hundreds of millions of people)>

There is a huge difference between a tribe and a nation. It's not a matter of scale, modern nation states are a qualitatively different kind of beast designed to bring disparate peoples together under the rule of centrally enforced law. There is no real similarity between a tribal set up, which can't grow beyond about 300 without fissioning, and modern civilisation.

That's not to say that tribal loyalties have disappeared, far from it, but that they have generally become subsumed within the greater civilisational structures. Occasionally, tribal loyalties and conflicts can fracture a society, but the modern world forces a re-amalgamation of tribal forces for their own survival. There is safety in numbers. (There are of course tribes larger than 300 in the modern world, but these are factionalised and contained within a larger social structure which encourages cohesion in the face of competition from other similar structures. Stand alone tribes don't grow bigger than 300, as the murder rate usually becomes unacceptably high).

<and the aggression has been weaponized.>

Has been since the first stick was picked up to beat another, or the first rock was used to dash in someone's brains or indeed since one person first struck another with a fist or a foot. Human aggression has not always been about all out war between tribes or states or whatever. There are many examples of aggression and grievances being addressed through champions or through less destructive means than war. In fact, look at everyday life. How is human aggression contained, channeled and resolved? Usually through negotiation, sport or other formal expressions of aggression, or observance of social and legal norms.

<As I see it, we're in a race to see which comes out ahead, the trend toward more and more deadly weapons or the trend toward unifying the world's entire human population into one big tribe, all holding hands and singing Kumbaya. It's not over yet, but right now weaponization is way ahead of Kumbaya.>

I see it differently. It is a race between the common people taking control of their own destiny or allowing their psychopathic leaders to use them for their own purposes, be it for profit or war. Once leaders are genuinely accountable to the average punter, then maybe civilisation will develop along more pacifistic lines.

Jul-29-14  Petrosianic: Once leaders are genuinely accountable, you say. When and how will that happen?
Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Shams: <twinlark> <Indeed. Also, the level of interpersonal violence in the world is at historical lows, despite impressions people might have. I can again thank <keypusher> for pointing out this fact to me a few years ago.>

Steven Pinker has a TED talk on this subject:

https://www.ted.com/talks/steven_pi...

…and a new book out:

http://www.amazon.com/The-Better-An...

Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <Petrosianic: Once leaders are genuinely accountable, you say. When and how will that happen?>

When we grow up as a species, maybe. When we get sick of being fleeced, denigrated and threatened by psychopaths who live to control others.

What sort of rule do you prefer?

Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <Shams> Thanks, it's interesting.

I'm kind of glad for that, I'm not sure how I'd survive the level of regular violence that was common back in the day. Many didn't I suppose, and I hazard a guess that untreated diseases weren't the only reasons that life expectancy was shorter back then.

Even sport a few centuries ago was so violent that fatalities on the field were so commonplace it was scarcely worthy of comment. Today's extreme sports like base-jumping, extreme skiing, car racing, etc (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extrem...) are extremely safe in comparison to some of the regular local sporting events of yesteryear, especially aggressive team sports.

I'd venture to guess as the risk management regime is a lot more advanced, as is the technology, training and preparation extreme sportspeople engage with.

Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: CNN report that Ukrainian government is using short range ballistic missiles: http://edition.cnn.com/video/data/2...
Jul-29-14  schweigzwang: Every person I have ever met who has offered a vision of how we can transform into a "grown-up species" has been one of those psychopaths who live to control others. Mostly these have been extreme leftists, but that imbalance/bias is due only to the company I keep.
Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <schwweigzwang>

So what's your vision of how the place should be run?

btw, by "extreme leftists", I assume you refer to the <authoritarian left> (eg: Stalin) rather than the libertarian left (eg: Gandhi).

If you're interested in the distinction and where you sit in this scheme take a look at http://www.politicalcompass.org/

Jul-29-14  schweigzwang: Ummm ... public shaming of the dishonest. After a couple months of that I'll be ready to try YOUR vision, whatever it may be.
Jul-29-14  schweigzwang: Oh yeah, the compass. I think I saw that some decades before--this is the device that admits that a one-dimensional political spectrum is nigh unto useless? I liked it very much for that aspect.
Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <Ummm ... public shaming of the dishonest.>

I'd have thought that would make people bitter and twisted and probably vindictive. No one likes to be humiliated.

I think it's more a matter of a cultural sea change. That we gradually realise through education that we're better off being masters of our own destiny as far as possible. That includes taking measures that are inculcated into every individual to ensure we're not being ripped off and manipulated.

Education is the key. For instance we could prescribe that leaders of towns, cities, states and countries, and businesses with employees (especially large businesses like walmart) should be allowed to work under sufferance, recallable at any time, but the experience of recall elections shows that generally the faction with the most resources to advertise and spruik will win more often than the faction that has less.

How do we get past the spin? Much more difficult to do this in an age where the media is effectively a corporate behemoth that most assuredly does not act in the interests of the average punter but in the interests of musical chairmanships, and in fact spends much of its time spinning an image of the world that at many levels tells us we're powerless to do much except spend out money and entertain ourselves.

Rome had bread and circuses. These days, it amounts to circuses, as long as we can earn our bread. An increasingly iffy proposition.

Unfortunately also, education is as much about irrelevant academia, productivity based inculcation of skills and knowledge, and lots of propaganda and misinformation. It's not about learning about life and society except in terms of pre-approved concepts hatched by elite policy makers. I have a great deal of sympathy for genuine home schooling. Having seen my children's education, I wish I had taken that option.

My guess, is that it will take a global cataclysm to wake us up, if then. Maybe its too late as it will still be the elites that survive in their fortresses.

I certainly hope not.

Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Check It Out: Not sure if you guys are on to this yet, but you can link to a specific post now by simply right clicking on the post's date and do a copy link/past. So easy! Kenneth Rogoff
Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  cormier: nite nite gs ...ths G
Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  johnlspouge: < <twinlark> wrote: How do we get past the spin? Much more difficult to do this in an age where the media is effectively a corporate behemoth that most assuredly does not act in the interests of the average punter but in the interests of musical chairmanships, and in fact spends much of its time spinning an image of the world that at many levels tells us we're powerless to do much except spend out money and entertain ourselves. >

You might find the following link pertinent.

[ http://www.votermedia.org/ ]

Jul-29-14  schweigzwang: <No one likes to be humiliated.> Well, right, that's why it couldn't last long and we'd have to try something else.

Your dismal views about the current "education" system are, sadly, pretty much on the mark (from one who is in the business).

Jul-29-14  Everett: <btw, by "extreme leftists", I assume you refer to the <authoritarian left> (eg: Stalin) rather than the libertarian left (eg: Gandhi).>

It was my (false?) impression that Gandhi was quite keen on the village life, and seemed libertarian only after one decided to live such a life.

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