chessgames.com
Members · Prefs · Laboratory · Collections · Openings · Endgames · Sacrifices · History · Search Kibitzing · Kibitzer's Café · Chessforums · Tournament Index · Players · Kibitzing
 
Chessgames.com User Profile Chessforum

Fusilli
Member since Aug-09-04 · Last seen Jan-10-26
Mariano Sana, Argentinian by birth, in the US since 1995. Naturalized US citizen. I hold a PhD in Demography from the University of Pennsylvania, and I am an associate professor of Sociology at Vanderbilt University: https://as.vanderbilt.edu/sociology.... Previously, I was at Louisiana State University (2003-2009).

My published academic work can be seen here: https://vanderbilt.academia.edu/Mar.... My review of Gary Alan Fine's "Players and Pawns" is here: https://www.academia.edu/69647923/P....

My avatar comes from a cartoon of mine drawn by a friend. My username, besides the pasta, is my late cat's name (he died in March 2021, age 19), inspired by this cartoon: https://condenaststore.com/featured....

My first tournament was at age 12 in 1979. I finished 8th in the Argentine junior championship in 1985. So, I was good enough, but not great. (That same evaluation might still be apt today, on a good day.) Unfortunately, no game scores survived from those years. I started to play again after grad school. I play between 0 and 4 tournaments per year.

I won the Louisiana State Championship in 2007. I lost the first game and then won six in a row. This was my last round win, where I got lucky after playing the opening pretty terribly: J Rousselle vs M Sana, 2007.

I also won the under 2200 section of the US Open in 2014. Again, Swiss gambit. Lost the first one, then won five in a row, lost game 7 (M Sana vs J Sheng, 2014, a rather atypical game), and won games 8 and 9. My last round win was featured as a Tuesday puzzle: K Gulamali vs M Sana, 2014. (Try it! Black to play at move 29. But you can also do black to play at move 22 as a principled-move puzzle.)

I'd say that I am essentially a good but inconsistent player. My playing style is a mix of strategic and tactical. I'm usually very willing to sac a pawn or allow positional weaknesses in exchange for active piece play. For years I hovered around 2200, down to mid 2100s a few years ago after a disaster and a 50-point loss at the 2019 World Open. (Aging and MS fatigue had much to do with that.) On good days, I have had nice wins: T Bartell vs M Sana, 2009, R Burnett vs M Sana, 2012, M Sana vs C Blocker, 2014, M Sana vs R Burnett, 2015. But on a bad day, I can play horribly and lose against whoever is sitting in front of me.

I was diagnosed with multiple sclerosis (MS) in 2011, but it didn't cause me trouble until 2018/9. I have a weak right leg (I often use a cane now) and I fatigue easily. Medication, well-timed naps, and exercise help.

I play blitz games on chess.com under the username RealFusilli.

My participation on this website goes through ebbs and flows, and the majority of my posts are about chess. I often post on my own forum just to keep records for myself. Everyone is welcome to visit and share! (But please don't post about politics here.)

>> Click here to see Fusilli's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   Fusilli has kibitzed 6340 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jan-10-26 Sax vs Karpov, 1989 (replies)
 
Fusilli: <perfidious> Well, that merits some discussion. For a while, white has been preferring d3 in move 5 or 6, but if white chooses the traditional closed set up, and doesn't go for 8.a4, the Breyer continues to be black's top preference on move 9. (I play it frequently in blitz ...
 
   Jan-09-26 Kasparov vs Nunn, 1989 (replies)
 
Fusilli: <Check It Out: I also assumed Nunn would be saved by something but if the kibitzing here is to be believed, it's Kasparov who was fortunate to make a draw.> My reaction too, though without reading any kibitzing first. I played through the game and got the feeling that Kasparov
 
   Jan-05-26 Fusilli chessforum
 
Fusilli: Likewise, <Teyss>! I had a less than ideal holiday break, catching the flu the week before Christmas. I am mostly recovered, though still coughing a bit and getting tired easily. Tomorrow I am going back to the Petri dish (I mean, the classroom), so I just got the covid shot. ...
 
   Jan-04-26 NN vs G Chandler, 1995
 
Fusilli: Or Ke7 instead of Nxc1, right? I'm happy to see Ke7 and not O-O, btw. Reminds me of the famous Ed Lasker vs G Thomas, 1912 , where many folks claim that O-O-O# would have been "cool" by comparison to the "boring" Kd2#, which Lasker played. Nonsense. The king doesn't need to rush to
 
   Jan-03-26 chessgames.com chessforum (replies)
 
Fusilli: Suggestion: Can the Russian Championship Superfinal (2005) , which he won, be added to the list of Sergei Rublevsky notable tournaments?
 
   Jan-02-26 Petrosian vs Unzicker, 1960
 
Fusilli: That king relocation is epic. No reason to rush g4!
 
   Jan-02-26 Biographer Bistro (replies)
 
Fusilli: Can Russian Championship Superfinal (2005) , which he won, be added to the list of Sergei Rublevsky notable tournaments?
 
   Jan-01-26 Portisch vs I Radulov, 1974 (replies)
 
Fusilli: This is absolutely mind-boggling.
 
   Jan-01-26 A Isanzhulov vs Ivanchuk, 2025
 
Fusilli: Poor Ivanchuk.
 
   Dec-30-25 M Miazhynski vs J Durana, 2025 (replies)
 
Fusilli: Wait, what? 6.O-O? Bc5? Surely someone messed up the score sheet!
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

My Facerook Wall

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 77 OF 114 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Dec-08-22  areknames: Argentina 2 Netherlands 1

Brazil 2 Croatia 0

Portugal 2 Morocco 0

France 2 England 2 England wins shoot out

Dec-08-22  technical draw: <op> You're giving away too many goals. I wish your prediction would come true but I think we'll see more 1-0.
Dec-08-22  areknames: < And, in the personal chess news department, I will be playing my second post-pandemic OTB tournament next weekend. It's a 5-round Swiss, FIDE rated, here in Nashville: The Music City Open. Organized by the Nashville Chess Center, whose executive board I was invited to join on Monday>

Just great news all around <Fusilli>, best of luck for the tournament!

Dec-08-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  saffuna: I am surprised England is being picked by some to defeat France. It could happen, but France appears to have a clearly stronger team.
Dec-08-22  areknames: <saffuna> Come on, let's hear your specific predictions!
Dec-08-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  saffuna: Too chicken.

But anyway...

France 2 England 0
Portugal 1 Morocco 0
Argentina 2 Netherlands 0
Brazil 3 Croatia 1

Dec-08-22  technical draw: Here are my predictions, the following will advance:

France
Portugal
Brazil
Argentina/Netherlands toss-up.

Dec-08-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  Fusilli: <technical draw: Here are my predictions, the following will advance>

Hey, you criticized <OP> for predicting too many goals, yet you don't offer your own predictions? :)

We are making specific final score predictions. The fans want <TD>'s predictions!

Dec-08-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  Fusilli: <saffuna: I am surprised England is being picked by some to defeat France. It could happen, but France appears to have a clearly stronger team.>

Yes, but we are guessing, not evaluating who the best teams are. The best team does not always win.

Here's a little probabilistic exercise. Say that we evaluate that the likelihood of a win for Brazil, Argentina, France, and Portugal is 0.7 for all of them (a simplification... the probability that Portugal beat Morocco seems way higher than the probability that France beat England). That is a high probability, when considering that the remaining 0.3 is for *both* losing and drawing together. (Technical note: in math and stats, probabilities are not expressed as % but as proportions--i.e. between 0 and 1.)

If a probability of 0.7 across the board is true, then the probability that <all four> will win is 0.7 raised to the 4th power, or 0.24.

So, yes, each of these teams is a strong candidate to win their match, but the probability that all four do so is slightly lower than 1 in 4. Just like Carlsen is a strong favorite to win all four games if he plays four players rated 2600, yet the likelihood that he concedes at least a draw is about 0.75. (See for a real life example his most recent batch of games vs Sevian and vs Shevchenko, two players rated near 2600: https://www.chessgames.com/perl/che...).

I must add, that all four teams winning (given the 0.7 I picked) is still the *most likely* result. For example, the probability that three win and the fourth doesn't is 0.7 raised to the 3rd power, times 0.3 = 0.1029. (The probability that none of them wins is 0.3 raised to the 4th power, or 0.0081, not even 1 percent. But again, my 0.7 was arbitrary.)

My preferred guess, as long as I am not committed to specify teams, would be that three of these four teams will move on and the other one will be surprisingly eliminated. (I hope it's not Argentina!) But this is not so surprising when you think in terms of probabilities.

(Yes, I teach statistics, now and then!)

Dec-08-22  technical draw: <fusilli> Ok, here are my score predictions:

All matches will end 1-0.

Dec-08-22  technical draw: <Fusilli (Yes, I teach statistics, now and then!)>

That's good. But I have invented the secret formula to win the pick three lottery!

Dec-08-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  Fusilli: <technical draw: <fusilli> Ok, here are my score predictions:

All matches will end 1-0.>

Bold! As the fans expected!

Dec-08-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  saffuna: I predict there will be a goal in the first five minutes of one game.

I predict Brazil will wear yellow, Croatia will wear red checkerboard, Argentina will wear poweder-blue-and-white stripes, and Neitherlands will wear orange.

In other words, all will wear their classic colors.

Dec-08-22  technical draw: I predict one player will complain of a call.

I predict there will be at least one off side.

I predict someone will fake an injury.

I predict the winners will be smiling and the loser will be frowning.

Any bets?

Dec-08-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  Fusilli: I want to see a field brawl! Can we see a field brawl?

I predict no brawls though.

Dec-09-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  Fusilli: Vamos Argentina today!!
Dec-09-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: Yes, vamos Argentina !

3-1 is my best bet.

The biggest question may be, that the dutch has´nt met so hard resistance, but otoh have saved some energy and the team looks rather harmonius this time.

Dec-09-22  technical draw: Brazil blew it.
Dec-09-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  saffuna: I just saw a replay of Croatia's goal. How could Croatia get an attack like that with Brazil's defenders not back? Where were they, looking for a second goal and glory?
Dec-09-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: Wow ! Brazil is out.

Those croatians are certainly experts in penalty shoutout and in light of that, they deserved to go through. But a horrible defence by the brazilians the last minuttes.

This is good news for e.g. the argentines.

Dec-09-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  saffuna: <Brazil is out.>

Amazing! Somebody who write "Brazil <is> out," not "Brazil <are> out." I understand the English saying that, as that's English grammar. But I hear Americans saying "Argentina were strong today" and the like, which only comes across as pretentious.

Dec-09-22  technical draw: Brazil lost because they started partying too soon. Anyway I prefer sudden death overtime than two 15 minute periods. Once it got to penalty shots I knew it was all over for Brazil.

<"Argentina were strong today" >

Yes, that's sounds awful to my ears.

Dec-09-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  saffuna: <Brazil lost because they started partying too soon.>

That's what the British radio announcers were saying as well. Though they themselves were saying it was over after Neymar's goal.

Certainly Brazil's defense should never have been caught upfield (up-pitch?) the way it was.

Brazil's first penalty kick was simply weak. Waist high, right center without much power.

Dec-09-22  technical draw: Here's a strange trivia. Netherlands is playing Argentina. The Queen of the Netherlands was born in Buenos Aires. I wonder who she is rooting for?
Dec-09-22  technical draw: Simply put: divine justice.
Jump to page #   (enter # from 1 to 114)
search thread:   
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 77 OF 114 ·  Later Kibitzing>

NOTE: Create an account today to post replies and access other powerful features which are available only to registered users. Becoming a member is free, anonymous, and takes less than 1 minute! If you already have a username, then simply login login under your username now to join the discussion.

Please observe our posting guidelines:

  1. No obscene, racist, sexist, or profane language.
  2. No spamming, advertising, duplicate, or gibberish posts.
  3. No vitriolic or systematic personal attacks against other members.
  4. Nothing in violation of United States law.
  5. No cyberstalking or malicious posting of negative or private information (doxing/doxxing) of members.
  6. No trolling.
  7. The use of "sock puppet" accounts to circumvent disciplinary action taken by moderators, create a false impression of consensus or support, or stage conversations, is prohibited.
  8. Do not degrade Chessgames or any of it's staff/volunteers.

Please try to maintain a semblance of civility at all times.

Blow the Whistle

See something that violates our rules? Blow the whistle and inform a moderator.


NOTE: Please keep all discussion on-topic. This forum is for this specific user only. To discuss chess or this site in general, visit the Kibitzer's Café.

Messages posted by Chessgames members do not necessarily represent the views of Chessgames.com, its employees, or sponsors.
All moderator actions taken are ultimately at the sole discretion of the administration.

You are not logged in to chessgames.com.
If you need an account, register now;
it's quick, anonymous, and free!
If you already have an account, click here to sign-in.

View another user profile:
   
Home | About | Login | Logout | F.A.Q. | Profile | Preferences | Premium Membership | Kibitzer's Café | Biographer's Bistro | New Kibitzing | Chessforums | Tournament Index | Player Directory | Notable Games | World Chess Championships | Opening Explorer | Guess the Move | Game Collections | ChessBookie Game | Chessgames Challenge | Store | Privacy Notice | Contact Us

Copyright 2001-2025, Chessgames Services LLC