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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 143 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jun-13-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Enjoy!
Jun-14-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TAL MEMORIAL ROUND 1
THE UPDATE

<A round worthy of the old World Chess Champion Mikhail Tal!

<Andreikin - Morozevich 1/2
Anand - Caruana 0-1
Gelfand - Karjakin 1/2
Carlsen - Kramnik 1-0
Nakamura - Mamedyarov 0-1

<standings:
1. Mamedyarov
1. Carlsen
1. Caruana
4. Andreikin
4. Morozevich
4. Gelfand
7. Karjakin
8. Nakamura
8. Anand
8. Kramnik>
>
>
>

Jun-14-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔♕♖<TAL MEMORIAL
<THE PREDICTIONS STANDINGS>>
♖♕♔

<ABSOLUTE RANKER 1>

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

29,SwitchingQuylthulg
24,WannaBe
23,SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
~~~~
22,lostemperor
21,King Sacrificer
20,Diademas
20,MarbleSkull
20,OhioChessFan
19,chessmoron
18,suenteus po 147
17,isemeria
17,Ragh
17,wtwz
16,Aurora
16,blade2012
16,Golden Executive
15,twinlark
15,wordfunph
14,Penguincw
12,cromat
12,Karposian
12,LucB
12,whiteshark
12,WinKing
12,YouRang
11,The Last Straw
10,Ezzy

Jun-14-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SQUARE RANKER 1>

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

270,SwitchingQuylthulg
220,WannaBe
214,Diademas
~~~~
213,lostemperor
205,King Sacrificer
202,chessmoron
202,SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
195,wtwz
190,MarbleSkull
186,twinlark
185,OhioChessFan
181,isemeria
179,Ragh
176,suenteus po 147
169,Aurora
167,Golden Executive
150,The Last Straw
148,blade2012
146,YouRang
139,cromat
139,whiteshark
136,wordfunph
132,WinKing
127,Penguincw
123,Ezzy
123,Karposian
121,LucB

Jun-14-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <PAIR BETTING RANKER 1>

Earnings,UserID

$76.64,SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
$71.62,SwitchingQuylthulg
$36.21,suenteus po 147
~~~~
$27.72,MarbleSkull
$12.82,wtwz
$9.26,lostemperor
$6.64,WannaBe
$4.35,King Sacrificer
$3.25,twinlark
$2.34,Diademas
$-4.65,chessmoron
$-5.98,OhioChessFan
$-7.92,Ragh
$-8.23,isemeria
$-11.02,blade2012
$-11.55,Aurora
$-13.14,cromat
$-13.24,Golden Executive
$-13.24,WinKing
$-16.61,whiteshark
$-16.92,Penguincw
$-18.64,Karposian
$-19.27,Ezzy
$-19.37,The Last Straw
$-20.24,wordfunph
$-21.75,YouRang
$-29.06,LucB

Jun-14-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$27.00,Andreikin-above-Anand, SoUnwiseTheKnight B4

$27.00,Carlsen-equal-Caruana, MarbleSkull

$27.00,Caruana-equal-Mamedyarov, SwitchingQuylthulg

$27.00,Gelfand-equal-Karjakin, suenteus po 147

$27.00,Mamedyarov-above-Kramnik, SoUnwiseTheKnight B4

$13.50,Andreikin-above-Nakamura, blade2012 + suenteus po 147

$13.50,Andreikin-equal-Gelfand, Ragh + SwitchingQuylthulg

$13.50,Andreikin-equal-Morozevich, SwitchingQuylthulg + wtwz

$13.50,Mamedyarov-above-Anand, SoUnwiseTheKnight B4 + SwitchingQuylthulg

Jun-14-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Of course I meant Karjakin is equal 4-7 in the tournament standings.
Jun-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TAL MEMORIAL ROUND 1
THE UPDATE
<
Morozevich - Mamedyarov 1/2
Kramnik - Nakamura 0-1
Karjakin - Carlsen 1/2
Caruana - Gelfand 0-1
Andreikin - Anand 1/2

<Mikhail Tal is alive!

<standings:

1. Carlsen
1. Mamedyarov
1. Gelfand
4. Andreikin
4. Morozevich
4. Caruana
4. Karjakin
4. Nakamura
9. Anand
10. Kramnik>
>
>
>

Jun-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔♕♖<TAL MEMORIAL
<THE PREDICTIONS STANDINGS>>
♖♕♔

<ABSOLUTE RANKER 2>

Score,UserID

23,SwitchingQuylthulg
18,SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
17,MarbleSkull
17,OhioChessFan
~~~~
16,cromat
16,Golden Executive
16,WinKing
15,Diademas
15,wordfunph
14,Aurora
14,chessmoron
14,isemeria
14,Karposian
14,King Sacrificer
14,lostemperor
14,Penguincw
14,Ragh
14,The Last Straw
14,WannaBe
14,whiteshark
14,YouRang
13,blade2012
13,Ezzy
13,LucB
12,suenteus po 147
12,wtwz
10,twinlark

Jun-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SQUARE RANKER 2>

Score,UserID

223,SwitchingQuylthulg
190,SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
184,Diademas
~~~~
180,MarbleSkull
178,cromat
168,chessmoron
168,lostemperor
167,OhioChessFan
167,WannaBe
158,twinlark
154,King Sacrificer
154,wtwz
145,Golden Executive
139,Aurora
139,suenteus po 147
139,The Last Straw
138,WinKing
136,whiteshark
134,isemeria
134,Ragh
129,YouRang
127,wordfunph
125,Karposian
125,LucB
121,Ezzy
112,Penguincw
97,blade2012

Jun-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <PAIR BETTING RANKER 2>

Earnings,UserID

$81.72,SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
$41.68,cromat
$37.45,SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
$26.78,Golden Executive
$20.25,MarbleSkull
$11.48,WinKing
$7.88,WannaBe
$7.87,twinlark
$3.66,wtwz
$0.95,Diademas
$-4.06,Ezzy
$-5.57,OhioChessFan
$-6.04,chessmoron
$-8.32,lostemperor
$-8.56,suenteus po 147
$-12.10,King Sacrificer
$-12.15,Karposian
$-12.21,Aurora
$-15.99,Ragh
$-16.16,Penguincw
$-16.27,YouRang
$-18.90,LucB
$-19.35,The Last Straw
$-20.25,wordfunph
$-20.47,whiteshark
$-21.15,isemeria
$-22.16,blade2012

Jun-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Large Payoff Pair results>:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$27.00,Andreikin-above-Anand, SoUnwiseTheKnight B4

$27.00,Gelfand-above-Caruana, cromat

$27.00,Gelfand-above-Karjakin, MarbleSkull

$27.00,Mamedyarov-above-Kramnik, SoUnwiseTheKnight B4

$13.50,Andreikin-equal-Morozevich, SwitchingQuylthulg + wtwz

$13.50,Andreikin-equal-Nakamura, SwitchingQuylthulg + WannaBe

$13.50,Caruana-equal-Morozevich, Golden Executive + WinKing

$13.50,Mamedyarov-above-Anand, SoUnwiseTheKnight B4 + SwitchingQuylthulg

$13.50,Mamedyarov-above-Caruana, cromat + Ezzy

Jun-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 2 saw another two remarkable wins with black. This time from Nakamura and Gelfand. The two players I am rooting for. It is a win win situation for me. I lose points but am satisfied!

Two players have only decisive games. Caruana and Kramnik. Though for Kramnik it is not what he expected and neither did I or most of us.

Jun-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TAL MEMORIAL ROUND 3
THE UPDATE

<The hits just keep on coming. Three decisive games!<

Anand - Morozevich 1-0
Gelfand - Andreikin 1/2
Carlsen - Caruana 0-1
Nakamura - Karjakin 1-0
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1/2
<
standings:
1. Mamedyarov
1. Caruana
1. Gelfand
1. Nakamura
5. Anand
5. Andreikin
5. Carlsen
8. Karjakin
8. Morozevich
10. Kramnik>
>
>
>

Jun-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔♕♖<TAL MEMORIAL
<THE PREDICTIONS STANDINGS>>
♖♕♔

<ABSOLUTE RANKER 3>

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

27,SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
23,MarbleSkull
21,twinlark
~~~~
19,suenteus po 147
17,Penguincw
16,cromat
16,SwitchingQuylthulg
15,LucB
15,wtwz
14,chessmoron
14,OhioChessFan
13,Aurora
12,Diademas
12,whiteshark
11,WannaBe
11,WinKing
10,Ezzy
9,lostemperor
8,blade2012
8,Golden Executive
8,King Sacrificer
8,Ragh
8,The Last Straw
8,wordfunph
8,YouRang
6,isemeria
6,Karposian

Jun-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SQUARE RANKER 3>

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

240,SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
229,MarbleSkull
201,twinlark
~~~~
187,wtwz
181,cromat
167,chessmoron
167,SwitchingQuylthulg
164,Diademas
160,Penguincw
155,suenteus po 147
144,WinKing
143,OhioChessFan
143,WannaBe
139,LucB
139,whiteshark
132,Aurora
130,lostemperor
127,Ragh
120,Ezzy
115,Golden Executive
112,Karposian
112,King Sacrificer
112,YouRang
107,The Last Straw
107,wordfunph
93,isemeria
70,blade2012

Jun-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <PAIR BETTING RANKER 3>

Earnings,UserID

$110.81,SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
$45.36,SwitchingQuylthulg
$42.50,MarbleSkull
~~~~
$37.73,suenteus po 147
$23.76,Penguincw
$19.18,twinlark
$6.33,wtwz
$4.42,cromat
$1.21,wordfunph
$-1.11,OhioChessFan
$-3.29,WinKing
$-5.32,King Sacrificer
$-8.33,chessmoron
$-8.63,Diademas
$-10.04,Karposian
$-12.31,Golden Executive
$-12.89,Ragh
$-17.51,WannaBe
$-18.66,Ezzy
$-19.11,YouRang
$-20.61,LucB
$-20.61,whiteshark
$-20.88,Aurora
$-24.64,The Last Straw
$-27.86,isemeria
$-28.11,lostemperor
$-31.40,blade2012

Jun-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Large Payoff Pair results>:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$27.00,Anand-equal-Andreikin, SwitchingQuylthulg

$27.00,Andreikin-above-Karjakin, Penguincw

$27.00,Caruana-equal-Gelfand, wordfunph

$27.00,Caruana-equal-Mamedyarov, SwitchingQuylthulg

$27.00,Gelfand-above-Carlsen, suenteus po 147

$27.00,Gelfand-above-Karjakin, MarbleSkull

$27.00,Mamedyarov-above-Carlsen, SoUnwiseTheKnight B4

$27.00,Mamedyarov-above-Kramnik, SoUnwiseTheKnight B4

$13.50,Mamedyarov-above-Anand, SoUnwiseTheKnight B4 + SwitchingQuylthulg

$13.50,Nakamura-above-Carlsen, SoUnwiseTheKnight B4 + twinlark

Jun-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: An unorthodox tournament standing after 3 rounds requires an unorthodox prediction. That is best done by new comer <SoUnwiseTheKnight B4> who took the lead on all three rankers.

Tomorrow restday but so what you don't have to make predictions anymore. Six more exciting rounds to go!:)

Jun-15-13  King Sacrificer: Let's see how far <SoUnwiseTheKnight B4> will go with Carlsen at the 6th spot. :)
Jun-16-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Well so far so good for B4, Carlsen is on an average 6th spot but the players are still very close together.:) He has one of his bad days though few..
Jun-16-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Correction to my earlier comment: Nakamura also has only decisive games together with Caruana now (two wins and one loss each)!
Jun-17-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TAL MEMORIAL ROUND 3
THE UPDATE

<Hikaru Nakamura takes sole first!

<Morozevich - Kramnik 1/2
Karjakin - Mamedyarov 1-0
Caruana - Nakamura 1/2
Andreikin - Carlsen 0-1
Anand - Gelfand 1-0

<standings:
1. Nakamura
2. Mamedyarov
2. Gelfand
4. Caruana
4. Anand
4. Andreikin
4. Carlsen
8. Karjakin
8. Morozevich
10. Kramnik>
>
>
>

Jun-17-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔♕♖<TAL MEMORIAL
<THE PREDICTIONS STANDINGS>>
♖♕♔

<ABSOLUTE RANKER 4>

Score,UserID

24,SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
19,cromat
19,MarbleSkull
~~~~
17,twinlark
16,LucB
16,Penguincw
15,suenteus po 147
14,whiteshark
13,SwitchingQuylthulg
13,WinKing
12,Ezzy
11,Aurora
11,Diademas
11,wtwz
10,chessmoron
10,OhioChessFan
10,The Last Straw
10,wordfunph
10,YouRang
9,Golden Executive
8,blade2012
8,Karposian
7,lostemperor
7,Ragh
7,WannaBe
5,isemeria
5,King Sacrificer

Jun-17-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SQUARE RANKER 4>

Score,UserID

225,SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
213,MarbleSkull
207,cromat
~~~~
178,twinlark
161,Penguincw
160,wtwz
158,WinKing
150,Diademas
146,SwitchingQuylthulg
146,whiteshark
144,chessmoron
142,LucB
132,Ezzy
127,Karposian
125,OhioChessFan
119,suenteus po 147
117,Aurora
116,Ragh
115,WannaBe
113,Golden Executive
113,The Last Straw
112,YouRang
108,lostemperor
103,wordfunph
88,King Sacrificer
78,isemeria
60,blade2012

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