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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-10-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
1. Game Collection: 1975 World Junior chess championship
2. Ongoing edits Vladimir Ostrogsky
3. Bio Adolf Zytogorski
4. Complete the Olympiad
5. Bio Lorenz Maximilian Drabke

7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Karl Mayet
12. Smbat Lputian

Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49344 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-09-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: 19 minutes of music so beautiful it will bring you to tears. Bach-Brandenberg Concerto 5 https://youtu.be/D1xaagpUGs4?si=1sQ...
 
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <BREAKING: British veteran breaks down live on TV over state of the country: "Rows and rows of white tombs for what? A country of today? No, I'm sorry. The sacrifice wasn't worth the result. I fought for freedom, and it's darn-sight worse now than when I fought."> Poor ...
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 100 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Mar-11-10  YouRang: <So I don't agree supernovas "also" work against the young earth theory. They are just another verse of the same song.>

Well, some say that stars are visible because at the time of creation, God didn't only create the stars, he also created the light in-between the stars and the earth.

Some people who like that explanation aren't so comfortable with it when they realize that within this "in-between" light, God included some video of events that never happened. Evidently, you are not among those bothered by that.

<I do understand the the circular reasoning charge, and won't hesitate to use it myself. The hard part is that most arguments are at base, circular.>

If that were the case, then most arguments are at base, fallacious. But if I believed that, I wouldn't be here trying to hold up my end of the argument. :-)

Here is another thing that puzzles me about the young universe hypothesis:

Young-universe creationists will argue that the universe is young, but that God created it so it would appear to be old. But they will also insist that they've found evidence that the universe is young. From this one could infer that God attempted to make the universe appear old, but did an incompetent job of it. :-p

Mar-11-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <If that were the case, then most arguments are at base, fallacious. But if I believed that, I wouldn't be here trying to hold up my end of the argument. >

I'd kick a rock and be done with it. To clarify the circular nature I meant, we assume we can make rigid arguments because of our appeal to reason. Of course that presumes reason exists. We might prove reason exists by appealing to logical arguments, but then......

<Young-universe creationists will argue that the universe is young, but that God created it so it would appear to be old. But they will also insist that they've found evidence that the universe is young. From this one could infer that God attempted to make the universe appear old, but did an incompetent job of it.>

Most appeals for a young earth reference processes, not appearances.

Mar-11-10  The Chess Express: <<<<<TCE>>>> Science has yet to create life out of non-life, or witness one creature evolve into another.>

<<<<<whatthefat>>>> Actually, we have observed the latter - in simple organisms of course, since they reproduce much more rapidly and so the course of evolution can be observed on the laboratory timescale. We have also observed the evolution of adaptations in much higher life forms on the timescale of years. To me, the theory of evolution is one of those ideas that's so blindingly obvious that it seems surprising it took a genius like Darwin to come up with it (and yet that's what sets such geniuses apart). And if you look carefully, you can see it in action all around you. Not only in biology (e.g., the adaptive immune system relies entirely on selection processes to function, and bacteria build resistance to antibiotics through selection), but also in the running of businesses, governments, manufacturing, fashion, etc.>

That's not really true although it is sometimes used as an example of evolution. Bacteria that become resistant do not become new species, and the mutations that help them also hurt them. An example on a human scale would be sickle cell disease. The disease gives us resistance to malaria, but it also harms us, and it does not turn us into a different species. Furthermore, the mutations responsible for antibiotic resistance in bacteria do not arise as a result of the “need” of the organisms, or exposure to the antibiotics. The resistance comes about purely by chance. In fact, there are bacteria that became resistant to antibiotics before the antibiotics where even invented.

I don't like to compare evolution to our social practices simply because evolution is morally questionable. There are those who would justify genocide as natural selection.

Mar-11-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: OhioChessFan: <whatthefat> in your examples, you seem to be confusing evolution with adaptations.>

<whatthefat: Where have I done this?>

You're equating changes in eye color and lactose tolerance with an eventual inbability to reproduce.

Mar-11-10  The Chess Express: <<<<<YouRang>>>> Young-universe creationists will argue that the universe is young, but that God created it so it would appear to be old. But they will also insist that they've found evidence that the universe is young. From this one could infer that God attempted to make the universe appear old, but did an incompetent job of it.>

Heh, doesn't make much sense. The evidence showing that the universe is billions of years old does seem to be convincing.

<<<<<OhioChessFan>>>> Most appeals for a young earth reference processes, not appearances.>

And yet you have been making the appearance argument. Has <YouRang> changed your mind?

Mar-11-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I have been responding to the appearance argument presented from the other side's point of view.
Mar-11-10  YouRang: <To clarify the circular nature I meant, we assume we can make rigid arguments because of our appeal to reason. Of course that presumes reason exists. We might prove reason exists by appealing to logical arguments, but then......>

That reason exists is considered axiomatic -- that is, accepted as self-evident without proof. All systems of logic must have some axioms as a starting point. Thus all logical arguments are not circular.

<Most appeals for a young earth reference processes, not appearances.>

Well, perhaps that settles it. Scientists cannot develop a process (i.e. theory) without first having facts (i.e. observations of 'appearances'). Thus, appeals for a young universe are not scientific.

But I'm not sure that many creationist scientists would agree with you.

Mar-11-10  The Chess Express: <<<<<OhioChessFan>>>> I have been responding to the appearance argument presented from the other side's point of view.>

So are you for or against the appearance argument?

Mar-11-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <Well, perhaps that settles it. Scientists cannot develop a process (i.e. theory) without first having facts (i.e. observations of 'appearances'). Thus, appeals for a young universe are not scientific.>

If they wanted to determine the age of the earth, scientists could measure an ongoing process like the decay of the magnetic field. If they can determine the degree of total decay and determine the current rate of decay, they just might find a somewhat accurate date for the beginning of that decay. For some inexpicable reason, scientists tend to ignore that process or dismiss it out of hand.

Mar-11-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <So are you for or against the appearance argument?>

I believe the earth is a maximum of about 10,000 years old. It's plausible to suggest our ability to see starlight that must have originated much longer ago is indicative of an older universe. But it's also plausible to suggest that what at first glance appears to be much older light is in fact light created not that long ago. The same evidence can lead to widely varying conclusions.

I will note several here have suggested that we can't really know for sure. That is simply not what the consenus in the field of science says. You're giving far too much credit to them if you think they are open minded about this. I think to a small degree, they're losing and will continue to lose their wall of like minded proponents, but the vast majority toe the party line. That's what sends them into a frenzy any time a state insists on including ID in schools.

Mar-11-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <YouRang: That reason exists is considered axiomatic -- that is, accepted as self-evident without proof. All systems of logic must have some axioms as a starting point. Thus all logical arguments are not circular.>

Well it's self evident so long as you are a reasonable person. Anyway, I agree we must approach life with some degree of common sense and am not impressed with Kantesque descents into know-nothingness, but there still is a small sense of circularity in human reasoning.

Mar-11-10  The Chess Express: <OhioChessFan> Do you believe that just the earth is a maximum of 10,000 years old, or do you believe that about the entire universe as well?
Mar-11-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I know that was an odd bifurcation of earth and universe, but I believe the entire universe is a maximum of 10,000 years old.
Mar-11-10  kormier: the Father is at the center of the universe and his love dominate's everything.
Mar-11-10  The Chess Express: <<<<<hioChessFan>>>> I know that was an odd bifurcation of earth and universe, but I believe the entire universe is a maximum of 10,000 years old.>

Well, if you believe that God created the universe 10,000 years ago, and science has confirmed that star light takes much longer to get to us, I'm not sure how your position is anything other than God created the universe to have the appearance of age. Science knows how far away the stars are, it knows how fast light travels, and we can see stars and galaxies that are millions of light years away. How can you explain that?

Mar-11-10  The Chess Express: <<<<<kormier>>>> the Father is at the center of the universe and his love dominate's everything.>

I'm not sure that the victims of violent crimes and natural disasters would agree with you.

Mar-11-10  whatthefat: <OCF: You're equating changes in eye color and lactose tolerance with an eventual inability to reproduce.>

I have not done that anywhere. I have pointed out examples of adaptation. The nice thing is, I need not even speculate on whether repeated adaptations lead to speciation. Nor do I even need to refer to the compelling story of ancestry told by our DNA. The reason is that speciation has been observed numerous times. Here's one (very old) list of examples (see Sec. 5.0):

http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/faq...

<TCE: That's not really true although it is sometimes used as an example of evolution. Bacteria that become resistant do not become new species, and the mutations that help them also hurt them.>

This is the same point I'm talking to <OCF> about. An evolutionary event need not cause speciation. More subtle adaptations within a population will not render the subpopulations genetically incompatible.

<Furthermore, the mutations responsible for antibiotic resistance in bacteria do not arise as a result of the “need” of the organisms, or exposure to the antibiotics. The resistance comes about purely by chance. In fact, there are bacteria that became resistant to antibiotics before the antibiotics where even invented>

That's true, mutations happen no matter what. But the chances of a population of bacteria developing that is strongly resistant to a particular antibiotic is greatly increased by exposing the population to that antibiotic. Why? You said it yourself: most adaptations come at some cost. They only proliferate when that cost is paid off, else those not paying that cost win the race to reproduce.

Mar-11-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <I'm not sure how your position is anything other than God created the universe to have the appearance of age. >

My position is God created the universe to have the appearance of age. Another way of saying the same thing is if we assume God created the universe, it demands the creation in fact be much younger than it appeared on the first day.

Mar-11-10  The Chess Express: <<<<<whatthefat>>>> This is the same point I'm talking to <OCF> about. An evolutionary event need not cause speciation. More subtle adaptations within a population will not render the sub-populations genetically incompatible.>

Well, if by evolution you mean humans becoming resistant to malaria and living shorter life spans than I would have to agree although I would say that the mutation was caused by chance and not the presence of malaria. What I referred to and what you commented on was speciation or one species becoming another. Obviously this is relevant in terms of monkeys turning into humans and fish into frogs etc. That's what I'm saying has never been demonstrated.

<<<<<whatthefat>>>> That's true, mutations happen no matter what. But the chances of a population of bacteria developing that is strongly resistant to a particular antibiotic is greatly increased by exposing the population to that antibiotic. Why? You said it yourself: most adaptations come at some cost. They only proliferate when that cost is paid off, else those not paying that cost win the race to reproduce.>

I'm not sure exactly what you're saying here. If a species of bacteria is exposed to a deadly antibiotic then the bacteria of that species that are not already resistant to it will die while the resistant bacteria of that species will survive. If this happens on a large enough scale then most or all of the bacteria of that species will be resistant because the others were killed off. If no bacteria of a certain species is resistant to the antibiotic then they all will be destroyed, but the mutation that causes the resistance is no more likely to happen regardless of whether the antibiotic is present or not. Do you agree?

Mar-11-10  kormier: <<The Chess Express>> God the Father(Soul) is tenderness for his children God the Holy-Spirit (Star-Joy of Christ-mas) God the Son(human form) gave it for(save's) us and raise to Glorydom(everything is good for the glory of God but not everything is convenient to us)..we have a body, a spirit and a soul, the soul(heart) has free choice to love, not to love, or to hate...God tell's his children to choose to love.... everything favor's those who love's God.....tks
Mar-11-10  The Chess Express: <kormier> Well, if we have free will and can choose hate then God's love does not dominate us. If people are harmed and killed by natural disasters then God's love does not dominate nature. What use does love have for domination?
Mar-11-10  The Chess Express: To choose love is up to us. God only offers us an alternative, and might I say one that we are better off accepting.
Mar-11-10  whatthefat: <TCE: Obviously this is relevant in terms of monkeys turning into humans and fish into frogs etc. That's what I'm saying has never been demonstrated. >

But examples of speciation *have* been shown.

<Do you agree?>

Yes, I think we're fundamentally in agreement here - the mutations are happening all the time. It's the environmental conditions that determine which genes are more successful at reproducing. Without the antibiotic present, a cell here and they may be generated that is resistant to the antibiotic, but they will be outcompeted by the other cells. Only in the presence of that antibiotic will resistant cells have a functional advantage and hence proliferate. And yes, the exact same goes for sickle cell anemia in humans. It may well have randomly appeared in other parts of the human population, but has only proliferated in those at high risk of exposure to malaria.

Mar-11-10  kormier: it's a Highway to Heaven....simply choose the love choice, the other 2 aren,t good.....tks
Mar-11-10  YouRang: <OhioChessFan: I know that was an odd bifurcation of earth and universe, but I believe the entire universe is a maximum of 10,000 years old.>

Yes. And I would argue ultimately, your only reason for this belief comes from your faith in the literal interpretation of Genesis. If not for that, I don't think you would believe it any more that you would believe in "YouRangism" from my earlier example. It is after all, the same line of reasoning.

And I don't really have a problem with you and others believing in the young universe if you want to.

My only complaint is that these Christians typically characterize scientists as liars for rejecting this faith-based young universe belief. And that, even though they admit that by appearances, the universe doesn't look young!

It is the same mistake Christianity has made multiple times in the past: Christians oppose scientists because their legitimate theories are perceived to contradict a particular interpretation of the Bible. As has happened before, it will be the Christian interpretation that falls. In the meantime, these Christians are guilty of making false accusations, in violation of the 9th commandment.

The consequence will be (and has been) a tremendous loss of reputation for Christianity. I think this is way below what the teachings of Christianity deserve.

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