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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Nov-11-18
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

Next event SINQUEFIELD CUP August 18 open for predictions!

Format to post your predictions

1. Carlsen
2. Mamedyarov
3. Aronian
4. Caruana
5. Karjakin
5. So
5. Nakamura
8. vachier
8. Anand
10. Grischuk

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7141 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-09-18 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Revise G1: Caruana - Carlsen 1-0 40 G2: Carlsen - Caruana 1/2 41 G3: Caruana - Carlsen 1/2 46 G4: Carlsen - Caruana 1/2 47 G5: Caruana - Carlsen 1/2 32 G6: Carlsen - Caruana 1/2 20 G7: Carlsen - Caruana 1/2 33 G8: Caruana - Carlsen 1/2 42 G9: Carlsen - Caruana ...
 
   Nov-09-18 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: On the Carlsen- Caruana match, I think Caruana is slightly favourite to win the match. How about you guys?!
 
   Aug-29-18 Sinquefield Cup (2018) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Congratulations to the winners of the Sinquefield Cup Final Standings Prediction's contest <cromat>♔ <Schwartz>♔ <AlphaXerox>♔ <DerDiemer>♕ <rogge>♖
 
   Aug-29-18 Dortmund Sparkassen (2018)
 
lostemperor: Prize Winners of the Dortmund Final Standings Prediction Contest <WinKing>♔, <offramp>♔ and <Penguincw>♔,<lostemperor>♕ <SwitchingQuylthulg>♖
 
   Aug-27-18 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Round 9 Aronian - Grischuk 1-0 So - Caruana 1/2 Anand - Mamedyarov 1/2 Carlsen - Nakamura 1/2 Karjakin - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0
 
   Jun-11-18 Altibox Norway (2018) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the Norway Chess Prediction Contest at my forum <alfamikewhiskey>♔, <Penguincw>♕, <Count Wedgemore>♕, <WinKing>♕ <chessmoron>♖. See you in August for the Sinquefield Cup!
 
   Apr-29-18 Gashimov Memorial (2018) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the Gashimov Memorial Final Standings Prediction Contest at my forum: <chancho>♔♕, <WinKing>♔♕ <whiteshark>♔, <alfamikewhiskey>♕, <wordfunph>♖, <Keyser Soze>♖ ...
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 252 OF 252 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER FINAL

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

299,cromat
293,Schwartz
289,DerDiemer
~~~~
288,rogge
285,OhioChessFan
277,AlphaXerox
268,Golden Executive
268,Keyser Soze
267,Count Wedgemore
267,wordfunph
264,Aurora
262,chessmoron
262,morfishine
258,paavoh
255,lostemperor
248,WinKing
243,scout118
238,moronovich
222,whiteshark
220,Robin01
212,offramp
199,alfamikewhiskey
198,YouRang
185,WannaBe
67,Penguincw

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER

Earnings,UserID

♔$29.64,AlphaXerox
♕$21.47,DerDiemer
♖$17.37,rogge
~~~~
$10.51,OhioChessFan
$9.58,Schwartz
$8.09,cromat
$3.08,WinKing
$2.67,Penguincw
$2.10,Count Wedgemore
$0.80,chessmoron
$-1.69,morfishine
$-4.01,Keyser Soze
$-4.06,Aurora
$-4.26,paavoh
$-4.30,scout118
$-5.68,lostemperor
$-5.82,Golden Executive
$-6.54,WannaBe
$-7.15,alfamikewhiskey
$-7.23,whiteshark
$-7.40,wordfunph
$-8.27,YouRang
$-10.33,moronovich
$-13.68,offramp
$-14.90,Robin01

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

JACKPOT!!
$25.00,Aronian-above-Mamedyarov, Penguincw

JACKPOT!!
$25.00,Grischuk-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, AlphaXerox

Semi-Jackpot!
$12.50,Aronian-equal-Caruana, rogge + WinKing

$8.33,Anand-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, DerDiemer + scout118 + YouRang

$8.33,Karjakin-equal-Nakamura, DerDiemer + lostemperor + rogge

$6.25,Anand-above-Nakamura, chessmoron + DerDiemer + morfishine + OhioChessFan

MISSED CHANCE
$0.00,Aronian-equal-Carlsen, (0 winners)

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Congratulations to the winners <cromat> <Schwartz> <AlphaXerox> <DerDiemer> <rogge>!!

<cromat> hits the top positions in the Absolute Ranker to join <Schwartz> and Square Ranker just on the Final 9th Round and <AlphaXerox> manages to top the Pair Bettings again with a Jackpot!

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  rogge: Thanks for hosting, <lostemperor> :)
Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks, I'd like to express my, hosting for your of this contest.
Aug-28-18  alfamikewhiskey: Thank you! :)
Aug-28-18  DerDiemer: Thanx <lostemperor> for a great contest. A silver and bronz in my debut here :-)
Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: Thanks,once again,for hosting <lostemperor> !

And congratulations to all the winners.

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  YouRang: Thank <lostemperor> and congrats to the medalists!
Aug-28-18  cromat: Thank you <lostemperor> for managing the contest and the nice words. Congratulations the other medalists and all participants!
Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Many thanks <lostemperor> for running the show and congratulations to all the medal winners, especially to the ones making their debut at this contest.

See you all next time!

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Thanks <lostemperor> for doing the contest! I see that I need to get another Ouija board, apparently.

Congrats to the winners!

=)

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thanks <lostemperor> for running another great show! Exciting finish!

Congratulations to all of the medal winners! We have a couple of new additions to <lostemperor>'s Hall of Fame. <AlphaXerox> & <Schwartz> both picked up their first Gold in this contest. Not only that, it was their first gold either have ever won. Congratulations to you both! <cromat> picked up his 4th gold in this contest(9 Golds overall) & has been a solid performer the last couple of contests. Well done <cromat>!

Looking forward to the next contest. Always fun to play here!

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Ouch. Looks like I should've turned my upside down predictions, upside-down.

Well, it doesn't always work, and when it doesn't, it can be embarrassing. Just <2> points in the ABSOLUTE Ranker. (am glad to avoid the triple clown)

In any case, thanks again to <lostemperor> for hosting, congrats to the medalists.

Hope to see you at LCC or Tata Steel.

P.S. Any updates from the last contest if you include <wordfunph>'s picks?

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Keyser Soze: Thanks again <lost emperor>!;great job
Aug-29-18  paavoh: Thanks <lostemperor> for running this exciting contest again!

Congratulations to all medalists, well done!

See you next time!

Aug-29-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: <lostemperor> thanks!

to all winners, cheerssss!

Aug-29-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: Many thanks, <lostemperor>!

I think this was a hard tournament to predict so all the winners did very well!

Aug-29-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  morfishine: <lostemperor> Thanks much! I'm pleased with my result in your contest, especially since its my first crack at it!
Nov-08-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Coming In a Few Hours! **

World Chess Championship 2018 Moves Prediction Contest. Conducted by the Legendary <chessmoron> and hosted at Graceland, home of Elvis. Click on Elvis for details.

Nov-09-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: On <wordfunph> sorry but I deleted the former contest data. Will put it in though if he was competitive.
Nov-09-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: On the Carlsen- Caruana match, I think Caruana is slightly favourite to win the match. How about you guys?!
Nov-09-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: Slightly Carlsen 55-45.But an even match lays ahead of us.As I have real money on a draw 5:1. 2 hours to pawn off.Let us enjoy!
Nov-09-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: I think Caruana as well. He has some hard hard hard recent practice.
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