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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Jan-18-19
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

Next event TATA STEEL CHESS January 12

Format to post your predictions

1. Carlsen
1. Mamedyarov
3. Ding
4. Giri
5. Kramnik
5. Anand
5. Nepomniachtchi
8. Radjabov
9. Duda
10. Rapport
11. Shankland
12. Fedoseev
13. Vidit
13. Van Foreest

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7175 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jan-18-19 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Round 6: Carlsen - Mamedyarov 1/2 34 Rapport - Kramnik 1/2 40 Anand - Nepomniachtchi 1/2 34 Duda - Giri 1/2 34 Ding - Radjabov 1/2 34 Vidit - Shankland 1/2 34 Van Foreest - Fedoseev 1/2 52
 
   Jan-18-19 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Round 6: Carlsen - Mamedyarov 1/2 Rapport - Kramnik 1/2 Anand - Nepomniachtchi 1/2 Duda - Giri 1/2 Ding - Radjabov 1/2 Vidit - Shankland 1/2 Van Foreest - Fedoseev 1/2
 
   Jan-17-19 lostemperor chessforum
 
lostemperor: Four leaders as we go into the first restday <cromat>, <Golden Executive>, <WinKing> and <Penguincw>. Eight rounds to go!
 
   Jan-10-19 Tata Steel Masters (2019) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖Predict the outcome of Tata Steel Chess A at my forum and join the fun!
 
   Aug-29-18 Sinquefield Cup (2018) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Congratulations to the winners of the Sinquefield Cup Final Standings Prediction's contest <cromat>♔ <Schwartz>♔ <AlphaXerox>♔ <DerDiemer>♕ <rogge>♖
 
   Aug-29-18 Dortmund Sparkassen (2018)
 
lostemperor: Prize Winners of the Dortmund Final Standings Prediction Contest <WinKing>♔, <offramp>♔ and <Penguincw>♔,<lostemperor>♕ <SwitchingQuylthulg>♖
 
   Jun-11-18 Altibox Norway (2018) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the Norway Chess Prediction Contest at my forum <alfamikewhiskey>♔, <Penguincw>♕, <Count Wedgemore>♕, <WinKing>♕ <chessmoron>♖. See you in August for the Sinquefield Cup!
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 254 OF 254 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-12-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Hi <lostemperor>

1. Carlsen
1. Mamedyarov
3. Ding
4. Giri
5. Kramnik
5. Anand
5. Nepomniachtchi
8. Radjabov
9. Duda
10. Rapport
11. Shankland
12. Fedoseev
13. Vidit
13. Van Foreest

Good luck to everybody!

Jan-12-19  DerDiemer: Morning to all Chess Predictors, may you all have a wonderful year here at Chessgames. Goodluck in all Contests this year and may you all win allotof medals :-) This year its going to be more exited to the already awesome contests here on Chessgames. Today is the start of the new "World Chessgames Chess Prediction Championship 2019". I will keep it up to date after every Tournament whereby the player with the most Gold medals (if tied most silver, and if tied most bronz) in a year becomes the "World Chessgames Chess predictor Champion for 2019" Total amount of medals will count in all 3 Contests of <chessmoron>, <Golden Executive> & <lostemperor>. Will post the standings after each Tournament.... Goodluck to all !!!

And as for 2018, i want to congratulate <SwitchingQuylthulg> for becoming the "World Chessgames Chess Predictor Champion" of 2018. From now on you will be called the current "World Chessgames Chess Prediction Champion" till the end of the year :-)

"World 'Chessgames' Chess Prediction Championship 2018" -- Final Standings:

1. SwitchingQuylthulg: 12♔8♕4♖

2. WinKing: 11♔10♕6♖
3. chessmoron: 8♔2♕9♖
4. Count Wedgemore: 8♔2♕8♖
5. Penguincw: 7♔12♕4♖
6. alfamikewhiskey: 7♔8♕5♖
7. wordfunph: 6♔2♕10♖
8. OhioChessFan: 4♔7♕6♖
9. offramp: 4♔3♕7♖
10. paavoh: 3♔2♕2♖
11. Legend: 3♔1♕0♖
12. Golden Executive: 2♔4♕4♖
13. Fiona Macleod: 2♔1♕1♖
14. lostemperor: 1♔3♕3♖
15. DerDiemer: 1♔3♕1♖
16. cromat: 1♔3♕0♖
17. chancho: 1♔1♕0♖
18. WannaBe: 1♔0♕3♖
19. whiteshark: 1♔0♕2♖
20. AlphaXerox: 1♔0♕1♖
20. Diademas: 1♔0♕1♖
22. Schwartz: 1♔0♕0♖
22. virginmind: 1♔0♕0♖
22. YouRang: 1♔0♕0♖
25. lost in space: 0♔3♕2♖
26. FSR: 0♔3♕0♖
27. positionalgenius: 0♔1♕0♖
28. juan31: 0♔0♕3♖
29. Keyser Soze: 0♔0♕1♖
29. Robin01: 0♔0♕1♖
29. rogge : 0♔0♕1♖

Total medals in all 3 Contests for 2018
<chessmoron>, <Golden Executive> & <lostemperor>

88♔79♕85♖

Congrats to all medal winners and Good-Luck for 2019

Jan-12-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Wow nice <DerDiemer>! A combined annual ranking!Congratulations to top predictors <SwitchingQuylthulg>, <WinKing>. <chessmoron> and all winners on the list!!

Do you have the 2018 rankings for the final standings prediction contests on this forum alone!? Something I really wanted to do but been lacking.

Jan-12-19  DerDiemer: <lostemperor: Wow nice <DerDiemer>! A combined annual ranking!Congratulations to top predictors <SwitchingQuylthulg>, <WinKing>. <chessmoron> and all winners on the list!! Do you have the 2018 rankings for the final standings prediction contests on this forum alone!? Something I really wanted to do but been lacking> Yes I do, will send it later to you
Jan-12-19  DerDiemer: FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST
(Final Standings for 2018)

1. alfamikewhiskey: 1♔3♕1♖
2. WinKing: 1♔2♕0♖
3. chancho: 1♔1♕0♖
3. Fiona Macleod: 1♔1♕0♖
3. lostemperor: 1♔1♕0♖
3. Penguincw: 1♔1♕0♖
7. chessmoron: 1♔0♕2♖
8. AlphaXerox: 1♔0♕1♖
8. offramp: 1♔0♕1♖
8. paavoh: 1♔0♕1♖
11. cromat: 1♔0♕0♖
11. Schwartz: 1♔0♕0♖
11. SwitchingQuylthulg: 1♔0♕0♖

11. whiteshark: 1♔0♕0♖
15. FSR: 0♔3♕0♖
16. OhioChessFan: 0♔1♕2♖
17. Count Wedgemore: 0♔1♕0♖
17. DerDiemer: 0♔1♕0♖
17. Golden Executive : 0♔1♕0♖
17. positionalgenius: 0♔1♕0♖
21. Keyser Soze: 0♔0♕1♖
21. rogge: 0♔0♕1♖
21. WannaBe: 0♔0♕1♖
21. wordfunph : 0♔0♕1♖

Total medals in 2018
14♔17♕12♖

*** Stats of Dortmund'2018 in <lostemperor> contest not included as it was not announced an official tournament ***

Jan-12-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks! The 2018 Final Standings Predictions Rankings!!
Jan-12-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Thanks for that <DerDiemer>.

And because someone has to say it, games have started!

Jan-14-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TATA STEEL CHESS 2019 RESULTS

<Black is OK!

<Round 1
Ding - Carlsen 1/2
Vidit - Duda 1/2
Van Foreest - Anand 0-1
Fedoseev - Rapport 1/2
Shankland - Mamedyarov 1/2
Radjabov - Kramnik 1/2
Giri - Nepomniachtchi 0-1

Round 2
Carlsen - Nepomniachtchi 1/2
Kramnik - Giri 0-1
Mamedyarov - Radjabov 1/2
Rapport - Shankland 1/2
Anand - Fedoseev 1/2
Duda - Van Foreest 0-1
Ding - Vidit 1/2

<STANDINGS:
1. Anand
1. Nepomniatchi
3. Carlsen
3. Ding
3. Mamedyarov
3. Giri
3. Fedoseev
3. Rapport
3. Shankland
3. Radjabov
3. VanForeest
3. Vidit
13. Duda
13. Kramnik>
>
>
>

Jan-14-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔♕♖TATA STEEL CHESS THE PREDICTIONS ♖♕♔

ABSOLUTE RANKER
Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID
44,WannaBe
43,lostemperor
41,cromat
~~~~
39,OhioChessFan
39,Paragua
37,Count Wedgemore
37,jsy
37,Keyser Soze
36,alfamikewhiskey
36,Aurora
36,Diademas
36,YouRang
35,wordfunph
34,Golden Executive
32,scout118
32,whiteshark
31,paavoh
31,rogge
28,Penguincw
28,WinKing
27,DerDiemer
26,offramp

Jan-14-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 2

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID
635,cromat
628,WannaBe
611,lostemperor
~~~~
583,Count Wedgemore
582,YouRang
578,Golden Executive
575,Keyser Soze
570,OhioChessFan
566,Aurora
565,Paragua
551,jsy
547,paavoh
544,Diademas
544,whiteshark
544,wordfunph
543,rogge
539,alfamikewhiskey
514,scout118
514,WinKing
482,offramp
472,DerDiemer
458,Penguincw

Jan-14-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 2

Earnings,UserID

$96.34,Penguincw
$96.11,alfamikewhiskey
$91.14,Paragua
~~~~
$16.46,DerDiemer
$15.74,WannaBe
$14.03,scout118
$-5.26,WinKing
$-8.27,lostemperor
$-11.10,cromat
$-16.19,Count Wedgemore
$-17.03,Golden Executive
$-18.27,Keyser Soze
$-18.61,jsy
$-18.97,Aurora
$-19.76,paavoh
$-22.91,Diademas
$-23.25,offramp
$-24.17,whiteshark
$-26.24,wordfunph
$-30.84,YouRang
$-33.15,rogge
$-35.79,OhioChessFan

Jan-14-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$22.00,Anand-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$22.00,Carlsen-equal-Ding, DerDiemer

$22.00,Ding-equal-Radjabov, Paragua

$22.00,Ding-equal-Shankland, alfamikewhiskey

$22.00,Fedoseev-equal-Radjabov, alfamikewhiskey

$22.00,Fedoseev-equal-VanForeest, alfamikewhiskey

$22.00,Giri-equal-Mamedyarov, Paragua

$22.00,Giri-equal-Vidit, alfamikewhiskey

$22.00,Mamedyarov-equal-Radjabov, Paragua

$22.00,Radjabov-equal-VanForeest, alfamikewhiskey

$22.00,Rapport-above-Kramnik, Penguincw

$22.00,Rapport-equal-VanForeest, scout118

$22.00,Shankland-above-Kramnik, alfamikewhiskey

$22.00,VanForeest-above-Kramnik, Penguincw

$22.00,Vidit-above-Kramnik, Penguincw

Jan-14-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: First (and second) blood drawn by <WannaBe>, <cromat> and <Penguincw>. The latter revised predictions good for an early lead in the pair betting ranker! :p
Jan-14-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I mean reversed not revised ;)
Jan-14-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: 4th in absolute, last in pair betting. Quite a trick.
Jan-14-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: I don't think I've ever seen <three> users have over $90 in Betting Ranker...
Jan-14-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TATA STEEL CHESS ROUND 3 UPDATE

<Vidit - Carlsen 1/2
Van Foreest - Ding 0-1
Fedoseev - Duda 0-1
Shankland - Anand 1/2
Radjabov - Rapport 1/2
Giri - Mamedyarov 1/2
Nepomniachtchi - Kramnik 1-0

<standings:
1. Nepomniatchi
2. Anand
2. Ding
4. Carlsen
4. Mamedyarov
4. Giri
4. Duda
4. Rapport
4. Shankland
4. Radjabov
4. Vidit
12. VanForeest
12. Fedoseev
14. Kramnik>
>
>
>

Jan-14-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔♕♖THE PREDICTIONS♖♕♔

ABSOLUTE RANKER
Score,UserID

55,cromat
55,WannaBe
54,alfamikewhiskey
~~~~
53,OhioChessFan
50,Golden Executive
49,Diademas
49,Paragua
49,WinKing
48,Count Wedgemore
48,jsy
48,YouRang
47,Aurora
47,wordfunph
45,DerDiemer
45,Keyser Soze
44,rogge
43,lostemperor
43,whiteshark
42,paavoh
40,offramp
38,scout118
19,Penguincw

SQUARE RANKER

Score,UserID

713,cromat
695,WannaBe
693,alfamikewhiskey
~~~~
685,Diademas
674,WinKing
666,Golden Executive
661,YouRang
655,OhioChessFan
652,rogge
644,Count Wedgemore
637,Aurora
634,lostemperor
627,whiteshark
625,jsy
623,DerDiemer
619,Keyser Soze
616,paavoh
615,Paragua
613,wordfunph
599,offramp
525,scout118
361,Penguincw

Jan-14-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER

Earnings,UserID

$117.16,Penguincw
$63.09,alfamikewhiskey
$45.48,Paragua
~~~~
$24.83,WannaBe
$11.06,wordfunph
$9.96,WinKing
$7.82,Diademas
$0.64,cromat
$-11.09,rogge
$-12.95,jsy
$-12.96,Aurora
$-15.64,whiteshark
$-17.39,OhioChessFan
$-18.81,Count Wedgemore
$-21.49,Keyser Soze
$-21.88,lostemperor
$-22.74,paavoh
$-23.54,DerDiemer
$-23.55,scout118
$-23.79,Golden Executive
$-26.75,offramp
$-27.47,YouRang

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$22.00,Anand-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$22.00,Anand-equal-Ding, Penguincw

$22.00,Duda-equal-Vidit, wordfunph

$22.00,Fedoseev-equal-VanForeest, alfamikewhiskey

$22.00,Giri-equal-Mamedyarov, Paragua

$22.00,Giri-equal-Vidit, alfamikewhiskey

$22.00,Mamedyarov-equal-Radjabov, Paragua

$22.00,Rapport-above-Kramnik, Penguincw

$22.00,Shankland-above-Kramnik, alfamikewhiskey

$22.00,VanForeest-above-Kramnik, Penguincw

$22.00,Vidit-above-Kramnik, Penguincw

Jan-14-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <cromat>, <WannaBe> and <Penguincw> still leading with 10 rounds to go!
Jan-17-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TATA STEEL CHESS 2019 UPDATE

<Round 4

Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2
Mamedyarov - Nepomniachtchi 1/2
Rapport - Giri 0-1
Anand - Radjabov 1/2
Duda - Shankland 1/2
Ding - Fedoseev 1/2
Vidit - Van Foreest 1-0

Round 5

Van Foreest - Carlsen 0-1
Fedoseev - Vidit 1/2
Shankland - Ding 0-1
Radjabov - Duda 1/2
Giri - Anand 1/2
Nepomniachtchi - Rapport 1/2
Kramnik - Mamedyarov 1/2

<STANDINGS:

1. Nepomniatchi 3.5
1. Ding
3. Anand 3
3. Carlsen
3. Vidit
3. Giri
7. Duda 2.5
7. Radjabov
7. Mamedyarov
10. Rapport 2
10. Shankland
10. Fedoseev
13. Kramnik 1.5
14. VanForeest 1 >
>
>
>

Jan-17-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔♕♖ THE PREDICTIONS ♖♕♔

ABSOLUTE RANKER 5

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID

61,cromat
61,Golden Executive
60,Count Wedgemore
60,lostemperor
~~~~
59,OhioChessFan
59,WinKing
58,jsy
58,rogge
57,Aurora
57,paavoh
56,WannaBe
54,DerDiemer
53,Diademas
53,Keyser Soze
53,offramp
53,Paragua
52,YouRang
51,alfamikewhiskey
51,whiteshark
51,wordfunph
46,scout118
15,Penguincw

Jan-17-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 5

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID

756,WinKing
731,rogge
724,lostemperor
~~~~
718,cromat
701,Golden Executive
696,Diademas
694,paavoh
691,alfamikewhiskey
687,Count Wedgemore
681,WannaBe
680,whiteshark
679,Aurora
678,DerDiemer
667,YouRang
665,offramp
660,OhioChessFan
651,Keyser Soze
649,Paragua
649,wordfunph
648,jsy
593,scout118
305,Penguincw

Jan-17-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 5

Earnings,UserID

$103.58,Penguincw
$74.48,alfamikewhiskey
$21.23,WinKing
~~~~
$11.53,lostemperor
$7.54,Paragua
$3.88,cromat
$3.82,WannaBe
$1.75,rogge
$0.98,Diademas
$-0.19,Count Wedgemore
$-8.80,whiteshark
$-10.74,jsy
$-11.13,DerDiemer
$-13.77,Keyser Soze
$-13.81,OhioChessFan
$-20.49,Golden Executive
$-21.60,Aurora
$-22.47,paavoh
$-23.32,wordfunph
$-24.88,YouRang
$-28.06,offramp
$-29.55,scout118

Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$22.00,Anand-equal-Vidit, alfamikewhiskey

$22.00,Giri-equal-Vidit, alfamikewhiskey

$22.00,Mamedyarov-equal-Radjabov, Paragua

$22.00,Rapport-above-Kramnik, Penguincw

$22.00,Shankland-above-Kramnik, alfamikewhiskey

$22.00,Vidit-above-Kramnik, Penguincw

$22.00,Vidit-above-Mamedyarov, Penguincw

Jan-17-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Four leaders as we go into the first restday <cromat>, <Golden Executive>, <WinKing> and <Penguincw>. Eight rounds to go!
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