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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 199 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Mar-28-16  Golden Executive: Thanks <lostemperor> for running the show, and congratulations to the medal winners!

<offramp>'s strategy of copying my predictions didn't work :(

Mar-28-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Yay! My 2nd career losing triple crown (that takes skill). Also weird considering that last Candidates tournament (2014), I actually won a <winning> triple crown...

Congrats to <SwitchingQuylthulg>, <Beholder> and <WannaBe> for winning gold (congrats to the latter for maintaining his top position in the HOF), congrats to the other podium finishers, and thanks to <lostemperor> for hosting.

< YouRang: ... Much appreciation to <Penguincw> for dramatically taking over most of the cellar positions in the final round. >

You're welcome buddy! I know you got my back in the future. ;)

<lostemperor>, will the next tournament be Norway?

Mar-28-16  positionalgenius: Thanks for another prediction contest <lostemperor>!
Mar-28-16  WinKing: Thanks for running & hosting another great contest <lostemperor>!

Congratulations to all of the medal winners! Fine picking from <Beholder> & <SwitchingQuylthulg> to take home the Gold in the FINAL ABSOLUTE RANKER & SQUARE RANKER FINAL categories. Also congrats to that sneaky rabbit <WannaBe> on picking up the gold in the PAIR BETTING RANKER FINAL category. Nothing like coming from behind to grab a gold. Your gonna have to show me how that's done someday <WannaBe>. ;)

Special kudos to <Beholder> on winning his first gold ever if I am not mistaken. Well done & welcome to the Hall of Fame! :)

Mar-28-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: <moronovich:
Caruana: 3.8
Karjakin: 5.0
Nakamura: 7.0
Aronian : 7.0
Anand : 12.0
Giri : 14.0
Svidler : 22.0
Topalov : 25.0>

What odds are those you mentioned?!

These were my own <lostemperor>.For deeper explanatin you can go to my forum if you like.From sometime late february.And thanks a lot for running this contest.I am shure it is much appreciated by all contestants.

And kudos to the winners!

Tromsø next ?

Mar-28-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: <lostemperor> Thanks again, for hosting the contest. And big congratulations to all the winners.

Except that big-eared buck-tooth'd no good Wabbit.

Mar-28-16  whiteshark: I want to join all those who have thanked <lostemperor> for another fun contest and who congratulated the lucky winners.
Mar-29-16  wordfunph: <lostemperor> thanks a ton!

salute to all winners!

Mar-29-16  Beholder: <SwitchingQuylthulg: <Beholder>'s strategy of copying my predictions worked :)>

Well, sort of. I couldn't just blindly copy them in clear conscience, so I made a teeny-tiny adjustment and guess what, it turned out to be less precise than the original. Of course. It's like throwing sand in a finely-tuned mechanism.

If only your chessbookie bets were visible to me, now that would be quite something.

Mar-29-16  Beholder: <WinKing: Special kudos to <Beholder> on winning his first gold ever if I am not mistaken. Well done & welcome to the Hall of Fame! :)>

Thank you!

Pretty sure I've won some before, though that could have been before I changed my nickname here...

Apr-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Hello <LostEmperor>, are you running any contest for Norway Chess?
Apr-11-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: You betya <WannaBe>. Norway chess super tournament coming up slightly more than a week from no April 19! http://norwaychess.no/spillerne/

1. Carlsen
2. Kramnik
3. Giri
4. Aronian
5. Vachier-Lagrave
6. Topalov
7. Li Chao
8. Eljanov
9. Harikrishna
10. Grandelius

Apr-11-16  YouRang: Final standing predictions - Norway:

1. Carlsen
2. Vachier-Lagrave
2. Kramnik
4. Aronian
4. Giri
6. Eljanov
7. Harikrisha
8. Topalov
9. Li Chao
10. Grandelius

Apr-11-16  Keyser Soze: My Final standing predictions
1. Carlsen
2. Aronian
3. Kramnik
4. Topalov
5. Li Chao
6. Giri
7. Eljanov
8. LaGrave
9. Harikrishna
10.Grandelius
Apr-11-16  suenteus po 147: My final standings predictions for the Stavanger, Norway contest:

1. Li Chao
1. Aronian
3. Giri
3. Carlsen
5. Kramnik
5. Vachier-Lagrave
7. Topalov
8. Eljanov
9. Harikrisha
10. Grandelius

Apr-12-16  WinKing: Only 7 more days!!!

♘Norway 2016♘ !!! Norway 2016 !!! ♗Norway 2016♗

This tournament will run from April 19th thru April 29th 2016.

Participants include: Magnus Carlsen, Vladimir Kramnik, Anish Giri, Sergey Karjakin, Maxime Vachier-Lagrave, Levon Aronian, Veselin Topalov, Pavel Eljanov, Pendyala Harikrishna & Nils Grandelius

*****

<<> Norway 2016! <>>

< 3 Prediction Contests: (Win virtual medals - Gold, Silver & Bronze) >

User: lostemperor - Predict the order the players will finish. (3 categories to medal in)

User: Golden Executive - Predict the result 1-0, 1/2, or 0-1 (3 categories to medal in)

This year will be the 10th Anniversary for this contest! (from 2007 to 2016 - 10 years running)

User: OhioChessFan - Predict the result 1-0, 1/2, or 0-1 & the number of moves. (4 categories to medal in)

All three of the organizers <lostemperor>, <Golden Executive> & <chessmoron> have confirmed they will be running their contests for this event.

*****

Also don't forget about <chessgames> ChessBookie game for this event. He can't wait to take some or all of your chessbucks. ;)

ChessBookie Game

Don't miss out on the fun for this Super Event!!!

Apr-14-16  cromat: Final standing predictions - Norway:
1. Carlsen
2. Aronian
3. Giri
4. Vachier-Lagrave
5. Kramnik
6. Eljanov
7. Li Chao
8. Harikrisha
9. Topalov
10. Grandelius
Apr-14-16  wordfunph: Final Standing Predictions

1. Kramnik
2. Carlsen
3. Aronian
4. Eljanov
5. Giri
6. Topalov
7. Li Chao
8. Harikrishna
9. LaGrave
10.Grandelius

Apr-14-16  Karposian: My sagacious predictions:

1. Carlsen
2. Kramnik
3. Vachier-Lagrave
3. Aronian
5. Harikrishna
5. Eljanov
5. Giri
8. Li Chao
9. Topalov
10. Grandelius

Apr-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: <Karposian>

You should've waited for me to post my predictions first, and then flip them, since you claim that < "Copy <Penguincw>'s suggestions, just remember to turn them upside down! You are guaranteed to get a good result." >

Well, here are my real predictions (don't forget to flip them):

1. Carlsen
2. Kramnik
3. Giri
4. Eljanov
4. Vachier-Lagrave
6. Grandelius
7. Aronian
7. Harikrishna
9. Topalov
10. Li Chao

Apr-17-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: 1. Carlsen
2. Aronian
3. Kramnik
4. Giri
5. Vachier-Lagrave
6. Harikrishna
6. Li Chao
6. Topalov
9. Eljanov
9. Grandelius
Apr-17-16  Golden Executive: Hi <lostemperor>! here my predictions for Norway 2016. Good luck to everybody.

1. Carlsen
2. Aronian
3. Giri
3. Eljanov
3. Vachier-Lagrave
3. Kramnik
3. Topalov
8. Li Chao
8. Harikrishna
10. Grandelius

Apr-17-16  chessmoron: 1. Carlsen
2. Giri
3. Vachier-Lagrave
4. Aronian
5. Topalov
6. Kramnik
7. Harikrishna
8. Eljanov
9. Li Chao
10. Grandelius
Apr-17-16  WinKing: Norway 2016 Predictions

1.Carlsen
2.Aronian
2.Kramnik
4.Li Chao
4.Vachier-Lagrave
4.Giri
7.Topalov
7.Eljanov
9.Harikrishna
10.Grandelius

Apr-18-16  alfamikewhiskey: Final standing predictions - Norway 2016

1. Carlsen
2. Vachier-Lagrave
3. Eljanov
4. Li Chao
5. Harikrishna
6. Grandelius
7. Kramnik
8. Giri
8. Aronian
10. Topalov

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