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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Jan-24-17

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<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' GAME FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

Next tournament projected: <TATA STEEL CHESS> January 14

Format to post your predictions

1. Carlsen
1. So
3. Aronian
3. Karjakin
5. Giri
5. Harikrishna
5. Nepomniachtchi
8. Eljanov
9. Wojtaszek
10. Andreikin
11.Rapport
12. Wei
12. Van Wely
12. Adhiban

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 372 chessbucks
[what is this?]

   lostemperor has kibitzed 6577 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jan-24-17 OhioChessFan chessforum
 
lostemperor: So - Aronian surely first to finish in a rapid 38 moves. No cigar for me but 10 points for <Golden Executive> and <WinKing>! :o
 
   Jan-23-17 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Round 5 So - Aronian 1/2 Wojtaszek - Karjakin 1/2 Andreikin - Eljanov 1/2 Wei - Adhiban 1/2 Nepomniachtchi - Harikrishna 1/2 Carlsen - Van Wely 1-0 Giri - Rapport 1-0
 
   Jan-23-17 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $22.00,Adhiban-above-Wojtazcek, chessmoron $22.00,Aronian-equal-Carlsen, scout118 $22.00,Eljanov-above-Carlsen, tuttifrutty $22.00,Eljanov-above-Nepomniatchi, scout118 $22.00,Wei Yi-above-Carlsen, tuttifrutty ...
 
   Jan-12-17 Tata Steel (2017) (replies)
 
lostemperor: You can predict Tata steel final standings at my forum and join the prediction contest!
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 217 OF 217 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Three different leaders in the rankers. I am doing great with 9 rounds and three rest days to go!
Jan-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Well, I'm in my typical top/bottom 3 in the Race for the Triple Clown, anyway. Here's the top/bottom 3:

<lostemperor> 7

<chessmoron> 14

<OhioChessFan> 17

Jan-18-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: How did you get those numbers <OhioChessFan>?
Jan-18-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I start counting from the bottom of the standings in the 3 Rankers, and add them up. You are 3rd from the bottom in Absolute, 2nd in Square and 2nd in pair, giving you 7 points. I've been on an epically bad run in all 3 contests, so inventing such diversions to categorize just how bad I'm doing is one of my few amusements.
Jan-20-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <♔♕♖TATA STEEL CHESS <ROUND 5

<Eljanov - Aronian 0-1
Karjakin - Adhiban 0-1
So - Harikrishna 1-0
Wojtaszek - Van Wely 1-0
Andreikin - Rapport 1/2
Wei - Giri 1/2
Nepomniachtchi - Carlsen 1/2

<Standings:
1. So
2. Carlsen
2. Eljanov
4. Aronian
5. Harikrishna
5. WeiYi
5. Andreikin
5. Giri
5. Karjakin
5. Wojtazcek
11. Nepomniatchi
11. Adhiban
13. Rapport
14. VanWely>
>
>
>

Jan-20-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ABSOLUTE RANKER 5

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID

72,SwitchingQuylthulg
71,scout118
67,moronovich
67,wtwz
~~~~
66,Aurora
66,WinKing
64,Golden Executive
64,Keyser Soze
64,Robin01
63,offramp
62,whiteshark
62,wordfunph
61,paavoh
59,chessmoron
59,lostemperor
59,Penguincw
59,WannaBe
58,YouRang
56,alfamikewhiskey
55,cromat
55,OhioChessFan
54,tuttifrutty

Jan-20-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 5

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID

832,scout118
800,SwitchingQuylthulg
788,Aurora
788,Keyser Soze
~~~~
785,Golden Executive
774,Robin01
767,offramp
765,moronovich
762,Penguincw
762,wtwz
747,WinKing
741,YouRang
739,whiteshark
737,chessmoron
735,wordfunph
733,cromat
731,paavoh
730,alfamikewhiskey
728,OhioChessFan
717,WannaBe
700,lostemperor
642,tuttifrutty

Jan-20-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 5

Earnings,UserID

$53.66,WannaBe
$39.37,SwitchingQuylthulg
$37.04,scout118
~~~~
$23.63,Golden Executive
$19.88,wtwz
$7.99,moronovich
$7.92,WinKing
$3.36,Penguincw
$-1.81,Keyser Soze
$-4.90,offramp
$-6.69,Aurora
$-10.80,Robin01
$-12.28,chessmoron
$-13.23,OhioChessFan
$-14.30,whiteshark
$-14.45,YouRang
$-15.34,alfamikewhiskey
$-15.58,tuttifrutty
$-17.49,paavoh
$-19.44,cromat
$-21.09,wordfunph
$-25.45,lostemperor

Jan-20-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$22.00,Adhiban-equal-Nepomniatchi, SwitchingQuylthulg

$22.00,Andreikin-equal-Giri, WinKing

$22.00,Eljanov-above-Nepomniatchi, scout118

$22.00,Giri-equal-Karjakin, Golden Executive

$22.00,Giri-equal-WeiYi, WannaBe

$22.00,Giri-equal-Wojtazcek, WannaBe

Jan-20-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Still holding to my top spot, upside down. The Tata Steel standings is somewhat according to rating expectations and although I usually regrets some picks I have made, I do not so much now :)
Jan-20-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: No, you've been surpassed by <tuttifruitti> The current standings are:

<tuttifruitti> 7

<lostemperor> 9

<cromat> 12

Jan-21-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <♔♕♖<TATA STEEL CHESS ROUND 6

<Another great day in Wijk aan Zee (rhyming)

<Aronian - Carlsen 1/2
Giri - Nepomniachtchi 1-0
Rapport - Wei 0-1
Van Wely - Andreikin 1/2
Harikrishna - Wojtaszek 1/2
Adhiban - So 1/2
Eljanov - Karjakin 1/2

<Standings:
1. So 4.5
2. Carlsen 4
2. Eljanov
4. Aronian 3.5
4. Giri
4. Wei Yi
7. Andreikin 3
7. Harikrishna
7. Karjakin
7. Wojtazcek
11. Adhiban 2.5
12. Nepomniatchi 2
13. Rapport 1.5
14. Van Wely 1 >
>
>
>

Jan-21-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID

70,scout118
67,SwitchingQuylthulg
65,moronovich
~~~~
63,Golden Executive
63,Keyser Soze
62,Aurora
62,Penguincw
62,whiteshark
62,wtwz
61,Robin01
59,WinKing
58,offramp
58,paavoh
58,wordfunph
57,chessmoron
54,YouRang
53,cromat
52,lostemperor
52,WannaBe
51,OhioChessFan
49,alfamikewhiskey
49,tuttifrutty

Jan-21-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 6

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID

816,scout118
776,Golden Executive
769,Keyser Soze
~~~~
763,Penguincw
760,SwitchingQuylthulg
750,Aurora
750,moronovich
746,Robin01
734,offramp
724,whiteshark
716,wordfunph
711,wtwz
708,chessmoron
706,OhioChessFan
706,paavoh
705,YouRang
701,WinKing
689,WannaBe
688,cromat
673,alfamikewhiskey
647,lostemperor
594,tuttifrutty

Jan-21-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 6

Earnings,UserID

$33.87,Penguincw
$33.21,scout118
$31.66,moronovich
~~~~
$27.97,WannaBe
$20.88,wtwz
$19.66,SwitchingQuylthulg
$6.70,Keyser Soze
$5.99,paavoh
$5.74,Golden Executive
$-4.49,Robin01
$-4.72,OhioChessFan
$-6.21,chessmoron
$-13.01,tuttifrutty
$-13.24,offramp
$-14.22,whiteshark
$-15.57,cromat
$-16.98,wordfunph
$-17.04,YouRang
$-17.23,Aurora
$-19.65,alfamikewhiskey
$-20.42,WinKing
$-22.88,lostemperor

Jan-21-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$22.00,Aronian-equal-Giri, paavoh

$22.00,Eljanov-above-Nepomniatchi, scout118

$22.00,Giri-above-Karjakin, moronovich

$22.00,Giri-equal-Wei Yi, WannaBe

$22.00,Wei Yi-above-Harikrishna, Penguincw

Jan-21-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Wow, even if its only for 1 round, and by $0.66, surprised to be in 1st.

< $22.00,Wei Yi-above-Harikrishna, Penguincw >

Also surprised that is a jackpot.

Jan-23-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <♔♕♖TATA STEEL CHESS ROUND 7, 8

<A beautiful weekend at the sea side!<

Round 7
Karjakin, S. - Aronian, L. 1-0
So, W. - Eljanov, P. -
Wojtaszek, R. - Adhiban, B. 0-1
Andreikin, D. - Harikrishna, P. -
Wei, Y. - Van Wely, L. 1-0
Nepomniachtchi, I. - Rapport, R. -
Carlsen, M. - Giri, A. -

Round 8
Aronian, L. - Giri, A. 1-0
Rapport, R. - Carlsen, M. 1-0
Van Wely, L. - Nepomniachtchi, I. -
Harikrishna, P. - Wei, Y. -
Adhiban, B. - Andreikin, D. 1-0
Eljanov, P. - Wojtaszek, R. -
Karjakin, S. - So, W. -

<Standings:
1. So
2. Eljanov
2. Wei Yi
4. Aronian
4. Adhiban
4. Carlsen
4. Karjakin
8. Harikrishna
8. Giri
10. Wojtazcek
10. Andreikin
12. Rapport
12. Nepomniatchi
14. Van Wely>
>
>
>

Jan-23-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS 8

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID

60,scout118
55,Golden Executive
54,Keyser Soze
54,Penguincw
~~~~
53,offramp
53,SwitchingQuylthulg
52,wtwz
51,Aurora
51,moronovich
51,whiteshark
50,paavoh
50,Robin01
50,WinKing
50,wordfunph
46,YouRang
45,chessmoron
45,OhioChessFan
44,alfamikewhiskey
44,WannaBe
42,cromat
41,lostemperor
40,tuttifrutty

Jan-23-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 8

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID

739,scout118
704,Penguincw
684,SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
682,Golden Executive
680,Keyser Soze
668,offramp
660,Aurora
649,Robin01
646,wordfunph
644,chessmoron
641,whiteshark
639,WannaBe
634,paavoh
630,wtwz
628,OhioChessFan
622,YouRang
620,moronovich
617,WinKing
586,alfamikewhiskey
574,cromat
544,tuttifrutty
528,lostemperor

Jan-23-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 8

Earnings,UserID

$59.47,scout118
$50.36,Penguincw
$26.47,SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
$25.80,tuttifrutty
$18.77,WannaBe
$18.15,wtwz
$7.83,chessmoron
$2.77,Keyser Soze
$-1.13,Golden Executive
$-4.98,OhioChessFan
$-8.26,offramp
$-8.72,WinKing
$-11.47,Robin01
$-12.07,YouRang
$-12.26,Aurora
$-17.42,whiteshark
$-18.16,moronovich
$-19.08,wordfunph
$-19.50,cromat
$-19.58,paavoh
$-28.27,lostemperor
$-28.73,alfamikewhiskey

Jan-23-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$22.00,Adhiban-above-Wojtazcek, chessmoron

$22.00,Aronian-equal-Carlsen, scout118

$22.00,Eljanov-above-Carlsen, tuttifrutty

$22.00,Eljanov-above-Nepomniatchi, scout118

$22.00,Wei Yi-above-Carlsen, tuttifrutty

$22.00,Wei Yi-above-Giri, Penguincw

$22.00,Wei Yi-above-Harikrishna, Penguincw

Jan-23-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Never fail to amaze me (quite easy to do, actually), how different betting ranker is to the other 2.

Take moi, for example, near bottom in the "Absolute", middle in the "Square", but only a bit out of a medal in the "Pair Betting". =)

Jan-23-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Current bottom 3 for the Triple Clown:

<lostemperor> 5

<amw> 9

<cromat> 10

Jan-23-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: <OCF> Well, to be fair, your method is different than the "Absolute Method" Triple Stooges. I <WON> mine fair and square (no pun intended based on the square ranking category).

You can't take (or try to share) my honour away. Dang it. =))

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