chessgames.com
Members · Prefs · Collections · Openings · Endgames · Sacrifices · History · Search Kibitzing · Kibitzer's Café · Chessforums · Tournament Index · Players · Kibitzing

 
Chessgames.com User Profile Chessforum
lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen May-30-16

♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' GAME FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

Next tournament GASHIMOV MEMORIAL (in remembrance of the late young Azeri GM)

Start May 26

Here a format how to post your predictions

1. Caruana
1. Giri
3. Karjakin
4. Eljanov
5. Harikrishna
5. Mamedyarov
7. Radjabov
8. Safari
9. Hou Yifan
9. Mamedov

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖WannaBe

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♕♖cromat

~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔♕Robin01
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 6352 times to chessgames   [more...]
   May-30-16 lostemperor chessforum
 
lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $9.00,Giri-above-Karjakin, YouRang $9.00,Radjabov-equal-Safarli, suenteus po 147 $2.25,Harikrishna-above-Eljanov, lostemperor + Penguincw + SwitchingQuylthulg + WannaBe $2.25,Hou-equal-Mamedov, Golden Executive + ...
 
   May-30-16 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Safarli - Giri 1/2 38 Caruana - Radjabov 1-0 44 Mamedyarov - Mamedov 1/2 45 Karjakin - Hou 1-0 46 Harikrishna - Eljanov 1/2 42
 
   May-30-16 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Round 5 Safarli - Giri 1/2 Caruana - Radjabov 1-0 Mamedyarov - Mamedov 1/2 Karjakin - Hou 1-0 Harikrishna - Eljanov 1/2
 
   May-25-16 Gashimov Memorial (2016) (replies)
 
lostemperor: You can make predictions about the different outcomes of this tournament here: User: lostemperor User: golden executive User: ohiochessfan
 
   Apr-22-16 Li Chao vs Carlsen, 2016 (replies)
 
lostemperor: No chao time for Carlsen if it is up to Li! <;)
 
   Apr-22-16 J Xiong vs Caruana, 2016
 
lostemperor: An impressive game from Xiong the debutant in the strongest US championships surviving the attack from the top seed. From the diagram black played 33. .. Re1 when white came up with the surprising but fantastic looking 34. a4?! Perhaps not a good move but intriguing! I still ...
 
   Apr-20-16 Norway Chess (2016) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Anybody knows if there are Sophia rules here in Norway that a draw offer must be consulted with the arbiter to avoid short draws?
 
   Apr-18-16 Chessgames Bookie chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: For more bets on Norway Chess, you can visit my forum or that from <Golden Executive> or <OhioChessFan> :)
 
   Mar-28-16 moronovich chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <moronovich: Caruana: 3.8 Karjakin: 5.0 Nakamura: 7.0 Aronian : 7.0 Anand : 12.0 Giri : 14.0 Svidler : 22.0 Topalov : 25.0> What odds are those you mentioned?!
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 205 OF 205 ·  Later Kibitzing>
May-21-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Hope Gashimov Memorial is good to go!

1. Caruana
2. Karjakin
3. Mamedyarov
3. Radjabov
5. Harikrishna
6. Eljanov
7. Giri
8. Hou Yifan
8. Mamedov
8. Safarli

BTW: When determining who finishes first place (or any place really), will tiebreakers factor in?

May-22-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Coming Soon ** Gashimov 2016 Moves Prediction Contest. Conducted by the Legendary <chessmoron> and hosted at Graceland, home of Elvis. Click on Elvis for details.
May-24-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Coming soon Shamkir 2016 (Gashimov Memorial Tournament)!!!

♘Shamkir 2016♘ Gashimov Memorial ♗Shamkir 2016♗

This tournament will run from May 26th thru June 4th 2016.

Participants include: Fabiano Caruana, Anish Giri, Sergey Karjakin, Pentala Harikrishna, Pavel Eljanov, Shakhriyar Mamedyarov, Teimour Rajabov, Eltaj Safarli, Hou Yifan & Rauf Mamedov

*****
*****

<<> Shamkir 2016! (Gashimov Memorial) <>>

< 3 Prediction Contests: (Win virtual medals - Gold, Silver & Bronze) >

User: lostemperor - Predict the order the players will finish. (3 categories to medal in)

User: Golden Executive - Predict the result 1-0, 1/2, or 0-1 (3 categories to medal in)

This year will be the 10th Anniversary for this contest! (from 2007 to 2016 - 10 years running)

User: OhioChessFan - Predict the result 1-0, 1/2, or 0-1 & the number of moves. (4 categories to medal in)

***<Golden Executive> & <chessmoron> have confirmed they will be running their contests for this event. I am hoping that <lostemperor> will be running his as well.***

*****
*****

Also don't forget about <chessgames> ChessBookie game for this event. He can't wait to take some or all of your chessbucks. ;)

ChessBookie Game

Don't miss out on the fun for this Super Event!!!

May-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks <WinKing> Interesting tournament the Gashimov memorial. It is a bit late though but if there is enough interest it can have a go!
May-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: 1. Karjakin
2. Giri
2. Caruana
4. Harikrishna
5. Eljanov
5. Radjabov
7. Mamedyarov
8. Hou
9. Safarli
9. Mamedov
May-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: <lostemperor: Thanks <WinKing> Interesting tournament the Gashimov memorial. It is a bit late though but if there is enough interest it can have a go!>

Your welcome <lostemperor>. I sent out quite a few flyers to members that like to play so hopefully you will have a nice turnout. :)

May-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Predictions Shamkir 2016:

1. Karjakin
2. Caruana
3. Giri
4. Mamedyarov
4. Radjabov
6. Harikrishna
6. Eljanov
8. Safarli
8. Hou
8. Mamedov

May-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  YouRang: How it will all end:

1. Caruana
2. Giri
3. Karjakin
4. Radjabov
4. Eljanov
6. Mamedyarov
6. Harikrishna
8. Mamedov
9. Hou
9. Safarli

May-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: My bets:
1. Caruana
2. Karjakin
3. Harikrishna
4. Giri
4. Mamedyarov
4. Radjabov
7. Eljanov
8. Mamedov
9. Hou
10. Safarli
May-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan:

1. Caruana
2. Karjakin
3. Eljanov
4. Giri
5. Radjabov
5. Mamedyarov
7. Harikrishna
8. Hou
9. Mamedov
10. Safarli

May-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Hi <lostemperor>!, here my predictions:

1. Caruana
2. Giri
2. Karjakin
4. Eljanov
4. Mamedyarov
6. Radjabov
6. Harikrishna
8. Hou
8. Mamedov
10. Safarli

Good luck to everybody!

May-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  suenteus po 147: My predictions for the final standings:

1. Karjakin
2. Caruana
2. Giri
2. Mamedyarov
5. Harikrishna
5. Eljanov
7. Mamedov
8. Safarli
8. Hou
8. Radjabov

May-26-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Slight bets change:
1. Caruana
2. Karjakin
3. Harikrishna
3. Giri
3. Mamedyarov
3. Radjabov
7. Eljanov
8. Hou
9. Mamedov
10. Safarli
May-26-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: 1. Caruana
2. Karjakin
3. Harikrishna
4. Mamedyarov
4. Radjabov
4. Giri
7. Eljanov
8. Hou
8. Safarli
8. Mamedov
May-26-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: The tournament has started. :)
May-26-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks <Penguincw>. A small but strong select group of contestants, will be exciting to see results! It may take the weekend before I can post the first results..
May-27-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: All draws in round one, so we will start from scratch. The CONMAN software will be getting warmed up to run the predictions results!
May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Have the CONMAN up and running for the first results. Thanks for your patience!
May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Here how the final standings would be according to the RATINGS expectations:

1. Caruana (2804)
2. Giri (2790)
3. Karjakin (2779)
4. Eljanov (2765)
4. Harikrishna (2763)
6. Mamedyarov (2748)
7. Radjabov (2726)
8. Safari (2664)
8. Hou Yifan (2663)
10. Mamedov (2655)

May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Here how the final standings would be according to the CHESSBOOKIE odds: Gashimov Memorial: WINNER

1. Caruana
2. Karjakin
3. Giri
4. Mamedyarov
5. Harikrishna
6. Eljanov
7. Radjabov
8. Safarli
8. Hou
8. Mamedov

May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <GASHIMOV MEMORIAL 2016

<It has been a lot of fighting chess in Baku Gashimov memorial!

<Standings after 4 rounds:
<1. Caruana
2. Giri
3. Karjakin
3. Radjabov
3. Mamedyarov
3. Safarli
7. Mamedov
7. Harikrishna
7. Hou
10. Eljanov>
>
>
>

May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 4

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

33,WinKing
33,YouRang
32,Golden Executive
32,lostemperor
~~~~
30,CHESSBOOKIE
29,OhioChessFan
29,RATINGS
29,SwitchingQuylthulg
27,Penguincw
26,WannaBe
24,suenteus po 147

May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 4

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

279,WinKing
269,CHESSBOOKIE
265,lostemperor
264,YouRang
~~~~
259,Golden Executive
258,SwitchingQuylthulg
257,RATINGS
250,Penguincw
245,WannaBe
242,suenteus po 147
237,OhioChessFan

May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 4

Earnings,UserID

$5.50,YouRang
$4.90,WinKing
$2.56,Penguincw
~~~~
$-0.20,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-1.11,suenteus po 147
$-1.19,OhioChessFan
$-1.70,Golden Executive
$-2.45,lostemperor
$-6.29,WannaBe

May-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$9.00,Giri-above-Karjakin, YouRang

$9.00,Radjabov-equal-Safarli, suenteus po 147

$2.25,Harikrishna-above-Eljanov, lostemperor + Penguincw + SwitchingQuylthulg + WannaBe

$2.25,Hou-equal-Mamedov, Golden Executive + Penguincw + SwitchingQuylthulg + WinKing

$2.25,Radjabov-above-Eljanov, lostemperor + Penguincw + SwitchingQuylthulg + WinKing

$2.25,Radjabov-above-Harikrishna, OhioChessFan + Penguincw + WinKing + YouRang

Jump to page #   (enter # from 1 to 205)
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 205 OF 205 ·  Later Kibitzing>

Take the Premium Membership Tour
NOTE: You need to pick a username and password to post a reply. Getting your account takes less than a minute, totally anonymous, and 100% free--plus, it entitles you to features otherwise unavailable. Pick your username now and join the chessgames community!
If you already have an account, you should login now.
Please observe our posting guidelines:
  1. No obscene, racist, sexist, or profane language.
  2. No spamming, advertising, or duplicating posts.
  3. No personal attacks against other members.
  4. Nothing in violation of United States law.
  5. No posting personal information of members.
Blow the Whistle See something that violates our rules? Blow the whistle and inform an administrator.


NOTE: Keep all discussion on the topic of this page. This forum is for this specific user and nothing else. If you want to discuss chess in general, or this site, you might try the Kibitzer's Café.
Messages posted by Chessgames members do not necessarily represent the views of Chessgames.com, its employees, or sponsors.

You are not logged in to chessgames.com.
If you need an account, register now;
it's quick, anonymous, and free!
If you already have an account, click here to sign-in.

View another user profile:
  


home | about | login | logout | F.A.Q. | your profile | preferences | Premium Membership | Kibitzer's Café | Biographer's Bistro | new kibitzing | chessforums | Tournament Index | Player Directory | World Chess Championships | Opening Explorer | Guess the Move | Game Collections | ChessBookie Game | Chessgames Challenge | Store | privacy notice | advertising | contact us
Copyright 2001-2016, Chessgames Services LLC
Web design & database development by 20/20 Technologies