User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 202 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Apr-22-16		lostemperor: Incredible ;)

Apr-23-16		lostemperor: Full drawn fourth round yesterday. Standings remains the same. <moronovich> showing his excellent 2016 form by emerging on top in three rankers! But with 5 rounds to go anything is open..

Apr-24-16		Paragua: 1. Carlsen 2. Kramnik 3. Topalov 4. Aronian 5. Giri 6. MVL 7. Eljanov 8. Li chao b 9. Harikrishna 10. Grandelius

Apr-24-16		lostemperor: <NORWAY 2016 <ROUND 5 RESULTS <Kramnik - Eljanov 1/2 Aronian - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 Carlsen - Giri 1/2 Harikrishna - Li Chao 1-0 Topalov - Grandelius 1-0 <Standings: 1. Carlsen 2. VachierLagrave 2. Kramnik 2. Topalov 5. Aronian 5. Giri 5. Harikrishna 8. Li Chao 8. Eljanov 10. Grandelius>>>>

Apr-24-16		lostemperor: ÑORWAY THE PREDICTIONS ABSOLUTE RANKER 5 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50 Score,UserID 40,CHESSBOOKIE 37,chessmoron 37,Karposian 37,YouRang ~~~~ 36,RATINGS 35,Aurora 35,lostemperor 35,moronovich 35,rogge 35,SwitchingQuylthulg 34,WannaBe 33,BOOKIEODDS 33,Golden Executive 33,offramp 33,OhioChessFan 33,whiteshark 32,Aiuta 32,Keyser Soze 32,paavoh 31,WinKing 30,Beholder 28,cromat 26,Penguincw 26,wordfunph 21,suenteus po 147 18,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-24-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 5 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330 Score,UserID 312,CHESSBOOKIE 296,chessmoron 293,YouRang 291,rogge ~~~~~~ 286,RATINGS 286,WannaBe 285,lostemperor 285,moronovich 284,BOOKIEODDS 284,OhioChessFan 283,Golden Executive 283,offramp 281,paavoh 280,Aurora 280,Karposian 279,SwitchingQuylthulg 272,whiteshark 271,Aiuta 270,WinKing 265,Keyser Soze 258,Beholder 258,cromat 244,wordfunph 243,Penguincw 211,suenteus po 147 184,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-24-16		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 5 Earnings,UserID $18.58,Karposian $15.20,YouRang $14.75,Golden Executive ~~~~~~ $14.75,offramp $14.38,Keyser Soze $14.17,Penguincw $5.83,chessmoron $3.91,lostemperor $3.32,Aurora $1.15,OhioChessFan $-1.33,whiteshark $-3.09,Aiuta $-3.77,moronovich $-4.29,WannaBe $-6.52,paavoh $-7.08,rogge $-7.08,SwitchingQuylthulg $-9.30,alfamikewhiskey $-10.84,suenteus po 147 $-12.44,cromat $-12.58,wordfunph $-13.40,WinKing $-14.34,Beholder

Apr-24-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $23.00,Aronian-equal-Harikrishna, Penguincw $23.00,Giri-equal-Harikrishna, Karposian $23.00,Topalov-above-Giri, Keyser Soze $11.50,Eljanov-equal-LiChao, Aurora + whiteshark $11.50,Kramnik-equal-Topalov, Golden Executive + offramp $11.50,Topalov-equal-VachierLagrave, Golden Executive + offramp

Apr-25-16		lostemperor: I see that <offramp> is equal third to the penny, with <Golden Executive> in the pair betting ranker what does not occur often unless they happen to have identical predictions!

Apr-25-16		Golden Executive: Maybe this time <offramp>'s strategy can work, check this out: lostemperor chessforum (kibitz #5067) :)

Apr-25-16		lostemperor: Oh so it happened before <GE>!? I thought it was coincidence. Is s there a deeper reason for his attachment to you?

Apr-25-16		Golden Executive: Not that I am aware of, I am a bit surprised. It wouldn't be big deal but there are some implications in the Pair Betting Ranker (v.gr: will never get a jackpot, but a semi-jackpot instead)

Apr-25-16		lostemperor: <NORWAY 2016 <ROUND 6 RESULTS <Eljanov beat last place Grandelius, Harikrishna beat Giri with black <Eljanov - Grandelius 1-0 Chao - Topalov 1/2 Giri - Harikrishna 0-1 Vachier-Lagrave - Carlsen 1/2 Kramnik - Aronian 1/2 <standings: 1. Carlsen 2. VachierLagrave 2. Kramnik 2. Topalov 2. Harikrishna 6. Aronian 6. Eljanov 8. Giri 8. LiChao 10. Grandelius>>>>>

Apr-25-16		lostemperor: NORWAY PREDICTIONS STANDINGS ABSOLUTE RANKER 6 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50 Score,UserID 34,Karposian 33,CHESSBOOKIE 33,RATINGS 33,YouRang 31,Aurora 31,chessmoron 31,Golden Executive 31,lostemperor 31,offramp ~~~~ 30,BOOKIEODDS 30,OhioChessFan 29,Aiuta 29,moronovich 29,paavoh 29,whiteshark 28,Beholder 28,Keyser Soze 28,rogge 28,SwitchingQuylthulg 27,WannaBe 26,WinKing 25,cromat 24,Penguincw 23,alfamikewhiskey 23,wordfunph 16,suenteus po 147

Apr-25-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 6 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330 Score,UserID 276,Karposian 275,YouRang 272,CHESSBOOKIE 267,RATINGS 264,Golden Executive 264,offramp ~~~~ 262,lostemperor 258,chessmoron 256,Aurora 254,OhioChessFan 254,rogge 254,SwitchingQuylthulg 251,BOOKIEODDS 251,WannaBe 251,whiteshark 249,moronovich 247,Aiuta 246,paavoh 245,Beholder 240,Keyser Soze 239,WinKing 233,wordfunph 227,Penguincw 219,alfamikewhiskey 216,cromat 172,suenteus po 147

Apr-25-16		lostemperor: ~PAIR BETTING RANKER 6 Earnings,UserID $44.26,alfamikewhiskey $17.93,WannaBe $15.18,Golden Executive $15.18,offramp ~~~~~ $12.96,Keyser Soze $6.43,YouRang $4.22,moronovich $2.81,chessmoron $2.81,lostemperor $0.39,wordfunph $-2.08,Karposian $-3.32,WinKing $-4.19,Aiuta $-7.86,SwitchingQuylthulg $-8.78,Penguincw $-9.54,OhioChessFan $-9.54,paavoh $-9.77,rogge $-11.05,Aurora $-12.26,suenteus po 147 $-12.94,Beholder $-13.61,whiteshark $-17.23,cromat

Apr-25-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $23.00,Harikrishna-above-Aronian, alfamikewhiskey $23.00,Harikrishna-above-Giri, alfamikewhiskey $23.00,Harikrishna-equal-Topalov, WannaBe $23.00,Topalov-above-Giri, Keyser Soze **** $11.50,Eljanov-above-Giri, alfamikewhiskey + wordfunph $11.50,Giri-equal-LiChao, moronovich + WinKing $11.50,Kramnik-equal-Topalov, Golden Executive + offramp $11.50,Topalov-equal-VachierLagrave, Golden Executive + offramp

Apr-25-16		lostemperor: Many on medal positions, <Karposian> (absolute- and square ranker) and <alfamikewhiskey> (pair betting ranker) having an edge, with the field still close together with 3 rounds to go!

Apr-25-16		Karposian: <lostemperor: Have you heard of my the first time I predicted the number of moves in a game? It was an immediate hit which gave me a taste for it!> No, I don't think I've heard it. What happened? Sounds like a great story.

Apr-26-16		lostemperor: <Karposian> It is a beautiful story! :). During the game predictions organised by <cu8sfan> even before <YouRang> took over I predicted Kasparov vs Leko to be a draw. To add drama to it I decided to give the number of moves also I expected it to last. 31 moves. Here where I made the prediction XXII Torneo Ciudad de Linares (2005) <Kasparov-Leko 1/2 (31 moves)> I forgot or did not even bother to check the number of moves untill much later. It struck my mind, actually blew it since I only then remebered, when I did check that game here Kasparov vs Leko, 2005 :0 <;)

Apr-26-16		whiteshark: <lostemperor: <Carlsen - Kramnik 1-0 4 >> What exact opening/moves do you have in mind? ;-)

Apr-26-16		lostemperor: 1. e4 e5 2. Qh5 Nc6 3. Bc4 Nf6 4. Qf7## It happens sometimes :p

Apr-26-16		offramp: <Golden Executive: Maybe this time <offramp>'s strategy can work, check this out: lostemperor chessforum (kibitz #5067) :)> Probably just a coincidence.

Apr-26-16		Golden Executive: <offramp: <Golden Executive: Maybe this time <offramp>'s strategy can work, check this out: lostemperor chessforum (kibitz #5067) :)> Probably just a coincidence.> Mmmmmmhh......a fantastic one, then. Well, the best thing I can do now is to wish you a triple crown. ;)

Apr-26-16		Karposian: <lostemperor: During the game predictions organised by <cu8sfan> even before <YouRang> took over I predicted Kasparov vs Leko to be a draw. To add drama to it I decided to give the number of moves also I expected it to last. 31 moves.> Whoa! When you're off to a great start like that, no wonder you were inspired to make more moves predictions. Great story. These contests are so much fun. Both your contest and <Golden Executive>'s contest, of course, but I must say that the Moves Prediction Contest is for me the most fun, because of the many possibilities: every round becomes very exciting and unpredictable. One can score big, like I did the day before yesterday, or one can fail miserably, and easily end up with zero points on a bad day.

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