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Fabiano Caruana vs Magnus Carlsen
Tata Steel Masters (2023), Wijk aan Zee NED, rd 8, Jan-22
Ruy Lopez (C88)  ·  0-1

8
7
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5
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1
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White to move.
ANALYSIS [x]
0-1

rnbqkbnr/pppppppp/8/8/8/8/PPPPPPPP/RNBQKBNR w KQkq - 0 1
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Kibitzer's Corner
Jan-22-23  jffun1958: 22. Bc2 ??
Now Black has 22. ... Qd5.
Jan-22-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  saffuna: As I asked on the tournament page...

OK, so here's the question: How much can fatigue affect a player's performance?

Only yesterday Caruana played a seven-hour, 106-move draw. There was a 36-move queen-and-pawn endgame, during which Caruana had a tablebase-win for many moves before the game ended in a draw.

Might his blunder today be due, at least partly, to exhaustion from yesterday's game?

Jan-22-23  Messiah: <saffuna: As I asked on the tournament page...

OK, so here's the question: How much can fatigue affect a player's performance?

Only yesterday Caruana played a seven-hour, 106-move draw. There was a 36-move queen-and-pawn endgame, during which Caruana had a tablebase-win for many moves before the game ended in a draw.

Might his blunder today be due, at least partly, to exhaustion from yesterday's game?>

Or because his Highly Esteemed Opponent is a lucker.

Jan-22-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: <Might his blunder today be due, at least partly, to exhaustion from yesterday's game?>

It is very likely.

Jan-22-23  stone free or die: Magnus talks a little about the game, including (briefly) mentioning the exhaustion/frustration factor:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_yj...

.

Jan-23-23  Ulhumbrus: 14...Bd7 displaces the defender of the a6 pawn. This suggests 15 Bc4 attacking a6 and inviting Black to undevelop his rook or his queen's bishop to defend it. This also seems consistent, otherwise why has White advanced his a pawn to a5 and made a target of it, if not to fix Black's a6 pawn as a target?

Instead of 17 Bg3, 17 Nc4 proposes to remove the black N on e5 that keeps White's king's bishop out of c4. If Black declines the offer by 17...Re8 18 Nc4-e3 prepares the move Nf5

Instead of 18 f4, 18 Nc4 proposes to exchange knights. An additional justification is that this knight is White's worst placed piece and 18 Nc4 puts it to work before doing anything else.

19 e5 opens lines in a position where White has neglected to put his queen's knight to work. The effects of this remain to be seen.

After 23 ...Rb4 Black overpowers White's centre in a position where White's queen's knight does nothing useful to either defend White's position or attack Black's position. This suggests that playing the advance e5 before first improving the position of the N on a3 is a mistake.

Jan-23-23  Kristijanf: 21... Bc6 one of the best moves ever
Jan-23-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  saffuna: <21... Bc6 one of the best moves ever>

So if Caruana had taken the knight with 22. exf6:

22. exf6 Rxe1+ 23. Qxe1 Rxb3 and white's position has too many holes to count.

Jan-23-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  Bishoprick: Messiah
In New York, many, many years ago, we used to say that the better player is always a "lucker". Neither player is a machine, and the human factor (tiredness, sickness, headache, etc.) is always present. That's what makes chess a game, and not a exercise in math by two computers.
Jan-24-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  perfidious: In the world of <antichrist>, Carlsen can never put a foot right and all his opponents play horribly, handing over one free point after another.
Jan-24-23  Ninas Husband: Carlsen's got his mojo back!
Feb-03-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  Fusilli: <Ulhumbrus> Principled positional analysis. Before paying 17.Nc4, white would have to calculate the complications after 17...Nxb3, right? If 18.Nxe5 Rxc3 seems good for black. If 18.Qxb3 Nd3 forks rook and bishop, and I don't know what happens, but maybe Caruana calculated and didn't like it?

As for Caruana being <tired>, who wouldn't be, in his situation? Plus Carlsen (or no player at that level, really) would surely not give him a break choosing to play a quiet game. And in any event, Caruana himself is not inclined by temperament or repertoire to play a quiet game with the white pieces anyway.

Caruana is a slight guy, about 5ft 6 and very likely under 125lbs. I always thought of Fabi as having tremendous brain stamina given his frame. Even if chess is a brain sport, physical stamina matters immensely, especially at the top level. Remember Karpov v Kasparov, 1984/5 match.

Feb-03-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  Clement Fraud: Caruana has a habit - when handling the white pieces - of creating unconsolidated space; and he especially seems to do this in his games against Magnus Carlsen 🤔 🤷

After 8.a4 b4 9.a5, a position very similar to the ones between Kasparov and Short was reached (from the 1993 world championship). In those games, Kasparov - handling white - pursued a setup of d2-d3 followed by Nbd2 (keeping his dark squared Bishop within the Pawn chain). Kasparov never attempted to play for a big center in his Lopez games versus Short, because Kasparov knew perfectly well of the consequences; the question is, therefore, why doesn't Caruana understand those consequences?

Feb-04-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  Dionysius1: Hi <Clem> What you say looks interesting. What's "unconsolidated space" please?
Feb-04-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  Clement Fraud: <Dionysius1> Hello 👋

What I referred to as 'unconsolidated space', I might easily have called 'unfortified' (space).

In a game of chess where White - or Black - creates many squares of elbow-room within his own Pawn chain, provided he has full control of those squares (with his own pieces), then his extra space is strong (fortified or consolidated, as I understand it to mean); but, if the opponent possesses greater control (of the squares within one's own Pawn chain), then one's own extra space is 'unconsolidated' (or 'unfortified', as I understand it to mean).

In the game above, although it was White that created the greater space in the center... by move fifteen, however, it was Black who had the greater control of it (the central squares).

I do confess to not being as qualified as the other Kibitiz commentators (though).

Feb-05-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  Dionysius1: So let's say a pawn chain consists of white pawns at a2,b3,c4,d5.

The squares within the pawn chain would be what - b2, c2,d2, c3,d3,d4?

And if White has bishops at b1 and b2 (s)he would be controlling those squares pretty well - so they'd be consolated as far as White is concerned? What about a1, b1, c1, d1?

Don't worry about other kibitzers's qualifications. It seems an interesting concept I haven't come across, and at the moment I'm interested in the idea of controlling squares.

Much appreciated!

Feb-06-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  Clement Fraud: <Dionysius1>

Where a player's back and second ranks are concerned, only said player's own pieces can protect it (since opposition Pawns are the only ones which can control - or invade - a player's 1st & 2nd rows). In our imagined position, the Bishop on b2 would be the only piece protecting White's a1 square; and with the other Bishop on b1, it would be down to White's overall back and second rank control - particularly involving his/her Queen and Rooks - as to whether or not these squares were safe from enemy control. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Following 8.a4 - and 10.c3 Rb8 - White discovered his light squared Bishop to be tactically vulnerable; so pressing ahead with a plan of d2-d4 seemed reckless. Avoiding the Marshall Gambit is popular, but doing so doesn't offer White more than an equal game.

Feb-06-23  SChesshevsky: <Dionysius1: ...at the moment I'm interested in the idea of controlling squares.>

Interesting idea in controlling squares is Fischer's "To get squares, you've got to give squares." But there's giving squares and really giving squares.

Here, looks like Caruana idea is to pressure the dark squares ...d6...c7 pawns. Hopefully, with help from Nc4. Seems to accomplish it but in doing so gives up a lot of light square holes. And the potential Nc4, Bb3 structure doesn't appear very stable.

So seems he drops Nc4 idea and tries to put up some defence of the light squares with 22. Bc2. But appears a tempo too late as 22...Qd5 causes all sorts of concessions where white just about falls apart.

Think if Caruana tried to defend light squares with Bc2 before pushing e5 he's still probably a bit worse but generally ok by somewhat stifling black light square threats while keeping pressure on dark squares.

Feb-07-23  The Rocket: >Kasparov knew perfectly well of the consequences; the question is, therefore, why doesn't Caruana understand those consequences?<

First of all, Kasparov in the late 90s was a stronger chess player than Caruana. But more importantly, decisions taken at these levels are rarely principled, but rather concrete. If a strong player is led to believe via their calculations that an outcome is favorable, they go for it. This is known as cold calculations. It tends increase elo more than it decreases, but sometimes thinking about a position holistically outweighs shaky arithmetic.

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