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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 185 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Dec-09-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 5

Score,UserID

237,lostemperor
223,SwitchingQuylthulg
201,Karposian
~~~~~~
197,Penguincw
187,moronovich
171,Aurora
168,WinKing
167,alfamikewhiskey
163,Golden Executive
151,YouRang
146,WannaBe
141,wordfunph
140,OhioChessFan
116,chessmoron
112,whiteshark
111,cromat
111,positionalgenius

Dec-09-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 5

Earnings,UserID

$36.96,alfamikewhiskey
$36.63,SwitchingQuylthulg
$34.23,Karposian
~~~~~~
$19.91,lostemperor
$16.77,YouRang
$16.52,Penguincw
$3.92,moronovich
$1.65,WinKing
$-1.31,WannaBe
$-6.44,Golden Executive
$-16.07,Aurora
$-19.49,wordfunph
$-20.89,OhioChessFan
$-24.59,cromat
$-24.84,chessmoron
$-25.55,whiteshark
$-27.41,positionalgenius

Dec-09-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$17.00,Adams-above-Topalov, alfamikewhiskey

$17.00,Anand-equal-Aronian, moronovich

$17.00,Anand-equal-Carlsen, WinKing

$17.00,Anand-equal-Caruana, WannaBe

$17.00,Giri-above-Aronian, alfamikewhiskey

$17.00,Giri-equal-Vachier, SwitchingQuylthulg

$17.00,Nakamura-above-Carlsen, YouRang

$17.00,Nakamura-equal-Vachier, SwitchingQuylthulg

$17.00,Vachier-above-Caruana, Karposian

Dec-11-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <LONDON CHESS CLASSIC ROUND 6 UPDATE

<Giri - Carlsen 1/2
Nakamura - Aronian 1/2
Topalov - Adams 1/2
Grischuk - Anand 1-0
Vachier-Lagrave - Caruana 1/2

<standings:
1. Giri
1. Vachier
1. Nakamura
1. Grischuk
5. Carlsen
5. Adams
5. Aronian
5. Caruana
9. Anand
10. Topalov>
>
>

Dec-11-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS 6

Score,UserID

20,SwitchingQuylthulg
19,alfamikewhiskey
19,lostemperor
~~~~
18,Penguincw
13,Golden Executive
13,Karposian
13,YouRang
11,Aurora
10,moronovich
10,WannaBe
9,WinKing
7,cromat
7,wordfunph
5,OhioChessFan
5,positionalgenius
4,whiteshark
3,chessmoron

Dec-11-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 6

Score,UserID

210,SwitchingQuylthulg
207,lostemperor
191,alfamikewhiskey
~~~~
185,Penguincw
155,Karposian
151,YouRang
146,Golden Executive
145,moronovich
143,Aurora
130,WinKing
122,WannaBe
108,OhioChessFan
102,wordfunph
98,chessmoron
97,positionalgenius
92,whiteshark
76,cromat

Dec-11-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 6

Earnings,UserID

$78.24,alfamikewhiskey
$34.92,SwitchingQuylthulg
$29.56,Karposian
~~~~
$19.88,YouRang
$18.20,lostemperor
$1.08,Penguincw
$-7.57,WinKing
$-7.58,Golden Executive
$-8.49,moronovich
$-8.72,Aurora
$-13.95,whiteshark
$-18.17,WannaBe
$-22.02,chessmoron
$-22.60,OhioChessFan
$-22.62,wordfunph
$-24.30,positionalgenius
$-25.87,cromat

Dec-11-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$17.00,Adams-above-Anand, alfamikewhiskey

$17.00,Adams-above-Topalov, alfamikewhiskey

$17.00,Giri-above-Aronian, alfamikewhiskey

$17.00,Giri-equal-Vachier, SwitchingQuylthulg

$17.00,Grischuk-above-Aronian, alfamikewhiskey

$17.00,Nakamura-above-Carlsen, YouRang

$17.00,Nakamura-equal-Vachier, SwitchingQuylthulg

$17.00,Vachier-above-Caruana, Karposian

Dec-11-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <lostemperor> has lost his lead to <SwitchingQuylthulg> in the Absolute and Square ranker while <alfamikewhiskey> reigns in the pair bettings with three rounds to go!
Dec-11-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Wow, I'm doing great.
Dec-12-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <LONDON ROUND 7 UPDATE

<Caruana-Giri 1/2
Anand-Vachier-Lagrave 0-1
Adams-Grischuk 1/2
Aronian-Topalov 1-0
Carlsen-Nakamura 1-0

<standings:
1. Vachier
2. Giri
2. Carlsen
2. Grischuk
2. Aronian
6. Adams
6. Nakamura
6. Caruana
9. Anand
10. Topalov>
>
>
>

Dec-12-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 7

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

24,Karposian
24,SwitchingQuylthulg
23,lostemperor
~~~~
21,Penguincw
19,WannaBe
17,Golden Executive
16,alfamikewhiskey
16,moronovich
15,YouRang
14,chessmoron
13,WinKing
12,cromat
12,OhioChessFan
12,positionalgenius
12,whiteshark
12,wordfunph
11,Aurora

Dec-12-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ~SQUARE RANKER 7

Score,UserID

240,SwitchingQuylthulg
225,Karposian
224,lostemperor
~~~~
199,Penguincw
180,moronovich
167,alfamikewhiskey
166,Golden Executive
163,WannaBe
159,OhioChessFan
147,chessmoron
145,WinKing
136,Aurora
132,positionalgenius
128,whiteshark
127,wordfunph
124,YouRang
102,cromat

Dec-12-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ~PAIR BETTING RANKER~7

Earnings,UserID

$52.70,Karposian
$50.94,alfamikewhiskey
$23.49,lostemperor
~~~~
$6.20,SwitchingQuylthulg
$2.40,Penguincw
$-1.67,WannaBe
$-3.19,chessmoron
$-6.16,moronovich
$-7.10,WinKing
$-7.96,OhioChessFan
$-8.04,YouRang
$-11.36,Golden Executive
$-11.72,wordfunph
$-14.20,whiteshark
$-18.73,positionalgenius
$-21.05,Aurora
$-24.55,cromat

Dec-12-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$17.00,Adams-above-Anand, alfamikewhiskey

$17.00,Adams-above-Topalov, alfamikewhiskey

$17.00,Vachier-above-Caruana, Karposian

$17.00,Vachier-above-Nakamura, Karposian

*****

$8.50,Aronian-equal-Carlsen, Karposian + YouRang

$8.50,Giri-above-Nakamura, chessmoron + WannaBe

$8.50,Giri-equal-Grischuk, whiteshark + WinKing

$8.50,Grischuk-above-Caruana, alfamikewhiskey + Penguincw

$8.50,Grischuk-above-Nakamura, alfamikewhiskey + chessmoron

$8.50,Grischuk-above-Topalov, alfamikewhiskey + lostemperor

$8.50,Vachier-above-Anand, Karposian + SwitchingQuylthulg

$8.50,Vachier-above-Topalov, Karposian + lostemperor

Dec-12-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Chessbookie leader <SwitchingQuylthulg> and <Karposian> on top of the field with two rounds to go!
Dec-14-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <LONDON CHESS CLASSIC 2015 FINAL UPDATE

<Carlsen wins the Chess Classic and Grand Chess Tour albeit in a play off!

<Round 8 Saturday 12-Dec 14:00

Giri-Nakamura 1-0
Topalov-Carlsen 1/2
Grischuk-Aronian 1/2
Vachier-Lagrave-Adams 1/2
Caruana-Anand 1/2

<Round 9 Sunday 13-Dec 14:00

Anand-Giri 1/2
Adams-Caruana 1/2
Aronian-Vachier-Lagrave 1/2
Carlsen-Grischuk 1-0
Nakamura-Topalov 1/2

<standings:
1. Carlsen 5.5
1. Giri
1. Vachier
4. Aronian 5
5. Grischuk 4.5
5. Adams
5. Caruana
8. Nakamura 4
9. Anand 3.5
10. Topalov 2.5
>
>
>
>
>

Dec-14-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS FINAL

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

♔27,SwitchingQuylthulg
♕25,lostemperor
♖24,Karposian
~~~~~~
22,Penguincw
21,WannaBe
20,Golden Executive
18,moronovich
16,alfamikewhiskey
16,chessmoron
16,WinKing
14,cromat
14,OhioChessFan
14,positionalgenius
14,whiteshark
14,wordfunph
14,YouRang
13,Aurora

Dec-14-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER FINAL

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

255,SwitchingQuylthulg
245,lostemperor
232,Karposian
~~~~
209,Penguincw
194,moronovich
187,Golden Executive
187,WannaBe
177,alfamikewhiskey
173,OhioChessFan
166,chessmoron
154,WinKing
153,Aurora
152,wordfunph
143,whiteshark
140,positionalgenius
122,cromat
120,YouRang

Dec-14-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER

Earnings,UserID

♔$81.82,alfamikewhiskey
♕$56.01,Karposian
♖$15.76,lostemperor
~~~~
$15.48,SwitchingQuylthulg
$4.19,Penguincw
$-1.29,chessmoron
$-5.04,WannaBe
$-8.22,moronovich
$-10.43,OhioChessFan
$-12.77,wordfunph
$-16.94,positionalgenius
$-17.85,Aurora
$-18.89,YouRang
$-19.07,WinKing
$-19.09,Golden Executive
$-20.92,whiteshark
$-22.76,cromat

Dec-14-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

JACKPOT!!
$17.00,Adams-above-Anand, alfamikewhiskey

JACKPOT!!
$17.00,Adams-above-Nakamura, alfamikewhiskey

JACKPOT!!
$17.00,Adams-above-Topalov, alfamikewhiskey

JACKPOT!!
$17.00,Carlsen-equal-Vachier, Karposian

JACKPOT!!
$17.00,Giri-above-Aronian, alfamikewhiskey

JACKPOT!!
$17.00,Giri-equal-Vachier, SwitchingQuylthulg

JACKPOT!!
$17.00,Vachier-above-Caruana, Karposian

JACKPOT!!
$17.00,Vachier-above-Nakamura, Karposian

Dec-14-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Semi-JACKPOT!
$8.50,Adams-equal-Grischuk, alfamikewhiskey + Penguincw

Semi-JACKPOT!
$8.50,Giri-above-Nakamura, chessmoron + WannaBe

Semi-JACKPOT!
$8.50,Grischuk-above-Nakamura, alfamikewhiskey + chessmoron

Semi-JACKPOT!
$8.50,Grischuk-above-Topalov, alfamikewhiskey + lostemperor

Semi-JACKPOT!
$8.50,Vachier-above-Anand, Karposian + SwitchingQuylthulg

Semi-JACKPOT!
$8.50,Vachier-above-Topalov, Karposian + lostemperor

Dec-14-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Missed chances:

$0.00,Adams-equal-Caruana, (0 winners)
$0.00,Carlsen-equal-Giri, (0 winners)
$0.00,Caruana-equal-Grischuk, (0 winners)
$0.00,Vachier-above-Aronian, (0 winners)

Dec-14-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Congratulations <SwitchingQuylthulg> winning the Absolute- and Square Ranker and <alfamikewhiskey> Pair Betting Ranker!!

They are the big winners but <Karposian> and <lostemperor> winning "medals" in all three rankers!

It became an exciting prediciton tournament anyway unlike my earlier expectations <;)

Dec-14-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Next tournament (for real) TATA STEEL CHESS 2016 now open for your bets!

1. Carlsen
2. Caruana,
3. Giri
4. Ding Liren
5. So
6. Karjakin
7. Eljanov
8. Adams
9. Mamedyarov
10. Tomashevsky
11. Navara
12. Wei Yi
13. Hou Yifan
14. Van Wely

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