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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 180 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Aug-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SINQUEFIELD CUP 2015 ROUND 1

An incredible round with no draws as it is supposed to be! it is not as if we were not warned with two same results as in Norway round 1

Giri – Grischuk 1-0
So – Vachier-Lagrave 0-1
Aronian – Caruana 1-0
Carlsen – Topalov 0-1
Nakamura – Anand 1-0

standings:
1. Topalov
1. Nakamura
1. Aronian
1. Giri
1. Vachier-Lagrave
6. So
6. Caruana
6. Carlsen
6. Grischuk
6. Anand

Aug-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS 1

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

24,Karposian
19,Robin01
18,call14
~~~~
17,OhioChessFan
17,Penguincw
16,WannaBe
15,chessmoron
14,Nonnus
12,lostemperor
12,moronovich
11,Schwartz
11,WinKing
11,YouRang
10,Aurora
10,scout118
10,SwitchingQuylthulg
8,Golden Executive
7,whiteshark

Aug-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 1

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

202,Karposian
176,OhioChessFan
168,Penguincw
~~~~
167,call14
167,Robin01
163,WannaBe
152,chessmoron
150,Nonnus
133,moronovich
133,scout118
128,Aurora
128,Schwartz
125,SwitchingQuylthulg
124,lostemperor
121,YouRang
120,WinKing
112,Golden Executive
112,whiteshark

Aug-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 1

Earnings,UserID

$50.11,Karposian
$28.86,Robin01
$17.01,Penguincw
~~~~
$11.61,call14
$8.88,WannaBe
$6.51,OhioChessFan
$3.33,scout118
$-1.18,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-5.77,whiteshark
$-5.99,Nonnus
$-6.99,chessmoron
$-10.18,Golden Executive
$-10.27,Aurora
$-11.54,Schwartz
$-16.26,lostemperor
$-16.36,WinKing
$-18.14,moronovich
$-23.63,YouRang

Aug-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$18.00,Anand-equal-Grischuk, Robin01

$18.00,Aronian-equal-Nakamura, call14

$18.00,Carlsen-equal-So, whiteshark

$18.00,Giri-above-Carlsen, Karposian

$18.00,Grischuk-equal-So, Penguincw

$18.00,Topalov-above-Carlsen, Karposian

Aug-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: The (not so) humble, I would say insane, predictions of <Karposian> on top as history repeats itself (in a crazy volatile world)! :)
Aug-24-15  whiteshark: I hope for 'the last will be first, and the first, last'. ;)
Aug-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Well at least Carlsen did not forfeit this time with white vs Topalov. Eight rounds to go! :)
Aug-24-15  wordfunph: <lost> you missed my predictions, arghhh!
Aug-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <wordfunph> I just see that your predictions are not posted according a machine readable format. However it probably can be interpreted what you actually mean. I see what I can do.
Aug-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Ooh, I'm doing pretty well. I thought I was going to do poorly. :p
Aug-24-15  wordfunph: 145. wordfunph 904
146. lostemperor 900

<lost>, thanks and good luck in chessbookie.

Aug-24-15  Karposian: I really enjoy this contest! Well, so far at least..

<Penguincw: Ooh, I'm doing pretty well.>

There are those who are doing even better, <Penguincw> :)

Aug-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: <Karposian>

Well, you know, <Robin>, <OCF> and <call> are really good players, so obviously I'm going to be below them. :)

On a side note, how's the ChessBookie game? Oh wait, you haven't played yet. I guess my bets are too much for you. :)

Aug-24-15  Karposian: <On a side note, how's the ChessBookie game? Oh wait, you haven't played yet. I guess my bets are too much for you. :)>

Well, I have actually played, <Penguincw>. But so far I've only played on Sinquefield Cup: WINNER

So just wait until the tournament's over, and you'll see that I'm gonna make a giant upward leap on the Summer Leg Standings :)

<whiteshark: I hope for 'the last will be first, and the first, last'. ;)>

I take offense at this post, <whiteshark>. I vehemently disagree with its content :)

Aug-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < Well, I have actually played, <Penguincw>. But so far I've only played on Sinquefield Cup: WINNER >

Oops, I forgot to look at the standings (I looked at your profile instead). My bad. :)

Aug-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SINQUEFIELD ROUND 2 UPDATE

<Another intersting day

<Grischuk — Anand 1-0
Topalov — Nakamura 1-0
Caruana — Carlsen 0-1
Vachier-Lagrave — Aronian 1/2
Giri — So 1/2

<Standings:
1. Topalov
2. Vachier-Lagrave
2. Aronian
2. Giri
5. Nakamura
5. Grischuk
5. Carlsen
8. So
9. Anand
9. Caruana>
>
>
>

Aug-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SINQUEFIELD PREDICTIONS STANDINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 2

Score,UserID

18,Karposian
15,Penguincw
15,WannaBe
~~~~~
14,OhioChessFan
12,Nonnus
12,Robin01
11,call14
8,chessmoron
8,wordfunph
8,YouRang
6,lostemperor
5,SwitchingQuylthulg
4,moronovich
3,Aurora
3,Schwartz
3,WinKing
2,Golden Executive
2,scout118
2,whiteshark

Aug-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 2

Score,UserID

165,Karposian
158,OhioChessFan
153,Penguincw
~~~~
147,WannaBe
142,Robin01
132,Nonnus
131,call14
122,chessmoron
107,wordfunph
104,YouRang
100,SwitchingQuylthulg
90,moronovich
88,Schwartz
83,scout118
80,Aurora
77,Golden Executive
75,lostemperor
72,WinKing
68,whiteshark

Aug-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 2

Earnings,UserID

$41.72,Karposian
$26.40,WannaBe
$18.93,Robin01
~~~~
$17.61,Penguincw
$15.17,OhioChessFan
$14.05,scout118
$9.28,Nonnus
$5.72,Aurora
$-3.47,call14
$-6.00,Schwartz
$-6.02,wordfunph
$-11.29,chessmoron
$-13.58,YouRang
$-13.92,Golden Executive
$-13.92,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-18.03,whiteshark
$-20.28,WinKing
$-20.78,moronovich
$-21.59,lostemperor

Aug-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$19.00,Aronian-above-Nakamura, Penguincw

$19.00,Carlsen-equal-Nakamura, Aurora

$19.00,Giri-above-Carlsen, Karposian

$19.00,Giri-above-Nakamura, WannaBe

$19.00,Sow-above-Caruana, scout118

$19.00,Topalov-above-Carlsen, Karposian

Aug-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I need a loan!
Aug-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: <$-20.78,moronovich
$-21.59,lostemperor>

But you are in good company ;)

Aug-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < 18,Karposian
15,Penguincw
15,WannaBe >

Even though I'd be quite happy to walk away with a silver, not in this case.

BTW: I saw that post over <GE>'s forum:

< lostemperor: <Penguincw: And now I'm the first one to make a post with formatting errors:> I just saw <YouRang>, of all people, was the first to do that here! :D >

Thanks for the "consolation". :)

Aug-25-15  Karposian: <Penguincw: Even though I'd be quite happy to walk away with a silver, not in this case.>

I'd be quite happy to see you walk away with a silver, but only in this case :)

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