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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Jan-26-15

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<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION GAME FORUM>

Predict Tata Steel Chess outcome (January 10).
http://www.tatasteelchess.com/tourn...

Here the format how to post your predicitons

1. Carlsen
1. Caruana
1. Aronian
4. Giri
5. So
6. Vachier-Lagrave
7. Wojtaszek
8. Ding
9. Radjabov
10. Ivanchuk
11 Jobava
12. Saric
13. Hou
13. Van Wely


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants. This is invented by YouRang

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers. Don't miss his YouRang chessforum game results prediction contest during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖♖WannaBe

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖YouRang
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♕♖cromat

~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔♖Penguincw
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕Appaz
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♖nimh
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

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♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔wordfunph
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 432 chessbucks
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   lostemperor has kibitzed 5745 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jan-26-15 lostemperor chessforum
 
lostemperor: To keep track of our top chess players; they will be playing again. Today the strong Gibraltar opec starts http://www.gibraltarchesscongress.c... with Topalov, Nakamura, Svidler, Vitiugov, Jakovenko, Yu Yangyi, Harikrishna, Rappor and Hou Yi Fan Next week a new top tournament ...
 
   Jan-26-15 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Yes I still got a bronze overall. Congrats to other medalists and thanks <chessmoron> for the work and <OhioChessFan> for sponsoring! :)
 
   Jan-25-15 YouRang chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Hahah well noticed <chancho>! :D
 
   Jan-07-15 Tata Steel (2015) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔ANNOUNCEMENT♔: Join the TATA STEEL CHESS predictions by predicting the final outcome of the masters group at my forum.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

TOURNAMENT STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 171 OF 171 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS RANKINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 11

Score,UserID

68,wordfunph
64,SwitchingQuylthulg
61,Aurora
61,WinKing
~~~~
60,cromat
60,Golden Executive
60,OhioChessFan
58,Karposian
58,WannaBe
57,lostemperor
57,Penguincw
55,YouRang
51,chessmoron
51,Robin01

Jan-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 11

Score,UserID

813,wordfunph
794,SwitchingQuylthulg
763,OhioChessFan
~~~~~~
748,Aurora
747,WannaBe
745,Karposian
732,cromat
731,Penguincw
723,Golden Executive
721,WinKing
716,lostemperor
701,YouRang
687,chessmoron
653,Robin01

Jan-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 11

Earnings,UserID

$49.48,Penguincw
$26.49,wordfunph
$23.51,Karposian
~~~~~~
$21.37,SwitchingQuylthulg
$1.58,cromat
$-2.63,OhioChessFan
$-4.84,WinKing
$-6.38,WannaBe
$-9.52,Aurora
$-15.06,chessmoron
$-18.13,Robin01
$-18.19,YouRang
$-22.72,lostemperor
$-24.95,Golden Executive

Jan-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,WinnerS

$14.00,Ding-above-Caruana, Penguincw

$14.00,Ding-equal-Vachier, SwitchingQuylthulg

$14.00,Giri-above-Caruana, Karposian

$14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Aronian, Penguincw

$14.00,Saric-above-Jobava, Penguincw

$14.00,So-above-Caruana, wordfunph

$14.00,Vachier-above-Aronian, Penguincw

$14.00,Vachier-above-Caruana, Penguincw

Jan-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Final stages in Wijk aan Zee. Today the penultimate round shortly after followed by the last!
Jan-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Final results after today's grand final!
Jan-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TATA STEEL CHESS 2015 FINAL UPDATE

<A great tournament with a lot of fighting chess!! World Champion Carlsen won but only half point ahead of four young players Vachier-Lagrave, Giri, So and Ding! Good "old" Ivanchuk, a living legend, showed he still has what it takes with a fine 6th place.

<Round 12 - Saturday the 24th
Van Wely, L. - Jobava, B. -
Radjabov, T. - Hou, Y. -
Ivanchuk, V. - Caruana, F. -
Vachier-Lagrave, M. - Aronian, L. -
Ding, L. - Carlsen, M. -
Saric, I. - Wojtaszek, R. 1-0
Giri, A. - So, W. 1-0

Round 13 - Sunday the 25th
So, W. - Van Wely, L. 1-0
Wojtaszek, R. - Giri, A. -
Carlsen, M. - Saric, I. -
Aronian, L. - Ding, L. 0-1
Caruana, F. - Vachier-Lagrave, M. 0-1
Hou, Y. - Ivanchuk, V. -
Jobava, B. - Radjabov, T. 1-0

<Standings:
1. Carlsen
2. So
2. Vachier
2. Ding
2. Giri
6. Ivanchuk
7. Caruana
8. Radjabov
9. Wojtaszek
9. Aronian
11. Hou
12. Saric
13. VanWely
14. Jobava>
>
>
>

Jan-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: TATA STEEL CHESS 2015 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION GAME RANKINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID

♔67,wordfunph
♕65,SwitchingQuylthulg
♖62,OhioChessFan
~~~~~~
60,Golden Executive
60,WinKing
58,Aurora
58,cromat
58,Karposian
58,lostemperor
58,Penguincw
57,WannaBe
53,YouRang
48,chessmoron
48,Robin01

Jan-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER FINAL

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID

803,wordfunph
788,SwitchingQuylthulg
762,OhioChessFan
~~~~~~
753,Penguincw
746,Aurora
739,WannaBe
728,Karposian
723,cromat
716,lostemperor
710,Golden Executive
708,WinKing
681,YouRang
671,chessmoron
646,Robin01

Jan-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Earnings,UserID

♔$65.28,Penguincw
♕$20.22,wordfunph
♖$17.36,Karposian
~~~~~~
$15.11,SwitchingQuylthulg
$1.51,WinKing
$-2.13,WannaBe
$-2.83,OhioChessFan
$-4.57,cromat
$-5.27,Aurora
$-16.88,chessmoron
$-18.78,Robin01
$-20.84,YouRang
$-22.32,lostemperor
$-25.85,Golden Executive

Jan-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$14.00,Ding-above-Caruana, Penguincw (Jackpot!)

$14.00,Ding-equal-Vachier, SwitchingQuylthulg (Jackpot!)

$14.00,Giri-above-Caruana, Karposian (Jackpot!)

$14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Aronian, Penguincw (Jackpot!)

$14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Caruana, Penguincw (Jackpot!)

$14.00,Saric-above-Jobava, Penguincw (Jackpot!)

$14.00,So-above-Caruana, wordfunph (Jackpot!)

$14.00,Vachier-above-Aronian, Penguincw (Jackpot!)

$14.00,Vachier-above-Caruana, Penguincw (Jackpot!)

Jan-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: This was an exciting tournament with a lot of surprising results! It fell prey to, <wordfunph>♔♕ and <Penguincw>♔!! Not the faint hearted with strong and daring predictions :)

<Penguincw> even manages to win 6 jackpots with unlikely long shots!

An excellent second place for top chess bookie leader and multiple HOFer <SwitchingQuylthulg>♕! Bronze for <OhioChessFan>♖ (again) and <Karposian>♖!

Congratulations!!

Jan-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Semi-Jackpots:

$7.00,Ding-equal-Giri, SwitchingQuylthulg + wordfunph

$7.00,Ding-equal-So, Aurora + WannaBe

$7.00,Giri-above-Aronian, Karposian + OhioChessFan

$7.00,Giri-equal-Vachier, SwitchingQuylthulg + WinKing

$7.00,So-above-Aronian, Karposian + wordfunph

$7.00,So-equal-Vachier, chessmoron + WinKing

$7.00,VanWely-above-Jobava, cromat + WannaBe

Jan-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Missed chances:

$0.00,Aronian-equal-Wojtaszek, (0 winners)
$0.00,Ding-above-Aronian, (0 winners)
$0.00,Hou-above-Jobava, (0 winners)
$0.00,Radjabov-above-Aronian, (0 winners)

Jan-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thanks for hosting a lively affair <lostemperor>! With all of the very young players in this tournament it was hard to tell what would happen next. Congratulations to all of the medalists!
Jan-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Thanks, <lostemperor>, for another great contest!!

Will see you for the next one.

Jan-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Wow! Finishing up with 6 jackpots. For whatever reason, whenever you comment on my predictions, I always win a gold. :) I hope my next set of predilections (whenever that will be) will blow you away. ;)

Anyway, thanks for hosting, and congrats to the medalists, especially <wordfunph>, who came close to a triple crown.

BTW: What's the next tournament? Zurich seems good, but it has a small field, so Norway would probably be best.

Jan-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: It is no coincidence you also won the betting ranker at <YouRang> forum <Penguincw>!:)

I am not sure when the next attractive tournament is. There will be a strong tournament in Grenke, but in slightly over a week, a bit soon (and not so attractive as Tata)!

Jan-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks Yoda. I didn't think I was doing all that well, but I think if So had not won in the last round, I'd have a gold. Very hard tournament in any case. Congratulations to the winners.
Jan-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Don't think anyone thought Aronian would have such a sub-par performance.

I think people also had high expectations of Caruana...

Jan-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  YouRang: Thanks <lostemperor> for running the contest.

A regrettably poor showing by me, unless you give points for consistency: third from bottom in all contests!

Jan-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Thanks to <lostemperor>, and congratulations to the other medalists!
Jan-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: <lostemperor> and to all, thank you :)
Jan-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: yes Levon Aronian was disapponting. Sometimes it seems he lack the will to win. Ding Liren and Wesley So however overperformed greatly.
Jan-26-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: To keep track of our top chess players; they will be playing again. Today the strong Gibraltar opec starts http://www.gibraltarchesscongress.c... with Topalov, Nakamura, Svidler, Vitiugov, Jakovenko, Yu Yangyi, Harikrishna, Rappor and Hou Yi Fan

Next week a new top tournament starts with Carlsen, Caruana, Anand, Aronian, Adams, Bacrot and Naiditsch http://www.grenkechessclassic.de/en/

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