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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Apr-10-17

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<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' GAME FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

Next tournament projected: <TATA STEEL CHESS> January 14

Format to post your predictions

1. Carlsen
1. So
3. Aronian
3. Karjakin
5. Giri
5. Harikrishna
5. Nepomniachtchi
8. Eljanov
9. Wojtaszek
10. Andreikin
11.Rapport
12. Wei
12. Van Wely
12. Adhiban

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

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♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

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♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 6621 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jan-30-17 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Thanks <Golden Executive> and congratulations for winning another medal again at the Final Standings Predictions! While I have a better time here than at my forum. Congrats to the winners!
 
   Jan-30-17 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Thanks <chessmoron> for another fun contest, <OhioChessFan> for random reports, <WinKing> for assist. Congratulations to the winners especially those who beat me!:)
 
   Jan-29-17 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: I forgot to post the "<missed prediction's chances>" list in this exciting, fighting and upsetting tournament in the positive sense of the word in the standings! $0.00,Adhiban-above-Andreikin, (0 winners) $0.00,Adhiban-above-Giri, (0 winners) ...
 
   Jan-27-17 Wei Yi (replies)
 
lostemperor: Happy Chinese New Year! The signs are superb with Wei Yi on second place in Tata Steel Chess, Wesley So on 1, Xiong at first place in Tata B group and Ju Wenjun in first place in Gibraltar Tradewise master (4/4)!
 
   Jan-12-17 Tata Steel (2017) (replies)
 
lostemperor: You can predict Tata steel final standings at my forum and join the prediction contest!
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 220 OF 220 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-29-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER FINAL

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID

♔746,SwitchingQuylthulg
♕743,scout118
♖739,Penguincw
~~~~
726,Golden Executive
708,Keyser Soze
704,Aurora
700,chessmoron
698,wtwz
694,offramp
693,whiteshark
690,paavoh
689,wordfunph
687,moronovich
685,Robin01
682,RATINGS
664,WannaBe
661,OhioChessFan
659,WinKing
654,YouRang
630,alfamikewhiskey
623,cromat
596,lostemperor
511,tuttifrutty

Jan-29-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER FINAL

Earnings,UserID

$59.11,Penguincw
$33.02,SwitchingQuylthulg
♖$32.03,wtwz
~~~~
$31.47,scout118
$27.31,chessmoron
$9.20,WannaBe
$4.96,Keyser Soze
$4.73,Golden Executive
$-0.36,moronovich
$-6.23,Robin01
$-6.46,OhioChessFan
$-12.08,whiteshark
$-12.78,paavoh
$-13.75,wordfunph
$-14.98,offramp
$-16.95,tuttifrutty
$-17.18,WinKing
$-17.31,cromat
$-18.78,YouRang
$-18.97,Aurora
$-21.39,alfamikewhiskey
$-24.61,lostemperor

Jan-29-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

JACKPOTS!!

$22.00,Adhiban-above-Eljanov, wtwz

$22.00,Adhiban-above-Wojtazcek, chessmoron

$22.00,Eljanov-above-Nepomniatchi, scout118

$22.00,Wei Yi-above-Giri, Penguincw

$22.00,Wei Yi-above-Harikrishna, Penguincw

~~~~

Semi-JACKPOTS!

$11.00,Adhiban-equal-Wei Yi, chessmoron + SwitchingQuylthulg

$11.00,Aronian-above-Karjakin, Golden Executive + moronovich

$11.00,Eljanov-above-Harikrishna, Keyser Soze + scout118

$11.00,Wei Yi-above-Nepomniatchi, Penguincw + WannaBe

$11.00,Wojtazcek-above-Nepomniatchi, SwitchingQuylthulg + WannaBe

Jan-29-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Wow, 2 golds for <Penguincw>. Good job!!
Jan-29-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Thanks to <lostemperor> for hosting, and congratulations to the other medalists, especially <Penguincw>!
Jan-29-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: After an exciting finish HOFer <Penguincw> came out on top twice in the ABSOLUTE anD PAIR BETTINGS (and a Bronze in the square ranker)!!

<SwitchingQuylthulg>, who becomes a house-hold name in first Prizes took the Gold in the SQUARE RANKER and also took the second place in the prestigeous PAIR BETTINGS (and a Bronze)! He is approaching <WannaBe> in the Hall of Fame's Bests' list!

<scout118> took the Silver in the ABSOLUTE- and SQUARE RANKER!

Bronze in the ABSOLUTE RANKER goes to <Golden Executive>, who shows great form again with another HOFer <Keyser Soze> (and <SwitchingQuylthulg>)!

<wtwz> neatly took the Bronze in the PAIR BETTINGS!

Jan-29-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Wow, double crown (but of course only 1 gold medal). Yay! Up to 4th now in the HOF, and 7th straight year I've won at least a gold medal somewhere. I think I should stick to this new strategy, whatever it is.

Congrats to <Switch> and all the other medalists, thanks to <lostemperor> for hosting, and see you soon. (perhaps Norway in June)

Jan-29-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Congratulations to all who finished above me (who is everybody)! I took a gamble especially on Nepomniatchi (by putting him second) but it did not work out! :o

Fortunately for me <tuttifrutty> took very much risks although it almost paid off for him with several potential JACKPOTS, last of which after 11 rounds when WEI YI was above CARLSEN ;)

Jan-29-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I forgot to post the "<missed prediction's chances>" list in this exciting, fighting and upsetting tournament in the positive sense of the word in the standings!

$0.00,Adhiban-above-Andreikin, (0 winners)
$0.00,Adhiban-above-Giri, (0 winners)
$0.00,Adhiban-above-Harikrishna, (0 winners)
$0.00,Adhiban-above-Karjakin, (0 winners)
$0.00,Adhiban-above-Nepomniatchi, (0 winners)
$0.00,Adhiban-equal-Aronian, (0 winners)
$0.00,Aronian-equal-Wei Yi, (0 winners)
$0.00,Eljanov-above-Giri, (0 winners)
$0.00,Eljanov-equal-Karjakin, (0 winners)
$0.00,Wei Yi-above-Karjakin, (0 winners)

A lot of missed chances! :p

Jan-29-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  scout118: <lostemperor> Thanks for running the game. Enjoyed it!
Jan-29-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Keyser Soze: <lostemperor> Thanks for hosting the party. Always a treat! :-)
Jan-29-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thanks to <lostemperor> for running & hosting a very exciting Tata Steel prediction game! I had GM So figured right for top spot but it was the other 13 players I couldn't figure out. ;)

Kudos to all of those fortunate enough to walk away with a medal! Congratulations to <Penguincw> on winning a double crown, no easy feat, well done! Also congrats to <Switch> on picking up some gold & he is slowwwly creeping up on the rabbit. Watch your back <WannaBe>. :o

I always have fun here. Thanks again <lostemperor>.

Jan-30-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: Thanks for running the show <lostemperor> and kudos to all the winners !
Jan-30-17  paavoh: Thanks again, <lostemperor>, for hosting this fun competition. After my unexpected beginner's luck at London 2016, I did return to the mean, to more or less in the middle of the pack, as predicted.

Congrats to the winners, see you next time around!

Jan-30-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks Yoda
Jan-30-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  YouRang: Thanks <lostemperor>, and good job by the medalists. For the rest of us, there's always next time...
Jan-30-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  whiteshark: Thanks and congrats respectively!
Jan-30-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  alfamikewhiskey: Thanks for hosting!
Jan-30-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: hurrah for hosting!
Jan-31-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Thanks <lostemperor> for running another very enjoyable contest, great job as usual!.

Yep, Adhiban shocked the field with his 3rd place. The predicted average place for him was 13th (Max 9th, Min 14th).

Congratulations to all the medal winners, particularly to <Penguincw> on winning an amazing Double Crown in the final round!.

See you guys next time.

Jan-31-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Final Triple Clown Standings:

1. <lostemperor> 6

2. <alfamikewhiskey> 8

3. <tuttifruitty> 9

Apr-19-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Hi lostemperor,

2 days till Shamkir Chess - Gashimov Memorial 2017 - Friday Apr. 21st 2017!!!

♘Shamkir Chess♘Gashimov Memorial♗Shamkir Chess♗

This tournament will run from Apr. 21st thru Apr. 30th 2017. (9 Rounds)

Participants include Adams, Eljanov, Harikrishna, Karjakin, Kramnik, Mamedyarov, Radjabov, So, Topalov & Wojtaszek.

Average rating: 2761 - Category: 21 (FIDE-ratings as of April 18th. 2017)

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<<> Gashimov Memorial 2017 <>>

http://shamkirchess.az/

< 2 Prediction Contests: (Win virtual medals - Gold, Silver & Bronze) >

*** User: lostemperor - Predict the order the players will finish. Run & hosted by <lostemperor>. (3 categories to medal in) ***

**User: Golden Executive - Predict the result 1-0, 1/2, or 0-1. Run & hosted by <Golden Executive>. (3 categories to medal in)

This year will be the 11th Anniversary for this contest! (from 2007 to 2017 - 11 years running)**

*User: OhioChessFan - Predict the result 1-0, 1/2, or 0-1 & the number of moves. (4 categories to medal in). This contest is run by <chessmoron> & hosted by <OhioChessFan>.*

***No confirmation from <lostemperor> that he will be running his contest***

Status - Unlikely

**<GoldenExecutive> has confirmed he will be running his contest**

Status - Definitely

*<chessmoron> has confirmed he will be running his contest*

Status - Definitely

*****
*****

Also, don't forget about <chessgames> ChessBookie game for this event. He can't wait to take some or all of your chessbucks. ;)

ChessBookie Game

Don't miss out on the fun for this Super Event!!!

**********
**********

Apr-19-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Keyser Soze: Good stuff! I'm in!
Apr-21-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  FSR: 1. So
2. Kramnik
3. Karjakin
3. Mamedyarov
5. Adams
5. Harikrishna
7. Eljanov
7. Wojtaszek
9. Radjabov
10. Topalov
Apr-21-17  paavoh: 1. So
2. Kramnik
2. Karjakin
4. Mamedyarov
5. Radjabov
5. Adams
7. Harikrishna
8. Eljanov
8. Topalov
10. Wojtaszek
Jump to page #   (enter # from 1 to 220)
search thread:   
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 220 OF 220 ·  Later Kibitzing>

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