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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 205 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
May-26-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Slight bets change:
1. Caruana
2. Karjakin
3. Harikrishna
3. Giri
3. Mamedyarov
3. Radjabov
7. Eljanov
8. Hou
9. Mamedov
10. Safarli
May-26-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: 1. Caruana
2. Karjakin
3. Harikrishna
4. Mamedyarov
4. Radjabov
4. Giri
7. Eljanov
8. Hou
8. Safarli
8. Mamedov
May-26-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: The tournament has started. :)
May-26-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks <Penguincw>. A small but strong select group of contestants, will be exciting to see results! It may take the weekend before I can post the first results..
May-27-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: All draws in round one, so we will start from scratch. The CONMAN software will be getting warmed up to run the predictions results!
May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Have the CONMAN up and running for the first results. Thanks for your patience!
May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Here how the final standings would be according to the RATINGS expectations:

1. Caruana (2804)
2. Giri (2790)
3. Karjakin (2779)
4. Eljanov (2765)
4. Harikrishna (2763)
6. Mamedyarov (2748)
7. Radjabov (2726)
8. Safari (2664)
8. Hou Yifan (2663)
10. Mamedov (2655)

May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Here how the final standings would be according to the CHESSBOOKIE odds: Gashimov Memorial: WINNER

1. Caruana
2. Karjakin
3. Giri
4. Mamedyarov
5. Harikrishna
6. Eljanov
7. Radjabov
8. Safarli
8. Hou
8. Mamedov

May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <GASHIMOV MEMORIAL 2016

<It has been a lot of fighting chess in Baku Gashimov memorial!

<Standings after 4 rounds:
<1. Caruana
2. Giri
3. Karjakin
3. Radjabov
3. Mamedyarov
3. Safarli
7. Mamedov
7. Harikrishna
7. Hou
10. Eljanov>
>
>
>

May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 4

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

33,WinKing
33,YouRang
32,Golden Executive
32,lostemperor
~~~~
30,CHESSBOOKIE
29,OhioChessFan
29,RATINGS
29,SwitchingQuylthulg
27,Penguincw
26,WannaBe
24,suenteus po 147

May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 4

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

279,WinKing
269,CHESSBOOKIE
265,lostemperor
264,YouRang
~~~~
259,Golden Executive
258,SwitchingQuylthulg
257,RATINGS
250,Penguincw
245,WannaBe
242,suenteus po 147
237,OhioChessFan

May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 4

Earnings,UserID

$5.50,YouRang
$4.90,WinKing
$2.56,Penguincw
~~~~
$-0.20,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-1.11,suenteus po 147
$-1.19,OhioChessFan
$-1.70,Golden Executive
$-2.45,lostemperor
$-6.29,WannaBe

May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$9.00,Giri-above-Karjakin, YouRang

$9.00,Radjabov-equal-Safarli, suenteus po 147

$2.25,Harikrishna-above-Eljanov, lostemperor + Penguincw + SwitchingQuylthulg + WannaBe

$2.25,Hou-equal-Mamedov, Golden Executive + Penguincw + SwitchingQuylthulg + WinKing

$2.25,Radjabov-above-Eljanov, lostemperor + Penguincw + SwitchingQuylthulg + WinKing

$2.25,Radjabov-above-Harikrishna, OhioChessFan + Penguincw + WinKing + YouRang

May-30-16  Golden Executive: <$9.00,Giri-above-Karjakin, YouRang> Remarkable.
May-31-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <GASHIMOV MEMORIAL <ROUND 5 UPDATE

<Safarli - Giri 0-1
Caruana - Radjabov 1-0
Mamedyarov - Mamedov 1/2
Karjakin - Hou Yifan 1-0
Harikrishna - Eljanov 1-0

<Standings:
1. Caruana 4.5
2. Giri 4
3. Karjakin 3
4. Harikrishna 2.5
4. Mamedyarov
6. Radjabov 2
6. Safarli
6. Mamedov
9. Hou 1.5
10. Eljanov 1>
>
>
>

May-31-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS 5

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID
39,CHESSBOOKIE
38,RATINGS
36,Golden Executive
35,lostemperor
35,SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
34,suenteus po 147
34,WinKing
34,YouRang
31,Penguincw
31,WannaBe
29,OhioChessFan

May-31-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 5

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID
304,CHESSBOOKIE
297,SwitchingQuylthulg
294,lostemperor
294,WinKing
~~~~~~
290,suenteus po 147
286,RATINGS
284,Golden Executive
281,WannaBe
278,YouRang
267,Penguincw
253,OhioChessFan

May-31-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 5

Earnings,UserID

$11.12,YouRang
$9.09,suenteus po 147
$-0.13,SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
$-0.88,lostemperor
$-2.08,WinKing
$-2.16,WannaBe
$-2.38,Golden Executive
$-4.41,Penguincw
$-8.16,OhioChessFan

May-31-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$9.00,Giri-above-Karjakin, YouRang

$9.00,Radjabov-equal-Safarli, suenteus po 147

$4.50,Harikrishna-equal-Mamedyarov, lostemperor + YouRang

$4.50,Mamedov-above-Hou, suenteus po 147 + YouRang

$4.50,Mamedyarov-above-Radjabov, Golden Executive + suenteus po 147

$3.00,Harikrishna-above-Radjabov, suenteus po 147 + SwitchingQuylthulg + WannaBe

May-31-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: After another slaughtfest in Baku we have three different leaders in the first rest day with four rounds to go.
Jun-01-16  Golden Executive: <lostemperor: After another slaughtfest in Baku we have three different leaders in the first rest day with four rounds to go.> Nice!
Jun-02-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Now in a quiet sixth round with all draws rankings remain the same with three rounds to go!
Jun-02-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <GASHIMOV MEMORIAL <ROUND 7 UPDATE

<Caruana - Giri 1/2
Mamedyarov - Safarli 1-0
Karjakin - Radjabov 1/2
Harikrishna - Mamedov 1/2
Eljanov - Hou 1-0

< standings:
1. Caruana 5.5
2. Giri 5
3. Karjakin 4
3. Mamedyarov 4
5. Harikrishna 3.5
6. Radjabov 3
6. Mamedov 3
8. Safarli 2.5
8. Eljanov 2.5
10. Hou 2>
>
>
>

Jun-02-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 7

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID
40,CHESSBOOKIE
37,Golden Executive
37,RATINGS
36,suenteus po 147
36,YouRang
~~~~
35,lostemperor
35,SwitchingQuylthulg
35,WinKing
34,Penguincw
31,WannaBe
30,OhioChessFan

Jun-02-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 7

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID
313,CHESSBOOKIE
303,WinKing
302,lostemperor
302,suenteus po 147
~~~~
301,Golden Executive
301,SwitchingQuylthulg
295,YouRang
293,RATINGS
284,WannaBe
280,Penguincw
272,OhioChessFan

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