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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Aug-29-18
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

Next event SINQUEFIELD CUP August 18 open for predictions!

Format to post your predictions

1. Carlsen
2. Mamedyarov
3. Aronian
4. Caruana
5. Karjakin
5. So
5. Nakamura
8. vachier
8. Anand
10. Grischuk

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7138 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Aug-29-18 6th Sinquefield Cup (2018) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Congratulations to the winners of the Sinquefield Cup Final Standings Prediction's contest <cromat>♔ <Schwartz>♔ <AlphaXerox>♔ <DerDiemer>♕ <rogge>♖
 
   Aug-29-18 Dortmund (2018)
 
lostemperor: Prize Winners of the Dortmund Final Standings Prediction Contest <WinKing>♔, <offramp>♔ and <Penguincw>♔,<lostemperor>♕ <SwitchingQuylthulg>♖
 
   Aug-28-18 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Congratulations to the winners <cromat> <Schwartz> <AlphaXerox> <DerDiemer> <rogge>!! <cromat> hits the top positions in the Absolute Ranker to join <Schwartz> and Square Ranker just on the Final 9th Round and <AlphaXerox> manages ...
 
   Aug-27-18 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Round 9 Aronian - Grischuk 1-0 45 So - Caruana 1/2 35 Anand - Mamedyarov 1/2 38 Carlsen - Nakamura 1/2 50 Karjakin - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 47
 
   Aug-27-18 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Round 9 Aronian - Grischuk 1-0 So - Caruana 1/2 Anand - Mamedyarov 1/2 Carlsen - Nakamura 1/2 Karjakin - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0
 
   Jun-11-18 Altibox Norway (2018) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the Norway Chess Prediction Contest at my forum <alfamikewhiskey>♔, <Penguincw>♕, <Count Wedgemore>♕, <WinKing>♕ <chessmoron>♖. See you in August for the Sinquefield Cup!
 
   Apr-29-18 Gashimov Memorial (2018) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the Gashimov Memorial Final Standings Prediction Contest at my forum: <chancho>♔♕, <WinKing>♔♕ <whiteshark>♔, <alfamikewhiskey>♕, <wordfunph>♖, <Keyser Soze>♖ ...
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 251 OF 251 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Aug-25-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER

Score,UserID

307,Schwartz
289,cromat
280,OhioChessFan
~~~~
273,Aurora
271,rogge
257,Count Wedgemore
256,AlphaXerox
255,DerDiemer
253,Golden Executive
248,whiteshark
247,morfishine
246,paavoh
243,wordfunph
236,scout118
235,Keyser Soze
229,moronovich
223,chessmoron
221,WinKing
220,WannaBe
219,lostemperor
207,alfamikewhiskey
203,offramp
194,Robin01
186,YouRang
93,Penguincw

PAIR BETTING RANKER 6

Earnings,UserID

$32.99,whiteshark
$21.82,Schwartz
$17.74,DerDiemer
~~~~
$16.82,OhioChessFan
$11.60,scout118
$10.74,cromat
$8.85,AlphaXerox
$4.27,rogge
$3.01,alfamikewhiskey
$0.58,WannaBe
$-0.09,Aurora
$-1.50,Count Wedgemore
$-2.63,chessmoron
$-4.55,morfishine
$-5.60,moronovich
$-5.78,Robin01
$-7.88,wordfunph
$-8.73,Penguincw
$-8.75,YouRang
$-10.56,Keyser Soze
$-11.63,paavoh
$-13.19,Golden Executive
$-14.59,WinKing
$-15.49,offramp
$-17.44,lostemperor

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$25.00,Carlsen-equal-Grischuk, whiteshark

$8.33,Anand-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, DerDiemer + scout118 + YouRang

$8.33,Caruana-above-Carlsen, moronovich + scout118 + whiteshark

$6.25,Anand-above-Nakamura, chessmoron + DerDiemer + morfishine + OhioChessFan

$6.25,Aronian-equal-mamedyarov, alfamikewhiskey + AlphaXerox + Robin01 + Schwartz

$6.25,Carlsen-equal-mamedyarov, DerDiemer + Penguincw + rogge + scout118

Aug-27-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SINQUEFIELD CUP ROUND 7 AND 8 UPDATE

<All Draws!

<Round 7
Aronian - So 1/2
Anand - Grischuk 1/2
Carlsen - Caruana 1/2
Karjakin - Mamedyarov 1/2
Vachier-Lagrave - Nakamura 1/2

<Round 8

Vachier-Lagrave - Aronian 1/2
Nakamura - Karjakin 1/2
Mamedyarov - Carlsen 1/2
Caruana - Anand 1/2
Grischuk - So 1/2

<standings:
1. Caruana
2. Aronian
2. Carlsen
2. Grischuk
2. mamedyarov
6. Vachier-Lagrave
6. Anand
8. So
9. Nakamura
10. Karjakin>
>
>
>

Aug-27-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Rankings remain the same with <Schwartz> Absolute and Square Ranker, <whiteshark> Pair Betting holding the lead over the weekend with one round to go! Hopefully, for me at least, we see more fireworks today :o
Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SINQUEFIELD CUP 2018 FINAL UPDATE

<Three way tie for first: Aronian, Carlsen, Caruana!

<ROUND 9
Aronian - Grischuk 1-0
So - Caruana 1/2
Anand - Mamedyarov 1/2
Carlsen - Nakamura 1-0
Karjakin - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2

<Standings:
1. Caruana 5.5
1. Aronian
1. Carlsen
4. Mamedyarov 5
5. Anand 4.5
5. Grischuk
5. Vachier-Lagrave
8. So 4
9. Nakamura 3
9. Karjakin>
>
>
>

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SINQUEFIELD CUP

♔♕♖THE PREDICTIONS♔♕♖

ABSOLUTE RANKER
Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

♔35,cromat
♔35,Schwartz
♖33,AlphaXerox
~~~~
32,DerDiemer
32,OhioChessFan
32,rogge
31,Aurora
30,Count Wedgemore
30,wordfunph
29,Golden Executive
29,scout118
28,morfishine
28,paavoh
27,Keyser Soze
26,chessmoron
26,lostemperor
26,moronovich
24,Robin01
24,WinKing
23,whiteshark
20,offramp
20,YouRang
19,alfamikewhiskey
19,WannaBe
2,Penguincw

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER FINAL

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

299,cromat
293,Schwartz
289,DerDiemer
~~~~
288,rogge
285,OhioChessFan
277,AlphaXerox
268,Golden Executive
268,Keyser Soze
267,Count Wedgemore
267,wordfunph
264,Aurora
262,chessmoron
262,morfishine
258,paavoh
255,lostemperor
248,WinKing
243,scout118
238,moronovich
222,whiteshark
220,Robin01
212,offramp
199,alfamikewhiskey
198,YouRang
185,WannaBe
67,Penguincw

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER

Earnings,UserID

♔$29.64,AlphaXerox
♕$21.47,DerDiemer
♖$17.37,rogge
~~~~
$10.51,OhioChessFan
$9.58,Schwartz
$8.09,cromat
$3.08,WinKing
$2.67,Penguincw
$2.10,Count Wedgemore
$0.80,chessmoron
$-1.69,morfishine
$-4.01,Keyser Soze
$-4.06,Aurora
$-4.26,paavoh
$-4.30,scout118
$-5.68,lostemperor
$-5.82,Golden Executive
$-6.54,WannaBe
$-7.15,alfamikewhiskey
$-7.23,whiteshark
$-7.40,wordfunph
$-8.27,YouRang
$-10.33,moronovich
$-13.68,offramp
$-14.90,Robin01

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

JACKPOT!!
$25.00,Aronian-above-Mamedyarov, Penguincw

JACKPOT!!
$25.00,Grischuk-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, AlphaXerox

Semi-Jackpot!
$12.50,Aronian-equal-Caruana, rogge + WinKing

$8.33,Anand-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, DerDiemer + scout118 + YouRang

$8.33,Karjakin-equal-Nakamura, DerDiemer + lostemperor + rogge

$6.25,Anand-above-Nakamura, chessmoron + DerDiemer + morfishine + OhioChessFan

MISSED CHANCE
$0.00,Aronian-equal-Carlsen, (0 winners)

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Congratulations to the winners <cromat> <Schwartz> <AlphaXerox> <DerDiemer> <rogge>!!

<cromat> hits the top positions in the Absolute Ranker to join <Schwartz> and Square Ranker just on the Final 9th Round and <AlphaXerox> manages to top the Pair Bettings again with a Jackpot!

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  rogge: Thanks for hosting, <lostemperor> :)
Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks, I'd like to express my, hosting for your of this contest.
Aug-28-18  alfamikewhiskey: Thank you! :)
Aug-28-18  DerDiemer: Thanx <lostemperor> for a great contest. A silver and bronz in my debut here :-)
Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: Thanks,once again,for hosting <lostemperor> !

And congratulations to all the winners.

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  YouRang: Thank <lostemperor> and congrats to the medalists!
Aug-28-18  cromat: Thank you <lostemperor> for managing the contest and the nice words. Congratulations the other medalists and all participants!
Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Many thanks <lostemperor> for running the show and congratulations to all the medal winners, especially to the ones making their debut at this contest.

See you all next time!

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Thanks <lostemperor> for doing the contest! I see that I need to get another Ouija board, apparently.

Congrats to the winners!

=)

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thanks <lostemperor> for running another great show! Exciting finish!

Congratulations to all of the medal winners! We have a couple of new additions to <lostemperor>'s Hall of Fame. <AlphaXerox> & <Schwartz> both picked up their first Gold in this contest. Not only that, it was their first gold either have ever won. Congratulations to you both! <cromat> picked up his 4th gold in this contest(9 Golds overall) & has been a solid performer the last couple of contests. Well done <cromat>!

Looking forward to the next contest. Always fun to play here!

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Ouch. Looks like I should've turned my upside down predictions, upside-down.

Well, it doesn't always work, and when it doesn't, it can be embarrassing. Just <2> points in the ABSOLUTE Ranker. (am glad to avoid the triple clown)

In any case, thanks again to <lostemperor> for hosting, congrats to the medalists.

Hope to see you at LCC or Tata Steel.

P.S. Any updates from the last contest if you include <wordfunph>'s picks?

Aug-28-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Keyser Soze: Thanks again <lost emperor>!;great job
Aug-29-18  paavoh: Thanks <lostemperor> for running this exciting contest again!

Congratulations to all medalists, well done!

See you next time!

Aug-29-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: <lostemperor> thanks!

to all winners, cheerssss!

Aug-29-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: Many thanks, <lostemperor>!

I think this was a hard tournament to predict so all the winners did very well!

Aug-29-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  morfishine: <lostemperor> Thanks much! I'm pleased with my result in your contest, especially since its my first crack at it!
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