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Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Apr-25-14

This is the forum where you can post your predictions for the Final Standings of big tournaments.

Next tournament

Tournament finished

Candidates 2014

Here an example how to post your predicitons:<

1. Aronian
1. Kramnik
3. Anand
4. Topalov
5. Svidler
6. Mamedyarov
7. Karjakin
7. Andreikin


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the finals standings of a tournament. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants. This is invented by YouRang

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers. Don't miss his YouRang chessforum game results prediction contest during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>







KKKQQRsuenteus po 147




KQWhere is my mind


KGolden Executive
KSoUnwiseTheKnight B4
KLike a GM

K Gold
Q Silver
R Bronze

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections. Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 5413 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Apr-08-14 lostemperor chessforum
lostemperor: I figured it was since it was on April 1st. It would not be bad for one round though:)
   Apr-01-14 World Chess Championship Candidates (2014) (replies)
lostemperor: Prediction contest winners Final Standings CANDIDATES 2014: Penguincw K BobbieM Q WannaBe
   Mar-31-14 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
lostemperor: Thanks <chessmoron> and <OhioChessFan> for again a fun time in the number of moves prediciton contest. Congratulations to the winners. The competition was fierce again.
   Mar-31-14 YouRang chessforum (replies)
lostemperor: Thanks for another enjoyable time in the contest <YouRang> and congratulations for winning some nice medals yourself what we know is hard in your own forum! It was a tough contest and congratulations too all winners!
   Mar-11-14 Kibitzer's Café (replies)
lostemperor: In absence of a Candidates' tournamant page here also an anouncement for the tournament prediction contest in at my forum
   Feb-05-14 Zurich Chess Challenge (2014) (replies)
lostemperor: Chess is a cruel game. One move CAN make a difference. Had Nakamura played almost any other move than 37. d6 in aforementioned game he would have won the game. Not only that but he could have won the tournament also if the rapids stayed the same see: Here the final standings ...
   Jan-31-14 Carlsen vs Gelfand, 2014 (replies)
lostemperor: Carlsen opened the Chinese Year of the Horse with 26. Nc2! Happy New Year <;)
   Jan-31-14 Carlsen vs Aronian, 2014 (replies)
lostemperor: So in the first 2801 tournament this is is the first 2850 battle (2875 vs 2825 in today's live ratings)! We may expect the most perfect chess in what is humanly possible <;)
   Jan-28-14 Anish Giri (replies)
lostemperor: Excellent performance from Anish Giri!! Yesterday Giri gave a simultaneous display with Sergei Karjakin and Tiviakov in the big town hall of The Hague! Giri performed best with only one loss and one draw against 40, often strong, opponents. Karjakin had 5 draws ...
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.


Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 156 OF 156 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Premium Chessgames Member


*$16.44,WannaBe Q
$15.76,Karposian R
$10.70,Billy Vaughan
$-4.01,Golden Executive
$-13.89,The Last Straw

Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners


$23.00,Andreikin-above-Aronian, Penguincw

$23.00,Aronian-equal-Svidler, Billy Vaughan

$23.00,Karjakin-above-Aronian, WannaBe

$23.00,kramnik-equal-Mamedyarov, Karposian



$11.50,Anand-above-Aronian, Penguincw + whiteshark

$11.50,Andreikin-above-Topalov, BobbieM + moronovich

$11.50,Andreikin-equal-Mamedyarov, Golden Executive + SwitchingQuylthulg


$7.67,Anand-above-Karjakin, babakova + Penguincw + whiteshark

$7.67,Anand-above-kramnik, cromat + Karposian + Penguincw

$7.67,Andreikin-above-Svidler, KKDEREK + lostemperor + Penguincw

$7.67,Mamedyarov-above-Topalov, lostemperor + OhioChessFan + YouRang

Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: An impressive victory for <Penguincw> K winning all three rankers in a very tough contest with daring predictions!

<Penguincw> was right on ANAND 1st, ANDREIKIN 3-5 (4th) and very close on ARONIAN 6/7 (5-7)!

Second place for <WannaBe> Q (a better medal in the Square Ranker than in the Absolute (Bronze)) who overtake Predictions' Title Holder <YouRang> in the Hall of Fame! He was pessimistic about his chances but fine risky predictions made him get Silver in the Pair betting Ranker (higher than third in the Absolute ranker)!

Same also goes for <WinKing> Q in the Square Ranker!

Bronze for <Karposian> R!

Congratulations and thanks all for joining!

Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: A quick look at <YouRang> forum tells me that the next big tournament is <the Norway Chess Norway Chess 2014>:

Dates: June 2-13

Players: Carlsen, Aronian, Kramnik, Topalov, Caruana, Karjakin, Svidler, Grischuk, and 2 others to make a total of 10.


Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thanks for running & hosting this contest <lostemperor>.

Congratulations to all of the medal winners! Special kudos to <Penguincw> on leading in every category!!! You were a virtual prediction monster...I mean that in a good sense of course.

Mar-30-14  Penguincw: Wow! Even I didn't see that coming, and I made the predictions. The second "all-gold" tournament for me (now if only I could come up with a triple crown in YouRang's contest). Well, thanks for hosting, congratulations to the "consolation winners", and see you next time.
Premium Chessgames Member
  Karposian: <Penguincw> What a fantastic performance. Congratulations.

Thanks so much <lostemperor> for a great contest. I must say I am already looking forward to the Norway Chess tournament!

Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks Yoda
Premium Chessgames Member
  The Last Straw: Wheee!! 3rd last. Hooray!

Anyway, thanks <lostemperor> for holding ths contest and congratulations to all of the winners.

Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: <lostemperor> Thank you! Thank you! Thank you.

Wow, Wooo Hooo!! Did not expect this (result) at all! =) Go Norway Chess Tournament!

Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Thanks <lostemperor> for hosting and running.

Congratulations to all the medal winners! and especially <Penguincw>, just awesome.

See you guys next time.

Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: Thanks for hosting <lostemperor> and congratulations to <Penguincw> for a fantastic performance and a well earned tripple victory.

See you all at the next tournamentt.

Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Of course in my final report I forgot to mention <BobbieM> Q who came second in the Absolute ranker!:)
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Only as little as two pairs were not predicited in the unlikely standings (just to show how well we have done :))

$0.00,Andreikin-equal-kramnik, (0 winners)
$0.00,Mamedyarov-above-Aronian, (0 winners)

For future reference here the standings as it should be according to the chess ELO ratings at the start of the tournament

1. Aronian 2830
2. Kramnik 2787
2. Topalov 2785
4. Anand 2770
4. Karjakin 2766
6. Svidler 2758
6. Mamedyarov 2757
8. Andreikin 2709

Premium Chessgames Member
  YouRang: Thanks for running the contest <lostemperor>. I see that my bid for medals all faded rapidly toward the end. Usually that only happens in my contest.

Congrats to <Penguincw> for the brilliant prediction, and <WannaBe> for grabbing the top career medals spot (grr.)

Apr-01-14  BobbieM: Thanks for this, considering this was my first time predicting, I came second in a chart, so that must mean something.

Can er, someone explain to me my achievements? lol

Apr-01-14  BobbieM: Ok, I've actually read some of the blurb now. My main error was over estimating Aronian and completely dismissing Vishy. Never again!
Apr-01-14  Everyone: <Breaking news:

< World Championship 2014 in Norway >>

They waited to see who would be the challenger. When it became clear that it was Anand the Norwegian government made an express bid to FIDE to stage the event in World Champion Magnus Carlsen's home country. The dates are not fixed, but the venue is and it is spectacular: the match will be played on oil rig in the North Sea! We have an interview with the Norwegian Oil and Energy minister.


Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks. This is not April's fool joke? :)
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Hey, they had it on top of New York, why not an oil rig!
Apr-02-14  positionalgenius: What will be the Next event with predictions, <emperor>?
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <positionalgenius> This is next strong tournament: Starting June 2nd. The 10 players are not complete yet but so far this is the line up

1. Carlsen
2. Aronian
3. Kramnik
4. Topalov
5. Caruana
6. Grischuk
7. Karjakin
8. Svidler
9. ?
10. ?

Two Norwegian players are playing a match for one place and then another is open still. I hope for Nakamura or Wang Hao. Or Anand of course although I don't think he wants to play in Norway already ;)

Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Meanwhile, I read, there will be a Vugar Gashimov Memorial on April 20 in Azerbaijan A very strong field but with just 6 players it is less interesting for a prediction contest.
Premium Chessgames Member
  The Last Straw: <lostemperor: This is not a joke?> <Everyone> just reposted an April Fool's joke that was published on ChessBase. :)
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I figured it was since it was on April 1st. It would not be bad for one round though:)
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