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Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Mar-25-15





Here the format how to post your predicitons

1. Carlsen
1. Caruana
1. Aronian
4. Giri
5. So
6. Vachier-Lagrave
7. Wojtaszek
8. Ding
9. Radjabov
10. Ivanchuk
11 Jobava
12. Saric
13. Hou
13. Van Wely




Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants. This is invented by YouRang

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers. Don't miss his YouRang chessforum game results prediction contest during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>






♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖♖WannaBe






♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147

♔♔Golden Executive


♔♕Where is my mind


♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔Like a GM

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze




>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections. Full Member
   Current net-worth: 1,432 chessbucks
[what is this?]

   lostemperor has kibitzed 5748 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-11-15 lostemperor chessforum
lostemperor: Gibraltar open and Grenke chess classic ended. We are spoiled with so much world class chess after Tata! Nakamura was a class apart in Gibraltar while Carlsen played strong and enterprising chess in Baden-Baden right untill the armageddon tie breaker blitz against Naiditsch! ...
   Jan-29-15 Wei Yi (replies)
lostemperor: If Wei Yi wins his game in the Gibraltar open today vs Khotenashvili, what seems the case, he will break Magnus Carlsen's record of being the youngest ever player to reach 2700 by (over) a year, though for now only in the live ratings.
   Jan-26-15 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
lostemperor: Yes I still got a bronze overall. Congrats to other medalists and thanks <chessmoron> for the work and <OhioChessFan> for sponsoring! :)
   Jan-25-15 YouRang chessforum (replies)
lostemperor: Hahah well noticed <chancho>! :D
   Jan-07-15 Tata Steel (2015) (replies)
lostemperor: ♔ANNOUNCEMENT♔: Join the TATA STEEL CHESS predictions by predicting the final outcome of the masters group at my forum.
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.


Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 120 OF 171 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SloVice> yes the rule is if two or three rankers have the EXACTLY same winner or winners only one set of medal is given because it often occurs one person wins triple gold. It would only inflate the value of the medals if that person would get two or three ♔. Eg. <YouRang> would have had 10 ♔♔♔♔♔♔♔♔♔♔ orso because he won triple gold more than once and the same goes for other players. Of course if <SwitchingQuylthulg> had also won gold in the Betting Ranker together with you, that medal would have been recorded also in the Hall of Fame because you, on the other hand, have not won gold in another ranker and were a unique winner! ;)
Jan-31-12  SloVice: <lostemperor><SwitchingQuylthulg> Sorry, my bad. I saw <SwitchingQuylthulg> was in the 3♔ group, but had only two. I thought he already had two ♔ before, got moved up, but a ♔ wasn't added.
Jan-31-12  ooda: Thanks for running the contest <lostemperor> and congrats to the winners.
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I guess the next tournament will be Linares if it happens in April somewhere! :)
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: It is a bit quiet on the top tournament round robin agenda :(
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Lately I try to work two hours on chess a day and I am inspired by a Short game vs Gulko which I cannot find here just yet:)
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: From <YouRang> forum Linares is cancelled this year..
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: But tomorrow starts the Kramnik - Aronian match!:) Any guesses?
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: 1. Aronian
2. Kramnik
Premium Chessgames Member
  Check It Out: classical games: 3 1/2 - 2 1/2 Aronian wins

rapid games: 2-1 Kramnik wins

overall victory days: 3 - 3 tie

Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Oh there is also rapid games?! Rapid tend to favour the experienced so either Aronian wins in the classical games 3 1/2 - 2 1/2 or at 3-3 Kramnik wins the rapid:)
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SwitchingQuylthulg> Congratulations for winning The Sixth ChessBookie Championships of the World (2012)!!

<WINTER 2012 CHAMPIONSHIP LEG 1st place: SwitchingQuylthulg (80,924 chessbucks)
Qualifiying runners up: dakgootje, ChessWriter, technical draw, SloVice, Robin01, Barok Espinosa, 4tmac, moulicules, ddaniell.>

Of course we here knew, after you won The Tatasteel Prediction Contest 2012 with SloVice that you are the man to beat! :)

Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: <lostemperor: Of course we here knew, after you won The Tatasteel Prediction Contest 2012 with SloVice that you are the man to beat! :)>

As if the two contests were somehow similar :)

<Congratulations for winning The Sixth ChessBookie Championships of the World (2012)!!>


Premium Chessgames Member
  Check It Out: <lostemperor> I believe if the classical game is drawn then a rapid game is played to determine the "winner of the day". Apparently it only counts for the audience; the winner of the classical games is the match winner, rapids don't count. However, it does make for fun predicting three different sets of possible outcomes!
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Interesting. I checked, if draw under 30 moves then a rapid game. This occured in game 4 and Aronian won the rapid. The classical games however, has just finished and ended in a 3-3 tie.
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: And as you know by now, Viswanathan Anand has successfully defended the World Chess Title against Boris Gelfand although in a rapid tie-breaker after 6-6 in the classical games!:)
Jun-04-12  ooda: Hi Lost emperor, are you going to have a competition for the Tal Memorial (2012) ?

All top 5 players in the world competing, average rating of 2775.

Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Oo I missed that <ooda>!
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: The Tal Memorial, which I thought would be held somewhere in October(!), is won by Magnus Carlsen after Morozevich was leading with 4/5.

Tal Memorial Tournament

1. Carlsen 5.5/9
2. Radjabov
Caruana 5/9
4. Grischuk
Aronian 4.5/9
8. McShane
Hikaru Nakamura
10. Tomashevsky 3.5/9

Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I won't be holding the Dortmund tournament, what is in mid Summer, since I am on holidays myself. You can post your expectations here however for the records!:)
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Thank you for not running Dortmund, saves me the embarassement of coming in last, as usual.
Premium Chessgames Member
  YouRang: <lostemperor: I won't be holding the Dortmund tournament, what is in mid Summer, since I am on holidays myself. You can post your expectations here however for the records!:)>

Technically -- You could host the contest anyway. People post their predictions as usual, and you produce the final report whenever you return -- even if a month after the tournament ends. :-)

Naturally, we would miss the intermediate reports prior to the final round.

It's up to you of course.

Premium Chessgames Member
  whiteshark: fyi, the Dortmund 2012 line-up:

1) Kramnik, Vladimir, RUS, 2801
2) Caruana, Fabiano, ITA, 2767
3) Karjakin, Sergey, RUS, 2766
4) Ponomariov, Ruslan, UKR, 2727
5) Leko, Peter, HUN, 2720
6) Naiditsch, Arkadij, GER, 2702
7) Bartel, Mateusz, POL, 2665
8) Fridman, Daniel, GER, 2653
9) Meier, Georg, GER, 2647
10) Gustafsson, Jan, GER, 2642

tournament page http://www.sparkassen-chess-meeting... (in German)

Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Yes that would be an idea <YouRang>. But perhaps this field would be interesting more so for game results predictions and I hope to certainly have time to join in at your forum!
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Dortmund Moves Prediction Contest, sponsored by the legendary <chessmoron> and hosted in my forum, is now open. First round begins Friday the 13th. Click on Elvis for details.
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