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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-09-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49344 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-09-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: 19 minutes of music so beautiful it will bring you to tears. Bach-Brandenberg Concerto 5 https://youtu.be/D1xaagpUGs4?si=1sQ...
 
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <BREAKING: British veteran breaks down live on TV over state of the country: "Rows and rows of white tombs for what? A country of today? No, I'm sorry. The sacrifice wasn't worth the result. I fought for freedom, and it's darn-sight worse now than when I fought."> Poor ...
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
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Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 288 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-25-12  WinKing: Games have begun.
Jan-25-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Game started! Thanks WinKing. :)
Jan-25-12  SloVice: FYI - <ocf> and <chessmoron> are missing the Giri - Aronian game from your predictions.
Jan-25-12  fan of chess: round 11

aronian-navara 1-0 46
carlsen-topalov 1-0 32
caruana-giri 0-1 33
gasimov-radjabov 1/2 46
ivanchuk-gelfand 1/2 28
kamsky-nakamura 1/2 37
van wely-karjakin 1/2 16

Jan-25-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Wow, that will learn me to copy the picks of the person just before me.
Jan-25-12  chessmoron: <Robin01>'s remaining picks:

== Round 11 - Friday Jan 27th
Carlsen - Topalov 1/2 54
Kamsky - Nakamura 1/2 32
Van Wely - Karjakin 0-1 44
Gashimov - Radjabov 0-1 54
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1/2 34
Aronian - Navara 1-0 46
Caruana - Giri 1/2 66

== Round 12 - Saturday Jan 28th
Topalov - Giri 1/2 44
Navara - Caruana 1/2 36
Gelfand - Aronian 0-1 47
Radjabov - Ivanchuk 1/2 36
Karjakin - Gashimov 1-0 37
Nakamura - Van Wely 1-0 38
Carlsen - Kamsky 1-0 48

== Round 13 - Sunday Jan 29th
Kamsky - Topalov 1/2 36
Van Wely - Carlsen 0-1 44
Gashimov - Nakamura 0-1 47
Ivanchuk - Karjakin 1/2 40
Aronian - Radjabov 1/2 39
Caruana - Gelfand 1/2 38
Giri - Navara 1-0 44

Jan-25-12  wordfunph: round 11:

Aronian - Navara 1-0 45
Carlsen - Topalov 1/2 33
Caruana - Giri 1/2 33
Gashimov - Radjabov 1/2 33
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1/2 33
Kamsky - Nakamura 1/2 33
Van Wely - Karjakin 1/2 33

Jan-25-12  chessmoron: ♔ Tata 2012: <Round 10> Results ♔

<Gelfand-Gashimov, 1/2-1/2 in 25 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '28']]
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '31'], ['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '31']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['SloVice', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

===

<Giri-Aronian, 0-1 in 43 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Golden Executive', '0-1', '30']]
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Robin01', '0-1', '58']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Karjakin-Kamsky, 0-1 in 40 moves.>--No one got it!

===

<Nakamura-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 21 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['SloVice', '1/2-1/2', '33'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

===

<Navara-Ivanchuk, 0-1 in 41 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['OhioChessFan', '0-1', '41']]
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['SloVice', '0-1', '45']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['bubuli55', '0-1', '47']]

===

vRadjabov-Van Wely, 1/2-1/2 in 40 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '37'], ['bubuli55', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '45'], ['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '45']]

===

<Topalov-Caruana, 0-1 in 39 moves.>--No one got it

Jan-25-12  chessmoron: Round 10 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<OhioChessFan> (2X)

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 8 points <Penguincw>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 10>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

69, WinKing, 1, 8, 1
62, Robin01, 1, 7, 1
54, lostemperor, 2, 4, 2
49, OhioChessFan, 4, 1, 3
43, Golden Executive, 3, 2, 2
37, Penguincw, 1, 2, 2
31, twinlark, 0, 3, 1
28, bubuli55, 0, 4, 0
26, SloVice, 4, 2, 0
20, chessmoron, 1, 1, 1
20, wordfunph, 2, 2, 0
7, fan of chess, 0, 1, 0
0, Diademas, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 10>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

66, Penguincw, 3, 4, 5, 5
64, lostemperor, 1, 6, 3, 6
60, SloVice, 2, 9, 2, 5
59, bubuli55, 2, 5, 1, 7
58, chessmoron, 6, 4, 4, 4
57, Robin01, 2, 5, 3, 5
57, wordfunph, 8, 3, 5, 3
49, Golden Executive, 1, 5, 4, 3
41, OhioChessFan, 2, 3, 3, 3
39, WinKing, 5, 3, 2, 3
5, twinlark, 1, 2, 0, 0
0, Diademas, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, fan of chess, 0, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 10>

Score, UserID

119, Robin01
118, lostemperor
108, WinKing
103, Penguincw
92, Golden Executive
90, OhioChessFan
87, bubuli55
86, SloVice
78, chessmoron
77, wordfunph
36, twinlark
7, fan of chess
0, Diademas

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 10>

Score,UserID

10, WinKing
9, Robin01
8, lostemperor
8, OhioChessFan
7, Golden Executive
6, SloVice
5, Penguincw
4, bubuli55
4, twinlark
4, wordfunph
3, chessmoron
1, fan of chess
0, Diademas

Jan-25-12  bubuli55: Round 11:
Carlsen - Topalov 1/2 33
Kamsky - Nakamura 1/2 41
Van Wely - Karjakin 1/2 41
Gashimov - Radjabov 1/2 45
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1-0 55
Aronian - Navara 1-0 50
Caruana - Giri 1/2 41
Jan-25-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < vRadjabov-Van Wely, 1/2-1/2 in 40 moves.

Exact, 10 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '37'], ['bubuli55', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '45'], ['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '45']] >

No under?

Also,

< chessmoron: Round 10 Summary:

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 8 points <Penguincw> >

Awesome. Now 24 points in 2 rounds. :)

From this:

< 60, lostemperor, 1, 4, 3, 6 56, wordfunph, 7, 3, 5, 3
49, Robin01, 2, 4, 3, 4
45, SloVice, 1, 8, 2, 3
44, bubuli55, 1, 4, 1, 5
42, Penguincw, 2, 3, 2, 4
42, chessmoron, 4, 3, 4, 2
35, Golden Executive, 1, 3, 2, 3
32, OhioChessFan, 2, 1, 2, 3
32, WinKing, 3, 3, 1, 3
3, twinlark, 1, 1, 0, 0
0, Diademas, 0, 0, 0, 0 >

which seems to be out of my medal contention to this:

< 66, Penguincw, 3, 4, 5, 5
64, lostemperor, 1, 6, 3, 6
60, SloVice, 2, 9, 2, 5
59, bubuli55, 2, 5, 1, 7
58, chessmoron, 6, 4, 4, 4
57, Robin01, 2, 5, 3, 5
57, wordfunph, 8, 3, 5, 3
49, Golden Executive, 1, 5, 4, 3
41, OhioChessFan, 2, 3, 3, 3
39, WinKing, 5, 3, 2, 3
5, twinlark, 1, 2, 0, 0
0, Diademas, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, fan of chess, 0, 0, 0, 0 >

A gold medal. :)

Jan-25-12  WinKing: Remember this <Penguincw> back on Jan. 19th?

<Penguincw: < WinKing: Long way to go yet <Penguincw>. This tournament is a long distance marathon. Everybody is still in this thing. I'm still waiting to see a 30pt. day from someone. >

I know. But it's always nice to be in contention. It's easier, but still not vacation. In this contest, what makes it exciting is that you probably can never secure first place a round to spare or something.>

This game can change fast. No lead is safe. I'm sure you see that now.

Jan-25-12  Golden Executive:

<Penguincw: < vRadjabov-Van Wely, 1/2-1/2 in 40 moves. Exact, 10 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '37'], ['bubuli55', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '45'], ['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '45']] >

No under?>

The rule is: "there is no (first) under when an exact prediction take place".

Jan-26-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Carlsen - Topalov 1-0 35
Kamsky - Nakamura 1/2 22
Van Wely - Karjakin 1/2 28
Gashimov - Radjabov 1/2 37
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1/2 46
Aronian - Navara 1-0 44
Caruana - Giri 1/2 25
Jan-26-12  twinlark: Round 11

Carlsen - Topalov 1/2 42
Kamsky - Nakamura 1-0 57
Van Wely - Karjakin 1/2 44
Gashimov - Radjabov 1/2 65
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1/2 54
Aronian - Navara 1-0 67
Caruana - Giri 0-1 49

Jan-26-12  fan of chess: i'm going to be fairly busy so here:

round 12
topalov-giri 1/2 48
navara-caruana 1-0 70
gelfand-aronian 1/2 40
radjabov-ivanchuk 1/2 43
karjakin-gashimov 1-0 84
nakamura-van wely 1-0 17
carlsen-kamsky 1/2 16

round 13
kamsky-topalov 1/2 37
van wely-carlsen 0-1 40
gashimov-nakamura 1-0 49
ivanchuk-karjakin 0-1 37
aronian-radjabov 1/2 33
caruana-gelfand 0-1 86
giri-navara 1/2 49

Jan-26-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < Golden Executive: ...

The rule is: "there is no (first) under when an exact prediction take place". >

Thanks. Also, I believe that there is no "1st over" if there is an exact or "1st under".

Round 11
Carlsen - Topalov 1-0 37
Kamsky - Nakamura 1/2-1/2 31
Van Wely - Karjakin 1/2-1/2 28
Gashimov - Radjabov 1/2-1/2 35
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1/2-1/2 35
Aronian - Navara 1-0 37
Caruana - Giri 1/2-1/2 31

Jan-26-12  Golden Executive: Round 11

Carlsen - Topalov 1-0 40
Kamsky - Nakamura 1/2 40
Van Wely - Karjakin 1/2 40
Gashimov - Radjabov 1/2 40
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1/2 40
Aronian - Navara 1-0 40
Caruana - Giri 1/2 40

Jan-26-12  SloVice: Round 11:

Carlsen - Topalov 1-0 45
Kamsky - Nakamura 1/2 33
Van Wely - Karjakin 1/2 33
Gashimov - Radjabov 0-1 45
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1-0 45
Aronian - Navara 1-0 45
Caruana - Giri 1-0 45

Jan-26-12  chessmoron: Carlsen - Topalov 1/2 41
Kamsky - Nakamura 1/2 37
Van Wely - Karjakin 1/2 25
Gashimov - Radjabov 1/2 45
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1/2 42
Aronian - Navara 1-0 46
Caruana - Giri 1/2 32
Jan-27-12  WinKing: Round 11 - Friday the 27th

Carlsen - Topalov 1/2 42
Kamsky - Nakamura 1/2 37
Van Wely - Karjakin 1/2 42
Gashimov - Radjabov 1/2 42
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1/2 42
Aronian - Navara 1/2 37
Caruana - Giri 1/2 42

Jan-27-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Games started.
Jan-27-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Geez. Went 2/7 with the results. I have a feeling I just picked up like a point or two (at best).
Jan-27-12  wordfunph: round 12:

topalov - giri 1/2 45
navara - caruana 1/2 36
gelfand - aronian 1/2 47
radjabov - ivanchuk 1/2 33
karjakin - gashimov 1/2 46
nakamura - van wely 1/2 46
carlsen - kamsky 1-0 50

Jan-27-12  chessmoron: ♔ Tata 2012: <Round 11> Results ♔

<Aronian-Navara, 0-1 in 60 moves.>--No one got it!

===

<Carlsen-Topalov, 1-0 in 56 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['SloVice', '1-0', '45']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Golden Executive', '1-0', '40']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Penguincw', '1-0', '37']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Caruana-Giri, 1-0 in 41 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['SloVice', '1-0', '45']]
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Gashimov-Radjabov, 0-1 in 53 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['SloVice', '0-1', '45']]
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Robin01', '0-1', '54']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Ivanchuk-Gelfand, 0-1 in 42 moves.>--No one got it!

===

<Kamsky-Nakamura, 1/2-1/2 in 44 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['bubuli55', '1/2-1/2', '41']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '37'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '37'], ['fan of chess', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '46']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Van Wely-Karjakin, 0-1 in 55 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Robin01', '0-1', '44']]
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

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