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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Aug-30-15
Norway Chess Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

Chessgames.com tournament page:
Norway Chess (2015)

Official site: http://norwaychess.com/

Live games:
http://www.chessdom.com/tata-steel-...

***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 30460 times to chessgames   [less...]
   Aug-30-15 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: ** Round 7 Recap ** Unbelievable results that round. <OhioChessFan> would still miss the Aronian and Grischuk wins if he got to pick those games now. <Switch> made a strong move that round and leads 3 rankers. <GE> leads 1 and <chessantosh> leads 1. In ...
 
   Aug-30-15 Travis Bickle chessforum
 
...
 
   Aug-30-15 chessgames.com chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <morf> there is no objective answer as to how something will be received going forward. That didn't stop you from appealing to it. That lack of a black/white delineation apparently doesn't apply to you.
 
   Aug-30-15 G Key (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Moscovites play much chess in G Key Park
 
   Aug-30-15 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Carlsen - Grischuk 1-0 Nakamura - Aronian 1-0 Anand - So 1-0 Topalov - Giri 1/2 Caruana - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2
 
   Aug-30-15 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: My predictions are almost totally based on how Aronian does. I was massively hoping for a loss against Carlsen.
 
   Aug-29-15 Sinquefield Cup (2015) (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <Rama> I think he just has bad stretches of inconsistency. It's never a shock to see him lose a really horrible game, as that seems to be a regular occurence. In a tournament with 9 other strong players, there's just no breathing space for an off day. These guys will ...
 
   Aug-29-15 Team White vs Team Black, 2015 (replies)
   Aug-29-15 Kibitzer's Café (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <CIM: <HarryLime>'s top ten list of chessplayers includes the insignificant Harry Nelson Pillsbury, while omitting the great World Champion Garry Kasparov.> Yeah, Pillsbury jumped out of that list. Karpov would have been a much better choice.
 
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OhioChessFan: " 't's Okay "
 
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Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 495 OF 495 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Aug-29-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 6 games have started.
Aug-29-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  twinlark: <Interesting player. He seems to show flashes of brilliance where you'd think he should be top 10.>

Yes, I thought the same.

It's interesting to speculate about the careers of some of the also-rans. Why didn't they take the next step up the ladder. In some cases, it's simply circumstances, such as simply being in the wrong continent (eg Africa, where the economy and infrastructure is very poor, or Australia, where the governance is second rate and there is great distance from the action), insufficient funds for proper development opportunities especially strong tournaments in faraway places, personal issues etc etc

There is of course only room for ten players in the top ten, but the rating bandwidth of the top ten can vary quite considerably from generation to generation.

It's easier to work out the reasons for the decline of the greats than why some of the promising stars never made it to the top.

Thanks for the suggestions, all of which I've implemented.

Aug-29-15  chessmoron: ♔ Sinquefield 2015: <Round 6> Result ♔

<Aronian-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 32 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Karposian', '1/2-1/2', '34']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

===

<Giri-Anand, 1/2-1/2 in 32 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '31']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '26']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '25']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Penugincw', '1/2-1/2', '35'], ['chesssantosh', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

===

<Grischuk-Caruana, 1-0 in 40 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['Robin01', '1-0', '40']]
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1-0', '45']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<MVL-Topalov, 1-0 in 37 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['lostemperor', '1-0', '1']]
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<So-Nakamura, 0-1 in 39 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['wordfunph', '0-1', '46']]
2nd Over, 2 points: [['whiteshark', '0-1', '48']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Aug-29-15  chessmoron: Round 6 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<Robin01>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 6 points: <SwitchingQuylthulg>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

29, chesssantosh, 3, 0, 2
28, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 4, 0
21, lostemperor, 0, 3, 0
21, WinKing, 0, 3, 0
20, Karposian, 2, 2, 0
20, Robin01, 1, 1, 1
14, Golden Executive, 0, 2, 0
14, scout118, 0, 2, 0
10, chessmoron, 1, 1, 0
7, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 1, 0
7, whiteshark, 0, 1, 0
3, Penguincw, 1, 0, 0
3, wordfunph, 1, 0, 0
0, call14, 0, 0, 0
0, juan31, 0, 0, 0
0, OhioChessFan, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

39, Golden Executive, 1, 2, 2, 4
22, SwitchingQuylthulg, 1, 0, 3, 1
21, lostemperor, 2, 2, 3, 0
21, Penguincw, 2, 1, 1, 2
17, OhioChessFan, 1, 2, 0, 2
15, chessmoron, 2, 1, 1, 1
15, Karposian, 0, 2, 1, 1
15, chesssantosh, 1, 1, 0, 2
14, Robin01, 1, 4, 1, 0
14, WinKing, 0, 1, 0, 2
13, juan31, 1, 1, 2, 0
13, wordfunph, 1, 0, 0, 2
10, scout118, 0, 5, 0, 0
7, alfamikewhiskey, 1, 3, 0, 0
7, whiteshark, 1, 3, 0, 0
0, call14, 0, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID

53, Golden Executive
50, SwitchingQuylthulg
44, chesssantosh
42, lostemperor
35, Karposian
35, WinKing
34, Robin01
25, chessmoron
24, scout118
24, Penguincw
17, OhioChessFan
16, wordfunph
14, alfamikewhiskey
14, whiteshark
13, juan31
0, call14

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 6>

Score,UserID

5, chesssantosh
4, Karposian
4, SwitchingQuylthulg
3, lostemperor
3. Robin01
3, WinKing
2, chessmoron
2, Golden Executive
2, scout118
1, alfamikewhiskey
1, Penguincw
1, whiteshark
1, wordfunph
0, call14
0, juan31
0, OhioChessFan

Aug-29-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: Round # 7
Carlsen - Grischuk 1-0 42
Nakamura - Aronian 1/2. 43
Anand - So 1-0 39
Topalov - Giri 1/2 40
Caruana - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0. 39
Aug-29-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  alfamikewhiskey: Round 7:

Carlsen - Grischuk 1-0, 45
Nakamura - Aronian 0-1, 36
Anand - So 1/2, 34
Topalov - Giri 1/2, 37
Caruana - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0, 50

Aug-29-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 7:

Carlsen - Grischuk 1/2-1/2 38
Nakamura - Aronian 1/2-1/2 36
Anand - So 1-0 36
Topalov - Giri 1/2-1/2 36
Caruana - Vachier-Lagrave 0-1 25

Aug-29-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Karposian: Round 7:

Carlsen - Grischuk 1-0 41
Nakamura - Aronian 1-0 30
Anand - So 1-0 39
Topalov - Giri 1-0 47
Caruana - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 30

Aug-29-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 6 Recap **

After a day off, the contestants got back to work. It was a tough and low scoring round, and there was no movement at the top, as <chessantosh> and <GE> continue to lead 2 rankers each. <OhioChessFan> and <juan> are struggling to score in the #1 ranker before the tournament is over, but time is running out. Only 3 rounds to go.

Aug-29-15  chessmoron: Carlsen - Grischuk 1-0 43
Nakamura - Aronian 1/2 46
Anand - So 1-0 35
Topalov - Giri 1/2 48
Caruana - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 40
Aug-29-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Round 7:

Carlsen - Grischuk 1/2 36
Nakamura - Aronian 1/2 40
Anand - So 1/2 30
Topalov - Giri 1/2 40
Caruana - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 36

Aug-29-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: Round 7:

Carlsen - Grischuk 1-0 46
Nakamura - Aronian 1/2 46
Anand - So 1-0 46
Topalov - Giri 1/2 46
Caruana - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 46

Aug-30-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  whiteshark: Round 7:

Carlsen - Grischuk 1-0 47
Nakamura - Aronian 1/2 45
Anand - So 1/2 60
Topalov - Giri 1/2 48
Caruana - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 42

Aug-30-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Carlsen - Grischuk 1-0 35
Nakamura - Aronian 1-0 34
Anand - So 1-0 40
Topalov - Giri 1/2 32
Caruana - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 41
Aug-30-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Robin01: Round 7:

Carlsen - Grischuk 1-0 37
Nakamura - Aronian 1/2 36
Anand - So 0-1 43
Topalov - Giri 1-0 43
Caruana - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 41

Aug-30-15  call14: Round # 7

Carlsen - Grischuk 1-0 (42)
Nakamura - Aronian 0-1 (52)
Anand - So 1-0 (44)
Topalov - Giri 1-0 (41)
Caruana - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 (48)

Aug-30-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 7:

Carlsen - Grischuk 1/2 39
Nakamura - Aronian 1/2 2
Anand - So 1/2 31
Topalov - Giri 1/2 32
Caruana - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 42

Aug-30-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Round 7

Carlsen - Grischuk 1-0 47
Nakamura - Aronian 1/2 47
Anand - So 1/2 35
Topalov - Giri 1/2 42
Caruana - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 41

Aug-30-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: All games have started.
Aug-30-15  chessmoron: ♔ Sinquefield 2015: <Round 7> Result ♔

<Anand-So, 1/2-1/2 in 39 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '35']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '31']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['whiteshark', '1/2-1/2', '60']] 3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Carlsen-Grischuk, 0-1 in 66 moves.>--No one got it!

===

<Caruana-MVL, 1/2-1/2 in 30 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '41'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '46']]

===

<Nakamura-Aronian, 0-1 in 51 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '0-1', '36']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['call14', '0-1', '52']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Topalov-Giri, 1/2-1/2 in 33 moves.
Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '32'], ['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '32']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '36']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

Aug-30-15  chessmoron: Round 7 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

NONE

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 7 points: <alfamikewhiskey>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 7>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

35, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 5, 0
29, chesssantosh, 3, 0, 2
28, WinKing, 0, 4, 0
21, lostemperor, 0, 3, 0
20, Karposian, 2, 2, 0
20, Robin01, 1, 1, 1
17, Golden Executive, 1, 2, 0
14, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 2, 0
14, scout118, 0, 2, 0
10, chessmoron, 1, 1, 0
7, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 0
7, whiteshark, 0, 1, 0
3, Penguincw, 1, 0, 0
3, wordfunph, 1, 0, 0
0, call14, 0, 0, 0
0, juan31, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 7>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

39, Golden Executive, 1, 2, 2, 4
27, SwitchingQuylthulg, 1, 0, 4, 1
23, Penguincw, 2, 2, 1, 2
21, lostemperor, 2, 2, 3, 0
19, OhioChessFan, 1, 3, 0, 2
16, WinKing, 0, 2, 0, 2
15, chessmoron, 2, 1, 1, 1
15, chesssantosh, 1, 1, 0, 2
15, Karposian, 0, 2, 1, 1
14, alfamikewhiskey, 2, 3, 0, 1
14, Robin01, 1, 4, 1, 0
14, wordfunph, 2, 0, 0, 2
13, juan31, 1, 1, 2, 0
10, scout118, 0, 5, 0, 0
9, whiteshark, 1, 4, 0, 0
2, call14, 0, 1, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 7>

Score, UserID

62, SwitchingQuylthulg
56, Golden Executive
44, chesssantosh
44, WinKing
42, lostemperor
35, Karposian
34, Robin01
28, alfamikewhiskey
26, OhioChessFan
26, Penguincw
25, chessmoron
24, scout118
17, wordfunph
16, whiteshark
13, juan31
2, call14

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 7>

Score,UserID

5, chesssantosh
5, SwitchingQuylthulg
4, Karposian
4, WinKing
3, Golden Executive
3, lostemperor
3. Robin01
2, alfamikewhiskey
2, chessmoron
2, scout118
1, OhioChessFan
1, Penguincw
1, whiteshark
1, wordfunph
0, call14
0, juan31

Aug-30-15  chessmoron: Grischuk Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 40
Giri Caruana 1/2 38
So Topalov 0-1 39
Aronian Anand 1/2 43
Carlsen Nakamura 1-0 40
Aug-30-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 7 Recap **

Unbelievable results that round. <OhioChessFan> would still miss the Aronian and Grischuk wins if he got to pick those games now. <Switch> made a strong move that round and leads 3 rankers. <GE> leads 1 and <chessantosh> leads 1. In other news, <OhioChessFan> finally got a point in the #1 ranker, <callmemaybe> came back to try again and scored 2 points, getting everyone in the contest on the scoreboard. There are only 2 rounds to go, and for the people doing well, the excitement is overwhelming. For the rest of us, there's always next tournament.

Aug-30-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 8:

Grischuk Vachier-Lagrave 1/2-1/2 38
Giri Caruana 1/2-1/2 34
So Topalov 1/2-1/2 38
Aronian Anand 1-0 31
Carlsen Nakamura 1/2-1/2 36

Aug-30-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: Round 8

Grischuk - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2. 37
Giri - Caruana 1-0. 42
So - Topalov 0-1. 41
Aronian - Anand 1-0. 41
Carlsen - Nakamura 1-0 44

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