< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 143 OF 143 ·
|Mar-27-14|| ||SwitchingQuylthulg: Too bad :(|
|Mar-27-14|| ||dakgootje: Just came back after 1-2 hours.
And Anand messed up :| That makes a <huge> difference. Now I've only got a somewhat disappointing day. Think a loss of 1k. Rather than utterly plummeting.
So that's nice. Still not in good shape, but clearly alive :)
|Mar-28-14|| ||dakgootje: So, tomorrow, Kramnik-Topalov 2: Reloaded.
I'll be honest. I have absolutely no idea what to expect. And would've rather seen Svid-Mamed in the pick-3 instead :P
|Mar-28-14|| ||SwitchingQuylthulg: I have absolutely no idea what to expect from either of those games :)|
Good luck! You'll need it.
|Mar-28-14|| ||dakgootje: Svid-Mamed is mainly unpredictable because Svid is playing very shaky. So that happens - not easy to predict, but more or less business as usual.|
Conversely, I don't know how Kramnik will cope. Obviously a rather tense game, even more so because Topalov won the previous encounter. So normally I'd expect Kramnik to come out fighting. But he seems to have been rather tired and pessimistic, blundering left and right.
So in retrospect it's quite logical that he choose to play very solid vs Aronian - which I completely underestimated. But this is Topalov. And given his current form, I think in a complex game he'll just have a very big risk of losing again. Moreover I think he knows this. So playing solid or wild.. think they're both bad options for him, and it influences the odds extremely much in my opinion.
So yeah.. I simply don't know. And I really don't know Kramnik well enough to make an educated guess what he'll do. On the other hand, I think Topalov will just aim for complications based on current form and revenge thoughts.
|Mar-28-14|| ||dakgootje: Is it just me, or are the stakes just very low compared to previous late Champion Legs? :S|
Shame I've only got a max-bet of 2.5k.
|Mar-29-14|| ||SwitchingQuylthulg: <dakgootje: Is it just me, or are the stakes just very low compared to previous late Champion Legs? :S> |
Well, firstly there aren't as many people playing and secondly a lot of money is stuck in tournament winner bets. Thirdly, when I won the stakes were higher simply because I was betting so much - if only I had a max bet of c$10000 now... :-)
There's a difference, but I don't think it's all that big, at least compared to the last couple years; by now a lot of people have quite simply given up, just as has happened in the past.
|Mar-29-14|| ||dakgootje: Ah yes, 87k pooled for the tournament winner. That's quite a lot.|
It's always nice to have you leading the betting troop :)
Anyway, unless the loanshark agrees to extend my loan, it seems my bets are placed. Thought he offers whenever you're out of cash and haven't taken out a new loan this day yet.
Luckily I still have a 500 from the wrongly paid out Topalov-Karjakin bet to invest. Which they'll retract as soon as they actually read their forum - but until that time it's a nice juice-free loan ;)
|Mar-29-14|| ||SwitchingQuylthulg: <dakgootje: Luckily I still have a 500 from the wrongly paid out Topalov-Karjakin bet to invest.>|
What else is new and different? :-)
The Loanshark only gives you daily loans if you're in or near the cellar or your net worth is more than about double your loan.
|Mar-29-14|| ||dakgootje: <or your net worth is more than about double your loan.>|
Crap, so close :( Ah well, doesn't help to worry about that.
Good luck Switch with your VeryLate comeback :P
|Mar-29-14|| ||wordfunph: <dakkie>
last hurrah today, good luck!
|Mar-30-14|| ||dakgootje: Thanks - you too!
Heh, I've got nothing to lose - but you're in quite a scary position! You could stand pat.. but there are obvious dangers that it won't be enough.
|Mar-30-14|| ||dakgootje: Best of luck everyone for this one last round :)
Got still some limited chances to reach the top-10, but in practice none to win. Shame about late p-3 betting, decreased my odds for making the top-10 by quite a bit. Hell, I even had chances to overtake the current first place :P Ah well, it's all in the game.
|Mar-30-14|| ||SwitchingQuylthulg: <dakkie> <wordfunph> Good luck! |
Unfortunately Topalov's loss yesterday killed any chances I might have had :(
|Mar-30-14|| ||SwitchingQuylthulg: Funny thing, though... on the last day of the leg, I finally made it to the maximum c$1000/day loan category, but I had no use for those 1000 bucks!|
|Mar-30-14|| ||dakgootje: will be very close whether I've made top-10.
|Mar-30-14|| ||SwitchingQuylthulg: Had Svidler won I'd have made the top 10. But compared to my previous bad luck involving Svidler games in last rounds of legs this one doesn't really register :)|
|Mar-30-14|| ||dakgootje: What really? How would you manage that?!
Even if you put the full 1k on BBD, you'd win 35k, so you'd require an additional 10k+? :S
|Mar-30-14|| ||SwitchingQuylthulg: c$1000 on BBD, c$1000 on Svidler, c$1000 on Karjakin and c$64 on a longest game of 90-99 moves ;-)|
But it was not to be.
|Mar-30-14|| ||dakgootje: Oh. Wow. Nice.
Yeah, the odds of hitting that were practically negligible - but I hadn't thought you'd even have a theoretical chance :P
|Mar-30-14|| ||SwitchingQuylthulg: And the results are in... :)
<1. Absentee 36,448
2. Touch of Knight 27,344
3. Barok Espinosa 27,007
4. wordfunph 19,380
5. Midas Touch 17,787
6. Golden Executive 16,892
7. Diademas 15,644
8. dakgootje 14,433
9. Robin01 13,900
10. ManicSquirrel 12,795
11. martin moller 12,379
12. Annie K. 10,992>
Congrats <luckydakkie>! Let's hope Bookie gives prizes to the top 12 by accident... ;-)
|Mar-30-14|| ||dakgootje: Rock on! :D
It's good I did not forget my secondary options today again, as BDD was one of them :P
I'm actually quite astonished Touch of Knight and Barok Espinosa supposedly didn't make a big effort to take first. Coming into the last round, they were at 25.2k and 26.8k - so either could put say, 10k on a single option. As long as it isn't a draw, you'll get bigger than even odds - with chances to take first place (!). And if you lose, you'll still make top-10.
But perhaps they just wanted to solidify 2nd or 3rd place - in case that'd give special rewards as well.
Anyway, great to have made top-10 starting with only 1k. Next year I'll aim fully for first place again ;)
|Mar-30-14|| ||dakgootje: ..or they might've taken substantial risks - but somehow managed to break even. I forgot that option :P|
Heh, nice to be lucky at such a crucial moment :)
|Mar-30-14|| ||Annie K.: <..or they might've taken substantial risks - but somehow managed to break even.>|
I did that, approximately... ;s
|Mar-30-14|| ||dakgootje: Awww.. Yeah saw you ended up 12th :(
Well, better than 11th I suppose - was a bit worried I'd finish there.
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