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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-05-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

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   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49334 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-05-25 Fusilli chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White to play and draw: [DIAGRAM]
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <Integ: Brown commie promises brown immigrants <free stuffs> paid for by white people. Got it.> This is so bad that even <HeMateMe!> is worried about government spending for the first time in his life.
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
   Nov-04-25 A J Fink vs Alekhine, 1932 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: All you Block people stick together!
 
   Nov-04-25 R Balinas vs C Blocker, 1979
 
OhioChessFan: I never met him although he is a huge name in Ohio chess. I don't know how long he kept playing the King's Island Open but I might see if a few friends ever played him there.
 
   Nov-03-25 Memorable Quotes chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: From Chessgames - Politics <perfidious wrote: I claim no familiarity with Edward Teller but was amused to read that he blamed Jane Fonda for his 1979 heart attack. > <johnlspouge: I am sure it wasn't your intention, but my imagination took a prurient turn here.>
 
   Nov-03-25 B Jacobsen vs I Hausner, 1969
 
OhioChessFan: "Bo Jac Horseman"
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 269 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Nov-23-11  chessmoron: Round 7 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<Golden Executive>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 12 points <Robin01>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 7>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

55, chessmoron, 0, 5, 2
49, WinKing, 0, 7, 0
34, Golden Executive, 0, 2, 2
27, lostemperor, 1, 2, 1
24, wordfunph, 0, 2, 1
20, Ragh, 1, 1, 1
20, Robin01, 2, 2, 0
7, twinlark, 0, 1, 0
3, OhioChessFan, 1, 0, 0
0, Penguincw, 0, 0, 0
0, SloVice, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 7>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

63, wordfunph, 3, 1, 2, 8
54, OhioChessFan, 1, 2, 5, 4
45, Golden Executive, 2, 2, 3, 4
34, lostemperor, 0, 1, 4, 2
31, WinKing, 3, 5, 0, 3
27, Robin01, 1, 1, 0, 4
26, chessmoron, 2, 4, 2, 1
21, Ragh, 0, 0, 3, 1
11, twinlark, 1, 0, 2, 0
7, Penguincw, 1, 0, 0, 1
2, SloVice, 0, 1, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 7>

Score, UserID

87, wordfunph
81, chessmoron
80, WinKing
79, Golden Executive
61, lostemperor
57, OhioChessFan
47, Robin01
41, Ragh
18, twinlark
7, Penguincw
2, SloVice

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 7>

Score,UserID

7, chessmoron
7, WinKing
4, Golden Executive
4, lostemperor
4, Robin01
3, Ragh
3, wordfunph
1, OhioChessFan
1, twinlark
0, SloVice

Nov-23-11  chessmoron: Anand - Nakamura 1/2 45
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1/2 40
Kramnik - Karjakin 1/2 47
Aronian - Svidler 1/2 50
Carlsen - Nepomniachtchi 1-0 45
Nov-23-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < How ya doing Penguin? >

I'm doing fine. Now here's the prediction:

Round 8:
Anand - Nakamura 1/2 34
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1/2 47
Kramnik - Karjakin 1/2 36
Aronian - Svidler 1-0 53
Carlsen - Nepomniachtchi 1/2 46

Nov-23-11  wordfunph: round 8:

Anand - Nakamura 1/2 36
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1/2 36
Kramnik - Karjakin 1/2 33
Aronian - Svidler 1/2 45
Carlsen - Nepomniachtchi 1/2 45

Nov-23-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  chancho: Happy Thanksgiving!
Nov-23-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Anand - Nakamura 1-0 41
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1-0 39
Kramnik - Karjakin 1/2 52
Aronian - Svidler 1-0 41
Carlsen - Nepomniachtchi 1-0 38
Nov-24-11  Golden Executive:

Anand - Nakamura 1/2 40
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1/2 38
Kramnik - Karjakin 1/2 36
Aronian - Svidler 1/2 40
Carlsen - Nepomniachtchi 1-0 40

Nov-24-11  WinKing: Round 8 - Thu Nov 24

Anand - Nakamura 1/2 47
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1/2 47
Kramnik - Karjakin 1/2 47
Aronian - Svidler 1/2 47
Carlsen - Nepomniachtchi 1-0 47

Nov-24-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Round 8 is underway.
Nov-24-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: One decisive game today. Aronian beat Svidler in 54 moves. The other 4 games were draws thusly:

Anand - Nakamura 1/2 33
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1/2 41
Kramnik - Karjakin 1/2 44
Carlsen - Nepomniachtchi 1/2 40

Nov-24-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Round 9:

Nepomniachtchi - Aronian 1/2 30
Svidler - Kramnik 1/2 24
Karjakin - Ivanchuk 1-0 31
Gelfand - Anand 1/2 33
Nakamura - Carlsen 1/2 49

Nov-24-11  chessmoron: ♔ Tal 2011: <Round 8> Results {K]

<Anand-Nakamura, 1/2-1/2 in 33 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Ragh', '1/2-1/2', '27']]
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '34']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

===

<Aronian-Svidler, 1-0 in 54 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Penguincw', '1-0', '53']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1-0', '47']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1-0', '41']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi, 1/2-1/2 in 40 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Ragh', '1/2-1/2', '27']]
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '45']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '46']]

===

<Ivanchuk-Gelfand, 1/2-1/2 in 41 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Pneguincw', '1/2-1/2', '47'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '47']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Kramnik-Karjakin, 1/2-1/2 in 44 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '44']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '42']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '36'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '47'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '47']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '52']]

Nov-24-11  chessmoron: Round 8 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<lostemperor>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 11 points <Golden Executive>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 8>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

62, chessmoron, 0, 6, 2
49, WinKing, 0, 7, 0
37, lostemperor, 1, 2, 2
34, Golden Executive, 0, 2, 2
34, Ragh, 1, 3, 1
24, wordfunph, 0, 2, 1
20, Robin01, 2, 2, 0
7, twinlark, 0, 1, 0
7, Penguincw, 0, 1, 0
3, OhioChessFan, 1, 0, 0
0, SloVice, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 8>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

71, wordfunph, 4, 2, 3, 8
60, OhioChessFan, 2, 2, 6, 4
56, Golden Executive, 2, 2, 4, 5
40, lostemperor, 0, 1, 4, 3
35, WinKing, 3, 7, 0, 3
33, Robin01, 1, 1, 0, 5
28, chessmoron, 2, 5, 2, 1
21, Ragh, 0, 0, 3, 1
17, Penguincw, 2, 2, 1, 1
11, twinlark, 1, 0, 2, 0
2, SloVice, 0, 1, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 8>

Score, UserID

95, wordfunph
90, chessmoron
90, Golden Executive
84, WinKing
77, lostemperor
63, OhioChessFan
55, Ragh
53, Robin01
24, Penguincw
18, twinlark
2, SloVice

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 8>

Score,UserID

8, chessmoron
7, WinKing
5, lostemperor
5, Ragh
4, Golden Executive
4, Robin01
3, wordfunph
1, OhioChessFan
1, Penguincw
1, twinlark
0, SloVice

Nov-24-11  chessmoron: Nepomniachtchi - Aronian 1/2 40
Svidler - Kramnik 1/2 30
Karjakin - Ivanchuk 1/2 31
Gelfand - Anand 1/2 31
Nakamura - Carlsen 0-1 40
Nov-24-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <chessmoron> back on October 11, <Golden Executive> asked this:

<Why at Bazna 2011 were silver and bronze medals and at Bilbao 2011 not?>

Nov-24-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: One round to go. HOFers <chessmoron> and <wordfunph> lead 2 categories each. All 4 categories are still close enough someone different could take the lead in any of them.
Nov-24-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Well, here I go.

Round 9
Nepomniachtchi - Aronian 1/2 36
Svidler - Kramnik 1/2 41
Karjakin - Ivanchuk 1/2 53
Gelfand - Anand 1/2 37
Nakamura - Carlsen 1/2 45

Nov-24-11  wordfunph: Round 9

Nepomniachtchi - Aronian 1/2 44
Svidler - Kramnik 1/2 37
Karjakin - Ivanchuk 1/2 35
Gelfand - Anand 1/2 34
Nakamura - Carlsen 1/2 43

i guess all draws in the last round, all the best to all my comrades!

Nov-25-11  Golden Executive: Round 9

Nepomniachtchi - Aronian 1/2 35
Svidler - Kramnik 1/2 32
Karjakin - Ivanchuk 1/2 34
Gelfand - Anand 1/2 30
Nakamura - Carlsen 1/2 40

Nov-25-11  WinKing: Round 9 - Fri Nov 25

Nepomniachtchi - Aronian 1/2 41
Svidler - Kramnik 1/2 33
Karjakin - Ivanchuk 1/2 36
Gelfand - Anand 1/2 32
Nakamura - Carlsen 1/2 46

Nov-25-11  wordfunph: games started.
Nov-25-11  chessmoron: ♔ Tal 2011: <FINAL Round> Results ♔

<Gelfand-Anand, 1/2-1/2 in 29 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Ragh', '1/2-1/2', '27']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '19']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '30'], ['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '31']]

===

<Karjakin-Ivanchuk, 1/2-1/2 in 42 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '36']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '53']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Nakamura-Carlsen, 0-1 in 58 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['chessmoron', '0-1', '40']]
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Robin01', '0-1', '63']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Nepomniachtchi-Aronian, 1/2-1/2 in 85 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '44']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '41'], ['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Svidler-Kramnik, 1-0 in 41 moves.>--Shocker! No one got it!

Nov-25-11  chessmoron: FINAL Round Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

None

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 12 points <lostemperor>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <FINAL Round>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

♔ 69, chessmoron, 0, 7, 2
♘ 56, WinKing, 0, 8, 0
♗ 41, Ragh, 1, 4, 1
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~
37, lostemperor, 1, 2, 2
34, Golden Executive, 0, 2, 2
31, wordfunph, 0, 3, 1
20, Robin01, 2, 2, 0
7, Penguincw, 0, 1, 0
7, twinlark, 0, 1, 0
3, OhioChessFan, 1, 0, 0
0, SloVice, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <FINAL Round>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

♔ 77, wordfunph, 4, 2, 3, 9
♘ 63, Golden Executive, 2, 3, 5, 5
♗ 60, OhioChessFan, 2, 2, 6, 4
~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*
52, lostemperor, 0, 1, 4, 5
41, WinKing, 3, 7, 0, 4
37, Robin01, 1, 3, 0, 5
34, chessmoron, 3, 5, 3, 1
21, Ragh, 0, 0, 3, 1
19, Penguincw, 2, 3, 1, 1
11, twinlark, 1, 0, 2, 0
2, SloVice, 0, 1, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <FINAL Round>

Score, UserID

♔ 108, wordfunph
♘ 103, chessmoron
♗ 97, WinKing
~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*
97, Golden Executive
89, lostemperor
63, OhioChessFan
62, Ragh
57, Robin01
26, Penguincw
18, twinlark
2, SloVice

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <FINAL Round>

Score,UserID

♔ 9, chessmoron
♘ 8, WinKing
♗ 6, Ragh
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~~*~*~*
5, lostemperor
4, Golden Executive
4, Robin01
4, wordfunph
1, OhioChessFan
1, Penguincw
1, twinlark
0, SloVice

Nov-25-11  chessmoron: ♔ <WINNER'S CORNER>

♔♔♘ <chessmoron> Tal11:StdMvRnk(1) + StdMv/Bonus(2) + 1stRanker(1)

♘♘♗ <WinKing> Tal11:StdMvRnk(2) + StdMv/Bonus(3t) + 1stRanker(2)

♔♔ <wordfunph> Tal11:BonusRnk(1) + StdMv/Bonus(1)

♘♗ <Golden Executive> Tal11: BonusRnk(2) + StdMv/Bonus(3t)

♗♗ <Ragh> Tal11:StdMvRnk(3) + 1stRanker(3)

<OhioChessFan> Tal11: BonusRnk(3)

Nov-25-11  chessmoron: <Golden Executive> I have correct the Bazna 2011 awards as well on my profile.
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