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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Oct-14-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49276 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Oct-14-25 S Takacs vs Alekhine, 1927
 
OhioChessFan: Qb1/d3 makes a bad impression. Throwing a tempo away to Alekhine has the expected results.
 
   Oct-14-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <ocf><<saffuna's> reasoning: It made no sense for Chauvin to do what he did. So that's proof he did it.> <I look at what actually happened.> Ohhh, so you didn't care for a one sentence summary of your position. Got it.
 
   Oct-14-25 F Oro vs Carlsen, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Faustian Bargain"
 
   Oct-13-25 F de Cresce El Debs vs Vachier-Lagrave, 2012 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Amusing pun, great game.
 
   Oct-10-25 Knaak vs Velimirovic, 1972
 
OhioChessFan: Amusing pun.
 
   Oct-09-25 Lasker vs Capablanca, 1935 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: 66YO Lasker taking it to Capa... unbelievable. Among the usual suspects for GOAT, I think Lasker is the most unappreciated.
 
   Oct-09-25 Rodan Keiter
 
OhioChessFan: Excuse me, Paul Bunyan never fought Rodan.
 
   Oct-08-25 C Shock vs P Rohwer, 1991 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: "It Was a Dark and Stormy Knight"
 
   Oct-08-25 offramp chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <The rain, in big drops, began to descend, and the thunder-peals, with louder and more deafening crash, to shake the zenith, till the long-protracted war, echoing from cavern to cavern, died, in indistinct murmurs, amidst the far-extended chain of mountains> Sounds like ...
 
   Oct-07-25 Chessgames - Music (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <Classic Rock Albums Reinterpreted in the Distinctive Styles of the 1950s and 1960s> https://laughingsquid.com/1950s-196...
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 399 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-11-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: After a really slow start, we got to a pretty good number of entries, 14 this round, 9 of them Hall of Famers, and maybe more to come.
Jan-11-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ♔ In game update ♔

Most games are about 20 moves in, with fairly equal evals. Rapport tried a Larsen against So, who's using a lot of time so far, 12 moves in and down to 62 minutes on the clock.

Jan-11-14  kardopov: **ROUND 2**

Giri - Naiditsch 1/2 33
So - Nakamura 1/2 39
Gelfand - Rapport 1-0 41
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 31
Karjakin - Harikrishna 0-1 54
Dominguez - Van Wely 1-0 58

Jan-11-14  kardopov: <<chessmoron: <kardopov> I will assume <Harikrishna - Aronian 0-1> for 48 moves if no changes are being made.>> Assumption noted. It's ok.
Jan-11-14  wordfunph: Round 2

Giri - Naiditsch 1/2 42
So - Nakamura 1/2 49
Gelfand - Rapport 1/2 32
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 33
Karjakin - Harikrishna 1/2 42
Dominguez - Van Wely 1/2 33

Jan-11-14  PinnedPiece: Round 2 - Sunday the 12th
Giri - Naiditsch 1/2 33
So - Nakamura 0-1 45
Gelfand - Rapport 1-0 33
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 33
Karjakin - Harikrishna 1-0 33
Dominguez - Van Wely 1/2 33

Round 3 - Monday the 13th
Van Wely - Giri 1/2 37
Harikrishna - Dominguez 1/2 37
Caruana - Karjakin 1/2 37
Rapport - Aronian 0-1 37
Nakamura - Gelfand 1/2 37
Naiditsch - So 1/2 37

Jan-11-14  chessmoron: ♔ Tata 2013: <Round 1> Result ♔

<Caruana-Gelfand, 1-0 in 30 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1-0', '26']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Dominguez-Giri, 1/2-1/2 in 31 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '32']]
2nd Over, 2 points: [['The Last Straw', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

===

<Harikrishna-Aronian, 1/2-1/2 in 30 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '40']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

===

<Nakamura-Naidtsch, 1-0 in 65 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['juan31', '1-0', '49']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1-0', '45']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '42']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Rapport-So, 0-1 in 56 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['wordfunph', '0-1', '45']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '0-1', '44']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['kardopov', '0-1', '57']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Van Wely-Karjakin, 0-1 in 60 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['kardopov', '0-1', '54']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['moulicules', '0-1', '46']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['NakoSonorense', '0-1', '44']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Jan-11-14  chessmoron: Round 1 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<NONE>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 6 points <moulicules>, <chessmoron> <lostemperor> and <OhioChessFan>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 1>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

7, juan31, 0, 1, 0
7, kardopov, 0, 1, 0
7, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 1, 0
7, wordfunph, 0, 1, 0
3, chessmoron, 1, 0, 0
3, Golden Executive, 1, 0, 0
0, Karposian, 0, 0, 0
0, lostemperor, 0, 0, 0
0, moulicules, 0, 0, 0
0, NakoSonorense, 0, 0, 0
0, OhioChessFan, 0, 0, 0
0, PinnedPiece, 0, 0, 0
0, The Last Straw, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 1>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

6, chessmoron, 1, 0, 1, 0
6, lostemperor, 0, 0, 0, 1
6, moulicules, 0, 0, 0, 1
6, OhioChessFan, 0, 0, 0, 1
5, NakoSonorense, 0, 0, 1, 0
3, juan31, 1, 1, 0, 0
2, kardopov, 0, 1, 0, 0
2, The Last Straw, 0, 1, 0, 0
0, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, Karposian, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, PinnedPiece, 0, 0, 0
0, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, wordfunph, 0, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 1>

Score, UserID

10, juan31
9, chessmoron
9, kardopov
7, SwitchingQuylthulg
7, wordfunph
6, moulicules
6, lostemperor
6, OhioChessFan
5, NakoSonorense
3, Golden Executive
2, The Last Straw
0, Karposian
0, PinnedPiece

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 1>

Score,UserID

1, chessmoron
1, Golden Executive
1, juan31
1, kardopov
1, SwitchingQuylthulg
1, wordfunph
0, Karposian
0, lostemperor
0, moulicules
0, NakoSonorense
0, OhioChessFan
0, PinnedPiece
0, The Last Straw

Jan-11-14  chessmoron: Giri - Naiditsch 1/2 34
So - Nakamura 1/2 41
Gelfand - Rapport 1-0 35
Aronian - Caruana 1-0 41
Karjakin - Harikrishna 1/2 34
Dominguez - Van Wely 1/2 36
Jan-11-14  moulicules: ROUND 2 12th Jan 14
Giri - Naiditsch 1/2 38
So - Nakamura 0-1 43
Gelfand - Rapport 1-0 39
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 31
Karjakin - Harikrishna 1/2 38
Dominguez - Van Wely 1-0 44
Jan-11-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I doubt <WinKing> minds much, but even though shut out, he ought to be listed in the scoring totals. Next round, anyway.
Jan-11-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: And the first round is completed with an amazing 11 of 14 contestants scoring. I let So's late arrival dissuade me from picking him to win. I suspect a really rough time for Rapport. He need not try b3 again.
Jan-11-14  Karposian: Round 2:

Giri - Naiditsch 1/2 38
So - Nakamura 1/2 32
Gelfand - Rapport 1/2 45
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 47
Karjakin - Harikrishna 1/2 44
Dominguez - Van Wely 1-0 41

Jan-11-14  WinKing: <OhioChessFan: I doubt <WinKing> minds much, but even though shut out, he ought to be listed in the scoring totals. Next round, anyway.>

Hey <OCF> if you can't score you don't deserve to be on the board. ;)

Jan-11-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: 2 round
Giri - Naiditsch 1/2 38
So - Nakamura 0-1 30
Gelfand - Rapport 1-0 45
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 40
Carjakin - HariKrishna 1/2 45
Dominguez - Van Wely 1/2 37
Jan-11-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: Pd. ( Carjakin no). Must be Karjakin
Jan-11-14  WinKing: Round 2 - Sunday the 12th

Giri - Naiditsch 1/2 45
So - Nakamura 1/2 45
Gelfand - Rapport 1-0 45
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 45
Karjakin - Harikrishna 1/2 45
Dominguez - Van Wely 1/2 45

Jan-11-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ♔ Scoring Update ♔

<WinKing> is tied for 7th in Moves Ranker, 9th in Bonus Ranker, 12th in Moves+Bonus Ranker, and 7th in Moves Ranker-#1 Over/Under.

Jan-11-14  The Last Straw: Giri - Naiditsch 1/2 31
So - Nakamura 1/2 50
Gelfand - Rapport 1/2 30
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 31
Karjakin - Harikrishna 1-0 40
Dominguez - Van Wely 1/2 28
Jan-11-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Giri - Naiditsch 1/2 25
So - Nakamura 0-1 51
Gelfand - Rapport 1-0 30
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 40
Karjakin - Harikrishna 1/2 38
Dominguez - Van Wely 1/2 36
Jan-12-14  Golden Executive:

Giri - Naiditsch 1-0 36
So - Nakamura 0-1 36
Gelfand - Rapport 1-0 36
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 40
Karjakin - Harikrishna 1/2 36
Dominguez - Van Wely 1-0 36

Jan-12-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 2:

Giri - Naiditsch 1/2 40
So - Nakamura 1/2 16
Gelfand - Rapport 1/2 32
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 48
Karjakin - Harikrishna 1/2 27
Dominguez - Van Wely 1/2 37

Jan-12-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 2 games have started.
Jan-12-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks Owls.
Jan-12-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ♔ In Game Update ♔

Giri beat Naiditsch in 33 moves and Aronian beat Caruana in 58. Dominguez-Van Wely was a harmless 26 move draw and So-Naka was a draw in 27. Karjakin-Harikrishna lasted a little longer, but was drawn in 40 moves. Rapport looks like he is going to win with Black against Gelfand as they approach the second time control.

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