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| Jan-19-06 | | YouRang: <lostemperor> I could send you some software to do these reports if you like. I'll need an email address. It's the same program that <cu8sfan> is using, but it references different internal contest management software. It should be simple for you to use for this tournament, since I've already done most of the work. :-) In the future, you'll probably want to post some rules (which I can suggest to you) stating the 'proper' way to post final standing predictions. Doing so will save you lots of editing. |
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Jan-19-06
 | | Chnebelgrind: <YouRang Rank,Score,UserID> Your Score evaluation method can't be too good. Let <lostemperor> make that please! |
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| Jan-19-06 | | YouRang: <Chnebelgrind><Your Score evaluation method can't be too good.> Hi Chnebelgrind. Why do you think it can't be too good?? < Let <lostemperor> make that please!> I am not stopping <lostemperor>. I am trying to assist him. |
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| Jan-19-06 | | YouRang: <Chnebelgrind> Oh, I just noticed why you don't think my method is too good. You're tied for last place! :) Of course, that might have something to do with your prediction that Aronian would finish first, Leko second, and Anand 4th. Then again, I notice that I'm not too far from the cellar myself. But don't give up -- there's still time for things to shift around! |
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Jan-20-06
| | Chnebelgrind: <YouRang> You got it. It was careless of me, not to set Topalov and Anand ahead. |
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Jan-20-06
 | | lostemperor: <YouRang> some very nice stuff! Thank you. Can you send me some software, although I suck with computers, it is interesting indeed! You can find my e-mail on top. |
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Jan-20-06
| | lostemperor: <YouRang> btw. in cu8sfan predictioncontest I understand your program reads anything that looks like a prediction. Sort of like an extensive search? What technique/ software is that? |
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| Jan-20-06 | | YouRang: <lostemperor> I just sent you an email. Let me know if you never get it. I don't think you'll have problems figuring out how to make it work. :) |
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| Jan-20-06 | | YouRang: <lostemperor> Also, it would be interesting if you compare your results (if you have compliled them) with mine. There are probably some differences, but you probably would like to be able to account for them. |
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Jan-21-06
| | lostemperor: <YouRang> I received it. I will let you know. Thanks! |
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Jan-21-06
| | lostemperor: <YouRang>: untill I have a good grasp on your program, you can give the standings after 7 rounds if you wish. I just start checking some results. Comparing them with mine. There are some slight differences but that can be caused by different countings on average (actual) standings. Also I start with a maximum of 196 but that should not be a problem since it´s the differences that counts. I know more soon on these comparings. |
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Jan-21-06
| | lostemperor: Corus is halfway. Here already some unofficial results. The Kramnik predictions (different count). Kramnik withdrew from the tournament because of illness. So we never know what he would have done if he had participated. But it is nice to see the predictions (when it was not known Kramnik was ill). The average standing of Kramnik in the predictions is somewhat lower than 6th place(!) I put the predictions in order of Kramnik standings. Since Kramnik was not able to play the people who put Kramnik lowest in their predictions win the Kramnik contest. I start with the highest standings predictions for Kramnik.(repost since I forgot at least one name :) <The Kramnik predictions> 1 point. Kramnik put on first place by <infinitycircuit> 3 points. Kramnik put on 3rd place by <alexmagnus, Betsson, mymt> 4 points. Kramnik on 4th; <Elo, firebyrd, hidude, hitman84, swapmeet, UditNarayan> 5 points. Kramnik on 5th: <bobbyboomer petralovski, twinlark, suenteus po 147> 6 points: <AdrianP, Assasinator, Dimweasel, imrath, LanceduLac, nakosonorense, percyblakeney, samsal, strifknot> 7 points: Kramnik on 7th place: <awfulhangover, robin01, TIMER, zarra> 8 points: Kramnik on 8th place: <AnnieK. cu8sfan, Ibelox, thomaspaine> 9 points: Kramnik on 9th: <Dionyseus, madsberg> 10 points: Kramnik on 10th: <Per, The King Returns I, WannaBe> 11 points: Kramnik on 11th place: <YouRang> The winners: 12 points: Kramnik on 12th place: <EmperorAtahualpa, Fxenderby, VishyFan> For what its worth!
For more statistics on other players' rankings in the predictions see YouRang's <Average Ranking Report>! Later I may highlight some of those Corusplayers still. |
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Jan-22-06
| | lostemperor: Here statistics on Karjakin who has a surprising well performance (shared 2/3 halfway down the tournament
as posted at the Coruspage also). From <YouRang> Average Ranking Report: <9.16,Karjakin,3,13> Average prediction ranking on Karjakin 9.16. Rating 2660 (13th!). Seeded 10 at the start (of the 14 participants) on odds to win the tournament. Highest prediction on Karjakin 3. Lowest 13 (4x). |
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| Jan-22-06 | | fxenderby: Horray!
Right this morning I was watching Brasil x The Netherlands. a game of what we call futsal, 'round here.. indoor soccer for five players and a very heavy ball! we won! last time I went to europe I came to dublin, and we defeated the irish on a friendly game of soccer just tow or three days before.. feel lucky. and thanks about the tips and the info about the dutch-brasilian champ. cheers. |
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Jan-23-06
| | lostemperor: <fxenderby> maybe we could meet on 30 or 31st your way to the Hague/Delft Rotterdam, France. That is after corus of course:) If you are still able to contact me I can give you my number. |
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| Jan-23-06 | | YouRang: Hi <lostemperor> <until I have a good grasp on your program, you can give the standings after 7 rounds if you wish> Okay, but since we've completed 8 rounds now, I'll give the results based on the standings after 8 rounds. Let me know if you have any questions about how to use the program. Current standings: 1.ANA/1.TOP/3.KAR/4.ADA/4.GEL/4.IVA/7.WEL/7.LEK/7.ARO/-
10.TIV/11.MAM/11.SOK/13.KAM/13.BAC
Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation; Maximum score: 91 Rank,Score,UserID
1,60,Keshishian
2t,58,dimradil
2t,58,percyblakeney
4t,56,Catfriend
4t,56,Chopin
4t,56,lostemperor
4t,56,Tassadar
8t,54,AdrianP
8t,54,diction
8t,54,Ezzy
8t,54,Ibelox
8t,54,LancelotduLac
8t,54,Where is my mind
14t,52,baltez
14t,52,chessmaster pro
14t,52,cu8sfan
14t,52,iron maiden
14t,52,kolobok
14t,52,Larsker
14t,52,suenteus po 147
14t,52,VishyFan
22t,51,radu stancu
22t,51,TIMER
22t,51,twinlark
25t,50,badmove
25t,50,pim
25t,50,viapori
28,49,Annie K.
29t,48,babakova
29t,48,cromat
29t,48,firebyrd
29t,48,hitman84
29t,48,larrewl
29t,48,s4life
29t,48,WannaBe
29t,48,yalie
37t,46,alexmagnus
37t,46,djmercury
37t,46,EmperorAtahualpa
37t,46,lmreith
37t,46,NakoSonorense
37t,46,Robin01
37t,46,Schwartz
37t,46,tnrao
45t,44,Appaz
45t,44,Assassinater
45t,44,Bent Bexley
45t,44,bobbyboomer
45t,44,Dionyseus
45t,44,fxenderby
45t,44,mymt
45t,44,offramp
45t,44,witty
45t,44,yannis
55t,42,awfulhangover
55t,42,mikejaqua
55t,42,mlotay
55t,42,nintenchess
55t,42,rchamoun
55t,42,samikd
55t,42,TechN9ne
55t,42,thomaspaine
63t,40,LondonSystem
63t,40,madserg
63t,40,morphyisfratello
63t,40,Phi
63t,40,Swapmeet
63t,40,The King Returns1
63t,40,weepingwarrior
63t,40,YouRang
71,39,InfinityCircuit
72t,38,cade
72t,38,Dim Weasel
72t,38,petrovalovski
72t,38,Udit Narayan
72t,38,zarra
77,37,Montreal1666
78,36,strifeknot
79,32,notsodeepthought
80t,24,Chnebelgrind
80t,24,Jafar219
80t,24,ozchess
Our top predictor (for now at least) is <Keshishian>, who predicted as follows: 1.Topalov
2.Anand
3.Leko
4.Ivanchuk
5.Adams
6.van Wely
7.Bacrot
8.Aronian
9.Karjakin
10.Gelfand
11.Mamedyarov
12.Sokolov
13.Kamsky
14.Tiviakov |
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Jan-25-06
| | lostemperor: Thanks <YouRang>.I will be comparing that with my calculations. It may take untill after the tournament before I am able to use your program. I'll contact you for questions. I got back from an exciting day and round at Corus yesterday! |
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Jan-25-06
| | lostemperor: Statistics on Boris Gelfand <YouRang: 7.32,Gelfand,3,14>. Actual standing 2/3 so far after 9 rounds. Rating 2723 (6th). 7th favorite, on odds, to win the tournament at the start. Average kibitzers' prediction's standing 7.32. Highest prediction 3 <cu8sfan>. Lowest 14. |
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Jan-25-06
| | lostemperor: Correction: Gelfand standing should of course be shared 3/4 not 2/3. |
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Jan-26-06
| | lostemperor: <YouRang> your program seems to work fine from your calculations. Only some minor differences I talked you about (should not be a problem since it is within the 1 point margin). It is a great help for this predictioncontest and I hope to get it operated a.s.a.p (for Linares)! In the meantime, please keep your program running for Corus:) |
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| Jan-26-06 | | YouRang: I'm glad to know you've gotten it to work for you and that it will help. Let me know if any question/comments. :) |
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Jan-28-06
| | lostemperor: Statistic for Michael Adams. Standing after 11 rounds 3-5 (4 average).Rating 9th. Eighth favorite to win the tournament. Average prediction 8.51 from the <Average Ranking Report> Highest prediction 2. best predictions so far <Babakova> 3rd place, <badmove> 3-7 and several kibitzers who put Adams on 5th place. Lowest standing prediction 14. |
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Jan-28-06
| | lostemperor: Statistics on the <Gata Kamsky>. Kamsky changes excellent results with poor ones. Unfortunately more of the latter. Actual standing so far 13/14/ Rating 11th. Also 11th odds favorite to win the tournament although different than Elo rating and just behind karjakin, who has a lower rating. <Average prediction ranking> here 9.56. Highest prediction 2. Best prediction so far <Keshishian>13, <iron maiden> 14. |
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Jan-28-06
| | lostemperor: <YouRang> that's just it, I cannot operate your program yet. Can you give the final results after tomorrow's last round according to your program. I can easily check the results from your list and save me a lot of work. Thank you. |
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| Jan-28-06 | | YouRang: <lostemperor> Can you explain what the problem you are having running the software? I thought you had it working. :-( I will not have access to the contest software & files until Tuesday (it's at my office, and I am taking tomorrow off). I can run it then, but it would be better if you can get it to run at your site. |
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