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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Jan-17-26
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

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rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

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>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49575 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jan-17-26 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <FSR: <OCF> and fellow MAGAts will tell you Ashli and company were just peaceful, law-abiding folks who wanted to chat with their elected representatives.> <OCF: Quote me, please.> <aw,: Don't play search-thread games. Don't make people look for what you ...
 
   Jan-15-26 Julien Song (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: 90 minute games today and tomorrow. Next day the rapids. Fourth day the blitz. Am I the only one with no audio on the chess.com stream?
 
   Jan-15-26 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: Do yourself a favor and spend three minutes listening to this nice flute driven piece. Nestor Torres-Cute https://youtu.be/Eor1meJSZPs?si=duk...
 
   Jan-14-26 Kibitzer's Café (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <kl: Today for the first time ever I played a vlack knight to c8> I'm impressed you could keep up with that fact.
 
   Jan-14-26 C Gilberg vs Dickson, 1866 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <sfod: <jn> couldn't even grant a one-day reprieve for us before he *ruined* the original pun! Talk about raining on the parade.> Thought the same thing.
 
   Jan-13-26 J Krejcik vs J Thirring, 1898
 
OhioChessFan: "Thirring Victory"
 
   Jan-10-26 J Cesena vs J Dyke, 1979 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Terrific pun.
 
   Jan-09-26 Milwaukee Chess Club vs Charles City Chess Club, 1876
 
OhioChessFan: 15. Rd1 is a wasted tempo. I assume White was trying to outnumber the defenders of d5 but missed the skewer Qc6. In any case, as <tsv> said years ago, the Rook needs to stay on the f file.
 
   Jan-08-26 Shabalov vs E Tate, 1998 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Okay, strained, but nice.
 
   Jan-08-26 Sergei Prokofiev
 
OhioChessFan: Cinderella's Waltz https://youtu.be/YbaY7p5ahZo?featur... A quick (three minutes) but nice listen.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 303 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jul-20-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: 5 draws today. Meier-Gustafsson went 53 moves and Karjakin-Caruana played 41. Kramnik couldn't convert and drew Leko in 134 moves, Bartel-Fridman went 53, and Naiditsch-Pono lasted 42. 2 rounds to go.
Jul-20-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: == Round 8 : Sat Jul 21
Gustafsson - Ponomariov 1/2-1/2 40
Fridman - Naiditsch 1/2-1/2 40
Leko - Bartel 1/2-1/2 35
Caruana - Kramnik 1/2-1/2 45
Meier - Karjakin 1/2-1/2 40
Jul-20-12  twinlark: Round 8

Gustafsson - Ponomariov 0-1 32
Fridman - Naiditsch 0-1 54
Leko - Bartel 1/2-1/2 41
Caruana - Kramnik 1/2-1/2 32
Meier - Karjakin 0-1 50

Jul-20-12  PinnedPiece: Blast, if Kramnik had found the win in round 7, against Leko (which he had) I would have had a miraculous 5/5 on this round. Since I don't deserve it, its quite right this way. You all should consider me to be very lucky in this event.

I just hope it doesn't use up my quota of luck for the year!

.

Jul-20-12  bubuli55: < == Round 8 : Sat Jul 21
Gustafsson - Ponomariov 0-1 45
Fridman - Naiditsch 1/2-1/2 30
Leko - Bartel 1/2-1/2 30
Caruana - Kramnik 1/2-1/2 30
Meier - Karjakin 1/2-1/2 35 >

good luck !

Jul-20-12  chessmoron: ♔ Tata 2012: <Round 7> Results ♔

<Bartel-Fridman, 1/2-1/2 in 53 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '45']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '38'], ['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Karjakin-Caruana, 1/2-1/2 in 41 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '41']]
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '37'], ['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['bubuli55', '1/2-1/2', '45']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Kramnik-Leko, 1/2-1/2 in 134 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '47']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Meier-Gustafsson, 1/2-1/2 in 53 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['twinlark', '1/2-1/2', '50']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '44']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '37']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Naiditsch-Ponomariov, 1/2-1/2 in 42 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '38']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '36'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '44']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Jul-20-12  chessmoron: Round 7 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<chessmoron>

Highest score(s) in the Bonus Ranker: 23 points <WinKing>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 7>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

55, chessmoron, 0, 5, 2
41, WinKing, 1, 4, 1
35, PinnedPiece, 0, 5, 0
24, bubuli55, 0, 2, 1
21, Robin01, 0, 3, 0
21, twinlark, 0, 3, 0
20, lostemperor, 1, 1, 1
20, OhioChessFan, 1, 1, 1
13, Ragh, 2, 1, 0
10, SloVice, 0, 0, 1
10, wordfunph, 0, 0, 1
7, Penguincw, 0, 1, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 7>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

53, WinKing, 4, 1, 1, 7
46, Robin01, 1, 2, 1, 6
41, wordfunph, 0, 1, 3, 4
39, PinnedPiece, 3, 2, 4, 2
37, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 5, 2
32, bubuli55, 2, 1, 2, 3
30, Penguincw, 0, 0, 6, 0
25, OhioChessFan, 2, 3, 1, 2
24, lostemperor, 0, 3, 0, 3
23, Ragh, 1, 0, 2, 2
20, twinlark, 1, 1, 1, 2
11, chessmoron, 1, 2, 0, 1
9, SloVice, 1, 4, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 7>

Score, UserID

94, WinKing
74, PinnedPiece
67, Robin01
66, chessmoron
56, bubuli55
51, wordfunph
45, OhioChessFan
44, lostemperor
41, twinlark
37, Golden Executive
37, Penguincw
36, Ragh
19, SloVice

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 7>

Score,UserID

7, chessmoron
6, WinKing
5, PinnedPiece
3, bubuli55
3, lostemperor
3, OhioChessFan
3, Ragh
3, Robin01
3, twinlark
1, Penguincw
1, SloVice
1, wordfunph

Jul-20-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Gustafsson - Ponomariov 1/2 40
Fridman - Naiditsch 1/2 43
Leko - Bartel 1/2 37
Caruana - Kramnik 1/2 44
Meier - Karjakin 0-1 35
Jul-20-12  wordfunph: Round 8

Gustafsson - Ponomariov 1/2 36
Fridman - Naiditsch 1/2 36
Leko - Bartel 1/2 36
Caruana - Kramnik 1/2 36
Meier - Karjakin 1/2 45

Jul-20-12  Golden Executive:

Round 8

Gustafsson - Ponomariov 1/2 38
Fridman - Naiditsch 1/2 35
Leko - Bartel 1-0 36
Caruana - Kramnik 1/2 41
Meier - Karjakin 0-1 45

Jul-21-12  chessmoron: Gustafsson - Ponomariov 0-1 38
Fridman - Naiditsch 1/2 34
Leko - Bartel 1/2 40
Caruana - Kramnik 1/2 34
Meier - Karjakin 0-1 41
Jul-21-12  WinKing: WinKing == Round 8 : Sat Jul 21
Gustafsson - Ponomariov 1/2 42
Fridman - Naiditsch 1/2 44
Leko - Bartel 1-0 41
Caruana - Kramnik 1/2 36
Meier - Karjakin 0-1 42
Jul-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  tpstar: Round 8 games have started. =)
Jul-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: == Round 9 : Sun Jul 22
Karjakin - Gustafsson 1-0 40
Kramnik - Meier 1-0 40
Bartel - Caruana 1/2-1/2 40
Naiditsch - Leko 1/2-1/2 40
Ponomariov - Fridman 1-0 40

BTW, any thoughts on Biel.

Jul-21-12  chessmoron: ♔ Dortumund 2012: <Round 8> Results ♔

<Fridman-Naiditsch, 1/2-1/2 in 45 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '44']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '43']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Caruana-Kramnik, 1-0 in 53 moves.>--No one got it!

===

<Gustafsson-Ponomariov, 0-1 in 70 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['bubuli55', '0-1', '45']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['chessmoron', '0-1', '38'], ['Robin01', '0-1', '38']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

Leko-Bartel, 1-0 in 33 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['PinnedPiece', '1-0', '30']]
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Golden Executive', '1-0', '36']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['SloVice', '1-0', '39']]

===

<Meier-Karjakin, 1/2-1/2 in 56 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '45']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['bubuli55', '1/2-1/2', '35']]
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Jul-21-12  WinKing: <Gustafsson-Ponomariov, 0-1 in 70 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['bubuli55', '0-1', '45']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['chessmoron', '0-1', '38'], ['Robin01', '0-1', '38']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

<twinlark: Round 8

Gustafsson - Ponomariov 0-1 32>

Jul-21-12  chessmoron: Karjakin - Gustafsson 1-0 37
Kramnik - Meier 1-0 42
Bartel - Caruana 1/2 42
Naiditsch - Leko 1/2 34
Ponomariov - Fridman 1-0 39
Jul-21-12  WinKing: <Meier-Karjakin, 1/2-1/2 in 56 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '45']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['bubuli55', '1/2-1/2', '35']]
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

<Penguincw: == Round 8 : Sat Jul 21

Meier - Karjakin 1/2-1/2 40>

Jul-21-12  WinKing: Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 8>

Score,UserID

7, chessmoron
7, WinKing
6, PinnedPiece
<3, bubuli55>
3, lostemperor
3, OhioChessFan
3, Ragh
3, Robin01
3, twinlark
2, wordfunph
1, Penguincw
1, SloVice

<bubuli55> should have 4

Jul-21-12  chessmoron: Round 8 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

None

Highest score(s) in the Bonus Ranker: 6 points <Penguincw> <Robin01> <chessmoron> and <OhioChessFan>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 8>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

55, chessmoron, 0, 5, 2
48, WinKing, 1, 5, 1
42, PinnedPiece, 0, 6, 0
31, bubuli55, 0, 3, 1
21, Robin01, 0, 3, 0
21, twinlark, 0, 3, 0
20, lostemperor, 1, 1, 1
20, OhioChessFan, 1, 1, 1
17, wordfunph, 0, 1, 1
13, Ragh, 2, 1, 0
10, SloVice, 0, 0, 1
7, Penguincw, 0, 1, 0
0, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 8>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

53, WinKing, 4, 1, 1, 7
52, Robin01, 1, 2, 1, 7
41, wordfunph, 0, 1, 3, 4
39, Golden Executive, 0, 1, 5, 2
39, PinnedPiece, 3, 2, 4, 2
37, bubuli55, 2, 1, 3, 3
36, Penguincw, 0, 0, 6, 1
31, OhioChessFan, 2, 3, 1, 3
29, lostemperor, 0, 3, 1, 3
25, twinlark, 1, 1, 2, 2
23, Ragh, 1, 0, 2, 2
17, chessmoron, 1, 2, 0, 2
10, SloVice, 2, 4, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 8>

Score, UserID

101, WinKing
81, PinnedPiece
73, Robin01
72, chessmoron
68, bubuli55
58, wordfunph
51, OhioChessFan
49, lostemperor
46, twinlark
43, Penguincw
39, Golden Executive
36, Ragh
20, SloVice

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 8>

Score,UserID

7, chessmoron
7, WinKing
6, PinnedPiece
4, bubuli55
3, lostemperor
3, OhioChessFan
3, Ragh
3, Robin01
3, twinlark
2, wordfunph
1, Penguincw
1, SloVice

Jul-21-12  wordfunph: Round 9 :

Karjakin - Gustafsson 1-0 45
Kramnik - Meier 1/2 45
Bartel - Caruana 1/2 45
Naiditsch - Leko 1/2 45
Ponomariov - Fridman 1-0 45

Jul-21-12  chessmoron: I'll host Biel, BTW.
Jul-22-12  twinlark: Round 9 :

Karjakin - Gustafsson 1-0 33
Kramnik - Meier 1-0 34
Bartel - Caruana 0-1 54
Naiditsch - Leko 1/2 42
Ponomariov - Fridman 1-0 38

Jul-22-12  Golden Executive:

Round 9 : Sun Jul 22

Karjakin - Gustafsson 1/2 38
Kramnik - Meier 1/2 38
Bartel - Caruana 1/2 38
Naiditsch - Leko 1/2 38
Ponomariov - Fridman 1/2 38

Jul-22-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Karjakin - Gustafsson 1-0 38
Kramnik - Meier 1/2 28
Bartel - Caruana 0-1 34
Naiditsch - Leko 1/2 41
Ponomariov - Fridman 1/2 43
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