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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Jun-30-15

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<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION GAME FORUM>

NORWAY CHESS 2015 Prediction contest

http://2015.norwaychess.com/superto...

Here a format how to post your predictions

1. Nakamura
2. Carlsen
3. Topalov
3. Caruana
5. Grischuk
5. Anand
5. Giri
8. Aronian
9. Vachier-Lagrave
10. Hammer


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants. This is invented by YouRang

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers. Don't miss his YouRang chessforum game results prediction contest during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖♖WannaBe

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♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♖Penguincw
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔♕wordfunph
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

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♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Robin01
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

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♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 5871 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jun-30-15 lostemperor chessforum
 
lostemperor: Enjoy the Summer homies with a lot of interesting chess of which Dortmund is now taking place. We'll be back at the Sinquefield Cup August 21!
 
   Jun-26-15 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Thanks <chessmoron> and <OhioChessFan>. I awarded the sponsor of this page a Gold medal at my page, also for his zealous reports throughout this tournament! :)
 
   Jun-22-15 D Andreikin vs Yu Yangyi, 2015 (replies)
 
lostemperor: So Yu simply made his 65th move before resigning knowing the arbiter will then put the white king on a bad square. Brilliant!! <;)
 
   Jun-21-15 Capablanca Memorial (2015) (replies)
 
lostemperor:  <Mr. V: Before anyone asks, the tie-break system on the official website is: 1. Head-to-head  2. Sonnenborn Berger  3. Number of won games  4. Most victories with the black pieces  5. I don't know how to translate this last one which I've never heard of, but it is ...
 
   Jun-17-15 Topalov vs Nakamura, 2015 (replies)
 
lostemperor: Topalov has used only 3 minutes for 17 moves vs 43 minutes for Nakamura! He tries to flag black :)
 
   Jun-13-15 Norway Chess (2015) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔ Predict the final standings of the Norway Chess Tournament in the prediction game forum lostemperor chessforum !
 
   Apr-27-15 YouRang chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Thanks <YouRang>! I started ridiculous with some predictions I doubted very much and had to come from far behind to reach silver in the 1-2-3 Ranker. Glad to give you a Bronze medal in the Pair Betting Ranker at the Final Standings predictions at my forum! :)
 
   Apr-16-15 Gashimov Memorial (2015) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♖ Announcement ♖ You can post your Gashimov memorial final standings predictions at my forum User: lostemperor !
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

TOURNAMENT STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 178 OF 178 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jun-23-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ~SQUARE RANKER 6

Score,UserID

239,WannaBe
228,OhioChessFan
226,wordfunph
~~~~
221,chancho
219,scout118
209,whiteshark
206,Aurora
202,cromat
198,chessmoron
198,SwitchingQuylthulg
197,lostemperor
196,moronovich
191,WinKing
182,Penguincw
181,Underworld
163,Golden Executive
155,lakshashishu

Jun-23-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ~PAIR BETTING RANKER 6

Earnings,UserID

$15.45,WinKing
$13.20,OhioChessFan
$8.62,whiteshark
~~~~
$7.57,wordfunph
$7.53,chancho
$5.79,scout118
$3.28,lakshashishu
$1.41,WannaBe
$1.28,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-3.06,chessmoron
$-3.29,Aurora
$-6.25,moronovich
$-7.31,cromat
$-7.80,lostemperor
$-10.74,Underworld
$-12.45,Golden Executive
$-13.23,Penguincw

Jun-23-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$17.00,Aronian-above-Carlsen, lakshashishu

$17.00,Aronian-equal-Caruana, WinKing

$17.00,Topalov-above-Anand, whiteshark

$8.50,Aronian-equal-Vachier, Golden Executive + SwitchingQuylthulg

$8.50,Caruana-above-Carlsen, scout118 + wordfunph

$8.50,Giri-above-Aronian, chancho + OhioChessFan

Jun-23-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Ooh we have a new leader at the absolute and square ranker in top scorer <WannaBe>. <WinKing> holds the lead in the pair bettings while <OCF> is runner up in all rankers. Today new chances:

Nakamura - Grischuk
Vachier-Lagrave - Carlsen
Aronian - Anand
Hammer - Giri
Topalov - Caruana

Jun-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 7 UPDATE

<All games drawn in repetitions of moves!

<Standings remains the same>>>

Jun-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Todays' games to watch for:

Grischuk - Caruana
Giri - Topalov
Anand - Hammer
Carlsen - Aronian
Nakamura - Vachier-Lagrave

Jun-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: A fighting round again yesterday

Grischuk - Caruana 1/2
Giri - Topalov 1-0
Anand - Hammer 1-0
Carlsen - Aronian 1-0
Nakamura - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2

I will make the last update after the Final round!

Vachier-Lagrave - Grischuk
Aronian - Nakamura
Hammer - Carlsen
Topalov - Anand
Caruana - Giri

Jun-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <NORWAY CHESS 2015 FINAL UPDATE

<Topalov wins the tournament!

<Vachier-L - Grischuk 1/2
Aronian - Nakamura 0-1
Hammer - Carlsen 1-0
Topalov - Anand 1/2
Caruana - Giri 1/2

<standings:
1. Topalov
2. Nakamura
2. Anand
4. Giri
5. Vachier
5. Caruana
7. Carlsen
7. Grischuk
9. Aronian
9. Hammer>
>
>
>

Jun-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS'~STANDINGS FINAL

ABSLOUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

♔29,OhioChessFan
♕27,chancho
♕27,WannaBe
~~~~~~
23,scout118
23,wordfunph
22,Aurora
22,whiteshark
22,WinKing
21,SwitchingQuylthulg
20,cromat
20,Golden Executive
19,lostemperor
19,moronovich
18,chessmoron
18,Underworld
15,Penguincw
14,lakshashishu

Jun-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER FINAL

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

244,OhioChessFan
243,WannaBe
238,chancho
~~~~
234,scout118
227,whiteshark
227,wordfunph
223,Aurora
222,SwitchingQuylthulg
199,cromat
190,WinKing
188,chessmoron
188,lostemperor
180,Underworld
174,moronovich
172,Golden Executive
159,Penguincw
126,lakshashishu

Jun-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ~PAIR BETTING RANKER FINAL

Earnings,UserID

$19.40,OhioChessFan
$14.83,whiteshark♕
$13.74,chancho

$11.99,scout118
$9.05,wordfunph
$2.91,Aurora
$2.89,WannaBe
$0.51,WinKing
$-1.01,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-1.58,chessmoron
$-5.83,cromat
$-6.08,moronovich
$-6.32,lostemperor
$-9.26,Underworld
$-13.05,Penguincw
$-14.61,lakshashishu
$-17.58,Golden Executive

Jun-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$17.00,Topalov-above-Anand, whiteshark
(Jackpot!!)

$8.50,Caruana-above-Carlsen, scout118 + wordfunph
(Semi-jackpot!)

$8.50,Giri-above-Aronian, chancho + OhioChessFan
(Semi-jackpot!)

$5.67,Anand-equal-Nakamura, Aurora + SwitchingQuylthulg + WinKing

$5.67,Nakamura-above-Caruana, moronovich + OhioChessFan + WinKing

$5.67,Topalov-above-Nakamura, chessmoron + lostemperor + scout118

Jun-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: He finally did it: <OhioChessFan> winner and also with a triple "crown" in all three rankers!!

I also believe that Elvis is alive now :)

Great showing also for <WannaBe> and <chancho> who won silver in the absolute ranker, also 2nd and 3rd respectively in the Square ranker! <whiteshark> won the silver in the pair bettings (followed by <chancho>)! Congratulations!

Jun-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <OCF> has gathered several bronze and silver medals in his earlier less succesful quests for gold before this tournament, the amount I miss and need to read back to give a total picture from all who has won medals but are not in the Hall of Fame yet :o
Jun-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Hope to fix that and to see you back at Sinquefield Cup August 21 which is our next prediction contest!

Participants:

1. Carlsen
2.Topalov
3. Anand
4. Nakamura
5. Caruana
6. So
7. Giri
8. Grischuk
9. Aronian
10. Vachier-Lagrave

Jun-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: That was a long wait <OCF> the monkey is off your back. Congratulations on winning your first gold in <lostemperor>'s contest!!! A triple-crown no less. Oh yeah & welcome to the 'Hat Trick' club (have won @ least 1 gold in each of the three contests) where you join <lostemperor> & 14 other elite HOF'ers.

<OCF's first ever prediction w/lostemperor Jan-15-09 (pg.67)>

lostemperor chessforum

Jun-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thank you <lostemperor> for running & hosting this great contest. Congratulations to all of the medal winners here!

Looking forward to being with you @ the Sinquefield Cup on August 21.

Always fun to play here!

Jun-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: It's been a long time comin', I got to tell you. Ah been used to gettin' whatever it is ah want in life, but some things just got to be earned. A spot in the Hall of Fame has got to be the highlight of my career.

Ah'd have traded all my gold records and awards and stuff just for a plaque on the wall, but Yoda wouldn't let me. Told me ah had to earn it. Ah gotta tell you, it was worth it. Ah feel like ah can go take on the world and a few gazillion of them Seperadits.....errr......Setaparists....them one fellas. I hope my man Yoda here can give me some a that light saber trainin'. That'd be really cool next time I go to karate class. Whit, whit, whit, haha, ahaha, whit, whit, whit. Haha, huh huh, watch me cut up this jelly doughnut, whit, whit, haha. Wonder if it could get through these sideburns. Probly not. Whit, whit, whit.........whoa, this suit's a bit tight to be running around like this, haha, huh huh, ahaha. Ummmmmm, where was I? Oh yeah, ah am so honored today and to be in this Hall of Fame is the greatest thing to ever happen to a little ole boy from Tupelo Mizzippi. Thank you, thank you very much.

Jun-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <WinKing: Oh yeah & welcome to the 'Hat Trick' club (have won @ least 1 gold in each of the three contests) where you join <lostemperor> & 14 other elite HOF'ers. >

I for sure knew that was on the table and wanted to get in that club. I don't remember even medaling in this contest before, where I've been really bad.

Jun-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Thanks for hosting <le>, and congrats to the medalists, especially <OCF> who becomes just the 8th user to win the triple crown here (after <positionalgenius>, <Where is my mind>, <chessmoron>, <SloVice>, <cromat>, <Penguincw> and <WannaBe>, if I'm not missing anyone).

Hope to see you at Sinquefield.

Jun-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: cheers to all winners and great thanks to <lostemperor>!
Jun-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Congratulations to all the winners, nothing like a Triple Crown to break the ice for <OhioChessFan> =)

Thanks for running the contest, <lostemperor>! Dortmund?

Jun-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: Congratulations to <Ohio Chess Fan> and the runners up and a great thanks to <lostemperor> for running the show !
Jun-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Thanks <lostemperor> for running the contest and congratulations to all the medal winners, specially to <OCF> who finally reached the Hall of Fame.

See you guys next time.

Jun-30-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Enjoy the Summer homies with a lot of interesting chess of which Dortmund is now taking place. We'll be back at the Sinquefield Cup August 21!
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