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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Apr-08-14
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION GAME FORUM>

This is the forum where you can post your predictions for the Final Standings of big tournaments.

Next tournament http://norwaychess.com/en/

Tournament finished

Candidates 2014 http://www.fide.com/component/conte...

Here an example how to post your predicitons:<

1. Aronian
1. Kramnik
3. Anand
4. Topalov
5. Svidler
6. Mamedyarov
7. Karjakin
7. Andreikin

>

Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the finals standings of a tournament. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants. This is invented by YouRang

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers. Don't miss his YouRang chessforum game results prediction contest during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!

***

<HALL <OF> FAME>

~~~~

KKKKKQQQRRRRWannaBe
KKKKKQQQRRYouRang
KKKKKQQRRSwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~~~

KKKQQQRAurora
KKKQQRsuenteus po 147
KKKQRcromat

~~~~

KKQQQRRRlostemperor
KKQQQRpercyblakeney
KKQRRRRRchessmoron
KKQQRRRrogge
KKQRRRyalie
KKQQWinKing
KKQRRagh
KKQREzzy
KKRPenguincw
KKSloVice
KKpositionalgenius
KKamadeus

~~~~

KQQRDiademas
KQWhere is my mind
KQRahmadov
KQAppaz
KQRCHESSBOOKIE
KRnimh
KRMontreal1666
KRTroewa

~~~~

Kwtwz
Kwordfunph
KGolden Executive
KTwinlark
KSoUnwiseTheKnight B4
KNGambit
Kbenjinathan
KDCP23
Kfirebyrd
Kkellmano
KStonehenge
Kcu8sfan
Klarrewl
Kbabakova
Kdjmercury
Kmikejaqua
KJoshka,
KSnoopDogg
KLike a GM

K Gold
Q Silver
R Bronze

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 5413 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Apr-08-14 lostemperor chessforum
 
lostemperor: I figured it was since it was on April 1st. It would not be bad for one round though:)
 
   Apr-01-14 World Chess Championship Candidates (2014) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Prediction contest winners Final Standings CANDIDATES 2014: Penguincw K BobbieM Q WannaBe
 
   Mar-31-14 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Thanks <chessmoron> and <OhioChessFan> for again a fun time in the number of moves prediciton contest. Congratulations to the winners. The competition was fierce again.
 
   Mar-31-14 YouRang chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Thanks for another enjoyable time in the contest <YouRang> and congratulations for winning some nice medals yourself what we know is hard in your own forum! It was a tough contest and congratulations too all winners!
 
   Mar-11-14 Kibitzer's Café (replies)
 
lostemperor: In absence of a Candidates' tournamant page here also an anouncement for the tournament prediction contest in at my forum
 
   Feb-05-14 Zurich Chess Challenge (2014) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Chess is a cruel game. One move CAN make a difference. Had Nakamura played almost any other move than 37. d6 in aforementioned game he would have won the game. Not only that but he could have won the tournament also if the rapids stayed the same see: Here the final standings ...
 
   Jan-31-14 Carlsen vs Gelfand, 2014 (replies)
 
lostemperor: Carlsen opened the Chinese Year of the Horse with 26. Nc2! Happy New Year <;)
 
   Jan-31-14 Carlsen vs Aronian, 2014 (replies)
 
lostemperor: So in the first 2801 tournament this is is the first 2850 battle (2875 vs 2825 in today's live ratings)! We may expect the most perfect chess in what is humanly possible <;)
 
   Jan-28-14 Anish Giri (replies)
 
lostemperor: Excellent performance from Anish Giri!! Yesterday Giri gave a simultaneous display with Sergei Karjakin and Tiviakov in the big town hall of The Hague! Giri performed best with only one loss and one draw against 40, often strong, opponents. Karjakin had 5 draws ...
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

CANDIDATES STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 87 OF 156 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-14-10  kolobok: 1. Carlsen
2. Anand
3. Kramnik
4. Ivanchuk
5. Karjakin
6. Nakamura
7. Leko
8. Shirov
9. Dominguez
10. Caruana
11. Van Wely
12.Tiviakov
13.Short
14.Smeets
Jan-14-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: I better get back in these predictions, before I forget! =)

1. Kramnik
2. Anand
3. Carlsen
4. Ivanchuk
5. Karjakin
6. Leko
7. van Wely
8. Short
9. Nakamura
10. Shirov
11. Dominguez
12. Tiviakov
13. Caruana
14. Smeets

Jan-15-10  Bobak Zahmat: My predictions are:
1.Carlsen
2.Kramnik
3.Anand
4.Karjakin
5.Ivanchuk
6.Dominguez
7.Leko
8.Nakamura
9.Shirov
10.Short
11.Caruana
12.Van Wely
13.Tiviakov
14.Smeets
Jan-15-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Having put 3,000 games of the participants through Rybka, looking at internal and external factors also I change my predictions somewhat:

1. Carlsen
2. Kramnik
3. Anand
4. Karjakin
5. Ivanchuk
6. Leko
7. Shirov
7. Tiviakov
7. Dominguez
7. Caruana
7. Smeets
7. Van Wely
7. Nakamura
14. Short

In fact I swap Shirov with Nakamura, the latter who had a good run in tournaments and the team championships before Corus and put them all at shared 7-13. In other words I and Rybka have no particular clues of half of the participants :-)

Jan-15-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  kellmano: 1. Anand
2. Kramnik
3. Carlsen
4. Karjakin
5. Shirov
6. Nakamura
7. Tiviakov
8. Leko
9. Ivanchuk
10. Short
11. Dominguez
12. Caruana
13. van Wely
14. Smeets
Jan-15-10  Slaven MNE: 1. Ivanchuk
2. Kramnik
3. Carlsen
4. Karjakin
5. Anand
6. Leko
7. Nakamura
8. Shirov
9. Short
10. Dominguez
11. Van Wely
12. Caruana
13. Tiviakov
14. Smeets
Jan-15-10  Billy Vaughan: 1. Kramnik
1. Carlsen
3. Ivanchuk
4. Anand
4. Karjakin
6. Leko
6. Nakamura
8. Caruana
8. Tiviakov
8. Dominguez
11. van Wely
11. Smeets
11. Shirov
14. Short
Jan-15-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  VargPOD: 1. Kramnik
2. Carlsen
3. Anand
4. Karjakin
5. Ivanchuk
6. Leko
7. Shirov
8. Dominguez
9. Tiviakov
10. Smeets
11. Nakamura
12. Short
13. Caruana
14. van Wely
Jan-15-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  PinnedPiece: Corus 2010 predictions:

1. Kramnik
1. Anand
1. Carlsen
4. Nakamura
4. Shirov
4. Karjakin
7. Caruana
7. Ivanchuk
10. Leko
10. Short
11. Tiviakov
11. Dominguez
13. van Wely
14. Smeets

Really uncertain about Short. He seems to be the X factor for me. I had him in the "4" group at one time...

Jan-15-10  SloVice: <lostemperor> FYI -You are missing the number of moves for Round 1 Game 1 in the OhioChessFan chessforum
Jan-15-10  DCP23: 1-2. Kramnik, Carlsen
3. Anand
4-5. Ivanchuk, Shirov
6-7. Leko, Karjakin
8-9. Caruana, Smeets
10-14. Tiviakov, Short, Dominguez, Nakamura, van Wely
Jan-15-10  yalie: 1. Carlsen
2. Kramnik
3. Anand
4-5. Leko, Shirov
6-7. Ivanchuk, Karjakin
8-10. Caruana, Nakamura, Dominguez
11-14. Tiviakov, Short, van Wely, Smeets
Jan-15-10  percyblakeney: 1. Ivanchuk
2. Carlsen
3. Anand
3. Kramnik
5. Shirov
5. Karjakin
5. Leko
8. Caruana
8. Nakamura
10. Dominguez
11. Tiviakov
11. Smeets
11. van Wely
14. Short
Jan-15-10  Where is my mind: 1.Magnus Carlsen
2. Viswanathan Anand
3.Vladimir Kramnik
4. Vassily Ivanchuk
5. Sergey Karjakin
6.Peter Leko
6. Alexei Shirov
6. Hikaru Nakamura
9.Leinier Dominguez
10.Fabiano Caruana
11.Nigel Short
12. Loek van Wely
13.Sergey Tiviakov
14.Jan Smeets
Jan-15-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: 1. Kramnik
2. Anand
3. Carlsen
4. Shirov
5. Karjakin
5. Ivanchuk
7. Nakamura
8. Leko
9. Dominguez
10. Tiviakov
11. Caruana
11. Short
13. Smeets
14. van Wely
Jan-15-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I invite everyone to the moves prediction contest in my forum. Click on Elvis for details.
Jan-15-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <lostemperor> as noted by <SloVice> you have an error in your first round predictions on my forum.
Jan-16-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Oh Thanks <Slovice> and <OhioChessFan>. I thought Slovice was talking to a guy named <FYI>! LOL
Jan-16-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Enjoy the games, tournament and the contest all!
Jan-16-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <CORUS 2010 ROUND 1>

Two decisive games:
Van Wely - Short 1-0
Leko - Shirov 0-1

Standings 1:
1-2 Shirov
1-2 van Wely
3-12 Carlsen
3-12 Anand
3-12 Kramnik
3-12 Ivanchuk
3-12 Karjakin
3-12 Dominguez
3-12 Nakamura
3-12 Caruana
3-12 Tiviakov
3-12 Smeets
13-14 Leko 0
13-14 Short

Jan-16-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <PREDICTION STANDINGS ROUND 1>

A good start from <OhioChessFan> and <yalie>.

ABSOLUTE RANKER
Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID
41,OhioChessFan
41,yalie
40,benjinathan
40,DCP23
40,percyblakeney
39,PinnedPiece
38,Blunderdome
38,Bradah
38,lostemperor
37,Aurora
37,Billy Vaughan
37,chessmoron
37,wolfmaster
36,achieve
36,kellmano
36,kolobok
35,NakoSonorense
35,rogge
35,VargPOD
34,SwitchingQuylthulg
34,Where is my mind
34,YouRang
33,cromat
33,Robin01
32,ELO
32,firebyrd
32,Shrunken Head
32,Winter
32,wordfunph
31,Ezzy
30,Bobak Zahmat
30,chancho
30,gus inn
30,nimh
30,TheGladiatres
29,SloVice
29,suenteus po 147
28,Slaven MNE
27,WannaBe
26,Stonehenge

Jan-16-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER
Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID
599,Bradah
587,benjinathan
575,DCP23
568,percyblakeney
567,lostemperor
565,Aurora
558,OhioChessFan
556,PinnedPiece
552,SwitchingQuylthulg
551,kolobok
547,yalie
539,chessmoron
539,kellmano
536,suenteus po 147
534,Blunderdome
529,Where is my mind
522,cromat
503,Ezzy
503,firebyrd
503,Robin01
503,VargPOD
503,WannaBe
502,Billy Vaughan
491,Bobak Zahmat
491,Slaven MNE
491,wolfmaster
491,wordfunph
487,YouRang
484,NakoSonorense
484,rogge
475,ELO
470,SloVice
467,chancho
467,Shrunken Head
466,achieve
460,TheGladiatres
447,gus inn
446,nimh
443,Stonehenge
443,Winter

Jan-16-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER ROUND 1
Earnings,UserID
129.05,achieve
119.33,PinnedPiece
105.59,Bradah
87.05,lostemperor
53.10,suenteus po 147
33.72,Billy Vaughan
29.59,benjinathan
28.55,NakoSonorense
24.57,SwitchingQuylthulg
20.49,gus inn
19.30,Blunderdome
15.29,SloVice
13.87,DCP23
12.55,kellmano
8.15,yalie
0.12,TheGladiatres
-6.01,percyblakeney
-7.45,WannaBe
-10.87,nimh
-11.54,YouRang
-12.38,Aurora
-13.37,rogge
-16.54,OhioChessFan
-19.08,ELO
-25.63,firebyrd
-26.54,cromat
-31.19,kolobok
-31.46,Bobak Zahmat
-32.04,chessmoron
-36.95,wordfunph
-37.77,Ezzy
-37.91,Robin01
-38.15,VargPOD
-38.84,Slaven MNE
-39.07,wolfmaster
-41.02,Where is my mind
-44.67,Shrunken Head
-46.75,chancho
-47.44,Winter
-47.66,Stonehenge
Jan-16-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$40.00,Anand-below-Shirov, benjinathan

$40.00,Carlsen-below-Shirov, Bradah

$40.00,Carlsen-below-Van Wely, Bradah

$40.00,Carlsen-equal-Ivanchuk, Blunderdome

$40.00,Caruana-above-Leko, PinnedPiece

$40.00,Caruana-equal-Ivanchuk, PinnedPiece

$40.00,Dominguez-equal-Karjakin, NakoSonorense

$40.00,Ivanchuk-equal-Smeets, achieve

$40.00,Karjakin-below-Van Wely, Bradah

$40.00,Leko-below-Smeets, achieve

$40.00,Leko-below-Tiviakov, kellmano

Jan-16-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: See you tomorrow for Round 2!
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