User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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♙♙

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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 203 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Apr-27-16		lostemperor: <Karposian> I think all three prediction games are equally fun to do:) The counting system in the moves predictions can be improved however. Now you need not necessary aim for the exact prediction but also to try to stay under since that would give more points. Like the three times this tournament where I predicted one move more than the actual game and got 3 points each, whereas 7 points each if I was the closest under predictor even if I was further off! And also you tend to look at other predictions since by predicting one move more or less you can get you one point more or less in the standings. But hey if that is the contest manager <chessmoron> system so be it and I am glad for the work he puts up:)

Apr-27-16		offramp: <Golden Executive: <offramp: <Golden Executive: Maybe this time <offramp>'s strategy can work, check this out: lostemperor chessforum (kibitz #5067) :)> Probably just a coincidence.> Mmmmmmhh......a fantastic one, then. Well, the best thing I can do now is to wish you a triple crown. > Last time I looked at the previous entries and thought yours looked very good so I copied it. This time I'm afraid I copied you entirely out of mischievousness! 🌞🍀 If you win I'll make it clear to everyone that I copied you. I'm glad that you don't seem too unhappy about it!

Apr-27-16		Golden Executive: Oh, it's fine <offramp>, no hard feelings at all. If we win some medal(s), let's celebrate it. :)

Apr-28-16		lostemperor: I thought <offramp> is either a big fan of <Golden Executive> or has something against him:)

Apr-28-16		lostemperor: <NORWAY CHESS 2016 <ROUND 7 RESULTS <Carlsen wins to strengthen his first place, Aronian wins to share second with three <Aronian - Eljanov 1-0 Carlsen - Kramnik 1-0 Harikrishna - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 Topalov - Giri 1/2 Grandelius - Li Chao 1/2 <standings: 1. Carlsen 2. VachierLagrave 2. Topalov 2. Harikrishna 2. Aronian 6. Kramnik 7. Eljanov 7. Giri 7. LiChao 10. Grandelius>>>>

Apr-28-16		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS ABSOLUTE RANKER 7 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50 Score,UserID 37,chessmoron 34,Karposian 33,Golden Executive 33,lostemperor 33,offramp ~~~~ 31,CHESSBOOKIE 31,RATINGS 31,rogge 31,SwitchingQuylthulg 30,BOOKIEODDS 30,WannaBe 30,whiteshark 30,YouRang 29,Aurora 29,cromat 29,Keyser Soze 29,OhioChessFan 28,paavoh 28,WinKing 27,Aiuta 27,moronovich 23,suenteus po 147 23,wordfunph 22,Beholder 21,alfamikewhiskey 17,Penguincw

Apr-28-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 7 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330 Score,UserID 279,Golden Executive 279,offramp 278,chessmoron ~~~~ 273,lostemperor 273,WannaBe 270,Karposian 267,rogge 267,SwitchingQuylthulg 266,YouRang 263,CHESSBOOKIE 261,RATINGEXPECTATION 259,whiteshark 257,BOOKIEODDS 254,Keyser Soze 250,OhioChessFan 250,WinKing 249,moronovich 247,Aurora 245,Aiuta 240,paavoh 237,cromat 221,wordfunph 216,Beholder 211,suenteus po 147 200,alfamikewhiskey 194,Penguincw

Apr-28-16		lostemperor: ~PAIR BETTING RANKER 7 Earnings,UserID $27.18,alfamikewhiskey $26.34,chessmoron $24.56,moronovich ~~~~~ $20.96,Karposian $18.96,WannaBe $13.99,Keyser Soze $4.80,Penguincw $3.34,lostemperor $2.93,Golden Executive $2.93,offramp $-3.96,whiteshark $-5.17,WinKing $-6.05,Aurora $-7.58,YouRang $-8.63,Aiuta $-9.71,SwitchingQuylthulg $-11.62,rogge $-12.37,cromat $-15.25,OhioChessFan $-15.25,paavoh $-16.61,Beholder $-16.82,wordfunph $-16.99,suenteus po 147

Apr-28-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $23.00,Aronian-equal-Harikrishna, Penguincw $23.00,Aronian-equal-Topalov, moronovich $23.00,Aronian-equal-VachierLagrave, Karposian $23.00,Harikrishna-above-Giri, alfamikewhiskey $23.00,Harikrishna-above-Kramnik, alfamikewhiskey $23.00,Harikrishna-equal-Topalov, WannaBe $23.00,Topalov-above-Giri, Keyser Soze $23.00,Topalov-above-Kramnik, chessmoron

Apr-28-16		lostemperor: <chessmoron, Golden Executive, offramp alfamikewhiskey> having the initiative in the different rankers but the field still close together with the final rounds to go!

Apr-29-16		lostemperor: <NORWAY CHESS 2016 ROUND 8 RESULTS <Upsetting enterprising round yesterday where Carlsen lost his first sole first place after losing to Aronian. Kramnik beat harikrishna and super tournament debutant Li Chao beat Eljanov to be in a neat 50%! <Eljanov - Li Chao 0-1 Giri - Grandelius 1/2 Vachier-LaGrave - Topalov 1/2 Kramnik - Harikrishna 1-0 Aronian - Carlsen 1-0 <Standings: 1. Carlsen 1. Aronian 3. VachierLagrave 3. Topalov 3. Kramnik 6. Harikrishna 6. LiChao 8. Giri 9. Eljanov 10. Grandelius>>>>

Apr-29-16		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS ABSOLUTE RANKER 8 Score,UserID 38,rogge 38,SwitchingQuylthulg 38,WannaBe ~~~~ 36,Keyser Soze 35,CHESSBOOKIE 35,Golden Executive 35,offramp 35,whiteshark 34,WinKing 33,BOOKIEODDS 33,chessmoron 33,Karposian 32,cromat 32,RATINGS 31,Aurora 31,moronovich 30,lostemperor 30,OhioChessFan 30,YouRang 29,paavoh 29,suenteus po 147 28,Aiuta 28,wordfunph 27,Beholder 18,Penguincw 17,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-29-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 8 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330 Score,UserID 304,rogge 302,WannaBe 296,Keyser Soze ~~~~ 294,Golden Executive 294,offramp 294,SwitchingQuylthulg 294,WinKing 289,BOOKIEODDS 285,whiteshark 282,CHESSBOOKIE 281,Karposian 275,OhioChessFan 274,chessmoron 273,RATINGS 273,YouRang 268,moronovich 267,lostemperor 267,paavoh 264,Aurora 264,cromat 260,suenteus po 147 253,wordfunph 247,Aiuta 231,Beholder 190,Penguincw 171,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-29-16		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 8 Earnings,UserID $32.75,Keyser Soze $24.59,Golden Executive $24.59,offramp ~~~~ $9.06,alfamikewhiskey $8.57,suenteus po 147 $8.42,WannaBe $2.76,SwitchingQuylthulg $2.13,chessmoron $0.22,lostemperor $-0.52,rogge $-1.13,YouRang $-3.74,OhioChessFan $-5.11,cromat $-5.49,moronovich $-5.57,WinKing $-5.86,whiteshark $-7.02,paavoh $-8.44,Karposian $-9.72,Aurora $-10.99,wordfunph $-11.75,Aiuta $-18.59,Penguincw $-19.17,Beholder

Apr-29-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $23.00,Harikrishna-above-Giri, alfamikewhiskey $23.00,Topalov-above-Giri, Keyser Soze $11.50,Kramnik-equal-Topalov, Golden Executive + offramp $11.50,Topalov-equal-VachierLagrave, Golden Executive + offramp

Apr-29-16		lostemperor: The landscape has changed a bit but with one more round to go!<rogge> <SwitchingQuylthulg> and <WannaBe> tieing for first in the absolute ranker. The first having the edge in the square ranker. <Keyser Soze> on top in the pair bettings. <Golden Executive> and <offramp> share second even while splitting all pay-offs there..

Apr-30-16		lostemperor: <NORWAY SUPER CHESS TOURNAMENT 2016 ♔FINAL ROUND♔ <Carlsen won his "home" tournament for the first time with the only win in round 9! <Carlsen - Eljanov 1-0 Harikrishna - Aronian 1/2 Topalov - Kramnik 1/2 Grandelius - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 Chao - Giri 1/2 <The standings: 1. Carlsen 6 2. Aronian 5.5 3. VachierLagrave 5 3. Topalov 5 3. Kramnik 5 6. Li Chao 4.5 6. Harikrishna 4.5 8. Giri 4 9. Eljanov 3 10. Grandelius 2.5>>>>

Apr-30-16		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS' STANDINGS ABSOLUTE RANKER FINAL Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50 Score,UserID ♔39,rogge ♔39,SwitchingQuylthulg ♔39,WannaBe ~~~~ 37,Keyser Soze 36,CHESSBOOKIE 36,Golden Executive 36,offramp 36,whiteshark 35,WinKing 34,BOOKIEODDS 34,chessmoron 34,Karposian 33,cromat 33,RATINGS 32,Aurora 32,moronovich 31,lostemperor 31,OhioChessFan 31,YouRang 30,paavoh 28,Aiuta 28,suenteus po 147 28,wordfunph 27,Beholder 19,Penguincw 18,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-30-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER FINAL Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330 Score,UserID 305,rogge 302,WannaBe 297,Keyser Soze ~~~~~~ 295,SwitchingQuylthulg 295,WinKing 294,Golden Executive 294,offramp 290,BOOKIEODDS 286,CHESSBOOKIE 286,whiteshark 283,Karposian 277,chessmoron 277,OhioChessFan 276,RATINGS 276,YouRang 273,moronovich 270,lostemperor 270,paavoh 267,Aurora 266,cromat 258,suenteus po 147 254,wordfunph 250,Aiuta 235,Beholder 196,Penguincw 178,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-30-16		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER FINAL Earnings,UserID ♔$32.80,Keyser Soze ♕$24.63,Golden Executive ♕$24.63,offramp ~~~~ $9.10,alfamikewhiskey $8.47,WannaBe $7.57,suenteus po 147 $2.81,SwitchingQuylthulg $2.18,chessmoron $0.26,lostemperor $-0.48,rogge $-1.08,YouRang $-3.69,OhioChessFan $-5.06,cromat $-5.44,moronovich $-5.52,WinKing $-5.82,whiteshark $-6.98,paavoh $-8.39,Karposian $-9.68,Aurora $-10.94,wordfunph $-11.71,Aiuta $-18.54,Penguincw $-19.12,Beholder

Apr-30-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $23.00,Harikrishna-above-Giri, alfamikewhiskey JACKPOT!! $23.00,Topalov-above-Giri, Keyser Soze JACKPOT!! $11.50,Kramnik-equal-Topalov, Golden Executive + offramp Semi-JACKPOT! $11.50,Topalov-equal-VachierLagrave, Golden Executive + offramp Semi-JACKPOT! **** $7.67,LiChao-above-Giri, alfamikewhiskey + Keyser Soze + suenteus po 147 $5.75,Harikrishna-above-Eljanov, chessmoron + lostemperor + SwitchingQuylthulg + WannaBe $5.75,Kramnik-equal-VachierLagrave, Golden Executive + offramp + suenteus po 147 + YouRang

Apr-30-16		lostemperor: <rogge> <SwitchingQuylthulg > and <WannaBe> victorious in the absolute ranker!! <rogge> winning in the square ranker also. This time he did not have help from Magnus Carlsen predictions as in the Candidates tournament or has he perhaps? :) <SwitchingQuylthulg> showing his form again by winning gold in all three tournaments of 2016 and has now also 8 Hall of Fame Crowns as Top HOFer <WannaBe> who also won gold and silver earlier this year! New comer <Keyser Soze> won the Pair Betting Ranker over <Golden Executive> and <offramp>! <Keyser Soze> Jackpot "$23.00,Topalov-above-Giri" turned out to be worth gold with a large pay out "$7.67,LiChao-above-Giri". The other Jackpot won by <alfamikewhiskey> "Harikrishna-above-Giri". For the first time no missed chances. All pair outcomes have been predicted by the contestants of the prediction game!

Apr-30-16		OhioChessFan: Thanks Yoda. Very impressive that the contestants had no missed pair placings.

Apr-30-16		SwitchingQuylthulg: Thanks to <lostemperor> for managing the contest, and congratulations to the other medalists!

Apr-30-16		offramp: When I first copied <GoldenExecutive> a couple of tournaments ago I did not realise how good he was. I am afraid I rather stupidly copied him twice - more fool me! - and ended up in a very awkward situation. I am donating my winnings to The Human Fund (Money for People). This money will go to help make the Primorsky Steps wheelchair accessible. Thanks again to <GoldenExecutive> for his acumen and very good humour!

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