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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Oct-13-20
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

Next event CANDIDATES March 17

Format to post your predictions

1. Caruana
1. Ding
3. Grischuk
4. Nepomniatchi
4. Vachier-Lagrave
6. Giri
7. Wang
7. Alekseenko

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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♙♙♙

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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7437 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Oct-13-20 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Wow, need to be running again. The exciting Super Norway tournament undrway!
 
   Mar-24-20 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Round 7: Caruana Wang 1-0 Vachier-Lagrave - Nepomniachtchi 1/2 Ding - Alekseenko 1-0 Giri - Grischuk 1-0 Round 8: Caruana - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 Wang - Ding 1/2 Nepomniachtchi - Giri 1/2 Alekseenko - Grischuk 1/2 Round 9: Alekseenko - Caruana 0-1 Grischuk ...
 
   Mar-23-20 I Nepomniachtchi vs Ding Liren, 2020 (replies)
 
lostemperor: Ding missed a draw with 33. .. Rb6!?
 
   Mar-22-20 I Nepomniachtchi vs Wang Hao, 2020 (replies)
 
lostemperor: Yes good game of Nepo. Favorite to win the candidates now though it is still a long way to go.
 
   Mar-17-20 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Round 2: Caruana Alekseenko 1-0 41 Nepomniachtchi - Grischuk 1/2 45 Wang - Giri 1/2 35 Vachier-Lagrave Ding 1/2 33 Round 3: Ding - Caruana 1/2 25 Giri - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 43 Grischuk - Wang 1/2 45 Alekseenko - Nepomniachtchi 0-1 43
 
   Mar-13-20 World Championship Candidates (2020) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Join the Candidates' tournament Prediction's Contest by predicting the final standings at my forum
 
   Jan-27-20 Tata Steel Masters (2020) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Tata Steel Chess Final Standings Prediction Contest Winners: <OhioChessFan>♔♖, <rogge>♔♖, <alfamikewhiskey>♔ <cromat>♕♕♖, <wordfunph>♕, <Keyser Soze>♖, <paavoh>♖, ...
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 269 OF 269 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Mar-16-20  alfamikewhiskey: Candidates 2020:

1. Grischuk
2. Giri
3. Ding Liren
3. Caruana

5. Alekseenko
5. Vachier-Lagrave

7. Wang Hao
8. Nepomniachtchi

Mar-16-20  sadosa: 1. Caruana
2.ding liren
3. Giri
3. Mvl
3. Grischuk
6. Nepo
7. Wang hao
8. Alekseenko
Mar-16-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: 1. Ding
2. Caruana
3. Giri
4. Grischuk
4. Nepomniactchi
6. Vachier-Lagrave
7. Wang Hao
8. Alekseenko
Mar-16-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Gonna use actual predictions:

1. Caruana
2. Nepomniachtchi
3. Grischuk
4. Ding Liren
5. Giri
6. Vachier-Lagrave
7. Wang Hao
8. Alekseenko

Mar-17-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  Count Wedgemore: My predictions:

1. Caruana
2. Ding
3. Giri
4. Vachier-Lagrave
4. Grischuk
4. Nepomniachtchi
7. Wang
8. Alekseenko

Mar-17-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Hi <lostemperor>, here we go!

1. Caruana
1. Ding
3. Vachier-Lagrave
3. Giri
5. Grischuk
5. Nepomniatchi
7. Wang
8. Alekseenko

Good luck to everybody.

Mar-17-20  rogge: Here we go:
1. Ding
2. Caruana
3. Giri
3. Grischuk
5. Wang Hao
5. Vachier-Lagrave
7. Nepomniactchi
8. Alekseenko
Mar-17-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: The tournament has started.
Mar-17-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks <Penguincw>!
Mar-19-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <CANDIDATES 2020 ROUND 1-3

<==Round 1 (March 17):

Vachier-Lagrave Caruana 1/2
Ding - Wang 0-1
Giri - Nepomniachtchi 0-1
Grischuk - Alekseenko 1/2

==Round 2 (March 18):

Caruana Alekseenko 1-0
Nepomniachtchi - Grischuk 1/2
Wang - Giri 1/2
Vachier-Lagrave Ding 1-0

==Round 3 (March 19):

Ding - Caruana 1-0
Giri - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2
Grischuk - Wang 1/2
Alekseenko - Nepomniachtchi 1/2

<standings:
1. VachierLagrave
1. Nepomniatchi
1. WangHao
4. Caruana
4. Grischuk
6. Giri
6. Alekseenko
6. DingLiren>
>
>

Mar-19-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: CANDIDATES 2020 THE PREDICTIONS♔♕♖

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 32

Score,UserID
16,Aurora
13,scout118
12,offramp
12,Penguincw
~~~~
11,Diademas
9,lostemperor
8,Golden Executive
8,sadosa
7,Count Wedgemore
7,cromat
7,OhioChessFan
7,Robin01
6,rogge
3,alfamikewhiskey

Mar-19-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 3

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 168

Score,UserID

104,Aurora
99,Penguincw
98,Diademas
~~~~
97,scout118
89,lostemperor
87,offramp
80,cromat
76,sadosa
75,Golden Executive
75,Robin01
71,Count Wedgemore
62,OhioChessFan
62,rogge
42,alfamikewhiskey

Mar-19-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 3

Earnings,UserID

$24.75,lostemperor
$20.92,Diademas
$12.75,Aurora
~~~~
$9.25,Penguincw
$3.75,Robin01
$0.95,Count Wedgemore
$-0.08,scout118
$-3.58,cromat
$-5.14,offramp
$-9.94,rogge
$-11.80,Golden Executive
$-13.05,sadosa
$-14.20,alfamikewhiskey
$-14.60,OhioChessFan

Mar-19-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$14.00,Alekseenko-equal-Giri, Aurora

$14.00,Ding Liren-equal-Giri, Diademas

$14.00,Nepomniatchi-equal-Vachier Lagrave, Count Wedgemore

$14.00,Nepomniatchi-equal-WangHao, Robin01

$14.00,Wang Hao-above-Giri, lostemperor

$14.00,Wang Hao-above-Grischuk, lostemperor

Mar-23-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <CANDIDATES 2020 ROUND 4-6

<Round 4:
Caruana - Nepomniachtchi 1-/2
Wang - Alekseenko 1/2
Vachier-Lagrave - Grischuk 1/2
Ding - Giri 1/2

Round 5:
Giri - Caruana 1/2
Grischuk - Ding 1/2
Alekseenko Vachier-Lagrave 1/2
Nepomniachtchi - Wang 1-0

Round 6:
Grischuk - Caruana 1/2
Alekseenko - Giri 0-1
Nepomniachtchi - Ding 1-0
Wang - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2

<STANDINGS:
1. Nepomniatchi
2. VachierLagrave
3. WangHao
3. Caruana
3. Grischuk
3. Giri
7. Alekseenko
7. DingLiren>
>
>

♔♕♖♖♕♔♔♕♕♖♖♔

THE PREDICTIONS

<ABSOLUTE RANKER 6>

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 32

Score,UserID

15,Diademas
15,Penguincw
14,Aurora
14,offramp
14,scout118
~~~~
12,Golden Executive
12,sadosa
11,Count Wedgemore
11,cromat
11,OhioChessFan
11,Robin01
10,lostemperor
10,rogge
6,alfamikewhiskey

♔♕♖♖♕♔♔♕♕♖♖♔

<SQUARE RANKER>

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 168

Score,UserID

118,Penguincw
116,Diademas
106,Aurora
~~~~
104,scout118
98,Robin01
94,offramp
93,cromat
92,Count Wedgemore
92,Golden Executive
90,sadosa
85,lostemperor
83,OhioChessFan
68,rogge
61,alfamikewhiskey

Mar-23-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <PAIR BETTING RANKER 6>

Earnings,UserID

$14.85,Penguincw
$14.48,Aurora
$6.45,Diademas
~~~~
$2.72,scout118
$1.55,lostemperor
$0.15,Robin01
$-1.25,sadosa
$-2.34,offramp
$-4.05,cromat
$-4.72,alfamikewhiskey
$-5.60,rogge
$-7.00,Golden Executive
$-7.00,OhioChessFan
$-8.25,Count Wedgemore

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$14.00,Giri-equal-WangHao, Aurora

$7.00,Giri-above-Ding Liren, alfamikewhiskey + Robin01

$7.00,Giri-equal-Grischuk, rogge + sadosa

$7.00,Nepomniatchi-above-DingLiren, Diademas + Penguincw

$7.00,Nepomniatchi-above-Grischuk, lostemperor + Penguin

Mar-23-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Penguincw> leading in three rankers with non-reversed predictions, together with <Diademas> in the absolute ranker! 8 rounds to go!
Mar-26-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  Diademas: <Mar-13-20
Premium Chessgames Member Diademas: Any additional prize for getting the round they cancel this thing correct? :)>

Dang! I had sixth.

Mar-26-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Yes unfortunately the Candidates are cancelled to be played on a later date!

<ROUND 7 UPDATE

<Caruana Wang 1/2
Vachier-Lagrave - Nepomniachtchi 1-0
Ding - Alekseenko 1/2
Giri - Grischuk 1/2

<STANDINGS
1. Nepomniatchi
1. VachierLagrave
3. WangHao
3. Caruana
3. Grischuk
3. Giri
7. Alekseenko
7. DingLiren>
>
>

Mar-26-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔♕♖♖♕♔♔♕♕♖♖♔ CANDIDATES THE PREDICTIONS

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 32

Score,UserID
15,Diademas
15,Penguincw
14,Aurora
14,offramp
14,scout118
~~~~
12,Golden Executive
12,sadosa
11,Count Wedgemore
11,cromat
11,OhioChessFan
11,Robin01
10,lostemperor
10,rogge
6,alfamikewhiskey

♔♕♖♖♕♔♔♕♕♖♖♔

SQUARE RANKER 7

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 168

Score,UserID
114,Penguincw
113,Diademas
108,Aurora
~~~~
106,scout118
100,Robin01
97,offramp
95,Golden Executive
92,Count Wedgemore
92,sadosa
91,cromat
84,lostemperor
82,OhioChessFan
70,rogge
64,alfamikewhiskey

Mar-26-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 7

Earnings,UserID

$14.48,Aurora
$12.05,Penguincw
$5.75,Count Wedgemore
~~~~
$3.65,Diademas
$2.72,scout118
$0.15,Robin01
$-1.25,lostemperor
$-1.25,sadosa
$-2.34,offramp
$-4.72,alfamikewhiskey
$-5.60,rogge
$-6.85,cromat
$-7.00,Golden Executive
$-9.80,OhioChessFan

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$14.00,Giri-equal-WangHao, Aurora

$14.00,Nepomniatchi-equal-VachierLagrave, Count Wedgemore

$7.00,Giri-above-Ding Liren, alfamikewhiskey + Robin01

$7.00,Giri-equal-Grischuk, rogge + sadosa

$7.00,Nepomniatchi-above-Ding Liren, Diademas + Penguincw

$7.00,Nepomniatchi-above-Grischuk, lostemperor + Penguincw

Mar-26-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Penguincw> still leads the Square and Absolute ranker halfway. The latter together with <Diademas> with <Aurora> leading in the Pair bettings.

Soon to be continued hopefully!

Oct-13-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Wow, need to be running again. The exciting Super Norway tournament undrway!
Oct-13-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  Keyser Soze: I second that! Im in
Oct-13-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Heard the Candidates will be picking back up on Nov/01/2020, so can't wait for that. Hopefully we will catch the next OTB classical tournament, whenever that may be.
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