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twinlark
Member since Nov-17-05
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My wrap of our Chessgames Challenge: The World vs A Nickel, 2006 against ICCF Grandmaster Arno Nickel is at User: World Team Tribute.

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<The lyf so short, the craft so long to lerne.>

― Geoffrey Chaucer, The Parliament of Birds

>> Click here to see twinlark's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   twinlark has kibitzed 17564 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Aug-27-16 twinlark chessforum (replies)
 
twinlark: <Boomie> <The report on PBS showed film of planes dropping barrel bombs on hospitals. I've heard these bombs are used only by the Syrians. In many instances, the planes return to bomb the first responders. http://www.pbs.org/video/2365824176/ > I'm getting an error ...
 
   Jul-12-16 Kenneth Rogoff (replies)
 
twinlark: <zanzibar> <Why use a robot (which is still serviceable, with the exception of its robotic arm)? In order to avoid the possibility of the gunman fighting through the wall, is the best I could come up with.> I can come up with other scenarios, including that they were ...
 
   Jun-07-16 Viktor Korchnoi (replies)
 
twinlark: R.I.P Grandmaster Viktor Lvovich Korchnoi. Your legacy will last as long as the great game itself.
 
   May-31-16 R Praggnanandhaa (replies)
 
twinlark: <offramp> Thanks.
 
   May-23-16 European Individual Championship (2016) (replies)
 
twinlark: <notyetagm: Top 23 wins invitations to the 2017 World Cup> Navara and possibly Wojtaszek might make it into the World Cup on the basis of ratings. If that is the case, then Ter-Sahakyan and Lupulescu might still qualify.
 
   May-16-16 keypusher chessforum (replies)
 
twinlark: <keypusher> You might be interested in this: http://www.unz.com/article/the-iq-g...
 
   May-07-16 Annie K. chessforum (replies)
 
twinlark: <<Also, are we still waiting for feedback from <twinlark>?> He seems to be busy, but we're in no hurry.> Sorry. I am actually on the job. I'll try to be quick.
 
   Apr-20-16 Big Pawn chessforum (replies)
 
twinlark: TF is coming here to return BP's back rubs. Carry on, guys. Always good to see a nice bromance.
 
   Apr-19-16 TheFocus chessforum (replies)
 
twinlark: I see you lads have formed a mutual admiration society. Let me leave this page so that you can enjoy each other in the privacy of this forum.
 
   Apr-17-16 Abdel Irada chessforum (replies)
 
...
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 279 OF 279 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Aug-08-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <What's your opinion about the evidence that seems to show Hillary is not well?>

The videos are interesting. It does appear she has some deficits. Slight loss of motor strength of the lower extremities? Imbalance? Dysphagia?

<the so called "handler" appears to carry a Diazepam pen.>

Diazepam makes one sleepy though, so if she gets injected, her handlers would have to provide for a quick exit for her, before she nods herself off to dreamland.

I'm just speculating of course.

At any rate, her political opponents could well profit by making these videos go viral.

Aug-08-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <Boomie: <twinlark: the absence of basic battle strategy by the SAA in anticipating a predictable move by the terrorists is a worry>

I guess this is what suggested inexperience to me. Perhaps it means overconfidence.>

Right after that disaster, <Maj. Gen. Zaid Saleh who led the Rep. Guard during Layramoun battle has reportedly replaced Maj. Gen. Adib Mohamad as head of Aleppo Security Committee.>

https://southfront.org/syrian-war-r...

Fielding inexperience unmotivated soldiers or overconfidence by the commanders is still incompetence. It seems to be a problem with Arab armies in general. AFAIK, many of the commanders attain their ranks because of political connections.

Syrians in the internet have been clamoring for a change in SAA's top brass for quite some time now.

1. They knew Idlib was about to be attacked. Again, no trenches, fortified artillery and machinegun position, minefields, booby traps, or readily available air support.

2. They knew Palmyra was about to be attacked. Again, no trenches, fortified artillery and machinegun position, minefields, booby traps, or readily available air support.

3. Numerous other incidents of the same nature, on a smaller scale. In several cases, bases got overrun and all the SAA soldiers caught inside executed (with macabre videos uploaded in you tube), and arsenal confiscated.

Worse, there are rumors that in many of these cases, the SAA officers were actually sympathetic to the jihadists, and knowingly facilitated their advance.

If this were WW2 in Germany, Japan, or the USSR, or in the Roman Empire or Imperial China, the 'bad' commanders would probably have been executed and replaced by more competent ones a long time ago.

Aug-08-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: What makes the loss of these areas so hurting to the Syrians and so exasperating to the Russians is that in order to retake them, much effort from the elite forces of the SAA and direct Russian involvement, which means Russian WIAs and KIAs, is needed.

For example, nearly every Syrian in the net agrees that Russian forces were indispensable in the recapture of Palmyra. In fact, some even believe that it was Russian forces that essentially recaptured Palmyra.

MSM generally agrees.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/wires/af...

What many from both sides are saying is that it wasn't only RUAF that was involved. Russian mobile artillery, spotters, and boots on the ground were in too.

Note that Palmyra is on a desert. No cover for the jihadists. SAA with the support of the Syrian air force should have been able to retake it by themselves. For months, they could not.

On a high note, once the Russian military had mobilized their forces (probably a combination of RUAF, a covert artillery brigade, spetznaz spotters, paratroopers and marines), it appears they had no difficulty in retaking Palmyra with minimal casualties. The jihadists are still no match for the Russian military.

I believe that Assad, the Syrian Baath party, the SAA had better shake themselves and retake Aleppo city before the US Presidential elections. If Hillary manages to win, the war would escalate. She has already stated her intentions to bomb Syria.

It's a frightening scenario. Syria has Russian bases and outposts, unlike in Libya. If HRC ups the ante in Syria, Russian personnel are bound to get caught. We get the possibility of a direct US vs Russia military confrontation.

Aug-09-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <We get the possibility of a direct US vs Russia military confrontation.>

Probably why Russia would prefer the possibility of Trump pulling US focus back to the US, rather than Clinton spearheading more military adventures, almost inevitably directed against BRICS interests.

Aug-10-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: Below are the latest updates on the Battle for Aleppo. This is mighty important for the Syrian because it will probably make or break the jihadist invasion.

https://www.almasdarnews.com/articl...

This article definitively shows that the Russian military is very much aware of what's going on, and does care about the result. There have been plenty of rumors that the Russians have abandoned the Syrians, but General's worry clearly indicates otherwise.

https://www.almasdarnews.com/articl...

So it seem that the SAA is still holding after all. My impression is that they actually lost the opening battle, and would have lost Aleppo as they did Idlib and Palmyra, but that heavy Russian bombing stalled the jihadists advance and destroyed a significant amount of incoming personnel and war materiel. That bought enough time for reinforcements to arrive, including the Republican Guards, which probably is their best division.

The Republican Guards are known to be more or less permanently stationed in Damascus and its outlying areas. The fact that they had to be called in indicates just how critical the situation had become. This isn't a cunning pre-planned trap as what many Syrians are optimistically saying, that they were always in control. Aleppo was was about to go south, but was saved by desperate round the clock RUAF bombing and the belated order to bring in the best reinforcements.

Aug-11-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <The search operations carried out during the night of 6/7 August 2016 in the vicinity of the city of Armyansk, Republic of Crimea, uncovered a group of saboteurs. While attempting to detain the terrorists, an FSB operative was killed by enemy gunfire. The following was discovered on the scene: 20 improvised explosive devices with a total explosive power of 40kg TNT, munitions, special detonators, standard-issue anti-personnel and magnetic land mines, grenades, and special-issue weapons used by Ukrainian armed forcesí special operations units.>

https://southfront.org/fsb-captures...

Other pro-Russian sources say that two Russian agents were killed, plus an unknown number of Ukrainian infiltrators. Most of the Russian sources claim that the Ukrainians were not the typical Nazi militia types but were from the Ukrainian special forces, who fought with proficiency.

I hope this isn't a portent of new phase in the Ukrainian crisis.

There have been internet rumors of increased Ukrainian military activity directed against Donbass, and Russia moving in troops close to the Ukrainian border. I would ignore them as speculations, except that a significant number of sources are saying that there are now more Russian troops near the Ukrainian border than at any previous time during the crisis.

It's as if the Russians are preparing seriously for something to happen. A possible Clinton victory and a sudden ramping up of hostilities in the Ukraine?

If HRC wins, it could get very messy very quickly. Both the Ukrainian and Syrian crisis could escalate overnight. Pressure would be brought to Turkey and Saudi Arabia to tow the US Foreign Policy line. False flags against Iran. Coup attempts in Latin America. A push to break up BRICS. Boiling up the South China Sea issue into a confrontational crisis. One, two, or all of the above.

Aug-11-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <twinlark>

Article on the countries of origin for jihadist weapons. It correlates with previous studies that a significant number of those AK and other arms we see in you tube being used by jihadists are from Eastern Europe. The financiers are the usual suspects.

https://off-guardian.org/2016/07/30...

Article critical of the vaunted Abrams tank.

http://www.defenseone.com/business/...

It seems that the design of the Abrams isn't as good as what MSM makes it out to be. To put it in another way, MSM sources that keep on indicating that the tank is virtually invulnerable are lying. It's clear from the empirical observations of a score of Abrams tanks destroyed or damaged in Yemen alone.

I'm wondering what other US weapons systems are being lied about by the MSM.

Aug-11-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <twinlark>

The article below is a must read.

http://russia-insider.com/en/erdoga...

In summary, it seems that in contrast to all his flowery words, Erdogan has not budged a bit on his support for Syrian jihadists and has carefully avoided all the important issues that strain Russian - Turkish relations.

These include issues critical for Russia's security such as Turkey sheltering and actively providing support for Islamists bent on destabilizing Crimea, the Caucasus, and Central Asia, and the issue of who goes into the Black sea.

I was particularly fascinated by Putin's pictures. They belie the Russian media's diplomatic statements on the planned opening of the Turk Stream, resumption of Russian tourism in Turkey, the resumption of trade. All throughout Erdogan's show, Putin is clearly quite unhappy.

IMO Putin thinks Erdogan may be pulling his leg; and is inwardly angry at this. On the other hand, he has to tolerate the charade, hoping that Erdogan would pull Turkey away from NATO.

Aug-11-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <One, two, or all of the above.>

They don't call her the Queen of War for no reason.

<Putin and Erdogan>

I don't think charades will work with NATO. Putin might just keep the pressure on Erdogan.

Aug-12-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <Putin and Erdogan>

While Turkish President Erdogan was politically groveling in front of Russian President Putin, he was allowing thousands of jihadists, a significant number of whom are Turkish, to enter Syria from Turkey, which Russian warplanes were bombing round the clock in order to save Aleppo.

<Putin might just keep the pressure on Erdogan.>

IMO Putin is trying to draw Turkey away from US and NATO, and is trying to make concessions in order to achieve his aim.

Ergdogan is fully aware of it, and is trying to get those concessions, while staying with US (or at least continuing to get US aid and weapons) and NATO, and proceeding with his proxy war against Putin in Syria.

Putin must also be aware of what Erdogan is doing, as is clearly evidenced by his unhappiness in the pictures.

I think it's political double talking at its finest.

Rather than give in at once to Erdogan's request for the resumption of trade, IMO Putin should make the closure of the Turkish Syrian border a requirement.

Aug-14-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <Russian jets conduct 100+ airstrikes over Idlib>

https://www.almasdarnews.com/articl...

What is the Russian Air force hitting? The article explains it's

<jihadist reinforcements making their way to the southern districts of Aleppo City.>

From what I can gather from various news sources from both sides, this jihadist offensive may be the biggest one ever in the Syrian conflict.

If it were not for the Russian airforce, the jihadists would have taken Aleppo and carved out a proxy colony for Turkey in the Syrian north.

Who's allowing it? Sources also say that many of the jihadists are Turks or coming from Turkey. Erdogan is allowing it or most probably abetting it, while groveling and smiling before the Russian leadership.

Meanwhile RT and TASS are mostly ignoring this particular jihadist offensive in Aleppo while occasionally writing on other parts of Syria. Yet the Russian airforce is clearly working overtime in order to prevent the fall of Aleppo City against what is essentially a Turkish proxy army invasion.

Meanwhile Erdogan is all thanks and smiles, groveling before the Russian leadership; and the Russian press is printing rainbows and sweets about Turkey.

Unbelievable.

Aug-14-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <Russian Marines at Palmyra>

https://informnapalm.org/en/russian...

This vehemently Russophobic Ukrainian site is claiming that it was Russian marines who took took Palymyra and control it militarily; and more importantly tries to provide evidence for its claims.

They could well be right, as Syrian and MSM sources themselves say the Russians were indispensable. What I did not know is what units of the Russian military provided for the boots on the ground. Previously I thought it was mostly Russian Paratroopers.

Aug-14-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: Latest news on the Syrian war:

<After extremely intense clashes in the Zahraa Quarter in west Aleppo and the Cement Plant in southwest Aleppo, the situation has calmed exponentially with the risk of escalation at any given moment.>

https://www.almasdarnews.com/articl...

<Field Report: Jihadi rebels launch fresh offensive in west Aleppo.>

https://www.almasdarnews.com/articl...

<A mysterious explosion targeted a large jihadist gathering in the border town of Atmeh in the northern countryside of Idlib.

The militants who came from various Islamist groups including Faylaq Al-Sham and Harakat Nour El-Din Al-Zinki were mobilizing to be transported to the grinding front lines of Aleppo near the border crossing of Atmeh. 35 fighters have so far been confirmed dead while over 50 were wounded including several civilians and Turkish Army servicemen. A bus carrying dozens of militants was incinerated in the massive explosion.

The perpetrator of this act has yet to be known, but it is very likely that he was part of an ISIS sleeper cell operating in the fertile province. Many Islamic State sympathizers remained in Idlib following the groupís expulsion from the province in 2014 during the jihadist civil war.>

https://www.almasdarnews.com/articl...

The last one in other words says that there is a massive flow of jihadists from Turkey to Syria. A truck full of these jihadists and <Turkish Army servicemen> got blown up by other jihadists.

The only way that jihadists are maintaining the offensive is for them to have been acquiring fresh troops. Most of the reports say these are coming in from Turkey, crossing into Idlib, and then proceeding to Aleppo.

IMO Putin should really bear down on Erdogan to close the border. The presence of Turkish soldiers with the jihadists clearly indicate that the Turkish army is still cooperating and abetting them.

Aug-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <twinlark: <visayanbraindoctor>

What's your opinion about the evidence that seems to show Hillary is not well?>

I've been thinking of this. If HRC is indeed having post traumatic or post stroke seizures, it usually is a permanent illness. (The videos are consistent with a person with seizures, but I wasn't there, so I can't technically do a real diagnosis.) She will have to be on anti seizure drugs all the time.

Why do post traumatic seizures occur? It's because the brain has been damaged. Neurons fire involuntarily, causing unwanted motor movements. Diazepam and other anti seizure meds depress these abnormally firing neurons. (They usually have a sedative effect too, causing the patient to feel sleepy.)

One thing I've noticed with these patients is that they often develop psychological problems. I think it's another organic side effect of the brain trauma or stroke, or perhpaps they just get depressed because they are having seizures (or other Neurological deficits). In any case, they are often irritable, occasionally lash out even at their closest relatives, sometimes get disoriented, forgetful, and unmindful. I've ended up referring many of them to Psychiatrists.

If this is the case with HRC (I'm just speculating of course, based on what I've seen in you video), Americans better make sure that she has good Neurologists and Psychiatrists around her if they decide to elect her as President. No one would want someone suffering from post traumatic seizures and depression to have her trigger finger on the US nuclear arsenal.

Again the above is only speculation, based on the pre supposition that HRC is indeed suffering from post traumatic or post CVA seizures.

Aug-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <Whatís Behind US Support for Turkish Military Operation in Jarablus>

http://sputniknews.com/middleeast/2...

Interesting analysis. If true, it could signal another phase of the Syrian conflict. For the first time ever, Turkish troops have officially invaded Syria; and with the blessings and air support of US.

Russian media shows displeasure over it. Damascus has issued official statements condemning it. So has the betrayed Kurdish YPG.

The political game gets more muddled, and could portend an escalation. The situation begs the question: Is Damascus, assuming it retakes Aleppo City, going to try to forcibly expel the Turks? If it doesn't, then Turkey has effectively annexed a piece of Syrian land; and might be encouraged to grab more. If it does, then there will be open battles between Syrian and Turkish troops.

Another question. Where will Russia side if open conflict between Turks and Syrians arise?

Russian media has been hopeful that Turkey will leave NATO. I do not think that will happen, especially after this. It clearly sends a message that US and Turkey are patching up their relations.

Personally I think Putin should bear down on the double dealing Erdogan. A danger is if he does not and ends up condoning the Turkish invasion, Damascus will see it as a betrayal. Trust will be lost. In the future any nation that thinks of allying with Russia would think twice.

Aug-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <ISIS flees Aleppo stronghold before Turkish forces arrive>

https://www.almasdarnews.com/articl...

As far as I can glean from various sources, there was no fight. ISIS in Jarablus suddenly disappeared. Turkish soldiers and 'moderate rebels' suddenly appeared.

Smells like a cover up. Most probably, those same ISIS are still there as 'moderate rebel FSA' (or whatever they're called now) after a change in name, still under the supervision of the Turkish military and intelligence.

Aug-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Boomie: The past few weeks, there have been disturbing reports of Syria targeting hospitals in Aleppo. Has there been any confirmation of this or is it just another propaganda ploy?

The report on PBS showed film of planes dropping barrel bombs on hospitals. I've heard these bombs are used only by the Syrians. In many instances, the planes return to bomb the first responders. http://www.pbs.org/video/2365824176/

It is my understanding that the targets in East Aleppo are the regime's opponents, not ISIS. They don't appear to be interested in a Sunni-Shia civil war. But who has a complete playbook of what's going on there?

Aug-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <Boomie> From your post, I see that you are still confining yourself only to anti Syrian news blogs and sites. If you go and read pro Syrian news and sites, it's the opposite. It's jihadists that are deliberately bombing hospitals.

I've seen pro terrorist sites propagandizing this sort of stuff against the Syrian government and military since 2013. Who are we to believe?

1. The Syrian government and secular Syrians who deny they're deliberately bombing hospitals.

2. Jihadists who have uploaded videos of themselves in the internet shouting 'God is great' as they blow up a hospital?

Choose your pick of the above. I myself tend to believe both of the above.

<It is my understanding that the targets in East Aleppo are the regime's opponents, not ISIS.>

Your post is so wrong in a fundamental level. One, why do you parrot the MSM line that the present Damascus government is a regime? You reveal what your sources are, namely propagandists against the Syrian government. No secular Syrian calls the government he voted in last elections as 'regime', implying it's a dictatorship that wasn't voted in.

2. <regime's opponents, not ISIS> I hope you read my posts above. ISIS and those <opponents> have the same intolerant religious ideology. They just keep on changing their names and flags. The Syrian government's targets in East Aleppo are religious fundamentalists who literally believe in the Koranic passage 'Strike terror into the hearts of the infidels.' In other words, the targets are terrorists.

We can't discuss these things intelligently if you keep on referring to the Syrain government as a regime and jihadists that will behead you readily for being an infidel as 'moderate opponents'. Many of the blogs and sites you read have one purpose: To paint the secular Syrian government as the bad guys and Wahabbi jihadists as the good guys. You will know these sites by the way they design their articles to implement this purpose. So if you read an article that attaches the term 'regime' to the Syrian government, or 'opposition'. 'rebels', 'moderates' to the jihadists, please be wary of those sites' purpose and propaganda.

I do hope you begin reading alternative news sources.

Aug-26-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Boomie: <VBD: It's jihadists that are deliberately bombing hospitals.>

How did they get an air force? There are videos of airplanes bombing the hospitals.

Since you consider PBS to be an MSM, which apparently means any news agency that reports something that you disagree with, there is no need to proceed further. I will stop posting here and stop reading what I see as biased opinions. There is no quest for the truth here. Just another bash-o-thon of everything Western.

Aug-26-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <Boomie>

That reads as quite arrogant. Why don't you wait for <visayanbraindoctor>'s answer before you threaten to boycott discussion with him and start insulting him?

<There is no quest for the truth here. Just another bash-o-thon of everything Western.>

I have a feeling you are going to feel sheepish about making this comment.

Also you might like to actually read media that is not US based or US centred, but offers the point of view of other countries that are on the US's shyte list, if for no other reason that to gain some sort of appreciation of what the POV of the other guy is.

PressTV, Tass, Sputnik, Saker, Telesur, and the Oriental Review just to name a few. Locally stuff like the Intercept, Counterpunch, anti-war.com. the American committee for East-West Accord and Strategic-culture.org might provide some alternative analyses worth reading as does the informationclearinghouse.info, this being an umbrella site collecting stories and views from around the world.

Individual writers such as John Pilger, Pepe Escobar, Paul Craig Roberts, Dmitry Orlov, and Andrew Korybko might also be worth a glance or two.

Aug-26-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  visayanbraindoctor: <Boomie>

You don't need an airforce to deliver explosives.

Below is a video of the US supported FSA shouting 'God is great' while blowing up a hospital. They themselves proudly uploaded the video into the internet. Syrians claim that there were patients and hospital staff inside the hospital, and they got killed.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yyc...

<Terrorist Bombing in Aleppo University>

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Dp...

Jihadists killed approximately 80 people in this University, many of them students on exam day, according to Syrians.

<Cheating death: RTís Lizzie Phelan live-streams a day in Syriaís Aleppo>

https://www.rt.com/news/356786-alep...

Above is a report from the point of view of a Russian journalist, who is witnessing jihadists shelling a civilian neighborhood,

<Islamists shell Aleppo killing 6 civilians & injuring dozens more>

More news of jihadists shelling civilians. They deliberately targeted a Christian neighborhood in Aleppo city in this one. They struck terror into the hearts of the infidels.

https://www.rt.com/news/357244-terr...

There are lots and lots of these reports all over the internet in the past 4 years; but not from the MSM. You won't get to know about the other side if all you read is MSM.

So I do hope you also read alternative news sources.

Aug-26-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Travis Bickle: <Boomie> watch this & you will be just as informed as the Mooslim & the Dogface. ; P

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Iqu...

Aug-26-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <TB>

Way to go to get to understand the other guy's point of view.

Aug-27-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <Boomie>

<The report on PBS showed film of planes dropping barrel bombs on hospitals. I've heard these bombs are used only by the Syrians. In many instances, the planes return to bomb the first responders. http://www.pbs.org/video/2365824176/>

I'm getting an error message and can't play that video. Is it available elsewhere?

Aug-27-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Boomie: <twinlark>

Try going to pbs.org and searching for "syria hospitals bombed". Sort the results by "Airdate". Unfortunately, the search function on their site is not very good so you have to work at it a bit to find something specific.

PBS has done a lot of segments on hospital bombings over the years. You'll find quite a few on the US Afghan atrocity, for example.

I can't find the one that shows planes dropping barrel bombs. But there is no way to tell where and when such film was taken in any case. What we can say for sure is that those who tried to film the bombings were extraordinarily courageous. You can see in some of the clips, the photographer was also hit and probably killed.

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