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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen May-01-15

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<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION GAME FORUM>

GASHIMOV MEMORIAL 2015 Prediction contest

Here a format how to post your predictions

1. Mamedyarov
2. So
3. Anand
4. Carlsen
4. Giri,
6. Caruana
6. Kramnik
8. Adams, Mamedov
10 Vachier-Lagrave


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants. This is invented by YouRang

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers. Don't miss his YouRang chessforum game results prediction contest during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖♖WannaBe

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖YouRang
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♖Penguincw
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔♕wordfunph
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕Appaz
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♖nimh
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

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♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 5796 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Apr-27-15 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <OhioChessFan>, you and <chessmoron> your legendary team forum contest leader, standings combined is exactly in the middle of the field in the absolute ranker! <;)
 
   Apr-27-15 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Thanks team <chessmoron> and <OhioChessFan>. Two quietest gold medals!(?) I did not count on that anymore. I also awarded <chessmoron> Gold and Silver in the Final Standings prediction contest at my forum! <;)
 
   Apr-27-15 YouRang chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Thanks <YouRang>! I started ridiculous with some predictions I doubted very much and had to come from far behind to reach silver in the 1-2-3 Ranker. Glad to give you a Bronze medal in the Pair Betting Ranker at the Final Standings predictions at my forum! :)
 
   Apr-16-15 Gashimov Memorial (2015) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♖ Announcement ♖ You can post your Gashimov memorial final standings predictions at my forum User: lostemperor !
 
   Jan-29-15 Wei Yi (replies)
 
lostemperor: If Wei Yi wins his game in the Gibraltar open today vs Khotenashvili, what seems the case, he will break Magnus Carlsen's record of being the youngest ever player to reach 2700 by (over) a year, though for now only in the live ratings.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

TOURNAMENT STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 174 OF 174 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Apr-23-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: <moronovich: ... turn the computer upside down...>

Hey, that's my line!! =)

Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <GASHIMOV MEMORIAL ROUND 7 UPDATE

<Carlsen reigning supreme

<Standings:

<1. Carlsen 5.5
2. Anand 4.5
3. So, Caruana 4
5. Mamedyarov 3.5
6. Mamedov 3
6. Vachier 3
6. Giri 3
9. Kramnik 2.5
10. Adams 2>
>
>

Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS 7

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

35,chessmoron
35,nimh
32,Aurora
32,Golden Executive
~~~~~~
31,lostemperor
31,Robin01
31,WinKing
30,Penguincw
30,suenteus po 147
30,YouRang
29,scout118
29,SwitchingQuylthulg
27,whiteshark
26,chancho
25,WannaBe
24,Karposian
24,The Last Straw
23,OhioChessFan
22,moronovich
20,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 7

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

286,nimh
285,chessmoron
285,Golden Executive
~~~~
283,YouRang
277,suenteus po 147
275,WinKing
274,lostemperor
267,SwitchingQuylthulg
265,scout118
261,Robin01
254,Aurora
253,whiteshark
245,Karposian
242,Penguincw
240,moronovich
236,chancho
234,The Last Straw
233,WannaBe
232,OhioChessFan
188,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ~PAIR BETTING RANKER 7

Earnings,UserID

$24.35,YouRang
$19.77,nimh
$10.67,Robin01
~~~~~~
$9.66,chessmoron
$6.74,scout118
$6.30,SwitchingQuylthulg
$0.02,Karposian
$-0.50,suenteus po 147
$-1.88,whiteshark
$-2.80,Penguincw
$-4.61,WinKing
$-5.90,lostemperor
$-6.11,Aurora
$-6.26,moronovich
$-6.66,The Last Straw
$-6.66,WannaBe
$-6.88,chancho
$-8.48,Golden Executive
$-8.71,alfamikewhiskey
$-12.08,OhioChessFan

Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$20.00,Vachier-above-Kramnik, SwitchingQuylthulg

$10.00,Mamedyarov-above-Kramnik, nimh + YouRang

$10.00,Mmedov-equal-Vachier, alfamikewhiskey + YouRang

$5.00,Giri-equal-Vachier, Golden Executive + Penguincw + Robin01 + suenteus po 147

$5.00,Mamedyarov-above-Giri, chessmoron + nimh + Robin01 + YouRang

$5.00,Sow-above-Giri, chessmoron + Karposian + Robin01 + scout118

$5.00,Sow-above-Kramnik, Karposian + Robin01 + scout118 + whiteshark

$4.00,Anand-above-Caruana, nimh + Penguincw + scout118 + The Last Straw + WannaBe

Apr-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <GASHIMOV MEMORIAL 2015 FINAL RESULTS

<Carlsen glorious winner followed strongly by Anand. So and Caruana get the bronze.

<Final Standings:
1. Carlsen 7
2. Anand 6
3. Caruana 5
3. So 5
5. Mamedyarov 4
5. Kramnik 4
7. Vachier 3.5
7. Giri 3.5
7. Mamedov 3.5
7. Adams 3.5>
>
>

Apr-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS FINAL

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

♔39,chessmoron
♕36,nimh
♕36,Robin01
♕36,WinKing
~~~~
35,Aurora
35,Golden Executive
34,lostemperor
34,suenteus po 147
34,YouRang
33,Penguincw
33,scout118
31,chancho
31,WannaBe
30,SwitchingQuylthulg
30,whiteshark
28,Karposian
28,The Last Straw
27,alfamikewhiskey
26,moronovich
26,OhioChessFan

Apr-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER FINAL

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

313,chessmoron
298,WinKing
294,scout118 ♖
~~~~~~
292,YouRang
291,Golden Executive
291,lostemperor
290,nimh
290,Robin01
290,suenteus po 147
288,Aurora
276,WannaBe
273,Penguincw
266,SwitchingQuylthulg
263,chancho
257,Karposian
257,The Last Straw
255,whiteshark
253,OhioChessFan
250,moronovich
217,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER FINAL

Earnings,UserID

♔$40.53,Robin01
♕$10.34,chessmoron
♖$10.18,YouRang
~~~~~~
$7.88,Penguincw
$7.42,scout118
$4.58,Aurora
$4.55,WinKing
$4.26,nimh
$0.63,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-4.01,suenteus po 147
$-4.64,WannaBe
$-5.33,Golden Executive
$-5.49,Karposian
$-8.08,lostemperor
$-8.73,whiteshark
$-8.83,The Last Straw
$-9.06,chancho
$-11.40,OhioChessFan
$-11.71,alfamikewhiskey
$-13.10,moronovich

Apr-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

Semi-Jackpots!:

$10.00,Adams-equal-Giri, Robin01 + SwitchingQuylthulg

$10.00,Adams-equal-Mamedov, Aurora + Penguincw

$10.00,Adams-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, Robin01 + WinKing

$10.00,Mamedov-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, alfamikewhiskey + YouRang

~~~~~~

$6.67,Kramnik-equal-Mamedyarov, Golden Executive + Robin01 + SwitchingQuylthulg

$5.00,Giri-equal-Vachier=Lagrave, Golden Executive + Penguincw + Robin01 + suenteus po 147

$5.00,Mamedyarov-above-Giri, chessmoron + nimh + Robin01 + YouRang

$5.00,So-above-Giri, chessmoron + Karposian + Robin01 + scout118

$5.00,So-above-Kramnik, Karposian + Robin01 + scout118 + whiteshark

$4.00,Anand-above-Caruana, nimh + Penguincw + scout118 + The Last Straw + WannaBe

Apr-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Missed chanches:
$0.00,Caruana-equal-So, (0 winners)
$0.00,Giri-equal-Mamedov, (0 winners)
Apr-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: The already Legendary <chessmoron>, won the absolute and square ranker! Because of the same winner rule only one medal is awarded in the absolute ranker, unless a player did not get one in the first. Silver for <WinKing>, <nimh>, <Robin01>. <WinKing> also finished second in the square ranker with <scout118> receiving the Bronze medal there!

<Robin01> wins the the most prestigeous Pair betting ranker, followed by <chessmoron> and one of the top Hall of Famers <YouRang>! Well done and Congratulations!

Apr-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Ooh. 4th place in Betting Ranker, I came close.

Anyway, congrats to all the winners, especially <chessmoron> with his "double crown". Hope to see you around Norway/Dortmund, but until then...

Apr-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: The Noway Chess tournament is scheduled the next prediction event here http://2015.norwaychess.com/ June 15!
Apr-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Well, <moronovich> <alfamikewhiskey> and I had a fierce battle for the last place triple crown, with each of us in the bottom 3 in all categories, and each of us winning a gold? medal at the bottom of one category.

Thanks Yoda and see you in June.

Apr-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Thanks for the contest <lostemperor>, and congratulations to the winners and medalists!
Apr-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Thanks <lostemperor>!! Better luck for moi for Norway Chess Tournament. (I blame my poor performance on Kramnik)
Apr-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Karposian: Thanks for another great contest, <lostemperor>. Looking forward already to Norway Chess in June!

<WannaBe :(I blame my poor performance on Kramnik)>

LOL, I myself blame Giri. I had him at 2nd and he ends up at 7th! I'm considering writing him a protest letter. In Dutch.

Apr-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <OhioChessFan>, you and <chessmoron> your legendary team forum contest leader, standings combined is exactly in the middle of the field in the absolute ranker! <;)
Apr-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  YouRang: Thanks <lostemperor>. I'm happy to come away with a bronze.

Congratz to the other medalists, especially <chessmoron> who really nailed this tournament, and <Robin01> who cleaned up in Pair Betting.

Apr-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Thanks <lostemperor> for hosting and running the contest.

Congratulations to all the medal winners!

See you guys and gals next time.

Apr-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Congratulations to all of the winners!

Thanks to <lostemperor> for running & hosting the Final Standings Prediction contest.

Apr-27-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  nimh: Congrats to the winners, and thanks to <lostemperor> for the contest!
Apr-28-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: Thanks for hosting <lostemperor> and congratulations to all the winners !
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