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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 181 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Aug-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SINQUEFIELD ROUND 3 UPDATE

<So - Grischuk 1-0
Aronian - Giri 1/2
Carlsen - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0
Nakamura - Caruana 1/2
Anand - Topalov 1/2

<standings:
1. Topalov
2. Carlsen
2. Aronian
2. Giri
5. Nakamura
5. Sow
5. Vachier
8. Grischuk
9. Anand
9. Caruana>
>
>

Aug-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ABSOLUTE RANKER 3

Score,UserID

25,WannaBe
22,Karposian
21,Penguincw
21,Robin01
~~~~
20,OhioChessFan
18,call14
18,YouRang
17,chessmoron
16,lostemperor
16,Nonnus
15,SwitchingQuylthulg
14,moronovich
14,wordfunph
13,Schwartz
13,WinKing
12,Aurora
12,Golden Executive
12,scout118
12,whiteshark

Aug-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 3

Score,UserID

201,Penguincw
201,Robin01
196,OhioChessFan
194,WannaBe
~~~~
191,Karposian
190,call14
185,chessmoron
170,YouRang
162,Nonnus
161,SwitchingQuylthulg
154,moronovich
154,wordfunph
151,scout118
148,Aurora
145,Schwartz
140,Golden Executive
138,whiteshark
136,WinKing
125,lostemperor

Aug-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 3

Earnings,UserID

$40.16,Penguincw
$37.47,WannaBe
$26.27,Karposian
~~~~~~
$17.55,Robin01
$13.80,scout118
$7.46,OhioChessFan
$1.26,call14
$-6.18,Nonnus
$-6.56,chessmoron
$-7.27,YouRang
$-8.16,Aurora
$-11.72,whiteshark
$-11.97,wordfunph
$-12.76,Golden Executive
$-12.76,Schwartz
$-12.76,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-15.55,WinKing
$-16.05,moronovich
$-22.25,lostemperor

Aug-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$19.00,Aronian-above-Nakamura, Penguincw

$19.00,Giri-above-Nakamura, WannaBe

$19.00,So-above-Caruana, scout118

$19.00,Sow-equal-Vachier, Penguincw

$19.00,Topalov-above-Carlsen, Karposian

Aug-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Go wesley!
Go Topalov!
Oh wait ..
Aug-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < 201,Penguincw
191,Karposian >

< $40.16,Penguincw
$26.27,Karposian >

Hi <Karposian>. How does it feel to be below me. :)

Too bad only one gold is awarded...

Aug-26-15  Karposian: <Penguincw: Hi <Karposian>. How does it feel to be below me. :)>

It's a bad feeling, I'll tell you that. Fortunately it's not a feeling I experience very often :)

Aug-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SINQUEFIELD ROUND 4 UPDATE

<Grischuk - Topalov 1/2
Caruana - Anand 1/2
Vachier-Lagrave - Nakamura 1/2
Giri - Carlsen 1/2
So - Aronian 0-1

<l standings:
1. Topalov 3
1. Aronian
3. Carlsen 2.5
3. Giri
5. Nakamura 2
5. Vachier
7. So 1.5
7. Grischuk
9. Anand 1
9. Caruana>
>
>

Aug-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 4

Score,UserID

21,WannaBe
20,OhioChessFan
20,Penguincw
~~~~~~
19,Robin01
18,call14
18,Karposian
17,Nonnus
15,chessmoron
15,YouRang
14,wordfunph
13,lostemperor
12,SwitchingQuylthulg
11,moronovich
10,Aurora
10,Schwartz
10,WinKing
9,Golden Executive
9,scout118
9,whiteshark

Aug-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 4

Score,UserID

205,Penguincw
203,Robin01
192,call14
~~~~
180,OhioChessFan
170,Karposian
167,chessmoron
167,WannaBe
156,Nonnus
149,wordfunph
149,YouRang
140,SwitchingQuylthulg
137,moronovich
130,WinKing
129,Schwartz
122,Aurora
121,scout118
119,Golden Executive
114,whiteshark
112,lostemperor

Aug-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 4

Earnings,UserID

$46.54,Penguincw
$29.59,WannaBe
$26.31,Karposian
~~~~
$22.75,Robin01
$17.00,OhioChessFan
$12.25,scout118
$6.46,call14
$4.55,Nonnus
$-5.01,YouRang
$-6.52,chessmoron
$-10.35,WinKing
$-10.74,wordfunph
$-13.50,Aurora
$-16.01,moronovich
$-16.52,Schwartz
$-17.06,whiteshark
$-20.85,lostemperor
$-24.44,Golden Executive
$-24.44,SwitchingQuylthulg

Aug-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$19.00,Aronian-above-Nakamura, Penguincw

$19.00,Giri-above-Nakamura, WannaBe

$19.00,Grischuk-equal-So, Penguincw

$19.00,So-above-Caruana, scout118

$19.00,Topalov-above-Carlsen, Karposian

Aug-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: You know, in R3, <Karposian> was ahead of me in one category, but I wonder what happened. :O
Aug-27-15  Karposian: <Penguincw: You know, in R3, <Karposian> was ahead of me in one category, but I wonder what happened. :O>

What happened was that I hadn't predicted Wesley So to play the opening like a beginner, ignoring king safety and development! He made it easy for Aronian to crush him, making my Absolute Ranker score to plummet.

But well done for predicting Aronian to do well in this tournament, <Penguincw>. I expected his bad form to continue, but apparently I was wrong about that.

Aug-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < Karposian: ... But well done for predicting Aronian to do well in this tournament, <Penguincw>. I expected his bad form to continue, but apparently I was wrong about that. >

And I must congratulate you on your performance at the Moves Prediction Contest. The Sinquefield Cup games are never easy to predict, yet you make it look easy, again.

Aug-28-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SINQUEFIELD ROUND 5 UPDATE

<tournament past the halfway

<Aronian - Grischuk 1/2
Carlsen - So 1-0
Nakamura - Giri 1/2
Anand - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2
Topalov - Caruana 0-1

<standings:
1. Carlsen
1. Aronian
3. Topalov
3. Giri
5. Nakamura
5. Vachier
7. Caruana
7. Grischuk
9. So
9. Anand>
>
>
>

Aug-28-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 5

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

27,Penguincw
23,Nonnus
23,Robin01
~~~~
22,call14
22,OhioChessFan
21,WannaBe
21,wordfunph
19,chessmoron
17,lostemperor
17,YouRang
16,SwitchingQuylthulg
15,moronovich
14,Karposian
14,Schwartz
14,WinKing
13,Golden Executive
11,whiteshark
10,Aurora
10,scout118

Aug-28-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 5

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID
247,Penguincw
227,Robin01
218,call14
~~~~
198,OhioChessFan
196,Nonnus
195,chessmoron
195,wordfunph
168,WinKing
167,WannaBe
165,moronovich
165,YouRang
164,lostemperor
164,SwitchingQuylthulg
157,Schwartz
150,Karposian
147,Golden Executive
134,whiteshark
130,Aurora
121,scout118

Aug-28-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 5

Earnings,UserID

$33.07,Penguincw
$27.29,WannaBe
$24.48,Robin01
~~~~
$17.00,OhioChessFan
$15.78,Nonnus
$10.26,call14
$6.59,wordfunph
$5.14,Karposian
$-4.79,chessmoron
$-6.78,WinKing
$-7.08,YouRang
$-9.90,moronovich
$-11.96,scout118
$-13.21,Golden Executive
$-13.21,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-13.96,lostemperor
$-16.76,Aurora
$-19.13,whiteshark
$-22.85,Schwartz

Aug-28-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$19.00,Aronian-above-Nakamura, Penguincw

$19.00,Giri-above-Nakamura, WannaBe

* * * *

$9.50,Anand-equal-So, Golden Executive + SwitchingQuylthulg

$9.50,Aronian-above-Anand, Penguincw + Robin01

$9.50,Aronian-above-Caruana, call14 + Robin01

$9.50,Giri-above-Caruana, Karposian + WannaBe

$9.50,Grischuk-above-So, Nonnus + wordfunph

$9.50,VachierLagrave-above-Grischuk, OhioChessFan + WannaBe

$9.50,VachierLagrave-above-So, Nonnus + OhioChessFan

Aug-29-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Carlsen won again with an excellent game against So to take shared first with Aronian, who finally has a good tournament again since Tata 2013 after which I always put him on a high spot untill this tournament! :( Topalov lost to Caruana what is a pity though that does improve my standings.

<Penguincw> clear in the lead in all three rankers, getting his right against <Karposian> but with 4 rounds to go! :)

Aug-30-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SINQUEFIELD ROUND 6 UPDATE

<Grischuk - Caruana 1-0
Vachier-Lagrave - Topalov 1-0
Giri - Anand 1/2
So - Nakamura 0-1
Aronian - Carlsen 1/2

<standings:
1. Carlsen
1. Aronian
3. Vachier
3. Giri
3. Nakamura
6. Topalov
6. Grischuk
8. Caruana
8. Anand
10. So>
>
>

Aug-30-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 6

Score,UserID

23,Robin01
22,call14
22,Penguincw
~~~~
21,wordfunph
19,lostemperor
19,Nonnus
17,OhioChessFan
16,moronovich
16,WinKing
15,chessmoron
14,Golden Executive
14,Schwartz
14,WannaBe
13,SwitchingQuylthulg
12,scout118
11,whiteshark
10,Aurora
10,YouRang
9,Karposian

Aug-30-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 6

Score,UserID

221,Penguincw
220,Robin01
216,call14
~~~~
183,wordfunph
179,lostemperor
178,OhioChessFan
176,WinKing
169,Nonnus
166,chessmoron
162,moronovich
154,Schwartz
144,SwitchingQuylthulg
142,WannaBe
138,Golden Executive
124,YouRang
117,scout118
115,Karposian
113,whiteshark
107,Aurora

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