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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Jun-19-17

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<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' GAME FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

Next tournament projected: <NORWAY CHESS>

Format to post your predictions

1. Carlsen
1. So
3. Caruana
4. Kramnik
5.Vachier-Lagrave
5. Anand
5. Nakamura
8.Karjakin
9.Aronian
9.Giri

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

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♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

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♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 6696 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jun-19-17 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Thanks <chessmoron> and <OhioChessFan>
 
   Jun-19-17 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Another Bronze! Thanks <Golden Executive>
 
   Jun-17-17 Altibox Norway (2017) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Congratulations to the winners of the Final Standings Predictions at my forum of Norway top tournament: <wordfunph>♔♔♕, <scout118>♔♔, <FSR>♔ <JimNorCal>♕ <WannaBe>♖, <offramp>♖.
 
   Jun-17-17 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Norway 2017 was hard fought and up shaking! Congratulations to <wordfunph>♔♔♕, <scout118>♔♔, <FSR>♔ for the #1 spots! One Crown is included in the Hall of Fame, soon to be updated! Fine second <JimNorCal>♕ in ...
 
   Jan-27-17 Wei Yi (replies)
 
lostemperor: Happy Chinese New Year! The signs are superb with Wei Yi on second place in Tata Steel Chess, Wesley So on 1, Xiong at first place in Tata B group and Ju Wenjun in first place in Gibraltar Tradewise master (4/4)!
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 224 OF 224 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jun-16-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 8

Earnings,UserID

$38.49,JimNorCal
$33.05,Robin01
$32.70,chessmoron
~~~~
$29.18,wordfunph
$16.43,scout118
$10.23,FSR
$9.65,alfamikewhiskey
$8.90,offramp
$7.06,WannaBe
$-0.02,john barleycorn
$-2.67,The Wanderer
$-4.79,Penguincw
$-5.33,lostemperor
$-7.67,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-7.75,Aurora
$-7.84,cromat
$-11.57,WinKing
$-14.19,OhioChessFan
$-16.37,paavoh
$-17.55,blade2012
$-19.01,moronovich
$-22.19,Golden Executive
$-22.62,whiteshark
$-26.13,Keyser Soze

Jun-16-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$24.00,Anand-equal-Vachier, scout118

$24.00,Aronian-above-Carlsen, JimNorCal

$24.00,Carlsen-equal-Caruana, chessmoron

$24.00,Kraqmnik-above-Carlsen, WannaBe

$24.00,Nakamura-above-Carlsen, Robin01

Jun-16-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Four unique leaders in the different predictions' rankers, with most of the the pack very close together in Norway going into the final round!
Jun-16-17  paavoh: Thanks <lostemperor>, you are doing a big service by hosting this contest, As long as you have the data, take your time.

Best wishes,
paavoh

Jun-16-17  JimNorCal: My first participation, fun!
Thanks, LostEmperor.

I accurately predicted Aronian! My other 9 were pretty much all wrong :)

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <NORWAY 2017 FINAL UPDATE

<Aronian wins the tournament, good old Kramnik, with another win and Nakamura despite a last round loss, second!!

<Kramnik - Giri 1-0
Karjakin - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2
Caruana - Nakamura 1-0
So - Aronian 1/2
Anand - Carlsen 1/2

<standings:
1. Aronian
2. Nakamura
2. Kramnik
4. Caruana
4. So
4. Giri
7. Vachier
7. Anand
7. Carlsen
10. Karjakin>
>
>
>

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: THE PREDICTIONS
ABSOLUTE RANKER FINAL

Score,UserID

♔23,FSR
♔23,scout118
♔23,wordfunph
~~~~
21,offramp
20,JimNorCal
19,Robin01
18,chessmoron
17,Golden Executive
17,paavoh
17,WinKing
16,Aurora
16,cromat
16,Penguincw
15,The Wanderer
15,WannaBe
14,OhioChessFan
12,john barleycorn
12,whiteshark
11,blade2012
11,lostemperor
10,Keyser Soze
9,moronovich
8,alfamikewhiskey
8,SwitchingQuylthulg

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: NORWAY SQUARE RANKER FINAL

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

221,scout118♔
220,wordfunph♕
205,offramp♖
~~~~
204,FSR
190,Robin01
187,Golden Executive
186,chessmoron
183,WinKing
178,JimNorCal
174,cromat
168,OhioChessFan
165,Aurora
159,paavoh
153,WannaBe
151,The Wanderer
146,Penguincw
145,lostemperor
140,whiteshark
138,blade2012
122,john barleycorn
117,alfamikewhiskey
113,SwitchingQuylthulg
109,moronovich
95,Keyser Soze

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: NORWAY PAIR BETTING RANKER FINAL

Earnings,UserID

$45.59,wordfunph♔
$35.67,JimNorCal♕
$35.36,WannaBe♖
~~~~
$32.05,Robin01
$19.33,scout118
$7.77,alfamikewhiskey
$6.12,Golden Executive
$3.90,offramp
$3.70,chessmoron
$-1.17,FSR
$-3.61,john barleycorn
$-5.72,cromat
$-7.37,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-8.92,lostemperor
$-9.27,The Wanderer
$-9.79,Penguincw
$-11.15,Aurora
$-13.48,paavoh
$-13.48,OhioChessFan
$-14.98,WinKing
$-19.73,whiteshark
$-22.67,blade2012
$-23.24,Keyser Soze
$-24.90,moronovich

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$24.00,Anand-equal-Vachier, scout118
Jackpot!!

$24.00,Aronian-above-Carlsen, JimNorCal
Jackpot!!

$24.00,Caruana-above-Carlsen, WannaBe
Jackpot!!

$24.00,Caruana-equal-So, Golden Executive
Jackpot!!

$24.00,Giri-equal-So, wordfunph
Jackpot!!

$24.00,Kramnik-above-Carlsen, WannaBe
Jackpot!!

$24.00,Nakamura-above-Carlsen, Robin01
Jackpot!!

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Missed chances
$0.00,Anand-equal-Carlsen, (0 winners)
$0.00,Carlsen-equal-Vachier, (0 winners)
$0.00,Giri-above-Carlsen, (0 winners)
$0.00,Kramnik-above-So, (0 winners)
$0.00,Kramnik-equal-Nakamura, (0 winners)
Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Norway 2017 was hard fought and up shaking!

Congratulations to <wordfunph>♔♔♕, <scout118>♔♔, <FSR>♔ for the #1 spots! One Crown is included in the Hall of Fame, soon to be updated!

Fine second <JimNorCal>♕ in the pair bettings with a correct tournament winner prediction ARONIAN and Jackpot Aronian ABOVE Carlsen; <WannaBe>♖ scoring a double Jackpot to get the Bronze there in what seems to be the ranker he owns! <offramp> got the Bronze in the square ranker!

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: < moronovich: 1. Carlsen 2. Vachier-Lagrave
2. Caruana
4. Karjakin
4. So
4. Aronian
7. Anand
7. Nakamura
9. Kramnik
9. Giri>

As one of my teachers said:"If you can not be anything to others,you can at least be a bad example ;)

A lot of thanks to <lostemperor> for once again hosting and doing a fine job,and congrats to all the winners !

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: Many many thank, User: lostemperor. And best wishes to the winners and all players.
Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: I meant THANKS.
Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  scout118: Didn't expect to win, much less 2 ♔♔! Thanks for the game and all the work,<lostemperor>.
Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  whiteshark: Thanks to <lostemperor> for managing yet annother successful final standings contest, and congratulations to all the winners!
Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Thanks <lostemperor> hosting another great contest, congrats to all the winners, and hope to see you next time.

Which I guess would be Dortmund, Biel or Sinquefield.

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thanks <lostemperor> for running & hosting another very exciting contest! The standings were in doubt all the way till the final round.

Congratulations to all of the medal winners! Kudos to <scout118> (2 Golds) & <wordfunph> (2 Golds, 1 Silver). <wordfunph> almost another 'Triple Crown' way to go bro. <scout118> is now a member of the 'Daily Double' club(at least one gold in 2 of the 3 prediction contests). Did I forget someone...oh yeah <FSR>. Welcome to the Hall of Fame my man! You always remember your first Gold! Been a long time coming. :)

Hope to see you all at the next event!

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks Yoda
Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  FSR: Thanks for hosting, and for the congratulations, <lostemperor>! I had no idea that I was in the running for anything! My predictions seemed to me to have done pretty badly (e.g., Carlsen first).

<WinKing> Thanks!

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: <lost emperor> great thanks, see you all next time.

cheers to all winners!

Jun-18-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Woo woo I bronzed. And first timer <JimNorCal> Silvered in the Betting Ranker. =))

Thanks for hosting and accepting my badly number predictions. <lostemperor>.

Jun-19-17  cromat: Thanks to <lostemperor> for managing the contest, and congratulations to the winners and all participants!
Jul-13-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: A belated thanks to <lostemperor> for running another great contest and congratulations to all the medal winners!

See you gals and guys next time!

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