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Feb-19-09
 | | Chessgames Bookie: Tickets on the incorrect 1st round Linares pairings, Grischuk-Ivanchuk, and Wang Yue-Dominguez, have been refunded. |
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Feb-19-09 | | suenteus po 147: Handicapper's Corner (under new management!): Linares, Round 2 Anand-Aronian=Anand has had the white pieces against Aronian eleven times in the past three years that they have faced off. Six of those games were at standard time controls and Anand is (+0 -2 =4) so far. Betting on an Anand win, despite today's results, is going against the odds. Carlsen-Dominguez=Carlsen has had the white pieces three times against Dominguez at standard time controls and he is (+2 -0 =1) with the most recent win being a couple weeks ago at Corus 2009. Grischuk-Wang Yue=All three of their encounters have been with Grischuk as white and Wang Yue as black, and all of them at Grand Prix tourneys. Grischuk won the most recent game in Elista but only managed to draw the previous two. Radjabov-Ivanchuk=Although they have faced off many times over the last seven years, there is only one game at standard time controls that was decisive and it was this game from Ivanchuk's miracle streak at Mtel last year: Radjabov vs Ivanchuk, 2008 The remaining seven games at standard time controls were all drawn. |
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Feb-19-09 | | suenteus po 147: Handicapper's Corner (under new management!): Topalov-Kamsky match, Game 3 Topalov has had white against Kamsky five times previous to this game (the most recent time being game 1). For betting purposes, Topalov opened with 1.e4 only once of the five times, at Corus during Kamsky's international comeback (it was a Scandanavian game). The remaining four times he has opened with 1.d4. However! they have played a different opening each of the four times, including a Bogo-Indian Defense (Las Palmas 1994), a Slav (Mtel 2006), a Queen's Indian (Mtel 2007), and a Grunfeld (three days ago). Topalov owned Kamsky in 2006 with the white pieces, but that was during a Topalov high point and Kamsky's uneven comeback. Otherwise, the best he can do is draw Kamsky. The average number of moves with Topalov as white and Kamsky as black is 35 moves (rounded down). Their shortest game was the 25 move Scandanavian win at Corus 2006 for Topalov, and their longest game was the 43 move Queen's Indian draw at Mtel 2007. 3 games went under 40, 2 games went over. Kamsky has never won a game against Topalov. Topalov has won 5 out of 11 encounters, all at standard time controls. |
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Feb-20-09
 | | WannaBe: <suenteus po 147: ... Betting on an Anand win, despite today's results, is going against the odds.> Wow, did you nail that one, how much $$$ did you collect?? =) |
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Feb-21-09 | | percyblakeney: Back to the betting strategy that worked quite well in Corus: illogical bets on unlikely results I don't believe in. |
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Feb-21-09 | | technical draw: Yuck! Lost 1,500 cb's this round. Even Kamsky's win didn't save me. Oh, well, what's next? |
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Feb-21-09 | | percyblakeney: If I can lose also the bets in the next round I won't have to think about betting for a while. I could still get a decent payout on my remaining long term bet though. |
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Feb-21-09 | | suenteus po 147: Handicapper's Corner (under new management!): Linares, Round 4 Radjabov-Grischuk=While these two have faced each other 19 times in 7 years, only five of their encounters were at standard time controls. The one of those instance where Radjabov had the white pieces (in Sochi 2008) it was drawn. Grischuk does have the edge with (+2 -0 =3) against Radjabov (though those two wins were when he had the white pieces). Carlsen-Ivanchuk=With the white pieces, Carlsen is (+2 -1 =1) against Ivanchuk at standard time controls. Their most recent game at these positions was at the Bilbao GS Final, where Ivanchuk scored his first win. With Ivanchuk, you're better off betting against the opposite of reverse wisdom here. Or vice versa. Anand-Wang Yue=This is their first time playing against each other! Aronian-Dominguez=They've only faced each other twice, and Dominguez had the white pieces both times. Of note is that when they last faced each other (waay back in Corus 2009) Dominguez won, putting him at (+1 -0 =1) against Aronian. |
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Feb-21-09 | | suenteus po 147: Handicapper's Corner (under new management!): Topalov-Kamsky match, Game 5 Kamsky has white again due to the sequence of games in this match, and in their previous game Kamsky won with the white pieces! This brings their head to head score as 5-1 to Topalov with 6 draws. Despite Kamsky's impressive and unexpected first win, 3 of Topalov's five wins have come when Kamsky has wielded the white pieces. In fact, Monday's game almost insures it will be decisive, but the way to look at the odds is, who will be walking away with the full point? |
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Feb-22-09
 | | WannaBe: Time for me to be a wise guy... =)
<suenteus po 147: ... Wish Ivanchuck, you're better off betting against the opposite of reverse wisdom here. Or vice versa.> ????????????????????????????????????????
:-)) |
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Feb-22-09 | | suenteus po 147: <WannaBe> As you could see, the draw was the correct bet in Carlsen-Ivanchuk, just as I said ;) |
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Feb-22-09 | | suenteus po 147: Handicapper's Corner (under new management!): Linares, Round 5 Dominguez-Radjabov=They have only faced each other four times at standard time controls. Dominguez only had the white pieces once in those four chances, but when he did he won, which makes his current lifetime score against Radjabov as (+1 -1 =2). Wang Yue-Aronian=Wang Yue has had the white pieces against Aronian twice before, both last year (Sochi & Dresden), and both drawn. His lifetime score against Aronian is (+0 -0 =3). Ivanchuk-Anand=These two have faced each other 109 times. Ivanchuk has had the white pieces 50 of those times. Many of these, of course, have been at faster time controls. Ivanchuk's most recent win with white at standard time controls was back at Linares 1994. Anand's most recent win with black was at Corus 2006. Their most recent face-off with these colors was Bilbao a few months ago, which was drawn. So that gives you some idea. Grischuk-Carlsen=All three of their games at standard time controls were with these colors and all three were drawn. See them here: Grischuk vs Carlsen, 2006 ; Grischuk vs Carlsen, 2007 ; and Grischuk vs Carlsen, 2008 |
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Feb-22-09
 | | WannaBe: Grischuk is going to have white again?? Somebody notify the TD! (Tournament Director, that is, not <technical draw> =) |
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Feb-22-09 | | technical draw: Too late! 10 people have already notified me. |
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Feb-23-09
 | | Chessgames Bookie: Due to the mix-up in assigned colors in games 5 and 6 of the Topalov-Kamsky match, we have refunded all bets on those games. |
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Feb-23-09 | | malthrope: <Chessgames Bookie: Due to the mix-up in assigned colors in games 5 and 6 of the Topalov-Kamsky match, we have refunded all bets on those games.> Good call - thanks <ChessBookie> :)) One thing I learned long ago -- there is nothing left to be surprised about in whatever happens in a FIDE final match or FIDE qualifying match when it comes to the ever present ~SNAFU~ of World Chess Championship contenders! ~lol~ :P 'nuff said... - Mal PS: <technical draw: Too late!> It's <never> too late! ;) |
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Feb-23-09 | | technical draw: New game! Bet on who is the best GM dancer. It's called the ChessBoogie game! Morozevich is the best bet. Ivanchuk has 2 left feet. Korchnoi is at 1000 to 1...!! Get your bets in today... |
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Feb-23-09 | | rogge: I heard Aronian is a real knock-out on the dance floor... |
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Feb-23-09 | | malthrope: <rogge: I heard Aronian is a real knock-out on the dance floor...> The 'fun' just never ends! ~lol~ Nice shot <rogge> ;) <technical draw: New game! Bet on who is the best GM dancer. It's called the ChessBoogie game! [...] Korchnoi is at 1000 to 1...!! Get your bets in today...> <TD> - shouldn't that read 10,000 to 1? Unless, of course, Viktor has chosen to dance a subdued Viennese game waltz with his wife. :) Perhaps the 'Guioco Piano' slow shuffle would be more to their liking... ;) BTW: <ChessBookie> - do you plan to include any further bets from the - Aeroflot Open (2009) - ? The last two important rounds (#8 & #9) are in play right now. I've always admired that a well run game plan is to be fully <consistent> with one's very own rules of engagement. It <is> and always will <be> the hallmark of excellence! :) In addition, on Feb 26th a double 9-round Swiss Blitz Tournament will be held at Aeroflot which qualifies the lucky winners for the World Blitz Championship 2009 (Final). I suspect like everything else organized at the 'Aeroflot Open' we'll have direct access to the full list of entrants. Betting here would also be possible... Thanks in advance for your kind consideration in these matters. :^) - Mal |
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Feb-24-09 | | malthrope: Noting the additions of...
Aeroflot: Rd 8: Pashikian vs Kurnosov
and...
Aeroflot: Rd 8: Predojevic vs Moiseenko
Thanks <ChessBookie> :)) Besides, I'm hoping the tourney leader GM Igor Kurnosov (5½/7) has another brilliancy left yet to play! :^) - Mal PS: That last was meant only as a compliment for anyone that might have been wondering... ;) |
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Feb-24-09 | | suenteus po 147: Handicapper's Corner (under new management!): Linares, Round 6 Yue-Radjabov=Wang Yue has had the white pieces against Radjabov three times and they are (+1 -1 =1) as a result. The first game was a draw at the Baku Grand Prix, the second was a win for Wang Yue at the Sochi Grand Prix, and the third was a Radjabov win at Corus a few weeks ago. Whatever the result, chances are excellent of another (4th!) King's Indian. Ivanchuk-Dominguez=Ivanchuk is (+2 -0 =5) with the white pieces against Dominguez at standard time controls. The two wins, however, were way back at the 2004 Olympiad in Turin and the 2005 Capablanca Memorial. Since then Ivanchuk hasn't managed better than a draw, though it's not from a lack of trying if their game from Aerosvit 2007 is any indication. Grischuk-Aronian=Only one previous game with these players at these colors using standard time controls: Grischuk vs Aronian, 2007 When Aronian has the white pieces, however, he pretty much owns Grischuk. But that's for another round... Carlsen-Anand=Speaking of owned, Carlsen's record with the white pieces against Anand at standard time controls is pretty bad: (+0 -3 =3). It's even worse that two of those losses are from the previous two editions of Linares. Bet accordingly. |
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Feb-24-09 | | YouRang: Is there any particular reason you don't have a wagering event for Ivanchuk-Dominguez (Linares round 6)? |
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Feb-24-09
 | | Chessgames Bookie: <YouRang> Thanks for pointing that out. The game can be wagered on now: Linares: Rd 6: Ivanchuk vs Dominguez |
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Feb-25-09 | | suenteus po 147: Handicapper's Corner (under new management!): Linares, Round 7 Radjabov-Carlsen=With the white pieces at standard time controls Radjabov has a respectable (+2 -1 =4) against Carlsen. Carlsen's sole win with the black pieces came through a Dragon played in this game Radjabov vs Carlsen, 2008 at Baku. Anand-Grischuk=Anand has only had the white pieces against Grischuk in two games at standard time control: this short draw at Corus 2003, Anand vs Grischuk, 2003 and this long win at WC Tourney in 2007, Anand vs Grischuk, 2003 It's also good to note that Grischuk has never won a game against the world champion (black or white) at standard time controls. Aronian-Ivanchuk=With the white pieces against Ivanchuk, Aronian is (+4 -3 =5) in games at standard time controls. Pretty much any result is likely, though it's worth knowing that 3 of the 5 draws listed are from the last three Linares where they faced each other with these colors. However, the two most recent decisive results came from Aronian wins, <after> Ivanchuk's streak at Mtel (his only win last year with the black pieces against Aronian). Dominguez-Wang Yue=They have only played once before, in this game from just over a month ago: L Dominguez vs Wang Yue, 2009 |
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Feb-25-09 | | suenteus po 147: Handicapper's Corner (under new management!): Topalov-Kamsky match, Game 7 Topalov has had the white pieces against Kamsky seven times before now. He is (+3 -0 =4), with two of those three wins coming from an 1.e4 opening. The third win, a Slav, was from the 2006 Mtel where Kamsky was still struggling with his comeback and Topalov owned him. The four draws were a Bogo-Indian Defense, a Queen's Indian, and the two Grunfelds of the match. Despite the small sample, 1.e4 looks to be in the cards for a Topalov looking to close the match tomorrow. The average number of moves between these two with these colors is 38 (rounded down), with their longest game running 55 moves (game 5 of the match) and their shortest being 25 moves (Corus 2006). |
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