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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Apr-25-15

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<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION GAME FORUM>

GASHIMOV MEMORIAL 2015 Prediction contest

Here a format how to post your predictions

1. Mamedyarov
2. So
3. Anand
4. Carlsen
4. Giri,
6. Caruana
6. Kramnik
8. Adams, Mamedov
10 Vachier-Lagrave


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants. This is invented by YouRang

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers. Don't miss his YouRang chessforum game results prediction contest during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖♖WannaBe

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖YouRang
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

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♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♖Penguincw
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔♕wordfunph
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

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♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕Appaz
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♖nimh
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

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♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 5785 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Apr-25-15 YouRang chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: == Round 8 - Sat Apr 25 Adams - Giri 1-0 Kramnik - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 So Wesley - Carlsen 1/2 Mamedov - Caruana 0-1 Anand - Mamedyarov 1/2 == Round 9 - Sun Apr 26 Mamedyarov - Adams 1/2 Caruana - Anand 1/2 Carlsen - Mamedov 1-0 Vachier-Lagrave - So Wesley ...
 
   Apr-25-15 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: == Round 8 - Sat Apr 25 Adams - Giri 1-0 43 Kramnik - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 42 So Wesley - Carlsen 1/2 40 Mamedov - Caruana 0-1 40 Anand - Mamedyarov 1/2 40 == Round 9 - Sun Apr 26 Mamedyarov - Adams 1/2 38 Caruana - Anand 1/2 42 Carlsen - Mamedov 1-0 42 ...
 
   Apr-25-15 lostemperor chessforum
 
lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $20.00,Vachier-above-Kramnik, SwitchingQuylthulg $10.00,Mamedyarov-above-Kramnik, nimh + YouRang $10.00,Mmedov-equal-Vachier, alfamikewhiskey + YouRang $5.00,Giri-equal-Vachier, Golden Executive + Penguincw + Robin01 + ...
 
   Apr-16-15 Gashimov Memorial (2015) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♖ Announcement ♖ You can post your Gashimov memorial final standings predictions at my forum User: lostemperor !
 
   Jan-29-15 Wei Yi (replies)
 
lostemperor: If Wei Yi wins his game in the Gibraltar open today vs Khotenashvili, what seems the case, he will break Magnus Carlsen's record of being the youngest ever player to reach 2700 by (over) a year, though for now only in the live ratings.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

TOURNAMENT STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 173 OF 173 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Apr-17-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Robin01: My predictions redone. I accidently left Manedyarov in twice instead of Anand. Sorry about that. Games are stilling going, I believe, and it is early in the tournament, but if it is too late now, then that is the way it is.

1. Carlsen
2. Caruana
3. So
4/5. Kramnik
4/5. Manedyarov
6/7/8/9. Giri
6/7/8/9. Adams
6/7/8/9. Vachier-Lagrave
6/7/8/9. Anand
9. Manedov

Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Woohoo, here here the first results of the prediction contest Gashimov memorial 2015!

Twenty entries! Not bad although some predictions were almost discarded. Especially <chanco>'s predictions were almost unreadable. Please put them in orderly format which can be read also byy the machine and at least by humans (although the latter is no garuantee it will not be discarded. Thanks!

Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Carlsen and Wesley So leading after three rounds!! Especially am happy for So after he somewhat recklessly forfeited in the US championships!

Standings after round 3:
1. Carlsen
1. So
3. Kramnik
4. Vachier-Lagrav
4. Anand
4. Mamedov
7. Mamedyarov
7. Giri
7. Caruana
10. Adams

Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTION STANDINGS ROUND 3

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

31,scout118
28,Karposian
28,The Last Straw
~~~~
26,WannaBe
25,chessmoron
25,Golden Executive
25,OhioChessFan
25,Penguincw
25,whiteshark
24,Aurora
24,Robin01
24,suenteus po 147
23,chancho
22,lostemperor
22,WinKing
21,SwitchingQuylthulg
18,moronovich
17,nimh
15,alfamikewhiskey
15,YouRang

Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ~SQUARE RANKER 3

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

278,scout118
253,WannaBe
252,Karposian
252,The Last Straw
~~~~~~
233,Golden Executive
233,Robin01
231,Aurora
231,suenteus po 147
230,chessmoron
230,WinKing
227,Penguincw
225,whiteshark
218,chancho
214,lostemperor
210,SwitchingQuylthulg
202,OhioChessFan
190,nimh
178,YouRang
175,moronovich
145,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER

Earnings,UserID

$20.72,scout118
$19.46,The Last Straw
$14.21,YouRang
~~~~~~
$10.33,Robin01
$7.81,Karposian
$5.98,chessmoron
$4.15,alfamikewhiskey
$3.21,WannaBe
$2.06,Penguincw
$0.42,Aurora
$0.25,whiteshark
$-2.09,OhioChessFan
$-5.12,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-6.88,chancho
$-8.02,Golden Executive
$-10.81,WinKing
$-11.43,nimh
$-13.03,suenteus po 147
$-14.10,lostemperor
$-17.12,moronovich

Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$20.00,Caruana-equal-Giri, alfamikewhiskey

$20.00,Caruana-equal-Mamedyarov, YouRang

$20.00,Vachier-above-Caruana, The Last Straw

$10.00,Mamedov-equal-Vachier, alfamikewhiskey + YouRang

$10.00,Vachier-above-Giri, chessmoron + SwitchingQuylthulg

Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: $6.67,Anand-equal-Vachier, Golden Executive + OhioChessFan + Robin01

$5.00,Giri-equal-Mamedyarov, Aurora + Golden Executive + Penguincw + SwitchingQuylthulg

$5.00,So-above-Anand, Karposian + Robin01 + scout118 + whiteshark

$5.00,So-above-Caruana, Karposian + scout118 + The Last Straw + WannaBe

$5.00,So-above-Giri, chessmoron + Karposian + Robin01 + scout118

$5.00,So-above-Kramnik, Karposian + Robin01 + scout118 + whiteshark

Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: That's like the first time ever that I'm in the middle of the standings. Almost always I'm near the top or bottom.
Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  chancho: <Especially <chanco>'s predictions were almost unreadable.>

Hmmm, I had a feeling I was messing that up.

:-)

Apr-21-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Next update after today's round!
Apr-21-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  scout118: Interesting. The young man could be the real deal.
Apr-22-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <GASHIMOV MEMORIAL ROUND 5 UPDATE

<Round 4
Vachier-Lagrave - Caruana 1/2
Giri - Mamedyarov 1/2
Kramnik - Anand 1/2
So - Mamedov 1-0
Adams - Carlsen 1/2

Round 5

Mamedov - Adams 1/2
Anand - So 1-0
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1-0
Caruana - Giri 1/2
Carlsen - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0

<Standings <

1. Carlsen
2. So
3. Anand
4. Kramnik
4. Mamedyarov
6. Mamedov
6. Vachier-lagrave
6. Giri
6. Caruana
10. Adams>
>
>

Apr-22-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS 5

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score,UserID

35,chessmoron
34,Robin01
34,scout118
~~~~~~
32,Aurora
30,lostemperor
30,nimh
30,Penguincw
30,WannaBe
29,Golden Executive
29,The Last Straw
29,WinKing
28,chancho
28,Karposian
27,suenteus po 147
27,YouRang
24,whiteshark
23,SwitchingQuylthulg
22,OhioChessFan
19,moronovich
18,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-22-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 5

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

289,scout118
276,chessmoron
271,WannaBe
~~~~
268,Aurora
266,Robin01
264,Golden Executive
263,The Last Straw
261,Karposian
258,YouRang
257,nimh
257,WinKing
255,chancho
253,Penguincw
252,lostemperor
248,suenteus po 147
234,whiteshark
226,SwitchingQuylthulg
220,OhioChessFan
194,moronovich
167,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-22-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 5

Earnings,UserID

$21.49,Robin01
$20.77,scout118
$7.71,SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~~~
$7.48,chessmoron
$7.04,YouRang
$5.86,Karposian
$4.26,alfamikewhiskey
$2.37,WannaBe
$1.40,nimh
$0.62,The Last Straw
$-0.11,Penguincw
$-3.41,Aurora
$-5.25,whiteshark
$-5.71,chancho
$-6.85,Golden Executive
$-6.87,suenteus po 147
$-9.64,WinKing
$-10.94,lostemperor
$-14.26,OhioChessFan
$-15.96,moronovich

Apr-22-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$20.00,Caruana-equal-Giri, alfamikewhiskey

$20.00,Caruana-equal-Vachier, SwitchingQuylthulg

$10.00,Mamedov-equal-Vachier, alfamikewhiskey + YouRang

$6.67,Kramnik-equal-Mamedyarov, Golden Executive + Robin01 + SwitchingQuylthulg

$5.00,Giri-equal-Vachier, Golden Executive + Penguincw + Robin01 + suenteus po 147

$5.00,Mamedyarov-above-Giri, chessmoron + nimh + Robin01 + YouRang

$5.00,So-above-Anand, Karposian + Robin01 + scout118 + whiteshark

$5.00,So-above-Caruana, Karposian + scout118 + The Last Straw + WannaBe

$5.00,So-above-Giri, chessmoron + Karposian + Robin01 + scout118

$5.00,So-above-Kramnik, Karposian + Robin01 + scout118 + whiteshark

Apr-22-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I see <moronovich> and I are battling it out for the last place triple crown.
Apr-23-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: <OhioChessFan: I see <moronovich> and I are battling it out for the last place triple crown.>

Kind of "Brothers in Arms" ;)

Well every night I just ask my wife to turn the computer upside down...

Apr-23-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: <moronovich: ... turn the computer upside down...>

Hey, that's my line!! =)

Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <GASHIMOV MEMORIAL ROUND 7 UPDATE

<Carlsen reigning supreme

<Standings:

<1. Carlsen 5.5
2. Anand 4.5
3. So, Caruana 4
5. Mamedyarov 3.5
6. Mamedov 3
6. Vachier 3
6. Giri 3
9. Kramnik 2.5
10. Adams 2>
>
>

Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS 7

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

35,chessmoron
35,nimh
32,Aurora
32,Golden Executive
~~~~~~
31,lostemperor
31,Robin01
31,WinKing
30,Penguincw
30,suenteus po 147
30,YouRang
29,scout118
29,SwitchingQuylthulg
27,whiteshark
26,chancho
25,WannaBe
24,Karposian
24,The Last Straw
23,OhioChessFan
22,moronovich
20,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 7

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

286,nimh
285,chessmoron
285,Golden Executive
~~~~
283,YouRang
277,suenteus po 147
275,WinKing
274,lostemperor
267,SwitchingQuylthulg
265,scout118
261,Robin01
254,Aurora
253,whiteshark
245,Karposian
242,Penguincw
240,moronovich
236,chancho
234,The Last Straw
233,WannaBe
232,OhioChessFan
188,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ~PAIR BETTING RANKER 7

Earnings,UserID

$24.35,YouRang
$19.77,nimh
$10.67,Robin01
~~~~~~
$9.66,chessmoron
$6.74,scout118
$6.30,SwitchingQuylthulg
$0.02,Karposian
$-0.50,suenteus po 147
$-1.88,whiteshark
$-2.80,Penguincw
$-4.61,WinKing
$-5.90,lostemperor
$-6.11,Aurora
$-6.26,moronovich
$-6.66,The Last Straw
$-6.66,WannaBe
$-6.88,chancho
$-8.48,Golden Executive
$-8.71,alfamikewhiskey
$-12.08,OhioChessFan

Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$20.00,Vachier-above-Kramnik, SwitchingQuylthulg

$10.00,Mamedyarov-above-Kramnik, nimh + YouRang

$10.00,Mmedov-equal-Vachier, alfamikewhiskey + YouRang

$5.00,Giri-equal-Vachier, Golden Executive + Penguincw + Robin01 + suenteus po 147

$5.00,Mamedyarov-above-Giri, chessmoron + nimh + Robin01 + YouRang

$5.00,Sow-above-Giri, chessmoron + Karposian + Robin01 + scout118

$5.00,Sow-above-Kramnik, Karposian + Robin01 + scout118 + whiteshark

$4.00,Anand-above-Caruana, nimh + Penguincw + scout118 + The Last Straw + WannaBe

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