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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Sep-03-15

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<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' GAME FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

Next prediction event London Chess Classic (fun tournament):

Here a format how to post your predictions

1. Nakamura
2. Carlsen
3. Topalov
3. Adams
5. Grischuk
5. Anand
5. Giri
8. Aronian
9. Vachier-Lagrave
9. Caruana


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖WannaBe

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♕♖cromat

~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔♕Robin01
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

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♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

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♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 650 chessbucks
[what is this?]

   lostemperor has kibitzed 5960 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Sep-03-15 lostemperor chessforum
 
lostemperor: Here my take on London Chess Classic 2015::) 1. Carlsen 2. Nakamura 2. Giri 2. Caruana 2. Aronian 6. Anand 7. Vachier-Lagrave 8. Grischuk 9. Topalov 10. Adams
 
   Sep-02-15 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Thanks <chessmoron> and the sponsor from Graceland! Congratulations to all who beat me :)
 
   Sep-02-15 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Thanks <Golden Executive> for your first contest as manager and winning two Crowns in the process!:)
 
   Aug-23-15 YouRang chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: What is am curioous about is; h do I know my avatar number?
 
   Aug-22-15 Sinquefield Cup (2015) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Reminder of the entertaining prediction contest for Sinquefield final standings underway at my forum in case you did not know.
 
   Jul-20-15 China-Russia Match (2015) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Next stop for China; team USA (preferably the A-team) http://www.legendarytv.com/the_a-te... <;)
 
   Jun-22-15 D Andreikin vs Yu Yangyi, 2015 (replies)
 
lostemperor: So Yu simply made his 65th move before resigning knowing the arbiter will then put the white king on a bad square. Brilliant!! <;)
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

SINQUEFIELD PREDICTION GAME

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 183 OF 183 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Sep-01-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <OhioChessFan> comes into the hall of fame following his win in Norway Chess tournament with one golden, 4 silver and 2 bronze! With the help of <Penguincw> work and a small correction on Corus 2010 tournament. An update for all players who won a medal will follow later.
Sep-01-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ovq...
Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SINQUEFIELD FINAL UPDATE

<Aronian returning to his old good form and winning Sinquefield Cup! 4 players tied for second.

<Round 9:
Nakamura - Grischuk 1-0
Anand - Carlsen 1/2
Topalov - Aronian 1/2
Caruana - So 1/2
Vachier-Lagrave - Giri 1/2

<Standings:
1. Aronian 6
2. Giri 5
2. Carlsen
2. Vachier
2. Nakamura
6. Topalov 4.5
6. Grischuk
8. Anand 3.5
8. Caruana
10. So 3 >
>
>
>

Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SINQUEFIELD PREDICTIONS'STANDINGS
FINAL

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

♔20,Robin01
♕19,call14
♖18,Penguincw
♖18,wordfunph
~~~~
16,Nonnus
15,lostemperor
13,moronovich
13,OhioChessFan
13,WinKing
12,chessmoron
12,scout118
12,WannaBe
11,Aurora
11,Karposian
11,Schwartz
10,Golden Executive
9,SwitchingQuylthulg
9,whiteshark
7,YouRang

Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER FINAL

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID
♔202,Penguincw
202,Robin01
198,call14
~~~~
166,wordfunph
161,lostemperor
158,OhioChessFan
156,WinKing
151,Nonnus
145,chessmoron
142,moronovich
132,Schwartz
127,WannaBe
120,Karposian
120,SwitchingQuylthulg
115,Golden Executive
105,scout118
103,YouRang
96,Aurora
96,whiteshark

Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER FINAL

Earnings,UserID

$31.32,Penguincw
♕$29.35,lostemperor
$25.81,Robin01
~~~~~~
$13.46,WinKing
$12.00,OhioChessFan
$8.80,call14
$7.69,Nonnus
$7.36,Karposian
$1.93,WannaBe
$-1.34,Aurora
$-1.35,wordfunph
$-9.71,chessmoron
$-11.87,Schwartz
$-12.23,scout118
$-16.11,moronovich
$-16.75,YouRang
$-21.37,Golden Executive
$-23.10,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-23.91,whiteshark

Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

JACKPOTS!!

$19.00,Aronian-above-Nakamura, Penguincw

$19.00,Carlsen-equal-Nakamura, Aurora

$19.00,Giri-above-Topalov, lostemperor

$19.00,Grischuk-equal-Topalov, WinKing

$19.00,Vachier Lagrave-above-Topalov, lostemperor

Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SEMI-JACKPOTS!

$9.50,Aronian-above-Anand, Penguincw + Robin01

$9.50,Aronian-above-Caruana, call14 + Robin01

$9.50,Giri-above-Caruana, Karposian + WannaBe

$9.50,Grischuk-above-So, Nonnus + wordfunph

$9.50,Vachier-above-Grischuk, OhioChessFan + WannaBe

$9.50,Vachier-above-So, Nonnus + OhioChessFan

Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Missed chances:

$0.00,Aronian-above-Carlsen, (0 winners)
$0.00,Carlsen-equal-Giri, (0 winners)
$0.00,Carlsen-equal-Vachier, (0 winners)
$0.00,Giri-above-Anand, (0 winners)
$0.00,Grischuk-above-Anand, (0 winners)
$0.00,Grischuk-above-Caruana, (0 winners)
$0.00,Nakamura-equal-Vachier, (0 winners)
$0.00,Vachier-above-Anand, (0 winners)
$0.00,Vachier-above-Caruana, (0 winners)

Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: With strong predictions in particular on Aronian, <Penguincw> and <Robin01> both won two of the three Rankers!! <Robin01> winner of the absolute Ranker and Square Ranker, this tied with <Penguincw> winner Square and pair betting Ranker! Congrats!!

Only one ♔ will be included into the Hall of Fame however according to the rule that only unique players will be awarded gold medals (in the Square and Pair Betting Rankers (or who otherwise would not be awarded).

<call14> receive Silver in the Absolute ranker and third in the Square. Your contest manager <lostemperor> manage squeeze himself in with a Silver in the Pair betting ranker, where <Penguincw> took first and <Robin01> third! :)

Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks Yoda. Thanks also to <Robin01> for winning one gold or we'd have never heard the end of the historical victory yoda, yoda, yoda stuff.
Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Of course in all these awe I forgot to mention <Wordfunph> who neatly took the Bronze (with the South-Artic bird also) in the Absolute ranker! <;)
Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Robin01: Thanks for running the contest.
Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Hehe, one medal of each kind (gold, silver, bronze). Too bad "only" the good will be inducted. I do have to wonder what happens if that rule didn't exist. Imagine the HOF. I guess I'll do a simulation until the next tournament.

Speaking of which, is LCC by any chance the next tournament?

Anyway, thanks for hosting, and congrats to the winners, especially <Robin01>, who <also> picked up a gold, silver and bronze.

Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: <lost> gracias :)

cheers to all winners!

Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Karposian: Thanks, <lostemperor> for another great prediction contest. Congrats to all the medal winners, even <Penguincw> :)

My daring (insane, according to our dear host) predictions didn't turn out so well. But great fun as always. See you all next time, guys! Cheers.

Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: <lostemperor> Thank you for running the contest, congratulations to all the winners!
Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  whiteshark: <<lostemperor> Thank you for running the contest, congratulations to all the winners!> I'll second that!
Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  YouRang: Thanks <lostemperor>, and good jobs by <Robin01>, <Penguincw>, <call14>, <wordfunph>, and <lostemperor>.

A perfectly dismal performance by me, but someone has to prop up the winners.

Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Thanks <lostemperor> for running the contest and congratulations to all of the medal winners, especially to <Penguincw> and <Robin01> for being first place in 2 Rankers!

See you gals and guys next time.

Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thanks <lostemperor> for running & hosting this fun contest!

Congratulations to all of the winners! Strong predictions from both <Penguincw> & <Robn01> put them atop two rankers each - kudos!

Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I am not planning to do the London Chess Classic since it is in the busy month December. I prefer to go directly to January's Tatasteel chess!

However this forum is open to make London chess predictions if you like now and I can run the CONMAN software a few times, if only for fun, since I only have to change local player So for Adams to have the results :)

Sep-02-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < However this forum is open to make London chess predictions if you like now and I can run the CONMAN software a few times, if only for fun, since I only have to change local player So for Adams to have the results :) >

Alright, I'll participate in LCC, just for fun. :)

I just realized that <Robin> and I both won a gold to remain tied at 10th best overall (all 3 contests) with 13 gold, but <Robin> has won way more silver.

Sep-03-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: Thanks for running the contest <lostemperor> and congratulations to all the winners !
Sep-03-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Here my take on London Chess Classic 2015::)

1. Carlsen
2. Nakamura
2. Giri
2. Caruana
2. Aronian
6. Anand
7. Vachier-Lagrave
8. Grischuk
9. Topalov
10. Adams

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