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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 98 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-15-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Round 1>

Ponomariov 0-1 Anand
l'Ami 1/2 Giri
Smeets 1-0 Shirov
Carlsen 1/2 Aronian
Nakamura 1-0 Grischuk
Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 Hao
Nepomniachtchi 1/2 Kramnik

standings:
1. Smeets, Nakamura, Anand

4. Aronian, Kramnik, Carlsen, Nepomniachtchi, Wang Hao, Vachier, Lami, Giri

12. Ponomariov, Shirov, Grischuk

Jan-15-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Prediction Standings Round 1

Absolute Ranker
Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID
44,lostemperor
41,rogge
39,nimh
38,percyblakeney
37,chancho
37,moronovich
37,SwitchingQuylthulg
36,Ragh
36,WinKing
35,Bobwhoosta
34,wordfunph
34,YouRang
33,MrMelad
33,OhioChessFan
33,WannaBe
32,Aurora
31,yalie
28,SloVice
27,chessmoron
27,cromat
26,DCP23

Jan-15-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Pair Betting Ranker

Earningsin$,UserID
38.11,DCP23
31.00,lostemperor
25.90,SloVice
23.14,percyblakeney
11.72,rogge
8.56,WannaBe
5.17,nimh
2.30,moronovich
0.16,OhioChessFan
-0.96,wordfunph
-2.29,SwitchingQuylthulg
-3.94,Aurora
-5.23,chancho
-5.40,yalie
-8.13,WinKing
-9.07,YouRang
-13.98,Ragh
-14.43,Bobwhoosta
-18.18,MrMelad
-28.29,chessmoron
-36.14,cromat

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$21.00,Carlsen-equal-Nepomniachtchi, DCP23

$21.00,Giri-equal-Lami, lostemperor

$21.00,Grischuk-equal-Ponomariov, SloVice

$21.00,Kramnik-equal-Nepomniachtchi, DCP23

$21.00,Nepomniachtchi-below-Smeets, SloVice

$10.50,Carlsen-equal-Kramnik, DCP23 + nimh

$10.50,Giri-above-Ponomariov, chancho + percyblakeney

$10.50,Giri-below-Smeets, OhioChessFan + SloVice

$10.50,Grischuk-equal-Shirov, WannaBe + wordfunph

$10.50,Lami-equal-Wang, wordfunph + yalie

$10.50,Shirov-below-Wang, lostemperor + percyblakeney

Jan-15-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: $7.00,Aronian-below-Nakamura, moronovich + rogge + WinKing

$7.00,Aronian-equal-Carlsen, Aurora + OhioChessFan + SwitchingQuylthulg

$7.00,Giri-above-Shirov, Bobwhoosta + percyblakeney + YouRang

$7.00,Grischuk-below-Nepomniachtchi, Aurora + DCP23 + percyblakeney

$7.00,Vachier-equal-Wang, lostemperor + moronovich + WannaBe

$5.25,Anand-above-Carlsen, chancho + nimh + OhioChessFan + yalie

$5.25,Anand-equal-Nakamura, moronovich + rogge + SwitchingQuylthulg + YouRang

$5.25,Giri-equal-Vachier, Ragh + wordfunph + yalie + YouRang

$5.25,Giri-equal-Wang, DCP23 + MrMelad + rogge + SwitchingQuylthulg

$5.25,Kramnik-below-Nakamura, Bobwhoosta + moronovich + percyblakeney + rogge

$5.25,Nepomniachtchi-equal-Vachier, rogge + SwitchingQuylthulg + WinKing + yalie

$5.25,Ponomariov-below-Vachier, Aurora + lostemperor + nimh + WannaBe

Jan-17-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 2 UPDATE>
Decisive game: Wang Hao - Nepomniachtchi 0-1

Standings 2:

1. Smeets
1. Nakamura
1. Anand
1. Nepomniachtchi
5. Kramnik
5. Carlsen
5. Aronian
5. Giri
5. Vachier
5. Lami
11. Wang
11. Ponomariov
11. Shirov
11. Grischuk

Jan-17-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TATA STEEL PREDICTION STANDINGS 2>

Score,UserID
42,lostemperor
42,percyblakeney
42,rogge
40,Aurora
38,chancho
38,moronovich
37,DCP23
37,Ragh
37,SwitchingQuylthulg
37,wordfunph
36,YouRang
35,Bobwhoosta
34,nimh
33,yalie
32,MrMelad
30,WinKing
27,WannaBe
26,OhioChessFan
24,SloVice
22,chessmoron
20,cromat

Jan-17-11  fxenderby: gee,
can you give me your email again?
that's my adress from the university, and sometimes strange things happen there :) but, if you don't want to put your email adress in here, try again cwg@ufpr.br
cheers
Jan-18-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <fxenderby> I tried again. If something fail I'll give you my email:)
Jan-18-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 3 UPDATE>

Upset in Wijk aan Zee!
Jan Smeets - Ruslan Ponomariov 0-1
Magnus Carlsen - Anish Giri 0-1(!)
Hikaru Nakamura - Alexei Shirov 1-0

Standings:
1. Nakamura
2. Anand
2. Nepomniachtchi
2. Giri
5. Aronian
5. Smeets
5. Vachier
5. Lami
5. Kramnik
5. Ponomariov
11. Wang
11. Grischuk
11. Carlsen
14. Shirov

Jan-18-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: 2011 TATA STEEL PREDICTIONS STANDINGS ROUND 3

Score,UserID
39,rogge
36,percyblakeney
36,SwitchingQuylthulg
36,YouRang
35,Bobwhoosta
35,moronovich
35,wordfunph
34,Aurora
34,DCP23
34,Ragh
33,lostemperor
31,chancho
31,yalie
30,MrMelad
28,WinKing
26,nimh
23,SloVice
21,chessmoron
21,OhioChessFan
21,WannaBe
19,cromat

Jan-18-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: <lostemperor> Any chance we could get to see the Square Ranker standings in the next update?
Jan-19-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Yes <SwitchingQuylthulg>. I was waiting till the rest day!;)
Jan-19-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Predictions according to virtual contestant <ELO> the rating:

ELO RATING: 1. Carlsen 2814
2. Anand 2810
3. Aronian 2805
4. Kramnik 2784
5. Grischuk 2773
6. Nakamura 2751
7. Ponomariov 2744
8. Nepomniachtchi 2733
9. Hao 2731
10. Shirov 2722
11. Vachier-Lagrave 2715
12. Giri 2686
13. Smeets 2662
14. lAmi 2628

Jan-19-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Expectations according to <CHESS BOOKIE> the Bookie game odds at chessgames.com Tata Steel (Group A): Winner:

1. Carlsen
2. Anand
2. Aronian
4. Kramnik
5. Nakamura
6. Grischuk
7. Nepomniachtchi
7. Ponomariov
9. Shirov
10. Wang Hao CHN
11. Vachier-Lagrave
12. Giri
13. lAmi
14. Smeets

Jan-19-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 4 UPDATE>

Viswanathan Anand - Wang Hao 1-0
Levon Aronian - Ian Nepomniachtchi 1-0
Alexei Shirov - Max. Vachier-Lagrave 0-1

standings:
1. Nakamura
1. Anand
3. Giri
3. Aronian
3. Vachier
6. Nepomniachtchi
6. Lami
6. Kramnik
6. Ponomariov
6. Smeets
11. Carlsen
11. Grischuk
13. Wang
14. Shirov

Jan-19-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <2011 TATA STEEL PREDICTIONS STANDINGS ROUND 4>

Score,UserID
44,rogge
43,Ragh
42,SwitchingQuylthulg
42,wordfunph
41,YouRang
40,Bobwhoosta
40,chancho
39,yalie
37,CHESS BOOKIE
37,moronovich
37,MrMelad
36,ELO RATING
34,lostemperor
33,Aurora
33,nimh
32,percyblakeney
32,WinKing
30,OhioChessFan
30,WannaBe
28,chessmoron
28,DCP23
28,SloVice
26,cromat

Jan-19-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 4

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID
610,YouRang
596,Ragh
589,chancho
586,SwitchingQuylthulg
577,wordfunph
575,rogge
564,yalie
558,Bobwhoosta
546,Aurora
536,lostemperor
536,nimh
535,percyblakeney
530,CHESS BOOKIE
516,MrMelad
513,ELO RATING
490,moronovich
486,WinKing
477,WannaBe
473,DCP23
464,OhioChessFan
434,SloVice
431,chessmoron
369,cromat

Jan-19-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 4

Earnings in$,UserID
55.79,percyblakeney
40.65,lostemperor
29.70,YouRang
22.71,wordfunph
18.57,chancho
4.15,Aurora
3.48,Bobwhoosta
2.70,nimh
2.52,rogge
1.92,Ragh
-0.73,DCP23
-1.29,SwitchingQuylthulg
-2.63,yalie
-2.95,moronovich
-7.68,ELO RATING
-10.00,CHESS BOOKIE
-10.62,OhioChessFan
-18.44,WannaBe
-18.48,WinKing
-20.73,MrMelad
-27.60,chessmoron
-29.09,SloVice
-31.93,cromat

Jan-19-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$23.00,Carlsen-below-Nepomniachtchi, percyblakeney

$23.00,Kramnik-equal-Nepomniachtchi, DCP23

$23.00,Kramnik-equal-Ponomariov, wordfunph

$23.00,Lami-equal-Ponomariov, lostemperor

$23.00,Ponomariov-equal-Smeets, lostemperor

$11.50,Aronian-above-Carlsen, chancho + percyblakeney

$11.50,Carlsen-below-Kramnik, Aurora + OhioChessFan

$11.50,Giri-above-Ponomariov, chancho + percyblakeney

$7.67,Aronian-below-Nakamura, moronovich + rogge + WinKing

$7.67,Giri-above-Shirov, Bobwhoosta + percyblakeney + YouRang

$7.67,Grischuk-below-Nepomniachtchi, Aurora + DCP23 + percyblakeney

$7.67,Grischuk-below-Ponomariov, wordfunph + yalie + YouRang

$7.67,Shirov-below-Wang, ELO RATING + lostemperor + percyblakeney

$5.75,Anand-above-Carlsen, chancho + nimh + OhioChessFan + yalie

$5.75,Anand-equal-Nakamura, moronovich + rogge + SwitchingQuylthulg + YouRang

$5.75,Giri-above-Nepomniachtchi, Bobwhoosta + chancho + Ragh + YouRang

$5.75,Giri-equal-Vachier, Ragh + wordfunph + yalie + YouRang

$5.75,Kramnik-below-Nakamura, Bobwhoosta + moronovich + percyblakeney + rogge

$5.75,Ponomariov-below-Vachier, Aurora + lostemperor + nimh + WannaBe

Jan-19-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Three different leaders in three categories! <rogge>, <YouRang>, <percyblakeney>

Nine rounds to go..

Jan-19-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Goes without saying is that Carlsen shared 11th place at the moment is the most unexpected.

Predictions' deviations per player:

Deviation,Player
227,Carlsen
152,Giri
141,Grischuk
136,Shirov
136,Vachier
129,Lami
115,Smeets
105,Nakamura
91,Kramnik
64,Wang
47,Nepomniachtchi
41,Ponomariov
31,Anand
30,Aronian

Jan-20-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <2011 TATA STEEL ROUND 5 UPDATE

Jan Smeets - Viswanathan Anand 0-1
Magnus Carlsen - Erwin l'Ami 1-0
Wang Hao - Alexander Grischuk 1-0

standings:
1. Anand
2. Nakamura
3. Giri
3. Aronian
3. Vachier
6. Nepomniachtchi
6. Kramnik
6. Ponomariov
6. Carlsen
10. Lami
10. Wang
10. Smeets
13. Grischuk
14. Shirov>

Jan-20-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTION STANDINGS

Absolute Ranker

Score,UserID
53,rogge
52,SwitchingQuylthulg
51,Bobwhoosta
51,Ragh
50,wordfunph
50,YouRang
49,chancho
49,CHESS BOOKIE
47,ELO
47,MrMelad
47,yalie
46,moronovich
45,lostemperor
44,nimh
43,percyblakeney
42,Aurora
42,WinKing
41,OhioChessFan
40,WannaBe
39,chessmoron
38,DCP23
38,SloVice
37,cromat

Jan-22-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <2011 TATA STEEL TOURNAMENT ROUND 6 UPDATE

Decisive games
A. Shirov - V. Kramnik 0-1
A. Giri - I. Nepomniachtchi 0-1
E. l'Ami - H. Nakamura 0-1
J. Smeets - M. Carlsen 0-1

Standings:
1. Anand
1. Nakamura
3. Aronian
3. Carlsen
3. Nepomniachtchi
3. Kramnik
3. Vachier-Lagrave
8. Ponomariov
8. Giri
10. Wang
11. Lami
11. Smeets
11. Grischuk
14. Shirov>

Jan-22-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS ROUND 6

Score,UserID
65,rogge
61,lostemperor
61,Ragh
61,SwitchingQuylthulg
59,CHESS BOOKIE
58,wordfunph
57,Aurora
57,ELO
57,MrMelad
57,nimh
57,YouRang
56,Bobwhoosta
56,chancho
56,moronovich
56,percyblakeney
56,yalie
55,DCP23
55,WinKing
52,WannaBe
51,OhioChessFan
49,chessmoron
47,SloVice
43,cromat

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