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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Nov-30-18
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

Next event SINQUEFIELD CUP August 18 open for predictions!

Format to post your predictions

1. Carlsen
2. Mamedyarov
3. Aronian
4. Caruana
5. Karjakin
5. So
5. Nakamura
8. vachier
8. Anand
10. Grischuk

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7143 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-29-18 lostemperor chessforum
 
lostemperor: 6-6 close match guys!! In the tie-breakers Carlsen is the better player!
 
   Nov-29-18 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Thanks <chessmoron>, <OhioChessFan>! Congratulations to Magnus Carlsen for holding the title and to the winners who finished above me :) Fierce fight it was. Predict I will, Caruana conquer the #1 chess position soon. The battle continue, great Predictor Michel de ...
 
   Aug-29-18 Sinquefield Cup (2018) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Congratulations to the winners of the Sinquefield Cup Final Standings Prediction's contest <cromat>♔ <Schwartz>♔ <AlphaXerox>♔ <DerDiemer>♕ <rogge>♖
 
   Aug-29-18 Dortmund Sparkassen (2018)
 
lostemperor: Prize Winners of the Dortmund Final Standings Prediction Contest <WinKing>♔, <offramp>♔ and <Penguincw>♔,<lostemperor>♕ <SwitchingQuylthulg>♖
 
   Aug-27-18 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Round 9 Aronian - Grischuk 1-0 So - Caruana 1/2 Anand - Mamedyarov 1/2 Carlsen - Nakamura 1/2 Karjakin - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0
 
   Jun-11-18 Altibox Norway (2018) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the Norway Chess Prediction Contest at my forum <alfamikewhiskey>♔, <Penguincw>♕, <Count Wedgemore>♕, <WinKing>♕ <chessmoron>♖. See you in August for the Sinquefield Cup!
 
   Apr-29-18 Gashimov Memorial (2018) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the Gashimov Memorial Final Standings Prediction Contest at my forum: <chancho>♔♕, <WinKing>♔♕ <whiteshark>♔, <alfamikewhiskey>♕, <wordfunph>♖, <Keyser Soze>♖ ...
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 250 OF 252 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Aug-19-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Diademas: <Diademas: 1. Caruana
2. Carlsen
2. Karuana
4. Mamedyarov
4. Karjakin
6. Vachier-Lagrave
6. Nakamura
6. So
6. Grischuk
10. Anand>

That should read:

<1. Caruana
2. Carlsen
2. Karjakin>

Aug-19-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: <Diademas: That should read:

<1. Caruana
2. Carlsen
2. Karjakin>
>

Uhm...no you have Karjakin at the 4 slot. You forgot about Aronian...ooops.

Aug-19-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Diademas: Better just scrap the whole thing. Sorry
Aug-20-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks <WinKing> and all. I saw your post of Daniel Freeman. So sorry, did not know this! He made us all enjoy this wonderful site! R.I.P. Daniel!
Aug-20-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Back to the SINQUEFIELD CUP where two rounds has passed:

<Round 1
Aronian - Karjakin 1-0
Vachier-Lagrave - Carlsen 1/2
Nakamura - Anand 1/2
Mamedyarov - So 1-0
Caruana - Grischuk 1/2

<Round 2
Caruana - Aronian 1/2
Grischuk - Mamedyarov 1/2
So - Nakamura 1/2
Anand - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2
Carlsen - Karjakin 1-0

<Standings:
1. Mamedyarov
1. Aronian
1. Carlsen
4. Caruana
4. Nakamura
4. Vachier-Lagrave
4. Anand
4. Grischuk
9. So
10. Karjakin>
>
>

Aug-20-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SINQUEFIELD CUP
THE PREDICTIONS♔♕♖

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

41,AlphaXerox
38,OhioChessFan
37,DerDiemer
~~~~
34,cromat
34,lostemperor
32,chessmoron
32,Robin01
31,Aurora
31,rogge
29,morfishine
29,WinKing
28,Count Wedgemore
28,Schwartz
27,Keyser Soze
27,wordfunph
25,scout118
24,Golden Executive
24,offramp
23,alfamikewhiskey
23,paavoh
22,moronovich
20,whiteshark
17,WannaBe
16,YouRang
6,Penguincw

SQUARE RANKER 2

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

319,AlphaXerox
305,DerDiemer
303,OhioChessFan
~~~~
286,cromat
283,chessmoron
281,rogge
279,Robin01
278,lostemperor
273,WinKing
267,Aurora
266,morfishine
265,Schwartz
264,Keyser Soze
255,Count Wedgemore
249,wordfunph
245,Golden Executive
233,paavoh
231,moronovich
230,alfamikewhiskey
221,offramp
216,scout118
195,whiteshark
194,YouRang
161,WannaBe
95,Penguincw

Aug-20-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 2

Earnings,UserID

$48.50,AlphaXerox
$32.71,DerDiemer
$25.77,Robin01
~~~~
$13.77,OhioChessFan
$13.54,lostemperor
$4.03,WinKing
$2.39,Keyser Soze
$1.76,rogge
$1.10,scout118
$-1.83,alfamikewhiskey
$-2.24,chessmoron
$-2.50,morfishine
$-2.68,Aurora
$-3.33,cromat
$-4.15,Schwartz
$-6.85,paavoh
$-7.31,Count Wedgemore
$-8.41,Golden Executive
$-11.44,wordfunph
$-12.22,offramp
$-12.55,moronovich
$-13.10,YouRang
$-13.44,WannaBe
$-18.20,Penguincw
$-23.34,whiteshark

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$25.00,Caruana-equal-Grischuk, Robin01

$25.00,Grischuk-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, AlphaXerox

$12.50,Caruana-equal-Nakamura, lostemperor + WinKing

$8.33,Anand-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, DerDiemer + scout118 + YouRang

$8.33,Caruana-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, DerDiemer + lostemperor + WannaBe

Aug-20-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: New comer <AlphaXerox> in the lead after two rounds. Seven rounds to go!
Aug-20-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: i believe in beginner's luck..
Aug-20-18  DerDiemer: Thanks <lostemperor> 2nd time here for me, understand the contest a bit better now thanks to <WinKing> . Any sort of medal here would be great but still very long way to go :)
Aug-20-18  DerDiemer: <lostemperor> If 2 players ends up 1st at the end, do you use the new scores after play-offs or do your calculations end before play-offs ??
Aug-21-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <DerDiemer> I don't take the play-offs so the calculations end before that simply at the end of the classic part of the tournament :)
Aug-21-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SINQUEFIELD CUP ROUND 3

<Grischuk continue his excellent GrandPrix (and Candidates) form!<

Aronian - Carlsen 1/2
Karjakin - Anand 1/2
Vachier-Lagrave - So 1/2
Nakamura - Grischuk 0-1
Mamedyarov - Caruana 1/2

<standings:
1. Mamedyarov
1. Aronian
1. Carlsen
1. Grischuk
5. Caruana
5. Vachier-Lagrave
5. Anand
8. Nakamura
8. So
10. Karjakin>
>
>
>

THE PREDICTIONS♔♕♖
ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score,UserID

35,AlphaXerox
33,DerDiemer
32,cromat
32,Schwartz
~~~~
31,OhioChessFan
29,chessmoron
29,rogge
28,lostemperor
27,Aurora
27,Keyser Soze
26,Robin01
25,morfishine
25,wordfunph
24,Golden Executive
24,WinKing
23,Count Wedgemore
23,paavoh
22,alfamikewhiskey
22,scout118
22,WannaBe
19,offramp
19,whiteshark
17,moronovich
11,YouRang
9,Penguincw

Aug-21-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 3

Score,UserID

281,Schwartz
279,AlphaXerox
278,OhioChessFan
~~~~
275,cromat
268,DerDiemer
261,rogge
255,Aurora
250,chessmoron
244,Keyser Soze
237,Robin01
234,lostemperor
228,morfishine
228,WinKing
226,Golden Executive
225,Count Wedgemore
219,wordfunph
217,alfamikewhiskey
216,paavoh
203,WannaBe
200,whiteshark
189,scout118
186,moronovich
186,offramp
145,YouRang
123,Penguincw

PAIR BETTING RANKER 3
Earnings,UserID

$38.06,DerDiemer
$22.20,OhioChessFan
$21.42,Schwartz
~~~~
$19.36,AlphaXerox
$13.83,whiteshark
$9.09,WannaBe
$7.59,morfishine
$6.75,alfamikewhiskey
$6.39,cromat
$3.57,lostemperor
$3.10,chessmoron
$1.48,rogge
$1.09,Penguincw
$-0.25,Robin01
$-4.14,Aurora
$-7.56,scout118
$-8.30,Keyser Soze
$-10.76,Count Wedgemore
$-13.82,WinKing
$-14.01,wordfunph
$-15.93,YouRang
$-17.54,paavoh
$-19.10,Golden Executive
$-19.84,offramp
$-22.67,moronovich

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$25.00,Carlsen-equal-Grischuk, whiteshark

$8.33,Anand-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, DerDiemer + scout118 + YouRang

$8.33,Caruana-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, DerDiemer + lostemperor + WannaBe

$8.33,Grischuk-above-Caruana, alfamikewhiskey + Penguincw + WannaBe

$8.33,Nakamura-equal-So, lostemperor + morfishine + Schwartz

Aug-21-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Well see <DerDiemer> tops the Pair Betting Ranker at the moment! Beginner's luck? :)

<Schwartz> moving up to 1st in the Square ranker with 6 rounds to go!

Aug-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SINQUEFIELD CUP ROUND 4 UPDATE:

<Caruana join the leaders

<Mamedyarov - Aronian 1/2 Caruana - Nakamura 1/2
Grischuk - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2
So - Karjakin 1/2
Anand - Carlsen 1/2

<Standings:
1. Mamedyarov
1. Aronian
1. Carlsen
1. Grischuk
1. Caruana
6. Vachier-Lagrave
6. Anand
8. So
9. Nakamura
9. Karjakin>
>
>
>

♔♕♖♖♕♔

SINQUEFIELD THE PREDICTIONS
ABSOLUTE RANKER 4

Score,UserID

36,Schwartz
34,cromat
31,AlphaXerox
31,OhioChessFan
31,rogge
~~~~
30,Aurora
30,DerDiemer
29,morfishine
29,wordfunph
28,Golden Executive
28,scout118
27,Count Wedgemore
27,paavoh
26,Keyser Soze
25,lostemperor
24,chessmoron
24,WannaBe
23,Robin01
23,whiteshark
23,WinKing
21,alfamikewhiskey
21,moronovich
20,offramp
16,YouRang
7,Penguincw

Aug-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 4

Score,UserID

302,Schwartz
290,cromat
280,OhioChessFan
~~~~
276,rogge
268,Aurora
265,AlphaXerox
265,DerDiemer
254,Golden Executive
248,Count Wedgemore
248,Keyser Soze
246,paavoh
241,morfishine
240,wordfunph
239,chessmoron
233,whiteshark
232,lostemperor
226,WinKing
222,scout118
217,WannaBe
216,Robin01
213,moronovich
207,alfamikewhiskey
202,offramp
172,YouRang
108,Penguincw

♔♕♖♖♕♔

PAIR BETTING RANKER 4

Earnings,UserID

$24.89,DerDiemer
$23.91,rogge
$18.72,Schwartz
~~~~
$17.83,Robin01
$17.39,whiteshark
$12.68,OhioChessFan
$6.60,cromat
$6.27,AlphaXerox
$4.10,Aurora
$2.38,Penguincw
$-1.33,WannaBe
$-3.07,alfamikewhiskey
$-3.69,wordfunph
$-3.82,chessmoron
$-4.00,scout118
$-4.53,morfishine
$-4.67,WinKing
$-8.77,Count Wedgemore
$-10.22,paavoh
$-10.30,lostemperor
$-11.75,Keyser Soze
$-11.78,Golden Executive
$-16.02,YouRang
$-19.64,offramp
$-21.20,moronovich

♔♕♖♖♕♔

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$25.00,Carlsen-equal-Grischuk, whiteshark

$25.00,Caruana-equal-Grischuk, Robin01

$12.50,Aronian-equal-Caruana, rogge + WinKing

$8.33,Anand-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, DerDiemer + scout118 + YouRang

$8.33,Caruana-equal-mamedyarov, Aurora + Penguincw + wordfunph

$8.33,Karjakin-equal-Nakamura, DerDiemer + lostemperor + rogge

Aug-22-18  DerDiemer: <lostemperor> check your picks in MP-contest
Aug-23-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <♔♕♖ SINQUEFIELD CUP ROUND 5

<All draws, Standings and rankings remains the same<

Aronian - Anand 1/2
Carlsen - So 1/2
Karjakin - Grischuk 1/2
Vachier-Lagrave - Caruana 1/2
Nakamura - Mamedyarov 1/2

<Standings:

1. Mamedyarov 3
1. Aronian 3
1. Carlsen 3
1. Grischuk 3
1. Caruana 3
6. Vachier-Lagrave 2.5
6. Anand 2.5
8. So 2
9. Nakamura 1.5
9. Karjakin 1.5 >
>
>
>

Aug-23-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks <Der Diemer> I had that wrong anyway :)
Aug-25-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SINQUEFIELD Round 6:

<Caruana takes the lead!

<Nakamura - Aronian 1/2
Mamedyarov - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2
Caruana - Karjakin 1-0
Grischuk - Carlsen 1/2
So - Anand 1/2

<standings:
1. Caruana
2. Aronian
2. Carlsen
2. Grischuk
2. mamedyarov
6. Vachier-Lagrave
6. Anand
8. So
9. Nakamura
10. Karjakin>
>
>
>

♔♕♖♖♔♕♔♖
THE PREDICTIONS~

ABSOLUTE RANKER 6
Score,UserID

37,Schwartz
33,cromat
31,scout118
~~~~
30,OhioChessFan
29,Aurora
29,Count Wedgemore
29,rogge
28,AlphaXerox
27,DerDiemer
27,Golden Executive
27,morfishine
27,wordfunph
26,paavoh
26,whiteshark
24,Keyser Soze
24,moronovich
23,WannaBe
22,chessmoron
22,lostemperor
21,WinKing
20,alfamikewhiskey
20,Robin01
18,offramp
17,YouRang
6,Penguincw

Aug-25-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER

Score,UserID

307,Schwartz
289,cromat
280,OhioChessFan
~~~~
273,Aurora
271,rogge
257,Count Wedgemore
256,AlphaXerox
255,DerDiemer
253,Golden Executive
248,whiteshark
247,morfishine
246,paavoh
243,wordfunph
236,scout118
235,Keyser Soze
229,moronovich
223,chessmoron
221,WinKing
220,WannaBe
219,lostemperor
207,alfamikewhiskey
203,offramp
194,Robin01
186,YouRang
93,Penguincw

PAIR BETTING RANKER 6

Earnings,UserID

$32.99,whiteshark
$21.82,Schwartz
$17.74,DerDiemer
~~~~
$16.82,OhioChessFan
$11.60,scout118
$10.74,cromat
$8.85,AlphaXerox
$4.27,rogge
$3.01,alfamikewhiskey
$0.58,WannaBe
$-0.09,Aurora
$-1.50,Count Wedgemore
$-2.63,chessmoron
$-4.55,morfishine
$-5.60,moronovich
$-5.78,Robin01
$-7.88,wordfunph
$-8.73,Penguincw
$-8.75,YouRang
$-10.56,Keyser Soze
$-11.63,paavoh
$-13.19,Golden Executive
$-14.59,WinKing
$-15.49,offramp
$-17.44,lostemperor

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$25.00,Carlsen-equal-Grischuk, whiteshark

$8.33,Anand-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, DerDiemer + scout118 + YouRang

$8.33,Caruana-above-Carlsen, moronovich + scout118 + whiteshark

$6.25,Anand-above-Nakamura, chessmoron + DerDiemer + morfishine + OhioChessFan

$6.25,Aronian-equal-mamedyarov, alfamikewhiskey + AlphaXerox + Robin01 + Schwartz

$6.25,Carlsen-equal-mamedyarov, DerDiemer + Penguincw + rogge + scout118

Aug-27-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SINQUEFIELD CUP ROUND 7 AND 8 UPDATE

<All Draws!

<Round 7
Aronian - So 1/2
Anand - Grischuk 1/2
Carlsen - Caruana 1/2
Karjakin - Mamedyarov 1/2
Vachier-Lagrave - Nakamura 1/2

<Round 8

Vachier-Lagrave - Aronian 1/2
Nakamura - Karjakin 1/2
Mamedyarov - Carlsen 1/2
Caruana - Anand 1/2
Grischuk - So 1/2

<standings:
1. Caruana
2. Aronian
2. Carlsen
2. Grischuk
2. mamedyarov
6. Vachier-Lagrave
6. Anand
8. So
9. Nakamura
10. Karjakin>
>
>
>

Aug-27-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Rankings remain the same with <Schwartz> Absolute and Square Ranker, <whiteshark> Pair Betting holding the lead over the weekend with one round to go! Hopefully, for me at least, we see more fireworks today :o
Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SINQUEFIELD CUP 2018 FINAL UPDATE

<Three way tie for first: Aronian, Carlsen, Caruana!

<ROUND 9
Aronian - Grischuk 1-0
So - Caruana 1/2
Anand - Mamedyarov 1/2
Carlsen - Nakamura 1-0
Karjakin - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2

<Standings:
1. Caruana 5.5
1. Aronian
1. Carlsen
4. Mamedyarov 5
5. Anand 4.5
5. Grischuk
5. Vachier-Lagrave
8. So 4
9. Nakamura 3
9. Karjakin>
>
>
>

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