User Profile: lostemperor

Members · Prefs · Laboratory · Collections · Openings · Endgames · Sacrifices · History · Search Kibitzing · Kibitzer's Café · Chessforums · Tournament Index · Players ·

Kibitzing

lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
♙
♙♙
♙♙♙
♙♙
♙
Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
♙
♙♙
♙♙♙
♙♙
♙
<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
♙
♙♙
♙♙♙
♙♙

♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 198 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Mar-26-16		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS 12 ABSOLUTE RANKER Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 32 Score,UserID 24,SwitchingQuylthulg 23,Beholder 21,MarbleSkull 21,moronovich ~~~~ 20,whiteshark 19,cromat 18,Aurora 18,MAGNUS CARLSEN 18,positionalgenius 18,rogge 17,Golden Executive 17,offramp 17,zealandzen 16,chessmoron 16,WinKing 15,lakshashishu 15,lostemperor 14,alfamikewhiskey 14,OhioChessFan 14,Robin01 14,wordfunph 13,CHESSBOOKIE GAME 11,BOOKIES ODDS 11,Karposian 10,WannaBe 9,COMPUTER PROGNOSIS 9,Schwartz 8,Penguincw 7,YouRang 6,ELO RATINGS EXPECTATIONS

Mar-26-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 12 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 168 Score,UserID 158,SwitchingQuylthulg 154,Beholder 142,moronovich ~~~~ 140,whiteshark 134,MarbleSkull 131,MAGNUS CARLSEN 131,rogge 130,positionalgenius 126,cromat 124,Golden Executive 124,offramp 119,Aurora 119,zealandzen 118,lostemperor 117,lakshashishu 115,alfamikewhiskey 113,WinKing 110,CHESSBOOKIE GAME 107,chessmoron 101,wordfunph 96,Robin01 94,OhioChessFan 91,BOOKIES ODDS 89,Karposian 85,COMPUTER PROGNOSIS 73,WannaBe 72,Penguincw 69,Schwartz 67,ELO RATINGS 60,YouRang

Mar-26-16		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 12 Earnings,UserID $21.52,rogge $19.66,WannaBe $16.89,SwitchingQuylthulg ~~~~ $10.64,Beholder $9.88,moronovich $5.50,Aurora $4.35,MarbleSkull $4.20,positionalgenius $2.26,whiteshark $0.82,zealandzen $-0.21,cromat $-2.71,Karposian $-3.05,lostemperor $-4.33,chessmoron $-4.35,lakshashishu $-4.44,WinKing $-5.14,Golden Executive $-5.14,offramp $-5.52,OhioChessFan $-6.31,Robin01 $-6.43,Schwartz $-8.34,wordfunph $-9.55,alfamikewhiskey $-14.53,Penguincw $-15.67,YouRang

Mar-26-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $25.00,Aronian-equal-Svidler, WannaBe $25.00,Caruana-equal-Karjakin, rogge $8.33,Giri-equal-Svidler, Aurora + moronovich + Schwartz $6.25,Aronian-equal-Giri, Karposian + MarbleSkull + SwitchingQuylthulg + WinKing $4.17,Svidler-above-Nakamura, Beholder + chessmoron + OhioChessFan + SwitchingQuylthulg + wordfunph + zealandzen

Mar-26-16		lostemperor: Same predictions leaders after round 12. A bad day however for <MAGNUS CARLSEN> who saw his old, and perhaps favourite, foe Anand slipped from the shared lead in Moscow although it gained him predictions points with 2 rounds and one rest day to go!

Mar-26-16		lostemperor: Oh wait <rogge> of course has taken over the lead again in the pair bettings with the potential leaders' Jackpot <$25.00,Caruana-equal-Karjakin>!

Mar-26-16		Golden Executive: <lostemperor: Oh wait <rogge> of course has taken over the lead again in the pair bettings with the potential leaders' Jackpot <$25.00,Caruana-equal-Karjakin>!> Amazing potential Jackpot since no matter what happens in the next round, it will be decided until the last one with Karjakin-Caruana!

Mar-27-16		MarbleSkull: Naka beating Topalov seems good for me. Anand beating Svidler would be great too, but there's almost no chance. Anand's wins have all been with the white pieces.

Mar-28-16		lostemperor: Final update will come after the last round!

Mar-28-16		moronovich: But it would be very interesting if it came before ;)

Mar-28-16		lostemperor: <CANDIDATES TOURNAMENT 2016 FINAL UPDATE <Caruana - Svidler 1/2 Aronian - Karjakin 1/2 Topalov - Nakamura 0-1 Anand - Giri 1/2 <Svidler - Anand 1/2 Giri - Topalov 1/2 Nakamura - Aronian 1/2 Karjakin - Caruana 1-0 <Final Standings: 1. Karjakin 8.5 2. Caruana 7.5 2. Anand 7.5 4. Giri 7 4. Aronian 7 4. Svidler 7 4. Nakamura 7 8. Topalov 4.5>>>>

Mar-28-16		lostemperor: CANDIDATES FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS STANDINGS FINAL ABSOLUTE RANKER Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 32 Score,UserID ♔24,Beholder ♔24,SwitchingQuylthulg ♖21,MarbleSkull ♖21,moronovich ~~~~ 20,whiteshark 19,Aurora 18,cromat 18,MAGNUS CARLSEN 18,rogge 17,Golden Executive 17,lakshashishu 17,offramp 16,positionalgenius 16,zealandzen 15,WinKing 14,alfamikewhiskey 14,lostemperor 14,Robin01 13,CHESSBOOKIE ODDS 13,chessmoron 13,WannaBe 13,wordfunph 12,Schwartz 11,BOOKIES ODDS 10,Karposian 10,OhioChessFan 9,Penguincw 9,YouRang 8,COMPUTER PROGNOSIS 7,ELO RATING EXPECTATIONS

Mar-28-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER FINAL Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 168 Score,UserID 155,SwitchingQuylthulg 153,Beholder 144,moronovich 144,whiteshark♖ ~~~~ 141,MarbleSkull 135,Aurora 130,Golden Executive 130,offramp 129,MAGNUS CARLSEN 129,rogge 124,cromat 124,positionalgenius 118,WinKing 116,CHESSBOOKIE ODDS 114,lakshashishu 112,lostemperor 111,alfamikewhiskey 109,zealandzen 105,Robin01 99,BOOKIES ODDS 95,wordfunph 90,chessmoron 88,WannaBe 86,Schwartz 84,COMPUTER PROGNOSIS 78,Karposian 77,OhioChessFan 72,YouRang 71,Penguincw 66,ELO RATINGS

Mar-28-16		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER FINAL Earnings,UserID ♔$42.88,WannaBe ♕$30.35,MarbleSkull ♖$25.03,SwitchingQuylthulg ~~~~~~ $15.94,moronovich $12.53,Beholder $8.32,whiteshark $5.31,Aurora $-0.20,rogge $-1.54,positionalgenius $-3.18,cromat $-4.63,WinKing $-5.33,Golden Executive $-5.33,offramp $-5.43,Schwartz $-6.27,alfamikewhiskey $-6.31,zealandzen $-6.45,wordfunph $-6.50,Robin01 $-8.46,Karposian $-8.80,lostemperor $-8.91,lakshashishu $-14.24,chessmoron $-15.43,OhioChessFan $-15.86,YouRang $-17.50,Penguincw

Mar-28-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners JACKPOT! $25.00,Anand-equal-Caruana, MarbleSkull JACKPOT! $25.00,Aronian-equal-Svidler, WannaBe JACKPOT! $25.00,Karjakin-above-Caruana, WannaBe ***** $8.33,Giri-equal-Svidler, Aurora + moronovich + Schwartz $6.25,Aronian-equal-Giri, Karposian + MarbleSkull + SwitchingQuylthulg + WinKing $6.25,Aronian-equal-Nakamura, moronovich + SwitchingQuylthulg + whiteshark + wordfunph $6.25,Giri-equal-Nakamura, alfamikewhiskey + Beholder + rogge + SwitchingQuylthulg

Mar-28-16		lostemperor: Only one missed chance! $0.00,Nakamura-equal-Svidler, (0 winners)

Mar-28-16		lostemperor: Congratulations to Karjakin for winning the candidates in Moscow!! The three top winners in the predictions are <SwitchingQuylthulg> <Beholder> and <WannaBe>!! After gold in Tata, <SwitchingQuylthulg> again won first here in two rankers and Bronze, winning the tie-breaker with <Beholder>. <<WannaBe> won the Pair Bettings here after also having silver at this ranking in Tata chess! Silver and Bronze for <MarbleSkull>!<moronovich> Bronze after being the biggest winner at Tata Steel chess! <whiteshark> also in the prizes, third in the square ranker!

Mar-28-16		lostemperor: A very hard fought and strong contest where everyone scores higher than the ratings expectations and the computer prognosis simulation of the Candidates outcome in the absolute ranker!

Mar-28-16		SwitchingQuylthulg: Thanks to <lostemperor> for hosting the contest, and congratulations to the other medalists! <Beholder>'s strategy of copying my predictions worked :)

Mar-28-16		lostemperor: We had a record of pseudo-contestants predictions, the best being the World Champion, <MAGNUS CARLSEN> himself brought by <rogge>! :)

Mar-28-16		OhioChessFan: Wow, I went from mediocre to terrible at the end. Thanks Yoda, for running the show.

Mar-28-16		YouRang: Thanks <lostemperor> for a job well done again. Congrats to the medal winners, especially those that foresaw Karjakin's big win. Much appreciation to <Penguincw> for dramatically taking over most of the cellar positions in the final round. Still, I can credit my own dismal placement primarily to Topalov's crash-and-burn performance.

Mar-28-16		OhioChessFan: Topa cost me big time, too. But sometimes you have to take a chance. I'm rather upset with myself for not following these prescient words of wisdom by someone whose name starts with K and rhymes with Barposian after the last contest: <Oh and by the way, <Penguincw> finished in 20th place out of 22 contestants in all three contests. So, a good tip for anyone who wants to do well in this contest is this: Copy <Penguincw>'s suggestions, just remember to turn them upside down! You are guaranteed to get a good result.>

Mar-28-16		rogge: Fun as always. Congrats to the winners, and thanks to <lostemperor> :)

Mar-28-16		MarbleSkull: Thanks for running this, <lostemperor>. Fun as always, see you next candidates. The biggest mistake I made was underestimating Karjakin. He had a great tournament, props to those who predicted it.

Jump to page # (enter # from 1 to 285)
search thread:
< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 198 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>

NOTE: Create an account today to post replies and access other powerful features which are available only to registered users. Becoming a member is free, anonymous, and takes less than 1 minute! If you already have a username, then simply login login under your username now to join the discussion.

Please observe our posting guidelines:

No obscene, racist, sexist, or profane language.
No spamming, advertising, duplicate, or gibberish posts.
No vitriolic or systematic personal attacks against other members.
Nothing in violation of United States law.
No cyberstalking or malicious posting of negative or private information (doxing/doxxing) of members.
No trolling.
The use of "sock puppet" accounts to circumvent disciplinary action taken by moderators, create a false impression of consensus or support, or stage conversations, is prohibited.
Do not degrade Chessgames or any of it's staff/volunteers.

Please try to maintain a semblance of civility at all times.

See something that violates our rules? Blow the whistle and inform a moderator.

NOTE: Please keep all discussion on-topic. This forum is for this specific user only. To discuss chess or this site in general, visit the Kibitzer's Café.

Messages posted by Chessgames members do not necessarily represent the views of Chessgames.com, its employees, or sponsors.
All moderator actions taken are ultimately at the sole discretion of the administration.

You are not logged in to chessgames.com.
If you need an account, register now;
it's quick, anonymous, and free!
If you already have an account, click here to sign-in.