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Ivan Saric vs Fabiano Caruana
Chess Olympiad (2018), Batumi GEO, rd 7, Oct-01
Spanish Game: Berlin Defense (C65)  ·  1/2-1/2

ANALYSIS [x]

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Kibitzer's Corner
Oct-01-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Tabanus: This damn Saric beat Tari yesterday.
Oct-01-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  chessgames.com: Fabiano Caruana, who will be challenging defending World Champion Magnus Carlsen for the chess crown in November 2018, has an ELO rating of 2827—approximately 138 points higher than Ivan Saric's 2689.

I thought it might be interesting to see if Caruana can win with the Black pieces in this situation. Does anyone think that Caruana as Black can defeat Saric <easily>?

It's a common claim that White enjoys an automatic advantage by moving first. I wonder—roughly how many ELO rating points are needed by Black to offset that advantage and make Black <equal>?

Oct-01-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  whiteshark: Is this really a Saric picture?
Three years back he looked different, even older: http://yelenadembo.com/wp-content/u...
Oct-01-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  whiteshark: They followed Yu Yangyi vs Kramnik, 2014 to this point, so <12...Qd7> might be Caruana's home prep.
Oct-01-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Tabanus: It's Saric all right, the picture is from about 2008.
Oct-01-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: White rabbits! White rabbits! White rabbits!
Oct-01-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  whiteshark: Thanks <Tab>, everything is quite clear to me now. :)
Oct-01-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  whiteshark: It turned out that <15.Qg4> is new here.

[Event "Zhongshan zt 3.5 (Women)"]
[Site "Zhongshan"]
[Date "2015.07.03"]
[Round "4"]
[White "Zhang, Xiaowen"]
[Black "Shen, Yang"]
[Result "1/2-1/2"]
[ECO "C65"]
[WhiteElo "2364"]
[BlackElo "2460"]

1. e4 e5 2. Nf3 Nc6 3. Bb5 Nf6 4. d3 Bc5 5. Bxc6 dxc6 6. Nbd2 Be6 7. O-O Nd7 8. Nb3 Bb6 9. Ng5 Bxb3 10. axb3 f6 11. Nf3 Nf8 12. Nd2 Qd7 13. Nc4 Ne6 14. Kh1 O-O 15. g3 a6 16. f4 exf4 17. Nxb6 cxb6 18. gxf4 f5 19. Be3 c5 20. e5 Qd5+ 21. Qf3 Rfd8 22. Rad1 b5 23. Rd2 Qxf3+ 24. Rxf3 a5 25. c3 a4 26. bxa4 bxa4 27. Rf1 Ra6 28. Ra1 Kf7 29. Kg2 h6 30. Kf3 g5 31. fxg5 hxg5 32. h4 g4+ 33. Kg3 Rd5 34. d4 cxd4 35. cxd4 Ng7 36. Kg2 Kg6 37. Rf2 Rb5 38. Rd1 Rd5 39. Bg5 Rb6 40. Rdf1 Rdb5 41. Bd8 Rc6 42. Bf6 Rxf6 43. exf6 Kxf6 44. Ra1 Nh5 45. Rxa4 f4 46. Rd2 f3+ 47. Kf2 Rf5 48. d5 g3+ 49. Kf1 Nf4 50. Rxf4 Rxf4 51. Rd3 Ke7 52. h5 g2+ 53. Kf2 Rg4 54. Rd1 Rh4 55. Re1+ Kd7 56. Rg1 Rh1 57. h6 Kd6 58. h7 Rxh7 59. Kxf3 Rg7 60. Rxg2 Rxg2 61. Kxg2 Kxd5 62. Kf3 Kc4 63. Ke3 b5 64. Kd2 Kb3 65. Kc1 Ka2 66. b4 Kb3 1/2-1/2

Oct-01-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  whiteshark: <21.d4!>


click for larger view

Oct-01-18  chessdgc2: White has the upper hand in the center.
Oct-01-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Tabanus: <whiteshark> Clarity is my best tool :)
Oct-01-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: <Tabanus: <whiteshark> Clarity is my best tool :)>

...Along with faith and hope.

Oct-01-18  chessdgc2: LOL! If Clarity is your best tool, then winning is my best outcome :)
Oct-01-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: I think Caruana will win this because he will end up with TWO outside pawn majorities.
Oct-01-18  Parachessus: If he'd change the spelling of his last name to "Sarek" and give his opponents the Vulcan salute before each game he'd gain the adulation of Star Trek fans.
Oct-01-18  chessdgc2: Off ramp: If what you’re saying is what happens, I agree. However, at this moment, I don’t see Caruana creating 2 outside pawn majorities.
Oct-01-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  An Englishman: Good Morning: Happy Monday! 35...Ng4 threatens mate and the Rook, so 36.Re1,Rxb2; 37.Nc5,Ra2; 38.Ne4 defending the f6 square. Black seems to have enough compensation for the pawn.
Oct-01-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  whiteshark: "In endings with ♖+♘ against ♖+♘ a slight initiative usually weighs heavily"

-- GM Karsten Müller

Oct-01-18  chessdgc2: 39...Rxg2+ forces R’s trade and wins back pawn...the text ...Ke7 seems to ignore adventure....
Oct-01-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  An Englishman: Good Morning: Had been looking at 40...Ne3; 41.Re1,Nxf5; 42.Nc5+. 40...Nf6 shows a lot of confidence in the power of the Black King, should White swap Knights.
Oct-01-18  Marmot PFL: I bet if you took some of these smaller countries (Croatia, Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina) and combined them you could make a pretty strong chess team.
Oct-01-18  chessdgc2: If I were playing Black after 43...Kxf5, I wouldn’t be optimistic for a win.
Oct-01-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  An Englishman: Good Morning: Looking at 45...Kh4; 46.Rxc2,Kxg4; 47.Rxg7+,Kxh5; 48.Ra7,Kg4; 49.Rxa6,Kf3; 50.Rf6+.
Oct-01-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  An Englishman: Good Morning: The final result does not surprise; just another example of two players fighting hard, fighting well, and fighting equally.
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