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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Jan-16-22
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

TATASTELL CHESS MASTERS 2022
January 16
https://tatasteelchess.com/players/...

Format example to post your predictions

1. Carlsen
1. Caruana
3. Giri
4. Rapport
5. Mamedyarov
5. Duda
5. Karjakin
8. Vidit
9. Esipenko
10. Dubov
11. Shankland
12. Van Foreest
12. Grandelius
12. Praggnanandhaa

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7530 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jan-15-22 lostemperor chessforum
 
lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results*: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $9.00,Duda-above-Carlsen, Penguincw $9.00,Pragnanandhaa-above-Grandelius, Keyser Soze $9.00,Pragnanandhaa-above-Rapport, Penguincw $9.00,VanForeest-above-Esipenko, chessmoron $9.00,Vidit-above-Carlsen, Penguincw ...
 
   Jan-15-22 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Good luck <chessmoron> <Elvis>. Missed a lot here last year. Good to be back! Round 1 Vidit-Shankland 1/2 42 Caruana-Karjakin 1/2 36 Dubov-Mamedyarov 1/2 23 Esipenko-Carlsen 1/2 40 Giri-Praggnanandhaa 1-0 43 Duda-Rapport 1-0 45 Van Foreest-Grandelius ...
 
   Jan-15-22 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Thanks <Golden Executive> and good luck all! Round 1 Vidit-Shankland 1/2 Caruana-Karjakin 1/2 Dubov-Mamedyarov 1/2 Esipenko-Carlsen 1/2 Giri-Praggnanandhaa 1-0 Duda-Rapport 1-0 Van Foreest-Grandelius 1/2 Round 2 Shankland-Grandelius 1/2 Rapport-Van ...
 
   Jan-13-22 84th Tata Steel (2022) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔ ANNOUNCEMENT♕♖: Join the Tata Steel Chess Prediction Contest at my forum starting January 15 13h GMT! User: lostemperor
 
   Jan-16-21 chessgames.com chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <WinKing: Still nothing for Tata Steel from <chessgames>. Very disappointing.> I think chessgames.com is still in lockdown mode.
 
   Jan-14-21 Kibitzer's Café (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ In absence of a tournament page here an invitation to join the Final Standings Prediction Contest at my forum for the Tata Steel Chess Masters 2021 starting January 16 (yes the tournament is not cancelled)! ♖♕♔ Participants: 1. ...
 
   Mar-23-20 Nepomniachtchi vs Ding Liren, 2020 (replies)
 
lostemperor: Ding missed a draw with 33. .. Rb6!?
 
   Mar-22-20 Nepomniachtchi vs Wang Hao, 2020 (replies)
 
lostemperor: Yes good game of Nepo. Favorite to win the candidates now though it is still a long way to go.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 275 OF 275 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Apr-28-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Woo, I actually won a Ranker other than Betting Ranker. To be honest, I didn't think I could do it.

Now, I do wish I knew where I stand overall.

But hey, congrats to the other medalists, thank you so much <lostemperor> for finishing this tournament. Hope to see you next time, which may be Biel (Jul-Aug), Sinquefield (Aug) or Norway (Sep).

Apr-29-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Great show <lostemperor> as always!

Congrats to all the medal winners!

I have updated the Gold medal count in my forum. Just because I didn't play in this tournament doesn't mean I'm slackin' in my duties. ;)

Hope to see you all at the next event.

Nov-22-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ***Moves Prediction Contest Is Back!!!***

A message from The Legendary <chessmoron> ===========

Hey <friends> What better way to have a prediction contest than a <World Championship>. Get you prediction hat on, and let's PREDICT!

The drawing of colors will be available on Nov 24th (Opening Ceremony). All predictions must be posted on User: OhioChessFan before NOV 26th, 2021 at 7:30AM Eastern time.

Since there's 14 games total, predict as many games as you think the winner will need to score 7.5 points, the number needed to win the match. Then predict the number of moves each game you think will be played.

Be warned, if a game is not played and you predicted a game result, you will lose 3 points. ie. If game 14 is not played and you predict a game 14, you lose 3 points."

Posting format:

G1: Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen (1-0, 1/2, or 0-1) (# of moves played)

G2: Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi (1-0, 1/2, or 0-1) (# of moves played)

3. Only Moves+Bonus Ranker (See OhioChessFan chessforum 's profile on what that is about) will be used to medal.

4. I will post results after game 4, game 8, game 12, and game 14.

==============

Click on Elvis for details

Dec-28-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Thanks for hosting your contest throughout the years. Hoping for many, many more.

In the meanwhile, enjoy your holidays!

Jan-13-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Hi friends! Everyone's well and fine!? I'm ok however had a lot of change behind like looking for a new appartment and moving. But it's time for the annual Tatasteel chess tournament again!
Jan-13-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Tatasteel chess participants 2022

1. Carlsen
2. Caruana
3. Giri
4. Rapport
5. Mamedyarov
6. Duda
7. Karjakin
8. Vidit
9. Esipenko
10. Dubov
11. Shankland
12. Van Foreest
13. Grandelius
14. Praggnanandhaa

https://tatasteelchess.com/players/...

Jan-13-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: lostemperor: For the final standings prediction contest put the player's in the right order of finish according to you! Tournament starts Saturday January 15 13h GMT
Jan-13-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Just to refresh your memories; This was last Tata's insane final standings<

1. Van Foreest 8.5
1. Giri
3. Esipenko 8
3. Caruana
3. Firouzja
6. Carlsen 7.5
7. Harikrishna 6.5
8. Tari 6
8. Grandelius
10. Duda 5.5
11. Guijarro 5
11. Wojtaszek
11. Vachier
14. Donchenko 3.5>

Where <OhioChessFan> and <Penguincw> got the top prizes and <lostemperor> <Golden Executive> and <WannaBe> got the second and third places!

Jan-13-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  Messiah: My take:

Tata Steel Masters (I expect enormous upsets and surprises):

1 Esipenko
2 van Foreest
3 Shankland
4 Dubov
5 Giri
6 Fathead
7 Grandelius
8 Caruana
9 Putinist
10 Justin
11 Vidit
12 Rapport
13 Duda
14 Praggnanandhaa

Tata Steel challengers (also a pretty radical prediction):

1 Jumabayev
2 Nguyen
3 Shekhar Ganguly
4 van Foreest
5 Dardha
6 Warmerdam
7 Vogel
8 Zhu Jiner
9 Bjerre
10 Arjun
11 Shuvalova
12 Maurizzi
13 L'Ami
14 Murzin

Jan-13-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Messiah> can you post your predictions with the actual names . There is no way I can know who is who in what you post.
Jan-13-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Woo hoo, thank you <lostemperor> for hosting this.

And of course I will do upside-down predictions.

1. Grandelius
2. Esipenko
3. Dubov
3. Vidit
5. Praggnanandhaa
6. Rapport
7. Giri
7. Shankland
9. van Foreest
10. Karjakin
11. Duda
12. Mamedyarov
13. Caruana
14. Carlsen

Jan-14-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Tatasteel Masters 2022 final standings predictions:

1. Carlsen
2. Duda
2. Giri
4. Caruana
5. Dubov
5. Mamedyarov
7. Esipenko
7. Karjakin
7. Rapport
7. Vidit
11. Praggnanandhaa
11. Grandelius
13. Shankland
13. Van Foreest

Jan-14-22  paavoh: Thank you <lostemperor> for hosting this fun contest! Good to be back, and good luck y'all!

My predictions (feeling rusty for some reason):

1. Carlsen
2. Caruana
2. Giri
4. Duda
5. Dubov
5. Mamedyarov
5. Karjakin
5. Esipenko
5. Rapport
10. Vidit
11. Shankland
11. Praggnanandhaa
11. Grandelius
14. Van Foreest

Jan-14-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Starts Saturday, January 15th

<<>Tata Steel Masters 2022<>>

Countdown to Tata Steel :
https://www.timeanddate.com/countdo...

♘Tata Steel♘Wijk aan Zee♗Tata Steel♗

Official site: https://tatasteelchess.com/
This tournament will run from January 15th thru January 30th 2021. (13 Rounds)

Participants include: Carlsen, Caruana, Giri, Rapport, Mamedyarov, Duda, Karjakin, Vidit, Esipenko, Dubov, Shankland, Van Foreest, Grandelius & Praggnanandhaa

Average rating: 2736 - Category XX

Schedule - https://tatasteelchess.com/programme/

Round 1 is Saturday, January 15th, & it starts @ 14:00hrs(2:00pm) Wijk aan Zee time & @ 08:00hrs(8:00am chessgames EST)

~~~~~~~~~~

< 3 Prediction Contests: (Win virtual medals - Gold, Silver & Bronze) >

User: lostemperor (FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS) - Predict the order the players will finish. Run & hosted by <lostemperor>. (3 categories to medal in)

User: Golden Executive - (The Game Prediction Contest) - Predict the result 1-0, 1/2, or 0-1. Run & hosted by <Golden Executive>. (3 categories to medal in) This year will be the 14th Anniversary for this contest! (from 2007 to 2021 - 14 years running)

User: OhioChessFan (Moves Prediction Contest) - Predict the result 1-0, 1/2, or 0-1 & the number of moves. (4 categories to medal in) This contest is run by <chessmoron> & hosted by <OhioChessFan>.

~~~~~~~~~~

Jan-14-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  Messiah: <lostemperor: <Messiah> can you post your predictions with the actual names . There is no way I can know who is who in what you post.>

Justin = Magnus Carlsen

Fathead = Shakhriyar Mamedyarov

Putinist = Sergey Karjakin

Jan-14-22  Keyser Soze: Thank you <lostemperor>. Happy 2022!

My predictions are:

1. Carlsen
2. Giri
3. Caruana
4. Karjakin
5. Dubov
6. Rapport
7. Duda
8. Mamedyarov
9. Praggnanandhaa
10. Vidit
11. Shankland
12. Esipenko
13. Van Foreest
14. Grandelius

Jan-14-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Here we go:

1. Carlsen
2. Caruana
3. Giri
4. Esipenko
5. Duda
6. Dubov
7. Mamedyarov
8. Karjakin
9. Vidit
10. Van Foreest
11. Rapport
12. Shankland
13. Grandelius
14. Praggnanandhaa

Jan-14-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Coming Soon! **

Tata Steel 2022 Moves Prediction Contest. Conducted by the Legendary <chessmoron> and hosted at Graceland, home of Elvis. Click on Elvis for details.

Jan-14-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Hello all. Glad for the contest.
 
1. Carlsen
2. Caruana
3. Giri
4. Vidit
5. Duda
5. Dubov
5. Mamedyarov
8. Rapport
9. Esipenko
10. Karjakin
11. Van Foreest
12. Shankland
13. Grandelius
14. Praggnanandhaa
Jan-15-22  chessmoron: 1. Carlsen
2. Caruana
2. Van Foreest
4. Grandelius
4. Esipenko
4. Giri
7. Vidit
7. Dubov
7. Duda
10. Karjakin
10. Rapport
12. Mamedyarov
13. Shankland
14. Praggnanandhaa
Jan-15-22  sadosa: 1.Carlsen
2 Caruana
2 Karjakin
4 Giri
4 Mamedyarov
6 Duda
6 Rapport
8 Dubov
8 Shankland
8 Vidit
8 Esipenko
12 Van Foreest
13 Grandelius
14 Pragnanandhaa
Jan-15-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Here pseudo-contestant ELO, the predicitons according to the ratings

1. Carlsen
2. Caruana
3. Giri
3. Mamedyarov
3. Duda
3. Rapport
7. Karjakin
8. Vidit
8. Dubov
8. Esipenko
8.Shankland
8. Van Foreest
13. Grandelius
14. Praggnanandhaa

I took a rating difference of =<7 points as an equal standingss

Jan-15-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TATA STEEL CHESS ROUND 1 UPDATE< Round 1

Vidit-Shankland 1-0
Caruana-Karjakin 1/2
Dubov-Mamedyarov 1/2
Esipenko-Carlsen 1/2
Giri-Praggnanandhaa 1/2
Duda-Rapport 1-0
Van Foreest-Grandelius 1-0<

1. Duda
1. Vidit
1. VanForeest
4. Giri
4. Karjakin
4. Mamedyarov
4. Esipenko
4. Carlsen
4. Pragnanandhaa
4. Dubov
4. Caruana
12. Rapport
12. Shankland
12. Grandelius>
>
>

Jan-15-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔♕♖ROUND 1 PREDICTION RESULTS

<ABSOLUTE RANKER> Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID
48,lostemperor
48,WinKing
47,OhioChessFan
~~~~
45,paavoh
44,chessmoron
38,ELO
36,Messiah
35,Keyser Soze
33,sadosa
25,Penguincw

<SQUARE RANKER> Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID
635,OhioChessFan
633,lostemperor
616,chessmoron
~~~~
607,WinKing
549,ELO
547,paavoh
519,sadosa
512,Keyser Soze
457,Messiah
403,Penguincw

<PAIR BETTING RANKER>

Earnings,UserID
$27.56,paavoh
$18.75,chessmoron
$17.32,Penguincw
~~~~
$-0.25,OhioChessFan
$-8.55,sadosa
$-11.35,WinKing
$-13.30,lostemperor
$-14.01,Messiah
$-16.16,Keyser Soze

Jan-15-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results*:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$9.00,Duda-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$9.00,Pragnanandhaa-above-Grandelius, Keyser Soze

$9.00,Pragnanandhaa-above-Rapport, Penguincw

$9.00,VanForeest-above-Esipenko, chessmoron

$9.00,Vidit-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$9.00,Vidit-above-Caruana, Penguincw

$9.00,Vidit-above-Dubov, OhioChessFan

$9.00,Vidit-above-Giri, Penguincw

* equal standings of two players are left out of this list for now

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