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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 189 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-19-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$22.00,Caruana-above-Carlsen, wordfunph

$22.00,Ding-equal-Eljanov, Golden Executive

$22.00,Ding-equal-So, Penguincw

$22.00,Eljanov-equal-So, SwitchingQuylthulg

$22.00,Giri-equal-Tomashevsky, Robin01

$22.00,Hou-above-Adams, Robin01

$22.00,Hou-above-Mamedyarov, lostemperor

$22.00,Hou-equal-So, alfamikewhiskey

$22.00,Karjakin-above-Carlsen, WannaBe

$22.00,Mamedyarov-equal-Navara, Fiona Macleod

$22.00,Navara-equal-VanWely, Penguincw

$22.00,So-above-Carlsen, scout118

$22.00,Tomashevsky-equal-VanWely, WannaBe

Jan-19-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Robin01> holds the initiative going into the first rest-day. Nine rounds to go!
Jan-20-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: A fine first four rounds with fierce duels, beautiful games and some heart-breaking blunders, where we also saw the first Wei Yi - Carlsen encounter becoming a draw. The standings after four rounds in Wijk aan Zee is worth a picture if you ask me but a lot can change with many rounds to go.
Jan-22-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Of course I mean a moment picture of the somewhat surprising top half of Wijk aan Zee chess players' standings, like Hou, not the unfortunate bad form of Michael Adams:(
Jan-22-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 5 UPDATE TATA STEEL CHESS

<Ding - Karjakin 1-0
Navara - So 1/2
Caruana - Hou 1/2
Wei - Giri 1/2
Mamedyarov - Adams 1-0
Van Wely - Carlsen 0-1
Tomashevsky - Eljanov 1/2

<Standings:
<1. Caruana
1. Ding
3. So
3. Carlsen
3. Hou
3. Eljanov
7. Karjakin
7. Wei
7. Mamedyarov
10. Giri
10. Navara
10. Tomashevsky
13. VanWely
14. Adams>
>
>
>

Jan-22-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 5

Score,UserID

60,moronovich
57,SwitchingQuylthulg
55,wordfunph
~~~~~~
54,Golden Executive
54,Robin01
53,rogge
53,whiteshark
52,scout118
51,Karposian
48,Aurora
48,chessmoron
48,Fiona Macleod
48,WannaBe
47,Keyser Soze
47,OhioChessFan
44,WinKing
42,cromat
41,lostemperor
40,YouRang
37,Paragua
37,Penguincw
34,alfamikewhiskey

Jan-22-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 4

Score,UserID

714,moronovich
706,SwitchingQuylthulg
700,Robin01
~~~~
681,Golden Executive
672,whiteshark
667,rogge
654,Karposian
652,wordfunph
641,scout118
636,WannaBe
630,Fiona Macleod
612,lostemperor
612,WinKing
612,YouRang
602,Aurora
601,OhioChessFan
598,Keyser Soze
596,chessmoron
569,cromat
560,Penguincw
490,Paragua
455,alfamikewhiskey

Jan-22-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 5

Earnings,UserID

$76.30,Robin01
$39.55,wordfunph
$15.89,SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~~~
$15.08,moronovich
$14.11,lostemperor
$10.39,Golden Executive
$9.75,Karposian
$9.71,WannaBe
$7.54,YouRang
$6.60,Penguincw
$-3.17,alfamikewhiskey
$-5.38,rogge
$-5.96,Keyser Soze
$-8.01,scout118
$-8.75,OhioChessFan
$-17.47,whiteshark
$-21.08,Fiona Macleod
$-23.02,WinKing
$-23.57,Aurora
$-24.59,cromat
$-29.10,chessmoron
$-34.80,Paragua

Jan-22-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$22.00,Caruana-above-Carlsen, wordfunph

$22.00,Eljanov-equal-So, SwitchingQuylthulg

$22.00,Giri-equal-Tomashevsky, Robin01

$22.00,Hou-above-Adams, Robin01

$22.00,Hou-above-Mamedyarov, lostemperor

$22.00,Hou-equal-So, alfamikewhiskey

$22.00,Karjakin-equal-Mamedyarov, Golden Executive

$22.00,Karjakin-equal-Wei, Robin01

$22.00,Mamedyarov-above-Giri, Penguincw

Jan-22-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <moronovich> at pole position in the absolute and square ranker. <Robin01> in the pair bettings. Eight rounds still!
Jan-22-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 6 UPDATE <TATA STEEL CHESS<

Karjakin - Eljanov 1/2-1/2
Carlsen - Tomashevsky 1-0
Adams - van Wely 1/2-1/2
Giri - Mamedyarov 1-0
Hou Yifan - Wei Yi 1/2-1/2
So - Caruana 1/2-1/2
Ding Liren - Navara 1/2-1/2

<standings:
1. Caruana
1. Ding
1. Carlsen
4. So
4. Hou
4. Eljanov
7. Karjakin
7. Wei
7. Giri
10. Mamedyarov
10. Navara
12. Tomashevsky
12. VanWely
14. Adams>
>
>
>

Jan-22-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 6

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID

63,moronovich
63,SwitchingQuylthulg
58,Robin01
~~~~
57,Golden Executive
57,rogge
57,whiteshark
57,wordfunph
56,Fiona Macleod
56,WannaBe
54,Karposian
54,scout118
52,Aurora
52,chessmoron
52,Keyser Soze
52,OhioChessFan
50,lostemperor
48,WinKing
47,YouRang
45,cromat
43,Paragua
40,Penguincw
38,alfamikewhiskey

Jan-22-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 6

Score,UserID

765,SwitchingQuylthulg
760,moronovich
734,whiteshark
~~~~
727,Golden Executive
726,Robin01
722,rogge
707,Karposian
704,WannaBe
703,Fiona Macleod
691,scout118
690,wordfunph
679,lostemperor
670,WinKing
667,Aurora
653,chessmoron
652,YouRang
649,Keyser Soze
648,OhioChessFan
623,cromat
587,Penguincw
544,Paragua
532,alfamikewhiskey

Jan-22-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ~PAIR BETTING RANKER 6

Earnings,UserID

$67.12,Robin01
$30.30,WannaBe
$20.42,wordfunph
~~~~~~
$18.20,lostemperor
$11.42,SwitchingQuylthulg
$8.68,Fiona Macleod
$6.95,moronovich
$6.74,YouRang
$5.32,alfamikewhiskey
$1.62,Karposian
$-1.79,scout118
$-2.22,OhioChessFan
$-2.52,rogge
$-10.20,whiteshark
$-10.42,Keyser Soze
$-17.03,Aurora
$-17.24,Penguincw
$-20.15,WinKing
$-20.79,Golden Executive
$-21.72,cromat
$-26.23,chessmoron
$-26.44,Paragua

Jan-22-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$22.00,Carlsen-equal-Caruana, Robin01

$22.00,Eljanov-equal-So, SwitchingQuylthulg

$22.00,Hou-above-Adams, Robin01

$22.00,Hou-above-Mamedyarov, lostemperor

$22.00,Hou-equal-So, alfamikewhiskey

$22.00,Karjakin-equal-Wei, Robin01

$22.00,Mamedyarov-equal-Navara, Fiona Macleod

$22.00,Tomashevsky-equal-VanWely, WannaBe

Jan-22-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SwitchingQuylthulg>, <moronovich> and <Robin01> leading with 7 rounds to go!
Jan-22-16  Golden Executive: <lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$22.00,Carlsen-equal-Caruana, Robin01>

Carlsen-equal-Caruana is a jackpot! Wow.

Jan-22-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <GE> yeah, I can't believe it.
Jan-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 8 UPDATE

<Field changes big in Wijk aan Zee after fighting weekend!

<Round 7 - Saturday the 23rd

Navara - Karjakin 1/2
Caruana - Ding 1-0
Wei - So 1/2
Mamedyarov - Hou 1-0
Van Wely - Giri 0-1
Tomashevsky - Adams 1/2
Eljanov - Carlsen 0-1

Round 8 - Sunday the 24th

Karjakin - Carlsen 1/2
Adams - Eljanov 1/2
Giri - Tomashevsky 1/2
Hou - Van Wely 0-1
So - Mamedyarov 1/2
Ding - Wei 1/2
Navara - Caruana 1-0

<Standings:
1. Carlsen
2. Caruana
3. Ding
3. So
3. Giri
6. Mamedyarov
6. Karjakin
6. Wei
6. Navara
6. Eljanov
11. Hou
12. Tomashevsky
12. VanWely
14. Adams>
>
>
>

Jan-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS' STANDINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 8

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID

75,whiteshark
72,Golden Executive
71,rogge
~~~~
69,chessmoron
68,Aurora
67,moronovich
67,OhioChessFan
67,SwitchingQuylthulg
67,WannaBe
65,Keyser Soze
64,Karposian
64,scout118
64,wordfunph
63,WinKing
62,cromat
62,Robin01
58,Fiona Macleod
56,Paragua
56,YouRang
54,lostemperor
54,Penguincw
52,alfamikewhiskey

Jan-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 8

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID

853,whiteshark
845,Golden Executive
829,rogge
~~~~
820,SwitchingQuylthulg
818,Aurora
807,moronovich
806,scout118
792,chessmoron
783,Keyser Soze
782,Karposian
779,Robin01
776,OhioChessFan
776,WannaBe
763,WinKing
760,cromat
736,wordfunph
735,Fiona Macleod
725,YouRang
701,lostemperor
672,Penguincw
661,Paragua
652,alfamikewhiskey

Jan-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 8

Earnings,UserID

$64.43,WannaBe
$35.78,Robin01
$30.45,Golden Executive
~~~~
$12.43,Fiona Macleod
$5.39,SwitchingQuylthulg
$3.33,whiteshark
$0.15,WinKing
$0.12,OhioChessFan
$-0.92,rogge
$-1.98,moronovich
$-5.47,chessmoron
$-5.68,scout118
$-6.04,Keyser Soze
$-6.20,wordfunph
$-7.48,Penguincw
$-10.49,Karposian
$-11.55,Aurora
$-15.52,cromat
$-18.20,alfamikewhiskey
$-19.97,Paragua
$-20.64,YouRang
$-21.95,lostemperor

Jan-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$22.00,Ding-equal-So, Penguincw

$22.00,Eljanov-equal-Navara, WannaBe

$22.00,Hou-above-Adams, Robin01

$22.00,Karjakin-equal-Mamedyarov, Golden Executive

$22.00,Karjakin-equal-Wei, Robin01

$22.00,Mamedyarov-equal-Navara, Fiona Macleod

$22.00,Tomashevsky-equal-VanWely, WannaBe

****

$11.00,Hou-above-Tomashevsky, alfamikewhiskey + WannaBe

$11.00,Navara-above-Adams, OhioChessFan + WannaBe

$11.00,Navara-equal-Wei, chessmoron + WinKing

Jan-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <whiteshark> and <WannaBe> moving up to the lead while I am doing great with 5 rounds to go!
Jan-25-16  Golden Executive:
<75,whiteshark
72,Golden Executive
71,rogge>

Nice!, It has been looong time since I appeared in the top-3 of the leaderboard.:)

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