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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-22-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
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rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

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Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49372 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-21-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Best singer in a band is Freddie Mercury. Best woman singer in a band is Grace Slick. Best singer ever is Sam Cooke. Best female ever is Aretha Franklin. Quick takes on some others mentioned: Dylan is painfully bad. Sinatra is off key 75% of the time. Jim Croce had the best ...
 
   Nov-21-25 S J Stevens vs Gracie, 1878
 
OhioChessFan: White to make his 18th move would be a decent Tuesday puzzle.
 
   Nov-21-25 A Niyibizi vs Cheda, 2014 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Amusing pun. Patience paid off.
 
   Nov-19-25 W Hug vs Korchnoi, 1978 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: 18. Ne4 opened up the middle to Black's Queen and LSB. 18. Nb1 was fine.
 
   Nov-18-25 Chessgames - Music (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Wow, that is awesome. Here's Alvin Lee in his early days: 10 Years After-Love Like a Man https://youtu.be/K2nsJIjF5E4?si=Iwx...
 
   Nov-18-25 S P Sethuraman vs C Anto, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: <redundant> I never noticed that. I had 5 semesters of college German so I have a basic knowledge of the language. I guess the different languages of "time" in the same sentence render it acceptable. Monty Python just doesn't work for me. I like maybe 10% of their stuff.
 
   Nov-14-25 McShane vs I Samunenkov, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Nice analysis from Mikhail Golubev https://www.chess.com/blog/MikhailG...
 
   Nov-14-25 Mikhail Golubev
 
OhioChessFan: I just played over the Samunenkov game. What do you think of the Petroff in general? Do you need to be booked up on the latest lines or can you just rely on general principles?
 
   Nov-14-25 V Biliy vs V Golovach, 2003
 
OhioChessFan: Wildly entertaining game that lasted a long time with an odd material imbalance. 41...Ke5 was losing, as it gave up the skewer on the two Rooks on the long diagonal. 41...Kd7 would have been fine.
 
   Nov-13-25 D Moody vs D Helf, 1976
 
OhioChessFan: "Dewey, I'm Cut in Helf Pretty Bad"
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 617 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Aug-03-17  chessmoron: ♔ Sinquefield 2017: <Round 2> Result ♔

<Carlsen-Karjakin, 1-0 in 42 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '42']]
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['wordfunph', '1-0', '36']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Golden Executive', '1-0', '44']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['juan31', '1-0', '45']]

===

<Nakmaura-MVL, 1/2-1/2 in 33 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['offramp', '1/2-1/2', '35']]
2nd Over, 2 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

===

<Nepo-So, 0-1 in 39 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Robin01', '0-1', '36'], ['Penguincw', '0-1', '36']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['Golden Executive', '0-1', '26']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['WinKing', '0-1', '40']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Svidler-Anand, 1/2-1/2 in 31 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '30'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['bubuli55', '1/2-1/2', '27']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '36'], ['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '36'], ['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['offramp', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

===

<Aronian-Caruana, 0-1 in 110 moves.>--No one got it!

Aug-03-17  chessmoron: Round 2 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<chessmoron>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 10 points: <wordfunph>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 2>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

17, SwitchingQuylthulg, 1, 2, 0
10, chessmoron, 0, 0, 1
7, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 1, 0
7, Penguincw, 0, 1, 0
7, Robin01, 0, 1, 0
7, WinKing, 0, 1, 0
6, offramp, 2, 0, 0
3, Golden Executive, 1, 0, 0
3, wordfunph, 1, 0, 0
0, bubuli55, 0, 0, 0
0, juan31, 0, 0, 0
0, juniper anole, 0, 0, 0
0, OhioChessFan, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 2>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

14, Golden Executive, 1, 1, 1, 1
10, juan31, 2, 1, 0, 1
10, wordfunph, 0, 2, 0, 1
8, WinKing, 1, 1, 1, 0
7, bubuli55, 1, 0, 0, 1
6, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 3, 0, 0
6, Penguincw, 1, 0, 1, 0
2, chessmoron, 2, 0, 0, 0
2, Robin01, 0, 1, 0, 0
1, juniper anole, 1, 0, 0, 0
1, offramp, 1, 0, 0, 0
0, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, OhioChessFan, 0, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 2>

Score, UserID

17, Golden Executive
17, SwitchingQuylthulg
15, WinKing
13, alfamikewhiskey
13, Penguincw
13, wordfunph
12, chessmoron
10, juan31
9, Robin01
7, bubuli55
7, offramp
1, juniper anole
0, OhioChessFan

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 2>

Score,UserID

3, SwitchingQuylthulg
2, offramp
1, alfamikewhiskey
1, chessmoron
1, Golden Executive
1, Penguincw
1, Robin01
1, WinKing
1, wordfunph
0, bubuli55
0, juan31
0, juniper anole
0, OhioChessFan

Aug-03-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: ROUND 3

Caruana -Nepomniachtchi 1-0 30
Karjakin-Aronian 1/2 40
Anand-Carlsen 1-0 44
Vachier-Lagrave-Svidler 1-0 39
So-Nakamura 1/2 41

Aug-03-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 3:

Caruana - Nepomniachtchi 1/2-1/2 40
Karjakin - Aronian 1/2-1/2 40
Anand - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 40
Vachier-Lagrave - Svidler 1/2-1/2 40
So - Nakamura 1/2-1/2 40

Aug-03-17  chessmoron: Caruana - Nepomniachtchi 1-0 42
Karjakin - Aronian 1/2 39
Anand - Carlsen 1/2 38
Vachier-Lagrave - Svidler 1/2 40
So - Nakamura 1/2 41
Aug-04-17  wordfunph: Round 3:

Caruana -Nepomniachtchi 1-0 46
Karjakin-Aronian 1/2 33
Anand-Carlsen 1/2 44
Vachier-Lagrave-Svidler 1-0 42
So-Nakamura 1/2 46

Aug-04-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 2 Recap **

<Switch> is making a big splash in his return to our contest, as he leads 3 Rankers. <GE> leads 2. We're working on another pretty low scoring contest, so nobody has opened up much room on the leaderboard yet.

In other news, <OhioChessFan> is still terribly embarrassed he hasn't scored a point yet, and is further annoyed that <chessmoron> has taken to calling him "You stupid zero scoring Yankee". <OCF> threatened to jump up and kick <cm> in the knee but that threat was laughed off.

Only 7 rounds to go as we stagger on, fighting exhaustion every step of the way.

Aug-04-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Caruana-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 46
Karjakin-Aronian 1/2 38
Anand-Carlsen 1/2 40
Vachier-Lagrave-Svidler 1/2 36
So-Nakamura 1/2 40
Aug-04-17  alfamikewhiskey: Round 3:

Caruana-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 38
Karjakin-Aronian 1/2 38
Anand-Carlsen 0-1 42
Vachier-Lagrave-Svidler 1-0 42
So-Nakamura 1/2 38

Aug-04-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp:
Round 3

Caruana-Nepomniachtchi 1-0 28
Karjakin-Aronian 1/2 35
Anand-Carlsen 1/2 41
Vachier-Lagrave-Svidler 1-0 50
So-Nakamura 1/2 33

Aug-04-17  WinKing: Round 3

Caruana-Nepomniachtchi 1-0 43
Karjakin-Aronian 1/2 43
Anand-Carlsen 1/2 43
Vachier-Lagrave-Svidler 1/2 43
So-Nakamura 1-0 43

Aug-04-17  Robin01: Round 3 Predictions:

Caruana-Nepomniachtchi 1-0 37
Karjakin-Aronian 1/2 34
Anand-Carlsen 0-1 48
Vachier-Lagrave-Svidler 1/2 37
So-Nakamura 1/2 41

Aug-04-17  Golden Executive: Round 3

Caruana-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 25
Karjakin-Aronian 1/2 39
Anand-Carlsen 1/2 41
Vachier-Lagrave-Svidler 1/2 38
So-Nakamura 1/2 41

Aug-04-17  WinKing: Anyone seen or heard from <lostemperor>? Is he alive...dead? After all the little dude is 800 years old. ;)
Aug-04-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round three has started.
Aug-04-17  WinKing: Hurry up Switch!
Aug-04-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: We have a rather lenient admin here so hoping Switch gets here soon.
Aug-04-17  chessmoron: ♔ Sinquefield 2017: <Round 3> Result ♔

<Anand-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 66 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '44']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '43']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['offramp', '1/2-1/2', '41'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Caurana-Nepo, 1/2-1/2 in 38 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '25']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '46']]

===

<Karjakin-Aronian, 1/2-1/2 in 23 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['offramp', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

===

<MVL-Svidler, 1/2-1/2 in 43 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '43']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<So-Nakamura, 1/2-1/2 in 69 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '46']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['bubuli55', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '41'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '41'], ['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '41'], ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Aug-04-17  chessmoron: Round 3 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<alfamikewhiskey> and <WinKing>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 21 points: <Golden Executive>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 3>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

20, wordfunph, 2, 2, 0
17, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 1, 1
17, SwitchingQuylthulg, 1, 2, 0
17, WinKing, 0, 1, 1
10, chessmoron, 0, 0, 1
7, Penguincw, 0, 1, 0
7, Robin01, 0, 1, 0
6, offramp, 2, 0, 0
3, Golden Executive, 1, 0, 0
0, bubuli55, 0, 0, 0
0, juan31, 0, 0, 0
0, juniper anole, 0, 0, 0
0, OhioChessFan, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 3>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

35, Golden Executive, 1, 1, 4, 2
15, juan31, 2, 1, 1, 1
14, Penguincw, 1, 1, 1, 1
14, WinKing, 1, 1, 1, 1
13, bubuli55, 1, 0, 0, 2
13, chessmoron, 2, 0, 1, 1
10, wordfunph, 0, 2, 0, 1
9, Robin01, 0, 2, 1, 0
7, offramp, 2, 0, 1, 0
6, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 3, 0, 0
1, juniper anole, 1, 0, 0, 0
1, OhioChessFan, 1, 0, 0, 0
0, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 3>

Score, UserID

38, Golden Executive
31, WinKing
30, wordfunph
23, chessmoron
23, alfamikewhiskey
21, Penguincw
17, SwitchingQuylthulg
16, Robin01
15, juan31
13, bubuli55
13, offramp
1, juniper anole
1, OhioChessFan

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 3>

Score,UserID

4, wordfunph
3, SwitchingQuylthulg
2, alfamikewhiskey
2, offramp
2, WinKing
1, chessmoron
1, Golden Executive
1, Penguincw
1, Robin01
0, bubuli55
0, juan31
0, juniper anole
0, OhioChessFan

Aug-04-17  chessmoron: Nepomniachtchi-Nakamura 1/2 38
Svidler-So 1/2 41
Carlsen-Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 43
Aronian-Anand 1/2 40
Caruana-Karjakin 1/2 43
Aug-04-17  wordfunph: Rd 4

Nepomniachtchi-Nakamura 1/2 38
Svidler-So 1/2 46
Carlsen-Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 46
Aronian-Anand 1/2 36
Caruana-Karjakin 1/2 46

Aug-04-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: ROUND 4

Nepomniachtchi-Nakamura 1/2 38
Svidler-So 1/2 40
Carlsen-Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 46
Aronian-Anand 1-0 39
Caruana-Karjakin 1/2 40

Aug-04-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 3 Recap **

We had some movement at the top of the leaderboards that round as <GE> and <wordfunph> both lead 2 Rankers. The whereabouts of <Switch> are still under investigation. <WinKing> has contacted the FBI, Interpol, and Tyler Henry to help solve the mystery. <chessmoron> mumbled, "Yeah, whatever".

In other news, <OhioChessFan> was relieved to score a grand total of one point after correctly picking all 5 game results. He is also one of 4 contestants who haven't hit a #1 yet. <OCF> is getting a complex because <chessmoron> never seems to list the 0's unless <OCF> is one of them.

Only 6 rounds to go in our contest.

Aug-04-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Nepomniachtchi-Nakamura 1/2 40
Svidler-So 1/2 40
Carlsen-Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 37
Aronian-Anand 1-0 42
Caruana-Karjakin 1-0 40
Aug-05-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 4:

Nepomniachtchi - Nakamura 0-1 36
Svidler - So 1/2-1/2 40
Carlsen - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2-1/2 44
Aronian - Anand 1-0 36
Caruana - Karjakin 1/2-1/2 40

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