User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
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♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 108 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Nov-15-11		Ragh: 1.Anand 2.Carlsen 2.Aronian 4.Kramnik 5.Gelfand 5.Karjakin 7.Ivanchuk 8.Svidler 8.Nakamura 10.Nepomniatchi

Nov-15-11		isemeria: Tal Memorial Predictions: 1. Aronian 2. Carlsen 2. Kramnik 4. Karjakin 5. Svidler 5. Anand 7. Gelfand 8. Nakamura 9. Nepomniachtchi 9. Ivanchuk

Nov-15-11		Ezzy: Tal Memorial Predictions: Thanks again for the competition <lostemperor> 1.Carlsen 2.Anand 3.Kramnik 4.Aronian 5.Ivanchuk 6.Gelfand 7.Svidler 8.Karjakin 9.Nakamura 10.Nepomniachtchi

Nov-15-11		WinKing: Tal Memorial predictions : 1.Carlsen 2.Aronian 3.Karjakin 3.Anand 5.Kramnik 5.Svidler 7.Gelfand 8.Ivanchuk 9.Nakamura 10.Nepomniachtchi

Nov-15-11		OhioChessFan: Tal Memorial 2011 Moves Prediction Contest is now open. First round begins tomorrow. Click on Elvis for details.

Nov-16-11		Golden Executive: 1. Aronian 1. Ivanchuk 1. Carlsen 4. Kramnik 4. Anand 6. Gelfand 6. Nakamura 8. Svidler 8. Nepomniachtchi 10. Karjakin

Nov-16-11		lostemperor: Most off beat predictions: By taking the average predictIons and reversing it I can calculate the most onorthodox predictors. The CONMAN not was rusty (but I am :)) Absolute: ♔Wild Bill ♕wordfunph ♖moronovich ♖Robin01 Squared: ♔,Wild Bill ♕moronovich ♖,SwitchingQuylthulg If any more are still to come before the tournament starts, I will update..

Nov-16-11		lostemperor: Average tournament player prediciton so far: AveragePrediciton,Player,HighestPrediction,Lowes- tPrediction 1.47,Carlsen,1.0,3.0 3.00,Aronian,1.0,8.0 4.00,Anand,1.0,8.0 4.12,Kramnik,2.0,8.0 5.65,Ivanchuk,2.0,9.5 6.00,Karjakin,3.0,10.0 6.65,Nakamura,2.5,9.0 7.24,Svidler,3.0,9.0 7.32,Gelfand,5.5,10.0 9.56,Nepomniachtchi,7.0,10.0

Nov-16-11		lostemperor: Tournament will start this afternoon local time

Nov-16-11		VargPOD: Tal Memorial predictions : 1.Carlsen 2.Aronian 3.Kramnik 4.Anand 4.Gelfand 4.Karjakin 7.Nakamura 7.Svidler 9.Nepomniachtchi 10.Ivanchuk

Nov-16-11		whiteshark: Tal Memorial, Predictions of the Final Standing: 1. Carlsen 2. Kramnik 3. Aronian 3. Anand 5. Ivanchuk 6. Karjakin 6. Svidler 6. Nakamura 9. Gelfand 10.Nepomniachtchi <moronovich: <the most dfficult tournament to predict for many years IMO.>> I'm afraid I have to agree. :D

Nov-16-11		lostemperor: The games have begun. Enjoy the tournament!

Nov-16-11		lostemperor: <TAL MEMORIAL ROUND 1 UPDATE> A shocking Kramnik - Nepomniachtchi 0-1 and Ivanchk beat Svidler Standings 1: 1. Nepomniachtchi 1. Ivanchuk 3. Gelfand 3. Nakamura 3. Karjakin 3. Anand 3. Carlsen 3. Aronian 9. Kramnik 9. Svidler

Nov-16-11		lostemperor: PREDICTION STANDINGS 1 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50 Score,UserID 24,cromat 22,Golden Executive 20,SloVice 20,YouRang 19,Check It Out 19,SwitchingQuylthulg 16,chesssantosh 16,lostemperor 16,Ragh 15,OhioChessFan 15,wordfunph 14,VargPOD 13,Ezzy 13,Robin01 13,whiteshark 11,moronovich 10,isemeria 10,WinKing 9,Wild Bill

Nov-16-11		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330 Score,UserID 208,cromat 207,Golden Executive 199,SwitchingQuylthulg 191,YouRang 187,SloVice 178,lostemperor 168,wordfunph 154,Check It Out 152,chesssantosh 149,Ragh 144,Ezzy 142,OhioChessFan 141,Robin01 138,whiteshark 129,WinKing 118,VargPOD 112,moronovich 97,isemeria 88,Wild Bill

Nov-16-11		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER Winnings in $: Earnings,UserID 28.01,lostemperor 25.48,cromat 25.16,Golden Executive 19.62,SwitchingQuylthulg 11.99,WinKing 8.98,Check It Out 8.54,YouRang 5.37,SloVice -0.84,VargPOD -2.23,wordfunph -3.38,moronovich -3.49,whiteshark -8.88,Ragh -16.95,Ezzy -17.11,chesssantosh -17.91,OhioChessFan -19.49,Robin01 -20.80,Wild Bill -22.07,isemeria

Nov-16-11		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $19.00,Anand-equal-Nakamura, SwitchingQuylthulg $19.00,Aronian-equal-Karjakin, moronovich $19.00,Gelfand-above-Kramnik, cromat $19.00,Gelfand-below-Nepomniachtchi, lostemperor $19.00,Karjakin-below-Nepomniachtchi, Golden Executive $19.00,Kramnik-equal-Svidler, WinKing $19.00,Nepomniachtchi-above-Svidler, lostemperor

Nov-16-11		isemeria: Great start for the tournament considering I predicted Ivanchuk and Nepomniachtchi for shared last. Go Nepo! ;-)

Nov-17-11		lostemperor: Here our virtual contestant CHESSBOOKIE: 1. Carlsen 2. Kramnik 3. Aronian 3. Anand 5. Ivanchuk 5. Karjakin 5. Svidler 8. Nakamura 9. Gelfand 10. Nepomniachtchi In order of betting odds. For the excact odds check: Tal Memorial: Winner

Nov-17-11		lostemperor: <ROUND 2 UPDATE <Carlsen beat Gelfand < Standings<: 1. Nepomniachtchi 1. Ivanchuk 1. Carlsen 4. Nakamura 4. Karjakin 4. Anand 4. Aronian 8. Kramnik 8. Svidler 8. Gelfand>>>>

Nov-17-11		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS 2 ABSOLUTE RANKER Score,UserID 27,cromat 27,SwitchingQuylthulg 26,Golden Executive 26,SloVice 25,lostemperor 24,wordfunph 23,chesssantosh 23,YouRang 22,CHESSBOOKIE 22,ELO 22,Robin01 22,whiteshark 20,Check It Out 20,moronovich 20,OhioChessFan 17,Ragh 16,Ezzy 16,VargPOD 15,WinKing 14,isemeria 12,Wild Bill

Nov-17-11		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 2 Score,UserID 242,SwitchingQuylthulg 232,lostemperor 230,cromat 227,Golden Executive 223,SloVice 216,wordfunph 212,YouRang 201,ELO 195,chesssantosh 193,Robin01 191,CHESSBOOKIE 191,whiteshark 174,Ezzy 173,OhioChessFan 170,Check It Out 168,moronovich 168,WinKing 165,Ragh 145,VargPOD 130,isemeria 125,Wild Bill

Nov-17-11		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 2 Earnings in $ 38.73,lostemperor 32.51,Golden Executive 26.62,SwitchingQuylthulg 18.82,WinKing 17.82,SloVice 9.12,cromat 4.70,wordfunph 4.67,YouRang 4.63,moronovich -5.62,CHESSBOOKIE -5.62,whiteshark -5.70,Check It Out -9.62,ELO -12.64,OhioChessFan -13.85,Robin01 -14.02,chesssantosh -14.65,VargPOD -17.67,Wild Bill -18.39,Ezzy -19.17,isemeria -20.65,Ragh

Nov-17-11		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $21.00,Anand-equal-Nakamura, SwitchingQuylthulg $21.00,Aronian-equal-Karjakin, moronovich $21.00,Carlsen-equal-Ivanchuk, Golden Executive $21.00,Gelfand-below-Nepomniachtchi, lostemperor $21.00,Karjakin-below-Nepomniachtchi, Golden Executive $21.00,Kramnik-equal-Svidler, WinKing $21.00,Nepomniachtchi-above-Svidler, lostemperor

Nov-17-11		lostemperor: Virtual contestant <ELO> the ratings is now included: ELO 1. Carlsen 2. Anand 3. Aronian 3. Kramnik 5. Ivanchuk 6. Karjakin 6. Nakamura 6. Svidler 9. Geldfand 10. Nepomniachtchi http://ratings.fide.com/top.phtml

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