User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 205 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
May-26-16		lostemperor: Slight bets change: 1. Caruana 2. Karjakin 3. Harikrishna 3. Giri 3. Mamedyarov 3. Radjabov 7. Eljanov 8. Hou 9. Mamedov 10. Safarli

May-26-16		SwitchingQuylthulg: 1. Caruana 2. Karjakin 3. Harikrishna 4. Mamedyarov 4. Radjabov 4. Giri 7. Eljanov 8. Hou 8. Safarli 8. Mamedov

May-26-16		Penguincw: The tournament has started. :)

May-26-16		lostemperor: Thanks <Penguincw>. A small but strong select group of contestants, will be exciting to see results! It may take the weekend before I can post the first results..

May-27-16		lostemperor: All draws in round one, so we will start from scratch. The CONMAN software will be getting warmed up to run the predictions results!

May-30-16		lostemperor: Have the CONMAN up and running for the first results. Thanks for your patience!

May-30-16		lostemperor: Here how the final standings would be according to the RATINGS expectations: 1. Caruana (2804) 2. Giri (2790) 3. Karjakin (2779) 4. Eljanov (2765) 4. Harikrishna (2763) 6. Mamedyarov (2748) 7. Radjabov (2726) 8. Safari (2664) 8. Hou Yifan (2663) 10. Mamedov (2655)

May-30-16		lostemperor: Here how the final standings would be according to the CHESSBOOKIE odds: Gashimov Memorial: WINNER 1. Caruana 2. Karjakin 3. Giri 4. Mamedyarov 5. Harikrishna 6. Eljanov 7. Radjabov 8. Safarli 8. Hou 8. Mamedov

May-30-16		lostemperor: <GASHIMOV MEMORIAL 2016 <It has been a lot of fighting chess in Baku Gashimov memorial! <Standings after 4 rounds: <1. Caruana 2. Giri 3. Karjakin 3. Radjabov 3. Mamedyarov 3. Safarli 7. Mamedov 7. Harikrishna 7. Hou 10. Eljanov>>>>

May-30-16		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS ABSOLUTE RANKER 4 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50 Score,UserID 33,WinKing 33,YouRang 32,Golden Executive 32,lostemperor ~~~~ 30,CHESSBOOKIE 29,OhioChessFan 29,RATINGS 29,SwitchingQuylthulg 27,Penguincw 26,WannaBe 24,suenteus po 147

May-30-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 4 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330 Score,UserID 279,WinKing 269,CHESSBOOKIE 265,lostemperor 264,YouRang ~~~~ 259,Golden Executive 258,SwitchingQuylthulg 257,RATINGS 250,Penguincw 245,WannaBe 242,suenteus po 147 237,OhioChessFan

May-30-16		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 4 Earnings,UserID $5.50,YouRang $4.90,WinKing $2.56,Penguincw ~~~~ $-0.20,SwitchingQuylthulg $-1.11,suenteus po 147 $-1.19,OhioChessFan $-1.70,Golden Executive $-2.45,lostemperor $-6.29,WannaBe

May-30-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $9.00,Giri-above-Karjakin, YouRang $9.00,Radjabov-equal-Safarli, suenteus po 147 $2.25,Harikrishna-above-Eljanov, lostemperor + Penguincw + SwitchingQuylthulg + WannaBe $2.25,Hou-equal-Mamedov, Golden Executive + Penguincw + SwitchingQuylthulg + WinKing $2.25,Radjabov-above-Eljanov, lostemperor + Penguincw + SwitchingQuylthulg + WinKing $2.25,Radjabov-above-Harikrishna, OhioChessFan + Penguincw + WinKing + YouRang

May-30-16		Golden Executive: <$9.00,Giri-above-Karjakin, YouRang> Remarkable.

May-31-16		lostemperor: <GASHIMOV MEMORIAL <ROUND 5 UPDATE <Safarli - Giri 0-1 Caruana - Radjabov 1-0 Mamedyarov - Mamedov 1/2 Karjakin - Hou Yifan 1-0 Harikrishna - Eljanov 1-0 <Standings: 1. Caruana 4.5 2. Giri 4 3. Karjakin 3 4. Harikrishna 2.5 4. Mamedyarov 6. Radjabov 2 6. Safarli 6. Mamedov 9. Hou 1.5 10. Eljanov 1>>>>

May-31-16		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS 5 ABSOLUTE RANKER Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50 Score,UserID 39,CHESSBOOKIE 38,RATINGS 36,Golden Executive 35,lostemperor 35,SwitchingQuylthulg ~~~~ 34,suenteus po 147 34,WinKing 34,YouRang 31,Penguincw 31,WannaBe 29,OhioChessFan

May-31-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 5 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330 Score,UserID 304,CHESSBOOKIE 297,SwitchingQuylthulg 294,lostemperor 294,WinKing ~~~~~~ 290,suenteus po 147 286,RATINGS 284,Golden Executive 281,WannaBe 278,YouRang 267,Penguincw 253,OhioChessFan

May-31-16		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 5 Earnings,UserID $11.12,YouRang $9.09,suenteus po 147 $-0.13,SwitchingQuylthulg ~~~~ $-0.88,lostemperor $-2.08,WinKing $-2.16,WannaBe $-2.38,Golden Executive $-4.41,Penguincw $-8.16,OhioChessFan

May-31-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $9.00,Giri-above-Karjakin, YouRang $9.00,Radjabov-equal-Safarli, suenteus po 147 $4.50,Harikrishna-equal-Mamedyarov, lostemperor + YouRang $4.50,Mamedov-above-Hou, suenteus po 147 + YouRang $4.50,Mamedyarov-above-Radjabov, Golden Executive + suenteus po 147 $3.00,Harikrishna-above-Radjabov, suenteus po 147 + SwitchingQuylthulg + WannaBe

May-31-16		lostemperor: After another slaughtfest in Baku we have three different leaders in the first rest day with four rounds to go.

Jun-01-16		Golden Executive: <lostemperor: After another slaughtfest in Baku we have three different leaders in the first rest day with four rounds to go.> Nice!

Jun-02-16		lostemperor: Now in a quiet sixth round with all draws rankings remain the same with three rounds to go!

Jun-02-16		lostemperor: <GASHIMOV MEMORIAL <ROUND 7 UPDATE <Caruana - Giri 1/2 Mamedyarov - Safarli 1-0 Karjakin - Radjabov 1/2 Harikrishna - Mamedov 1/2 Eljanov - Hou 1-0 < standings: 1. Caruana 5.5 2. Giri 5 3. Karjakin 4 3. Mamedyarov 4 5. Harikrishna 3.5 6. Radjabov 3 6. Mamedov 3 8. Safarli 2.5 8. Eljanov 2.5 10. Hou 2>>>>

Jun-02-16		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS ABSOLUTE RANKER 7 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50 Score,UserID 40,CHESSBOOKIE 37,Golden Executive 37,RATINGS 36,suenteus po 147 36,YouRang ~~~~ 35,lostemperor 35,SwitchingQuylthulg 35,WinKing 34,Penguincw 31,WannaBe 30,OhioChessFan

Jun-02-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 7 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330 Score,UserID 313,CHESSBOOKIE 303,WinKing 302,lostemperor 302,suenteus po 147 ~~~~ 301,Golden Executive 301,SwitchingQuylthulg 295,YouRang 293,RATINGS 284,WannaBe 280,Penguincw 272,OhioChessFan

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