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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-13-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49349 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-12-25 Nakamura vs T Dokka, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: "Dokka Shame"
 
   Nov-12-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <sfod: I think Trump is one of most effete presidents this country ever had. That's the reason he's constantly compensating for it.> I agree. Setting himself up to be shot and afterward raising his fist in defiance falls far short of the masculine acts you could cite in ...
 
   Nov-12-25 J Bars vs M Hohlbein, 2024 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Wow, what an amazing game to review.
 
   Nov-11-25 Morphy vs A Morphy, 1850
 
OhioChessFan: From 7 years ago, I stand corrected. 17...Kb1 18. 0-0 and White is crushing.
 
   Nov-11-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: I promise you that you have nothing better to do for the next five minutes than to listen to this: Liszt-Liebestraum No. 3 in A Flat Performed by Rubinstein https://youtu.be/fwtIAzFMgeY?si=ebV...
 
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 143 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Apr-30-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I strongly believe, but I am so intellectually honest I have to accept the possibility of doubt, and that is a *wonderful* thing for me to do, but I admit there is one in a gazillion chance I'm wrong,but I believe I have found an article written by a Dr. George Johnson who cites these evidences for evolution:

1. Fossil evidence
2. Observations of finches and moths
3. Examination of anatomical records

Apr-30-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I strongly believe, but I am so intellectually honest I have to accept the possibility of doubt, and that is a *wonderful* thing for me to do, but I admit there is one in a gazillion chance I'm wrong, but I believe I have discovered on WikiAnswers a total of seven evidences for evolution:

1. ERVs
2. Fused Chromosone #2
3. Homologous genes and skeletal structures
4. Fossil record
5. Geographical distribution of animals
6. HeLa cells
7. It's been observed!

Apr-30-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I strongly believe, but I am so intellectually honest I have to accept the possibility of doubt, and that is a *wonderful* thing for me to do, but I admit there is one in a gazillion chance I'm wrong, but I believe I have found a paper written by Richard E. Lenski who cites these evidences for evolution:

1. Evidence from fossils
2. Evidence from genetics
3. Evidence in action

Apr-30-10  cormier: oillion situation now ..... tks
Apr-30-10  NakoSonorense: <OCF>

<But do you really think an eternal God is less likely to exist than a series of random processes leading to a world of order?>

Yes.

<Less likely than life coming from nonlife?>

Yes.

<Less likely than consciousness and morality arising from inert physical material?>

Yes.

<I am reminded of the saying "If a Princess kisses a frog and the frog becomes a man, that's a fairy tale. If a frog becomes a man without a woman kissing it, that's evolution." See the difference?>

Yes, except the fact that man did not evolve from frogs.

Apr-30-10  whatthefat: <OhioChessFan: <whatthefat: Do you mean there is a certain point in time at which a whole bunch appear? If so, how are you dating the fossils?>

Yes. I think they give an indication of a catastrophic event that caused a lot of life forms to die quickly.>

You didn't answer my question: how are you dating the fossils to determine that they all died around the same time?

Apr-30-10  whatthefat: <OCF>

Every single piece of evidence you have listed is the result of a carefully controlled and repeatable experiment.

Apr-30-10  cormier: But God raised him from the dead,
and for many days he appeared to those
who had come up with him from Galilee to Jerusalem.
These are now his witnesses before the people.
We ourselves are proclaiming this good news to you
that what God promised our fathers
he has brought to fulfillment for us, their children, by raising up Jesus, as it is written in the second psalm,

You are my Son; this day I have begotten you.

Apr-30-10  whatthefat: <OCF: The bifurcation of discovered and undiscovered errors will do nicely, thank you. Perhaps there's someone else who believes your explanation.>

To me it was obvious what he was talking about - you seemed to be deliberately misunderstanding.

Apr-30-10  cormier: “I myself have set up my king
on Zion, my holy mountain.”
I will proclaim the decree of the LORD:

“Ask of me and I will give you
the nations for an inheritance
and the ends of the earth for your possession.
You shall rule them with an iron rod;
you shall shatter them like an earthen dish.”

And now, O kings, give heed;
take warning, you rulers of the earth.
Serve the LORD with fear, and rejoice before him;
with trembling rejoice.
<You are my Son; this day I have begotten you. Alleluia.>

Apr-30-10  playground player: <Whatthefat> I knew it would happen soon--the application of the old scientific stand-by, "When confronted by doubt, brand the doubters ignorant and just roll on." Perish the thought that any "scientist" should have to answer questions.

Nevertheless, I ask: by what "carefully controlled experiment" has macroevolution been observed, tested, or confirmed?

<You Rang> Are you still bent out of shape about Christians accusing scientists of knowingly lying, etc.? They only do that to support Global Warming or some other political project. Seriously, though--I think you're wrong, but I don't believe you are purposely lying, or ignorant, or up to no good... But surely no one would claim that scientists NEVER lie. Being human, scientists and Christians alike, we all lie sometimes: and some of us make a habit of it.

As to ID: why should any theory have to "reflect the prevailing view of scientists"? I would think scientists, of all people, would object to that! As for not being testable, the same objection applies to Darwinism.

My objection to ID is that it doesn't go far enough, and that some of its practitioners are not being honest about promoting a religious belief. Why should anyone be embarrassed about promoting a religious belief?

If I were homeschooling children--I don't believe in public education--I would teach them ABOUT Darwinism, using the best materials available. I would also teach the flaws and limitations of the theory, and I would teach Biblical creationism.

"But you're trying to impose your ideas on children!"

Somehow it's so much more acceptable when a lot of teachers' union lefties impose their ideas on other people's children.

Apr-30-10  NakoSonorense: "If you teach children that they evolved from monkeys, then they will act like monkeys"
Apr-30-10  whatthefat: <playground: Nevertheless, I ask: by what "carefully controlled experiment" has macroevolution been observed, tested, or confirmed?>

Leaving aside the issue that "macroevolution" is a loosely defined term used more often by creationists than scientists, the fossil and genetic record provides overwhelming evidence for macroevolution having occurred in the past. There have also been numerous examples of observations of speciation and evolution in the laboratory and in the field.

You say you don't want to be branded ignorant by scientists, but you have to understand that you leave yourself open to this when you decide to pass judgment on scientific theories that you frankly know nothing about. Apparently you feel qualified to brand evolution a "myth", yet you appeal to me for evidence that is readily available. It is not difficult to educate yourself.

The same goes for <OCF>. A few months ago he wasn't clear on how a fossil even forms. He's also made it abundantly clear on several occasions that he doesn't understand the scientific method: he has confused the meanings of "fact" and "theory", he has considered Darwinism to be a theory of how non-life evolved into life, and he is fundamentally confused about what constitutes scientific evidence and how a theory is developed. Yet he now claims to be sufficiently expert in the fossil record to determine whether it supports Genesis or not, and sufficiently expert in evolution theory to determine the degree of scientific support. Clearly he is ignorant to the field of science. Now that is not a problem in itself - everyone is ignorant about plenty of things. The problem is that he feels qualified to make judgments about things he is completely ignorant about, and that he perpetuates this state by refusing to process information that doesn't conform with his predetermined beliefs (i.e., willful ignorance).

Apr-30-10  whatthefat: <playground player: As to ID: why should any theory have to "reflect the prevailing view of scientists"?>

ID is *not* a scientific theory, by definition. It is untestable, and unfalsifiable (cf. YouRangism). Honestly, we've been through this, over this, around this, a thousand times over.

I think I'm soon going to have to develop a code of symoblic links to previous points to streamline this discussion, e.g., (#) will mean "Science makes no judgment on the occurrence of miracles, since they are untestable and unfalsifiable, and provide no advance in our understanding of nature"; (*) will mean "The same can be said of any mythological account of creation"; etc.

Apr-30-10  cormier: Jesus said to his disciples:
“Do not let your hearts be troubled.
You have faith in God; have faith also in me.
In my Father’s house there are many dwelling places.
If there were not,
would I have told you that I am going to prepare a place for you?
Apr-30-10  YouRang: <<YouRang:I said "accept" both times. >

OCF: What part of "I misread it" isn't sinking in?

<YouRang: What exactly did you misread?>

I misread <accept> as <consider> this time..>

Well, there are two choices: You either misread the quote from Apr04 or the one from Apr29. I take it that when you say "this time" that you refer to Apr29.

So (you say) on Apr29, you misread "accept" as "consider", and that this misreading supposedly affected your answer.

And yet, this doesn't make sense:

BEFORE I pointed out your self-contradiction (where you supposedly misread "accept" as "consider"): OhioChessFan chessforum

AFTER I pointed out your self-contradiction (where you supposedly realized that you misread "accept" as "consider"): OhioChessFan chessforum

Yest in BOTH cases, you state that you think science is biased for refusing to consider miraculous explanations.

Therfore, "misreading" didn't change your answer, and thus had nothing to do with it with you contradicting yourself. Do you want to try again?

Apr-30-10  YouRang: <<YouRang: Except you don't have a nice example like this where I clearly flip-flopped to avoid having to defend my position.>

OCF: The bifurcation of discovered and undiscovered errors will do nicely, thank you. Perhaps there's someone else who believes your explanation.>

This was my "bifurcation" explanation: OhioChessFan chessforum

If you had any reason to disbelieve it, you never explained why.

But this has been your way all along: Ignore a rebuttal so that you can keep coming back with an argument that had already been refuted.

Apr-30-10  YouRang: <<YouRang: You are merely taking the *already known* fact of many fossils, and claiming *after the fact* that the creation model *would have* predicted it. Isn't that what you are really doing?>

OCF: Historically, there really was very little objection to the Creation model. Do you want me to go back in time and insist those who held that position write scientific papers?>

No, I want you to answer my question: <What predictions does the creation model make by which scientists could test and affirm that model? If there are none, how can scientists claim that it works as well as evolution?>

You still haven't provided an answer. Bringing up the idea that scientist at some point in the past didn't object to the scientific model is an irrelevant distraction.

< As far as what science is really doing, aren't they assuming life came from nonlife as fact, and then claiming *after the fact* that what we see now is a result? Don't you see this?>

Yes, I see that. To be more precise, scientists assume that there is a natural explanation for life coming from nonlife, and that it evolved according to theory, to what we see now.

However, you are being deceptive (athough I won't accuse of being so intentionally this time).

- When I said that you were "claiming *after the fact*", it was in the context of making a *prediction*.

Obviously, if I make a prediction today about something that happened yesterday (i.e. after the fact), it isn't really a valid prediction, is it? And yet that's what you were attempting to do.

- When you say scientists are "claiming *after the fact*", it is in the context of making an *assumption*.

In fact, a very reasonable assumption that life we see today came after the origin of life. Since it is not a prediction, it is not invalid.

Apr-30-10  YouRang: <<YouRang: But for the record, I don't think scientific inquiry into matters of the origins of life is hurting anyone. If anything, it will be beneficial, as science has generally proven to be historically.>

OCF: It's just sheerest coincidence the relationship between belief in Darwinism and atheism?>

I'll accept that there is probably a correlation, although I don't presume to know how strong it is, nor do I presume a specific causal relationship. Whatever.

<OCF: You think atheism is a positive for a society? You think kids shooting up schools has no basis in thinking there is no God and ultimately no consequences beyond this life time?>

Ah, well now you are leap-frogging in a whole new realm of discussion -- the supposed consequences of scientific inquiry.

But there's an obvious question that needs to be cleared up here:

Should science discontinue to search for a true understanding of nature because of some supposed consequence to society based on some correlation of religious beliefs?

It's likely that back in Galileo's day, there was a correlation between a rejecting geocentrism and atheism. And I'm sure that there were social ills that religious people pinned on atheism. Do you think science was wrong for pushing forward the truth that geocentrism should be rejected? I don't. I think truth is ultimately positive, even though some people react badly to it.

Meanwhile, I stand by my statement that science has generally proven to be beneficial.

Apr-30-10  YouRang: <OhioChessFan><*Double Standard Alert* I see. If I do that, it's after the fact reasoning. If Science does it, it's taking a hypothesis and testing it. Got it.>

See previous post regarding "after the fact" reasoning.

Anway, regarding <If I do that...>, you've already made it quite clear what you do:

You assert, without need of proof, that life cannot come from nonlife. From this, you argue that scientists do likewise.

Apr-30-10  YouRang: <<YouRang: But let me summarize: There is a point where a theory has been so strongly confirmed for so long, that it is perverse to continue to doubt that it will continue to be confirmed. At that point, a scientist will go forward and use it "without doubt".

However, there is always *room for doubt* in science, in the sense that one can never rule out the possibility that a future observation will challenge the theory by not behaving as the theory predicted it should.

Do you not understand this, do you disagree with it, or are you just unwilling to process it?>

OCF: Let me summarize. You think there is a one in a gazillion chance Science is wrong on this, but you can still trumpet the wonderful thought that science thinks doubt is good. Got it.>

I'll take that as "unwilling to process".

I don't know if you even realize it or not, but you often use sarcasm as a substitute for reason.

Instead of taking on a specific point of my explanation that you disagree with, and explain why you disagree with it, you fabricate a wild exaggeration and evil motive on my part -- just so you can believe that you made a rebuttal.

You're beaten up a bunch of strawmen in this debate.

<OCF: Could you name some example of a future observation that would challenge the theory?>

Ah, a reasonable question! Thank you!

You are asking for potential falsifications of evolution. I'll admit that my own understanding of biology is not adequate to explain all points, so instead of copying & pasting, I'll provide a link to a site that lists a number of predictions made by the theory, and thus potential falsifications (they are clearly labelled as such):

http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/com...

In short, there are thousands of new species and new fossils discovered every year. For each discovery, there are a number of predictions that can be made about it, and there would be no reason to expect those predictions to be fulfilled (and in fact fulfillment would be highly improbable) *unless* the ideas of evolution theory are true.

And yet, so far, all of these predictions are fulfilled without exception.

Apr-30-10  YouRang: <playground player><Are you still bent out of shape about Christians accusing scientists of knowingly lying, etc.?>

It may be a little prejudicial to characterize me as "bent out of shape", but yes, I think it is a false accusation, it does serious damage to the reputation of Christianity, and it interferes with science. All good reasons to oppose it IMO.

<But surely no one would claim that scientists NEVER lie.>

I don't know of anyone who has made that claim.

<As to ID: why should any theory have to "reflect the prevailing view of scientists"? I would think scientists, of all people, would object to that!>

You are changing the context.

When I commented to you about the "prevailing view of scientists", it was in the context of *what is taught in schools*. Now you are putting my comment in the context of accepting *any scientific theory*.

Also, I question whether you and I have the same understanding of what "theory" means. You seem to have the idea that any seemingly plausible proposal qualifies. My idea of "theory" is much more rigorous -- that is, an idea that has is falsifiable, makes predictions that can be tested, passes those tests, and stands up to many such tests for some lengthy period of time. By my understanding, ID does not qualify as a "theory".

<As for not being testable, the same objection applies to Darwinism.>

Not at all. Who told you that?

I refer you to the same link I gave to OCF above.

<My objection to ID is that it doesn't go far enough, and that some of its practitioners are not being honest about promoting a religious belief. Why should anyone be embarrassed about promoting a religious belief?>

You are right, it is a religious belief, and they shouldn't be embarrassed about it.

But I don't think embarrassment is the issue -- the issue is that they want this religious belief to be taught as *science* in science classes. They know they won't succeed if they admit that it's religion, hence the need to be dishonest.

<If I were homeschooling children--I don't believe in public education--I would teach them ABOUT Darwinism, using the best materials available. I would also teach the flaws and limitations of the theory, and I would teach Biblical creationism. >

Fine, if you think you can adequately understand the best materials. And I don't mind teaching them ABOUT Biblical creationism -- using the best materials available, and also teaching the flaws and limitations.

Apr-30-10  whatthefat: <YouRang: <As for not being testable, the same objection applies to Darwinism.>

Not at all. Who told you that?

I refer you to the same link I gave to OCF above. >

To give a very specific example of an observation that would seriously undermine the current understanding of evolution:

If scientists were to find a complex multicellular organism that fundamentally differs in its means of passing on genetic material (e.g., does not use DNA or RNA, but some completely unrelated chemical system), without having any known precursors to account for a completely separate line of evolution, that would be a serious challenge to the theory.

Apr-30-10  cormier: And if I go and prepare a place for you,
I will come back again and take you to myself,
so that where I am you also may be.
Where I am going you know the way.”
Thomas said to him,
“Master, we do not know where you are going;
how can we know the way?”
Jesus said to him, “I am the way and the truth and the life. No one comes to the Father except through me.”
Apr-30-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <whatthefat: Do you mean there is a certain point in time at which a whole bunch appear? If so, how are you dating the fossils?>

<OCF: Yes. I think they give an indication of a catastrophic event that caused a lot of life forms to die quickly.>

<whatthefat: You didn't answer my question: how are you dating the fossils to determine that they all died around the same time? >

Ugh. I wasn't following this. I had to read it 3 times. Let me start over. "A certain point in time"? No.

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