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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Jul-25-16

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<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' GAME FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

Next tournament projected: Sinquefield Cup August 5

1. Viswanathan Anand
2. Levon Aronian
3. Fabiano Caruana
4. Anish Giri
5. Vladimir Kramnik
6. Hikaru Nakamura
7. Wesley So
8. Veselin Topalov
9. Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
10 Ding Liren

https://saintlouischessclub.org/civ...

Here a format how to post your predictions

1. Viswanathan Anand
1. Levon Aronian
3. Fabiano Caruana
4. Anish Giri
5. Vladimir Kramnik
6. Hikaru Nakamura
7. Wesley So
8. Veselin Topalov
8. Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
8. Ding Liren

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖WannaBe

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♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♖cromat

~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔♕Robin01
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Keysersoze
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 6390 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jul-13-16 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Thanks <Golden Executive>! I am on holidays tomorrow so here my picks. Round 1 Karjakin - So 1/2 Giri - Wei 1-0 Carlsen - Nakamura 1-0 Round 2 So - Nakamura 1/2 Wei - Carlsen 1/2 Karjakin - Giri 1/2 Round 3 Giri - So 1/2 Carlsen - Karjakin 1/2 Nakamura - ...
 
   Jul-13-16 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Good luck <chessmoron>! Here my quick picks since I am abroad. Round 1 Karjakin - So 1/2 44 Giri - Wei 1-0 44 Carlsen - Nakamura 1-0 44 Round 2 So - Nakamura 1/2 44 Wei - Carlsen 1/2 44 Karjakin - Giri 1/2 36 Round 3 Giri - So 1/2 44 Carlsen - Karjakin 1/2 ...
 
   Jul-12-16 lostemperor chessforum
 
lostemperor: and then I always thought Bilbao is a rapid tournament :)
 
   May-25-16 Gashimov Memorial (2016) (replies)
 
lostemperor: You can make predictions about the different outcomes of this tournament here: User: lostemperor User: golden executive User: ohiochessfan
 
   Apr-22-16 Li Chao vs Carlsen, 2016 (replies)
 
lostemperor: No chao time for Carlsen if it is up to Li! <;)
 
   Apr-22-16 J Xiong vs Caruana, 2016
 
lostemperor: An impressive game from Xiong the debutant in the strongest US championships surviving the attack from the top seed. From the diagram black played 33. .. Re1 when white came up with the surprising but fantastic looking 34. a4?! Perhaps not a good move but intriguing! I still ...
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 207 OF 207 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jun-04-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <GASHIMOV MEMORIAL 2016

<Great Final in Shamkir!

<Karjakin - Caruana 1/2
Mamedyarov - Giri 1-0
Eljanov - Radjabov 1/2
Hou - Mamedov 0-1
Harikrishna - Safarli 0-1

Standings:
1. Mamedyarov
1. Caruana
3. Giri
4. Karjakin
5. Mamedov
6. Harikrishna
6. Radjabov
6. Safarli
9. Eljanov
10. Hou>
>
>
>

Jun-04-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS FINAL

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

33,CHESSBOOKIE
♔32,suenteus po 147
♕31,Golden Executive
♕31,WinKing
~~~~
29,YouRang
28,RATINGS
27,lostemperor
27,SwitchingQuylthulg
26,OhioChessFan
26,Penguincw
23,WannaBe

Jun-04-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER FINAL

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

289,suenteus po 147
286,CHESSBOOKIE
278,WinKing
274,Golden Executive
~~~~
269,lostemperor
265,SwitchingQuylthulg
261,YouRang
260,Penguincw
252,RATINGS
242,OhioChessFan
236,WannaBe

Jun-04-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER FINAL

Earnings,UserID

$26.69,suenteus po 147
$4.50,YouRang♕
$2.01,Penguincw♖
~~~~
$1.80,Golden Executive
$-1.20,lostemperor
$-6.45,WinKing
$-7.50,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-8.49,OhioChessFan
$-11.34,WannaBe

Jun-04-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

JACKPOT!
$9.00,Caruana-equal-Mamedyarov, suenteus po 147

JACKPOT!
$9.00,Giri-above-Karjakin, YouRang

JACKPOT!
$9.00,Mamedov-above-Radjabov, suenteus po 147

JACKPOT!
$9.00,Mamedyarov-above-Giri, Penguincw

JACKPOT!
$9.00,Radjabov-equal-Safarli, suenteus po 147

Jun-04-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Great performance of Mamedyarov in Shamkir winning the tournament with two wins vs the then leaders Caruana and Giri! Then winning the tie-breaker against Caruana!

<Suenteus po 147> is back in the predicition contest! Winning all three rankers! Another good result for <Golden Executive> and <WinKing> winning Silver, as does <YouRang> in the Pair Bettings with his first medal this year (if I remember correctly). A neat Bronze for <Penguincw> here also!

Jun-04-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I will update the Hall of Fame and the annual standings next week. Next projected tournament is Sinquefield Cup August 5 https://saintlouischessclub.org/civ.... I hope to be here and not on holidays. If the latter, you can post your predictions though I might be late with the results.
Jun-04-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  YouRang: Thanks <lostemperor>!

Congrats to <Suenteus po 147>. Geez, three jackpot predictions!

Jun-04-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Congratulations to <suenteus po 147>, and thanks to <lostemperor> for managing the contest!
Jun-04-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Wow, last update I was last in Betting Ranker, and here I won a last round jackpot to steal the bronze. I'll take it!

Congrats to <suenteus po 147> for winning the triple crown. I believe he becomes the 9th user to do so, after <positionalgenius>, <Where is my mind>, <chessmoron>, <SloVice>, <cromat>, <Penguincw>, <WannaBe> and <OhioChessFan>. Congrats to all the other miedalists as well.

Weird to see Sinquefield so early this year, and also can't believe Dortmund and Bilbao cross over, but thanks for hosting <lostemperor>, see you then.

Jun-04-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Well, there you have it, <suenteus po 147> got the Triple Crown!! Big congratulations.

And I ended up with pie and seltzer water in my face and the Triple Clown!!

Thank you <lostemperor> for doing this tournament.

Jun-04-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Thank you <lostemperor> for hosting and running the contest! Norway and now Gashimov Memorial have been pretty exciting.

Congratulations to <WinKing>, <YouRang>, <Penguincw> and especially to <suenteus po 147> on winning the coveted Triple-Crown!

See you guys next time.

Jun-04-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thanks <lostemperor> for running & hosting a great contest with a great finish!

Congratulations to all of the medal winners! A fine performance turned in by <suenteus po 147> winning the coveted 'Triple Crown'. Way to go!

Jun-05-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I don't know if I'm happy or sad that <Wannabe> participated. He stole a Triple Clown from me.

Anyway, thanks Yoda.

Jun-05-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: <OhioChessFan>

Looking back at my "predictions":

<<WannaBe: 1. Karjakin 2. Giri
2. Caruana
4. Harikrishna
5. Eljanov
5. Radjabov
7. Mamedyarov
8. Hou
9. Safarli
9. Mamedov>
>

It wasn't like I intentionally strived for the TC award. Maybe I should have... =)

Terribly disappointment performance by Radjabov and Hou, who I thought would really do better than +0 -4 =5. She is the world defending champ, for crissakes.

Should have anticipated that Karjakin wouldn't show too much, lest Carlsen gets a whiff of his home brews.

Anyway... Next tournament. I'm gonna buy a new Ouija board. Obviously the one I have is broken.

Jun-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks all! Next tournament projected is Sinquefield Cup August 4, now open. Get your Ouija boards and Chrystal balls ready :p

1. Anand
2. Aronian
3. Caruana
4. Giri
5. Kramnik
6. Nakamura
7. So
8. Topalov
9. Vachier-Lagrave
10 Ding

https://saintlouischessclub.org/civ...

Jun-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Wooooo, Topa <AND> Kramnik. =))
Jun-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: You never added <Keyser Soze> to your Hall of Fame from the last contest(Norway 2016).

<♔$32.80,Keyser Soze>

Jun-07-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Did you add any of the gold medals from Norway <lostemperor>? I have a different count than what you show.
Jun-10-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Yes <WinKing> I have not updated Norway yet as the Gashimov memorial. I have now however! Rest me to make the 2016 standings..
Jun-11-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thanks <lostemperor>.
Jun-20-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Meanwhile many of the players of August Sinquefield Cup are struggling it out in two rapids and blitz tournaments in France and Belgium! The France combined tournament was won by Nakamura and the Belgium part is ip to its last day today with Carlsen leading by (just) 1 point...
Jul-12-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Bilbao 2016 Starts Tomorrow!!!

♘Bilbao 2016♘ Bilbao 2016 ♗Bilbao 2016♗

This tournament will run from July 13th thru July 23rd 2016.

Participants include: Magnus Carlsen, Anish Giri, Sergey Karjakin, Hikaru Nakamura, Wesley So & Wei Yi.

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<<> Bilbao 2016!!! <>>

< 2 Prediction Contests: (Win virtual medals - Gold, Silver & Bronze) >

User: Golden Executive - Predict the result 1-0, 1/2, or 0-1 (3 categories to medal in)

This year will be the 10th Anniversary for this contest! (from 2007 to 2016 - 10 years running)

User: OhioChessFan - Predict the result 1-0, 1/2, or 0-1 & the number of moves. (4 categories to medal in). This contest is run by <chessmoron> & hosted by <OhioChessFan>.

***<lostemperor> will be back for the Sinquefield Cup tournament on August 4, 2016***

*****
*****

Also don't forget about <chessgames> ChessBookie game for this event. He can't wait to take some or all of your chessbucks. ;)

ChessBookie Game

Don't miss out on the fun for this Super Event!!!

**********
**********

Jul-12-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Right <WinKing>!!! I will be on vacation during this tournament but make my predictions "tomorrow"!
Jul-12-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: and then I always thought Bilbao is a rapid tournament :)
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