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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Apr-23-18
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

Next event GASHIMOV MEMORIAL
http://shamkirchess.com/

Format to post your predictions

1. Carlsen
1. Mamedyarov
3. Ding
4. Giri
5. Mamedov
6. Wojtaszek
7. Karjakin
8. Navara
9. Topalov
9. Radjabov

Place your bets and
Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 6989 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Apr-23-18 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Round 5: Ding - Radjabov 1/2 43 Mamedyarov - Giri 1/2 43 Navara - Topalov 1/2 43 Mamedov - Karjakin 1/2 4 Carlsen - Wojtaszek 1-0 48
 
   Apr-23-18 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Round 5: Ding - Radjabov 1/2 Mamedyarov - Giri 1/2 Navara - Topalov 1/2 Mamedov - Karjakin 1/2 Carlsen - Wojtaszek 1-0
 
   Apr-22-18 lostemperor chessforum
 
lostemperor: Peculiar rankings after just one win in 4 rounds. <Penguincw> strategy of reversed predictions is working for now! Five more rounds..
 
   Apr-11-18 GRENKE Chess Classic (2018) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the GrEnke Chess Classic Final Standings Prediction Contest at my forum: <chessmoron>♔♖, <lostemperor>♔♕, FSR♕♕, <paavoh>♖, <WannaBe>♖ Join the next prediction event GASHIMOV MEMORIAL April 18: ...
 
   Mar-29-18 World Championship Candidates (2018) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the Candidates Final Standings predictions: <Fiona Macleod>♔♕, <SwitchingQuylthulg>♔ <Golden Executive>♕, <positionalgenius>♕, <alfamikewhiskey>♖ Next prediction event: Grenke Chess Clasic starting ...
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 242 OF 242 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Apr-12-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Keyser Soze: I second <chancho> request and also ask to delete my previous bet. Thanks.

1. Carlsen
2. Karjakin
3. Mamedyarov
4. Ding
5. Topalov
6. Giri
7. Radjabov
8. Wojtaszek
9. Mamedov
10.Navara

Apr-13-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: my crystal ball update..

1. Carlsen
2. Karjakin
2. Mamedyarov
4. Ding
4. Giri
4. Radjabov
7. Topalov
8. Mamedov
9. Wojtaszek
10. Navara

Apr-13-18  cromat: 1. Mamedjarov
2. Carlsen
3. Karjakin
4. Giri
5. Ding
6. Radjabov
7. Topalov
8. Mamedov
9. Navara
10.Wojtaszek
Apr-13-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: <<>Gashimov Memorial 2018<>>

5 days to go!

Countdown to Gashimov 2018:

https://www.timeanddate.com/countdo...

♘SHAMKIR♘Gashimov Memorial 2018♗SHAMKIR♗

http://shamkirchess.com/

This tournament will run from Apr. 19th thru Apr. 28th 2018. (9 Rounds)

Participants include: Carlsen, Mamedyarov, Karjakin, Ding Liren, Giri, Topalov, Radjabov, Wojtaszek, Navara & Mamedov

Average rating: 2767 (as of 4/10/18) - Category XXI

*****
*****

<<>Gashimov Memorial 2018<>>

Schedule - http://shamkirchess.com/content/207

Round 1 is Thursday April 19th & it starts @ 15:00hrs(3pm) Shamkir, Azerbaijan time(7am chessgames time). All rounds begin @ 15:00 hrs. except for the 9th round which begins one hour earlier @ 14:00 hrs(2pm).

< 3 Prediction Contests: (Win virtual medals - Gold, Silver & Bronze) >

User: lostemperor (FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS) - Predict the order the players will finish. Run & hosted by <lostemperor>. (3 categories to medal in)

User: Golden Executive - (The Game Prediction Contest) - Predict the result 1-0, 1/2, or 0-1. Run & hosted by <Golden Executive>. (3 categories to medal in) This year will be the 11th Anniversary for this contest! (from 2007 to 2018 - 11 years running)

User: OhioChessFan (Moves Prediction Contest) - Predict the result 1-0, 1/2, or 0-1 & the number of moves. (4 categories to medal in). This contest is run by <chessmoron> & hosted by <OhioChessFan>.

*****
*****

Also, don't forget about <chessgames> ChessBookie game for this event. He can't wait to take some or all of your chessbucks. ;)

ChessBookie Game

Don't miss out on the fun for this Super Event!!!

*****

Apr-13-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Repost, had Radjabov twice in my previous prediction.

1. Mamedyarov
2. Karjakin
2. Carlsen
4. Giri
4. Navara
4. Radjabov
7. Topalov
7. Ding
9. Mamedov
9. Wojtaszek

Apr-14-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: So no Kramnik

Here my bets for Gashimov memorial:

1. Carlsen
2. Mamedyarov
3. Ding
4. Giri
5. Mamedov
6. Wojtaszek
7. Karjakin
8. Navara
9. Topalov
10. Radjabov

Apr-14-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  YouRang: Thanks <lostemperor>. Here we go:

1. Carlsen
2. Karjakin
3. Ding
3. Mamedyarov
5. Giri
6. Topalov
7. Navara
8. Radjabov
9. Wojtaszek
10. Mamedov

Apr-15-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Pimping up my predictions:

1. Carlsen
2. Mamedyarov
3. Ding
4. Giri
5. Mamedov
5. Wojtaszek
5. Karjakin
8. Navara
9. Topalov
10. Radjabov

Apr-15-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp:
1. Carlsen
1. Mamedyarov
3. Ding
3. Giri
5. Karjakin
6. Mamedov
7. Radjabov
7. Topalov
9. Wojtaszek
10. Navara
Apr-16-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: 1. Carlsen
1. Mamedyarov
3. Ding
4. Mamedov
5. Giri
5. Karjakin
7. Topalov
7. Radjabov
7. Wojtaszek
10. Navara
Apr-17-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: I don't feel the upside-down magic, but it's not like the regular method is working for me.

1. Wojtaszek
2. Navara
3. Radjabov
4. Topalov
5. Mamedov
6. Giri
7. Karjakin
8. Ding Liren
9. Carlsen
9. Mamedyarov

Apr-17-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  whiteshark: Here we go:

1. Carlsen
2. Mamedyarov
3. Ding
3. Giri
3. Karjakin
6. Wojtaszek
6. Navara
8. Topalov
8. Radjabov
8. Mamedov

Apr-18-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Hi <lostemperor>

1. Carlsen
2. Mamedyarov
3. Ding
4. Karjakin
5. Giri
5. Topalov
7. Radjabov
7. Mamedov
9. Navara
9. Wojtaszek

Good luck to everybody.

Apr-18-18  Aurora:

1. Giri
2. Karjakin
2. Carlsen
4. Mamedyarov
4. Navara
4. Wojtaszek
7. Topalov
7. Ding
9. Mamedov
9. Radjabov

Apr-18-18  chessmoron: 1. Carlsen
2. Mamedyarov
2. Karjakin
4. Ding
4. Giri
4. Topalov
7. Navara
7. Wojtaszek
9. Radjabov
9. Mamedov
Apr-19-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan:  
1. Carlsen
2. Ding
3. Karjakin
4. Giri
5. Mamedyarov
6. Topalov
7. Navara
8. Wojtaszek
9. Radjabov
10. Mamedov
Apr-19-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: 1.Mamedyarov
2.Giri
2.Carlsen
4.Ding
5.Radjabov
5.Karjakin
7.Topalov
8.Wojtaszek
8.Mamedov
10.Navara

Good "luck" to all !

Apr-19-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: The tournament started about 4.5 hours ago.
Apr-20-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks all! Will have the first results in soon..
Apr-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <GASHIMOV MEMORIAL

<After three rounds of only draws, Topalov scored a win in round 4!

<Round 1

Topalov-Radjabov 1/2
Giri-Karjakin 1/2
Ding-Wojtaszek 1/2
Mamedyarov-Carlsen 1/2
Navara-Mamedov 1/2

Round 2

Radjabov-Mamedov 1/2
Carlsen-Navara 1/2
Wojtaszek-Mamedyarov 1/2
Karjakin-Ding 1/2
Topalov-Giri 1/2

Round 3

Giri-Radjabov 1/2
Ding-Topalov 1/2
Mamedyarov-Karjakin 1/2
Navara-Wojtaszek 1/2
Mamedov-Carlsen 1/2

Round 4:

Radjabov - Carlsen 1/2
Wojtaszek - Mamedov 1/2
Karjakin - Navara 1/2
Topalov - Mamedyarov 1-0
Giri - Ding 1/2

<standings:
1. Topalov
2. Carlsen
2. karjakin
2. Mamedov
2. Radjabov
2. Ding
2. Navara
2. Giri
2. Wojtaschek
10. Mamedyarov>
>
>
>

Apr-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SHAMKIR CHESS
♔♕♖ THE PREDICTIONS

ABSOLUTER RANKER 4

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

27,Penguincw
18,chessmoron
17,alfamikewhiskey
17,Aurora
17,Golden Executive
17,Keyser Soze
17,lostemperor
17,moronovich
17,paavoh
17,SwitchingQuylthulg
17,WannaBe
17,wordfunph
~~~~
16,chancho
16,Count Wedgemore
16,cromat
16,offramp
16,OhioChessFan
16,whiteshark
16,WinKing
16,YouRang

Apr-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 4

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID
257,Penguincw
198,OhioChessFan
189,Keyser Soze
~~~~
188,alfamikewhiskey
188,Aurora
188,chessmoron
185,YouRang
177,Golden Executive
175,Count Wedgemore
169,wordfunph
159,paavoh
155,moronovich
155,offramp
155,WinKing
153,chancho
153,cromat
152,SwitchingQuylthulg
152,WannaBe
149,whiteshark
146,lostemperor

Apr-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER

Earnings,UserID

$142.92,Penguincw
$40.68,alfamikewhiskey
$24.58,WannaBe
~~~~
$16.12,moronovich
$15.43,lostemperor
$9.88,Count Wedgemore
$-2.66,Aurora
$-5.67,wordfunph
$-9.46,whiteshark
$-10.12,OhioChessFan
$-13.45,Keyser Soze
$-16.12,chessmoron
$-17.21,paavoh
$-19.45,Golden Executive
$-20.13,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-22.21,WinKing
$-23.45,YouRang
$-28.46,offramp
$-30.54,cromat
$-30.67,chancho

Apr-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$20.00,Carlsen-equal-Giri, moronovich

$20.00,Ding-equal-Navara, alfamikewhiskey

$20.00,Giri-equal-Navara, WannaBe

$20.00,Karjakin-equal-Mamedov, lostemperor

$20.00,Karjakin-equal-Navara, alfamikewhiskey

$20.00,Karjakin-equal-Radjabov, moronovich

$20.00,Karjakin-equal-Wojtaschek, lostemperor

$20.00,Mamedov-above-Mamedyarov, Penguincw

$20.00,Radjabov-above-Mamedyarov, Penguincw

$20.00,Topalov-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$20.00,Topalov-above-Ding, Penguincw

$20.00,Topalov-above-Karjakin, Penguincw

$20.00,Topalov-above-Mamedyarov, Penguincw

$20.00,Wojtaschek-above-Mamedyarov, Penguincw

Apr-22-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Peculiar rankings after just one win in 4 rounds. <Penguincw> strategy of reversed predictions is working for now! Five more rounds..
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