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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen May-03-16

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<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' GAME FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

Next tournament <Norway Chess> April 19 http://norwaychess.no/spillerne/

Here a format how to post your predictions

1. Carlsen
1. Kramnik
3. Giri
4. Aronian
5. Vachier-Lagrave
6. Topalov
7. Li Chao
8. Eljanov
9. Harikrishna
9. Grandelius

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖WannaBe

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♕♖cromat

~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔♕Robin01
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

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♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 6332 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Apr-30-16 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Thanks contest manager <chessmoron> sponsor <OhioChessFan> and all assists. Congratulations all medal winners, <Karposian> <WinKing> and <Penguincw> for winning Gold. <Win-King> beating <lost-emperor> by one point in the Bonus Ranker. It
 
   Apr-30-16 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Thanks <Golden Executive> for another fine run tournament! Also for winning Silver in the Final Standings Predictions Pair Bettings at my forum, being generous sharing all your pay-offs with fellow kibitzer <offramp>. It was a steep climb to the top here! Kudos for ...
 
   Apr-30-16 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <rogge> <SwitchingQuylthulg > and <WannaBe> victorious in the absolute ranker!! <rogge> winning in the square ranker also. This time he did not have help from Magnus Carlsen predictions as in the Candidates tournament or has he perhaps? :) ...
 
   Apr-22-16 Li Chao vs Carlsen, 2016 (replies)
 
lostemperor: No chao time for Carlsen if it is up to Li! <;)
 
   Apr-22-16 J Xiong vs Caruana, 2016
 
lostemperor: An impressive game from Xiong the debutant in the strongest US championships surviving the attack from the top seed. From the diagram black played 33. .. Re1 when white came up with the surprising but fantastic looking 34. a4?! Perhaps not a good move but intriguing! I still ...
 
   Apr-20-16 Norway Chess (2016) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Anybody knows if there are Sophia rules here in Norway that a draw offer must be consulted with the arbiter to avoid short draws?
 
   Apr-18-16 Chessgames Bookie chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: For more bets on Norway Chess, you can visit my forum or that from <Golden Executive> or <OhioChessFan> :)
 
   Mar-28-16 moronovich chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <moronovich: Caruana: 3.8 Karjakin: 5.0 Nakamura: 7.0 Aronian : 7.0 Anand : 12.0 Giri : 14.0 Svidler : 22.0 Topalov : 25.0> What odds are those you mentioned?!
 
   Mar-28-16 Karjakin vs Caruana, 2016 (replies)
 
lostemperor: I see problems coming for white with a Q and B battery along the h8- a1 diagonal and the a file but the computer see absolutely no threats yet:)
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

NORWAY CHESS PREDICTION GAME

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 204 OF 204 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Apr-29-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 8

Earnings,UserID

$32.75,Keyser Soze
$24.59,Golden Executive
$24.59,offramp
~~~~
$9.06,alfamikewhiskey
$8.57,suenteus po 147
$8.42,WannaBe
$2.76,SwitchingQuylthulg
$2.13,chessmoron
$0.22,lostemperor
$-0.52,rogge
$-1.13,YouRang
$-3.74,OhioChessFan
$-5.11,cromat
$-5.49,moronovich
$-5.57,WinKing
$-5.86,whiteshark
$-7.02,paavoh
$-8.44,Karposian
$-9.72,Aurora
$-10.99,wordfunph
$-11.75,Aiuta
$-18.59,Penguincw
$-19.17,Beholder

Apr-29-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$23.00,Harikrishna-above-Giri, alfamikewhiskey

$23.00,Topalov-above-Giri, Keyser Soze

$11.50,Kramnik-equal-Topalov, Golden Executive + offramp

$11.50,Topalov-equal-VachierLagrave, Golden Executive + offramp

Apr-29-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: The landscape has changed a bit but with one more round to go!<rogge> <SwitchingQuylthulg> and <WannaBe> tieing for first in the absolute ranker. The first having the edge in the square ranker. <Keyser Soze> on top in the pair bettings. <Golden Executive> and <offramp> share second even while splitting all pay-offs there..
Apr-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <NORWAY SUPER CHESS TOURNAMENT 2016

♔FINAL ROUND♔

<Carlsen won his "home" tournament for the first time with the only win in round 9!

<Carlsen - Eljanov 1-0
Harikrishna - Aronian 1/2
Topalov - Kramnik 1/2
Grandelius - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2
Chao - Giri 1/2

<The standings:
1. Carlsen 6
2. Aronian 5.5
3. VachierLagrave 5
3. Topalov 5
3. Kramnik 5
6. Li Chao 4.5
6. Harikrishna 4.5
8. Giri 4
9. Eljanov 3
10. Grandelius 2.5>
>
>
>

Apr-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS' STANDINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER FINAL

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

♔39,rogge
♔39,SwitchingQuylthulg
♔39,WannaBe
~~~~
37,Keyser Soze
36,CHESSBOOKIE
36,Golden Executive
36,offramp
36,whiteshark
35,WinKing
34,BOOKIEODDS
34,chessmoron
34,Karposian
33,cromat
33,RATINGS
32,Aurora
32,moronovich
31,lostemperor
31,OhioChessFan
31,YouRang
30,paavoh
28,Aiuta
28,suenteus po 147
28,wordfunph
27,Beholder
19,Penguincw
18,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER FINAL

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

305,rogge
302,WannaBe
297,Keyser Soze
~~~~~~
295,SwitchingQuylthulg
295,WinKing
294,Golden Executive
294,offramp
290,BOOKIEODDS
286,CHESSBOOKIE
286,whiteshark
283,Karposian
277,chessmoron
277,OhioChessFan
276,RATINGS
276,YouRang
273,moronovich
270,lostemperor
270,paavoh
267,Aurora
266,cromat
258,suenteus po 147
254,wordfunph
250,Aiuta
235,Beholder
196,Penguincw
178,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER FINAL

Earnings,UserID

♔$32.80,Keyser Soze
♕$24.63,Golden Executive
♕$24.63,offramp
~~~~
$9.10,alfamikewhiskey
$8.47,WannaBe
$7.57,suenteus po 147
$2.81,SwitchingQuylthulg
$2.18,chessmoron
$0.26,lostemperor
$-0.48,rogge
$-1.08,YouRang
$-3.69,OhioChessFan
$-5.06,cromat
$-5.44,moronovich
$-5.52,WinKing
$-5.82,whiteshark
$-6.98,paavoh
$-8.39,Karposian
$-9.68,Aurora
$-10.94,wordfunph
$-11.71,Aiuta
$-18.54,Penguincw
$-19.12,Beholder

Apr-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$23.00,Harikrishna-above-Giri, alfamikewhiskey
JACKPOT!!

$23.00,Topalov-above-Giri, Keyser Soze
JACKPOT!!

$11.50,Kramnik-equal-Topalov, Golden Executive + offramp Semi-JACKPOT!

$11.50,Topalov-equal-VachierLagrave, Golden Executive + offramp Semi-JACKPOT!

****

$7.67,LiChao-above-Giri, alfamikewhiskey + Keyser Soze + suenteus po 147

$5.75,Harikrishna-above-Eljanov, chessmoron + lostemperor + SwitchingQuylthulg + WannaBe

$5.75,Kramnik-equal-VachierLagrave, Golden Executive + offramp + suenteus po 147 + YouRang

Apr-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <rogge> <SwitchingQuylthulg > and <WannaBe> victorious in the absolute ranker!!

<rogge> winning in the square ranker also. This time he did not have help from Magnus Carlsen predictions as in the Candidates tournament or has he perhaps? :)

<SwitchingQuylthulg> showing his form again by winning gold in all three tournaments of 2016 and has now also 8 Hall of Fame Crowns as Top HOFer <WannaBe> who also won gold and silver earlier this year!

New comer <Keyser Soze> won the Pair Betting Ranker over <Golden Executive> and <offramp>! <Keyser Soze> Jackpot "$23.00,Topalov-above-Giri" turned out to be worth gold with a large pay out "$7.67,LiChao-above-Giri".

The other Jackpot won by <alfamikewhiskey> "Harikrishna-above-Giri".

For the first time no missed chances. All pair outcomes have been predicted by the contestants of the prediction game!

Apr-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks Yoda. Very impressive that the contestants had no missed pair placings.
Apr-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Thanks to <lostemperor> for managing the contest, and congratulations to the other medalists!
Apr-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: When I first copied <GoldenExecutive> a couple of tournaments ago I did not realise how good he was.

I am afraid I rather stupidly copied him twice - more fool me! - and ended up in a very awkward situation.

I am donating my winnings to The Human Fund (Money for People).

This money will go to help make the Primorsky Steps wheelchair accessible.

Thanks again to <GoldenExecutive> for his acumen and very good humour!

Apr-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  rogge: Without relying on Carlsen's predictions I'm doing all right, it seems :)

Thanks to our host <lostemperor>, and congrats to all medalists!

Apr-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  alfamikewhiskey: Thank you for hosting!
Apr-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thanks <lostemperor> for running & hosting an extremely exciting contest! We did not know who was going to win this thing until the 9th round.

Congratulations to all of the medal winners! Special gratz to <rogge>, <SwitchingQuylthulg> & <WannaBe> each grabbing a gold in the 'ABSOLUTE RANKER FINAL'. <rogue> also had a gold in the 'SQUARE RANKER FINAL'.

Special kudos to <Keyser Soze>! You picked up a gold in the 'PAIR BETTING RANKER FINAL'. My records show this as being the first gold medal you have ever won, nicely done! Welcome to the 'Hall of Fame'! :)

Apr-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Thanks to <lostemperor> for hosting. Congrats to the gold medalists, and the other medalists too.

As for <Karposian>, congrats for blowing your lead. Very much expected that. As for me, you predicted I would end up with a "triple clown", and look, I avoided that fate. >:p

<lostemperor> When is the next contest (Gashimov Memorial)?

Apr-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  YouRang: Thanks <lostemperor> for running the contest. Congrats to all of the medalists.
Apr-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Karposian: Thanks <lostemperor> for another great contest. This is always so much fun. Congratulations to the winners, and to <Penguincw> for avoiding the "triple clown" :)
Apr-30-16  Keyser Soze: Hey <lostemperor>, thanks very much for hosting. Great fun!

I guess I got that beginner's luck. o:)

cheers

Apr-30-16  Keyser Soze: <winking> Hey thanks pal :o)
Apr-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: <lostemperor> Thanks for running the contest, and congratulations to all the winners, especially first timer <KS>.
Apr-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  suenteus po 147: Thank you, <lostemperor> for running this contest! I'm already looking forward to the next one :)
Apr-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Thanks <lostemperor> for running and commenting another excellent contest! and kudos for your double crown in the GPC.

Congratulations to all the other medal winners, particularly <Keyser Soze> for entering the Hall of Fame!.

<offramp> No problem :). If in round 8 Eljanov had won instead of losing his game with white versus Li Chao, now we would be celebrating a triple crown, even after splitting the pay-offs. Shame on you Eljanov!

Apr-30-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: Thanks to <lostemperor> for running the show and congratulations to all the winners !
May-01-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  whiteshark: <lostemperor> Belated thanks 4 runnin <The Final Standings Prediction Contest>.
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