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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Jan-23-20
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

Next event TATA STEEL CHESS Janary 10

https://grandchesstour.org/2019-gra...

Format to post your predictions

1. Carlsen
1. Caruana
3. Giri
4. So
5. Anand
5. Duda
5. Vitiugov
8. Yu Yangyi
9. Artemiev
10. Firouzja
11. Xiong
12. Dubov
13. Kovalev
13. Van Foreest

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7394 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jan-23-20 OhioChessFan chessforum
 
lostemperor: Vitiugov - Dubov 1/2 42 Firouzja - Anand 1/2 38 Kovalev - Caruana 0-1 48 Duda - Carlsen 1/2 20 Artemiev - Van Foreest 1-0 42 So - Xiong 1/2 42 Giri - Yu Yangyi 1/2 3
 
   Jan-23-20 Golden Executive chessforum
 
lostemperor: Vitiugov - Dubov 1/2 Firouzja - Anand 1/2 Kovalev - Caruana 0-1 Duda - Carlsen 1/2 Artemiev - Van Foreest 1-0 So - Xiong 1/2 Giri - Yu Yangyi 1/2
 
   Jan-23-20 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Golden Executive> getting the lead in the Square ranker while <rogge> holding the Absolute- and <alfamikewhiskey> the Pair betting ranker with one rest day and three rounds to go!
 
   Jan-10-20 Tata Steel Masters (2020) (replies)
 
lostemperor: NB: Predict the final standings of Tata Steel Chess Masters at my forum and join the prediction contest.
 
   Aug-16-19 Sinquefield Cup (2019) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Join the prediction contests forums. Predict the final outcome of Sinquefield tournament at my forum!
 
   Jul-08-19 GCT Croatia (2019) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the Grand Chess Tour Croatia Final standings Prediction Contest 2019 at my forum <Keyser Soze>♔♕♕ <OhioChessFan>♔♕♖ <alfamikewhiskey>♔ <paavoh>♖ <WinKing>♖ Join in for another ...
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 267 OF 267 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-13-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <chessmoron> Nepomniatchi is not participating as was earlier expected. It should be Vitiugov. Sorry you missed that late change..
Jan-14-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TATA STEEL CHESS ROUND 3

<Round 3:
Van Foreest - Dubov 1-0
Carlsen - Xiong 1/2
Caruana - Yu Yangyi 1-0
Anand - Giri 1/2
Vitiugov - So 1/2
Firouzja - Artemiev 1-0
Kovalev - Duda 1/2

<standings:
1. Firouzja 2,5
2. Xiong 2
2. So
2. VanForeest
2. Caruana
6. Giri 1,5
6. Carlsen
6. Duda
6. Dubov
6. Artemiev
11. Anand 1
11. Vitiugov
13. YuYangyi 0,5
13. Kovalek>
>
>

Jan-14-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: TATA STEEL THE PREDICTIONS♔♕♖

ABSOLUTE RANKER
Score,UserID

46,alfamikewhiskey
41,OhioChessFan
40,rogge
40,wordfunph
~~~~
37,Golden Executive
37,paavoh
37,WinKing
36,cromat
36,Diademas
36,Keyser Soze
36,scout118
35,sadosa
34,lostemperor
34,Penguincw
30,Count Wedgemore

SQUARE RANKER 3

Score,UserID

612,alfamikewhiskey
575,OhioChessFan
524,Diademas
~~~~
513,cromat
513,wordfunph
502,Golden Executive
490,rogge
487,WinKing
483,paavoh
483,scout118
468,Keyser Soze
434,sadosa
423,lostemperor
409,Penguincw
389,Count Wedgemore

Jan-14-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Earnings,UserID

$117.75,Penguincw
$79.66,alfamikewhiskey
$19.74,cromat
~~~~
$8.51,OhioChessFan
$5.36,Diademas
$-6.20,wordfunph
$-14.52,Golden Executive
$-14.53,rogge
$-15.72,scout118
$-22.60,paavoh
$-25.60,Keyser Soze
$-27.64,sadosa
$-29.79,WinKing
$-34.72,lostemperor
$-39.69,Count Wedgemore

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$15.00,Anand-equal-Vitiugov, wordfunph

$15.00,Artemiev-equal-Giri, scout118

$15.00,Duda-above-YuYangyi, cromat

$15.00,Firouzja-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$15.00,Firouzja-above-Caruana, Penguincw

$15.00,So-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$15.00,VanForeest-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$15.00,VanForeest-above-Giri, alfamikewhiskey

$15.00,Vitiugov-above-YuYangyi, cromat

$15.00,Xiong-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

Jan-14-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Firouzja the Kid, who was unknown to me let alone his amazing results December rapid and blitz alone, leading the field in Wijk aan Zee!

<alfamikewhiskey> also on top here ad <Penguincw> still leads the pair betting ranker!

Jan-14-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  Count Wedgemore: I'm at rock bottom. Seems like next time I should try <Penguincw>'s upside down strategy.
Jan-14-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I'd rather lose...
Jan-15-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TATA STEEL CHESS ROUND 4 UPDATE

<At least Carlsen scored a hattrick. 111 games undefeated :) Wesley So leading!

<Dubov - Duda 1/2
Artemiev - Kovalev 1-0
So - Firouzja 1-0
Giri - Vitiugov 1/2
Yu Yangyi - Anand 1/2
Xiong - Caruana 1/2
Van Foreest - Carlsen 1/2

<standings:
1. So
2. Xiong
2. Firouzja
2. VanForeest
2. Caruana
2. Artemiev
7. Carlsen
7. Duda
7. Dubov
7. Giri
11. Anand
11. Vitiugov
13. YuYangyi
14. Kovalek>
>
>
>

Jan-15-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔♕♖TATA STEEL THE PREDICTIONS

<ABSOLUTE RANKER>

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID
47,alfamikewhiskey
41,scout118
37,OhioChessFan
37,WinKing
~~~~
36,Penguincw
36,rogge
36,wordfunph
35,paavoh
34,Golden Executive
34,lostemperor
33,cromat
33,Keyser Soze
33,sadosa
32,Diademas
26,Count Wedgemore

<SQUARE RANKER TILL ROUND 4>

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID

587,alfamikewhiskey
556,scout118
538,cromat
~~~~
526,WinKing
525,Golden Executive
524,OhioChessFan
519,rogge
515,paavoh
512,Keyser Soze
493,wordfunph
481,lostemperor
479,sadosa
475,Diademas
461,Penguincw
426,Count Wedgemore

Jan-15-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <PAIR BETTING RANKER>

Earnings,UserID

$123.83,Penguincw
$78.91,alfamikewhiskey
$19.30,cromat
~~~~
$-2.57,OhioChessFan
$-10.44,Diademas
$-10.52,wordfunph
$-11.60,rogge
$-14.04,paavoh
$-15.61,Golden Executive
$-20.02,scout118
$-23.35,WinKing
$-24.54,Keyser Soze
$-25.02,lostemperor
$-26.58,sadosa
$-37.75,Count Wedgemore

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$15.00,Anand-equal-Vitiugov, wordfunph

$15.00,Artemiev-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$15.00,Artemiev-equal-VanForeest, alfamikewhiskey

$15.00,Duda-above-YuYangyi, cromat

$15.00,Firouzja-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$15.00,Firouzja-equal-Xiong, scout118

$15.00,So-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$15.00,VanForeest-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$15.00,VanForeest-above-Giri, alfamikewhiskey

$15.00,Vitiugov-above-YuYangyi, cromat

$15.00,Xiong-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

Jan-15-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <alfamikewhiskey> in the absolute and square- and <Penguincw> in the pair betting ranker still leading with 9 rounds to go!
Jan-15-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: (assume this comment was made after the Round 2 results)

Damn, I rarely see the upside-down predictions do well in a ranker other than Betting.

Jan-17-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TATA STEEL CHESS ROUND 5 UPDATE

<Round 5:

Carlsen - Dubov 1/2
Caruana - Van Foreest 1/2
Anand - Xiong 1-0
Vitiugov - Yu Yangyi 1/2
Firouzja - Giri 1-0
Kovalev - So 1/2
Duda - Artemiev 1/2

<standings:
1. So 3.5
1. Firouzja
3. Artemiev 3
3. VanForeest
3. Caruana
6. Xiong 2.5
6. Carlsen
6. Duda
6. Dubov
6. Anand
11. Giri 2
11. Vitiugov
13. YuYangyi 1.5
14. Kovalek 1>
>
>
>

TATA STEEL CHESS THE PREDICTIONS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 5
Score,UserID

49,alfamikewhiskey
43,scout118
39,rogge
39,WinKing
39,wordfunph
~~~~
38,OhioChessFan
37,lostemperor
37,paavoh
36,cromat
36,Keyser Soze
36,sadosa
35,Golden Executive
33,Diademas
29,Count Wedgemore
23,Penguincw

<SQUARE RANKER TILL ROUND 5>

Score,UserID

644,alfamikewhiskey
561,scout118
538,paavoh
~~~~
526,OhioChessFan
525,Golden Executive
513,sadosa
512,wordfunph
506,Keyser Soze
504,Diademas
496,WinKing
490,rogge
489,cromat
459,lostemperor
418,Count Wedgemore
374,Penguincw

Jan-17-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 5

Earnings,UserID

$104.50,alfamikewhiskey
$102.47,Penguincw
$9.37,cromat
~~~~
$4.02,OhioChessFan
$-4.69,Diademas
$-5.64,paavoh
$-8.88,rogge
$-9.55,wordfunph
$-17.87,Golden Executive
$-19.07,sadosa
$-23.86,WinKing
$-25.84,Keyser Soze
$-28.76,scout118
$-32.82,lostemperor
$-43.41,Count Wedgemore

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$15.00,Artemiev-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$15.00,Artemiev-equal-VanForeest, alfamikewhiskey

$15.00,Duda-above-Giri, alfamikewhiskey

$15.00,Duda-above-YuYangyi, cromat

$15.00,Firouzja-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$15.00,Firouzja-above-Caruana, Penguincw

$15.00,So-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$15.00,VanForeest-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$15.00,VanForeest-above-Giri, alfamikewhiskey

$15.00,Vitiugov-above-YuYangyi, cromat

Jan-17-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <alfamikewhiskey> now on top of all rankers albeit neck and neck with the <Penguincw> in the betting ranker with 8 rounds to go!!
Jan-20-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TATA STEEL CHESS ROUND 8 UPDATE

<Round 6:

Dubov - Artemiev 1-0
So - Duda 1/2
Giri - Kovalev 1-0
Yu Yangyi - Firouzja 1/2
Xiong - Vitiugov 1/2
Van Foreest - Anand 1/2
Carlsen - Caruana 1/2

Round 7

Caruana - Dubov 1-0
Anand - Carlsen 1/2
Vitiugov - Van Foreest 0-1
Firouzja - Xiong 1-0
Kovalev - Yu Yangyi 1/2
Duda - Giri 1/2
Artemiev - So 1/2

Round 8

Dubov - So 1/2
Giri - Artemiev 1/2
Yu Yangyi - Duda 0-1
Xiong - Kovalev 0-1
Van Foreest - Firouzja 1/2
Carlsen - Vitiugov 1-0
Caruana - Anand 1-0

<standings:
1. Caruana 5.5
1. Firouzja
3. So 5
3. VanForeest
5. Carlsen 4.5
5. Duda
7. Dubov 4
7. Giri
7. Artemiev
10. Anand 3.5
11. Xiong 3
12. Vitiugov 2.5
12. YuYangyi
12. Kovalek>
>
>
>

Jan-20-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: TATA STEEL CHESS THE PREDICTIONS

<ABSOLUTE RANKER>

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID

50,rogge
49,alfamikewhiskey
48,Golden Executive
48,wordfunph
~~~~
47,paavoh
46,Keyser Soze
45,scout118
44,cromat
43,Count Wedgemore
43,OhioChessFan
43,sadosa
40,lostemperor
39,Diademas
39,WinKing
18,Penguincw

♔♕♖♕♔♖♕♖♕♔

<SQUARE RANKER 8>

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID

673,alfamikewhiskey
627,Golden Executive
602,OhioChessFan
602,wordfunph
~~~~
578,scout118
577,rogge
572,cromat
571,paavoh
564,Keyser Soze
544,Diademas
544,sadosa
534,WinKing
511,Count Wedgemore
511,lostemperor
268,Penguincw

Jan-20-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 8

Earnings,UserID

$87.51,alfamikewhiskey
$55.00,Penguincw
$9.77,OhioChessFan
~~~~
$8.75,cromat
$2.64,Golden Executive
$-3.88,rogge
$-4.00,Diademas
$-12.05,wordfunph
$-13.93,scout118
$-15.22,Keyser Soze
$-19.13,sadosa
$-22.45,paavoh
$-23.39,WinKing
$-23.41,Count Wedgemore
$-26.21,lostemperor

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$15.00,Artemiev-equal-Giri, scout118

$15.00,Duda-above-Giri, alfamikewhiskey

$15.00,Duda-above-YuYangyi, cromat

$15.00,Firouzja-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$15.00,So-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$15.00,VanForeest-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

$15.00,VanForeest-above-Giri, alfamikewhiskey

Jan-20-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <rogge> has taken the initiative in the absolute ranker with <alfamikewhiskey> holding firm in the square- and pair betting ranker with two rest days and five rounds to go!
Jan-23-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TATA STEEL CHESS ROUND 10 UPDATE

<Round 9:
Anand - Dubov 1/2
Vitiugov - Caruana 1/2
Firouzja - Carlsen 0-1
Kovalev - Van Foreest 1/2
Duda - Xiong 1/2
Artemiev - Yu Yangyi 1/2
So - Giri 1/2

Round 10
Dubov - Giri 1/2
Yu Yangyi - So 1/2
Xiong - Artemiev 1-0
Van Foreest - Duda 1/2
Carlsen - Kovalev 1-0
Caruana - Firouzja 1-0
Anand - Vitiugov 1/2

<STANDINGS:
1. Caruana 7
2. Carlsen 6,5
3. So 6
3. VanForeest
5. Firouzja 5,5
5. Duda
7. Dubov 5
7. Giri
9. Artemiev 4,5
9. Anand
9. Xiong
12. Vitiugov 3.5
12. YuYangyi
14. Kovalek 3>
>
>
>

Jan-23-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: TATA STEEL CHESS THE PREDICTIONS

<ABSOLUTE RANKER 10>

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID

59,rogge
56,cromat
56,wordfunph
~~~~
55,Golden Executive
53,OhioChessFan
52,alfamikewhiskey
52,Keyser Soze
51,paavoh
50,scout118
49,Count Wedgemore
49,WinKing
48,lostemperor
47,sadosa
43,Diademas
18,Penguincw

♔♕♖♖♕♔♖♕♔♖♕

<SQUARE RANKER 10>

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID

697,Golden Executive
694,alfamikewhiskey
687,cromat
~~~~
668,rogge
667,OhioChessFan
653,wordfunph
648,Keyser Soze
646,WinKing
645,scout118
626,paavoh
616,Count Wedgemore
612,sadosa
607,lostemperor
577,Diademas
229,Penguincw

Jan-23-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <PAIR BETTING RANKER 10>

Earnings,UserID

$77.31,alfamikewhiskey
$23.39,cromat
$16.54,OhioChessFan
~~~~
$11.86,Penguincw
$11.40,Golden Executive
$5.51,rogge
$-6.53,wordfunph
$-9.73,Diademas
$-11.45,Keyser Soze
$-15.37,sadosa
$-15.95,lostemperor
$-21.19,paavoh
$-21.25,WinKing
$-21.89,Count Wedgemore
$-22.67,scout118

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$15.00,Duda-above-Giri, alfamikewhiskey

$15.00,Duda-above-YuYangyi, cromat

$15.00,VanForeest-above-Giri, alfamikewhiskey

$7.50,Artemiev-equal-Xiong, rogge + wordfunph

$7.50,Caruana-above-Carlsen, Penguincw + rogge

$7.50,Dubov-above-Anand, alfamikewhiskey + Penguincw

$7.50,Firouzja-above-Giri, alfamikewhiskey + Diademas

$7.50,VanForeest-above-Anand, alfamikewhiskey + Penguincw

$7.50,VanForeest-above-Dubov, cromat + Golden Executive

$7.50,VanForeest-above-Duda, alfamikewhiskey + Penguincw

$7.50,VanForeest-above-Firouzja, cromat + Penguincw

$7.50,VanForeest-above-Vitiugov, alfamikewhiskey + Penguincw

$7.50,VanForeest-above-Xiong, alfamikewhiskey + Golden Executive

Jan-23-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Golden Executive> getting the lead in the Square ranker while <rogge> holding the Absolute- and <alfamikewhiskey> the Pair betting ranker with one rest day and three rounds to go!
Jan-23-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  paavoh: I am placed solidly in the "also ran" section.
Jan-23-20
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Never say 'die' <paavoh>. It ain't over till the fat lady sings. ;)
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