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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 6 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Feb-01-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Ok you can now enter your predictions for Linares! Double round robin tournament starting at February 18. Participants:

Veselin Topalov
Peter Leko
Vassily Ivanchuk
Peter Svidler
Levon Aronian
Etienne Bacrot
Francisco Vallejo
Teimour Radjabov

In the meantime I still continue with Corus rankings and statistics :)

Feb-01-06  YouRang: <lostemperor> If you are planning to use the software to parse predictions, may I suggest that you post some rules regarding how to enter those predictions in such a way that the software will understand them (without you having to edit them)?

The software is fairly robust, and it will already handle most of the methods people use. But here are some standard guidelines:

<Be sure to specify a rank>

This is correct:
1. Topalov
2. Leko
3. Bacrot

This is incorrect:
Topalov
Leko
Bacrot

<Enter a separate line for each rank>

This is correct:
1. Topalov
2. Leko
3. Bacrot

This is incorrect:
1. Topalov 2. Leko 3. Bacrot

<If you want to enter ties, make sure you skip the unused ranks.>

This is correct:
1. Topalov
2. Leko
2. Bacrot
4. Ivanchuk

This is incorrect:
1. Topalov
2. Leko
2. Bacrot
3. Ivanchuk

<You can enter more than one player per line if you intend for them be tied.>

For example:
1. Topalov
2. Leko, Bacrot
4. Ivanchuk

<You may add commentary after the player's name if you like.>

For example:
1. Topalov - He's really hot now, yup, no stopping him yada yada...

2. Leko - Been in the dumps lately but I bet he's hopping mad now and yada yada...

3. Bacrot - His name spelled backwards is "Torcab", but don't let that fool you yada yada...

(If you do this, put blank lines between names so that the chessgames.com text fixer-upper won't make the lines all run together. Always use "Preview Kibitz")

<Identify players with their last name (at least)>

This is correct:
1. Topalov
2. Peter Leko (note: "Peter" is optional)
3. Ivanchuk

This is incorrect:
1. Veselin T.
2. Drawko
3. Chukky

<Finally, be sure that you provide a rank for EVERY player.>

If you miss one, the software will reject your prediction.>

There are other formats that the software will recognize as well, but it's preferable that people stick the the formats discussed above.

Feb-01-06  YouRang: Okay, here's my prediction (subject to change)

1. Ivanchuk (!)
2. Topalov
3. Svidler
3. Leko
5. Radjabov
6. Aronian
6. Bacrot
8. Vallejo

Feb-01-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <YouRang> okay yeah thanks, I was thinking about that! You might want to repost your predictions <percyblakeney>.
Feb-01-06  YouRang: Actually, I think <percyblakeny>'s post would be parsed okay, as long as he intends for Leko & Svidler to be tied for 3rd, and Aronian, Bacrot and Radjabov in a 3-way tie for 5th. :)
Feb-01-06  percyblakeney: I repost them anyway. Definite predictions:

1. Topalov
2. Ivanchuk
3. Leko
3. Svidler
5. Aronian
5. Bacrot
5. Radjabov
8. Vallejo

Feb-01-06  Lautje: Ik ben toch maar eens gaan kijken of dit wat is na jouw enthousiaste verhaal erover.

Gelukkig vind jij mijn zus wel cute haha! Ik trouwens ook hoor ;)

Feb-01-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  Sneaky: I swear, Dutch is a cross between German and Martian.
Feb-02-06  Swapmeet: <lostemperor>

Marvelous work you're doing!

1.Topalov
1.Svidler
3.Leko
4.Ivanchuk
4.Aronian
4.Radjabov
7.Bacrot
7.Vallejo

Feb-02-06  nintenchess: predictions:

1. Topalov
2. Svidler
3. Ivanchuk
3. Aronian
5. Leko
6. Radjabov
7. Bacrot
8. Vallejo

Feb-02-06  hitman84: <lostemperor>my predictions:

1.Svidler
2.Ivanchuk
2.Leko
4.Topalov
5.Radjabov
6.Aronian
6.Bacrot
8.Vallejo

Feb-02-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  cu8sfan: <lostemperor> Thanks for doing this! Are the standings you posted for Wijk still provisional?

Here are the final standings of Linares:

1. Topalov
2. Svidler
3. Ivanchuk
4. Aronian
5. Leko
6. Vallejo-Pons
7. Bacrot
8. Radjabov

Feb-02-06  EmperorAtahualpa: <lostemperor> My predictions:

1. Topalov
2. Svidler
2. Ivanchuk
4. Aronian
4. Leko
6. Radjabov
7. Bacrot
8. Vallejo-Pons

Feb-02-06  firebyrd: The game is afoot:

1. Topalov
2. Svidler
2. Ivanchuk
4. Aronian
4. Radjabov
6. Leko
6. Bacrot
8. Vallejo

Feb-02-06  AdrianP: 1. Leko
2. Topalov
3. Svidler
4. Bacrot
5. Ivanchuk
6. Radjabov
7. Aronian
8. Vallejo
Feb-02-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Heey <Lautje> haha. Jij bent ook een kanjer hoor ;)
Feb-02-06  madserg: 1. Topalov
2. Ivanchuk
3. Svidler
4. Aronian
4. Leko
6. Bacrot
7. Radjabov
8. Vallejo
Feb-02-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Sneaky: I swear, Dutch is a cross between German and Martian> Close!
Feb-02-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Ok here the points for <Corus> as it will count for the annual contest 2006. There are some slight differences in comparison to the former list rankings because I still made recounts on shared standings (actual and in the predictions). It is the intention though it will get fully automated. The top 50% will get points starting from one (a deriviation from the system suggested by <firebyrd>). I've taken a maximum of 8 and try to be proportional (two points difference is one point here approximately).

8 points: <Ezzy, percyblakeney, Tassadar>

7 points: <dimradil, LancelotduLac, AdrianP, kolobok>

6 points: <Larsker lostemperor twinlark>

5 points: <chessmaster pro, Catfriend, cu8sfan, pim, suenteus po 147, Where is my mind>

4 points: <viapori babakova Catfriend diction hitman84 Keshishian NakoSonorense TIMER>

3 points: <Appaz Bent Bexley EmperorAtahualpa iron maiden Robin01 radu stancu>

2 points: <Assassinater, badmove baltez Ibelox larrewl mikejaqua offramp s4life Schwartz>

1 point: <bobbyboomer, madserg, rchamoun, TechN9ne, VishyFan, witty, yannis>

Feb-02-06  YouRang: <lostemperor> Thank you for terminating your scoring method at zero, instead of awarding "negative" points for those of us further down. :)
Feb-02-06  LancelotduLac: Here are my Linares predictions:

1. Topalov
2. Leko
3. Aronian
3. Svidler
5. Ivanchuk
5. Radjabov
5. Bacrot
8. Vallejo

Feb-04-06  chessmaster pro: My Linares predictions are:

1.Topalov
2.Svidler
3.Leko
4.Ivanchuk
4.Aronian
6.Bacrot
6.Radjabov
8.Valleo

Feb-04-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Linares predictions...

1. Topalov
2. Leko
3. Svidler
4. Ivanchuk
5. Bacrot
6. Radjabov
7. Aronian
8. Valleo
9. WannaBe

Feb-05-06  suenteus po 147: <lostemperor> My predictions for the final standings of Linares 2006:

1. Ivanchuk - Winner on tiebreaks (just like Kaspy)
1. Topalov
3. Leko
3. Svidler
5. Radjabov
6. Aronian
7. Vallejo-Pons
8. Bacrot

Once again, thanks to <lostemperor> for conducting the prediction contest, and thanks go to <YouRang> for making the lives of these guys easier with his software.

Feb-06-06  larrewl: My Linares 2006 final standing prediction:

1. Topalov
2. Leko
3. Ivanchuk
4. Svidler
5. Radjabov
6. Bacrot
7. Aronian
8. Vallejo-Pons

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