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Aug-02-08
 | | Chessgames Bookie: Betting is open on the Mainz Rapid Matches: Mainz Rapid Finals: Anand vs Carlsen Mainz Rapid 3rd Place Match: Morozevich vs Polgar |
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Aug-02-08
 | | Sneaky: <<Sochi Rd 3: Pick Three : White-Draw-White [cash in ticket] 25 YOU WIN! COLLECT 1250 49:1>> Maybe I shouldn't reveal this, but I qualified already last leg so what the heck. A really good strategy that I've been playing with lately is "All pick three's that don't include Black, except for the triple-draw." So that leaves only 7 picks:
White-White-White
White-White-Draw
White-Draw-White
White-Draw-Draw
Draw-White-White
Draw-White-Draw
Draw-Draw-White
Putting 25 chessbucks on each one of those combos is only a 175 bet with a great chance of hitting the jackpot. |
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Aug-03-08
 | | Sneaky: << Sochi Rd 4: Pick Three : Draw-White-Draw [cash in ticket] 50 YOU WIN! COLLECT 1174 22:1 >> And it works again! |
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Aug-04-08 | | malthrope: <ChessBookie> just wanted to point this out... The 'Pick 3' bet in Sochi Rd #5 - Sochi Rd 5: Pick Three - ended one full hour after all of the other main bets. As, I woke up late with only 10 minutes left to bet, so when I saw this made one additional bet on <D-D-W>. It seemed odd that these bets would be allowed passed the 7 AM EDT deadline. Then when 'Grischuk-Svidler' drew their game (it was either before 8 AM or just after) then I realized the major <flaw> without you specifically telling us that this 'Pick 3' would be extended by one full hour. Anyway, just wanted to bring this to your attention. :) One more question. In the - Sochi Rd 5: Ivanchuk vs Al-Modiahki: First Castles - bet the White castles or Black castles first is clear (it must be one or the other). However, can you explain the intent of <NEITHER>? Are you saying that neither player castles during the course of the entire game? OK - that's it and many thanks! :)) - Mal PS: Cute trick there <Sneaky> :) When your low on funds it's a good try! In fact it would have worked in Round #5 at Sochi <D-W-D> but one would have only won a minimal amount of c-bucks on this one betting 7 x $25 = $175 (win $177.5 a gain of $2-3 c-bucks). However, as I seem to be flush, atm, I'll just continue to use my standard ways. ;) |
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Aug-04-08
 | | Chessgames Bookie: <malthrope> 'Neither', is intended to mean that no one will castle during the game. Perhaps, 'No Castling', is a clearer term. |
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Aug-04-08 | | malthrope: <Chessgames Bookie: <malthrope> 'Neither', is intended to mean that no one will castle during the game. Perhaps 'No Castling' is a clearer
term.>
Thanks! Well that's of course what I thought since it's the only thing that makes any sense. <grin> However, as a bet it's of course an extreme <long shot>! ~lol~ Also, I noticed that you show my 'Pick 3' bet from Sochi Rd #5 <D-D-W> as "discard ticket"? So, you are <honoring> any bets placed in this category even though it elapsed the actual starting time of Round #5 in Sochi by one full hour? And, if so why without announcing the betting extension in advance within the <text box> explanation of this specific 'Pick 3' bet? TIA :) - Mal |
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Aug-05-08 | | yxcvbnm: <chessbookie> maybe you could open wagering on the last rounds of young masters. http://www.onjk.nl/ |
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Aug-05-08
 | | Chessgames Bookie: <yxcvbnm> You can now bet on the top 2 boards of the Young Masters Tournament. <malthrope> The closing time on the pick three bet was our error, but we don't suspect any foul play, so we will let all bets stand. |
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Aug-05-08 | | malthrope: <<malthrope> The closing time on the pick three bet was our error, but we don't suspect any foul play, so we will let all bets stand.> Fair enough <ChessBookie> :) Sorry I didn't catch it in time for you. ;) Also, I checked on the 'Grischuk-Svidler' game and it finished in 58 minutes flat... Which gave a chance (with several browsers up) for a couple of bets with this useful info known. Of course, knowing all of the current positions an hour into play would have also skewed the bets. In terms of the 'Pick 3' Rd #5 pool it went from $5,337 (actual game start) up to $5,556 (an hour later). So, it looks like not too much <damage> could have been done... ~lol~ I'll cancel my <D-D-W> losing ticket now... :^) Thanks again, - Mal PS: The bets on - Liga de Campeones (2007) - Chess tourney was even worse! The schedule for the rounds (which day it was) were given incorrectly worldwide. As a result many bettors were betting on Rd #8 with the all of the <results> known in advance! ~ROFL~ I'm sure you remember that one! <grin> |
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Aug-06-08 | | Sbetsho: I can brag about betting on Aleksejev (black) beating Carlsen, collecting 1400+ |
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Aug-06-08
 | | Chessgames Bookie: We have opened wagering on the winner of The Staunton Memorial Tournament. Betting closes tomorrow morning. Staunton Memorial: Winner |
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Aug-08-08 | | DukeAlba: <malthrope> you should change your username to Nostradamus... How can you do sooo good? I'm getting a little frustrated because when I win something I lose it right back! |
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Aug-08-08 | | malthrope: <DukeAlba: <malthrope> you should change your username to Nostradamus... How can you do sooo good?> Hehehe... :) Well, I don't profess to have any of the unique prediction qualities of Nostradamus... However, I have learned how to manipulate and utilize the odds in the <ChessBookie> betting game! <grin> Although the last round Rd #7 with 6 draws was not easy to win bets on... :( <I'm getting a little frustrated because when I win something I lose it right back!> Sometimes 'Lady Luck' is on your side and sometimes it's not! The 'Grand Prix' games in Sochi is a tough one to bet on with a very high percentage of draws (70%) with White only wining 12 games (24%) and Black 3 games (6%). Perhaps in the latter rounds things will heat up! ;) So, betting on which decisive game is the <winner> is not always easy to do. Plus, it's natural to go up and down, so you just try catch the <big ones> when they present themselves. I may even lose a few "K" with my betting this round. Since I dropped my coffee pot just minutes before Rd #8 started (the 'Good News' is the coffee pot is fine and I got one cup!) and Adobe Flash Player wanted to install it's latest version... So, I just await to see if these were <positive> signs or <negative> ones! ~lol~ :^) - Mal PS: Keep working on those Chess problems as displayed in your Chessforum. Congrats on the composition of your first Selfmate! :)) |
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Aug-11-08 | | malthrope: <ChessBookie> - well it has happened again... :( In the 'Pick 3' bet from Rd #10 it was extended by one hour. The pool at the actual start of the round #10 was $5,438 and an hour later it was $6,216. It makes me nervous when this sort of thing keeps happening! ~lol~ You should look closely at it. All my bets were made prior to 7 AM EDT (the closing time of all the other bets except 'Pick 3'). Thanks! :^) - Mal |
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Aug-11-08
 | | Chnebelgrind: <'Pick 3' bet from Rd #10 it was extended by one hour> That was a bad trap for me. I looked first at the games before setting my bets. I saw Svidler sacrificing his ♘ and expected a win for Svidler. So I set some bucks on the n-n-white bets :-( To my mind all bets that were set in the last hour should be refunded! (It is not a desaster for me, because at time I set only little amounts for not venturing my nice score.) |
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Aug-11-08
 | | Stonehenge: Say <Bookie>, why can't I get anymore loans? I know I have been naughty and squandered all my little chessbucks, but I thought one could at least get 100 chessbucks once a day. And while we're at it, could you pay off today's bets? I need the cash, man. Thank you. |
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Aug-11-08 | | crawfb5: Ok, I finally did it! I went 0 for 18 bets on Sochi today. Clearly chess handicapping is not my forte. Having finally achieved perfection, perhaps it is time to retire from betting. :-) |
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Aug-12-08 | | technical draw: Well, I'm out of this round. Good luck <Mal> you're doing great. It's good to see NakoSonorense in the top 10. |
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Aug-12-08 | | malthrope: <technical draw: Well, I'm out of this round. Good luck <Mal> you're doing great. It's good to see NakoSonorense in the top 10.> Thanks <TD> ! :) This is a tough Chess Tournament to bet on (high draw percentage). It has been 'touch & go' for quite awhile... My two main runners are Radja and Aronian with Ivanchuk being the main one used as the backup. So, I was getting pretty nervous when Wang Yue was having such a superb tourney and Cheparinov was doing just great too. :) Now that Aronian has broken through (leads by a half point) I feel a little bit better. :) Also, that Chucky plays Wang Yue in the last round! ;) I lose a small amount this round as I ran out of time and couldn't finish my 'Pick 3' bets (<D-D-D> to fully cover). Anyway, now there is a chance that Radja and Aronian will tie for 1st & 2nd which is my best possible result. So, we shall see... <"It ain't over till it's over!"> :^) - Mal |
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Aug-12-08 | | malthrope: PS: <TD> Looks like I'm saved! ~lol~ I thought 'Karjakin-Cheparinov' was a draw... However, Sergey won... Every little bit helps! <grin> :) - Mal |
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Aug-12-08 | | NakoSonorense: <technical draw> Thanks. I've been playing it safely by not making big bets. Of course, I don't win a lot, but I don't lose a lot either! <malthrope> is gonna run away with this leg, I think... He's just too far ahead! |
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Aug-12-08
 | | Chessgames Bookie: <well it has happened again... :( In the 'Pick 3' bet from Rd #10 it was extended by one hour.> As it turned out, nobody bet on the winning ticket during that extra hour. We're going to let the bets stands. <Stonehenge: Say <Bookie>, why can't I get anymore loans? I know I have been naughty and squandered all my little chessbucks, but I thought one could at least get 100 chessbucks once a day.> The rule is that you can get a loan every day but only if you are broke. However, you have a net worth over 500 chessbucks. I haven't looked at your account but I would guess that you have some long term bets which are being valued at face value. Once those bets settle you will either truly be broke (and eligible for daily loans) or have some winnings. Ironically, it can be strategically superior being flat broke than being just slightly above broke. Take this into account when purchasing long term tickets. |
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Aug-12-08
 | | Stonehenge: Ah, thanks <Bookie>! I didn't want to be completely broke, because of the <Loanshark>. He can be quite mean, you know :) |
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Aug-12-08 | | malthrope: <NakoSonorense: <technical draw> Thanks. I've been playing it safely by not making big bets. Of course, I don't win a lot, but I don't lose a lot either! <malthrope> is gonna run away with this leg, I think... He's just too far ahead!> Thanks for the vote of confidence there <NakoSonorense> :) However, as we all know the best laid plans of mice and men... ~lol~ As, I still have to fear Gata ripping two games (against Gashimov in Rd #12 and Navara in Rd #13). This won't be easy to do but he's capable of it! Meanwhile, Radja and Aronian play against one another in Rd #12. Plus, Karjakin (another one of my runners, btw) plays Black against the ever clever Gelfand in Rd #12 and White against Radjabov in Rd #13 and Aronian plays Gris in Rd #13 (Gris is my last runner, btw). Lastly, Wang Yue faces Navara in Rd #12 and then plays Chucky (with the Black pieces) in Rd #13... So, nothing is guaranteed and if either Wang Yue or Kamsky manage to pull off this incrediable feat then I lose my entire tourney investment ($4,900 c-bucks). :( I'll just have to sweat bullets and wait it out... ;) On the positive side of my Sochi bets Radja nets just over 3K, Gris and Karjakin 2K each, Aronian nets 1.6K with Chucky to cover everything (winning $200 c-bucks!). <grin> BTW: <I've been playing it safely by not making big bets. Of course, I don't win a lot, but I don't lose a lot either!> - a wise strategy sometimes! :)) I refer to it as <Sit on your hands?> or <Pull the trigger!> ~ROLF~ <<ChessBookie> Ironically, it can be strategically superior being flat broke than being just slightly above broke. Take this into account when purchasing long term tickets.> Thanks for info re: <How broke are you?> The info given back to <Stonehenge> - I'm sure <TD> already knew this <the effect of long term investments in tourney forecast bets> but I didn't! <sheepish grin> :^) - Mal |
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Aug-13-08 | | NakoSonorense: <malthrope> You have a lot of bets going on there. You seem to have it all planned out. I, on the other hand, place my bets pretty much at random... So far it has paid off! :) I'd try to catch you up, but I rather play it safely now and qualify for the Championship like last time. It's easier to beat all of those who start with $1,000... unless, of course, someone pulls off a "technical draw" and ends up in second place! |
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