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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-10-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
1. Game Collection: 1975 World Junior chess championship
2. Ongoing edits Vladimir Ostrogsky
3. Bio Adolf Zytogorski
4. Complete the Olympiad
5. Bio Lorenz Maximilian Drabke

7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Karl Mayet
12. Smbat Lputian

Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49343 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-09-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: 19 minutes of music so beautiful it will bring you to tears. Bach-Brandenberg Concerto 5 https://youtu.be/D1xaagpUGs4?si=1sQ...
 
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <BREAKING: British veteran breaks down live on TV over state of the country: "Rows and rows of white tombs for what? A country of today? No, I'm sorry. The sacrifice wasn't worth the result. I fought for freedom, and it's darn-sight worse now than when I fought."> Poor ...
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 162 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
May-25-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <dak> I am on dialup, so I can't watch. I note it's an Onion production, so I suspect it's parody and hilarious. FWIW, I think well over 90% of what is taught in the Christian world about end times is plainly wrong.
May-25-10  dakgootje: I loved it personally :)

It is taking the evolution vs ID taught on schools taking a step further by both teaching about global warming and the end of the world as depicted in Revelations.

It reminded me off the Ig nobel-prizes which are meant to first make people laugh and then think. I have to admit that I have not really thought about it much yet though. I mean, what is the fundamental difference? Simply that the Apocalypse appears to be harder to believe in than an ID-idea? Then it'd be but a gliding scale and thus not really fundamental.. Maybe the answer is rather simple and I am just too tired :P

Thought some of you might find the point of view interesting as I personally had never, even jokingly, thought about it this way [i.e. 'why not teach about the Apocalypse instead of Global Warming?'

Or maybe it is simply because ID and Evolution are not, if I recall correctly, mutually exclusive..

Regards :)

May-25-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I finally got around to one of those "You should look that up sometime" thingys that has been on my mind for a long time. That is, the exact post that <Chessgames.com> uses as an avatar under the magnifying glass for their search kibitz page. Search Kibitzing

For anyone who's intersted, here's the page in question. The post is by <radu stancu>

Carlsen vs D Jakovenko, 2009

May-25-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I notice that the <Chessgames.com> page setup is the opposite of mine. I have last posts made at the bottom of the page, so that on my screen, <Travis Bickle> is above the post in question and <puslar> is below.
May-25-10  cormier: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uGuP... <<OCF>> i was looking for t for texas and found this, it sounded like Elvis so .... enjoy .....tks
May-26-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <Playground: Consider: first there was a junkyard full of scrap; now there is a car parked in the middle of the junkyard; therefore the junk in the junkyard somehow coalesced into a car.>

<YouRang: Well, analogies are tricky. Stated simply as you've presented it, I would assume that someone most likely drove a car into the junkyard.

But if you are saying that the junkyard is a 'closed system' -- that is to say that there is no external influence, then yes, that seems to be the most reasonable (albeit amazing) *natural* explanation.>

I would agree the most logical conclusion is that someone put the car there, whole. What would you think if I claimed to belong to a field of research that always looks for supernatural explanations and on that basis, and that basis alone, rejected the idea the car was put there whole? And thereupon set out in search of evidence based upon that never observed theory (the theory of self replicating cars)and rejected any witnesses who said they saw the car being driven on the lot, since those witnesses after all, are not part of my field of study. And even though I scoured the world searching for examples of cars that were 1%, 5%, 20%, 90% self constructed, I only found cars that were 100% complete. My explanation for that, of course, would be that I simply hadn't found the cars that would prove my assumptions, never mind every car I did find was a fully functioning and complete model. And in my field of study, we assume that there's a closed system, though I can't quite explain the basis of that assumption. I think you'd get to the point very quickly that I was holding to an irrational position, driven by my self screened field of study. That is not far from how I view the claims being made here about the field of science.

May-26-10  hms123: <OCF> <I only found cars that were 100% complete.>

Sorry to jump in, but, in fact, that's not what you would find. You would find antique cars without airbags. You would find older cars without CD players or GPS systems or fancy new headlight systems etc.

You would find fully-functioning cars that were complete at the time, but might not be considered so today.

May-26-10  playground player: <hms 123> Should I have specified the make and model of the car?
May-26-10  hms123: <playgroundplayer>

<Should I have specified the make and model of the car?>--heh

Possibly so. Can it be a 1971 XKE?

http://www.jag-lovers.org/brochures...

May-26-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <hms> I realize analogies are prone to hyperbole, but if there were many fully functional cars, you'd think there'd be a number of transmissions laying around, some axles, an 8 track player, etc. But in the real world equivalent, there's not. There's an explosion of fully developed life forms in the Cambrian period. "We just haven't found the 8 tracks laying around yet" isn't a real compelling argument, ditto the lack of transitional forms in the fossil record.
May-26-10  hms123: <OCF> I just meant to point out the flaw in the logic. On to the next point: I wouldn't expect to find hearts and legs and such lying around after millions of years. Why would you expect transmissions?

To be fair, every analogy has its positive and negative aspects. Pushing them too hard in any direction usually doesn't work too well.

May-26-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Surely you'd expect to see the fossilized remains of arms and legs?

I know we are treading into analogy purgatory here.

May-26-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <Please Donate what you can afford and help support Jag-lovers! >

So <hms> how much did you donate? I am absolutely crazy about Jags. The sharp lines call to me. BTW, I donated.....nada.

May-26-10  hms123: <OCF> Nothing from me either. I saw a canary-yellow 1971 XKE on the car lot in about 1978. They only wanted $20,000! dollars for it. I bought a new MG Midget for about $2,500. The XKE was a little out of my price range. Some day....
May-26-10  dakgootje: I prefer Aston Martins... please don't hit me :P
May-26-10  cormier: <Then James and John, the sons of Zebedee,

<came to Jesus and said to him,

<“Teacher, we want you to do for us whatever we ask of you.”

<He replied, <“What do you wish me to do for you?”>>>>>

<<<<<<<<They answered him,>

“Grant that in your glory>

we may sit one at your right and the other at your left.”>

Jesus said to them,> “You do not know what you are asking.>

Can you drink the chalice that I drink>

or be baptized with the baptism with which I am baptized?”>

They said to him, “We can.”>

<<<<Jesus said to them, “The chalice that I drink, you will drink,>

and with the baptism with which I am baptized, you will be baptized;>

but to sit at my right or at my left is not mine to give>

but is for those for whom it has been prepared.”>

When the ten heard this, they became indignant at James and John.

Jesus summoned them and said to them,

“You know that those who are recognized as rulers over the Gentiles

lord it over them,

and their great ones make their authority over them felt.

<<<But it shall not be so among you.>

Rather, whoever wishes to be great among you will be your servant;

whoever wishes to be first among you will be the slave of all.>

For the Son of Man did not come to be served but to serve

and to give his life as a ransom for many.”>

May-26-10  dakgootje: The thought is probably very inappropriate, but would it not have been much nicer if there'd be a bunch of inside-references in the Bible? E.g. that a bunch of people ask Jesus for the most beautiful form on the face of the earth and are answered "The whole Creation is beautiful, but I personally really love jags."

If only, if only ;)

I appear to fill this forum with randomness though - my apologies :P

May-26-10  cormier: Since you have purified yourselves

by obedience to the truth for sincere brotherly love,

love one another intensely from a pure heart.

You have been born anew,

not from perishable but from imperishable seed,

through the living and abiding word of God, for:

“All flesh is like grass,

and all its glory like the flower of the field;

the grass withers,

and the flower wilts;

but the word of the Lord remains forever.”

May-27-10  YouRang: <OhioChessFan: <YouRang: My answer to the last question would be: No. I do not believe that Theory A can be considered scientific if it depends on a Theory B that is non-scientific. > You got to the thrust of what I was asking. Darwinian evolution is predicated on the theory of abiogenesis. Isn't it? >

Actually no. Evolution would be the scientific theory for how complex life emerged from simple life no matter how that simple life first appeared.

In a way it's similar to the theory of gravity. Even though the theory of gravity relates forces to mass, it doesn't depend on theories about how mass appeared.

May-27-10  cormier: Elemental Forces of the Universe

<The Elemental Forces - <The delicate balance of three elemental ratios

<#1. Gravity - The universe, as we know it, would be destroyed if gravity was not in perfect balance <#2. Proton to Neutron Ratio - The neutron can exceed the weight of the proton by only a certain amount <#3. Photon to Baryon Ratio - The photon to baryon ratio is crucial to gravitational attraction <#4. Nuclear Force - The atoms are held together by a precise amount of attraction <#5. Electromagnetic Force - No chemical bonds could form if it were different

<Scientists Speak about the Perfect Order of the Universe - <Respected scientists are astonished at what they find in the universe The Anthropic Principle in the Universe - <Many other relations, distances, and factors are crucial to life as we know it>>>>>>>>>>

May-27-10  cormier: Bartimaeus, a blind man, the son of Timaeus,
sat by the roadside begging.
<On hearing that it was Jesus of Nazareth, he began to cry out and say,
<“Jesus, son of David, have pity on me.” <And many rebuked him, telling him to be silent. <But he kept calling out all the more, “Son of David, have pity on me.” <Jesus stopped and said, “Call him.” <So they called the blind man, saying to him, <“Take courage; get up, Jesus is calling you.” <He threw aside his cloak, sprang up, and came to Jesus. <Jesus said to him in reply, “What do you want me to do for you?” <The blind man replied to him, “Master, I want to see.” <Jesus told him, “Go your way; your faith has saved you.” <Immediately he received his sight <and followed him on the way.>>>>>>>>>>>>>
<ask first for the spirit and for any good you want N.C.>
May-27-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <YouRang: Actually no. Evolution would be the scientific theory for how complex life emerged from simple life no matter how that simple life first appeared.

In a way it's similar to the theory of gravity. Even though the theory of gravity relates forces to mass, it doesn't depend on theories about how mass appeared.>

Not the same thing. Evolution is predicated on a continuation of the miraculously appearing life. It uses the predictions inherent in abiogenesis and expands them. It suggests the very same operations that produced life from nonlife continue in the observable changes of life to different life. The theory of gravity is not dependent upon, and not reliant upon in any fashion, the fact life exists. It functions just as well in its operation upon nonlife.

May-27-10  technical draw: This is a very interesting debate. Re-reading it I have found what is known as the 99ft man paradox. It goes like this: You post a hypothesis claiming there is no man 100ft tall. You test your hypothesis by measuring every man you see. Some will be 6'2", another 5'7" etc.

Each time you make a measurement and do not find a 100ft man it is called an instance of confirmation and your hypothesis gets closer to being proven Are you with me up to now?

One day you measure a man and he measures 99ft tall. Well, this is also a confirmation that there are no 100ft tall men but it in fact makes your hypothesis less likely. See?

Sometimes facts that support an idea can, in effect, make the idea less likely.

Think about the 99ft man as you continue your debate. Thank you. TD...

May-27-10  YouRang: <OCF: Not the same thing. Evolution is predicated on a continuation of the miraculously appearing life. It uses the predictions inherent in abiogenesis and expands them.>

Not at all. I restated my point below.

<It suggests the very same operations that produced life from nonlife continue in the observable changes of life to different life.>

Scientists understand the operation of evolution as natural selection. Scientists don't even have an understanding of the operation of abiogenesis, and there's no reason to think that it is natural selection. So how can you say that the operation of evolution uses the same as that for abiogenesis?

<The theory of gravity is not dependent upon, and not reliant upon in any fashion, the fact life exists. It functions just as well in its operation upon nonlife.>

I think you misread my post. I didn't say the the theory of gravity was reliant on the existence of *life*. It is reliant on the existence of *mass*.

I'll restate my point:

My point is that the theory of gravity explains how forces are related to mass -- and that theory doesn't care how mass first appeared. The theory of gravity would apply if God spoke mass it into existence, and it would apply if mass emerged from vast quantities of energy (according to Einstein's relation of energy to mass).

In the same manner, the theory of evolution explains complex life emerging from simpler forms of life -- and that theory doesn't care how simple life first appeared. The theory of evolution would apply if God spoke simple life into existence, and it would apply if simple life emerged by some (as yet unexplained) natural process from things that we consider to be non-life.

May-27-10  YouRang: For the record, I'm going to steer clear of the car analogy posted above.

I don't see how it offers any constructive understanding. In fact, it will just make us drive around in circles and eventually crash.

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