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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Aug-16-16

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<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' GAME FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

Next tournament projected: Sinquefield Cup August 5

Format to post your predicitons

1. Caruana
1. Aronian
3. Vachier
4. Nakamura
5. Anand
6. Ding
7. So
7. Svidler
7 Giri
7. Topalov

http://grandchesstour.org/2016-sinq...

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖WannaBe

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♖cromat

~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔♕Robin01
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

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♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Keysersoze
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 1,941 chessbucks
[what is this?]

   lostemperor has kibitzed 6452 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Aug-15-16 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Great, another two bronze for me! Congratulations to the winners in another tough contest! Thanks <chessmoron>, reporter <OhioChessFan> and assist the <Win King> (as oppose to Lost Emperor <;))
 
   Aug-15-16 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Thanks <Golden Executive> and congratulations for winning the Bronze in the Square Ranker at my forum in a succesful year for you there! Btw. you als rightfully also get the Gold medal from the pair betting Ranker from Norway Chess still!:) Congratulations to all winners ...
 
   Aug-15-16 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: I decide to rightfully award <Golden Executive> with a Gold medal from the Norway Chess predictions earlier this year. He would have won the gold in the pair betting ranker if not <offramp> unfortunate had the same predictions copied. As contest manager I see is as ...
 
   Aug-11-16 Chessgames Bookie chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: My 15 minutes of fame :)
 
   Aug-02-16 Sinquefield Cup (2016) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔Prediction contest on Sinquefield final standings underway at lostemperor chessforum for vitual fun awards ♕♖
 
   May-25-16 Gashimov Memorial (2016) (replies)
 
lostemperor: You can make predictions about the different outcomes of this tournament here: User: lostemperor User: golden executive User: ohiochessfan
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 210 OF 210 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Aug-13-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Round 7 update

<All draws, exciting however, standings remain the same

<Anand-Aronian 1/2
Topalov-Giri 1/2
Svidler-So 1/2
Caruana-Ding 1/2
Vachier-Lagrave-Nakamura 1/2

<standings:
1. So 4.5
2. Topalov 4
2. Anand
4. Nakamura 3.5
4. Caruana
4. Ding
4. Vachier-Lagrave
4. Aronian
9. Giri 3
10. Svidler 2>
>
>
>

Aug-14-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Up for the final today.

<Yesterdays round
Aronian - Nakamura 1-0
Ding - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2
So - Caruana 1/2
Giri - Svidler 0-1
Anand - Topalov 1/2

<So, Wesley 5
2 Anand, Viswanathan 4.5
Aronian, Levon 4.5
Topalov, Veselin 4.5
5 Caruana, Fabiano 4
Ding, Liren 4
Vachier-Lagrave, Maxime 4
8 Nakamura, Hikaru 3.5
9 Giri, Anish 3
Svidler, Peter 3>
>
>
>

Last update after todays round

Aug-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SINQUEFIELD CUP FINAL REPORT

<Congratulations to Wesley So for winning the 2016 Sinquefield Cup!

<Topalov-Aronian 1/2
Svidler-Anand 1/2
Caruana-Giri 1-0
Vachier-Lagrave-So 1/2
Nakamura-Ding 1-0

<1. So 5.5
2. Topalov 5
2. Anand
2. Aronian
2. Caruana
6. Nakamura 4.5
6. Vachier-Lagrave
8. Ding 4
9. Svidler 3.5
10. Giri 3>
>
>
>

Aug-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SINQUEFIELD PREDICTIONS
FINAL

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

♔27,Robin01
♕26,lakshashishu
♖25,alfamikewhiskey
*25,Keyser Soze
~~~~
24,Golden Executive
23,chessmoron
23,WinKing
22,cromat
22,moronovich
22,OhioChessFan
22,RATINGS
21,CHESSBOOKIE
21,Penguincw
21,Schwartz
21,TheFocus
20,Aurora
20,WannaBe
20,YouRang
18,lostemperor
18,whiteshark
17,rogge
17,SwitchingQuylthulg
15,wordfunph

*gets the Silver from the square Ranker(!)

Aug-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER FINAL

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

*241,Robin01
♕240,Keyser Soze
♖236,Golden Executive

230,alfamikewhiskey
220,WinKing
219,chessmoron
219,lakshashishu
218,cromat
215,moronovich
211,TheFocus
210,OhioChessFan
210,RATINGS
210,WannaBe
209,Schwartz
202,Aurora
199,lostemperor
197,whiteshark
189,CHESSBOOKIE
184,YouRang
182,SwitchingQuylthulg
180,Penguincw
180,rogge
149,wordfunph

*Winner, only one gold medal included in the Hall of Fame already given in the absolute ranker!

Aug-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: FINAL PAIR BETTING RANKER

Earnings,UserID

♔$32.17,WannaBe
♕$25.96,cromat
♖$23.58,Robin01
~~~~
$14.42,lakshashishu
$11.60,wordfunph
$7.05,alfamikewhiskey
$5.60,Keyser Soze
$1.01,WinKing
$-4.14,YouRang
$-5.42,OhioChessFan
$-6.16,Penguincw
$-6.43,moronovich
$-7.17,chessmoron
$-8.09,lostemperor
$-8.50,whiteshark
$-9.21,TheFocus
$-9.37,Golden Executive
$-11.55,Aurora
$-14.51,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-14.82,Schwartz
$-16.02,rogge

Aug-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

JACKPOT!!
-----------
$21.00,Anand-equal-Topalov, WannaBe

$21.00,Nakamura-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, wordfunph

$21.00,So-above-Vachier-Lagrave, Robin01

$21.00,Svidler-above-Giri, cromat

------------
Semi-JACKPOT!
------------
$10.50,Anand-equal-Aronian, WinKing + wordfunph

$10.50,Aronian-equal-Caruana, WannaBe + YouRang

----------------

$7.00,Anand-above-Nakamura, cromat + lakshashishu + OhioChessFan

$7.00,Aronian-above-Vachier-Lagrave, lostemperor + Robin01 + WannaBe

$7.00,Aronian-equal-Topalov, alfamikewhiskey + lakshashishu + Schwartz

$7.00,Topalov-above-Giri, alfamikewhiskey + Keyser Soze + lakshashishu

Aug-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: MISSED CHANCES:

$0.00,Anand-above-Vachier-Lagrave, (0 winners)
$0.00,Anand-equal-Caruana, (0 winners)
$0.00,Caruana-equal-Topalov, (0 winners)
$0.00,So-above-Aronian, (0 winners)
$0.00,So-above-Caruana, (0 winners)
$0.00,So-above-Nakamura, (0 winners)
$0.00,Topalov-above-Nakamura, (0 winners)
$0.00,Topalov-above-Vachier-Lagrave, (0 winners)

Aug-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Congratulations <Robin01> and <WannaBe> for winning first in different rankers!! Robin01 double Crown in rha abasolute and Square ranker and WannaBe winning again this year in the Pair Bettings (besides another ranker)!

Siver goes for <lakshashishu>, <Keyser Soze> and <cromat> in respectively the square-, square- and pair betting ranker!

Bronze in different catagories for <alfamikewhiskey>, <Golden Executive> (lots of medal this year!) and <Robin01> again!

Aug-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I decide to rightfully award <Golden Executive> with a Gold medal from the Norway Chess predictions earlier this year. He would have won the gold in the pair betting ranker if not <offramp> unfortunate had the same predictions copied. As contest manager I see is as my duty to correct that in all fairness and award <Golden Executive> what he deserves particulary since he made a unofficial complaint already since this was second tournament it happened.
Aug-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Thanks to <lostemperor> for managing the contest, and congratulations to the medalists!
Aug-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  alfamikewhiskey: Thanks for the efforts, <lostemperor>!
Aug-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thanks <lostemperor> for running & hosting a fun filled contest!

Congratulations to all of the medal winners! Kudos to <Robin01> for picking up gold in the Absolute Ranker & <WannaBe> for picking up gold in the Betting Ranker!

Always fun to play here!

Aug-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  whiteshark: Many thanks to the great <lostemperor>, and congratulations to all those deservedly winners and medalists!
Aug-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Keyser Soze: Thanks <lostemperor> for running the show! Great fun! Cheers.
Aug-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: Congratulations to all the winners and thanks to <lostemperor> for running the show !
Aug-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  YouRang: Congrats to the winners, especially <Robin01> and <WannaBe>. Thanks <lostemperor> for running the contest. :-)
Aug-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: <lostemperor> Thanks for running the contest, and congratulations to <Robin01>! =)
Aug-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: Quite right!
Aug-15-16  lakshashishu: Thanks <lostemperor> for running this fun contest and congratulationss to all the winners.
Aug-15-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: congrats to all and thanks to <lostemperor>!
Aug-16-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Thanks <lostemperor> for running and hosting another amazing contest!

Congratulations to all the medal winners, particularly to <Robin01> and <WannaBe>.

Such an impressive record <WannaBe> with all that gold medals!

<lostemperor: I decide to rightfully award <Golden Executive> with a Gold medal from the Norway Chess predictions earlier this year. He would have won the gold in the pair betting ranker if not <offramp> unfortunate had the same predictions copied. As contest manager I see is as my duty to correct that in all fairness and award <Golden Executive> what he deserves particulary since he made a unofficial complaint already since this was second tournament it happened.>

<lostemperor> I much appreciate you have dedicated some of your personal time for analyzing and evaluating this issue. Thanks.

See you all next time!

Aug-16-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks Yoda
Aug-16-16  cromat: Congrats to all participants, especially winners. Thanks <lostemperor> for running the contest. :-)
Aug-16-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Thanks to <lostemperor> for making this contest possible.

Congrats to <WannaBe> for winning gold to increase your spot as 1st on the HOF. Also congrats to <Robin01> for winning a gold medal. With this gold medal, you break the tie between you, me and <SloVice> on the overall HOF...

(User: WinKing)

Congrats to all the other medalists, hope to see you next time (LCC?).

Oh, and congrats to <Golden Executive> for winning a gold medal. When I saw that announcement by <lostemperor>, I was confused at what he meant by that, but I looked in the archives and figured out what happened. You made the right call IMHO. :)

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