User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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♙♙

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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 201 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Apr-19-16		moronovich: Same to you <lostemperor> !

Apr-20-16		lostemperor: <NORWAY CHESS 2016 <ROUND 1 RESULTS <Giri - Eljanov 1-0 Vachier-Lagrave - Chao 1/2 Kramnik - Grandelius 1-0 Aronian - Topalov 1/2 Carlsen - Harikrishna 1-0 <Standings: 1. Carlsen 1. Giri 1. Kramnik 4. Li Chao 4. VachierLagrave 4. Aronian 4. Topalov 8. Eljanov 8. Harikrishna 8. Grandelius>>>>

Apr-20-16		lostemperor: THE NORWAY PREDICTIONS ROUND 1 ABSOLUTE RANKER Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50 Score,UserID 41,CHESSBOOKIE 38,paavoh 38,rogge 37,WinKing ~~~~ 36,BOOKIE 36,cromat 36,moronovich 36,WannaBe 35,Aurora 34,SwitchingQuylthulg 33,Beholder 33,chessmoron 33,Keyser Soze 32,RATINGS 32,suenteus po 147 32,whiteshark 31,wordfunph 30,Aiuta 30,Golden Executive 30,offramp 30,YouRang 28,Karposian 28,lostemperor 28,Penguincw 12,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-20-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 1 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330 Score,UserID 318,CHESSBOOKIE 309,rogge 307,paavoh 303,moronovich 303,WannaBe 303,WinKing ~~~~ 301,BOOKIE 300,cromat 299,Aurora 295,SwitchingQuylthulg 289,RATINGS 289,whiteshark 286,chessmoron 286,Keyser Soze 282,Beholder 280,YouRang 277,suenteus po 147 272,Aiuta 272,Golden Executive 272,lostemperor 272,offramp 272,wordfunph 268,Karposian 259,Penguincw 157,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-20-16		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING 1 Earnings,UserID $30.16,moronovich $27.61,WannaBe $25.43,suenteus po 147 ~~~~ $21.38,Beholder $13.10,WinKing $11.57,Karposian $11.46,rogge $-2.28,Golden Executive $-2.28,offramp $-2.96,paavoh $-4.24,cromat $-5.01,Keyser Soze $-5.51,Aurora $-6.68,chessmoron $-9.20,wordfunph $-10.15,whiteshark $-11.80,SwitchingQuylthulg $-12.79,Aiuta $-13.94,lostemperor $-14.04,Penguincw $-14.19,YouRang $-25.67,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-20-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $22.00,Aronian-equal-Topalov, moronovich $22.00,Aronian-equal-VachierLagrave, Karposian $22.00,Carlsen-equal-Giri, suenteus po 147 $22.00,Carlsen-equal-Kramnik, Beholder $22.00,Eljanov-equal-Grandelius, WannaBe $22.00,LiChao-equal-VachierLagrave, WinKing

Apr-20-16		lostemperor: <CHESSBOOKIE> odds Pick the winner - Norway Chess 2016 1.Carlsen 3:2 2.46 2. Kramnik 11:2 6.33 3.Vachier-Lagrave 7:1 8.02 3.Giri 7:1 8.17 5.Topalov 11:1 12.09 6.Aronian 12:1 13.20 7.Li Chao 18:1 19.19 8.Harikrishna 123:1 124.09 9.Eljanov 144:1 145.13 10.Grandelius 302:1 302.74

Apr-20-16		lostemperor: If the prelimanary blitz results were the final outcome, yours truly would have won the absolute (with <chessmoron> and square ranker and <WannaBe> the pair bettings. Of course the classical games are a different ball game <;)

Apr-20-16		lostemperor: <NORWAY CHESS TOURNAMENT 2016 <ROUND TWO RESULTS <Grandelius - Aronian 1/2 Chao - Kramnik 1/2 Giri - Vachier-Lagrave 0-1 Topalov - Carlsen 1/2 Eljanov - Harikrishna 1/2 <standings: 1. Carlsen 1. VachierLagrave 1. Kramnik 4. Li Chao 4. Aronian 4. Topalov 4. Giri 8. Eljanov 8. Harikrishna 8. Grandelius>>>>

Apr-20-16		OhioChessFan: I'm doing so bad I don't even make the leaderboard.

Apr-20-16		lostemperor: WTH??! where are you <OhioChessFan>?? Gonna look into it!

Apr-20-16		lostemperor: OH Elvis I figured it out.. I manually put Li Chao together as LiChao for all participants since the program otherwise would not read the predicitons somehow ... I forgot to put him together in you predictions however! I will renew the second round reports!:)

Apr-20-16		lostemperor: NORWAY PREDICTIONS STANDINGS ABSOLUTE RANKER 2 Score,UserID 41,CHESSBOOKIE 40,moronovich 38,rogge 37,WinKing ~~~~ 35,Aurora 34,BOOKIE 34,paavoh 34,SwitchingQuylthulg 34,WannaBe 34,YouRang 33,Beholder 33,Keyser Soze 33,OhioChessFan 32,Aiuta 32,cromat 32,Karposian 32,RATINGS 32,whiteshark 31,chessmoron 30,Golden Executive 30,lostemperor 30,offramp 30,wordfunph 28,suenteus po 147 25,Penguincw 19,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-20-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 2 Score,UserID 318,CHESSBOOKIE 317,moronovich 309,rogge 303,WinKing ~~~~ 299,Aurora 296,WannaBe 295,SwitchingQuylthulg 294,BOOKIE 294,YouRang 293,paavoh 291,OhioChessFan 289,RATINGS 289,whiteshark 286,Aiuta 286,cromat 285,Karposian 282,Beholder 279,chessmoron 279,lostemperor 272,Golden Executive 272,Keyser Soze 272,offramp 263,suenteus po 147 249,Penguincw 244,wordfunph 203,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-20-16		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 2 Earnings,UserID $41.83,moronovich $27.21,WannaBe $23.60,Beholder ~~~~ $13.03,rogge $7.90,YouRang $7.15,suenteus po 147 $3.39,WinKing $-2.32,OhioChessFan $-2.58,Golden Executive $-2.58,offramp $-4.75,Aurora $-5.92,Karposian $-6.84,Keyser Soze $-7.05,Aiuta $-7.69,paavoh $-7.87,alfamikewhiskey $-8.37,chessmoron $-8.44,cromat $-9.14,lostemperor $-9.40,whiteshark $-11.12,SwitchingQuylthulg $-13.86,wordfunph $-16.18,Penguincw

Apr-20-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $23.00,Aronian-equal-Topalov, moronovich $23.00,Carlsen-equal-Kramnik, Beholder $23.00,Eljanov-equal-Grandelius, WannaBe ****** $11.50,Aronian-equal-LiChao, Beholder + suenteus po 147 $11.50,Giri-equal-LiChao, moronovich + WinKing $11.50,Giri-equal-Topalov, Golden Executive + offramp $11.50,LiChao-equal-Topalov, rogge + WannaBe $7.67,Aronian-equal-Giri, alfamikewhiskey + OhioChessFan + YouRang

Apr-20-16		lostemperor: Done! Sorry about that and thanks for telling!

Apr-20-16		Golden Executive: <lostemperor: OH Elvis I figured it out.. I manually put Li Chao together as LiChao for all participants since the program otherwise would not read the predicitons somehow ....> Since all the contestants put 'Li Chao' in their predictions you could use in the [players] section of the .YRC file this: CHA=Li Chao The software will have no problem to identify it and you don't have to do any manual adjustments. Only when the input is just, for instance, 'So' then we get the =player's name less-than-3-letters issue= and a fix up is needed. I hope this can help you in the future.

Apr-21-16		lostemperor: Got that <Golden Executive> thanks for the tip. Not sure how do you deal with So however?

Apr-21-16		lostemperor: <NORWAY CHESS 2016 <ROUND 3 RESULTS <Harikrishna - Topalov 1/2 Aronian - Chao 1/2 Carlsen - Grandelius 1-0 Kramnik - Giri 1/2 Vachier-Lagrave - Eljanov 1/2 <Standings: 1. Carlsen 2.5 2. VachierLagrave 2 2. Kramnik 2 4. Li Chao 1.5 4. Aronian 1.5 4. Topalov 1.5 4. Giri 1.5 8. Eljanov 1 8. Harikrishna 1 10. Grandelius 0.5>>>>

Apr-21-16		lostemperor: NORWAY THE PREDICTIONS ABSOLUTE RANKER 3 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50 Score,UserID 43,CHESSBOOKIE 43,moronovich 42,rogge 40,WinKing ~~~~ 38,Aurora 38,SwitchingQuylthulg 38,YouRang 37,BOOKIEODDS 36,Keyser Soze 36,OhioChessFan 36,paavoh 36,WannaBe 36,whiteshark 35,Beholder 35,chessmoron 35,cromat 35,Karposian 35,RATINGS 34,Golden Executive 34,offramp 33,Aiuta 33,lostemperor 31,wordfunph 29,suenteus po 147 26,Penguincw 20,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-21-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 3 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330 Score,UserID 322,CHESSBOOKIE 321,moronovich 314,rogge 309,WinKing ~~~~~~ 306,Aurora 302,SwitchingQuylthulg 301,BOOKIE 301,WannaBe 301,YouRang 300,paavoh 298,OhioChessFan 297,RATINGS 297,whiteshark 294,cromat 294,Karposian 291,Aiuta 290,Beholder 288,chessmoron 288,lostemperor 284,Golden Executive 284,offramp 282,Keyser Soze 267,suenteus po 147 255,wordfunph 250,Penguincw 211,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-21-16		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKING 3 Earnings,UserID $44.06,moronovich $15.26,rogge $10.13,YouRang ~~~~~~ $9.38,suenteus po 147 $5.62,WinKing $5.40,WannaBe $1.73,Beholder $-0.09,OhioChessFan $-0.35,Golden Executive $-0.35,offramp $-2.52,Aurora $-3.69,Karposian $-4.61,Keyser Soze $-5.46,paavoh $-5.64,alfamikewhiskey $-5.86,Aiuta $-6.14,chessmoron $-6.21,cromat $-6.91,lostemperor $-7.16,whiteshark $-8.89,SwitchingQuylthulg $-12.72,wordfunph $-15.00,Penguincw

Apr-21-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $23.00,Aronian-equal-Topalov, moronovich $11.50,Aronian-equal-LiChao, Beholder + suenteus po 147 $11.50,Giri-equal-LiChao, moronovich + WinKing $11.50,Giri-equal-Topalov, Golden Executive + offramp $11.50,LiChao-equal-Topalov, rogge + WannaBe $7.67,Aronian-equal-Giri, alfamikewhiskey + OhioChessFan + YouRang $5.75,Kramnik-equal-VachierLagrave, Golden Executive + offramp + suenteus po 147 + YouRang

Apr-21-16		Golden Executive: <lostemperor: Got that <Golden Executive> thanks for the tip. Not sure how do you deal with So however?> In the [Setup] section of the .YRC file, if I have something like this (for example) in the FilterFixups line: FilterFixups=Caru->Cru I just add a fix up for So: FilterFixups=Caru->Cru,So->Wso and in the [Players] section I add this: WSO=So That's all. The flexibility of <YouRang>'s software is fantastic.

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