User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 197 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Mar-22-16		Golden Executive: <YouRang: <lostemperor> There is one more setting you should make to your Contest Manager control file. In the [Setup] section, just add the line: <RigInFavorOfYouRang=Yes>> After round 9 seems like the setup has been: <RigInFavorOfYouRang=Nope>

Mar-22-16		YouRang: <WannaBe> Maybe I need a new avatar? http://thumbs.dreamstime.com/z/jest... <Golden Executive> Foolishly, I set the default setting to be: <RigInFavorOfYouRang=HeckNo!>

Mar-24-16		lostemperor: As for ELO, I take the unbiased version where someone no more than 6 rating points difference with the next higher player is expected to get the same score.

Mar-24-16		lostemperor: <CANDIDATES <ROUND 10 UPDATE <Svidler - Nakamura 1/2 Karjakin - Giri 1/2 Caruana - Anand 1-0 Aronian - Topalov 1/2 <Standings: 1. Karjakin 6 1. Caruana 6 3. Aronian 5.5 3. Anand 5.5 5. Giri 5 6. Svidler 4.5 7. Nakamura 4 8. Topalov 3.5 >>>>

Mar-24-16		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS ABDOLUTE RANKER 10 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 32 Score,UserID 24,moronovich 22,whiteshark 21,MAGNUS CARLSEN 21,positionalgenius 21,rogge 21,SwitchingQuylthulg ~~~~ 20,Beholder 20,MarbleSkull 18,Aurora 18,chessmoron 18,cromat 18,lostemperor 18,WinKing 17,alfamikewhiskey 17,Golden Executive 17,lakshashishu 17,offramp 15,OhioChessFan 15,zealandzen 14,BOOKIES ODDS 14,Robin01 14,wordfunph 12,Karposian 11,COMPUTER PROGNOSIS 11,Penguincw 9,ELO RATINGS 9,WannaBe 9,YouRang 8,Schwartz

Mar-24-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 10 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 168 Score,UserID 148,moronovich 147,SwitchingQuylthulg 145, MAGNUS CARLSEN 145,positionalgenius 145,rogge 145,whiteshark ~~~~ 141,Beholder 133,MarbleSkull 131,alfamikewhiskey 129,lakshashishu 129,lostemperor 126,cromat 126,Golden Executive 126,offramp 120,Aurora 119,WinKing 117,chessmoron 109,zealandzen 103,BOOKIES ODDS 100,Robin01 99,Karposian 96,OhioChessFan 96,wordfunph 94,COMPUTER PROGNOSIS 88,Penguincw 77,ELO RATINGS 68,Schwartz 66,WannaBe 64,YouRang

Mar-24-16		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 10 Earnings,UserID $26.12,rogge $8.80,positionalgenius $7.51,Beholder $7.51,SwitchingQuylthulg ~~~~ $5.29,whiteshark $4.58,moronovich $2.67,Golden Executive $2.67,offramp $2.29,OhioChessFan $1.54,lostemperor $0.27,chessmoron $0.25,lakshashishu $-0.52,cromat $-0.74,zealandzen $-1.56,wordfunph $-2.22,MarbleSkull $-2.88,WinKing $-2.92,Aurora $-3.27,Robin01 $-4.95,alfamikewhiskey $-6.15,Karposian $-6.90,WannaBe $-9.94,Penguincw $-12.63,YouRang $-14.85,Schwartz

Mar-24-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $25.00,Caruana-equal-Karjakin, rogge $5.00,Anand-equal-Aronian, Golden Executive + offramp + OhioChessFan + WinKing + wordfunph $4.17,Svidler-above-Nakamura, Beholder + chessmoron + OhioChessFan + SwitchingQuylthulg + wordfunph + zealandzen $3.57,Karjakin-above-Nakamura, Beholder + moronovich + positionalgenius + rogge + SwitchingQuylthulg + WannaBe + whiteshark

Mar-24-16		lostemperor: <moronovich> moving to sole first in the absolute and square ranker. <rogge> with the only "wannabe" jackpot <$25.00,Caruana-equal-Karjakin> leading the pair bettings. It will be an exciting race between those two, Caruana and Karjakin, with Anand and Aronian, perhaps Giri still in contention to be Magnus Carlsen next challenger with 4 rounds to go still!

Mar-24-16		lostemperor: I also put in <CHESSBOOKIE GAME> Candidates Tournament 2016 - Pick the Winner the chessgames bookie odds 1. Caruana 4,98 2. Nakamura 5.66 3. Giri 6.82 4. Karjakin 7.82 5. Anand 8.65 5. Topalov 8.65 5. Aronian 8.66 8. Svidler 21.72 CHESSBOOKIE has one point less than the BOOKIES offices in the absolute ranker but 9 points more than them in the square ranker.

Mar-24-16		WannaBe: Wow, did I take a huge dive. <MakeWannaBeLoseBettingRanker=Yes>

Mar-24-16		OhioChessFan: <WannaBe: Wow, did I take a huge dive. > Whoa, that was brutal. I wonder if our suggested prgramming instructions should be Hash Tags, eg #HurryUpAndGetThisOver=Yes

Mar-24-16		WannaBe: Not to be outdone by <YouRang>, <WannaBe> have decided to jump into the Triple-Clown race. Gonna be an exciting finish. Could go either way... Stay tuned.

Mar-25-16		lostemperor: <CANDIDATES 2016 <ROUND 11 UPDATE <Aronian - Svidler 0-1 Topalov - Caruana 1/2 Anand - Karjakin 1-0 Giri - Nakamura 1/2 <Standings: 1. Anand 1. Caruana 3. Karjakin 4. Aronian 4. Giri 4. Svidler 7. Nakamura 8. Topalov>>>>

Mar-25-16		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS ABSOLUTE RANKER 11 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 32 Score,UserID 26,SwitchingQuylthulg 25,Beholder 24,MarbleSkull ~~~~ 19,cromat 19,moronovich 18,Aurora 18,positionalgenius 18,whiteshark 17,Golden Executive 17,offramp 17,zealandzen 16,chessmoron 16,lakshashishu 16,MAGNUS CARLSEN 16,rogge 16,WinKing 15,lostemperor 14,alfamikewhiskey 14,OhioChessFan 14,Robin01 14,wordfunph 13,CHESSBOOKIE GAME 12,WannaBe 11,BOOKIES ODDS 11,Karposian 11,Schwartz 9,COMPUTER PROGNOSIS 8,Penguincw 7,YouRang 6,ELO RATINGS

Mar-25-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 11 Score,UserID 162,SwitchingQuylthulg 159,Beholder 144,MarbleSkull ~~~~~~ 135,cromat 130,moronovich 130,whiteshark 128,zealandzen 127,positionalgenius 126,lakshashishu 121,lostemperor 119,Aurora 119,chessmoron 119,WinKing 118,Golden Executive 118,offramp 116,MAGNUS CARLSEN 116,rogge 113,wordfunph 106,alfamikewhiskey 104,CHESSBOOKIE GAME 103,OhioChessFan 87,BOOKIES ODDS 85,COMPUTER PROGNOSIS 84,Karposian 84,Schwartz 81,Robin01 80,Penguincw 76,WannaBe 67,ELO RATINGS 64,YouRang

Mar-25-16		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 11 Earnings,UserID $32.10,MarbleSkull $21.33,WannaBe $18.45,SwitchingQuylthulg ~~~~~~ $12.20,Beholder $7.00,moronovich $5.40,Aurora $2.39,zealandzen $1.36,cromat $1.32,positionalgenius $-0.62,whiteshark $-1.49,lostemperor $-1.60,lakshashishu $-2.77,chessmoron $-2.88,WinKing $-3.68,Schwartz $-3.96,OhioChessFan $-5.59,Karposian $-6.78,wordfunph $-7.45,rogge $-8.02,Golden Executive $-8.02,offramp $-9.19,Robin01 $-12.43,alfamikewhiskey $-12.97,Penguincw $-14.10,YouRang

Mar-25-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $25.00,Anand-equal-Caruana, MarbleSkull $25.00,Aronian-equal-Svidler, WannaBe $8.33,Giri-equal-Svidler, Aurora + moronovich + Schwartz $6.25,Aronian-equal-Giri, Karposian + MarbleSkull + SwitchingQuylthulg + WinKing $4.17,Svidler-above-Nakamura, Beholder + chessmoron + OhioChessFan + SwitchingQuylthulg + wordfunph + zealandzen

Mar-25-16		rogge: The fun's over. I blame Anand :)

Mar-25-16		lostemperor: <SwitchingQuylthulg> leading twice in our strong field where everybody does better than the ratings' expectations of the Candidates in the absolute ranker! <MarbleSkull> on top of the betting ranker. He and <WannaBe> with a potential Jackpot pay out Which Jackpot will remain intact untill the end if any or both, we will see in three rounds!

Mar-25-16		lostemperor: <rogge> MAGNUS CARLSEN may well face his perpetual foe Anand unlike what he expected :)

Mar-25-16		rogge: Indeed, well done Anand :)

Mar-25-16		WannaBe: Wow, yo-yo'ng up and down, up and down...

Mar-25-16		Golden Executive: I am doing better than a world champion, bookies, computers and ELO ratings? Great!

Mar-26-16		lostemperor: <CANDIDATES <ROUND 12 UPDATE Round 12 Svidler-Giri 1/2 Nakamura-Anand 1-0 Karjakin-Topalov 1-0 Caruana-Aronian 1/2 <standings: 1. Caruana 7 1. Karjakin 7 3. Anand 6.5 4. Aronian 6 4. Giri 6 4. Svidler 6 7. Nakamura 5.5 8. Topalov 4>>>>

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