User Profile: lostemperor

lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen May-19-13

<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION GAME FORUM>
Predict the final standings of tournaments.
8 years ago kibitzers started predicting the final outcome of a tournament on the tournament page. I then developed a simple but brand new system to calculate all standings of the tournament participants into a prediction ranking.
In progress: Norway tournament May 7
http://norwaychess.com/en/supertour...
Here an example on how to post your predictions:
1. Carlsen
2. Aronian
3. Radjabov
4. Anand
4. Karjakin
6. Topalov
6. Nakamura
6. Svidler
6. Hao
10. Hammer
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants. This is invented by YouRang
There are virtual-contestants <ELO>, the rating order and <CHESSBOOKIE>, the Chess Bookie game odds order here.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers. Don't miss his YouRang chessforum game results prediction contest during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
From a medalist there.
(and counting ;))
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Cheers.
***
<HALL <OF> FAME>
~~~~
YouRang
WannaBe
~~~~~~
SwitchingQuylthulg
WannaBe
~~~~
Aurora
cromat
suenteus po 147
~~~~
percyblakeney
rogge
chessmoron
lostemperor
yalie
Ragh
Ezzy
SloVice
positionalgenius
amadeus
~~~~
Diademas
Where is my mind
ahmadov
Appaz
CHESSBOOKIE
nimh
Montreal1666
Troewa
~~~~
WinKing
Penguincw
NGambit
benjinathan
DCP23
firebyrd
kellmano
Stonehenge
cu8sfan
larrewl
babakova
djmercury
mikejaqua
Joshka,
SnoopDogg
Like a GM

Gold
Silver
Bronze

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 5088 times to chessgames [more...]

   May-18-13 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <King Sacrificer> putting Hammer over Karjakin was was daring alright!;)

   May-18-13 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Thanks <chessmoron> and <Elvis>. It was fun as always. Also <WinKing> for helping checking results B-)

   May-18-13 YouRang chessforum

lostemperor: Thanks <YouRang>! Another two Bronze to my tally. Congrats to all winners and especially <OhioChessFan> but also <poorpatzer> who were pretty impressive!:)

   May-18-13 Norway Chess Tournament (2013)

lostemperor: <anandrulez> that commentator is the Dutch editor (in chief) of New in Chess Dirk-Jan ten Geuzendam (very hard to pronounce correctly as in Euwe). He is very well known (to the chess experts) for his interviews of all major players from Botvinnik to Carlsen. His most ...

   May-17-13 Carlsen vs Wang Hao, 2013

lostemperor: Wow, what a great performance of Wang Hao against Carlsen to beat him in the endgame what is Carlsen specialty. A historical game also afer being the first Chinese beating the World Champion Anand in January now also the first Chinese to beat the world number one/world's record ...

   Apr-01-13 World Championship Candidates (2013)

lostemperor: How about this: Ivanchuk will blunder but only after Carlsen has no slim winning chances anymore.

indicates a reply to the comment.

NORWAY STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 140 OF 140 · Later Kibitzing>
May-15-13		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $20.00,Anand-above-Topalov, twinlark $20.00,Nakamura-above-Topalov, WinKing $6.67,Hao-equal-Radjabov, Golden Executive + isemeria + SwitchingQuylthulg $5.00,Anand-equal-Aronian, crazybird + Ezzy + LucB + WannaBe $5.00,Karjakin-above-Anand, Diademas + isemeria + OhioChessFan + suenteus po 147

May-17-13		lostemperor: <ROUND 8 UPDATE <Good games in Norway but this time not from Carlsen and Karjakin but from Wang Hao and Svidler! Four decisive games! < Carlsen - Wang Hao 0-1 Topalov - Aronian 1/2 Anand - Hammer 1-0 Nakamura - Radjabov 1-0 Svidler - Karjakin 1-0 <standings: 1. Karjakin 2. Carlsen 2. Anand 4. Aronian 4. Nakamura 4. Svidler 7. Topalov 7. Hao 9. Radjabov 10. Hammer>>>>

May-17-13		lostemperor: Tomorrow is an early day so Im off to bed and be back for the Finals then!

May-18-13		lostemperor: <NORWAY FINAL UPDATE! <Aronian 1/2 Carlsen WANG 1-0 Anand Hammer 0-1 NAKAMURA Radjabov 1/2 Svidler Karjakin 1/2 Topalov <standings: 1. Karjakin 2. Carlsen 2. Nakamura 4. Aronian 4. Anand 4. Svidler 7. Hao 8. Topalov 9. Radjabov 10. Hammer>>>

May-18-13		lostemperor: <PREDICTION STANDINGS <ABSOLUTE RANKER FINAL>> Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50 Score,UserID 34,Golden Executive 34,WinKing 32,fgh ~~~~ 30,wtwz 29,crazybird 29,Diademas 29,LucB 29,OhioChessFan 29,SwitchingQuylthulg 28,chessmoron 28,MarbleSkull 27,Ezzy 27,isemeria 27,lostemperor 27,twinlark 26,WannaBe 26,YouRang 25,Aurora 24,suenteus po 147 19,King Sacrificer

May-18-13		lostemperor: <SQUARE RANKER FINAL> Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330 Score,UserID 285,Golden Executive 278,WinKing 269,Diademas ~~~~ 264,fgh 259,OhioChessFan 257,wtwz 255,lostemperor 252,chessmoron 252,crazybird 251,SwitchingQuylthulg 248,LucB 246,twinlark 244,Ezzy 244,MarbleSkull 242,YouRang 241,WannaBe 234,Aurora 234,isemeria 226,suenteus po 147 184,King Sacrificer

May-18-13		lostemperor: <PAIR BETTING RANKER FINAL> Earnings,UserID $21.94,twinlark $21.38,WinKing $13.99,SwitchingQuylthulg ~~~~ $4.70,suenteus po 147 $3.29,OhioChessFan $2.47,Golden Executive $1.98,Diademas $1.23,fgh $-0.20,LucB $-0.62,crazybird $-3.31,isemeria $-3.92,WannaBe $-4.53,Ezzy $-4.98,YouRang $-5.99,chessmoron $-7.29,wtwz $-8.54,MarbleSkull $-9.17,Aurora $-10.26,King Sacrificer $-12.18,lostemperor

May-18-13		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $20.00,Anand-above-Topalov, twinlark $20.00,Aronian-equal-Svidler, SwitchingQuylthulg $20.00,Nakamura-above-Topalov, WinKing $10.00,Anand-equal-Svidler, Golden Executive + suenteus po 147 $10.00,Nakamura-above-Aronian, SwitchingQuylthulg + twinlark

May-18-13		OhioChessFan: Thanks for hosting

May-18-13		lostemperor: <Golden Executive> ( 1st absolute and 1st square ranker), <WinKing> (1st absolute ranker, 2nd Square ranker, 2nd Pair betting ranker) and <twinlark> (1st pair betting ranker) are the winners of this exciting tournament! Bronze goes to <fgh> <Diademas>* and <SwitchingQuylthulg> Congratulations!! *an extra Bronze awarded (but no extra Gold or Silver) for the player who earned it but otherwise would be left out of the prizes according to the rule that if one and the same person(s) earns gold in two rankers only one medal is awarded.

May-18-13		YouRang: Congrats to the medal winners, especially <Golden Executive> and <twinlark>. Thanks <lostemperor> for running the contest.

May-18-13		lostemperor: Does anyone knows the agenda of top tournaments for this year? Dortmund does not seem very appropriate for this contest because of to many local players perhaps, although who knows:)

May-18-13		lostemperor: Other large payoffs $5.00,Anand-equal-Aronian, crazybird + Ezzy + LucB + WannaBe $5.00,Karjakin-above-Anand, Diademas + isemeria + OhioChessFan + suenteus po 147 $5.00,Nakamura-above-Anand, fgh + King Sacrificer + WinKing + YouRang $4.00,Karjakin-above-Nakamura, Diademas + isemeria + OhioChessFan + suenteus po 147 + WannaBe $2.22,Hao-above-Radjabov, crazybird + fgh + King Sacrificer + LucB + MarbleSkull + suenteus po 147 + twinlark + WinKing + wtwz

May-18-13		lostemperor: Missed chances: $0.00,Carlsen-equal-Nakamura, (0 winners) $0.00,Hao-above-Topalov, (0 winners) $0.00,Karjakin-above-Aronian, (0 winners) $0.00,Karjakin-above-Carlsen, (0 winners) $0.00,Karjakin-above-Topalov, (0 winners) $0.00,Svidler-above-Topalov, (0 winners)

May-18-13		Diademas: Thank you for hosting <lostemperor>and congrats to the winners. Especially <twinlark> for winning the pair betting ranker without a single "equal" and thereby settle a dispute.

May-18-13		WinKing: Thanks for running & hosting this contest <lostemperor>. Congratulations to all the medal winners here! Special congrats to new HOF'ers <GoldenExecutive> & <twinlark>! :)

May-18-13		WinKing: I have put the updated list for all entrants into the HALL OF FAME in my forum. All three contests are included - <YouRang>, <lostemperor> & <chessmoron>.

May-18-13		lostemperor: <Diademas> I put a DUMMY who predicted all players equal first. It finished 6th place. Earnings,UserID $23.99,twinlark $23.40,WinKing $5.13,SwitchingQuylthulg $4.40,OhioChessFan $3.03,Diademas $2.70,DUMMY $2.39,suenteus po 147 Here the large payoffs from DUMMY $21.00,Carlsen-equal-Nakamura, DUMMY $10.50,Aronian-equal-Svidler, DUMMY + SwitchingQuylthulg $7.00,Anand-equal-Svidler, DUMMY + Golden Executive + suenteus po 147 $4.20,Anand-equal-Aronian, crazybird + DUMMY + Ezzy + LucB + WannaBe No medal but not bad either :)

May-18-13		lostemperor: As a good host I finished below <King Sacrificer> in the Pair Betting. I really need to play more intuitively and daring:)

May-18-13		King Sacrificer: <lostemperor> Thanks for the hospitality! :) Congrats to medal winners and big thanks to organizers. Next time i will study more before making predictions. This game is no joke. What was i thinking when putting Hammer over Karjakin?

May-18-13		lostemperor: <King Sacrificer> putting Hammer over Karjakin was was daring alright!;)

May-18-13		LucB: Thanks for organizing this, and for tabulating all the data.. it was fun!.. <lostemperor:> <Does anyone know the agenda of top tournaments for this year?> If no one has answered, the site http://www.2700chess.com has the list of the upcoming events (if that's what you mean..). They are below the rating list.

May-18-13		WannaBe: <lostemperor> Thank you for hosting and your time tabulating the results. Once again, great fun, you doing Dortmund??

May-18-13		twinlark: <lostemperor> Thanks for you effort in running a very interesting comp.

May-19-13		Golden Executive: Thanks <lostemperor> for hosting and thanks <YouRang> & <WinKing> for your comments.Much appreciated. Congratulations to all the medal winners !

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